Economic Impacts of Natural Hazards on Vulnerable Populations in FIJI - UNCDF

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Economic Impacts of Natural Hazards on Vulnerable Populations in FIJI - UNCDF
Economic Impacts of Natural
Hazards on Vulnerable Populations
                           in FIJI
Contents

         List of abbreviations                        ii

         Executive summary                            1

     1
         Hazard and exposure                          2
          1.1. Overview of risks                      2
          1.2. Cyclones                               5
          1.3. Floods                                 6
          1.4. Landslides                             6
          1.5. Droughts                               7
          1.6. Earthquakes, tsunamis, and volcanoes   7

     2
         Vulnerability and impacts                    8
          2.1. Economic profile                       8
          2.2. Agriculture and fisheries              9
          2.3. Tourism                                13
          2.4. Commerce and manufacturing             14
          2.5. Housing and settlements                15
          2.6. Low-income and informal workers        16
          2.7. Gender                                 17
          2.8. Youth                                  21

     3
         Coping mechanisms                            24
          3.1. Types of coping mechanisms             24
          3.2. Adaptive social protection             26
          3.3. Remittances                            27
          3.4. Financial inclusion                    29
          3.5. Insurance                              30
          3.6. Migration and relocation               32
          3.7. Community-based support                33

     4   Conclusions
          4.1. Hazard, exposure, and vulnerability
          4.2. Coping mechanisms
                                                      35
                                                      35
                                                      35

         References                                   39

2i
List of abbreviations
ADB		      Asian Development Bank
CRED		     Centre for Research on the Epidemiology of Disasters
CSIRO      Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation
EM-DAT     Emergency Events Database
ESCAP      Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific
FAO		      Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations
FJD		      Fiji dollar
GDP		      Gross Domestic Product
GFDRR		    Global Facility for Disaster Reduction and Recovery
GIZ		      Deutsche Gesellschaft für Internationale Zusammenarbeit
IASC		     Inter-Agency Standing Committee Reference Group on Risk, Early Warning
  		       and Preparedness
IDMC		     Internal Displacement Monitoring Centre
IFRC		     International Federation of Red Cross and Red Crescent Societies
ILO		      International Labour Organization
IMF		      International Monetary Fund
INFORM     Index for Risk Management
MSME		     Micro-, small-, and medium-sized enterprises
OCHA       United Nations Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs
OECD       Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development
PCRAFI     Pacific Catastrophe Risk Assessment and Financing Initiative
SPC        Secretariat of the Pacific Community
TC		       Tropical Cyclone
UNDP		     United Nations Development Programme
UNDRR      United Nations Office for Disaster Risk Reduction
UNFPA      United Nations Population Fund
UNICEF		   United Nations Childrens’ Fund
USD		      United States dollar
WASH		     Water, Sanitation and Hygiene
WFP		      World Food Programme
WTO		      World Trade Organization

                                                                                    ii
                                                                                    3
Executive summary
Fiji is highly exposed to natural hazards, with           • Social protection systems that can rapidly
cyclones and floods being annual events that                adapt in crisis situations can support the
damage property and cause long-term cumulative              immediate needs of affected people as
economic harm. Other natural hazards, including             well as longer-term reconstruction. Fiji has
landslides, droughts, earthquakes, tsunami, and             demonstrated the ability to rapidly and
volcanoes, are present but pose smaller threats.            effectively scale up its social protection
Climate change is expected to exacerbate                    schemes to deliver cash payments for disaster
weather-related hazards in the future.                      relief and reconstruction.

Fiji’s agriculture and fisheries industries, and micro-   • Remittances make an important contribution
small, and medium-sized enterprises (MSMEs),                to poverty reduction, wealth creation,
are particularly vulnerable to damage caused                social protection, and economic growth
by natural hazards, and are critical sources of             in Fiji, and there is evidence from many
livelihoods for a large proportion of the population.       countries worldwide that remittances support
It is infeasible to protect crops and fisheries against     responding to and recovering from disasters.
cyclones and floods, and it can take many years
                                                          • Financial inclusion is an important contributor
for crops and fisheries to recover from damage.
                                                            to development, poverty reduction, and
Many MSMEs rely on agricultural production and are
                                                            disaster resilience. The relatively high level of
based in people’s homes, which are often poorly
                                                            financial inclusion in Fiji contributes to disaster
constructed and vulnerable to damage. The tourism
                                                            resilience and is an important component of
sector has been more resilient to natural hazards,
                                                            recovery efforts.
with the exception of small home-based businesses
that produce handicrafts and other articles for the       • Insurance can be an important tool for
tourist trade.                                              managing risks associated with natural
                                                            hazards, but in Fiji, the majority of middle- and
Natural hazards disproportionately affect poor
                                                            low-income households have no insurance
people, workers in the informal economy, women,
                                                            protection, property insurance covering risks
and youths. Poor people tend to be more exposed
                                                            of natural hazards is difficult to obtain and
to hazards than wealthier people, are more severely
                                                            expensive, and no insurance coverage for
affected by hazards that do occur, and have fewer
                                                            crops, livestock, or fisheries is available in the
resources available to them to cope when disasters
                                                            country.
do occur. Women and girls are disadvantaged and
constrained economically, have livelihoods that           • Migration within Fiji and internationally can
are more often dependent on natural resources,              support development and disaster resilience.
and suffer increased incidences of gender-based             Demand for rural-urban and international
violence during crises. Youths suffer from disruption       migration, driven by seeking economic
to education and employment caused by natural               opportunities and by the impacts of natural
hazards, which can lead to long term deficits               hazards, is likely to continue to increase.
in human capital and permanently reduced                    Relocation of settlements, a highly sensitive
employment prospects and incomes.                           issue, is also likely to increase in the future.
Support systems that help poor and disadvantaged          • Community-based coping mechanisms are
populations cope with the impacts of natural                a common way for communities to manage
hazards include:                                            risk, especially in rural and poor communities.
                                                            Traditions of community-based safety nets are
                                                            strong in Fiji.

                                                                                                                  1
1. Hazard and exposure
    1.1. Overview of risks
    Pacific island countries are widely regarded                      The Pacific Catastrophe Risk Assessment and
    as experiencing the highest risks associated                      Financing Initiative (PCRAFI) estimates that
    with natural hazards in the world due to their                    within the next 50 years, Fiji has a 50% chance
    high exposure to a variety of hazards, their                      of experiencing a loss of more than 25% of GDP
    geographical remoteness, and their dispersion                     due to earthquakes or tropical cyclones, and
    across a large area (ADB [Asian Development                       a 10% chance of a loss exceeding 50% of GDP
    Bank], 2018, p. 2; World Bank, 2017a, p.                          (PCRAFI, 2011, pp. 1–2).
    81). Across the region, hydrological and
                                                                      The principal hazards affecting Fiji are tropical
    meteorological events cause the majority of
                                                                      cyclones and floods. Fiji is located in the tropical
    economic losses, with cyclones being the most
                                                                      cyclone belt and experiences an average of
    serious hazard, while geo-hazards are the major
                                                                      one cyclone per year with damaging winds,
    cause of human loss (World Bank, 2017a, p. 81).
                                                                      rains, storm surges, and floods (PCRAFI, 2011,
    Fiji is ranked as the 12th most hazardous country                 p. 5, 2015, p. 5; UNDRR [United Nations Office
    in the world by WorldRiskIndex on the basis of                    for Disaster Risk Reduction], 2019, p. 6). Climate
    high exposure to natural hazards and relatively                   change is likely to exacerbate all weather-
    low coping capacity (Day et al., 2019, p. 56).                    related hazards in Fiji, and flood severity has
    An International Monetary Fund (IMF) study                        already found to be increasing (UNDRR, 2019,
    estimates that Fiji has a 70% chance of suffering                 p. 11). Fiji is seismically relatively quiet, but is
    a significant1 disaster related to natural hazards                near the Pacific ‘Ring of Fire’ and therefore
    each year (Lee et al., 2018, p. 7), and the                       exposed to the possibility of earthquakes and
    Government of Fiji forecasts that cyclones                        tsunamis (PCRAFI, 2011, p. 3; UNDRR, 2019, p.
    and floods are likely to cause average annual                     6) although these types of hazards have been
    losses equal to 5.8% of Gross Domestic Product                    rare and caused limited impacts in the past
    (GDP) (Government of Fiji, 2017b, pp. 50–55).                     (Government of Fiji, 2017b, pp. 48, 55).

