Economic Benefits of Wolf Creek Generating Station - An Economic Impact Study by the Nuclear Energy Institute
←
→
Page content transcription
If your browser does not render page correctly, please read the page content below
Economic Benefits of Wolf Creek Generating Station An Economic Impact Study by the Nuclear Energy Institute
Economic Benefits of Wolf Creek Generating Station An Economic Impact Study by the Nuclear Energy Institute July 2005 ©2005
Economic Benefits of Wolf Creek Generating Station Contents EXECUTIVE SUMMARY .................................................................................................................................................................. 5 SECTION 1: INTRODUCTION ...................................................................................................................................................... 7 SECTION 2: THE WOLF CREEK GENERATING STATION................................................................................................. 9 SECTION 3: ECONOMIC AND FISCAL IMPACTS.................................................................................................................. 15 SECTION 4: ADDITIONAL BENEFITS PROVIDED BY WOLF CREEK........................................................................... 27 SECTION 5: NUCLEAR INDUSTRY TRENDS....................................................................................................................... 29 SECTION 6: ECONOMIC IMPACT ANALYSIS METHODOLOGY ................................................................................. 35 3
Economic Benefits of Wolf Creek Generating Station Executive Summary Wolf Creek Generating Station in Coffey County, Kan., is an integral part of the local economy. The plant is owned by Kansas City Power & Light Co. (a Great Plains Energy Inc. company), Westar Energy and Kansas Electric Power Cooperative Inc. Wolf Creek Nuclear Operating Corp. operates the facility. Besides its economic output, the plant provides jobs, labor income and tax revenues. Additionally, there are important intangible benefits, such as clean air, environmental stewardship and stable, affordable electricity prices. According to this study by the Nuclear Energy Institute, Wolf Creek’s economic impact reaches beyond the local community to the state and nation. Operation of the Wolf Creek plant increased Coffey County’s economic output by $7.9 million and Kansas’ economic output by $79.9 million in 2003. Adding the direct value of the plant’s electricity generation brings the county’s economic output attributable to Wolf Creek to $607.9 million in Coffey County and $680 million in Kansas. The operation of Wolf Creek and the secondary effects of the plant account for 682 jobs in Coffey County and 2,014 jobs in Kansas. These jobs account for $57.7 million in earnings to workers in Coffey County and $129.3 million in Kansas. Additionally, the plant and its related economic activity resulted in almost $30 million in state and local tax payments. Wolf Creek employs 1,028 people, with 55 percent living in Coffey County. An estimated 561 full-time employees live in the cities of Burlington, Gridley, Lebo, LeRoy and Waverly. The plant employs nearly a third of the working population in Waverly and 27 of every 100 working people in Burlington. In addition, these jobs pay 57 percent above the average Coffey County salary. Economic activity generated by Wolf Creek creates another 121 jobs in the county. The plant’s principal expenditure in Coffey County is employee compensation. In 2003, Wolf Creek paid $55.4 million to employees living in the county and an additional $48.2 million to employees residing elsewhere in Kansas. Additionally, the economic activity created by the Wolf Creek plant accounted for $2.3 million in employee compensation in Coffey County and an additional $23.4 million in other areas of the state. Together, the direct and indirect compensation from the plant resulted in $57.7 million in labor income in the county and an additional $71.6 million in other areas of Kansas. Wolf Creek makes substantial purchases in Coffey County, where the plant spent $1 million in 2003. Purchases totaled $5.6 million in Kansas and $110.8 million in the United States. Economic activity generated by Wolf Creek’s purchases and operation also led to $7.9 million in increased output in the county and $79.9 million in the state, as mentioned above. Wolf Creek pays an estimated $24.8 million in state and local taxes annually. The economic activity generated by the plant contributes another $5 million in state and local taxes through increased business, corporate, payroll and personal taxes. By combining direct and indirect tax benefits, the Wolf Creek plant pays nearly $30 million in state and local taxes. Besides the economic benefits Wolf Creek provided, the plant generated more than 10 million megawatt- hours of electricity in 2004, approximately 19 percent of Kansas’ electricity needs. This low-cost electricity helped keep energy prices affordable in the Southwest Power Pool North Sub-Region, where the Wolf Creek plant resides. In 2004, Wolf Creek’s production cost was 1.44 cents per kilowatt-hour, compared to an average production cost of 1.69 cents per kilowatt-hour for the rest of the regional market. Wolf Creek is also an integral part of the local community, as seen in charitable giving by Wolf Creek Nuclear Operating Corp. and its employees. In 2004, Wolf Creek raised a record-setting $167,886 and surpassed the $1 million mark for contributions to the United Way since 1997. The United Way committee and Wolf Creek volunteers also participate in the United Way Day of Caring each year. This 5
Economic Benefits of Wolf Creek Generating Station day is set aside to help those in need by planting flowers, repainting buildings or preparing homes for the summer or winter. Besides volunteer work for nonprofit organizations and charitable contributions, Wolf Creek employees serve on various organizational committees to build relationships with local communities. The company and its employees also recognize the importance of educating and informing the public about the plant and nuclear energy. Wolf Creek’s many programs ensure the maintenance of positive relationships with area communities and their citizens through community involvement, charitable sponsorship and education opportunities. 6
