DEVELOPING EFFECTIVE BENCHMARK-BASED ALLOCATION FOR INDUSTRIAL SECTORS: THE CASE OF THE KOREAN ETS - Asia Society
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ISSUE PAPER By Dong-Hyeok Kwon and Alistair Ritchie June 2021 DEVELOPING EFFECTIVE BENCHMARK-BASED ALLOCATION FOR INDUSTRIAL SECTORS: THE CASE OF THE KOREAN ETS ABOUT THE AUTHORS INTRODUCTION more in GHG reduction technologies. Dong-Hyeok Kwon is Emissions trading systems (ETS) are increas- Grandfathering (GF), on the other hand, Head of the Climate and provides free allowances based on the level Environment Division at ingly being introduced as a way of cost-ef- fectively reducing greenhouse gas (GHG) of historic emissions. This rewards compa- Eco&Partners2OC based in Seoul, Korea. He is a emissions to meet ambitious national nies with high historic emissions, which are leading expert on Korea’s climate change targets, including Nationally likely to have invested less in GHG reduc- climate and environmental Determined Contributions and net-zero tion technologies. Therefore, BM-based policy development and led allocation is generally regarded as a more major studies for the Korean long-term goals under the Paris Agreement. A key concern for governments and indus- superior method than GF in terms of fair- Ministry of Environment in the development of try, however, is how to protect industry’s ness. However, it is also considered more benchmark-based allocation global competitiveness and prevent “carbon difficult to design and implement. under the Korean emissions leakage”, that is, the transfer of production trading system. This policy paper shows how in the latest to world regions with less ambitious climate phase of Korea’s ETS (K-ETS), BM-based Alistair Ritchie is Director policies that would lead to an increase in allocation has been successfully imple- of Asia-Pacific Sustainability total emissions. To address this concern, at the Asia Society Policy mented with some of the country’s largest ETS allowances are typically allocated for Institute (ASPI). He has led and most carbon leakage–exposed industrial free to GHG-intensive or trade-intensive major projects in Korea and sectors, including steel and petrochemicals. China on implementation of industries at risk of carbon leakage.1 The lessons learned from this experience emissions trading systems Different approaches to free allocation lead offer the following recommendations for and was formerly an advisor for the European Commission to different financial impacts on companies jurisdictions planning to introduce effective in developing the EU and rewards for low carbon action. Hence, free allocation systems: emissions trading system. this becomes a contentious and important • Use BM-based allocation as the free allo- topic. Benchmark (BM)-based allocation cation method, and ensure key details are ABOUT THE ASIA SOCIETY POLICY INSTITUTE provides free allowances based on a com- specified in the ETS legislation. With a solution-oriented pany’s level of production multiplied by an mandate, the Asia Society emissions intensity benchmark. Companies • Develop BM values for products associ- Policy Institute (ASPI) tackles with high emissions intensity will get rela- ated with significant emissions. major policy challenges tively fewer free allowances compared with confronting the Asia-Pacific • Determine a level of the BM value in a their emissions and will have to buy allow- in security, prosperity, practical way, while seeking to be as ambi- sustainability, and the ances in the carbon market to make up for tious as possible. development of common any deficit, whereas companies with low norms and values for the emissions intensity will get relatively more • Design the monitoring, reporting, and region. and can sell any surplus allowances. As such, verification (MRV) system to reflect the this rewards companies with low emissions boundaries of BM products from the intensity, which are likely to have invested beginning of the ETS. AsiaSociety.org/Policy-Institute | PolicyInstitute@AsiaSociety.org | @AsiaPolicy ©2021 The Asia Society. All rights reserved. AsiaSociety.or g/Policy-Ins titute | PolicyInstitute@AsiaSociety.org | @AsiaPolicy
ISSUE PAPER The K-ETS covers • Adopt a consistent and coordinated The cap is composed of ex ante allocation approach in the process of consulting amounts for existing facilities (free allo- more than 70% of with industry sectors and developing the cation and auctioning) and a reserve for Korea’s total GHG BM-based allocation methodology. new and expanded facilities.4 The share of auctioning is gradually increasing under emissions. 1. BACKGROUND the K-ETS to strengthen the carbon price The K-ETS is the first national ETS in East signal and provide funds for investment in Asia and has been operating since 2015. It low carbon technologies. 