E-commerce in the Nordics - Artificial intelligence - a game changer for retail Focus: PostNord
←
→
Page content transcription
If your browser does not render page correctly, please read the page content below
E-commerce in the Nordics Focus: Artificial intelligence – a game changer for retail The development E-commerce Control – more important – country by country for 22.4 billion EUR than speed of delivery SUMMARY 2018
Foreword The challenge of About E-commerce crossing borders in the Nordics As the e-commerce industry matures, many of us have started to see it Through its Nordic perspective, a broad as an obvious first choice: it is easy to compare prices; there is a conve- basis and a focus on e-commerce of physical nient array of delivery options; and payments are secure. The entire goods, E-Commerce in the Nordics provides world’s selection is just a few clicks away in my phone. uniquely valuable information for readers in- Many people emphasize the speed of deliveries as a crucial factor for terested in the Nordic e-commerce market. success and some companies have started to deliver on the same day. E-commerce is defined in this report as the But what is more important to me as a recipient is having control of the sale of physical products over the Internet. delivery – getting to choose when and where I receive the parcel – rather than getting it quickly. And I’m not alone. The overview of Nordic consu- The following is outside the report’s mers’ priorities is clear in this report. definition of e-commerce: At the same time, the variations are striking between the different » In-store purchases that were initially Nordic countries – home deliveries are the natural choice for most Danish arranged via the Internet e-commerce consumers, while Swedes prefer collecting their parcel from » Sales of services (for example, travel, a partner outlet. We see similar differences in preference regarding pay- hotel accommodation and concert tickets) ment methods across the border. via the Internet » Business-to-business online sales Even if in many ways the Nordics are one market, consumer behaviors » Online sales between individuals are anything but the same. For example Norwegians, who are used to paying customs in Europe, have a higher tendency to shop from North E-commerce in the Nordics 2019 is based America than their Nordic neighbors. Finns primarily shop from Sweden, on consumer surveys conducted monthly in Swedes from Germany and Danes from the UK. Sweden, Denmark, Norway and Finland. The surveys capture e-commerce consumers’ E-retailers who want to reach a market in their neighboring countries behaviors from January through December are therefore wise to study how the potential customers’ behaviors 2018. A total of 89,053 respondents vary and evolve. This report provides insight into many unique aspects participated in the surveys. of e-commerce in the Nordics. If as an e-retailer you want further help understanding your industry and your customers’ preferences, PostNord has extensive experience throughout the Nordic region that we are happy to share. Because I assume that like most Nordic residents, you ANTAL are not yet comfortable with asking Google Assistant, Alexa or Siri for RESPONDENTER guidance when it comes to business and other important results. 89 053 Håkan Ericsson President & Group CEO PostNord 2 E-commerce in the Nordics
Overview 2,8 22.4 9.0 5.1 EUR billion 5,5 How much we spend online in the Nordic countries Sales – Nordic e-commerce 2018 Nordic residents’ e-commerce consumption in 2018, calculated based on consumers’ answers to the question “How much do you estimate you have spent on goods purchased online in the past month?” (Base: Shopped online in the past month.) Because the results are based on consumers’ own consumption estimates, and calculation methods have been refined over time, comparisons with earlier reports should be made with great caution. Sweden Denmark Norway Finland 61 % 15,9 % Percentage of Nordic Percentage of residents who shopped online e-commerce consumption in an average month in 2018*. composed of In 2008, the percentage of e-commerce from Nordic residents who shopped abroad in 2018. remotely was 21 percent*. *Between 18 and 79 years. **In addition to e-commerce, also includes shopping via mail order, phone, TV shop etc. and refers to people aged 15 and up. E-commerce in the Nordics 3
Overview One out of three consumers in Norway shops outside the Swedes like country’s borders and invoice payments 62 percent had online and 6.8 million their most recent people also use Swish, purchase delivered to which is gaining a service point. popularity. p.28 p.20 For 89 procent of danes, being able to choose how the goods should be delivered is crucial when deciding where to shop online. Consumers in Finland have checked p.24 in to a store via social media 71 percent more other than Nordic consumers Where are we heading? in general. An average month in 2018 p.32 compared to 2008 SWEDEN DENMARK NORWAY FINLAND 2018: EUR 201 2018: EUR 223 2018: EUR 218 2018: EUR 158 2008: EUR 47 2008 EUR 60 2008: EUR 59 2008: EUR 47 Average estimated purchase Average estimated purchase Average estimated purchase Average estimated purchase amount per person**** amount per person**** amount per person**** amount per person**** 68% 66% 62% Percentage Percentage 48% of the popu- of the popu- lation who lation who 33% have shopped have shopped online*** online*** 26% 20% Percentage of the popu- Percentage of the popu- lation who lation who have shopped have shopped online*** online*** 4% 2008 2018 2008 2018 2008 2018 2008 2018 *Ages 18-79 **Ages 15 and older ***2008 refers to the share who shopped remotely, which in addition to e-commerce includes shopping by mail order, phone, TV shop and more. ****Comparisons of purchase amounts should be made with caution as the calculation method has changed. The figure for 2008 is based on consumers’ own estimates of purchase totals on a full-year basis, while 2018’s figures are based on monthly estimates. 4 E-commerce in the Nordics
Product categories that Nordic residents shop for Did you online (average per month January - December) In 2008, CDs and movies were the fourth most popular know What types of physical items have you bought online in the past 30 days? (Total) product category to shop for that… Base: Have purchased goods online remotely, after clothes, home in the past 30 days electronics and books. Nordics Sweden Denmark Norway Finland 39% 38% 36% 36% 35% 32% 26% 25% 27% 25% 25% 25% 25% 23% 23% 22% 22% 17% 10% 8% 1. Clothing/footwear 2. Home electronics 3. Media 4. Health/beauty 14% 11% 12% 11% 11% 12% 13% 12% 11% 10% 9% 10% 9% 10% 8% 7% 8% 6% 6% 4% 5. Sport/leisure items 6. Furniture/interior decor 7. Groceries 8. Children’s items/toys Online purchases totaling EUR 22.4 billion PostNord has tracked Nordic e-commerce for about a decade. A decade in which webshops went from acting in the margins to being a self-evident part of Nordic consumers’ daily lives. Consumption is rising at a rapid pace and in 2018, Nordic consumers spent EUR 22.4 billion online in total. A great deal has changed since at night or on the morning commute The development of logistics is 2008, when PostNord