    1
        This analysis was based on the Emergency Events Database (EM-DAT), which counts disasters involving 10 or more
    deaths, 100 or more people affected, the declaration of a state of emergency, or a call for international assistance.

2
Different agencies, using different                             Figure 1: Natural Hazard Forecasts
methodologies, provide different assessments
                                                                          WorldRiskReport
of risk for Fiji.
                                                                                                   Risk          Risk
                                                                                                   score         quintile
• WorldRiskReport2 ranks Fiji as the 12th most
  hazardous country in the world due to high                         Exposure                       38.43        Very High
  exposure to natural hazards and lack of                            Vulnerability                  46.41        Medium
  coping capacities. The ranking process                             Susceptibility                 21.54        Medium
  assigns countries scores ranging from 0                            Lack of coping                 78.76        High
  (least risk) to 100 (greatest risk) based on 27                    capacity
  indicators (Day et al., 2019, pp. 44, 56).                         Lack of adaptive               38.93        Medium
                                                                     capacity
• INFORM (Index for Risk Management)3                                                                         (Day et al.,2019)
  assesses the relative risk of countries                                 INFORM
  experiencing humanitarian crises, taking into                                           Epidemic
  account exposure to hazards, vulnerability                                               Drought

                                                          hazards
                                                          Natural
  of the population, and coping capacity.                                         Tropical Cyclone
                                                                                            Tsunami
  INFORM ranks Fiji 103rd out of 191 countries                                                 Flood
  on exposure to natural hazards, implying                                              Earthquake
                                                          Overall risk

  a roughly average level of risk by global                               Lack of coping capacity
  standards. It considers Fiji to have a                                               Vulnerability
                                                                         Natural hazard & exposure
  particularly high risk of tsunamis and a low
  risk of floods (IASC [Inter-Agency Standing                                                             Low               High
  Committee Reference Group on Risk, Early                                 Relative risk compared with other countries worldwide
                                                                                                                  (IASC, 2020)
  Warning and Preparedness], 2020).
                                                                          ThinkHazard
• ThinkHazard4 provides an overview of                                   High Risk           River flood         Landslide
  natural hazards at national and local levels.                                              Urban flood         Tsunami
  It considers Fiji to have a high risk of most                                              Coastal flood       Cyclone
                                                                                             Earthquake          Wildfire
  weather-related and geophysical hazards,
  but low risk of water scarcity and volcanic                        Medium Risk             Extreme heat
  activity (GFDRR [Global Facility for Disaster                      Low Risk                Volcano
                                                                     Very low Risk           Water scarcity
  Reduction and Recovery], 2020).
                                                                                                                (GFDRR, 2020)
• The Government of Fiji, in its 2017 national                            Government of Fiji
  climate vulnerability assessment, estimates                                  Average annual asset losses
  that cyclones and floods cause average                                                     FJD million  % GDP
  annual losses equal to 5.8% of GDP, and that
                                                                    Tropical cyclones              152             1.6%
  earthquakes and tsunamis cause minimal
                                                                    Fluvial floods (rivers)        250             2.6%
  average losses (Government of Fiji, 2017b,
  pp. 50–55).                                                       Pluvial floods                 154             1.6%
                                                                    (surface water)
                                                                    Earthquakes and                5
• The Internal Displacement Monitoring Centre                     Figure 2: Historical Disasters
      (IDMC)5 models the risk of future population
                                                                        EM-DAT: Damage, 1990-2020
      displacements, and projects the greatest risks
      for Fiji to be related to cyclones and storm                      Volcanic activity
      surges (IDMC, 2019).
                                                                                   Tsunami
    Agencies that keep records of disasters agree
                                                                                   Cyclone
    that cyclones and floods have caused the
    greatest economic losses in Fiji. DesInventar6                                     Flood
    and EM-DAT7 (Emergency Events Database) are                                Earthquake
    the two main global datasets of disasters related
                                                                                   Drought
    to natural hazards. They use different inclusion
                                                                                               0       250     500      750       1000
    criteria, data sources, and reporting practices,
                                                                                                    Damage in million USD
    so they are not necessarily comparable. In
                                                                                                                     (CRED, 2020)
    particular, DesInventar includes significantly
    more events than EM-DAT, especially high-                           Desinventar: Losses, 1990-2020
    frequency, low-impact events; EM-DAT tends
    to show lower estimates of impacts and to lack                         Drought
    estimates of damages in smaller countries; data                        Volcano
    collection practices in both datasets appear                       Storm (local)
    to vary from one country to another and may
                                                                        Storm surge
    not always be comparable between countries;
    and both datasets appear to cover flooding                            Landslide
    inadequately (Edmonds & Noy, 2018, pp. 482–                            Tsunami
    484). For Fiji, both datasets agree that cyclones                   Earthquake
    and floods are the hazards that have caused
                                                                               Flood
    the most damage or loss8, although they differ
    regarding the number of events and magnitude                           Cyclone
    of damage or loss that they record (CRED                              Epidemic
    [Centre for Research on the Epidemiology of                                         0      250           500      750         1000
    Disasters], 2020; UNDRR, 2020). PCRAFI has also                                                Losses in million USD
    compiled a regional database of more than 600
                                                                                                                     (UNDRR,2020)
    disasters (PCRAFI, 2013, pp. 53–57), and of the
    129 events recorded for Fiji, 55% were cyclones,                     PCRAFI: number of recorded disasters
    with most of the rest being floods or storms;
    no disasters associated with tsunamis or storm                     Tropical cyclone                                       71
    surges were recorded (PCRAFI, 2013, p. 57).
                                                                       Flood                                                  30

    5
     Part of the Norwegian Refugee Council, a humanitarian             Earthquake                                             13
    non-governmental organization (NGO)
                                                                       Severe local storm                                     10
    6
     Operated by the United Nations Office for Disaster Risk
    Reduction (UNDRR), drawing on data from partners around
    the world; data for the Pacific region are provided by the         Landslide                                              5
    Secretariat of the Pacific Community (SPC)
                                                                       Storm surge                                            0
    Operated by the Centre for Research on the Epidemiology
    7

    of Disasters (CRED), Catholic University of Louvain
                                                                       Tsunami                                                0
    EM-DAT reports damage defined as “value of all damages
    8

    and economic losses directly or indirectly related to the                                                 (PCRAFI, 2013, p.57)
    disaster”; DesInventar reports losses defined as “sum of losses
    directly caused by the disaster” (https://public.emdat.be/
    about; https://www.desinventar.net/effects.html)

