Economic Impacts of Natural Hazards on Vulnerable Populations in VANUATU
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Contents List of abbreviations ii Executive summary 1 1 Hazard and exposure 2 1.1. Overview of risks 2 1.2. Cyclones 5 1.3. Earthquakes and tsunamis 7 1.4. Volcanoes 7 1.5. Droughts 8 2 Vulnerability and impacts 2.1. Economic profile 2.2. Agriculture and fisheries 9 9 10 2.3. Tourism 11 2.4. Commerce and industry 12 2.5. Housing and settlements 12 2.6. Low-income and informal workers 13 2.7. Gender 15 2.8. Youth 19 3 Coping mechanisms 22 3.1. Types of coping mechanisms 22 3.2. Adaptive social protection 22 3.3. Remittances 24 3.4. Financial inclusion 26 3.5. Insurance 27 3.6. Migration and relocation 28 3.7. Community-based support 30 4 Conclusions 32 4.1. Hazard, exposure, and vulnerability 32 4.2. Coping mechanisms 33 References 36 i
List of abbreviations ADB Asian Development Bank CRED Centre for Research on the Epidemiology of Disasters CSIRO Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation EM-DAT Emergency Events Database ESCAP Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific GDP Gross Domestic Product GFDRR Global Facility for Disaster Reduction and Recovery GIZ Deutsche Gesellschaft für Internationale Zusammenarbeit IASC Inter-Agency Standing Committee Reference Group on Risk, Early Warning and Preparedness IDMC Internal Displacement Monitoring Centre IFRC International Federation of Red Cross and Red Crescent Societies ILO International Labour Organization IMF International Monetary Fund INFORM Index for Risk Management MSME Micro-, small-, and medium-sized enterprises NDMO National Disaster Management Office (Vanuatu) OCHA United Nations Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs OECD Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development PCRAFI Pacific Catastrophe Risk Assessment and Financing Initiative SPC Secretariat of the Pacific Community TC Tropical Cyclone UNDP United Nations Development Programme UNDRR United Nations Office for Disaster Risk Reduction UNFPA United Nations Population Fund UNICEF United Nations Childrens’ Fund USD United States dollar VUV Vanuatu vatu (unit of currency) WASH Water, Sanitation and Hygiene WFP World Food Programme WTO World Trade Organization ii
Executive summary Vanuatu is highly exposed to natural hazards, Support systems that can help poor and with cyclones regularly damaging property and disadvantaged populations cope with the impacts of causing long-term cumulative economic harm. natural hazards include: Tropical cyclones, with associated storm surges • Social protection systems that can rapidly adapt and flooding, are the principal hazard affecting in crisis situations can support the immediate Vanuatu, but the country is also exposed to needs of affected people as well as longer-term earthquakes and tsunamis, volcanoes, and reconstruction. Vanuatu has very limited social droughts. Climate change is expected to protection systems in place but has undertaken exacerbate weather-related hazards. some small-scale pilot projects in partnership with Vanuatu’s relatively small economy, dominated international agencies. by tourism and subsistence agriculture, is highly • Remittances contribute to poverty reduction, vulnerable to natural hazards. Tourism is nature- wealth creation, social protection, and economic based and dependent on coastal and inland growth in many countries. In Vanuatu, remittances ecosystems which are vulnerable to damage are low compared with regional peers, but are rising from natural hazards. Agriculture is vulnerable and becoming an increasingly important source of to damage from cyclones and droughts, and income and protection for households. the majority of the population of Vanuatu relies • Financial inclusion can be a significant contributor heavily on subsistence agriculture for livelihoods to development, poverty reduction, and disaster and food security. Climate change is expected resilience. Financial inclusion currently plays a to adversely affect agriculture through limited role in disaster resilience in Vanuatu, as increased frequency of extreme weather the economy is very much cash-based and there events, sea level rise, and disruption of aquatic is limited familiarity with and uptake of financial ecosystems. services. Natural hazards disproportionately affect poor • Insurance can be an important tool for managing people, workers in the informal economy, risks associated with natural hazards, but insurance women, and youths. Poor people tend to is not widely available or commonly used in be more exposed to hazards than wealthier Vanuatu. The majority of people and businesses people, are more severely affected by hazards, have no insurance protection, and coverage and have fewer resources available to them against natural hazards is difficult to obtain. to cope when disasters do occur. Poverty • Migration, both internally and internationally, can is a significant issue in Vanuatu, although support development and disaster resilience. there is a lack of recent data to confirm the Vanuatu currently has low levels of emigration, current situation, and the country has high but has been an increasingly active participant in levels of informal and vulnerable employment seasonal worker programs in the region. Relocation and subsistence economic activity. Gender of settlements at risk of natural hazards has been inequality is a significant challenge, and women undertaken in several instances and Vanuatu is and girls are often excluded from decision- seen as a leader in developing appropriate policies making roles, limited in economic opportunities, on this issue. and suffer high levels of gender-based violence. • Community-based support mechanisms are a Youths are affected by disruption to education common way for communities to manage risk, caused by natural hazards and from a shortage especially in rural and poor communities. Vanuatu of employment opportunities which is due in has very strong traditions of community support, part to the effects of natural hazards. and has resources of traditional knowledge and traditional governance structures that greatly enhance disaster resilience. 1