began to mo- to work. a key factor in the rapid growth of nitor Nordic e-commerce. Ten years Mobile phones have given a e-commerce. A look back shows ago, price was the single most im- powerful boost to the aspect of that in 2008 six out of ten consu- portant reason for shopping online. convenience in recent years. In De- mers expected a delivery time of For reasons of cost and competition, cember 2018, four out of ten Nordic seven or more days. Today, retai- online stores were incentivised to online consumers shopped using lers’ warehousing is more efficient keep their prices low, thereby hel- their cell phone. Ten years ago the and logistics players work hard to ping consumers cross the threshold technology was not yet mature and obtain ever-shorter delivery times. into e-commerce. Today, e-commer- resistance to changing commerce In some cases, delivery times are ce is driven largely by convenience channels was great. Only one out of only a matter of hours and in most and simplicity. Consumers can shop five online consumers who had not cases, it only takes a few days for exactly when it suits them, whether yet shopped using a mobile phone shipments to reach consumers’ it is from the sofa in the living room could imagine doing so. homes. E-commerce in the Nordics 5
E-commerce from abroad Five countries dominate Nordic online shoppers’ favorite countries From which countries have you purchased goods online in the past month? Base: Shopped online from abroad in the past 30 days. UK 26 % Note: the weighted averages for the Nordic countries reflect the average for only three of the four countries 31% (the country to which the question refers is excluded). Sweden Denmark USA 14% Norway Finland 10% 23% 14% 24% 8% The whole world’s offering is at Nordic residents’ feet Globalized e-commerce is gaining ground thanks to unique products, pressure on prices of generic goods, strong marketplaces like Wish and Amazon and a well-functioning logistics network for deliveries and returns. In 2018, on average three out of ten Nordic consumers shopped from abroad per month at an estimated value of EUR 3.6 billion. Nordic countries clearly differ when it challenges, residents have long been comes to shopping from countries oth- used to waiting for their goods. Swed- er than their own. Finnish and Norwe- ish and Danish consumers have higher gian consumers are used to shop from expectations for fast deliveries and they abroad, while Danish and Swedish con- are usually satisfied, because the dis- sumers rely on domestic webshops to a tance to e-retailers’ warehouses is short. greater extent. Finnish e-commerce has China, the US, the UK and Germany long been characterized by a high per- have long been the favorite countries centage of e-commerce from Sweden. from which Nordic residents shop. The Many Finns speak Swedish, and Swedish percentage of Swedes and Finns to Did you e-commerce is in many respects a step shop from China has declined in the In 2008, only 6 percent of Nordic e-commerce know ahead of Finnish e-commerce. Nor- past year. In Sweden the share has fallen consumers stated that that… they shopped online wegian consumers are also extremely by over ten percentage points due to from abroad every month active with regard to shopping from new applications of the relevant VAT or more often. abroad. Due to the country’s geographic regulations. 6 E-commerce in the Nordics
14% 13 % Sweden 23% 23% 25% 29% China 34 % Germany 25% 27% 26 % 10% Top 5 product categories that Nordic online shoppers buy from abroad 40 % 38% 1. Clothing and footwear Sweden: 31% 34% Denmark: 33% Norway: 26% 30% 29% Finland: 39% 27% 2. Home electronics Sweden: 19% Denmark: 19% 20% 18% Norway: 23% Finland: 18% 3. Media Sweden: 12% 10% Denmark: 17% Norway: 18% Finland: 15% 4. Beauty and health 0 Sweden: 8% Nordics Sweden Denmark Product categories Denmark: 11% that Nordic residents Norway Finland Norway: 11% shop for online Finns shop from abroad Finland: 12% (average per month the most January - December) 5. Sports and leisure Have you bought products online from What types of physical abroad at any time in the past month? Sweden: 10% items have you bought Basis: Shopped online in the past month. Denmark: 9% online in the past 30 days? “Abroad” means you perceive the webshop’s Norway: 8% (From abroad) domicile to be outside of your country and/or Finland: 8% Base: Have shopped that your delivery is from a country other online from abroad in the than your home country. past 30 days. E-commerce in the Nordics 7
Mobile phones “Mobile first” – a paradigm shift As mobile devices have become out of ten Nordic e-commerce con- more commerce-friendly and com- sumers make at least one purchase panies have adapted their websites via mobile phone every month, which for mobile use, consumers’ shop- is a 12 percent increase since 2016. If ping habits have centered on mobile you go back to 2008, only between phones to an ever-increasing degree. two and four percent answered that Because consumers always have their they had shopped from their mobile phone at hand, this paradigm shift phone in the past year. Sweden is creates enormous opportunities for still the most mature mobile country e-retailers. For a physical retailer, con- in the Nordics, but its neighbors are sumers’ continuous digital presence is close behind. Since 2016, the share comparable to almost all consumers of consumers to shop using a mobile walking by the store – every day. phone has increased the most in The epicenter of the mobile revo- another Nordic country with historic lution is in large parts of Asia, where traditions in mobile communication: “mobile first” has long been natural in Finland. In only two years, the percent- retail and where hundreds of millions age to make purchases via mobile of people consider the mobile phone phone in Nokia’s homeland has nearly to be the primary digital link to the doubled from two out of ten consum- store. Nordic consumers are also high- ers in late 2016 to almost four out of ly advanced compared with the rest ten consumers in the corresponding of the Western world. More than four period in 2018. Have shopped online in the past month Have you shopped online with your 60% mobile phone in the past 30 days? Did you 54% Base: Have shopped online (December) In China, the percentage know 50% 2016 2017 2018 of people who shopped that… 44% online with a mobile phone 42% 42% 39% amounted to 79 % per 40 % 37% 36% 36% month in 2017. 34% 31% Source: PwC 30 % 29% 29% 30% 26 % 21 % 20% Have shopped using a mobile phone 10% based on age Share of Nordic residents who have shopped with a mobile phone in the past 30 days, divided by age 0 Base: Have shopped online (December) NORDIC REGION SWEDEN DENMARK NORWAY FINLAND 60% 53 % 50% Digital natives drive the shift 50% toward new channels 40% The digital economy gives rise for seniors over age 65 is around one 30% 28% to clear generational gaps when it in five. Today, young people are “digital 22% comes to behavior, and shopping natives” – they grew up in the digital 20% with a mobile phone is no exception. era with modern technology and have Over half of Nordic e-commerce not had to acquire this knowledge 10% consumers between 18 and 29 years as adults. As time passes, we can old have shopped with a mobile therefore talk about an organic shift 0 phone, while the corresponding figure toward digital sales channels. 18-29 y 30-49 y 50-64 y 65-79 y 8 E-commerce in the Nordics 2019