4
1.2. Cyclones
Cyclones, bringing damaging winds, rain,                        cyclones. The overall frequency of cyclones in
and storm surges, are the most significant                      the Pacific is expected to remain unchanged or
natural hazard for Fiji. On average, the country                decrease by a small amount, while wind speeds
experiences one cyclone per year, resulting                     could increase by 2% to 11%, which would lead
in FJD 152 million in asset losses annually;                    to exponentially higher damage (ADB, 2018,
losses from 100-year return period cyclones                     p. 5; Government of Fiji, 2017b, p. 50; Schimel,
are estimated at around 11% of GDP, and the                     2020, p. 39). Rising sea levels will also increase
losses from Tropical Cyclone (TC) Winston are                   the impacts of cyclones as a result of storm
consistent with those from a 200-year event                     surge and flooding (Schimel, 2020, p. 39). By
(Government of Fiji, 2017b, p. 50).                             2050, extreme weather events may cause up to
                                                                a 6.5% loss of Fiji’s GDP annually (Schimel, 2020,
Fiji has experienced two record-breaking
                                                                p. 39).
tropical cyclones this decade: TC Evan, a
category 4 storm9 in 2012, and TC Winston, a                    Global evidence shows that the economic
category 5 storm in 2016 which was the most                     damage cause by cyclones is long-lasting and
intense storm ever recorded in the Southern                     cumulative. A study of the long-term economic
Hemisphere (Schimel, 2020, p. 39). The death toll               impacts of tropical cyclones that examined
for both storms was low, with only two deaths                   6,712 storm events found that the impact on
recorded for Evan and 44 for Winston (CRED,                     GDP caused by a cyclone lasts at least twenty
2020; Government of Fiji, 2016, p. 10) but the                  years, and that countries that are repeatedly
economic losses were heavy, amounting to                        exposed to cyclones experience a cumulative
2.6% of GDP for Evan and approximately 20% of                   and effectively permanent loss to GDP.
GDP for Winston (Schimel, 2020, pp. 39–40). The                 More powerful storms cause more long-term
two storms had similar impacts at the sectoral                  damage: each additional meter per second
level, with agriculture, forestry, commerce,                    (3.6 km/h) increase in average annual wind
hotels and restaurants accounting for 87% of                    exposure lowers per capita economic output
total losses (WTO [World Trade Organization],                   by 0.37% twenty years later, and an increase in
2019, p. 41).                                                   a country’s cyclone exposure by one standard
                                                                deviation lowers GDP by 3.6 percentage points
The effects of climate change by the end of
                                                                twenty years later (Hsiang & Jina, 2014).
this century are expected to increase the
proportion of high-intensity (categories 4 and 5)

Tropical cyclones are classified into categories numbered 1 through 5 based on maximum sustained wind speed,
9

with category 5 being the most powerful.

                                                                                                                     5
1.3. Floods
    Fiji is severely and regularly affected by floods     surges (Government of Fiji, 2017b, p. 51). Fiji has
    that cause loss of life, damage to housing            experienced, on average, more than one flood
    and infrastructure, and economic disruption.          each year for the past 40 years. A significant
    Coastal floods are a result of a combination          fraction of these floods are high-frequency, low-
    of mean sea level, astronomical tides, storm          intensity events that may not be recorded in
    surges due to low pressure and wind action,           disaster databases but are frequent enough to
    and wind-driven waves (Government of Fiji,            generate large cumulative losses (Government
    2017b, p. 50). Inland, flooding can occur as a        of Fiji, 2017b, p. 51). Average annual flood losses
    result of cyclones and other storms: fluvial floods   are estimated at more than FJD 400 million, or
    occur when rivers burst their banks as a result of    4.2% of GDP (Government of Fiji, 2017b, p. 51).
    sustained or intense rainfall, and pluvial floods
                                                          Climate change is expected to increase both
    occur when heavy precipitation saturates
                                                          the frequency and intensity of extreme rainfall
    drainage systems, particularly in flat and urban
                                                          events by the end of the century. Rainfall events
    areas (Government of Fiji, 2017b, p. 51). Such
                                                          that occur once in 20 years may increase
    floods are a regular occurrence during the
                                                          in magnitude by 5 to 7 mm by 2030 and by
    monsoon season (November to April), usually
                                                          6 to 36 mm by 2090, and what is currently a
    alongside cyclones and tropical storms which
                                                          20-year event may occur every 4 to 9 years
    bring in high intensity rainfall (UNDRR, 2019,
                                                          by 2090, depending on CO2 emission levels
    p. 11). Much of the country’s population lives
                                                          (Government of Fiji, 2017b, p. 51). Without
    on river floodplains subject to long-duration
                                                          adaptation measures, asset losses would
    flooding and in smaller catchments prone
                                                          increase correspondingly, reaching 5% of GDP
    to flash flooding (Government of Fiji, 2017b,
                                                          annually by 2050. The increase in flood losses
    p. 51). All major rivers that discharge to the
                                                          arises more from the increase in the frequency
    ocean and delta areas can be affected by
                                                          of smaller events than from the rarer large
    elevated sea levels during high tides or storm
                                                          floods (Government of Fiji, 2017b, p. 54).

    1.4. Landslides
    Steep slopes, unstable volcanic soil, heavy           (Drazba et al., 2018, p. 1337; Government of Fiji,
    precipitation, and high winds contribute to a         2017b, p. 47). The frequency of landslides is likely
    significant risk of landslides in Fiji (Drazba et     to increase with climate change as a result
    al., 2018; UNDRR, 2019, p. 6). There is a lack of     of increased precipitation and more intense
    data on landslide occurrences and impacts             tropical cyclones, but land use, deforestation,
    in Fiji, but they are often triggered by rainfall     and slope management are also contributing
    and are believed to pose a substantial threat         factors (Government of Fiji, 2017b, p. 54).

6
1.5. Droughts
Droughts in Fiji are infrequent, and usually short                 saline water intrusions as a result of reduced
and seasonal, with an average duration of a                        flows in rivers (Government of Fiji, 2017b, p. 54).
few months or less (Government of Fiji, 2017b,                     In 1997-98, for example, one of the strongest El
p. 47,54). Almost all droughts are associated                      Niños on record led to widespread food and
with the El Niño10 phenomenon, which have                          water shortages, school closures, a halving of
the potential to reduce annual rainfall by up to                   the sugarcane harvest, and one of the worst
50%, although not all El Niños lead to droughts                    recessions in Fiji’s history (OCHA [United Nations
(Government of Fiji, 2017b, p. 54; UNDRR, 2019,                    Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian
p. 11). Droughts are infrequent – only six major                   Affairs], 2015, p. 3). Another El Niño-induced
droughts were recorded between 1970 and                            drought in 2015 similarly led to about 13% of
2016 (Government of Fiji, 2017b, p. 47) – but                      the population receiving emergency water
when they occur they affect an average of 20-                      deliveries and reduced harvests (OCHA, 2015).
30% of Fiji’s land area (Government of Fiji, 2017b,
                                                                   The impact of climate change on the risk of
p. 54).
                                                                   drought is unclear. Different climate models
Impacts of droughts include decreased                              project different changes in precipitation
agricultural production, mortality of livestock,                   patterns and there does not appear to be a
shortages of drinking water, forest fires, and                     consensus around the implications for drought
                                                                   in Fiji (Government of Fiji, 2017b, p. 54).