10% of the ex ante covers all entities emitting at least 125,000 allocation will be auctioned in Phase 3, with tCO2e per year or having an installation the remainder (90%) being allocated for emitting at least 25,000 tCO2e per year and free. For the sectors deemed to be exposed six greenhouse gases.2 The K-ETS covers to a significant risk of carbon leakage, 100% more than 70% of Korea’s total GHG of ex ante allocation is allocated for free. emissions. It was preceded by the Target The auctioning share is expected to increase Management System (TMS), which was further in Phase 4, with free allocation implemented in 2012 and provided valu- decreasing. able training in GHG emissions monitor- ing, reporting, and verification.3 2. BM-BASED ALLOCATION IN KOREA’S ETS The K-ETS has an absolute and declin- ing cap based on the share of K-ETS enti- Expansion of BM-Based Allocation ties’ historic emissions compared with total The initial and default method of free allo- national emissions, multiplied by the total cation under the K-ETS is grandfather- national GHG emission targets in the rel- ing, with BM-based allocation gradually evant years. Following the announcement expanding as shown in Table 1. In Phases of Korea’s net-zero GHG emission goal by 1 (2015–17) and 2 (2018–20), BM-based 2050, medium-term targets are expected to allocation was applied to sectors where be tightened to align with this goal, leading it was easiest to do so (where little or no to a consequent tightening in the K-ETS cap. change to existing MRV data was necessary 1 The alternative to free allocation TABLE 1: EXPANSION OF BM-BASED ALLOCATION IN K-ETS is auctioning, which should be a applied to sectors that can pass SECTORS PHASE 1 PHASE 2 PHASE 3 PHASE 4 their carbon costs to customers 2015-17 2018-20 2021-25 2026-30 and the share of auctioning should be increased as much as possible CEMENT, OIL REFINERIES, over time to more completely & DOMESTIC AVIATION adopt the polluter-pays principle and drive low carbon action. + POWER, DISTRICT HEAT, 2 CO 2 , CH4, N2 O, HFCs, PFCs, & WASTE b and SF6 + STEEL, PETROCHEMICALS, 3 The TMS still continues for PAPER, BUILDINGS, & WOOD smaller emitters outside the scope of the K-ETS. ALL SECTORS 4 Additional reserves, covering market stabilization, market a The confirmation of sectors for which BM-based allocation applies is given in the National Allocation Plan for each phase, following consent of the making, and liquidity manage- relevant industry sectors. ment, are outside the cap. b Electricity consumption at sewage treatment plant. Developing Effective Benchmark-Based Allocation for Industrial Sectors: The Case of the Korean ETS Page 2
ISSUE PAPER Steel and as it aligned well with the BM boundary various methods can be used. For Phases – such as cement, aviation, power, district 1–3, the BM value is based on the weight- petrochemicals heat, and waste) and where companies ed-average emissions intensity of all facilities are Korea’s largest requested it (such as oil refineries). Further making the BM product, as shown in Box 1. expansion in Phase 3 to sectors such as steel industrial GHG and petrochemicals was more challenging, The key advantages of this approach to as these sectors are far more complex than determining the level of BM value are sim- emitting sectors. plicity and the enabling of the develop- previous ones to apply BM-based allocation in that some significant modifications to ment of BM values even in sectors with a existing MRV data are required. small number of facilities. The disadvan- tage is that the level is not very ambitious. Examples of facilities in the steel and pet- However, as with other ETS with an abso- rochemical sectors in Korea are shown in lute cap, the cap ultimately determines Figures 1 and 2, illustrating their size and the amount of emissions reduced by the complexity. K-ETS. The initially calculated allocation amounts based on the BM values are mul- BM Methodology tiplied by a “correction factor” if necessary The K-ETS legislation does not specify to reduce the actual amounts that are given the basis for determining the BM value, so to companies so that the maximum amount of allocation available under the K-ETS cap is not exceeded. This correction largely addresses the issue of BM ambition levels under a capped ETS although there will still be a greater risk of excessive free allocation than with a more ambitious approach. As such, it is under consideration to determine BM values in Phase 4 based on best avail- able techniques (BAT). The overall allocation calculations are also FIGURE 1: Integrated steelworks in Korea - the steel sector is Korea’s largest industrial GHG-emitting sector shown in Box 1, including the last equa- tion that involves both BM and GF alloca- tion. The K-ETS has adopted a temporary method of determining the larger value between these two methods as the final value for companies in 5 sectors to which BM-based allocation is newly applied in Phase 3. This has been a very effective way of addressing opposition from some com- panies with high emissions intensity against BM allocation. However, this is valid only for Phase 3 allocation, and from Phase 4, BM-based allocation will be mandatorily FIGURE 2: Petrochemical plant in Korea – the petrochemical sector is Korea’s second-largest applied to all companies in these 5 new BM industrial GHG-emitting sector sectors. Developing Effective Benchmark-Based Allocation for Industrial Sectors: The Case of the Korean ETS Page 3