The mobile phone – hub of the consumer experience Technical achievements have made mobile phones a natural tool not just for completing the actual purchase. Consumers also receive offers via mobile phone, making it a natural communication and marketing channel for stores. Furthermore, map functions on smartphones enable quick navigation in order to, for example, figure out where the nearest physical store is located. Another possibility consu- mers appreciate is being able to check stock before visiting a physical store in order to avoid going ho- me empty-handed. Many Nordic residents – about one out of three e-commerce consumers – do research on their Mo- bile phone before making a purchase. Most do this before going to the store, but it has also become relatively common to do research while in the store. Price comparisons, reviews and assessments are so- me examples of popular information sources for this purpose. The information advantage that physical stores have had historically compared with consu- mers has thus shrunken and in some cases been eliminated entirely. How do you use your mobile phone? Have you at any time in the past three months used your mobile phone for any of the following? Base: Shopped online in December 4. Looked up the 1. Received offers availability of a product to your mobile phone. before entering the store. Nordic region: 42% Sweden: 54% Nordic region: 31% Denmark: 35% Sweden: 41% Norway: 48% Denmark: 25% Finland: 31% Norway: 36% Finland: 20% 2. Searched for a 5. Looked up a product nearby store with your with your mobile phone mobile phone. while in a store. Nordic region: 40% Nordic region: 25% Sweden: 39% Sweden: 30% Denmark: 42% Denmark: 23% Norway: 47% Norway: 32% Finland: 31% Finland: 16% 3. Looked up a product 6. Taken a picture of a with your mobile phone product or price tag before before going into a store. a possible purchase. Nordic region: 38% Nordic region: 20% Sweden: 50% Sweden: 25% Denmark: 38% Denmark: 19% Norway: 43% Norway: 22% Finland: 21% Finland: 14% E-commerce in the Nordics 9
Deliveries Delivery is central to the purchase experience Consumers ask for clarity, freedom of choice and precision in the delivery. Customers want to be in the driver’s seat and are expressing forcefully that delivery, and thereby the task of shipping companies, is central to the purchase experience. More than four out of five Nordic out with regard to the desire to be able residents consider it important to be able to change delivery method after placing to choose the delivery method, which the order. The Finns, together with Danes, indicates that freedom of choice has also use parcel lockers to a relatively high become a hygiene factor. Swedes stand out degree. Norwegians and the Finns take from other Nordic residents when it comes a leading position when it comes to the to the desire to be able to choose the importance of being offered free shipping, delivery date, and through an uncommonly while Danes have the very highest demand high use of service points. Finns stand for quick deliveries. Think back to your most recent online purchase. How was your product delivered? Basis: Shopped online in the past 30 days Nordic region Sweden Denmark Norway Finland I collected it myself from a service point. 56% 66% 34% 62% 50% It was delivered to my mailbox/multi- occupancy mailbox. 17% 19% 10% 22% 15% It was delivered to my home and left outside my door (without me needing to 6% 3% 17% 3% 3% sign to confirm receipt of the product). It was delivered to my home during the day (not in my mailbox/multi-occupancy mailbox) and I had to sign to confirm 5% 4% 8% 3% 6% receipt of the product. I collected it myself from a parcel locker. 5% 0% 10% 0% 11% I collected it myself from the webshop’s physical store. 2% 2% 2% 2% 3% It was delivered to my workplace. 1% 0% 4% 1% 1% It was delivered to my home in the evening (not in my mailbox/multi-occupancy mail- 1% 2% 0% 2% 1% box) and I had to sign to confirm receipt. 10 E-commerce in the Nordics
Are fast 82 percent of Swedish deliveries more e-commerce consumers say important than they could imagine waiting one sustainability? to two days extra for their item if the delivery is made more sustainable/eco-friendly. This is why we choose a certain webshop How important are the following features when choosing which webshop/site to shop from? Base: Have shopped online. Percentage who responded “very important” or “fairly important” (June). Nordics Sweden Denmark Norway Finland 0 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% That I can choose how the item will be delivered. That a delivery date is provided. That shipping is free. That I can choose the delivery date for home delivery. That the product can be delivered within three business days. That I can change my chosen delivery method during the delivery time. That the product can be delivered the next business day. That I can add additional services to the delivery. That delivery could be on a Saturday or Sunday. E-commerce in the Nordics 11
AI On the path to a highly AI – areas of application intelligent era HOME SECURITY – AI is used for example to unlock the home A new force is on its way to transforming the rules of play for for authorized people. human life in general and retail in particular. Pure e-retailers HEALTH – AI-based portable are generally far ahead in a technology shift that is making devices monitor health, blood use of smart computers and so-called artificial intelligence* pressure or similar to increase customer benefit. FITNESS – AI devices are connected to a fitness profile in order to propose exercises, AI is usually described as intelligence has received help with making a deci- food etc. shown by machines and is used in retail, sion and simplifying daily life through among other ways, through algorithms numerous different AI tools. When FASHION GUIDANCE – AI is that customize recommendations, consumers state the areas of applica- used as a stylist that suggests individualize websites and optimize the tion in which they would feel secure clothing and alternatives. company’s purchasing. On the website, receiving help from an AI device, three PERSONAL ASSISTANTS automated customer service, through out of ten Nordic residents respond that – AI devices are used to sche- chatbots and assistants, helps custo- health is one such area, closely followed dule meetings, keep track of the mers receive answers to their ques- by fitness and home security. Apps and calendar etc. tions immediately, which can increase digital assistants on Mobile phones are KITCHEN ASSISTANT – AI is conversion. Automated warehousing already used frequently in the area of used when cooking in order to is another area of application, and with health (to keep track of blood pressure read a recipe, set a timer, regard to deliveries, experiments are and medicine intake, for example), in create shopping lists etc. underway with self-driving vehicles and fitness (to optimize diet and physical SHOPPING – AI is used drones. activity) and in home security (by regu- through voice command or au- For their part, the online consumer lating locks, alarms and lights). tomation to buy physical goods and services. *Artificial intelligence entails smart computers that simulate human intelligence, computers/computer systems that, based on data, can think, communicate, plan, learn and carry out work tasks. 12 E-commerce in the Nordics
