DOES SINGAPORE HAVE CLEAN AIR?
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Review of Singapore’s Air Quality and Greenhouse Gas Emissions: Current Situation and Opportunities DOES SINGAPORE HAVE CLEAN AIR? What do we know about Singapore's air quality and greenhouse gas emissions? Erik Velasco evelasco@smart.mit.edu ESI SEMINAR Oct. 27, 2011.
Outline 1. Singapore’s Air Quality and Greenhouse Gas Emissions Air quality assessment Ambient monitoring Emissions inventories (air toxics and greenhouse gases) Air quality modeling Health impacts 2. CENSAM’s projects on urban atmosphere Sources and sinks of CO2 in a urban neighborhood of Singapore Characterization of inhalable particles in selected microenvironments of Singapore
Air Quality Assessment Ambient Monitoring Environmental policies Emissions Modeling Scientific research Public health Economy EDUCATION
Sustainable Development Blueprint April 8th, 2009 Singapore’s air quality compares well with major cities with our PSI being in the “good” range for 96% of the days in 2008 Air pollution goals for 2020: • PM2.5 from 16 µg/m3 to 12 µg/m3 • SO2 → 15 µg/m3 (~6 ppb)
Key environmental statistics 2011 USEPA NAAQS 365 80 100 40 10 150 150 35 15 0.15 PM2.5 2007
Diurnal variability ? Diurnal cycle of CO and O3 in Mexico City, averaged for all stations over 2001–2007 Stephens et al., Atmos. Chem. Phys., 8, 5313–5325, 2008 O3 Spatial variability ? VOCs PM1 Air Quality in Mexico City Report 2009 mercury PAHs ? toxics Seasonal variability ? CO
Emission sources Second world busiest seaport Highly industrialized economy ~1 million vehicles 62.4 km/h Expressways Average speed Major aviation hub in Southeast 26.9 km/h Arterial roads. Asia (4,340 weekly flights) Fake money burning The second most densely populated Wildfires country
Ozone Organic aerosols Secondary pollutants Oxygenated volatile organic compounds Peroxyde radicals And many other toxic compounds Taken from Andeae (2009), Science 326, pp. 1493 Precursor gases from primary emissions undergo chemical reaction forming secondary organic aerosols (SOAs) in the atmosphere. Organic aerosols are also emitted directly to the atmosphere and are know as primary organic aerosols (POAs). SOAs and POAs react and mix with each other as well as with inorganic aerosols
Anthropogenic emissions from combustion and non-combustion sources @ 2000 SO2 + CO +NMHC + NOx +BC +OC Ohara et al., An Asian emission inventory of anthropogenic emission sources for the period 1980–2020, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 7, 4419–4444, 2007.
Anthropogenic emissions from combustion and non-combustion sources Ohara et al., Atmos. Chem. Phys., 7, 4419–4444, 2007.
Emissions per capita National level @ 2000
Emissions per capita City level
Emissions per GDP Anthropogenic emissions normalized by GDP. The national emissions were taken from Ohara et al. (2007) and divided by the corresponding country GDP using as reference the year 2000. The GDP data (in 2005 US dollars) were obtained from the International Macroenomic Dataset compiled by USDA-ERS (2010).
Singapore’s National Climate Change Strategy, 2008
CO2 anthropogenic emissions per capita The national CO2 emissions correspond to the emissions reported in the United Nation’s Millennium Development Goals Indicators updated on July 2011 (UN, 2011). The per capita carbon footprints include contributions of CO2, CH4, N2O and F, and were adapted from (Hertwich and Peters, 2009). Both, CO2 emissions and carbon footprints consider only contributions of fossil fuels and process emissions. Emissions related to land-use change are excluded. The CO2 emissions do not include emissions of international bunkers.
Sijori Growth Triangle ~8 million inhabitants 1.8 million 5 million 1 million
Hybrid Single Particle Lagrangian Integrated Trajectory (HYSPLIT) model of NOAA’s Air Resources Laboratory Yahoo! Singapore News Transboundary The 24-h average PM10 concentration was ~150 µg m-3, smoke haze reaching a maximum 3-hours average of 166 µg m-3 (PSI = 108, unhelthy conditions) on October 21 at 6 p.m. Oct. 20-22, 2010
~5% of adults and 20% of children have asthma. Prevalence of asthma in children aged 13-14 years Singapore 24% USA 18% Taiwan 13% Malaysia 12% Hong Kong 11% Sept. 2011 (Pearce et al., 2007) Cancer-related deaths have increased from 15% to 27% in the last 30 years, with lung cancer the leading cause of cancer in men and the second most common in women (Seow et al., 2004).