1. Hazard and exposure 1.1. Overview of risks Pacific island countries are widely regarded Tropical cyclones and earthquakes are the as experiencing the highest risks associated principal hazards affecting Vanuatu, although with natural hazards in the world due to their the country is also exposed to volcanoes, high exposure to a variety of hazards, their tsunamis, and droughts. Vanuatu is located in geographical remoteness, and their dispersion an area known for the frequent occurrence across a large area (ADB [Asian Development of tropical cyclones with damaging winds, Bank], 2018, p. 2; World Bank, 2017a, p. rains, and storm surge (PCRAFI, 2011, p. 3). It 81). Across the region, hydrological and is also located on the Pacific “Ring of Fire”, meteorological events cause the majority of placing it at risk of earthquakes and tsunamis economic losses, with cyclones being the most (PCRAFI, 2011, p. 3), which are rare, but can serious hazard, while geo-hazards are the major be extremely damaging when they do occur. cause of human loss (Utz, 2017, p. 81). The effects of climate change in Vanuatu by the end of this century are expected to include Vanuatu is ranked as the most hazardous continued El Niño and La Niña events, rising country in the world by WorldRiskIndex on the annual mean temperatures and maximum daily basis of its high exposure to natural hazards temperatures, continued ocean acidification and relatively low coping capacity (Day et al., and increased coral bleaching, continued sea 2019). An International Monetary Fund (IMF) level rise, and slightly decreased frequency of study estimates that Vanuatu has a 57% chance cyclone formation but increased maximum of suffering a significant1 disaster related to wind speeds (Australian Bureau of Meteorology natural hazards each year (Lee et al., 2018, and CSIRO [Commonwealth Scientific and p. 7). The Pacific Catastrophe Risk Assessment Industrial Research Organisation], 2014, pp. and Financing Initiative (PCRAFI) estimates that 320–339). cyclones, earthquakes, and tsunamis cause average annual damage and losses equivalent to 6.6% of Gross Domestic Product (GDP), and that within the next 50 years, Vanuatu has a 50% chance of experiencing a loss due to cyclones, earthquakes, or tsunamis valued at more than 45% of GDP, and a 10% chance of a loss exceeding 74% of GDP (PCRAFI, 2011, pp. 1, 5). 1 This analysis was based on the Emergency Events Database (EM-DAT), which counts disasters involving 10 or more deaths, 100 or more people affected, the declaration of a state of emergency, or a call for international assistance. 2
Different agencies, using different Figure 1: Natural Hazard Forecasts methodologies, provide different assessments of WorldRiskReport risk for Vanuatu. Risk Risk quintile score • WorldRiskReport ranks Vanuatu as the most 2 hazardous country in the world due to high Exposure 99.88 Very high exposure to natural hazards and lack of coping capacities. The ranking process uses Vulnerability 56.78 High 27 indicators and assigns countries scores ranging from 0 (least risk) to 100 (greatest risk) Susceptibility 35.32 High (Day et al., 2019, pp. 44, 56). Lack of coping 84.36 High capacity • INFORM (Index for Risk Management) 3 Lack of adaptive assesses the relative risk of countries 50.66 High capacity experiencing humanitarian crises, taking into (Day et al., 2019) account exposure to hazards, vulnerability of the population, and coping capacity. INFORM INFORM ranks Vanuatu joint 50th (tied with Tonga) out of 191 countries on exposure to Epidemic Natural hazards natural hazards, meaning that approximately Drought one quarter of the countries of the world Tropical cyclone have higher risk. It considers Vanuatu to have Tsunami particularly high risks of tsunamis, earthquakes, Flood Earthquake and cyclones, and a low risk of flood and drought (IASC [Inter-Agency Standing Overall risk Lack of coping capacity Committee Reference Group on Risk, Early Vulnerability Warning and Preparedness], 2020). Natural hazard & exposure • ThinkHazard4 provides an overview of Low High natural hazards at national and local levels. Relative risk compared with other countries worldwide It considers Vanuatu to have a high risk (IASC, 2020) of flooding in urban and coastal areas, geophysical hazards, and cyclones (GFDRR ThinkHazard [Global Facility for Disaster Reduction and Recovery], 2020). Urban flood Tsunami Coastal flood High risk Volcano Earthquake • The Internal Displacement Monitoring Centre Landslide Cyclone (IDMC)5 models the risk of future population Medium risk Extreme heat displacements, and projects the greatest risks for Vanuatu to be related to cyclones and River flood Very low risk Wildfire Water scarcity storm surge (IDMC, 2019). (GFDRR, 2020) Internal Displacement Monitoring Centre 2 Developed by Ruhr University Bochum and Bündnis Average expected number of displacements per year Entwicklung Hilft. 3 Developed by the Inter-Agency Standing Committee Cyclonic wind 2,134 Reference Group on Risk, Early Warning and Preparedness and the European Commission. Storm surge 1,125 4 Developed by the Global Facility for Disaster Reduction Earthquake 417 and Recovery (GFDRR) managed by the World Bank. 5 Part of the Norwegian Refugee Council, a humanitarian Tsunami 1 non-governmental organization. (IDMC, 2019) 3
Agencies that record past disasters agree that Figure 2: Historical Disasters cyclones have caused the greatest economic EM-DAT: Damage, 1990-2020 losses in Vanuatu. DesInventar6 and EM-DAT7 (Emergency Events Database) are the two Volcanic activity main global datasets of disasters related to Tsunami natural hazards. They use different inclusion Cyclone criteria, data sources, and reporting practices, Flood so they are not necessarily comparable. In Earthquake particular, DesInventar includes significantly Drought more events than EM-DAT, especially high- 0 250 500 frequency, low-impact events; EM-DAT tends Damage in million USD to show lower estimates of impacts and to lack (CRED, 2020) estimates of damages in smaller countries; data collection practices in both datasets DesInventar: Losses, 1990-2020 appear to vary from one country to another and may not always be comparable between Drought Volcano countries; and both datasets appear to cover Storm (local) flooding inadequately (Edmonds & Noy, 2018, Storm surge pp. 482–484). For Vanuatu, both datasets Landslide agree that cyclones are the hazards that have Tsunami caused the most damage or loss, although Earthquake they differ slightly regarding the number of Flood events and magnitude of damage or loss that Cyclone they record (CRED [Centre for Research on the Epidemic Epidemiology of Disasters], 2020; UNDRR [United 0 100 Nations Office for Disaster Risk Reduction], Losses in million USD 2020). PCRAFI has also compiled a database (UNDRR, 2020) cataloguing more than 600 disasters across 15 countries in the region (PCRAFI, 2013, pp. PCRAFI: number of recorded disasters 53–57). Of the 82 events recorded for Vanuatu, Tropical cyclone 50 almost all were cyclones (50) or earthquakes Earthquake 26 (26); no tsunamis or storm surges were recorded Flood 3 (PCRAFI, 2013, p. 57). Severe local storm 2 Landslide 1 Storm surge 0 Tsunami 0 (PCRAFI, 2013, p. 57) 6 Operated by the United Nations Office for Disaster Risk Reduction (UNDRR), drawing on data from partners around the world; data for the Pacific region are provided by the Secretariat of the Pacific Community (SPC). 7 Operated by the Centre for Research on the Epidemiology of Disasters (CRED) at the Catholic University of Louvain. 4