This is how AI could affect your daily life In 5 years, in what areas do you think you would feel secure using AI? Base: Have shopped online (December) Nordics Sweden Denmark Norway Finland 40% 36% 33% 31% 32% 30% 30% 30% 29% 28% 27% 27% 26% 26% 25% 20% 20% 18% 10% 0 Health Kitchen assistant Home security 40% 30% 27% 28% 25% 26% 23% 20% 21% 22% 20% 19% 15% 13% 14% 13% 12% 12% 13% 10% 11% 10% 10% 8% 0 Fitness Personal assistant Shopping Fashion advice Are the machines Did you taking over? 29% of Nordic e-commerce know consumers are anxious about increased AI that… Machines that become so intelligent elements in daily life. that they cease to serve humans and instead take over control are perhaps the most common theme of dystopian science fiction. In parallel with the rapid development of artificial intelligence as an assistive tool in retail – probably a disruptive force in order to increase customer benefit in the future – it is worth noting that many consumers feel a sense of anxiety about AI’s entry into more and more spheres of life. Three out of ten Nordic residents feel anxious about how AI may impact life moving forward, and the pattern is consistent across all age groups. Not least, this means that e-retailers must be clear about what they are doing, work careful- ly with customer data, and respect their customers’ privacy. E-commerce in the Nordics 13
AI 13 % 13 % 15 % SW ED EN DE NM AR Percentage who 9% K have returned 15 % a shipment in the NO past month RW Basis: Have 10 AY % shopped online. FI NL 5% AN D 0 Customers who make many returns represent the greater share of retail sales Just over one in ten of Nordic e-commerce consumers make at least one return a month. The value of returns for e-commerce companies has long been disputed in the industry, because returns drive up logistics costs through transport and warehouse management. Studies show that return policies directly impact how consumers choose webshops. A disadvantageous return policy The fashion industry has frequent measurements. With the help of AI, or complicated return procedures returns, when it comes down to the store can then suggest clothes often prevent purchases. On the it e-consumers do not really want and shoes with the best fit possible. other hand, a high level of service free and convenient returns – they Saving such personal information have a positive influence on con- want clothes and shoes that fit. So could feel uncomfortable from a pri- sumers’ trust, which in turn leads to far, returns have often served as vacy perspective, but many Nordic higher loyalty and more purchas- a substitute for the fitting room consumers say they would appreci- es. The conclusion is that returns in physical stores. But a solution ate this kind of help. Among Nordic certainly impair profitability in the is on the way. With the help of AI, online consumers, Danes would short term, but this changes in the returns can be reduced. Consum- feel most comfortable allowing web- long term because return custom- ers’ purchase journeys online will shops to save body measurements, ers amount for a larger share of be simplified when webshops can while at the moment, Finns feel sales. save personal data about body more hesitant. 14 E-commerce in the Nordics
Save information about your body measurements for a better AI experience Would you feel comfortable with allowing webshops to save personal information about your body measurements? Base: Shopped online (December) Yes, fairly comfortable Yes, very comfortable 50% 45% 39% 40% 10% 37% 10% 30% 28% 13% 5% 20% 10% 29% 35% 24% 23% 0 Sweden Denmark Norway Finland E-commerce in the Nordics 15
AI Great potential for digital assistants AI-based digital assistants and smart speakers comprise a potential hub of people’s future digital lives. The assistants help their owners produce and process information and carry out daily errands – everything from information about the weather, answering factual questions or finding directions to turning out the lights and putting on background music. In the US, more than half of all digital assistant. The share varies the technology is still relatively un- households are expected to have between 7 percent in Finland and familiar. In light of this, and that a freestanding digital assistant like 15 percent in Norway. The typical some consumers feel anxious Google Home or Amazon Echo by “early adopters” are young men about AI, there may be a need to 2022. These are already used as who live in major cities. Today, work more expressly for consu- shopping tools by assisting with Nordic residents primarily use as- mers to feel more secure with product searches, purchasing, and sistants to play music, do research the development. In all likelihood, renewal of subscriptions via voice and manage to-do lists. the number of Nordic residents command. In the Nordic region, The large number of consu- who use AI assistants will increase relatively few consumers currently mers who currently say they are sharply in the coming years, as the state that they have purchased uninterested in digital assistants devices learn new languages and or plan to purchase an AI-based probably reflects on the fact that organically spread to new markets. 14% 18% 11% 9% SWEDEN DENMARK Personal 75% 73% assistant Do you have or do you plan to buy a digital personal assistant? Base: Have shopped online in December Have purchased or will purchase 14% 12% Not interested Don’t know 7% 15% NORWAY FINLAND 71% 81% 16 E-commerce in the Nordics
Let AI renew an order Would you be comfortable with letting AI renew an order that has run out? Base: Have shopped online (December) 40% Yes, fairly comfortable Yes, very comfortable 35% 32% 30% 29% 27% 25% 6% 23% 10% 7% 20% 5% 15% 10% 5% 20% 23% 22% 18% 0 Sweden Denmark Norway Finland Automatic orders do the work for consumers To an increasingly high degree, the purchasing journey is driven by convenience. In the next few years, AI features that save the customers time and energy are expected to become increasingly common. AI will probably be the most shopping could be replaced by food purchases. One day, the radical behavioral change in how AI automatically placing a new consumer will ask their voice consumers shop since the takeo- order at a point in time determi- assistant to order ingredients for ver of the Mobile phone. In turn, ned via analysis with the help “pasta with tomato sauce.” The this means that e-commerce of customer data or by smart ho- question is then what pasta and companies will need to be even me appliances. This could apply which crushed tomatoes will more creative with how they to a wide variety of consumer arrive at home; will it be a supp- reach their customers. Three purchases that are made over lier’s brand or the retailer’s own out of ten Nordic e-commerce and over, for example the pur- brand? Whoever governs the consumers say they would be chase of consumables such as algorithms has the power. This comfortable with letting AI re- milk, butter or laundry detergent. will likely result in an increase in new an order when the products Above all, this will impact the market share for retailers’ own run out. The idea is that routine battle of the brands in digital brands. E-commerce in the Nordics 17
