DOES SINGAPORE HAVE CLEAN AIR?

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DOES SINGAPORE HAVE CLEAN AIR?
Review of Singapore’s Air Quality and Greenhouse Gas Emissions:
                Current Situation and Opportunities

DOES SINGAPORE HAVE CLEAN AIR?
What do we know about Singapore's air quality and
          greenhouse gas emissions?

                                               Erik Velasco
                                            evelasco@smart.mit.edu

               ESI SEMINAR
               Oct. 27, 2011.
DOES SINGAPORE HAVE CLEAN AIR?
Outline

1. Singapore’s Air Quality and Greenhouse Gas Emissions
   Air quality assessment
              Ambient monitoring
              Emissions inventories (air toxics and greenhouse gases)
              Air quality modeling
              Health impacts

2. CENSAM’s projects on urban atmosphere

   Sources and sinks of CO2 in a urban neighborhood of Singapore
   Characterization of inhalable particles in selected microenvironments
   of Singapore
DOES SINGAPORE HAVE CLEAN AIR?
Air Quality Assessment
                               Ambient
                              Monitoring

                             Environmental
                                policies

                 Emissions                     Modeling

                         Scientific research
                             Public health
                              Economy
                             EDUCATION
DOES SINGAPORE HAVE CLEAN AIR?
Sustainable Development
         Blueprint
                        April 8th, 2009

  Singapore’s air quality
  compares well with major
  cities with our PSI being in the
  “good” range for 96% of the
  days in 2008

Air pollution goals for 2020:
• PM2.5 from 16 µg/m3 to 12 µg/m3
• SO2 → 15 µg/m3 (~6 ppb)
DOES SINGAPORE HAVE CLEAN AIR?
http://app2.nea.gov.sg/psi_accessibility.aspx
DOES SINGAPORE HAVE CLEAN AIR?
Key environmental statistics 2011   USEPA
                                    NAAQS

                                            
                                    365
                                     80

                                    100     
                                            
                                    40
                                    10
                                    150     
                                    150
                                            
                                    35
                                    15      
                                    0.15    

                                            PM2.5

                                                    2007
DOES SINGAPORE HAVE CLEAN AIR?
Diurnal
                                                                   variability                  ?
                                                                Diurnal cycle of CO and O3 in Mexico City,
                                                                averaged for all stations over 2001–2007
 Stephens et al., Atmos. Chem. Phys., 8, 5313–5325, 2008

O3
                                               Spatial
                                              variability   ?                  VOCs
                                                                               PM1

     Air Quality in Mexico City
     Report 2009
                                                                               mercury
                                                                               PAHs
                                                                                                    ?
                                                                               toxics
     Seasonal
     variability                  ?         CO
DOES SINGAPORE HAVE CLEAN AIR?
Emission sources

         Second world busiest seaport

                                       Highly
                                       industrialized
                                       economy
                                  ~1 million vehicles
                                                        62.4 km/h Expressways
                                  Average speed
Major aviation hub in Southeast                         26.9 km/h Arterial roads.
Asia (4,340 weekly flights) Fake money burning
                                      The second most
                                      densely populated
                            Wildfires country
DOES SINGAPORE HAVE CLEAN AIR?
does nature
   NO
contribute to air
   pollution?
DOES SINGAPORE HAVE CLEAN AIR?
   Ozone
                                                     Organic aerosols
      Secondary pollutants                        
                                                  
                                                      Oxygenated volatile organic compounds
                                                      Peroxyde radicals
                                                     And many other toxic compounds

                                                               Taken from Andeae (2009), Science 326, pp. 1493

Precursor gases from primary emissions undergo chemical reaction forming secondary organic
aerosols (SOAs) in the atmosphere. Organic aerosols are also emitted directly to the atmosphere
and are know as primary organic aerosols (POAs). SOAs and POAs react and mix with each other
as well as with inorganic aerosols
Anthropogenic emissions from
   combustion and non-combustion
          sources @ 2000