Economic Benefits of Wolf Creek Generating Station Section 1: Introduction This economic impact study by the Nuclear Energy Institute1 (NEI) examines the economic, fiscal and other benefits provided by the Wolf Creek Generating Station, operated by Wolf Creek Nuclear Operating Corp. The plant is owned by Kansas City Power & Light Co. (a Great Plains Energy Inc. company), Westar Energy and Kansas Electric Power Cooperative Inc. This study also analyzes the economic and other benefits that the plant provides to Coffey County, the state of Kansas and the United States. The analysis uses detailed data from Wolf Creek to assess those benefits. Although focused primarily on benefits to the local community, this study also analyzes state and national benefits. These include direct impacts—such as people employed by the plant, expenditures within the community and corporate tax payments—and indirect impacts, such as jobs created indirectly by plant expenditures in the local economy. The study also discusses other benefits provided by the plant, such as reliable, low-cost electricity, its contributions to air quality as an emission-free source of electricity, and land stewardship. Wolf Creek Nuclear Operating Corp. and NEI cooperated in developing this study. The company provided data on employment, operating expenditures and tax payments, as well as guidance on details specific to Coffey County and the plant. NEI coordinated the project and applied a nationally recognized model to estimate the direct and indirect impacts of the plant on the local community. RTI International, a nonprofit research organization in Research Triangle Park, N.C., developed the methodology employed in this study. This is the seventh such study conducted by NEI. The remainder of this report contains five sections: • Section 2 provides background on Wolf Creek, including costs, employment, plant history and performance, taxes, and local area details, such as total employment and earnings, as well as regional electricity prices. • Section 3 examines the economic and fiscal impacts of the plant at local, state and national levels. • Section 4 provides data on benefits not captured by the model, such as the plant’s contributions to the community and the environment. • Section 5 outlines recent trends in the nuclear energy industry as a whole, including cost, performance and safety. • Section 6 discusses the methodology used to complete the study and Impact Analysis for Planning, the economic modeling software employed as part of this effort. 1 The Nuclear Energy Institute is the policy organization of the nuclear energy and technologies industry and participates in both the national and global policymaking process. 7
Economic Benefits of Wolf Creek Generating Station 8
Economic Benefits of Wolf Creek Generating Station Section 2: The Wolf Creek Generating Station This section provides background information on Wolf Creek and Coffey County to frame the results of this report. It includes a brief history of the plant and information on its cost, employment, performance and taxes. This section also provides information on local area details of Coffey County, its major cities and the state of Kansas, including earnings, local tax collections, regional electricity cost and total employment. 2.1 History and Information The Wolf Creek Generating Station is located near Burlington, Kan., a town of about 2,800 inhabitants. The plant is located on Coffey County Lake, approximately 3.5 miles northeast of Burlington. The plant lies in Coffey County, which has a population of about 8,900. Table 2-1. Wolf Creek Generating Station: At a Glance Unit MWe Commercial Operation Year License Expiration Year Reactor Type Unit 1 1,228 1985 2025 PWR MW = megawatts; PWR = pressurized water reactor Wolf Creek Generating Station, a 1,228-megawatt pressurized water reactor, began commercial operation in 1985. Kansas Gas & Electric Co. operated the plant in 1986, but operation was transferred to Wolf Creek Nuclear Operating Corp. in January 1987. Throughout most of its operation, Wolf Creek has been a competitive component of the U.S. nuclear energy industry. Since it began operating, the plant has maintained capacity factors above the industry average. Capacity factor, a measure of efficiency, is the ratio of Figure 2-1. 3-Year Average Capacity Factors actual electricity generated compared to the maximum 100% possible generation if the 90% plant were to operate at full 80% capacity for one year. 70% In 1998, Wolf Creek 60% had its best year, with a capacity factor of 50% 102 percent. 40% INDUSTRY WOLF CREEK 30% 20% 10% 0% 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 Source: Energy Information Administration, Nuclear Regulatory Commission 9
Economic Benefits of Wolf Creek Generating Station Figure 2-2. The Wolf Creek Generating Station and Surrounding Area 10
Economic Benefits of Wolf Creek Generating Station 2.2 Generation Wolf Creek generated more than 10 million megawatt-hours of electricity in 2004. The plant provides about 19 percent of the electricity generated in Kansas each year. Plant output was driven by a high capacity factor that reached 99 percent in 2004. Wolf Creek provides power for the Southwest Power Pool North Sub-Region. Efficient performance has made the Wolf Creek power plant cost-competitive in the sub-region. Wolf Creek had an average production cost of 1.44 cents per kilowatt-hour in 2004, compared to an average production cost of 1.69 cents per kilowatt-hour for other electricity generators in the region. Production costs represent the operations, maintenance and fuel costs of the plant. They do not include depreciation, interest or ongoing capital costs. Contributions to the Nuclear Waste Fund, established to pay for the disposal of used reactor fuel from commercial nuclear plants, are contained within fuel costs. Customers of nuclear-generated electricity pay for the fund. Table 2-2. Southwest Power Pool North Sub-Region Production Cost and Generation in 2004 Average Production Cost Generation Generation Source (in Cents/kWh) (in Million MWh) Wolf Creek 1.44 10.13 Coal 1.46 48.25 Natural Gas 5.80 2.27 Oil 6.61 0.96 Region Total (Including Wolf Creek) 1.69 61.98 kWh = kilowatt-hour; MWh = megawatt-hour Wolf Creek’s low production costs help make wholesale electricity prices affordable in Kansas. Although Wolf Creek’s exact contribution is difficult to measure, an estimate can be made by determining how much average production costs in the region would increase if a combined-cycle natural gas plant (the plant of choice for new generation) replaced the Wolf Creek plant. Substituting a combined-cycle natural gas plant for Wolf Creek in 2004 would have resulted in an increase in average regional generation costs from 1.69 cents per kilowatt-hour to 2.40 cents per kilowatt-hour. 11
Economic Benefits of Wolf Creek Generating Station 2.3 Employment Besides providing affordable electricity to Kansas, Wolf Creek is a substantial employer in Coffey County. The plant employs 1,028 full-time workers, of which 561 reside within the county. Full- time employees include 358 people from Burlington, 78 from Waverly and 67 from Lebo. Another 35 employees reside in LeRoy, and 23 in Gridley. Wolf Creek employs 27 percent of working people in Burlington and nearly a third of Waverly’s working population. The jobs provided by the plant also are typically higher paying than most jobs in the area. Full-time Wolf Creek employees who live in Coffey County earned, on average, about $71,101 in 2003. This was approximately 57 percent higher than the average earnings of other workers in the county—about $45,210 a year. Table 2-3. Wolf Creek/Study Region Employment (Coffey County) Wolf Creek City/County Totala Percentage Employed Permanent of Employed Average Work Average City Employees Work Force Earningsb Force Earningsb Burlington 358 27.3% $73,516 1,311 $44,968 Waverly 78 29.8% $65,781 262 $42,863 Lebo 67 14.3% $72,756 468 $44,116 LeRoy 35 13.5% $57,231 273 $35,420 Gridley 23 13.6% $67,859 169 $38,370 Coffey County Total 561 12.7% $71,101 4,431 $45,210 a Census 2000 b Earningsare defined as the sum of wage and salary income and represent the amount of income received regularly before deductions for personal income taxes, Social Security, Medicare, etc. 12