Introduction – the Nordic countries Sweden Denmark Swedes like For 89 procent of danes, invoice payments being able to choose online and 6.8 million how the goods should people also use Swish, be delivered is crucial which is gaining when deciding where to popularity. shop online. Population (January 1, 2018) Population (January 1, 2018) 10,143,000 5,781,000 Percentage that shop online each Percentage that shop online each month (18-79 years) month (18-79 years) 68% 62% 18 E-commerce in the Nordics
Norway Finland One out of three consumers Consumers in in Norway shops outside Finland have checked the country’s borders and in to a store via social 62% chose delivery points media 71 percent more for their most recent than other Nordic purchase. consumers in general. Population (January 1, 2018) Population (January 1, 2018) 5,296,000 5,513,000 Percentage that shop online each Percentage that shop online each month (18-79 years) month (18-79 years) 66% 48% E-commerce in the Nordics 2019 19
Spotlight on: Sweden Percentage Percentage Estimated EUR Percentage Percentage Percentage that shops that shops amount that that shops via who did who did in-store online every online from each Internet Mobile phone research online research before month* abroad each consumer each month*** before buying buying online*** 68% month** spends online 54% in-store*** 30% 18% per month** 50% 201 A digital shift is underway in Sweden Swedish e-commerce consumers and lower prices. Swedish consumers are who made at least one purchase in a given estimate spending a total value of SEK also digital when they shop in physical month with a Mobile phone amounted to 92.8 billion online in 2018. This makes it the stores. Fully 50 percent of consumers said fully 54 percent in 2018. New technology largest market in the Nordic region. Digital they did research online first and then like artificial intelligence and the Internet of shopping has had a strong breakthrough bought an item in a physical store. The Things will strengthen the role of Mobile in Sweden, which is made clear by the fact most common product categories purcha- phones further, which makes the area that an impressive 68 percent of the popu- sed in digital and physical symbiosis are central for retailers who want to be able to lation shopped online in an average month home electronics and fashion. meet customers on their terms. Swedish in 2018. In Sweden, digital advances have e-commerce consumers are also looking come so far that essentially all growth of A crucial reason for the advancement of beyond the country’s borders in the hunt durable goods sales has been online, com- e-commerce in Sweden is that consumers’ for attractive goods. Germany tops the pared with three years ago, when approx- mobile use has grown in scope each year. list of countries from which Swedes most imately one fourth of all growth took place Mobile phones are taking rapid strides prefer to shop, which can be seen by Za- online. The most important driving forces toward becoming a central hub for the lando’s strong position in Sweden. Swedes behind Swedes’ growing e-commerce entire purchasing process in Sweden. The primarily shop for fashion items and home consumption are convenience, selection share of Swedish e-commerce consumers electronics online from abroad. 20 E-commerce in the Nordics
9.0 The total amount that Swedes estimate spending on online purchases in 2018, of which e-commerce from abroad was 12 percent. bn EUR Mobile phone in the physical store Top 5 most popular countries from which to shop*Ä** 25% Have taken a picture of a product 41% Have checked stock levels 1. Germany 29% in a store in preparation for a using their phones before possible purchase at a later time*** visiting a store*** 2. UK 26 % 3. China 23 % 4. USA 14 % 5. Denmark 8 % * Average Jan-Dec 2018. Base: Entire population aged 18–79 years. 30% Have done research on 39% Have searched for ** Average Jan-Dec 2018.. Base: Have shopped online. *** Have shopped online (December). **** Average Jan-Dec 2018.. Base: Have shopped online from abroad in the past 30 days. a product using their Mobile phone a nearby store with their while in a physical store*** Mobile phone*** Most popular goods purchased online** Did you 40% 39% In 2018, 54 percent of Swedish know e-commerce consumers shopped that… 32% with a Mobile phone during the holiday month of December. 30% 27% In 2008 only two percent of Swedish e-commerce consumers shopped with 23% a Mobile phone at any time that year. 20% 12% 12% 12% 10% 7% 0 Clothing/ Health/ Home Furniture/ Sport/ Children’s footwear beauty Media electronics interior decor leisure items Groceries items/toys E-commerce in the Nordics 21
Spotlight on: Sweden Top 5 most popular Swish is gaining e-commerce payment popularity Sweden is at the leading edge produced results. At the same methods with regard to IT maturity and time, the payment method “debit the use of new technology. or credit card” has lost popularity 1. Invoice 38% Despite this, Swedes are a con- in recent years. The standout on 2. Debit card or credit servative group when it comes the Swedish payment scene is to payment online. Invoice pay- Swish. The service has long been card 22 % ment is the most popular pay- immeasurably popular among 3. Direct payment via ment method in Sweden year individuals but has now also after year. The reason for this is entered e-commerce. Around bank 14 % spelled Klarna. The company’s 6.8 million individuals use Swish 4. Swish 12 % digital invoice services have in Sweden, which demonstrates dominated Swedish e-commer- its enormous potential as a pay- 5. Paypal, Payson, ce for a long time, which has ment method. or similar 8 % How would you prefer to pay for a good you have purchased online? Base: Shopped online in the past month (December) Zalando is bigger than Amazon Zalando 21 % Swedish consumers’ purchasing behavior online differs from behaviors in other digitally mature e-com- merce nations as regards consuming from marketplac- es. For example in the US, Amazon accounts for nearly Wish half of sales in the e-commerce market, while the corresponding number in Sweden is around just a few percent points, which can be explained by the fact that 15 % Swedish e-commerce is primarily organized around independent webshops. When Swedes look abroad in the hunt for a larger product offering and lower prices, they are usually at- tracted to foreign marketplaces due to their enormous selection and security. Just over half of all e-com- Ebay merce consumers in Sweden say that in the past six months, at some point they have shopped from Wish, 10 % Amazon Amazon, Zalando, eBay or Alibaba. The German mar- ketplace Zalando has the strongest position in Swe- den. Just over one out of five Swedish e-commerce consumers say that at some point in the past year, 9% they have shopped from Zalando. In second place is low-price marketplace Wish, from which just over one Alibaba/Aliexpress out of seven Swedish e-commerce consumers have 6% shopped. Amazon, which is one of the strongest play- ers globally, does not demonstrate the same position Which webshop(s) have you used in the past 12 months? in the Swedish market. Only 9 percent say they have Base: have shopped online (June) shopped from Amazon in the past year. 22 E-commerce in the Nordics