1.2. Cyclones Cyclones, bringing damaging winds, heavy are experienced at dealing with cyclones rain, flooding, and storm surges, are the most (Dornan & Newton Cain, 2015, p. 24). Estimates significant natural hazard for Vanuatu. The of the decrease in the country’s GDP growth country experiences an average of 2 to 2.4 rate attributable to the cyclone vary from 2.0 cyclones per year, mainly between November to 2.8 percentage points (Lee et al., 2018, p. 22; and April (Australian Bureau of Meteorology WTO [World Trade Organization], 2019, p. 1). and CSIRO, 2014, p. 320; Handmer & Iveson, Climate change is expected to lead to fewer 2017, p. 60). Storm surges associated with but more powerful cyclones by the end of this cyclones, and flooding due to heavy rains, are century. Different climate models produce common occurrences (Jackson et al., 2017, p. varying projections of cyclone formation rates, 365). Landslides are also occasionally triggered with a majority suggesting a likely decrease by precipitation from cyclones (Jackson et al., of 15% to 35% in cyclone formation affecting 2017, p. 365). The average annual losses caused Vanuatu by the end of the century. Global by cyclones has been estimated at 5.0% of GDP projections suggest that maximum wind speeds (PCRAFI, 2011, p. 5). could increase by 2% to 11%, which would lead In 2015, TC (Tropical Cyclone) Pam, the most to exponentially higher damage, and that intense cyclone in the country’s history, caused rainfall within 100 km of cyclone centers could widespread damage and economic loss. The increase by around 20%; there are no local storm caused damage and loss estimated projections of cyclone intensity specifically for at 64% of GDP, temporarily displaced 65% of Vanuatu (ADB, 2018, p. 5; Australian Bureau of households in affected areas (mostly finding Meteorology and CSIRO, 2014, p. 333). shelter with friends, family, or community Global evidence shows that the economic shelters in their local areas), destroyed crops damage caused by cyclones is long-lasting on a large scale leading to food security and cumulative. A study of the long-term issues and reliance on emergency food aid, economic impacts of tropical cyclones that damaged and contaminated water supplies, examined 6,712 storm events found that the damaged 81% of homes in affected areas, and impact on GDP caused by a cyclone lasts at “compromised the livelihoods of at least 80% least twenty years, and that countries that are of Vanuatu’s rural population” (Government repeatedly exposed to cyclones experience of Vanuatu, 2015b, pp. ix, 3; Handmer & a cumulative and effectively permanent loss Nalau, 2019, p. 374; SPC [Secretariate of the to GDP. More powerful storms cause more Pacific Community], 2016, pp. 6, 11; WFP, 2016, long-term damage: each additional meter per pp. 5–6). Heavy rain and storm surges led to second (3.6 km/h) increase in average annual coastal and fluvial flooding, and damage to wind exposure lowers per capita economic buildings and other infrastructure in some areas output by 0.37% twenty years later, and an (Government of Vanuatu, 2015b, pp. 34, 56, 62; increase in a country’s cyclone exposure by Rey et al., 2017, pp. 263–266). Only 11 people one standard deviation lowers GDP by 3.6 were killed as a result of the cyclone, which percentage points twenty years later (Hsiang is low considering the extensive damage to & Jina, 2014). One study in Vanuatu, on Efate property that it inflicted; the low death toll is island, indicated that recovery from TC Pam at attributed both to government preparedness the local village level could take anywhere from and to the resilience of the Ni-Vanuatu8, who five months to three years: some respondents 8 The people of Vanuatu. 5
reported that crops and fruit trees could take a reported that food supplies were fully available year and a half to be re-established, and that within one to two months, that communities had rebuilding most houses took two to three years essentially recovered in four to five months, and with some houses still not fully repaired up to four that most houses were rebuilt within one year years after the cyclone, while other respondents (Jennings et al., 2020, p. 29). Table 1: Livelihood disruptions resulting from TC Pam Post-cyclone status Anticipated time to Activity Profitability and issues recovery Cannot be easily Fishing (tuna, marlin, reef fish) High 3 months located Trapping lobster and coconut Cannot be located, High 6 months crabs may be gone Activities Some seedlings primarily Sandalwood farming High destroyed, but trees 3 months undertaken mainly intact by men Kava cultivation High Largely wiped out 4 years Copra cultivation High Largely wiped out 12 months Sales of Prepared Foods Not possible in current Low 6 months Activities (local) conditions primarily Pandanus all Weaving handicrafts Medium 12 months undertaken destroyed by women Sewing machine Sewing (for local sale) Low Variable damaged and lost Vegetable and fruit sales (to Medium Mainly destroyed 6 months Vila and Tanna) Interrupted due to Activities Tourist services Medium damage and lack Variable undertaken of transport by men and Work in guesthouses and Many damaged and Medium Variable women restaurants closed Only root crops left in Cultivation of other crops Medium 3–6 months most locations (Government of Vanuatu, 2015b, p. 97) 6
1.3. Earthquakes and tsunamis Vanuatu is located on the Pacific “Ring of coastal uplift with associated coral death, loss Fire”, placing it at risk of earthquakes and of fishing grounds and reduced sea access for tsunamis (PCRAFI, 2011, p. 3). Such events are fishing but no significant damage to crops or rare but can be extremely damaging when property (Eriksson et al., 2017, p. 52). Vanuatu they do occur. Vanuatu has experienced 18 has a 40% chance of experiencing a significant significant earthquakes9 since 2000, or about 0.9 earthquake that could cause heavy damage earthquakes per year (National Geophysical to well-engineered buildings within the next Data Center / World Data Service (NGDC/ 50 years (PCRAFI, 2011, p. 3). On average, WDS), 2020). The most recent non-volcanic the country is expected to incur damage earthquake, of magnitude 7.0, occurred in amounting to 1.5% of GDP due to earthquakes Malampa province in April 2016 and led to and tsunamis (PCRAFI, 2011, p. 5). 1.4. Volcanoes Most of Vanuatu’s islands are volcanic in costing about VUV 47 million (approximately origin, and there are six active volcanoes in USD 493,000), mostly funded by the Vanuatu the country which have triggered humanitarian government with some assistance from China relief efforts and large-scale evacuations and New Zealand (Nimau et al., 2019, pp. 12– several times in recent years. Mount Yasur on 15), and another ash fall in 2016 affected 20,000 Tanna island (population approximately 29,000), people and led to a humanitarian relief effort for example, is an almost continuously active costing at least VUV 150 million (approximately volcano that emits gases, smoke, ash, and USD 1.4 million) (PCRAFI, 2018, p. 1). More frequent bursts of lava (Nimau et al., 2019, pp. recently, eruptions of the volcano Manaro Voui 7, 11–12). Ash, in particular, routinely affects on Ambae island led to evacuating the entire large areas of the island, with larger eruptions population, approximately 11,000 people, to sometimes prompting significant humanitarian other islands in 2017 for a month, and then interventions. An eruption in 2013 damaged again in mid-2018 for approximately six months most of the vegetation across the Whitesands (IDMC, 2018, p. 31; IOM, 2019; PCRAFI, 2018, pp. district and led to a humanitarian relief effort 2–5; WTO, 2019, p. 27). 9 Defined as meeting at least one of the following criteria: caused deaths, caused moderate damage (approximately $1 million or more), magnitude 7.5 or greater, Modified Mercalli Intensity X or greater, or the earthquake generated a tsunami (National Geophysical Data Center / World Data Service (NGDC/WDS), 2020). 7