Economic Benefits of Wolf Creek Generating Station Table 2-4. Top Ten Cities/Towns by Total Employees Wolf Creek City/County Totala Average Employed Average City/Town County Employees Earningsb Work Force Earningsb Burlington Coffey 358 $73,516 1,311 $44,968 Emporia Lyon 137 $77,269 13,183 $38,496 Waverly Coffey 78 $65,781 262 $42,863 Lebo Coffey 67 $72,756 468 $44,116 Ottawa Franklin 52 $82,285 5,840 $42,055 Garnett Anderson 39 $64,524 1,498 $39,062 LeRoy Coffey 35 $57,231 273 $35,420 Topeka Shawnee 26 $74,189 59,101 $44,230 Westphalia Anderson 23 $63,151 190 $25,612 Gridley Coffey 23 $67,859 169 $38,370 a Census 2000 b Earningsare defined as the sum of wage and salary income and represent the amount of income received regularly before deductions for personal income taxes, Social Security, Medicare, etc. Table 2-5. Top Ten Cities/Towns by Percent of Employed Work Force Wolf Creek City/County Totala Percentage Employed of Employed Average Work Average City/Town County Work Force Employees Earningsb Force Earningsb Waverly Coffey 29.8% 78 $65,781 262 $42,863 Burlington Coffey 27.3% 358 $73,516 1,311 $44,968 Lebo Coffey 14.3% 67 $72,756 468 $44,116 Gridley Coffey 13.6% 23 $67,859 169 $38,370 LeRoy Coffey 12.8% 35 $57,231 273 $35,420 Westphalia Anderson 12.1% 23 $63,151 190 $25,612 Garnett Anderson 2.6% 39 $64,524 1,498 $39,062 Emporia Lyon 1.0% 137 $77,269 13,183 $38,496 Ottawa Franklin 0.9% 52 $82,285 5,840 $42,055 Topeka Shawnee 0.04% 26 $74,189 59,101 $44,230 a Census 2000 b Earningsare defined as the sum of wage and salary income and represent the amount of income received regularly before deductions for personal income taxes, Social Security, Medicare, etc. 13
Economic Benefits of Wolf Creek Generating Station 2.4 Local Taxes Wolf Creek also makes substantial tax payments. In 2003, Wolf Creek paid $24 million in property taxes to Coffey County. That same year, Coffey County collected approximately $29.3 million in total property taxes. Wolf Creek’s property tax payments were 82 percent of the county’s total property tax levy. Table 2-6. Property Taxes Paid by Wolf Creek Percentage Property Taxes Paid Total Property Paid by Wolf Location by Wolf Creek Plant Tax Collecteda Creek Coffey County $24,047,900 $29,323,336 82% State of Kansas $566,703 $2,651,360,991
Economic Benefits of Wolf Creek Generating Station Section 3: Economic and Fiscal Impacts The economic and fiscal impacts of Wolf Creek’s operations go well beyond what the plant spends on purchases, wages, salaries, employee benefits and taxes. They also reflect the strong stimulus that plant operations provide to key measures of economic activity—the value of electricity production, employment and labor income—in the local and state economies. Wolf Creek’s spending lifts economic activity throughout the local and state economies. The private sector feels the effects in the form of increased sales and employment, and the public sector through increased tax revenues to support the provision of public services. Estimates of these effects were developed by applying the Impact Analysis for Planning (IMPLAN) model to expenditure data provided by Wolf Creek Nuclear Operating Corp., operator of the Wolf Creek plant. (For more information on IMPLAN, see Section 6.) 3.1 Plant Expenditures in Coffey County Wolf Creek expenditures in Coffey County totaled $56.5 million in 2003. Spending within the county represented approximately 26 percent of the plant’s total spending of $214.4 million and 52 percent of the $109.3 million of spending in Kansas. The expenditure totals for Coffey County provided by Wolf Creek Nuclear Operating Corp. appear in Table 3-1, which contains the 10 sectors receiving the largest amount of Wolf Creek spending. The categories are from among IMPLAN’s 509 sectors and are listed largely according to the IMPLAN description for each. Total compensation, which includes benefits, salaries and wages, is listed separately. Tables 3-2 and 3-3 present similar expenditure totals for the state of Kansas and the United States, respectively. 15
Economic Benefits of Wolf Creek Generating Station Table 3-1. Wolf Creek Expenditures in Coffey County Description Amount Waste Management and Remediation Services $404,902 State and Local Government Electric Utilities $232,461 Automotive Repair and Maintenance $94,556 Facilities Support Services $78,221 Maintenance and Repair Construction $62,071 Industrial Machinery Manufacturing $47,151 Business Support Services $39,723 Industrial Process Variable Instruments $18,665 Miscellaneous Store Retailers $11,435 Travel Arrangement and Reservation Services $10,950 Other $37,933 Subtotal $1,038,068 Total Compensationa $55,444,442 TOTAL $56,482,510 a Total compensation includes wages, salaries and fringe benefits based on data provided by Wolf Creek Nuclear Operating Corp. Total compensation for labor is $55.4 million and represents approximately 98 percent of Wolf Creek’s expenditures in Coffey County. A large portion of the plant’s labor expenditures (employee benefits, salaries and wages) stay “home” in the county. As expected, the county’s share is much larger than the share at the state and national levels. The largest non-labor expenditure in the county totaled $404,902, for waste management and remediation services, representing payments for collection and removal of trash and non-hazardous waste materials from the Wolf Creek facility. Trash generated by the plant is disposed of at the Coffey County Landfill. As a result, the plant’s trash removal expenditures have a significant economic impact on the county. The next largest non-labor expenditure, at $232,461, was for state and local government electric utilities. This amount represents plant payments made to the local utility for off-site power and transmission services. Many of the top sectors in Table 3-1 involve service expenditures. The prevalence of service sectors illustrates the plant’s heavy reliance on contracted labor to perform specialized work, including facilities and business support services in such areas as cafeteria, groundskeeping and janitorial duties. Other examples are equipment and machinery rental, and general maintenance and repair services. 16