Important features in online stores —delivery As Swedish e-commerce grows, the industry’s focus has shifted to delivery. The shift is based on a solid foundation: fully 29 percent of Sweden’s e-commerce consumers say that they have refrained from buying an item online at some point because they were not offered their preferred delivery option. So what should Swedish webshops do to reduce the number of abandoned shopping carts? Arne Andersson Should parcels be delivered the same day, to the workplace or on a weekend e-commerce expert day? Not necessarily. The hygiene factors PostNord which Swedish consumers indicate are Sweden instead: options, a clear delivery date, and free delivery. Swedish e-commerce consumers thus primarily demand trans- parency and clear information from the webshop. Meeting these criteria impro- ves the chances of the purchase being “We are moving Arne Andersson, e-commerce expert, PostNord Sweden: completed. more and more E-commerce is a well integrated part of In addition to hygiene factors, which must be met, just over one out of three toward wanting the Swedes’ daily lives. There are also ma- ny major e-retailers here who sell to the consumers say they want to be able to same speed and entire Nordic region, which means we buy add additional services to their delivery. Offering, for example, a carrying in servi- predictability of a relatively little from foreign sites compared with other Nordic countries. But now that ce, assembly, removal and returns hand- physical store.” international marketplaces like Amazon ling generates opportunities to create have started to establish in the country, competitive advantages on the market. things are going to happen. I think Swedish retailers are well aware of the challenges, but it is important to stay on our toes and How important are the following features when create benefit and added value for custom- choosing a webshop/site to shop from? ers. Otherwise you only have one weapon: Base: Have shopped online. Percentage who responded price. And in this arena it is impossible to “very important” or “fairly important”, June. 100% compete with the giant players. German Zalando is a marketplace that has already 85% 84% 80% become established in Sweden with great 80% 78% success. I believe this is mainly because the 68% company is perceived as Swedish. The site islocalized down to the smallest detail and 60% it is fast and easy to both receive and return goods. Otherwise I think it is interesting that 40% 35% logistics plays such a huge role for both the purchasing journey and the purchasing experience. We are moving more and more 20% toward wanting the same speed and pre- dictability of a physical store. In other words: you see an item, and you know you can 0 That I can That a That I can That shipping That the product That I can add take it with you and go. You want the same choose how delivery date choose the is free can be delivered additional experience in a webshop. the item will is provided delivery date for within three services to the be delivered home delivery business days delivery E-commerce in the Nordics 23
Spotlight on: Denmark Percentage Percentage Estimated EUR Percentage Percentage Percentage that shops that shops amount that that shops via who did who did in-store online every online from each Internet Mobile phone research online research before month* abroad each consumer each month*** before buying buying online*** 62% month** spends online 34 % in-store*** 23% 27% per month** 38% 223 Population density and a high average purchase amount give e-commerce excellent conditions Denmark has a strong digital economy The driver of Danish consumption toward Danes spend the most per person online and good infrastructure. The country has the Internet and away from physical stores of all Nordic residents. Given Denmark’s a high population density and topography is largely the flexibility of being able to geographical location as a gateway to the that generates good logistical conditions shop at any time. But low prices and a European continent, Danish e-commerce for e-retailers. Danish consumers estimate large selection online are also perceived consumers gladly receive impressions spending EUR 5.5 billion online in 2018. as significant advantages. Card payments from abroad. The most popular foreign Several trendsetting domestic e-commerce dominate online purchases in Denmark, destination online is the UK, which pro- sites are Elgiganten, Proshop, bookseller which is largely due to a high rate of con- bably means many Danes are currently Saxo, the large marketplace Bilka, the ho- nection to the national Dankortet, which especially interested in how future trade me electronics store wupti.com and gro- has low transaction fees. connections between the EU and the UK cery players like Coop.dk and Nemlig.com. Danish purchasing power is strong. will look. 24 E-commerce in the Nordics
5.5 The total amount that Danes estimate spending on online purchases in 2018, of which e-commerce from abroad was 16 percent. bn EUR Mobile phone in the physical store Top 5 most popular countries from which to shop**** 19% Have taken a picture of a product 25% Have checked stock levels 1. UK 31 % in a store in preparation for a using their phones before possible purchase at a later time*** visiting a store*** 2. Germany 27% 3. China 25 % 4. Sweden 14 % 5. USA 10 % * Average Jan-Dec 2018. Base: Entire population aged 18–79 years. 23% Have done research on 42% Have searched for ** Average Jan-Dec 2018.. Base: Have shopped online. *** Have shopped online (December). **** Average Jan-Dec 2018.. Base: Have shopped online from abroad in the past 30 days. a product using their Mobile phone a nearby store with their while in a physical store*** Mobile phone*** Most popular goods purchased online** Did you 40% 38% In 2018, 34 percent of Danish e-com- merce consumers shopped with a know Mobile phone during the holiday that… month of December. In 2008 only four percent of Danish 26 % 30% e-commerce consumers shopped with 22% a Mobile phone at any time that year. 20% 17% 13 % 11% 11% 10% 8% 0 Clothing/ Home Health/ Furniture/ Sport/ Children’s footwear electronics Media beauty interior decor leisure items Groceries items/toys E-commerce in the Nordics 25