SO2 + CO +NMHC + NOx +BC +OC

Ohara et al., An Asian emission inventory of anthropogenic
emission sources for the period 1980–2020, Atmos. Chem.
Phys., 7, 4419–4444, 2007.
Anthropogenic emissions from
  combustion and non-combustion
             sources

Ohara et al., Atmos. Chem. Phys., 7, 4419–4444, 2007.
Emissions per capita   National level @ 2000
Emissions per capita
       City level
Emissions
  per GDP

Anthropogenic emissions
normalized by GDP. The
national emissions were taken
from Ohara et al. (2007) and
divided by the corresponding
country GDP using as reference
the year 2000. The GDP data (in
2005 US dollars) were obtained
from the International
Macroenomic Dataset compiled
by USDA-ERS (2010).
Singapore’s National Climate
   Change Strategy, 2008
CO2 anthropogenic emissions
              per capita

The national CO2 emissions correspond to the emissions reported in the United Nation’s Millennium
Development Goals Indicators updated on July 2011 (UN, 2011). The per capita carbon footprints include
contributions of CO2, CH4, N2O and F, and were adapted from (Hertwich and Peters, 2009).
Both, CO2 emissions and carbon footprints consider only contributions of fossil fuels and process emissions.
Emissions related to land-use change are excluded. The CO2 emissions do not include emissions of international
bunkers.
Sijori Growth Triangle
                                  ~8 million inhabitants

             1.8 million

                           5 million

                              1 million
Hybrid Single Particle Lagrangian Integrated Trajectory (HYSPLIT)
    model of NOAA’s Air Resources Laboratory

                                                                                      Yahoo! Singapore News

Transboundary                                   The 24-h average PM10 concentration was ~150 µg m-3,
 smoke haze                                     reaching a maximum 3-hours average of 166 µg m-3 (PSI =
                                                108, unhelthy conditions) on October 21 at 6 p.m.
 Oct. 20-22, 2010
~5% of adults and 20% of
                                                    children have asthma.
                                                    Prevalence of asthma in
                                                   children aged 13-14 years
                                                       Singapore    24%
                                                       USA          18%
                                                       Taiwan       13%
                                                       Malaysia     12%
                                                       Hong Kong    11%
Sept. 2011                                                            (Pearce et al., 2007)

             Cancer-related deaths have increased from 15% to 27% in the
             last 30 years, with lung cancer the leading cause of cancer in men
             and the second most common in women (Seow et al., 2004).
DOES SINGAPORE HAVE CLEAN AIR?

Singapore is far from being a smoky and polluted industrial city.
However, due to the lack of publicly available air quality data,
we cannot conclude that Singapore has clean air.

Science-based air quality management following a multi-
pollutants approach will help Singapore continue to improve
its air quality, promote financial investment, local economic
growth and increase international competitiveness. At the same
time Singapore will reinforce its position as a livable and more
sustainable city, with the unique opportunity of leading air
quality and greenhouse gas management in Southeast Asia.
BUILT & NATURAL
               ENVIRONMENT

                                                   Air quality
            Urban atmosphere                       Greenhouse gases

                                                   Climatology

 Characterization of     Flux measurements    Urban heat island
inhalable particles in    of CO2 and energy
      specific
 microenvironments
Flux measurements of
CO2 and energy
  Telok Kurau, Singapore
     22 m

                           Diurnal CO2 fluxes. The black line correspond to the average flux measured
                           during one year and the dashed lines indicate ±1 standard deviation of the
                           observed fluxes. The shaded areas are the estimated emissions by bottom-up
  Eddy Covariance System   approaches (i.e. emission factors and activity data).
Characterization of inhalable particles in
                        selected microenvironments

The purpose of this study is to obtain                      Results from this study will provide information
information on the chemical and physical                    to the corresponding environmental and health
properties of inhalable particles in selected               agencies to evaluate existing air toxics
microenvironments of Singapore using                        regulations and to identify areas of potential
portable and real time monitors.                            improvement in their air quality programs.