1.6. Earthquakes, tsunamis, and volcanoes
Fiji has relatively little seismic activity, but it is             2017b, pp. 47, 55; UNDRR, 2019, p. 10). Overall,
located near the Pacific “Ring of Fire” and is                     Fiji is expected to incur an average of FJD 5
therefore exposed to earthquakes and tsunamis                      million per year in losses due to earthquakes
(PCRAFI, 2011, p. 3; UNDRR, 2019, p. 6). There are                 and tsunami (Government of Fiji, 2017b, p. 55),
two active volcanoes in the country (UNDRR,                        making this a relatively small risk compared
2019, p. 10). Earthquakes and tsunamis have                        with other natural hazards. Climate change
had little impact on Fiji in the past fifty years –                could potentially lead to increased tsunami risk,
the last major earthquake in a built-up area                       primarily through sea level rise but also through
occurred in 1953 (PCRAFI, 2015, p. 17) – but such                  damage to coral reefs; there is evidence that
hazards could be significant when they occur.                      these coastal ecosystems can offer some
Studies have suggested a 20% to 40% chance of                      protection against tsunamis, depending on
experiencing a significant earthquake at least                     local conditions (Dilmen et al., 2015, p. 3570;
once in the next fifty years (Government of Fiji,                  Shao et al., 2019, p. 85).

 El Niño is a natural warming of surface ocean waters in the eastern tropical Pacific which occurs every three to seven
10

years, and lasts from six months to two years (OCHA, 2015, p. 1)

                                                                                                                          7
2. Vulnerability and impacts
    2.1 Economic profile
    Fiji has a diversified economy with a particularly                                Figure 3: Fiji GDP annual change
    strong tourism industry and significant agriculture
    and textile industries. Fiji’s economy is the                                      10
    second-largest in the Pacific after Papua New

                                                              GDP growth (annual %)
                                                                                        8
    Guinea, and its location enables it to serve
    as a regional hub for the rest of the Pacific                                       6
    (Government of Fiji, 2017b, p. 41; UNDRR, 2019,                                     4
    p. 6). Tourism is responsible for about 34% of GDP                                  2
    and contributes more than any other sector to
                                                                                        0
    foreign exchange earnings, with remittances,
    sugar, and textiles also being important foreign                                   -2
    exchange earners (Government of Fiji, 2016,

                                                                                            1999

                                                                                                   2001

                                                                                                          2003

                                                                                                                 2005

                                                                                                                        2007

                                                                                                                               2009

                                                                                                                                      2011

                                                                                                                                             2013

                                                                                                                                                    2015

                                                                                                                                                            2017

                                                                                                                                                                    2019
    p. 19, 2017b, p. 41; Reserve Bank of Fiji, 2016,
    p. 9; World Bank, 2017b, p. 7; World Travel &                                                                                            (World Bank, 2020)
    Tourism Council, 2020). Economic growth has
    been strong during the last decade, with credit                                   Figure 4: Employment by sector
    growth, remittances, improved labour market
    conditions, infrastructure spending, and the
                                                                                      60
    strong tourism industry contributing to growth                                                                                                                  es
                                                            % of total employment

                                                                                      50                                                                   Servic
    (Government of Fiji, 2016, p. 19), alongside
    the return to democratic elections and                                            40
                                                                                                                                                     Agricu
    normalisation of international relations in 2014                                                                                                              lture
                                                                                      30
    (World Bank, 2017b, p. 7). Fiji ranks 98th out of 189
    countries on the Human Development Index                                          20
                                                                                                                                                           Industry
    and falls within the ‘high human development’                                     10
    category (UNDP [United Nations Development
                                                                                            1999

                                                                                                   2001

                                                                                                          2003

                                                                                                                 2005

                                                                                                                        2007

                                                                                                                               2009

                                                                                                                                      2011

                                                                                                                                             2013

                                                                                                                                                    2015

                                                                                                                                                           2017

                                                                                                                                                                   2019
    Programme], 2019, p. 301).
                                                                                                                                             (World Bank, 2020)
    Fiji has a low unemployment rate, but high
    informal employment, high underemployment,                        in informal or subsistence activities (ILO
    and a high level of subsistence activity                          [International Labour Organization], 2017a,
    (Government of Fiji, 2016, p. 29). As of 2016, 54%                pp. 4–5). Informal workers do not have secure
    of the population participated in the labour                      employment contracts and lack workers’
    market (71% for men and 37% for women)                            benefits, social protection, and workers’
    and the unemployment rate was only 8%, but                        representation (ILO, 2017c). The unemployment
    60% of the employed population (78% in rural                      rate for youths aged 15-24 is 14.8%, which is 3.6
    areas and 37% in urban areas) were engaged                        times the overall unemployment rate (World
                                                                      Bank, 2020).

8
2.2. Agriculture and fisheries
Agriculture and fisheries are extremely                          Figure 5: Agriculture, forestry, and
important to Fiji, both as commercial and                        fishing, value added as % of GDP
subsistence activities. Agriculture has declined
in importance in relation to GDP as tourism and                   18
textiles have grown (Wehrhahn et al., 2019, p.                    16
28), but it still provides 36% of all employment
(World Bank, 2020). Women make up about 37%                       14
of those employed in agriculture (Government                      12

                                                      % of GDP
of Fiji, 2016, p. 47). Sugarcane is the dominant
                                                                  10
cash crop, accounting for 18% of Fiji’s exports
and directly or indirectly supporting nearly one-                  8
quarter of the population; it is grown by almost                   6
13,700 farmers on small farms averaging 2.8
                                                                   4
hectares in size, mostly on western Viti Levu and
northern Vanua Levu (Government of Fiji, 2016,                     2
p. 48; Singh, 2020, p. 66; Wehrhahn et al., 2019,                  0

                                                                       1999

                                                                              2001

                                                                                     2003

                                                                                            2005

                                                                                                   2007

                                                                                                          2009

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                                                                                                                                      2017

                                                                                                                                             2019
pp. 28–29). However, the sugar industry has
been in decline for the past decade due to low
                                                                                                                        (World Bank, 2020)
productivity, labour shortages, high production
costs, ageing and inefficient sugar mills, and the
withdrawal of preferential price arrangements          p. 84; Wehrhahn et al., 2019, p. 30), and it is
with the European Union (Government of Fiji,           essentially infeasible to protect crops against
2017b, p. 83; Singh, 2020, pp. 67–69). Subsistence     these hazards (Gawith et al., 2016, p. 2115).
livestock production is widespread, constituting       Flooding “can inundate crops, leading to failed
a small percentage of total output but                 harvests and the death of livestock, and it can
generating income for many rural households            also damage or destroy agricultural assets and
and contributing to food security and meeting          infrastructure” (Government of Fiji, 2017b, p.
customary obligations (Government of Fiji, 2016,       84). Many farms have expanded into areas that
p. 48). The fishery sector is comprised of offshore    are prone to flooding or that have a high risk
tuna fishing, which accounts for around 43% of         for landslides (UNDRR, 2019, p. 14). Sugarcane
the value of production, commercial coastal            is grown in coastal areas which are exposed to
fisheries (30%), and subsistence commercial            cyclones and storm surges (PCRAFI, 2015, p. 8).
fisheries (23%) (Government of Fiji, 2017b, p.         In the fisheries sector, cyclones and storm surges
84). Half of all rural households are involved in      cause damage to boats, equipment, and
coastal subsistence fishing (Government of Fiji,       aquaculture infrastructure and stock, as well
2016, p. 48).                                          as causing ecosystem damage to coral reefs,
                                                       mangroves, and other fish habitats. Flooding
Cyclones and floods regularly cause extensive          can also damage aquaculture ponds, cause
damage to crops, trees, livestock, equipment,          siltation, and harm fish and seafood stocks
and infrastructure (Government of Fiji, 2017b,         (Government of Fiji, 2017b, p. 84).