Spotlight on: Denmark Top 5 most popular e-commerce payment methods MobilePay is winning 1. D ebit card or credit – and is just a swipe away card 70 % Danish online consumers in a single swipe. In just two have long shown a very clear years, MobilePay has obtained 2. MobilePay 19 % preference for debit card, and that a clear market share of 19% of 3. Paypal, Payson will last a while into the future. all e-commerce payments. This But in late 2017, payment solution makes it clear that Danes can or similar 6 % MobilePay was introduced quickly adopt intuitive and easy- 4. Direct payment and integrated into webshops’ to-use solutions, at least when payment modules, making it they come from a well-known via bank 2 % possible for customers to pay supplier. 5. Invoice 1 % How would you prefer to pay for a good you have purchased online? Base: Shopped online in the past month (December) Strong development for Zalando Zalando 24 % Danish consumers are mobile and global. As they turn to foreign webshops to an increasingly high degree to have their needs met, it paves the way for foreign marketplaces to take a larger share of the pie. Via its platform, Zalando has successfully equipped Danes with fashion during the year and one in four Danish e-commerce consumers uses the German marketplace, which is twice as many as in 2014. In Wish 14 % a short period, a brand new phenomenon has also made its way into Danish homes, which is a wave of low-price Chinese produced goods from sites such as Wish and Alibaba. The share of online consumers to shop from Ame- rican sites has not moved in the same way, however. Amazon 13 % It should be noted here that the number of Danes to shop from Amazon or eBay, for example, is probably increasing in an absolute sense. Even though the per- Ebay centage of e-commerce consumers using American sites is standing still or even declining, the number of 10 % Danes who shop online in general has increased sig- nificantly since 2014, which means more consumers in absolute figures. It is clear that a player like Ama- zon still does not have a secure hold on the Danish Alibaba/Aliexpress 3% market, which may eventually change if the company focuses on locally adapted logistics, a Danish domain Which webshop(s) have you used in the past 12 months? and subscription services marketed to Danish target Base: have shopped online (June) groups. 26 E-commerce in in the the Nordics Nordics
Strong and clear demands from Danish consumers As e-commerce grows in Denmark, questions have arisen about how e-retailers should behave in order to balance all of consumers’ demands. In Jørgen Fischer many cases, Danish consumers know e-commerce expert exactly what they are looking for and they are good at communicating it. In PostNord general, they have the highest demands Denmark in the Nordic region when it comes to delivery: here there are clear wishes for clarity, freedom of choice and control of the purchase. Delivery speed has also become a hygiene factor, probably more so than in the other Nordic countries. “About half of Jørgen Fischer, e-commerce expert, PostNord Denmark This should be seen in the context of Denmark as a small country with high deliveries are to Danes have really taken to e-commer- population density and good conditions homes, and ce, which continues to grow more than physical commerce. The prediction is for a fast, painless “last mile,” which has gradually driven up expectations. For half are collected that volumes will double by 2022, and example, more than one third of Danish from a service perhaps even triple by 2025. Meanwhile, the lines between online and offline are consumers consider it important to be able to receive their shipment the day point” becoming blurrier, and that places huge demands on both retailers and on us as after placing the order. logistics suppliers. Together, we must make sure that customers perceive the entire chain, from purchase to delivery How important are the following features when and returns, as smooth. choosing a webshop/site to shop from? When it comes to deliveries, Danes Base: Have shopped online. Percentage who responded “very important” or “fairly important”, June. have already become accustomed to re- 100% ceiving goods the next day, because we 89% 83% are a relatively small country. About half of our deliveries are to 80% 74% homes, and half are collected from a 68% service point. But it is also becoming 60% 56% increasingly common to collect goods from webshops’ physical stores, called click-and-collect. When customers go into 40% 37% stores, they often see more things they want to buy, or they want help, which can lead to upselling of fully 15-20 percent. So 20% there should be strong incentive for retai- lers to offer this kind of delivery, and for 0 pure e-retailers to have physical stores. That I can That a That shipping That the product That I can That the product choose how delivery date is is free can be delivered choose the can be delivered the item will provided within three delivery date for on the next be delivered business days home delivery business day E-commerce in the Nordics 27
Spotlight on: Norway Percentage Percentage Estimated EUR Percentage Percentage Percentage that shops that shops amount that that shops via who did who did in-store online every online from each Internet Mobile phone research online research before month* abroad each consumer each month*** before buying buying online*** 66% month** spends online 42% in-store*** 32% 34% per month** 43% 218 Habitual e-commerce consumers embrace mobile shopping behavior Norwegian e-commerce consumers For many years, Norway has had a VAT- in Norwegian shopping, both on and say that they spent SEK 52.4 billion online free limit of NOK 350 for online purchases offline. Four out of ten shop with a Mobile in 2018. E-commerce is widespread in the from abroad. The Norwegian governme- phone each month, and as many have country and in an average month, two nt has now decided that this limit will be “webroomed,” or conducted research out of three Norwegians shopped online. removed as of January 1, 2020, and that online before going to a physical store to 24-hour availability, location indepen- VAT will be charged on all goods ordered make a purchase. Physical stores also play dence, competitive prices and a large from abroad. A customs fee will also be a large role in Norwegians’ online shop- selection drive online sales toward new charged for the administrative manage- ping. Every third consumer has looked at conquests. Norwegians are also used ment. It remains to be seen if – and if so, an item in a store before buying it online to shopping from abroad; on average, how – Norwegian e-commerce behavior and one out of five have taken a picture one out of three consumers shops from will change with this new rule. of a product in a physical store and later beyond the country’s borders. Mobile phones have a prominent role bought it online. 28 E-commerce in the Nordics
5.1 The total amount that Norwegians estimate spending on online purchases in 2018, of which e-commerce from abroad was 15 percent. bn EUR Mobile phone in the physical store Top 5 most popular countries from which to shop**** 22% Have taken a picture of a product 36% Have checked stock levels 1. China 34% in a store in preparation for a using their phones before possible purchase at a later time*** visiting a store*** 2. UK 24 % 3. USA 23 % 4. Sweden 13 % 5. Germany 10% * Average Jan-Dec 2018. Base: Entire population aged 18–79 years. 32% Have done research on 47% Have searched for ** Average Jan-Dec 2018.. Base: Have shopped online. *** Have shopped online (December). **** Average Jan-Dec 2018.. Base: Have shopped online from abroad in the past 30 days. a product using their Mobile phone a nearby store with their while in a physical store*** Mobile phone*** Most popular goods purchased online** Did you 40% 36% In 2018, 42 percent of Norwegian e-commerce consumers shopped know with a Mobile phone during the holiday that… month of December. 30% In 2008 only 4 percent of Norwegian 25% 25% e-commerce consumers shopped with a Mobile phone at any time that year. 20% 14% 10% 10% 10% 10% 6% 0 Clothing/ Home Sport/ Health/ Furniture/ Children’s footwear electronics Media leisure items beauty interior decor Groceries items/toys E-commerce in the Nordics 29