Economic Benefits of Wolf Creek Generating Station 3.2 Plant Expenditures in Kansas In 2003, Wolf Creek spent $109.3 million for products and services (including labor) in Kansas. The total includes $56.5 million dispersed in Coffey County and $52.8 million spent in other areas of Kansas. Spending within the state represents approximately 51 percent of the plant’s total expenditures of $214.4 million. Table 3-2 provides details on spending within the state. Total compensation is the largest category at $103.6 million and represents about 95 percent of the total. This is slightly less than the share of total compensation for Coffey County spending. Instead, more money is spent on products and non-labor services in the rest of Kansas. Table 3-2. Wolf Creek Expenditures in Kansas Description Amount Professional and Technical Services $1,026,376 State and Local Government Agencies $684,544 Waste Management and Remediation Services $404,902 Employment Services $385,261 Maintenance and Repair Construction $353,643 Facilities Support Services $321,356 State and Local Government Electric Utilities $238,557 Industrial Process Variable Instruments $183,565 Petroleum and Coal Products Manufacturing $176,112 Business Support Services $157,719 Other $1,700,978 Subtotal $5,633,013 a Total Compensation $103,620,884 TOTAL $109,253,897 a Total compensation includes wages, salaries and fringe benefits based on data provided by Wolf Creek Nuclear Operating Corp. As in Table 3-1, large contracts are identified to show the most important expenditures at the state level. The largest category is professional and technical services, which represents membership in, and services of, highly specialized professional and technical organizations serving the electric power and nuclear industries. Payments to state and local government agencies, the second-largest non-labor expenditure category for Kansas, totaled $684,544. This represents payments to state agencies, such as the Kansas Adjutant General and the Department of Health and Environment, for emergency preparedness and worker health and safety. 17
Economic Benefits of Wolf Creek Generating Station Employment services is another large state-level expenditure, totaling $385,261. This sector represents payments for specialized temporary labor during outages and major plant repairs. Waste management services continue to be a significant component of spending at the state level, as do services associated with basic plant maintenance and payments to state electric utilities. 3.3 Plant Expenditures in the United States Wolf Creek expenditures for products and services (including labor) purchased in the United States totaled $214.4 million in 2003. Besides expenditures of $109.3 million in Coffey County and other areas of Kansas, the plant spent $105.1 million elsewhere in the United States, largely for specialized products and services unique to the nuclear industry. Table 3-3. Wolf Creek Expenditures in the United States Description Amount Other Basic Inorganic Chemical Manufacturing $20,841,703 Other Federal Government Enterprises $12,707,835 Insurance Carriers $12,402,785 Architectural and Engineering Services $10,998,392 Other Maintenance and Repair Construction $9,746,980 Scientific Research and Development Services $4,963,966 Industrial Process Variable Instruments $3,476,907 Business Support Services $3,205,773 Waste Management and Remediation Services $2,932,392 Other Computer Peripheral Equipment Manufacturing $2,434,859 Other $27,085,243 Subtotal $110,796,835 a Total Compensation $103,620,884 TOTAL $214,417,719 a Total compensation includes wages, salaries and fringe benefits based on data provided by Wolf Creek Nuclear Operating Corp. Table 3-3 details national expenditures. Total compensation ($103.6 million) remains the largest category, representing 48 percent of the total. Compensation as a share of the U.S. total is lower because plant employees live almost entirely in Kansas (especially in Coffey County), while spending on products and non-labor services is concentrated outside the state. Other basic inorganic chemical manufacturing, the largest non-labor spending category, represents plant spending on nuclear fuel. The second-largest non-labor expenditure group—other federal government enterprises—primarily represents plant payments made to the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory 18
Economic Benefits of Wolf Creek Generating Station Commission and the U.S. Department of Energy for licensee fees and future waste disposal cost. NRC fees paid by U.S. nuclear plants cover the cost of nuclear plant regulation. Payments to insurance carriers constitute another large spending category at the national level. This sector includes expenditures for employee insurance plans, as well as insurance for plant capital. Due to the considerable employee liability associated with an entity of Wolf Creek’s size, underwriting by large, national insurance companies is necessary. A nuclear plant also requires specialized insurance against risks related to situations such as long-term shutdowns, decontamination and decommissioning. The next three largest national spending categories are for architectural and engineering services, maintenance and repair, and scientific research and development. Purchases in these sectors are not unique to Wolf Creek, and reflect the need for highly specialized skills and services at nuclear plants. These expenditures reflect the plant’s commitment to safe operations and improved performance through high availability rates and capacity factors. Other large spending categories are similar to the state-level expenditures, with the exception of the waste management category. Expenditures for waste management and remediation services at the national level constitute removal of hazardous waste materials. 3.4 Taxes Paid and Accrued Wolf Creek paid $24.8 million in state and local taxes in 2003. This total is comprised mainly of property taxes paid to the local areas surrounding the plants. Additionally, the plant made payroll tax payments of $5.6 million to the federal government. Table 3-4. Taxes Paid by Wolf Creek Nuclear Plant Description Amount Federal Government Payroll Tax $5,649,334 Other $4,727 Total Federal Taxes $5,654,061 State and Local Government Property Tax $24,639,242 Other $209,514 Total State and Local Taxes $24,848,756 Total Taxes Paid $30,502,817 19
Economic Benefits of Wolf Creek Generating Station 3.5 Economic Impacts on Geographic Area Summary economic impacts for each of the three geographic areas—Coffey County, Kansas and the United States—are presented in Table 3-5. The three economic impact variables are: • output—the value of production of goods and services • labor income—the earnings of labor • employment—measured in jobs provided. Table 3-5. Impact of Wolf Creek on Local, State and National Economies Direct Secondarya Total Coffey County Output $600,000,000 $7,853,063 $607,853,063 Labor Income $55,444,442 $2,256,337 $57,700,779 Employment 561 121 682 Kansas Output $600,000,000 $79,907,338 $679,907,338 Labor Income $103,620,884 $25,636,614 $129,257,498 Employment 1,028 986 2,014 United States Output $600,000,000 $640,950,380 $1,240,950,380 Labor Income $103,620,884 $230,049,405 $333,670,289 Employment 1,028 5,940 6,968 a Secondary effects include indirect and induced impacts. Indirect impacts measure the effect of input suppliers on expenditures by Wolf Creek Nuclear Operating Corp., while induced impacts measure the effects produced by the change in household income resulting from Wolf Creek expenditures. These overall economic impacts are divided into direct or secondary effects. The direct effects reflect the industry sector and geographical distribution of Wolf Creek’s spending without any subsequent spending effects. The secondary effects include subsequent spending effects and are divided into two types: indirect and induced. Indirect effects show how the plant’s spending patterns alter subsequent spending patterns among input suppliers. Induced effects reflect how changes in labor income influence the final demand for goods and services, which then has an impact on all sectors producing basic, intermediate and final goods and services. The direct effects are based on the estimated value of the power production from the Wolf Creek plant of $600 million for 2003. This output value is based on Wolf Creek’s estimated revenues for 2003. 20