                                                                                                                                                    9
Table 1: Expected impacts of climate change on crops, livestock, and forestry in Fiji

     Hazard                 Expected impacts

     Changes in             • Disrupt planting, flowering, growth, and harvesting patterns, which
     rainfall patterns        may affect productivity

                            • Heavy, concentrated rainfall can lead to waterlogging and a higher
                              risk of diseases, and can also lead to erosion

     Changes in             • Existing cultivars of mango, papaya, and tomato can be
     temperature              adversely affected by high temperatures at specific stages of their
                              development

                            • Incidence of pests and diseases may increase across a range of
                              crops and livestock; increasing minimum nighttime temperatures
                              have already been demonstrated to increase the spread of taro leaf
                              blight, which poses a major risk for the important local taro industry

                            • Higher temperatures may increase stress for livestock

                            • Availability of maize- and soy-based animal feed could be affected
                              by climate change, resulting in increased costs for poultry and pig
                              industries, which are heavily dependent on imported feed

     Sea-level              • Land available for agriculture may be reduced; the sugar industry
     rise and sea             has an estimated 5,000 ha of land under threat from saltwater
     flooding                 intrusion

                                                                             (Government of Fiji, 2017b, p. 86)

     Table 2: Expected impacts of climate change on fisheries in Fiji

     Hazard                 Expected impacts

     Increase in            • Coral bleaching may lead to loss of fish habitat
     sea surface
                            • Migration and spawning times may change for tuna and similar
     temperatures
                              pelagic fish

                            • Demersal fish expected to be less productive due to changes in
                              recruitment

                            • Fewer areas suitable for seaweed aquaculture

                            • Survival/growth of ornamental products, oyster spat, and sea
                              cucumbers may be reduced

                            • Growth rates for shrimp aquaculture may increase

10
Table 2: Expected impacts of climate change on fisheries in Fiji (continued)

Hazard                Expected impacts

Sea-level rise        • Area and productivity of estuarine fisheries may increase

                      • Fisheries infrastructure and communities may be forced to relocate

Ocean                 • Reduction in aragonite concentration expected to reduce
acidification           productivity of invertebrates

                      • Areas suitable for seaweed aquaculture will be reduced

                      • Survival/growth of ornamental products, oyster spat, and sea
                        cucumbers may be reduced

Increased/more        • Greater runoff may smother reefs if high levels of sediment persist
concentrated
                      • Area of freshwater fish habitats may increase, along with water
rainfall
                        availability for aquaculture

Change to sea         • Catch of skipjack and yellowfin tuna may increase; albacore tuna
currents                may decrease

Decreased nutrient    • Nutrient availability (e.g., zooplankton biomass) may decrease due
availability            to increased stratification and shallower mixed layer

                                                                        (Government of Fiji, 2017b, p. 87)

                                                                                                             11
The impact of natural hazards on agriculture is                       damage to permanent plantations which will
     intensified for poor people. Almost half of those                     need to be replanted, as well as damage to
     living below the national poverty line11 rely on                      mangrove forests and coral reefs (Government
     agriculture for at least part of their income                         of Fiji, 2016, p. 11). TC Winston also caused
     (Government of Fiji, 2017b, p. 23). Most farms                        extensive damage to food crops, which
     in Fiji are small – in 2009, 44% of all farms had                     seriously affected household income, food
     an area of less than 1 hectare (Department of                         security and nutrition. Many poor households
     Agriculture, 2009, p. 33) – and more than 80% of                      lost their own food supplies following the
     the country’s farms are classified as subsistence                     cyclone, and market prices for vegetables and
     farms (Ministry of Agriculture, 2018, cited in                        root crops increased significantly – by as much
     Wehrhahn et al., 2019, p. 30). Small-scale                            as double in the case of cassava, a local staple
     farmers (both commercial and subsistence) are                         (Government of Fiji, 2016, p. 50). In some cases,
     vulnerable to natural hazards because they                            agricultural production will not return to pre-
     cannot achieve economies of scale or build up                         cyclone levels for five to ten years, depressing
     financial buffers to absorb economic shocks, so                       people’s incomes and livelihoods significantly
     losses inflicted by natural hazards have greater                      in the affected areas (Government of Fiji, 2016,
     impact than they would for larger-scale farmers                       pp. 12, 50–51). The cyclone was estimated
     (Wehrhahn et al., 2019, p. 30). In the aftermath                      to cause personal income losses of FJD 351.6
     of extensive flooding in 2009, for example,                           million, 85% of which was in the agriculture
     almost 50% of the affected farming families                           sector. Across all sectors, women lost about half
     with livelihoods tied to sugar farming12 were                         as much income as men (FJD 119.6 million and
     expected to fall below the poverty line and 40%                       232.0 million respectively), but this understates
     were estimated not to be able to meet basic                           the significance of the losses, since fewer
     nutritional needs; these farmers had reduced                          women than men are employed and women’s
     coping capacities because they were likely to                         incomes are lower to begin with (Government
     have had pre-existing debts and limited savings,                      of Fiji, 2016, p. 102).
     and their incomes were already reduced due
     to global market conditions for sugar (Lal, 2011,                     Figure 6: Personal income losses by
     cited in UNDRR, 2019, p. 10).                                         sector due to TC Winston

     TC Winston caused extensive damage, loss
     of production, and harm to livelihoods in the                                                                   Commerce:
     agriculture sector. Damage was valued at FJD                                                                    F$17.2 million

     40.6 million, with additional future production
                                                                                                                      Manufacturing:
     losses estimated at FJD 241.2 million. Sugarcane                             Agriculture:
                                                                                   F$298.2                            F$18.5 million
     accounted for 62% of the total damage and
                                                                                    million
     loss (Government of Fiji, 2016, p. 50). High winds,                                                             Tourism & transport:
     flooding and storm surges caused substantial                                                                    F$17.7 million

                                                                                                        (Government of Fiji, 2016 p. 102)

     11
       Fiji’s national poverty line, derived from the country’s 2013-14 Household Income and Expenditure Survey, is set at
     household income of FJD 29.89 per day in 2013-14 (Government of Fiji, 2017b, p. 41), or approximately USD 16.24 per day
     in 2013. Fiji also defines poverty lines for adults at FJD 7.87 per day for urban areas and FJD 7.07 per day for rural areas
     (Fiji Bureau of Statistics, 2015, p. 2), or approximately USD 4.28 and USD 3.84 per day respectively. These income levels are
     higher than the World Bank’s USD 1.90 per day international poverty line, and comparable with the World Bank’s USD 3.20
     and 5.50 per day poverty lines for lower- and upper-middle-income countries.
      Most sugarcane farmers are small-scale growers with an average landholding of 2.8 hectares (Insurance Holdings
     12

     (Pacific) Limited 2016, cited in Wehrhahn et al., 2019, p. 28), who allocate the majority of their land to sugarcane and use
     only a small proportion of their land to grow other cash and food crops and raise subsistence livestock (Singh, 2020).

12
In the fisheries sector, TC Winston had major         and no other disasters occur in the meantime
impacts on artisanal fisheries and commercial         (Government of Fiji, 2016, p. 50). A study of mud
aquaculture through extensive damage to               crab fishers in Bua Province, for example, found
fisheries assets and to coral reefs, mangroves,       that two to three months after the cyclone, 52%
and other fish habitats (Government of Fiji,          of the fishers had stopped harvesting crabs,
2016, p. 47). Direct damage to the fisheries          largely because fallen trees and other debris
sector was estimated at FJD 40.7 million, with        blocked access to mangroves, or because of
the value of lost production estimated at FJD         bad weather, being busy with village repairs or
165.9 million; 72% of the losses are attributed       babysitting, damage to mud crab habitat, or
to subsistence fishing (Government of Fiji,           the declaration of a tabu (a temporary no-take
2016, pp. 47–50). It was expected that the            area) (Thomas et al., 2019, p. 702). The fishers
aquaculture sector would recover in one or two        reported reduced seafood consumption at
years, but that subsistence and commercial            home as well as loss of income, and those who
fisheries could take 12 years to return to pre-       continued fishing reported catching fewer and
cyclone production levels, provided that good         smaller crabs and harvesting less frequently
resource management practices are followed            (Thomas et al., 2019, pp. 703–704).