Spotlight on: Norway Top 5 most popular Vipps rises sharply e-commerce payment methods A majority of Norwegian online consumers prefer to pay with a result shows an attitude shift among consumers who, to an credit or debit card, probably be- increasingly high extent, are 1. D ebit card or cause this is a payment method tending to step away from credit credit card 51 % with a traditionally strong posi- and debit cards in favor of Vipps, tion. The rest of consumers prefe- whose popularity has increa- 2. Paypal, Payson rably pay with PayPal and Vipps, sed from 2 to 14 percent in only or similar 18 % or via invoice. two years. This extremely fast The payment market is behavioral change means that 3. Vipps 14 % undergoing a major change the webshops that want strong 4. Invoice 14% and digitalization creates new competitiveness are offering a opportunities for innovative, complete palette of the most 5. Direct payment seamless payments. This year’s popular payment solutions. via bank 1 % How would you prefer to pay for a good you have purchased online? Base: Shopped online in the past month (December) Zalando 28 % Zalando and eBay lead Ebay the race Norwegian consumers are the 27 % Amazon Nordic residents who report shop- ping from foreign platform com- 15 % panies to the greatest extent. Just as in the other Nordic countries, Zalando has a very strong position in Norway, while the share to say that they shop from eBay Wish stands out from a Nordic perspec- tive. Norwegians have probably become accustomed to buying 14 % inexpensive small products, such Alibaba/Aliexpress as mobile cases and cables, from 7% eBay, a function that Wish serves Which webshop(s) have you used in the past 12 months? in many of the other Nordic Base: Have shopped online (June) countries. 30 E-commerce in the Nordics
Delivery options capture customers Rikke Kyllenstjerna Precision and freedom of choice in deliveries produce satisfied customers. e-commerce expert For Norwegian e-commerce consu- PostNord, Norway mers, it is extremely important to know when an item will be delivered and that there is a possibility to choose both the delivery method and the date of home delivery if relevant. It is interesting to note that only one “Norwegians shop Rikke Kyllenstjerna, e-commerce expert, PostNord Norway: out of five online consumers thinks it is important to receive deliveries over the from abroad a Norwegians shop from abroad a great weekend. This is probably because the great deal, which deal, which is because many brands can’t be found here. But that may change, at point of departure among the respon- ding consumers is today, when there are is because many least to some extent. As the report states, limited opportunities for Saturday and brands can’t be all e-retail purchases, without exception, will be charged VAT and will have to clear Sunday deliveries, and they have there- fore not experienced any advantages or found here.” customs as of 2020. This means it will be more expensive and harder for Norwe- disadvantages of a weekend delivery. gians to shop from abroad than we are used to. I don’t think this will affect how much we spend online overall; rather, it How important are the following features when will probably be more attractive to shop choosing a webshop/site to shop from? from Norwegian e-retailers. Ultimately it Base: Have shopped online. Percentage who responded “very important” or “fairly important”, June. may also lead to foreign e-retailers estab- 100% lishing local warehousing solutions in the country, at least for returns. Otherwise, I 82% 80% think it is interesting that information and 80% 74% freedom of choice regarding deliver- ies are so important for the purchasing 60% 60% 56% experience. Deliveries bring about a lot of emotions – we can see that when cus- tomers rate their experience of PostNord 40% 32% in Norway. For example, they are irritated if they receive poor information about when the parcel will be delivered. As 20% carriers, we must work even more closely with e-retailers in order to improve the 0 customer experience. That a That shipping That I can That I can That the product That I can delivery date is is free choose how choose the can be delivered change the type provided the item will be delivery date for within three of delivery during delivered home delivery business days the delivery time E-commerce in the Nordics 31
Spotlight on: Finland Percentage Percentage Estimated EUR Percentage Percentage Percentage that shops that shops amount that that shops via who did who did in-store online every online from each Internet Mobile phone research online research before month* abroad each consumer each month*** before buying buying online*** 48% month** spends online 37% in-store*** 16% 38% per month** 21% 158 Leaders in shopping from abroad Finnish e-commerce consumers esti- Finns who grew up with digital technology, three most popular countries from which mate spending a total of EUR 2.8 billion the gap between Finland and the rest of to shop are China and Germany followed online in 2018. Finland is the Nordic e-com- the Nordics may closing. Finns between by the historically significant trade partner merce market with perhaps the greatest ages 18 and 29 years old shop online with Sweden. One factor that drives Finns growth potential for the coming year, as Mobile phones to a greater degree than to shop online from abroad is that the lessons can be taken from more mature their equivalents in Norway and Den- number of domestic “pure players” today markets, which creates opportunities for mark, for example. Finnish seniors are also is relatively small compared to many of catching-up effects. The average purchase catching up in terms of percentage, and their neighboring countries. An overview amount per e-commerce consumer in Fin- in 2018 almost one out of four Finnish of the most popular products to buy land is currently the lowest in the Nordic re- e-commerce consumers over the age of online among Finns shows that fashion gion, and one barrier that has contributed 65 shopped online with a Mobile phone. takes a clear first place. Almost one out of to slightly lower e-commerce maturity is Finns also stand out for shopping onli- four Finns buys fashion items online from that it has taken time for the older Finnish ne from abroad more than other Nordic domestic players, while the share that pur- generation to adopt the e-commerce residents. In 2018, two out of five Finnish chase from players abroad is significantly trend. With help from a new generation of consumers shopped from abroad. The greater. 32 E-commerce in the Nordics
You can also read