1.5. Droughts Droughts have serious impacts on subsistence The impact of climate change on the risk of agriculture and on water supplies, which in drought is uncertain. The incidence of drought Vanuatu are heavily dependent on rainwater may remain approximately unchanged under harvesting. Droughts are generally associated most carbon emissions scenarios, and may with the El Niño10 phenomenon, which affects decrease slightly under conditions of high precipitation patterns across the Pacific. emissions, but these projections carry a low Region-wide, high dependence on subsistence degree of confidence because there is a agriculture makes Pacific islands vulnerable lack of consensus on projections of average to the effects of El Niño conditions including rainfall and on potential changes in the El Niño drought (Thomalla & Boyland, 2017, p. 40). In phenomenon, which directly influences drought Vanuatu, the drought that occurred during the (Australian Bureau of Meteorology and CSIRO, 2016 El Niño led to shortages of drinking water, 2014, pp. 331–332). hindered the regrowth of crops damaged by TC Pam the previous year, and required emergency food distribution targeting 90,000 people (Eriksson et al., 2017, p. 52; OCHA [United Nations Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs], 2015, p. 4). 10 El Niño is a naturally occurring warming of the eastern tropical Pacific Ocean which is observed every two to seven years, leading to weakening of prevailing trade winds, reduced ocean upwelling and altered ocean currents, and changes to wind, sea surface temperature and precipitation patterns (Australian Bureau of Meteorology and CSIRO, 2014, pp. 347–348). 8
2. Vulnerability and Impacts 2.1. Economic profile Vanuatu’s relatively small economy is Figure 3: Vanuatu GDP annual change dominated by a large and growing tourism industry and subsistence agriculture. Vanuatu 10 ranks 141st out of 189 countries on the Human GDP growth (annual %) 8 Development Index, falling within the ‘medium 6 human development’ category (UNDP 4 [United Nations Development Programme], 2 2019, p. 302). Economic development is 0 hampered by its geographical remoteness, -2 widely dispersed islands, high costs of public -4 service provision and of transportation and -6 trade, and vulnerability to external economic 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 shocks, notably those resulting from natural hazards (Government of Vanuatu, 2015b, p. (World Bank 2020c) 2; WTO, 2019, p. 25). Its relatively small size means that domestic markets tend to be too Figure 4: Vanuatu employment by sector small for industries to benefit from economies of scale (Government of Vanuatu, 2015b, p. 80 % of total employment 2). Economic activity is concentrated in the 70 Agriculture two most populous urban centres, Port Vila 60 and Luganville (Rust, 2019, p. 10). The formal 50 Services economy is narrowly based, driven primarily 40 by tourism, agriculture, international aid, and 30 construction (Government of Vanuatu, 2015b, 20 Industry p. 2; Handmer & Iveson, 2017, p. 61; PCRAFI, 10 2015, p. 7; WTO, 2019, p. 25). Tourism is the 0 largest industry by share of GDP and by share 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 of export earnings (see section 2.3 below), but agriculture, mostly carried out on a subsistence (World Bank 2020c) basis, is the dominant economic activity, with approximately 80% of the population relying to some degree on subsistence farming for livelihood and food security (VNSO [Vanuatu National Statistics Office], 2013, cited in Government of Vanuatu, 2015b, p. 16). 9
2.2. Agriculture and fisheries Subsistence agriculture is the principal caused by TC Pam were estimated at VUV economic activity and source of livelihoods 6.1 billion (approximately USD 56 million; 8.0% in Vanuatu. Although agriculture contributes of GDP) (Government of Vanuatu, 2015b, pp. less to GDP than the service sector, agriculture 16, 127), but the financial value of the crops remains the principal economic activity and lost does not fully represent the livelihood and source of livelihood for the vast majority of food security impacts on rural households. ni-Vanuatu (Mackenzie-Reur & Galgal, 2018, Crops suffered 69% of the total agricultural p. 9). Agriculture makes up 25% of GDP and damage and loss, followed by forestry (16%), mostly consists of crop production (79% of livestock (9%), and fisheries (6%) (Government the agriculture sector) with livestock (14%), of Vanuatu, 2015b, p. 16). Most of the crop forestry (5%), and fisheries (3%) making small losses (58%) were in kava, a major export contributions (Government of Vanuatu, crop, which is fragile and vulnerable to strong 2015b, p. 16). Vanuatu’s agriculture sector is winds (Government of Vanuatu, 2015b, p. 18). dominated by semi-subsistence farmers using Approximately half of all agricultural households mostly household labor; approximately 80% in the affected areas lost all or part of their of Vanuatu’s population relies on agriculture crops, including crops such as kava, copra, and (mainly crops, livestock, and fisheries) for cocoa that will take up to a year to re-establish livelihoods and for food and nutrition security, (potentially three to four years for kava) and at least 71% of the rural population derives (Government of Vanuatu, 2015b, pp. 19, 90, 97). some income from agricultural activities (VNSO, Across the affected areas, 85% of households 2013, cited in Government of Vanuatu, 2015b, were engaged in subsistence farming, and p. 16). In 2016, 42% of all households in Vanuatu slightly more than half of these households had grew coconuts as cash crops, 32% grew no other sources of income (REACH, 2015, pp. kava, 16% grew cocoa, and 4% grew coffee 34–35). Following the cyclone, food security (Vanuatu National Statistics Office, 2017, p. was a significant problem: food prices rose 217). Kava production nationally has increased dramatically in rural areas, availability of fruit significantly in recent years – kava was the and vegetables was very restricted, people in country’s third largest export commodity in affected areas were rationing food, and about 2014 but made up 53% of all exports by the end 200,000 people received emergency food aid of 2019 (Vanuatu Department of Agriculture from the government, NGOs, and the World and Rural Development, 2016, p. 11; Vanuatu Food Programme (Hollema et al., 2015, pp. National Statistics Office, 2020, p. 2) – so kava’s 10–16; Wentworth, 2020, pp. 78–81; WFP, 2016, contribution to household incomes is likely to pp. 5–6). Within one month of the cyclone, 85% have increased. The extent to which kava may of households had replanted their subsistence have replaced other crops is uncertain. Nearly gardens, but even the fastest-growing crops all households in coastal villages (32% of all needed at least three months to reach maturity households in Vanuatu) are involved in coastal (REACH, 2015, p. 35). Fishing was badly affected fishing, mostly at a subsistence level, with about for several weeks following the cyclone, but 6% of all households engaged in fishing for sale served as an alternative source of food and (Government of Vanuatu, 2015b, p. 17). livelihood for many households whose crops had been damaged or destroyed, and fishing Cyclones cause extensive damage, loss of had mostly returned to normal by the time of an production, and harm to livelihoods in the assessment a year and a half later, apart from agriculture sector. The total damage and the loss of some fishing areas (Eriksson et al., economic losses in the agricultural sector 2017, pp. 52–53). 10