DOES SINGAPORE HAVE CLEAN AIR? Singapore is far from being a smoky and polluted industrial city. However, due to the lack of publicly available air quality data, we cannot conclude that Singapore has clean air. Science-based air quality management following a multi- pollutants approach will help Singapore continue to improve its air quality, promote financial investment, local economic growth and increase international competitiveness. At the same time Singapore will reinforce its position as a livable and more sustainable city, with the unique opportunity of leading air quality and greenhouse gas management in Southeast Asia.
BUILT & NATURAL ENVIRONMENT Air quality Urban atmosphere Greenhouse gases Climatology Characterization of Flux measurements Urban heat island inhalable particles in of CO2 and energy specific microenvironments
Flux measurements of CO2 and energy Telok Kurau, Singapore 22 m Diurnal CO2 fluxes. The black line correspond to the average flux measured during one year and the dashed lines indicate ±1 standard deviation of the observed fluxes. The shaded areas are the estimated emissions by bottom-up Eddy Covariance System approaches (i.e. emission factors and activity data).
Characterization of inhalable particles in selected microenvironments The purpose of this study is to obtain Results from this study will provide information information on the chemical and physical to the corresponding environmental and health properties of inhalable particles in selected agencies to evaluate existing air toxics microenvironments of Singapore using regulations and to identify areas of potential portable and real time monitors. improvement in their air quality programs. PM1, PM2.5, PM10 Particles # CO CO2 Conc. Langan pPAHs & Active T15n LI-840 & DustTrak Surf. Area CPC Black carbon CR1000 TSI 8534 Position TSI-3007 Garmin Photoelectric Aerosol Sensor GPS & Diffusion Charger Microaethelometer PAS 2000CE & DC2000CE MS AE51
Passenger cars: 394 h-1 Taxis: 248 h-1 Aerosol pollution in Motorcycles: 105 h-1 Temp.: 27.7 ± 0.7°C Buses: 69 h-1 bus stops Light good vehicles: Heavy good vehicles: 195 h-1 33 h-1 RH: 78.3 ± 2.9 % TOTAL: 1044 h-1 Little India Jan. 13, 2011
Aerosol pollution in bus stops The horizontal lines denote median, boxes denote 25th abnd 75th percentiles, and whiskers denote 5th and 95th percentiles.
Aerosol pollution in selected microenvironments Around Chinatown Indian temple Chinese temple Courtyard Chinese temple Bus stop Along Orchard Rd. Hawker center Offerings burner Incense burner Particle # Act. Surf. Black PM2.5 pPAHs CO PM2.5/PM10 PM1/PM2.5 BC/PM1 pPAHs/PM1 Site Conc. Area carbon (µg m-3) (ng m-3) (ppm) (%) (%) (%) (ng µg-1) (×103 # cm3) (mm2 m-3) (µg m-3) Bus stop (VivoCity) 102±28 97.6±19.0 339±89 502±215 25±13 1.4±0.4 90±4 98±1 33±9 2.8±0.5 Along Orchard Rd. (Pedestrian) 45±28 48.9±21.6 146±96 108±99 10±10 --- 80±9 98±1 24±27 2.5±2.2 Hawker center (Food-street Chinatown) 200±156 107.2±48.3 427±305 39±14 11±8 0.9±0.8 93±4 97±1 9±12 0.3±0.3 Around Chinatown (2011 Chinese New Year) 52±11 31.7±14.9 113±79 29±17 3±2 --- 83±5 93±1 6±4 0.6±0.3 Inside Indian temple 55±29 23.5±3.9 120±124 22±9 3±2 --- 83±6 93±2 6±4 0.5±0.2 Inside Chinese temple 101±7 137.5±5.6 142±38 39±3 3±1 --- 96±3 99±0 3±2 0.4±0.0 Courtyard 123±38 91.8±28.9 145±60 56±14 4±2 --- 91±5 98±1 3±2 0.5±0.2 Chinese temple Offerings burner 952±3873 48.4±30.7 328±291 123±123 16±29 --- 93±5 97±2 11±15 0.9±1.1 Indian temple Incense burners 3661±8196 143.6±20.3 1115±382 415±298 19±28 --- 99±1 100±1 2±3 0.4±0.5 Chinese temple
Diameter of average surface Bukowiecki et al., 2002, Aerosol Science 33, 1139. Taken from Oberdörster et al. 2005, Env, Health Persp. 113, 823
Thanks for your attention Leslie Norford Matthias Roth Rex Britter Michelle Quak Sok Huang Tan Erik Velasco evelasco@smart.mit.edu
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