Economic Benefits of Wolf Creek Generating Station This output value is divided among consumer benefits, investor returns, plant purchases, salaries and taxes, which reflects the total output of products and services associated with Wolf Creek. This total includes the expenditures for products and services (including labor) itemized in Tables 3-1, 3-2 and 3-3. The direct employment entry (1,028 jobs) for the United States is Wolf Creek’s employment level in 2003. Workers from Coffey County fill the majority of these jobs (about 55 percent). The direct labor income entries reflect the geographic distribution pattern of Wolf Creek employment. As Table 3-5 indicates, direct effects are the largest contributor to total effects for each measure of economic impact for Coffey County and Kansas. Secondary effects are most important as a share of the total effects in the United States. Within the secondary effects, induced effects are larger than indirect effects for Coffey County and Kansas, because the direct effects on labor income are large and the final demand changes affect more sectors than are included in the indirect effects. The induced effects represent the increased local output due to the additions Wolf Creek makes to the local employment base. A helpful way of measuring the ripple effects is by using multipliers, which show the ratio of the plant’s “total economic impact” to its “direct economic impact” and can be measured for each geographic region. Multipliers essentially measure how many dollars are created in the economy for every dollar spent by the plant. In terms of output, Wolf Creek’s direct impact for the local area is $600 million, while its total impact is $608 million. Thus, the total output multiplier for Coffey County is 1.01 (or $608 million divided by $600 million). This indicates that for every dollar of output from the Wolf Creek plant, the Coffey County economy produces $1.01. Using the same formula, the output multiplier is 1.13 for Kansas and 2.07 for the United States. This means for every dollar of Wolf Creek output, the state economy produces $1.13 and the U.S. economy produces $2.07. 3.6 Economic Impacts on Local Industry Wolf Creek’s economic impacts spread over nearly every economic sector. Although the direct effects are concentrated in a few sectors, the secondary effects—and especially the induced effects— increase the dispersion of economic impacts across other sectors. The most-affected sectors vary by geographic area. Table 3-6 presents the 10 sectors most affected by the plant in Coffey County, based on total output. Since local salaries dominate plant spending, the impacts in the local area are most notable in areas that cater to the plant’s employment base. The sector most affected in terms of total output is power generation and supply, which includes the electricity produced by the plant. Thus, all direct effects are included in this sector. It is also the largest sector, based on total output, in the state and national economies, as shown in Tables 3-7 and 3-8, respectively. 21
Economic Benefits of Wolf Creek Generating Station The next most-affected sector is housing values. This is not a traditional business/industry sector, so it had no impacts on labor income or employment. Instead, it is a special sector developed by the U.S. Department of Commerce that estimates what homeowners would pay if they rented, rather than owned, their homes. In essence, it creates an industry from owning a home. The sole product (or output) of this industry is home ownership, purchased entirely by personal consumption expenditures from household income. In effect, this sector captures increases in housing values caused by increased labor in the area resulting from the plant. The other sectors most affected by Wolf Creek are related to providing goods and services to the plant’s large employment base, including hospitals, doctor and dentist practices, restaurants, retail stores, retailers, and automotive dealerships. Indirect spending by plant employees boosts the sales and work forces of these industries, typically operated by local small business owners. Table 3-6. Wolf Creek’s Impacts on the Most-Affected Industries in Coffey County Industry Description Output Labor Income Employment Power Generation and Supply $600,415,259 $55,542,708 562 Housing Values $1,552,916 $0 — Physicians, Dentists, Health Care Providers $770,457 $471,625 12 Wholesale Trade $727,535 $274,963 7 Food Services and Drinking Places $652,238 $258,549 19 Monetary Authorities/Credit Intermediaries $485,021 $102,258 4 Automotive Repair and Maintenance $444,394 $88,595 3 Food and Beverage Stores $238,756 $89,717 7 Motor Vehicle and Parts Dealers $194,175 $90,961 3 State and Local Government Agencies $187,230 $53,156 2 Other $2,185,082 $728,247 63 TOTAL $607,853,063 $57,700,779 682 22
Economic Benefits of Wolf Creek Generating Station 3.7 Economic Impacts on State Industry Table 3-7 uses the same sectors applied in Table 3-6 to illustrate the plant’s economic impact on the state of Kansas. Again, the power generation and supply sector and housing values are the most-affected categories. The other entries in Table 3-7 for the most-affected industries in Kansas are similar to those in Coffey County. Table 3-7. Impact of Wolf Creek on the Most-Affected Industries in Kansas Industry Description Output Labor Income Employment Power Generation and Supply $601,288,310 $103,925,744 1,032 Housing Values $8,297,632 — — Hospitals $4,729,985 $1,729,719 46 Wholesale Trade $4,393,019 $1,675,468 35 Physicians, Dentists, Health Care Providers $3,981,990 $2,471,508 47 Food Services and Drinking Places $3,943,016 $1,728,715 99 Real Estate $2,967,492 $348,246 29 Monetary Authorities/Credit Intermediaries $2,621,160 $552,463 16 Automotive Repair and Maintenance $2,426,381 $490,365 18 Motor Vehicle and Parts Dealers $1,798,271 $896,611 24 Other $43,460,082 $15,438,659 668 TOTAL $679,907,338 $129,257,498 2,014 23