ISSUE PAPER If MRV data is BOX 1: BM METHODOLOGY UNDER PHASE 3 OF K-ETS aligned to BM BM VALUE (tCO2e/t) = Total GHG emissions of facilities subject to product BM (tCO2e) a Total production of facilities subject to product BM (t) a boundaries, benchmarking BM ALLOCATION (tCO2e) = BM value (tCO2e/t) x historic activity level (t) a x correction factor b x CL factor c is relatively GF ALLOCATION (tCO2e) = Historic emission level (tCO2e) a x correction factor b x CL factor c straightforward. FINAL ALLOCATION (tCO2e) (temporary approach) = Max (BM allocation, GF allocation) NOTES a Based on 2017–19 data from the companies’ GHG emissions inventories, for all relevant facilities, submitted to the government at the end of March each year. The data for 2019 was available by March 2020; following a 3-month determination process the BM values for Phase 3 were announced by June 2020, six months before the start of the phase. For companies in sectors requiring modifications to MRV data in Phase 3 to align with BM product boundaries, such as steel and petrochemicals, the approval of the improvements was made by 2019 to avoid delays in determining the BM values. b Correction factor to adjust, if necessary, the sum of BM- and GF-based allocations so that it does not exceed the ex ante allocation cap. c CL (carbon leakage) factor is 1.0 for sectors exposed to significant risk of CL. For non-CL sectors, it is 0.9. The actual BM details for the steel, pet- it took quite a long time to discuss (d). Key rochemical, and paper sectors are shown issues involved the following: in Annex 1 including the BM products, values, and boundaries. • Including certain sub-facilities. BM bound- ary setting defines specific and detailed 3. CHALLENGES AND SOLUTIONS processes or sub-facilities for comparing OF BM-BASED ALLOCATION emissions intensity. There is no problem if FOR INDUSTRIAL SECTORS all companies have the same sub-facility. When they do not, however, this can be a BM Products including MRV Data sensitive issue among companies, for exam- The procedure for determining BM products ple relating to pollution control facilities includes the following steps: at power stations, energy recovery facili- ties, and sub-facilities that are outsourced. a. Are the GHG emissions from the product significant? • Developing MRV data in line with the BM b. Is the number of facilities producing boundary. If the facility’s MRV data is the product sufficient to make a BM already aligned to BM boundaries, there meaningful? is no problem. This is also true if existing MRV data is not aligned, but other sources c. Can product definitions enable com- of monitoring data are available such as parisons of emissions intensity across energy and production data from compa- companies? Are production volumes pro- nies’ enterprise resource planning (ERP) portional to GHG emissions? systems. When neither of these is available, alternative methods are used, for exam- d. Can a BM boundary be set and MRV be ple, estimations based on rated capacity performed for GHG emissions? of equipment (from specifications), oper- 5 Even in this case, the company’s Among these steps, (a) to (c) were sufficient ating time, and other relevant factors.5 total emissions will remain the same as those calculated using to draw a rough conclusion at the beginning Overarching ETS MRV rules should per- calibrated instruments of consultation with companies. However, tain regardless of the methods used. Developing Effective Benchmark-Based Allocation for Industrial Sectors: The Case of the Korean ETS Page 4
ISSUE PAPER It was possible TABLE 2: CHALLENGES AND SOLUTIONS IN DETERMINING BM PRODUCTS to develop SECTORS CHALLENGES SOLUTIONS benchmarks STEEL There are only two integrated steel BM products for individual process companies in Korea and only three lines at integrated steelworks a plus one for integrated installations, yet they have significant BM product for EAF steelmaking (high GHG emissions. alloy steel not chosen): steelworks One overall BM product from an • Coke integrated steelworks was problematic despite only a due to differences in where intermedi- • Sintered iron ore ate products were processed (inside or • Hot metal small number of outside facility boundaries). • EAF carbon steel installations. Integrated steel companies sought Energy recovery facilities are included to avoid a direct comparison of their in the BM boundary to induce GHG overall performance. reduction (the company without CDQ One company had installed coke subsequently announced plans to dry quenching (CDQ) to recover invest in it). energy and the other had not. The company without CDQ insisted that energy recovered from CDQ should be excluded from the BM boundary. Electric arc furnace (EAF) high-alloy steel has a small number of manufac- turers, low emissions, and large differences in product characteristics. PETRO- Some products, such as vinyl chloride BM products for basic chemicals or CHEMICALS monomer and ethylene oxide/ethylene monomers: glycol, have a small number of manu- • Ethylene, propylene, etc. from facturers. naphtha cracking center (NCC) Some sub-facilities are