2.3. Tourism
Fiji has a large tourism industry which attracts      may occur as part of policy responses to
over 750,000 tourists a year and contributed          climate change (Government of Fiji, 2017b, pp.
34% of total GDP in 2019 (Government of Fiji,         93–94).
2017b, p. 93; World Travel & Tourism Council,
                                                      Tropical cyclones Evan and Winston caused
2020). Approximately 6% of people in poverty
                                                      limited damage to tourist infrastructure, most of
and 12% of people above the poverty line
                                                      which is built to high standards. TC Evan (2012)
generate some part of their income from tourism
                                                      caused limited structural damage to hotels
(Government of Fiji, 2017b, p. 93). Tourism
                                                      and resorts, and most of the seriously affected
employment is particularly significant for women,
                                                      hotels and resorts drew on insurance to repair or
with 12.8% of women working in the sector
                                                      rebuild without relying on the Government for
compared to 7.4% of men, but women are
                                                      financial assistance (WTO, 2019, p. 44). Tourist
usually employed as housekeepers, receptionists
                                                      arrivals decreased by 2.5% following the storm,
and waitresses, with only one quarter of
                                                      but the effect was temporary (Government
managerial and professional positions being
                                                      of Fiji, 2017b, p. 93). TC Winston (2016) similarly
held by women (Government of Fiji, 2016, p. 60).
                                                      had “minimal impact on the tourism sector”
The tourism industry is vulnerable to tourists’       (Government of Fiji, 2016, p. 27), which was
perceptions of risk and to degradation of the         partly due to good fortune in that the storm did
natural environment. Tourists avoid destinations      not affect the most popular and productive
that they perceive as hazard-prone (ILO, 2019,        tourism regions, although it did cause damage
p. 23). The tourism industry in Fiji relies heavily   to at least 75 of the estimated 400 tourism
on coastal attractions, so is highly vulnerable       businesses in the country. Damage to hotels
to cyclones, storm surges, and disruptions to         and resorts was minimal due to the generally
transportation (PCRAFI, 2015, p. 8), and to other     good standards to which they were built, with
longer-term risks related to climate change,          a very small proportion of properties reporting
including damage to environmental quality and         the majority of damage (Government of Fiji,
ecosystems, increasing frequency of extreme           2016, p. 57). Most affected businesses intended
temperatures, health risks associated with            to continue operating at reduced capacity or
changes in the natural range and prevalence           to reopen within a few months (Government of
of diseases, and increases in travel costs which      Fiji, 2016, p. 60). The tourism industry generally

                                                                                                            13
recovered quickly following the cyclone and          Micro- and small enterprises supplying the
     was successful in minimising negative reporting      tourism industry were affected in the short
     internationally, promoting a strong “business as     term. Tourism provides an important market for
     usual” message, and reinstating international        micro-, small, and medium-sized enterprises
     flights only two days after the cyclone              (MSMEs) making handicrafts and supplying
     (Government of Fiji, 2016, pp. 57, 59). Businesses   hotels and spas with flowers, artisanal products,
     are estimated to have lost FJD 44 million through    and cosmetics (Government of Fiji, 2016, p. 60).
     cancellations and lost bookings, but overall         Women’s handicraft groups in Ba Province, for
     visitor numbers were only expected to decline        example, reported their daily income declining
     by 0.5% (Government of Fiji, 2016, p. 58).           by FJD 50 to FJD 140 in the aftermath of the
                                                          cyclone (although it is not clear what proportion
                                                          of their incomes this represented) (Government
                                                          of Fiji, 2016, p. 60).

     2.4. Commerce and manufacturing
     Fiji has a diversified economy with significant      that cannot be quickly recovered. Winston
     commerce and manufacturing sectors. The              caused damage to premises, equipment, raw
     commerce subsector contributed 9.4% of               materials, and finished products in commerce
     total GDP in 2014 and includes vehicle trade,        and manufacturing industries, and caused
     supermarkets, textile and clothes traders,           disruption of production and sales as a result of
     hardware traders, book traders, fuel and oil         the damage, workers’ absences, interruptions
     traders, and other wholesale and retail product      to electricity supplies, and problems with
     sales (Government of Fiji, 2016, p. 53). The         road access (Government of Fiji, 2016, p. 55).
     manufacturing subsector in Fiji contributed 11.0%    Damage has been estimated at a value of FJD
     of total GDP in 2014 and includes food and           72.9 million, with economic losses estimated
     beverage manufacturing, cigarettes, apparel,         at FJD 69.9 million (Government of Fiji, 2016, p.
     footwear, paper products, plastic and rubber         53). For larger businesses, disruptions were fairly
     products, furniture, basic metals, coachworks,       minor: in the wholesale and retail commerce
     concrete products, and timber and wood               sector, sales were interrupted for an average
     products (Government of Fiji, 2016, pp. 53–54). In   of just four days, with some temporary lay-
     both commerce and manufacturing, the labour          offs, and many larger retail outlets and the
     force is two-thirds male and one-third female; in    majority of wholesalers had insurance coverage
     commerce, 55% of the women employed are              (Government of Fiji, 2016, pp. 54–56). Job
     in the retail sub-sector, and in manufacturing,      losses in the formal sector were also minimal
     56% of the women employed are in the textile,        and recovered quickly: the government’s
     clothing, and footwear industries (Government        post-disaster needs assessment reported
     of Fiji, 2016, pp. 53–54).                           only 554 job losses, which were reinstated
                                                          once the electricity supply was fully restored
     The impacts of TC Winston on larger-scale
                                                          (Government of Fiji, 2016, p. 55).
     commerce and manufacturing in Fiji have
     been fairly limited and short-term, although         Micro-, small and medium-sized enterprises
     industries that depend on raw materials              suffered damage to equipment and supplies
     from agriculture, such as sugar and pearls,          as well as production losses as a result of
     experienced larger and longer-term losses as         TC Winston, particularly as a result of lost
     a consequence of lost agricultural production        agricultural production (Government of Fiji,

14
2016, p. 55). Most micro-enterprises in the           but 43% of all micro and small enterprises were
affected areas rely on agricultural production,       affected (Government of Fiji, 2016, pp. 55–56)
and consist of activities such as food processing,    and since MSMEs have few assets and low
handicrafts and weaving (Government of                turnovers, the effects of these losses are likely
Fiji, 2016, p. 102). Many MSMEs are based             to be much more impactful than the dollar
in people’s homes, which are often poorly             amounts suggest. Recovery for MSMEs and
constructed and vulnerable to damage (see             cooperatives is inhibited by limited access to
section 3.5). Informal sector small and medium-       loans, especially for women, who have greater
sized manufacturing reported FJD 3.4 million in       difficulty accessing financial services than men
damage and FJD 11.2 million in losses, which          (Government of Fiji, 2016, p. 56).
is relatively small compared with other sectors,