Economic Benefits of Wolf Creek Generating Station 3.8 Economic Impacts on U.S. Industry Table 3-8 illustrates Wolf Creek’s economic impact on the United States. Again, the most-affected sectors are power generation and housing values, in terms of total output. The third-largest sector is wholesale trade, a general category that reflects sales of a broad range of goods and services by wholesalers. The 10 most-affected sectors (based on output) in the United States are similar to the 10 most- affected sectors in Coffey County and Kansas. The main differences are in the insurance carriers, basic inorganic chemical manufacturing and engineering and architectural services sectors. Impacts for these categories are derived from direct expenditures of the plant, rather than indirect or induced effects. Table 3-8. Wolf Creek’s Impacts on the Most-Affected Industries in the United States Industry Description Output Labor Income Employment Power Generation and Supply $607,387,405 $105,370,576 1,043 Housing Values $29,816,192 — — Wholesale Trade $28,125,382 $10,787,446 196 Insurance Carriers $26,569,026 $8,249,471 149 Real Estate $23,805,672 $2,799,183 156 Hospitals $19,239,790 $7,693,779 176 Food Services and Drinking Places $17,568,124 $7,680,608 442 Other Basic Inorganic Chemical Manufacturing $16,771,922 $3,555,714 43 Monetary Authorities/Credit Intermediaries $16,607,248 $3,474,669 72 Architectural and Engineering Services $14,841,386 $9,220,172 164 Other $440,218,233 $174,838,671 4,527 TOTAL $1,240,950,380 $333,670,289 6,968 24
Economic Benefits of Wolf Creek Generating Station 3.9 Tax Impacts The effect of Wolf Creek’s spending extends beyond the taxes paid directly on the plant. This spending has direct impacts on income and value creation, which in turn affects taxes paid on that income and value. Similarly, the secondary effects of plant purchases on other products and services, in addition to the increased economic activity itself, lead to additional income and value creation, as well as additional tax revenues. These additional or “induced” effects on tax payments are much larger than the taxes paid directly. Table 3-9 describes these results. Wolf Creek is responsible for almost $30 million in state and local tax revenue, either directly or indirectly. Much of the indirect expenditures are the result of additional property tax revenue created by the large number of employees at the Wolf Creek plant. At the federal level, Wolf Creek’s operations resulted in $65.5 million in tax revenue, mostly from income and Social Security taxes. Table 3-9. Tax Impacts of Economic Activity Induced by Wolf Creek Taxes Induced Taxes Paid by by Wolf Creek Total Wolf Creek Expenditures Tax Impacta Federal Government Payroll Tax $5,649,334 $24,819,788 $30,469,122 Corporate Tax — $6,102,465 $6,102,465 Personal Tax — $24,650,405 $24,650,405 Business Tax $4,727 $4,259,165 $4,263,892 Total Federal Government $5,654,061 $59,831,823 $65,485,884 State and Local Government Payroll Tax $7,619 $25,655 $33,274 Corporate Tax — $113,107 $113,107 Personal Tax — $830,481 $830,481 Business Tax $24,841,137 $4,057,740 $28,898,877 Total State and Local Government $24,848,756 $5,026,983 $29,875,739 Total Taxes $30,502,817 $64,858,806 $95,361,623 a The total tax impact includes taxes paid by Wolf Creek and other entities as a result of the economic activity created by Wolf Creek expenditures. 25
Economic Benefits of Wolf Creek Generating Station 3.10 Summary Wolf Creek has substantial economic impacts on Coffey County and Kansas. When compared with their respective economies, those relative impacts are highest for Coffey County, next highest for Kansas and lowest for the United States. Like other nuclear plants, Wolf Creek buys many specialized products and services not available in local and state economies. National and international markets typically provide these products and services. The state and local economic effects of the plant are substantial, largely because of the buying power created by Wolf Creek’s high wages, salaries and benefits. In turn, plant employees buy goods and services provided locally. This spending supports many small businesses in the area. 26
Economic Benefits of Wolf Creek Generating Station Section 4: Additional Benefits Provided by Wolf Creek Community trust in Wolf Creek’s ability to ensure public health and safety through operating the plant safely, reliably and efficiently is vital to the company’s survival and success. The company and its employees recognize the importance of educating and informing the public about the plant and nuclear energy. Wolf Creek’s many programs ensure the maintenance of positive relationships with area communities and their citizens through community involvement, charitable sponsorship and educational opportunities. Educating the public is an investment in Wolf Creek’s future and being a good neighbor is important to the plant and its employees. The plant offers outreach programs to organizations interested in learning more about Wolf Creek and the industry. Each year, numerous Speakers Bureau participants offer presentations to various groups, such as civic and service organizations, schools and science clubs. Plant personnel offer a variety of presentations, from “How Wolf Creek Works” to a radiation demonstration. This provides an interactive way for people of all ages to learn about Wolf Creek and the benefits of nuclear energy as a safe, reliable and environmentally responsible electricity source. Wolf Creek employees staff informational booths and participate in area parades at the Kansas State Fair, Kansas Association of Teachers of Science Kamp, Kansas State University’s Engineering Open House, Earth Day, Environmental Awareness Day and area Christmas parades. Wolf Creek sponsors FunFlight at Burlington’s May Daze Festival, a county student scholarship, Governor’s Fishing Classic, Grants for Excellence, Boy Scout workshops and Girl Scout events. Other plant-sponsored activities include safety fairs in area elementary schools, presidential awards for teachers in math and science disciplines, and Sonia Kovalevsky Mathematics Day at Emporia State University. One of the most successful plant sponsorships is the Governor’s Fishing Classic. For the past eight years, Wolf Creek, along with Kansas Wildscape Foundation, Coffey County Sheriff’s Department and the Kansas Department of Wildlife and Parks, has co-sponsored the fishing tournament held on Coffey County Lake. The two-day event includes a celebrity fishing and golf tournament that draws more than 100 anglers and golfers. Children from local Hooked on Fishing, Not on Drugs chapters learn about ethical fishing practices and water safety. They also participate in their own fishing tournament. More than 60 Wolf Creek volunteers assist with the fishing classic by launching boats, registering participants, measuring fish and helping youngsters bait hooks, remove fish from hooks and measure fish. In 2003, Wolf Creek volunteers created a “Green Team,” an environmental stewardship group that guides and completes special environmental projects. These volunteers have installed bluebird and kestrel nest boxes around the plant site, improved quail habitat, sampled ponds on company property, and worked on Environmental Education Area trails. Wolf Creek participates in other environmental programs, including a program that introduced Peregrine falcons to the Wolf Creek site to reduce the population of predator birds. Other environmental programs include a quail habitat demonstration project and goose nesting structures on plant property. 27