PM1, PM2.5, PM10                             Particles #                        CO                  CO2
                                               Conc.

                                                                               Langan
                   pPAHs & Active                                               T15n               LI-840 &
   DustTrak          Surf. Area
                                                CPC         Black carbon                           CR1000
   TSI 8534                                                                             Position
                                              TSI-3007

                                                                                         Garmin
              Photoelectric Aerosol Sensor                                                GPS
                  & Diffusion Charger                      Microaethelometer
                PAS 2000CE & DC2000CE                           MS AE51
Passenger cars:      394 h-1
                                       Taxis:               248 h-1
                Aerosol pollution in   Motorcycles:          105 h-1
                                                                       Temp.: 27.7 ± 0.7°C
                                       Buses:                 69 h-1
                    bus stops          Light good vehicles:
                                       Heavy good vehicles:
                                                             195 h-1
                                                              33 h-1
                                                                       RH: 78.3 ± 2.9 %

                                       TOTAL:               1044 h-1

Little India
Jan. 13, 2011
Aerosol pollution in bus stops

The horizontal lines denote median, boxes denote 25th abnd 75th percentiles, and whiskers denote 5th and 95th percentiles.
Aerosol pollution in
           selected
      microenvironments                                      Around Chinatown                 Indian temple                    Chinese temple          Courtyard Chinese temple

                                                                Bus stop                                       Along Orchard Rd.                          Hawker center
                                                                                      Offerings burner                               Incense burner

                                       Particle #     Act. Surf.                       Black
                            PM2.5                                          pPAHs                         CO           PM2.5/PM10          PM1/PM2.5        BC/PM1         pPAHs/PM1
          Site                          Conc.           Area                          carbon
                            (µg m-3)                                       (ng m-3)                  (ppm)               (%)                (%)              (%)             (ng µg-1)
                                       (×103 # cm3)   (mm2   m-3)                     (µg m-3)
       Bus stop
       (VivoCity)
                            102±28     97.6±19.0       339±89          502±215        25±13        1.4±0.4                90±4                  98±1         33±9            2.8±0.5

 Along Orchard Rd.
      (Pedestrian)
                            45±28      48.9±21.6       146±96              108±99     10±10              ---              80±9                  98±1        24±27            2.5±2.2

   Hawker center
 (Food-street Chinatown)
                           200±156     107.2±48.3     427±305              39±14       11±8        0.9±0.8                93±4                  97±1         9±12            0.3±0.3

 Around Chinatown
 (2011 Chinese New Year)
                            52±11      31.7±14.9       113±79              29±17       3±2               ---              83±5                  93±1         6±4             0.6±0.3

Inside Indian temple        55±29       23.5±3.9      120±124               22±9       3±2               ---              83±6                  93±2         6±4             0.5±0.2

Inside Chinese temple       101±7      137.5±5.6       142±38               39±3       3±1               ---              96±3                  99±0         3±2             0.4±0.0
     Courtyard
                            123±38     91.8±28.9       145±60              56±14       4±2               ---              91±5                  98±1         3±2             0.5±0.2
   Chinese temple

  Offerings burner
                           952±3873    48.4±30.7      328±291          123±123        16±29              ---              93±5                  97±2        11±15            0.9±1.1
   Indian temple

   Incense burners
                           3661±8196   143.6±20.3     1115±382         415±298        19±28              ---              99±1              100±1            2±3             0.4±0.5
   Chinese temple
Diameter of average surface
        Bukowiecki et al., 2002, Aerosol Science 33, 1139.

Taken from Oberdörster et al. 2005, Env, Health Persp. 113, 823
Thanks for your attention

Leslie Norford   Matthias Roth
Rex Britter      Michelle Quak
Sok Huang Tan

                                 Erik Velasco   evelasco@smart.mit.edu
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