Climate change is expected to adversely on agriculture include reduced availability affect agriculture and fisheries through of fresh water, changes in growing seasons, increased frequency of extreme weather, increases in pests and diseases, sea level rise, changes in sea level rise, and disruption of saltwater inundation and intrusion into coastal aquatic ecosystems. Across the Pacific region, land and groundwater, ocean acidification most cash crops are vulnerable to extreme and coral reef deterioration, reduced fisheries weather events. High winds from more intense productivity, loss of coastal land, damage tropical cyclones severely threaten crops such to infrastructure and equipment, and as bananas, breadfruit, and coconuts, and compromised food security (Government of sugar cane is expected to be affected by Vanuatu, 2015a, pp. 6–7). It is possible that flooding (Bell et al., 2016, p. 17). In Vanuatu, cacao production could be enhanced by rising projected consequences of climate change temperatures (Bell et al., 2016, p. 17). 2.3. Tourism Vanuatu has a large and growing tourism Tropical cyclone Pam caused significant industry which is extremely important to economic harm to the tourism sector, the country’s economy, but vulnerable to mostly through damage to accommodation natural hazards. Estimates of the economic properties, but the impacts lasted only one importance of travel and tourism to Vanuatu season. Damage and economic loss to the range between 35% and 45% of GDP, between tourism sector was estimated at VUV 9.5 14% and 38% of total employment, and up to billion (approximately USD 87 million; 12.5% 67% of total export earnings (Connel, 2019, p. of GDP) (Government of Vanuatu, 2015b, 327; ILO [International Labour Organization], p. 29). Most of the damage was suffered by 2017a, p. 30; World Travel & Tourism Council, accommodation properties (88%), with the 2020; WTO, 2019, p. 31). The World Travel and greatest damage associated with two major Tourism Council predicts industry growth of 4.1% hotels, but widespread lower-value damage per year over the next decade with tourism’s was suffered by other accommodation contribution to Vanuatu’s GDP expected to properties and by 88% of all tour operators reach 50% of GDP by 2027 (WTO, 2019, p. 31). (Government of Vanuatu, 2015b, p. 31). Women were expected to suffer greater job losses than Tourism in Vanuatu is nature-based and men, because in post-disaster situations the highly dependent on coastal as well as tourism industry commonly retains managerial inland ecosystems. Major attractions include and groundskeeping staff, who are mostly male, adventure tourism, volcanoes, beaches, and lays off housekeeping staff, who are mostly cruising, cultural activities, diving and snorkeling, female (Government of Vanuatu, 2015b, p. 34). eco-tourism, and fishing (Perrottet & Garcia, Tourist arrivals dropped by between 11% and 2016, pp. 12–13). Across the Pacific region, 17% following the cyclone (Perrottet & Garcia, impacts of climate change are expected to 2016, p. 2; WTO, 2019, p. 31) but the decline was include increased intensity of storms, increased brief and the tourism sector had recovered to temperatures and extreme weather events, pre-cyclone levels by 2017 (Eriksson et al., 2017, damage to infrastructure, beach erosion, p. 52; WTO, 2019, p. 31). Some larger properties damage to marine ecosystems, and policy were slow to reopen (the Holiday Inn took more responses such as carbon taxes which will than 15 months) but smaller owner-operator increase travel costs and negatively affect guesthouses were able to reopen more quickly; tourism development (Van Der Veeken et al., however, “many business owners who had 2016, p. 53). not procured cyclone insurance folded in the aftermath of the storm, unable to reinvest sufficient savings in their businesses or to tap sources of credit” (WTO, 2019, p. 31). 11
2.4. Commerce and industry Vanuatu’s economy, apart from agriculture industry were estimated at VUV 3.3 billion and tourism, is largely based on trade, with (approximately USD 30 million; 4.4% of GDP) very little domestic manufacturing. As of 2013, (Government of Vanuatu, 2015b, p. 22). commerce and industry contributed 36% of Home-based businesses are presumed to have GDP, mostly in the form of retail trade (12% of been badly affected as 81% of households in GDP), finance and insurance (7%), and real affected areas reported some level of damage estate (7%) (Government of Vanuatu, 2015b, p. (REACH, 2015, p. 2), but no specific data on 23). Manufacturing makes up only 3% of GDP home-based small businesses could be located. (Government of Vanuatu, 2015b, p. 23). Small- However, despite the high frequency of natural scale production of handicrafts for the tourist hazards affecting Vanuatu, in a survey of market is an important source of livelihoods MSMEs carried out in November 2016, only 1% of for independent producers, wholesalers, and respondents identified natural hazards as being market sellers, but the government is making among their most pressing problems; most efforts to encourage more local production as it businesses identified more routine concerns has been estimated that up to 90% of souvenirs such as competition from other businesses sold in Vanuatu are manufactured overseas (31%) and finding customers (24%) as their most and imported into the country to be sold to pressing problems (Reserve Bank of Vanuatu, tourists (Vanuatu Department of Industry, 2017, 2016b, p. 27). MSMEs in the agriculture sector p. 13). did, however, identify natural hazards and climate change as creating credit risk which TC Pam caused widespread damage to inhibited borrowing (Reserve Bank of Vanuatu, buildings and inputs to production. Damage 2016b, p. 46). and economic losses to commerce and 2.5. Housing and settlements Housing in Vanuatu is often low-quality and p. 36). Studies looking at housing damage after vulnerable to cyclone damage. Seventy-five TC Pam arrived at different conclusions: the percent of the population of Vanuatu live Shelter Cluster found that buildings constructed in rural areas, with 19% living in the capital, in the traditional style survived better than Port Vila, and 6% in the country’s second city, houses using modern materials or methods, Luganville (Vanuatu National Statistics Office, while a report by Save the Children concluded 2017, pp. 95–96). Most construction in rural that roofs constructed from traditional areas is informal, unregulated, and