Economic Benefits of Wolf Creek Generating Station In 2001, approximately 30 International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers employees from the Wolf Creek plant constructed a fire escape for the Emporia Rescue Mission, a shelter for homeless men. Union members also built platforms and stairs and performed other construction services. Wolf Creek employees give generously to surrounding communities through contributions to the United Way. The 2004 campaign was an especially memorable one. In 2004, Wolf Creek raised a record-setting $167,886 and surpassed the $1 million mark for contributions to the United Way since 1997. The plant raised the funds through pledges, golf tournaments and silent auctions. The United Way committee and Wolf Creek volunteers also participate in the United Way Day of Caring each year. This day is set aside to help those in need by planting flowers, repainting buildings or preparing homes for the summer or winter. Employees continue their involvement with local communities by participating in the American Cancer Society’s Relay for Life, Law Enforcement Torch Run for Special Olympics, MS-150 bike ride, annual warm blanket and canned food drive, holiday toy drive and community blood drives. Besides this volunteer work for nonprofit organizations, Wolf Creek employees serve on various organizational committees to build relationships with local communities. 28
Economic Benefits of Wolf Creek Generating Station Section 5: Nuclear Industry Trends The U.S. nuclear energy industry has steadily improved performance and cost, while also improving plant safety. The nuclear energy industry is a model of industrial safety. Total electricity production for U.S. nuclear power plants reached a record 788.6 billion kilowatt- hours in 2004. Power plant performance is measured by capacity factor, which compares the amount of electricity actually produced by a plant with the maximum achievable. U.S. nuclear power plants achieved an average capacity factor of 90.5 percent in 2004. At the same time, production costs for those plants have been among the lowest of any baseload fuel source. 5.1 Nuclear Industry Performance U.S. nuclear power plants have increased their output and improved their performance significantly over the past 10 years. Nuclear energy represents about 20 percent of all electricity generated in the United States. Since 1990, the industry has increased total output equivalent to that of 26 new, large nuclear plants. This increase in output occurred without building any new nuclear plants. Figure 5-1. U.S. Nuclear Industry Net Electricity Generation (37% increase from 1990 to 2004) 800 788.6 750 700 Billion kilowatt-hours 650 600 550 500 450 400 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 Source: Energy Information Administration Meanwhile, overall capacity factors for U.S. nuclear power plants increased dramatically over the past decade, reaching about 90.5 percent in 2004. By contrast, the industry’s average capacity factor for the industry was 60 percent in the late 1980s. One of the key reasons for the increased capacity factor has been the shortening of refueling outage times. 29
Economic Benefits of Wolf Creek Generating Station Nuclear plants need to Figure 5-2. shut down to refuel Nuclear Industry Average Capacity Factors approximately every 18 to 100 (1990-2004) 24 months. Refueling 95 represents one of the major 90 90.5 Capacity Factor (%) determinants of nuclear 85 plant availability. 80 75 In the past 10 years, the 70 durations of refueling 65 outages have been 60 declining. In 1990, the 55 average refueling outage 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 took 105 days to complete. Source: Energy Information Administration By 2004, this number declined to an average of 44 days, and companies continue to apply best practices to reduce further this average length of refueling. The record for the shortest outage is 14.67 days for a boiling water reactor and 15.67 days for a pressurized water reactor. 5.2 Cost Competitiveness Along with increasing output, the U.S. nuclear industry has continued to decrease the cost of its operations. In 2004, nuclear power had a production cost of 1.68 cents/kilowatt-hour. In the past decade, nuclear production costs have dropped by about one-third because of the increased capacity factor of U.S. plants. Since most nuclear plant costs are fixed, greater electricity production lowers costs. However, nuclear plants also have taken steps to reduce their total cost through improved work processes. Figure 5-3. U.S. Electricity Production Costs (1995-2004 in constant 2004 cents per kilowatt-hour) $8.00 $7.00 $6.00 Gas 5.87 Oil 5.39 $5.00 $4.00 $3.00 Coal 1.92 $2.00 Nuclear 1.68 $1.00 $0.00 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 Source: Energy Velocity, Electric Utility Cost Group 30
Economic Benefits of Wolf Creek Generating Station Table 5-1. Wholesale Electricity Prices by Region (in cents per kilowatt-hour) Region 2004 Average 24/7 Power Prices Northeast/Mid-Atlantic 5.31 Southeast 4.62 Midwest 4.22 South Central 4.88 Northwest 4.62 Southwest 4.92 Because of low production costs and excellent safety performance, nuclear plants are highly competitive in today’s energy markets. Ultimately, the primary test of nuclear energy’s competitiveness is how well it performs against market prices. In this respect, nuclear energy is highly competitive. The average production cost at the nation’s 103 reactors was 1.68 cents per kilowatt-hour in 2004, lower than the average price in all regional markets. Nuclear energy is also competitive with futures market prices, one of the best ways to judge what prices will be in the year ahead. Nuclear plants provide a unique degree of price stability for two reasons. First, production costs for nuclear plants are comprised of costs not associated with fuel. Fuel markets tend to be volatile, so the production costs of generation sources tied to fuel expenses are highly volatile, as they swing with variations in the market. Fuel represents only 25 percent of the production cost of nuclear energy, but it makes up 75 percent to Figure 5-4. Monthly Fuel Cost to Electric Generators 90 percent of the (in 2004 cents per kilowatt-hour from 1995 to 2004) cost of natural gas-, coal- and 14 petroleum-fired generation. 12 Second, nuclear fuel prices are 10 much more stable than that of fossil 8 fuels, particularly 6 GAS 6.0 natural gas and petroleum. OIL-H 4.8 4 Because of its stable, low 2 production cost, COAL 1.5 nuclear energy 0 URAN .5 can help mitigate 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 large electricity Source: Energy Velocit price swings. Source: Energy Velocity 31