2.5. Housing and settlements
The topography of Fiji leads 90% of the               access to electricity, and vulnerability to natural
population to live in coastal regions that            hazards is high (Government of Fiji, 2017b, p.
are exposed to flooding, cyclones and sea-            56).
level rise, and there is generally a lack of
                                                      The two major tropical cyclones that hit Fiji in
climate-resilient housing across the country
                                                      the past decade caused extensive damage
(Government of Fiji, 2018b, p. 26; UNDRR, 2019,
                                                      to housing stock across the country. TC Evan
p. 14). More than half of the population (54%
                                                      destroyed about 1% of the country’s total
in 2017) is urban, concentrated in three rapidly
                                                      housing stock and damaged another 4%, for
growing urban corridors. Urban growth is driven
                                                      a total value of FJD 50 million (Government
by natural population growth and by migration
                                                      of Fiji, 2013). TC Winston destroyed 7.5% of the
from rural areas and the outer islands, which is
                                                      total housing stock and damaged a further
primarily due to urban-rural household income
                                                      6.3% percent of houses, for a total of FJD 751
differentials (Government of Fiji, 2017b, p. 41).
                                                      million (Government of Fiji, 2016, p. 72). Most
There is a large backlog of provision of low-
                                                      households had to bear the rebuilding cost
income housing in Fiji, and urban populations
                                                      themselves, which was a major challenge
are overcrowding into existing housing stock,
                                                      (WTO, 2019, p. 45); the government offered
building illegally on vacant land, or entering into
                                                      assistance through the Help for Homes
informal and insecure housing arrangements.
                                                      program (see section 3.2), but the program’s
About 20% of the urban population (10% of
                                                      budget was only one-sixth of the estimated
the total population of the country) lives in
                                                      amount of damage (Government of Fiji, 2016,
unplanned and rapidly growing urban and peri-
                                                      p. 72). Households headed by women, the
urban informal settlements where land tenure
                                                      elderly, and people with disabilities may find it
is unregistered and insecure, housing stock is
                                                      particularly challenging to repair or rebuild their
low quality, 13% of households had shared or
                                                      houses independently (Government of Fiji, 2016,
no access to potable water and 28% had no
                                                      p. 76).

                                                                                                            15
2.6. Low-income and informal workers
     Worldwide, poor and marginalized people are            affected by natural hazards than people who
     disproportionally exposed to natural hazards.          have more wealth and power. Vulnerable
     Poor people often live in locations where              people in all these groups tend to be
     they are more exposed to hazards (including            overrepresented in the informal economy, more
     frequent, low-intensity hazards) than wealthier        likely to be unemployed or in insecure work,
     people are. They lack resources to invest in           and have less access to resources with which
     disaster-resilient housing and other infrastructure,   to restore their livelihoods or adapt to climate
     their employment and incomes are less secure,          change (ILO, 2019, p. 12).
     they often have less access to social protection
                                                            More than one-third of Fijians are below
     schemes, and they have limited savings and
                                                            the national poverty line, and informal and
     limited access to insurance or affordable credit.
                                                            subsistence livelihoods are common, but
     When disaster strikes they are often forced to
                                                            extreme poverty is rare. The World Bank reports
     adopt coping strategies that have long-term
                                                            that 2.3% of the population lives on less than
     negative impacts, such as taking children out
                                                            USD 1.40 per day, and 15.1% live on less than
     of school, selling productive assets, or reducing
                                                            USD 3.10 per day (World Bank, 2017b, p. 8).
     food intake, and they often receive less post-
                                                            However, 35% of Fijians (26% in urban areas
     disaster support, and less quickly (Hallegatte et
                                                            and 44% in rural areas) live below the national
     al., 2017, p. 4; ILO, 2019, p. 4; Wehrhahn et al.,
                                                            basic needs poverty line (Government of
     2019, p. 60; World Bank, 2017a, p. 90).
                                                            Fiji, 2016, p. 19). Many Fijians live in “affluent
     The effects of natural hazards are also                subsistence”: they have sufficient resources
     disproportionately higher for poorer people.           to meet most basic needs but have limited
     Damage to assets, or losses of income, reach           economic opportunities to move beyond that
     a higher proportion of a poor person’s total           level (Wehrhahn et al., 2019, p. 41). About 18%
     wealth than a wealthier person’s, and have             of adults identify their primary economic activity
     more serious implications (Government of Fiji,         as solely subsistence based (Singh-Peterson
     2017b, p. 76; Wehrhahn et al., 2019, p. 60). A         & Iranacolaivalu, 2018, p. 12), but 60% of the
     study in India, for example, showed that income        employed population (78% in rural areas and
     losses due to floods in Mumbai amounted to             37% in urban areas) engage in some form of
     62% of annual income for the lowest-income             informal or subsistence activities (ILO, 2017a, pp.
     quartile but only 19% of the highest-income            4–5).
     quartile (Patankar, 2016, cited in Schaefer &
                                                            TC Winston is expected to have a significant
     Waters, 2016, secs. 35–36). The same loss affects
                                                            long-term effect on employment and livelihoods
     poor people more severely than wealthy
                                                            for people on lower incomes. The government’s
     people because “their livelihoods depend
                                                            post-disaster needs assessment noted that
     on fewer assets, their consumption is closer to
                                                            “most civil servants and salaried people will not
     subsistence levels, they cannot rely on savings to
                                                            suffer income loss as a result of TC Winston” but
     smooth the impacts, their health and education
                                                            that less well-off people may be forced into
     are at greater risk, and they may need more
                                                            the informal sector and to increase subsistence
     time to recover and rebuild” (Hallegatte et al.,
                                                            activities (Government of Fiji, 2016, p. 34). This
     2018, p. 4). The monetary value of damage
                                                            will likely depress incomes and livelihoods for a
     to assets and losses to economic production
                                                            long time: while some sectors of the economy
     does not fully reflect the impacts on well-
                                                            were expected to recover within a few months,
     being (Hallegatte et al., 2018, p. 4). Women,
                                                            agricultural production in some areas may not
     youth, children, the elderly, people living with
                                                            return to pre-cyclone levels for five to ten years,
     disabilities, and people belonging to ethnic
                                                            and fisheries in some areas for as long as 12
     or religious minorities are also more severely
                                                            years (Government of Fiji, 2016, pp. 12, 50).

16
2.7. Gender
Worldwide, women and girls are                                       differences in support to cope with such events
disproportionately vulnerable to the effects of                      and insufficient access to information and early
natural hazards and climate change (Bogdan                           warnings” (Bogdan et al., 2019, p. 33; ILO, 2019,
et al., 2019; World Bank, 2017a, p. 90). Around                      p. 12).
the world, women and girls have less ability
                                                                     Gender also interacts with other social
than men to influence, participate in, and
                                                                     characteristics to affect how individuals are
benefit from disaster risk reduction and recovery
                                                                     impacted by natural hazards (Bogdan et al.,
efforts, and from climate change mitigation
                                                                     2019, p. 4). Women in rural areas tend to be
and adaptation efforts (World Bank, 2017a,
                                                                     more vulnerable than those in urban areas
p. 90). They have less access than men to the
                                                                     (and in Fiji, women in low-lying areas were
resources necessary to cope with and respond
                                                                     among the most vulnerable); older women
to hazardous events, including information,
                                                                     and women with disabilities are more severely
employment opportunities, education, health,
                                                                     affected, because of a lack of accessible
land, financial resources and other economic
                                                                     infrastructure and information; pregnant and
assets, and basic rights (Vincent et al., 2014,
                                                                     lactating women are at higher risk because of
p. 105; World Bank, 2017a, p. 90). Women
                                                                     inadequate health services following disasters;
often have less access than men to early
                                                                     and widowed and divorced women tend to be
warning systems such as weather forecasts and
                                                                     more vulnerable (Bogdan et al., 2019, p. 23).
warnings of floods and water levels, and are
often less prepared to understand and act on                         Gendered social norms mean that men suffer
the information, due to gender differences in                        different risks compared to women, particularly
literacy, mobility, access to public venues, work                    physical and mental health risks and pressures
schedules, and preferences for and access to                         for migration. Most research on the gendered
communication media (Bogdan et al., 2019,                            impacts of climate-related hazards considers
pp. 26–33; IFRC [International Federation of                         effects on women, with “scarce evidence”
Red Cross and Red Crescent Societies], 2010,                         available about impacts on men (Bogdan et
p. 32). Women’s livelihoods often depend on                          al., 2019, p. iv). Social norms generally call for
natural resources that are affected by natural                       men to be “brave and heroic, and engage
hazards, and on assets that are vulnerable to                        in risky life-saving behaviors that increase their
disasters or to be sold as a negative coping                         likelihood of mortality” (Bogdan et al., 2019,
strategy (Bogdan et al., 2019, pp. iv–v; ILO,                        p. 25; Vincent et al., 2014, p. 106). They also
2019, p. 12). Socially constructed roles often                       have increased tendencies to suffer mental
limit women’s ability to diversify their livelihoods                 health issues from isolation and worry, including
by taking up new occupations, and impose                             depression, and to use alcohol as a coping
restrictive burdens such as housework and                            mechanism (Bogdan et al., 2019, p. 25). Men
caring responsibilities that limit their ability to                  often migrate (from rural to urban areas) in
act in crises (Bogdan et al., 2019, p. 33; Thomas                    search of new livelihoods, which can strain
et al., 2019, p. 706). Worldwide, even fatality                      households and break up families (Bogdan et
rates in disasters tend to be higher for women                       al., 2019, p. 25).
than for men13, “primarily due to gendered