not built materials suffered greater damage than roofs according to any standards or codes, which constructed from modern materials (Handmer makes communities vulnerable to building & Iveson, 2017, p. 64) and the government’s damage and injury resulting from natural post-disaster needs assessment concluded that hazards (Handmer & Iveson, 2017, p. 64). buildings constructed to modern standards Vanuatu has a large stock (43%) of houses built survived better and called for more inspections using traditional locally-available materials and to improve compliance with standards techniques such as thatch, woven palm fronds, (Government of Vanuatu, 2015b, p. 27). Port and woven cane; 30% of houses are built of Vila also has large informal settlements which locally-available materials supplemented house 35% of the city’s population (as of with features such as timber framing and 2013), where housing and infrastructure are corrugated galvanized iron roofs; and 27% not disaster-resilient and access to services is are of more durable timber or concrete block poor (NDMO [National Disaster Management construction (Government of Vanuatu, 2015b, Office], 2018, p. 11). These informal settlements 12
do not have official sanction and are generally six months after the cyclone, 86% of displaced based on agreements with local land owners households had returned home and half of the (Handmer & Iveson, 2017, p. 61). remainder expected to return home at some point (Shelter Cluster, 2015, p. 14). Rebuilding TC Pam caused extensive damage to housing after TC Pam often tended to be done quickly stock and temporarily displaced 65% of and cheaply, and buildings were typically households in affected areas. In affected restored to their previous conditions in the areas, 81% of households reported some level same locations and using the same materials of damage, with the most vulnerable houses rather than raising standards (Handmer & being those with thatched roofs (55% to 77% Iveson, 2017, pp. 63–64). Within one to one of such houses reported total destruction of and a half months after the cyclone, 72% of the roof, depending on the materials used) households had completed enough repairs and walls and floors of bamboo (56% of that they “perceived that their immediate bamboo walls and 63% of bamboo floors shelter needs had been met”, and by five to were completely destroyed) (REACH, 2015, six months after the cyclone, this had risen to pp. 20–21). Damage to homes also results in 85% (REACH, 2015, p. 24; Shelter Cluster, 2015, loss of income from home-based livelihood p. 20). Five to six months after the cyclone, 68% activities, which particularly affects women of households reported that they had received (Government of Vanuatu, 2015b, p. 38). Sixty- shelter assistance, consisting mostly of tarpaulins five percent of households in the affected (82%), building materials (35%), blankets (27%), areas left their houses to stay in safer locations, and tool kits (26%) (Shelter Cluster, 2015, p. 16). suggesting widespread fears that houses were However, most households (81%) reported that not sufficiently robust to withstand the cyclone they had relied on using recovered materials (REACH, 2015, p. 2). Most stayed with friends (sifting through debris) and locally-available or family in their own community (53%) or in a natural materials (Shelter Cluster, 2015, pp. community-managed shelter such as a school 21–22). or church (30%) (REACH, 2015, p. 12). By five to 2.6. Low-income and informal workers Worldwide and across the Pacific, poor and less quickly (Hallegatte et al., 2017, p. 4; ILO marginalized people are disproportionally [International Labour Organization], 2019a, p. 4; exposed to natural hazards. Poor people SPC, 2018, p. 108; Utz, 2017, p. 90; Wehrhahn et often live on low value land in locations al., 2019, p. 60). where they are more exposed to hazards The impacts of natural hazards are also (including frequent, low-intensity hazards) than disproportionately higher for poorer people wealthier people are. They lack resources to (Wehrhahn et al., 2019, p. 60). The same invest in disaster-resilient housing and other loss affects poor people more severely than infrastructure, their employment and incomes wealthy people because “their livelihoods are less secure and they have less access to depend on fewer assets, their consumption is social protection schemes, and they have closer to subsistence levels, they cannot rely limited savings and limited access to insurance on savings to smooth the impacts, their health or affordable credit. When disaster strikes they and education are at greater risk, and they are often forced to adopt coping strategies may need more time to recover and rebuild” that have long-term negative impacts, such as (Hallegatte et al., 2018, p. 4). The monetary taking children out of school, selling productive value of damage to assets and losses to assets, or reducing food intake, and they economic production does not fully reflect the often receive less post-disaster support, and 13
impacts on people’s well-being (Hallegatte that 13.2% of the population fell below the et al., 2018, p. 4). For example, in Vanuatu, USD 1.90 per day international poverty line, and most of the rural population lives in traditional 39.5% fell below the USD 3.20 per day lower- housing made of palm leaves, bamboo and middle-income poverty line (World Bank, 2018, other local materials, which has a low value in p. 1). Vanuatu also has a nationally-defined monetary terms but is essential to inhabitants basic needs poverty line and food poverty line; (Handmer & Nalau, 2019, p. 374). Women, in 2010, 12.7% of individuals were in basic needs youth, children, the elderly, people living with poverty and only 3.2% were in food poverty disabilities, and people belonging to ethnic (Anderson et al., 2017, p. 108). Poverty rates or religious minorities are also more severely are higher in urban areas than in rural areas affected by natural hazards than people who (Anderson et al., 2017, p. 23). have more wealth, power, and influence. Vanuatu has high levels of subsistence Vulnerable people in all these groups tend to economic activity, and employment is largely be overrepresented in the informal economy, informal and vulnerable. Only 30% of the adult more likely to be unemployed or in insecure population (excluding full-time students) is in work, and have less access to resources with paid employment, with 35% producing goods which to restore their livelihoods or adapt to for their own consumption or for sale, 32% doing climate change (ILO, 2019a, p. 12). unpaid work in a family business or agricultural Poverty is a significant issue in Vanuatu, plantation, or undertaking household duties, although there is a lack of recent data to and 3% considered economically inactive confirm the current situation. The most recent (Vanuatu National Statistics Office, 2017, pp. 75, data available are from the 2010 Household 232). income and Expenditure Survey, which showed Figure 5: Adult population by economic activity Male Female Unpaid work 23% Producing Unpaid Producing goods 36% work 40% goods 35% Employed 38% Employed 22% Economically Economically inactive 3% inactive 3% (Vanuatu National Statistics Office, 2017, pp. 75–80) The formal economy is relatively small, but formal employment (Government of Vanuatu, the size of the informal economy is difficult to 2015b, pp. 88–89), while the ILO estimates measure: the government’s post-disaster needs that 40% of total employment is informal (ILO, assessment following TC Pam estimated that 2017b, p. 31). The ILO also considers 74% of 20% of the labor force (26% of working-age employment in Vanuatu to be vulnerable males and 14% of working-age females) were in (including people working on their own account 14