associated – based on input of a single raw with one BM boundary at one material used to produce various company and a different one at products b another. • Benzene, toluene, & xylene The production ratio between ethylene (BTX) – based on input as above and propylene at naphtha cracking • Butadiene (BD) – based on input center (NCC) plants can vary, but as above agreeing weights for each product • Styrene monomer (SM) based on energy intensity can be challenging. Sub-facilities are assigned to BM boundaries in line with the practice of the majority of companies. PAPER The original proposal was to deter- Product BMs will be delayed until mine 5 BM products. However, some after measuring devices are installed. companies produce several products Instead, a BM based on energy input but have no measuring instruments to is applied and acts as a trial for wider split the energy used for drying each application of this approach to sectors in product. Phase 4 as a fallback option when it is challenging to determine BM products. a By allowing split by process line, five coke, five sintered iron ore, and seven hot metal process lines were included in determining the BM value. b Such a method could be agreed upon by the companies because the industry used the same approach to compare NCC plant’s energy intensity before the implementation of the ETS. Developing Effective Benchmark-Based Allocation for Industrial Sectors: The Case of the Korean ETS Page 5
ISSUE PAPER This case study Table 2 shows specific challenges and solu- however, some were passive in the discussion tions for determining BM products in process. Thus, the government organized provides valuable Phase 3 of K-ETS. on-site visits and one-on-one interviews to insights for explain the BM methodology development Buy-In and Cooperation with Industry process in detail and collect relevant com- other countries Under the K-ETS, companies need to be ments that were considered in the final deci- to develop an persuaded about the need to introduce sion process. BM-based allocation as Korean ETS leg- effective free islation allows both BM- and GF-based Overall, five years of in-depth studies methods.6 While it is relatively easy for and consultation with affected sectors on allocation system BM-based allocation took place. companies with low GHG emissions more quickly and intensity to agree to BM allocation, it is more difficult for those with high GHG 4. LEARNING POINTS AND easily. RECOMMENDATIONS emissions intensity that may face higher burdens compared with GF methods. The The successful experience of developing temporary policy of basing allocations on BM-based allocation in the K-ETS could the larger value between BM and GF allo- encourage other jurisdictions to develop cations helped achieve industry buy-in. effective free allocation systems. It provides Although this will tend to increase initial valuable insights for other jurisdictions to allocation amounts, a correction factor will not only develop a similar system but also counteract this effect and ensure that the to do so more quickly and easily. The rec- final allocation amounts comply with the ommendations and learning points are as total cap. In addition, an energy BM was follows: available for the government to apply if companies were not cooperative, providing • Recommendation 1: Use BM-based a useful backstop. allocation as the free allocation method, and ensure key details are specified The K-ETS relies on the consent and vol- in the ETS legislation. It becomes untary cooperation of companies to provide problematic if the ETS legislation does production volume data and energy/ not specify the type and key details emissions data at the BM boundary level. of free allocation, as this can lead to Companies with high GHG intensity could time-consuming debates about different be less cooperative, as they would be better approaches. The EU-ETS legislation, off with GF-based allocation. If they do for example, specified the key details not provide data, the BM value would be that helped significantly in the smooth biased toward low GHG intensity facilities, introduction of BM-based allocation. resulting in a low BM value and putting all Grandfathering is not recommended, parties at a disadvantage. As such, all com- as it does not reward early investments panies agreed to provide data. in GHG mitigation and low carbon technology. 6 The legislation requires that It was recognized that all affected compa- opinions of various stakeholders nies should be consulted during the BM • Recommendation 2: Develop BM are collected and reflected in the process of establishing the development process and a methodology values for products associated with National Allocation Plan. developed that they all could agree was fair; significant emissions. Product BMs Developing Effective Benchmark-Based Allocation for Industrial Sectors: The Case of the Korean ETS Page 6