 Although this was not the case in Fiji following TC Winston: 44 people died as a result of the cyclone, with no significant
13

difference in mortality rates between females and males (Government of Fiji, 2016, p. 101).

                                                                                                                               17
Table 3: Gendered impacts of climate change in Asia, the Pacific and Africa

     Hazard                     Women                                  Men

     Physical                   • Higher mortality and                 • Mortality risks among
                                  morbidity rates in                     men with heroic
                                  disasters                              behavior and rescue
                                                                         workers
                                • Extra workloads (time
                                  and labor)                           • Migration for livelihood
                                                                         diversification
                                • Malnutrition
                                                                       • Other health issues, like
                                • Sexual and gender-
                                                                         rheumatism
                                  based violence during
                                  and after disasters

     Material                   • Loss of small household              • Loss of livestock and
                                  livestock                              assets

                                • Loss of livelihoods
                                  connected with
                                  natural resources, less
                                  time to re-establish
                                  them

                                • Loss of land because
                                  of inheritance issues

                                • Disparities in access to
                                  disaster relief and aid

18
Table 3: Gendered impacts of climate change in Asia, the Pacific and Africa (Continued)

Hazard                     Women                                  Men

Psychological              • Psychological issues                 • Psychological impacts
                             associated mostly with fear            including social
                             of gender-based violence               isolation, trauma,
                             and feelings of shame                  depression, stress that
                             during disasters and stress            can lead to alcohol
                             for providing food for the             abuse and even
                             family                                 suicide

Most affected groups       • Girls (early marriage) and           • Rural and poor men
                             adolescent girls (risk of
                                                                  • Widowers
                             sexual harassment)

                           • Rural women and women
                             without access to resources

                           • Women living in low-lying
                             areas

                           • Disabled and older women

                           • Widowed, divorced and
                             single women

                           • Pregnant and lactating
                             women

                           • Female-headed
                             households

Gender relations           • Negative: weaker family              • Positive: change
                             structures, domestic                   in household and
                             violence                               community roles,
                                                                    women taking
                                                                    leadership

                                                                     (Bogdan et al., 2019, p. 22)

                                                                                                    19
In Fiji, gender inequality is a significant         damage, lack of electricity and lighting, the
     challenge, with social roles heavily influenced     use of alcohol by men as a coping mechanism,
     by traditional values (Charan et al., 2016, pp.     and the breakdown of normal community
     110–112). Traditional cultural norms among          protection mechanisms are contributing factors
     both of the principal ethnic groups in Fiji         (Bogdan et al., 2019, p. 15; Government of Fiji,
     emphasize male authority and limit women’s          2016, p. 103). Following floods in 2012 and TC
     participation in decision-making and rights to      Winston in 2016, there were increased reports
     own property, although education is valued          of domestic violence, and reports of men
     and women are able to participate in many           requesting sexual favors in exchange for food
     types of employment (Chattier, 2015, pp.            and supplies (Government of Fiji, 2016, pp.
     180–181; Schoeffel, 2006, pp. 3–4). Women have      102–103).
     limited participation in decision-making at the
                                                         TC Winston may result in reduced economic
     household, community, and national levels
                                                         opportunities for women, increasing
     (Charan et al., 2016, p. 112; Taylor & Michael,
                                                         dependence on subsistence activity, increasing
     2013, p. 11). The labor force participation
                                                         time poverty, deepening poverty and widening
     rate for women is 38.6%, which is half that
                                                         gender inequality (Government of Fiji, 2016, p.
     of men (76.2%) (ILO, 2020). Women and girls
                                                         99). Immediately after the cyclone, electricity
     are expected to take on heavy domestic
                                                         and water supply outages led women and girls
     responsibilities and are responsible for 74% of
                                                         to take up increased burdens of household
     household work, compared to 26% for men
                                                         chores such as fetching water and doing
     (Government of Fiji, 2016, p. 51). They are
                                                         laundry, and curtailed their ability to engage
     often limited to working in the informal sector
                                                         in other productive and income-generating
     and in subsistence agriculture, which offer
                                                         activities (Government of Fiji, 2016, p. 103).
     low income and little security (Government
                                                         Women are often home-based workers,
     of Fiji, 2016, p. 99). The Government of Fiji has
                                                         and many women engaged in home-based
     made significant efforts to integrate gender
                                                         production lost income, materials, and
     in disaster and climate change policies,
                                                         equipment when their homes were damaged
     including undertaking gender-disaggregated
                                                         or destroyed (Government of Fiji, 2016, p. 76).
     vulnerability and capacity assessments or
                                                         Women’s livelihoods are also often connected
     including gender considerations in post-disaster
                                                         to natural resources which are vulnerable
     needs assessments, particularly in the needs
                                                         to natural hazards. Many women work at
     assessments that followed TC Evan and TC
                                                         basket and mat weaving, which rely on voivoi
     Winston (Bogdan et al., 2019, p. 13).
                                                         (pandanus leaves) which were heavily affected
                                                         by the cyclone (Bogdan et al., 2019, p. 15),
     Gender-based violence rates in Fiji are among       while in coastal areas of Bua province, storm
     the highest in the world, with 72% of women         damage prevented female mud-crab fishers
     who have ever been in intimate relationships        from accessing mangrove areas or damaged
     reporting physical, sexual, or emotional            their fishing equipment, leaving them with few
     violence from an intimate partner (Fiji Women’s     alternative income opportunities (Thomas et
     Crisis Centre, 2013, p. 2). During disasters,       al., 2019). Women’s ability to contribute to
     gender-based violence often increases,              household subsistence was also more deeply
     particularly when living in short-term emergency    affected than men’s: 71% of the livestock killed
     or shared accommodation which may have              as a result of the storm were small animals like
     inadequate lighting and un-segregated               poultry, pigs and beehives, which are usually
     sleeping arrangements and WASH facilities           under the control of women (Bogdan et al.,
     (Bogdan et al., 2019, p. 15; Government of          2019, p. 15), and vegetables were the most
     Fiji, 2016, p. 76; UNDRR, 2019, p. 10; Vincent      badly affected type of crop, which again are
     et al., 2014, p. 106). Increased stress, property   largely cultivated by women (Government of

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