and contributing family workers) in the sense of meet minimum needs, and 75% to 95% of suffering from low job and income security and income-generating activities were disrupted less protection under employment regulation (Government of Vanuatu, 2015b, pp. xii, 94). On than work in the formal economy (ILO, 2019a, p. Tanna island, food crops took at least a year to 4). Approximately 80% of Vanuatu’s population recover, partly due to the impacts of drought relies on agriculture (mainly crops, livestock, and conditions caused by El Niño; some remote fisheries) for livelihood and for food and nutrition communities which lacked access to monetary security, and at least 71% of the rural population income experienced significant food insecurity derives some income from agricultural activities with increased health problems (Handmer (VNSO 2013, cited in Government of Vanuatu, & Nalau, 2019, p. 375). People dependent 2015b, p. 16). on subsistence farming, especially in remote locations with limited market economies, have TC Pam had severe impacts on people living limited options available to them; they “cannot on low incomes and subsistence livelihoods. simply change their livelihoods” (Handmer & In affected areas, half of all agricultural Nalau, 2019, p. 371). households lost part or all of their crops and required support in the short term to 2.7. Gender Worldwide and across the Pacific, women strategy (Bogdan et al., 2019, pp. iv–v; ILO, and girls are disproportionately vulnerable 2019a, p. 12). Women also usually have more to the effects of natural hazards and climate limited opportunities than men to diversify their change (Bogdan et al., 2019; Utz, 2017, p. livelihoods by taking up new occupations, 90). Women and girls have less ability than because of social norms, home-based men to influence, participate in, and benefit responsibilities, or limited education (Thomas from disaster risk reduction and recovery et al., 2019, p. 706). “Socially constructed roles efforts, and from climate change mitigation and responsibilities, occupational segregation, and adaptation efforts (Utz, 2017, p. 90). They and cultural norms” lead to women bearing have less access than men to the resources burdens that include “increased time and necessary to cope with and respond to labour workloads, health issues like malnutrition, hazardous events, including information, increased rates of sexual and gender-based employment opportunities, education, violence and even early child marriage” health, land, financial resources and other (Bogdan et al., 2019, p. 33). Worldwide, even economic assets, and basic rights (Utz, 2017, fatality rates in disasters tend to be higher p. 90; Vincent et al., 2014, p. 105). Women for women than for men, “primarily due to often have less access than men to early gendered differences in support to cope warning systems such as weather forecasts with such events and insufficient access to and warnings of floods and water levels, and information and early warnings” (Bogdan et al., are often less prepared to understand and act 2019, p. 33; ILO, 2019a, p. 12). on the information due to gender differences Gender also interacts with other social in literacy, mobility, access to public venues, characteristics to affect how individuals are work schedules, and preferences for different impacted by natural hazards (Bogdan et communication media (Bogdan et al., 2019, al., 2019, p. 4). Across Asia, the Pacific, and pp. 26–33; IFRC [International Federation of Africa, women in rural areas tend to be more Red Cross and Red Crescent Societies], 2010, vulnerable than those in urban areas; older p. 32). Women’s livelihoods often depend on women and women with disabilities are natural resources that are affected by natural more severely affected because of a lack hazards, and on assets that are vulnerable to of accessible infrastructure and information; disasters or to being sold as a negative coping 15
pregnant and lactating women are at higher al., 2019, p. iv). Social norms generally call for risk because of inadequate health services men to be “brave and heroic, and engage following disasters; and widowed and divorced in risky life-saving behaviors that increase their women tend to be more vulnerable (Bogdan et likelihood of mortality” (Bogdan et al., 2019, al., 2019, p. 23). p. 25; Vincent et al., 2014, p. 106). They also have increased tendencies to suffer mental Gendered social norms mean that men suffer health issues from isolation and worry, including different risks compared to women, particularly depression, and to use alcohol as a coping physical and mental health risks and pressures mechanism (Bogdan et al., 2019, p. 25). Men for migration. Most research on the gendered often migrate (from rural to urban areas, or impacts of climate-related hazards considers overseas) in search of new livelihoods, which effects on women, with “scarce evidence” can strain households and break up families available about impacts on men (Bogdan et (Bogdan et al., 2019, p. 25). Table 2: Gendered impacts of climate change in Asia, the Pacific, and Africa Women Men • Mortality risks among men with • Higher mortality and morbidity heroic behavior and rescue rates in disasters workers • Extra workloads (time and labor) Physical • Migration for livelihood • Malnutrition diversification • Sexual and gender-based violence • Other health issues, like during and after disasters rheumatism • Loss of small household livestock • Loss of livestock and assets • Loss of livelihoods connected with natural resources, less time to re- establish them Material • Loss of land because of inheritance issues • Disparities in access to disaster relief and aid • Psychological issues associated • Psychological impacts including mostly with fear of gender-based social isolation, trauma, Psychological violence and feelings of shame depression, stress that can lead during disasters and stress for to alcohol abuse and even providing food for the family suicide • Girls (early marriage) and • Rural and poor men adolescent girls (risk of sexual • Widowers harassment) • Rural women and women without access to resources Most affected • Women living in low-lying areas groups • Disabled and older women • Widowed, divorced, and single women • Pregnant and lactating women • Female-headed households • Positive: change in household • Negative: weaker family structures, Gender relations and community roles, women domestic violence taking leadership (Bogdan et al., 2019, p. 22) 16