Economic Benefits of Wolf Creek Generating Station 5.3 Industry Safety The nuclear industry’s recent performance and cost achievements occurred in an era of outstanding safety at U.S. nuclear plants. In 2004, the nuclear energy industry was close to meeting all 2005 safety goals set by the Institute of Nuclear Power Operations (INPO) and the World Association of Nuclear Operators (WANO). These entities track safety and performance data in 10 important areas. One key indicator tracked by INPO and WANO is the number of unplanned automatic plant shutdowns. The U.S. industry has made dramatic improvements in the number of unplanned automatic shutdowns, dropping from a median of 7.3 shutdowns per reactor in 1980 to 0 in 2004. Other safety and performance indicators tracked by the Nuclear Regulatory Commission confirm the excellent safety performance of U.S. nuclear plants. The NRC tracks data on the number of “significant events” at each nuclear plant. (A significant event is any occurrence that challenges a plant’s safety system.) The average number of significant events per reactor has declined from 0.77 per year in 1988 to 0.02 in 2003. In addition to safe operations, U.S. nuclear plants continue to improve their already high levels of worker safety. According to NRC data, radiation exposure to workers (measured in rems) decreased from an average of about 1 rem per year in 1973 to 0.16 rem per year in 2003. Both the historical and current doses per employee are far below the regulatory limit of 5 rems per year. Figure 5-5. Significant Events: Annual Industry Average (Number of events per reactor 1990-2003) 0.5 0.45 0.5 0.40 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.25 0.26 0.3 0.21 0.2 0.17 0.2 0.10 0.08 0.1 0.04 0.03 0.05 0.04 0.1 0.02 0.02 0.0 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 Source: Source: Nuclear Nuclear Regulatory Regulatory CommissionCommission Information Information Digest Digest 32
Economic Benefits of Wolf Creek Generating Station Figure 5-6. Nuclear's Superior Safety Record (2003) Nuclear Industry's Industrial Safety Accident Safety Rates Compared to Other Industries 4.0 3.8 3.5 Industrial Accident Safety Rate* 3.0 2.5 2.0 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.25 0.0 Nuclear Electric Utilities Manufacturing *Number of accidents resulting in lost work, restricted work, or job transfer per 200,000 worker hours. Sources: World Association of Nuclear Operators, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. General worker safety is also excellent at U.S. nuclear power plants—far safer than in the U.S. manufacturing sector. WANO and the Bureau of Labor Statistics provide information on the industrial accident safety rate. This statistic measures the lost workday accidents or fatalities per 200,000 worker hours. The nuclear industry has improved its industrial accident safety rate from 0.46 in 1996 to 0.25 in 2003. By comparison, the U.S. manufacturing industry had an industrial accident safety rate of 3.8. 5.4 Current Industry Events The excellent economic and safety performance of U.S. nuclear plants has increased interest in nuclear energy by the electric utility industry, the financial community and policymakers. This is evidenced by the increasing number of plants seeking license renewals from the NRC. Originally licensed to operate for 40 years, nuclear plants can safely operate for longer periods. The NRC granted the first 20-year license renewal to the Calvert Cliffs plant in Maryland in 2000. As of June 2005, 32 plants have received license extensions, and 41 reactors have either submitted applications or formally announced that they will seek to renew their licenses. License renewal is an attractive alternative to building new electric capacity because of nuclear energy’s low production costs and the return on investment provided by extending a plant’s operational life. Besides relicensing current plants, interest has recently increased in building new nuclear plants. Three companies—Entergy, Dominion Energy and Exelon—have submitted early site permit applications to the NRC to test the agency’s permitting process for new reactor sites. Three groups of energy companies are seeking to collaborate with the U.S. Department of Energy to test a new licensing process for building and operating an advanced nuclear reactor called a combined construction and operating license. The effort is part of DOE’s Nuclear Power 2010 program, established to foster the development of next-generation nuclear power plants. 33
Economic Benefits of Wolf Creek Generating Station 34
Economic Benefits of Wolf Creek Generating Station Section 6: Economic Impact Analysis Methodology The methodology used to estimate the economic impacts of the Wolf Creek nuclear power plant is called input/output analysis. Several operational input/output models are available in the marketplace. The market leaders are Impact Analysis for Planning (IMPLAN), Regional Economic Models Inc. and Regional Input-Output Modeling System II. The study’s authors selected the IMPLAN model primarily because of the availability of the model and data sets. Other important factors were its relevance to the particular application, as well as its transparency and ease of use. This section presents typical applications of input/output analysis and explains the methodology and its underpinnings. It also describes how Wolf Creek data and the IMPLAN model estimate the local, state and national economic impacts of the plant’s operation. 6.1 Use of Input/Output Models Input/output models capture input, or demand, and output, or supply, interrelationships for detailed business, industry and government sectors in a geographic region. They also capture the consumption of goods and services for final demand by these sectors and by the household sector. The basic geographic region is a county, but model results can be developed at the multi-county, state, multi-state and national levels. These results are particularly useful in examining the total effects of an economic activity or a change in the level of that activity. These models typically are used when the following key questions need to be addressed: • How much spending does an economic activity (such as a power plant) bring to a region or local area? • How much of this spending results in sales growth by local businesses? • How much income do local businesses and households generate? • How many jobs does this activity support? • How much tax revenue does this activity generate? These models also are useful in addressing related questions, such as the geographic and industry distribution of economic impacts. Typical applications of these models include facility or military base openings and closings, transportation or other public infrastructure investments, industrial recruitment and relocation, and tourism. 6.2 Overview of the Input/Output Methodology Input/output models link various sectors of the economy—e.g., agriculture, construction, government, households, manufacturing, services and trade—through their respective spending flows in a reference year. These linkages include geographic linkages, primarily at national, state and county levels. Because of these linkages, the impact of an economic activity in any sector or geographic area on other sectors and areas can be modeled. These impacts can extend well beyond the sector and area in which the original economic activity is located. They include not only the direct, or initial, effects of the economic activity, but also the secondary, or “ripple,” effects that flow from this activity. 35
You can also read