In Vanuatu, gender inequality is a significant 2011, p. 55). A 2013 survey showed that 56% of challenge, and women’s political and men and 60% of women agree that a husband economic participation is significantly limited is justified in beating his wife.11 (Vanuatu Ministry by social norms. Women are largely excluded of Health; Vanuatu National Statistics Office; from decision-making processes at the national and the Secretariat of the Pacific Community, and local levels, including the traditional 2013, pp. 228–232). Marriage at a young age local governance systems present in all is common (21% of girls are married before the communities, and face challenges accessing age of 18), which put girls at high risk of abuse paid employment outside of agriculture (CARE, (Girls not Brides, 2020; Taylor & Michael, 2013, 2015, p. 3; Government of Vanuatu, 2015b, p. pp. 12–13), and the practice of bride-price 103, 2015a, p. 26). Men and women tend to is cited as a factor in perpetuating violence undertake different types of livelihood activities: against women (Taylor & Michael, 2013, p. 12). men typically undertake more profitable National policy and law criminalizes gender- activities including fishing, growing cash based violence, provides access to protection crops, and operating shops, while women are orders, and seeks to counter some traditional typically involved in activities such as weaving discriminatory practices and address gender mats and baskets, selling prepared food at inequalities (Taylor & Michael, 2013, p. 17), but markets, sewing clothes for sale, and growing nevertheless gender-based violence is high, vegetables for subsistence or sale (Government widely accepted, and often considered to be of Vanuatu, 2015b, p. 95). Gender-based a private matter to be resolved within families inequality is deeper in urban areas than in following traditional customs (Anderson et al., rural areas, and there is significant disparity 2017, p. 119; Government of Vanuatu, 2015b, p. in wages and economic opportunities (Rust, 103). 2019, p. 10). The labor force participation rate There is limited evidence available about in 2016 was 61.7% for women and 80.5% for gender-based violence under emergency men (ILO, 2017b, p. 29). The government has conditions in Vanuatu. Worldwide, evidence made significant efforts to acknowledge the shows that gender-based violence often impacts of natural hazards on women’s social increases following disasters, in all countries and economic well-being and to collect sex at all stages of development (Masson et al., and age disaggregated data in disaster risk 2016, p. 11). Assessment reports for disasters in reduction work, and is seeking to increase Vanuatu have raised concerns and highlighted women’s participation in decision-making risks, but provide little robust evidence on the forums (Government of Vanuatu, 2015a, pp. 16, incidence of gender-based violence following 26), and recent post-disaster needs assessments disasters. Following two tropical cyclones in such as the one that followed TC Pam in 2015 2011, a counseling center on Tanna island demonstrate significant attention to gender reported more than a tripling in domestic issues. violence cases (CARE, 2015, p. 8). Surveys of Gender-based violence in Vanuatu is evacuees from Ambae island in 2017 found widespread and widely accepted based on that between 10% and 35% of respondents traditional social norms. A study on violence had observed increases in domestic violence against women and girls conducted in 2009 and child abuse (Gender & Protection Cluster, found that 60% who have ever been in a 2017b, p. 5, 2017c, p. 5, 2017a, p. 3). Following relationship have experienced either physical TC Pam in 2015, emergency shelter facilities or sexual violence or both by a husband or on Emae and Tanna islands were noted to be intimate partner (Vanuatu Women’s Centre, often overcrowded and lacking privacy and 11 Specifically, respondents agreed that a husband is justified in hitting or beating his wife for one or more of the following reasons: she burns the food, argues with him, goes out without telling him, neglects the children, or refuses to have sexual intercourse with him. 17
lighting, particularly around toilet facilities, to women, not only affecting households’ own which are identified as risk factors for sexual food supplies but also affecting women who violence (CARE, 2015, p. 8; Government of prepared and sold food in markets, which is Vanuatu, 2015b, p. 106), but no data on another major economic activity for women outcomes regarding gender-based violence (Morioka, 2016, p. 24). The government’s post- following TC Pam could be located. A review disaster needs assessment of TC Pam noted of the Australian government’s response to that women were more likely than men to be Cyclone Pam stated that “Vanuatu Women’s affected by the cyclone because of women’s Crisis Centre and communities reported that higher poverty levels, disproportionate share domestic violence had increased in the weeks of family care work, and because women and months following the cyclone,” but no are often employed in low-skilled work figures are given (Office of Development (Government of Vanuatu, 2015b, pp. 94, 105). Effectiveness, 2017, p. 61). Women spend four times as many hours as men on unpaid household work (27.2 hours per week Natural hazards can disproportionately affect compared with 6.6 hours for men) during normal women’s livelihoods by damaging natural times13, and women’s domestic and caring resources that women rely on and because workloads increased dramatically following women’s social roles can inhibit them from the cyclone (Government of Vanuatu, 2015b, pursuing alternative income-earning activities. p. 105). Following TC Pam, women tended to In Vanuatu, for example, making handicrafts have high workloads, experience post-disaster is a major economic activity for women which emotional distress, have their voices filtered was badly affected because of extensive through male managers, have their finances damage to pandanus trees12 (Government controlled by husbands, and undertake of Vanuatu, 2015b, p. 97; Morioka, 2016, p. stereotypical income-generating activities 24). The government lifted a seasonal ban on (Clissold et al., 2020, p. 108). Some authors also sandalwood harvesting, a role taken by men, note that women played an important role in to stimulate the economy, but the damage post-disaster recovery by sharing resources, to pandanus trees that affected women’s helping each other across formal and informal livelihoods did not attract much attention social networks, and through diversification, because they were not officially regarded as adaptation, and entrepreneurialism (Clissold et an agricultural commodity (Morioka, 2016, p. al., 2020, p. 108). 24). The loss of food crops was a double blow 12 A tree whose leaves are cut into strips and used for weaving baskets, mats, and other handicrafts. 13 These figures are cited by multiple sources; they come from a study carried out in 2000 by Foundation of the People of South Pacific International: Whyte, J., S. Siwatibau, et al. (2000). Vanuatu Rural Time Use Survey. 18
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