ISSUE PAPER Under an ETS with can be successfully developed even for correction factor that companies dislike, complex industrial sectors. Alternatives but more importantly provide a stronger an absolute cap, include making virtual products based on incentive for companies to reduce their the cap ultimately proxies such as energy input. GHG emissions intensity. controls emissions • Recommendation 3: Determine a level • Recommendation 4: Design the mon- of the BM value in a practical way, itoring, reporting, and verification reductions, while seeking to be as ambitious as system to reflect the boundaries of BM however BM possible. The K-ETS approach of using products from the beginning of the weighted-average emissions intensity is ETS. Several technical challenges can values should still relatively simple and enables values to arise if emissions data is not developed be as ambitious be developed even in sectors with a small at the level of the BM product from the number of facilities. The initially calcu- beginning. It will be time consuming to as possible. lated allocation amounts using the BM make changes to the MRV system and value can be multiplied by a correction could delay introduction of BM-based factor if necessary to reduce the actual allocation. amounts to be given to companies so that the maximum amount available under • Recommendation 5: Adopt a consis- the ETS cap is not exceeded. As such, the tent and coordinated approach in the cap ultimately controls emissions levels. process of consulting with industry In Phase 4, the K-ETS is considering sectors and developing BM-based allo- to adopt a more ambitious level of the cation methodology. It may not be easy BM value, based on best available tech- to successfully introduce BMs if different niques. Other ambitious approaches can principles are applied to each sector for also be considered such as the average of setting BM boundaries and BM values or top 10% best performers as applied by if consultations with industry sectors are the EU-ETS. These approaches will help undertaken in an inconsistent and unco- not only to avoid an excessive level of ordinated way. The Asia Society Policy Institute and the Asia Society take no institutional position on matters of public policy and other issues addressed in the reports and publications they sponsor. All statements of fact and expressions of opinion contained in this paper are the sole responsibility of its author and may not reflect the views of the organization and its board, staff, and supporters. Developing Effective Benchmark-Based Allocation for Industrial Sectors: The Case of the Korean ETS Page 7
ISSUE PAPER ANNEX 1: BM DETAILS FOR STEEL, PETROCHEMICAL, AND PAPER SECTORS UNDER PHASE 3 OF K-ETS SECTOR PRODUCT BM VALUE BM UNIT BM BOUNDARY EXCLUSIONS STEEL Coke 0.8702921 Tonnes of coke Total GHG emission activities of tCO2 e/t all processes utilized from raw material input to coke produc- tion, such as coke oven, coke cooling, energy recovery, coke oven gas purification, pollution prevention facility, etc. Sintered iron 0.278873861 Tonnes of Total GHG emission activities Exhaust gas ore tCO2 e/t sintered iron ore a of all processes utilized from denitrification raw material input to sinter ore production such as sintering machine, sinter ore cooling and crushing, waste heat recovery, pollution prevention facility, etc. Hot metal 0.42872757 Tonnes of hot Total GHG emission activities FINEX© process tCO2 e/t metal b of all processes utilized from raw material input to pig iron production, such as blast furnace, hot stove, blast furnace slag treatment, energy recovery, blast furnace gas purification, pollution prevention facility, etc. Electric 0.31824712 Tonnes of crude Total GHG emission activities of Post-processing such arc furnace tCO2 e/t carbon steel such raw material input, electric arc as hot rolling, oxygen (EAF) as slabs, blooms, furnace, ladle furnace, continuous production, & water carbon steel & billets casting facility, energy recovery, treatment slag treatment, pollution prevention facility, etc. PETRO- Naphtha 0.32644755 Tonnes of raw Total GHG emission activities of Olefin conversion, wet CHEMICAL cracking tCO2 e/t material input cracking furnace, primary sepa- oxidation, acetylene center directly to the ration, quench, compression, recovery, C5 removal, (NCC) plant cracking furnace acid gas removal, chilling train, logistics/storage, cooling producing such as naphtha methane removal, C2/3 purifi- tower, gas supply, olefins such and liquefied cation, C4 removal, pyrolysis water/waste water as ethylene, petroleum gas gasoline separation, gas turbine treatment, waste gas propylene, generator, fuel gas compression, incineration, & city gas etc. hydrogen purification, & boiler treatment feed water Benzene, 0.15989477 Tonnes of raw Total GHG emission activities Hexane purification, toluene, tCO2 e/t material input of hydrotreating purification, cooling tower, gas xylene (BTX) directly to hydro- aromatic extraction/purification, supply device, & waste plant that gen purificationc C5 removal/purification, C9+ gas incineration uses olefins + auxiliary raw purification, & hydrotreating produced in material input dealkylation NCC process after hydrotreating as main raw purification + C5 materials removal. Developing Effective Benchmark-Based Allocation for Industrial Sectors: The Case of the Korean ETS Page 8
ISSUE PAPER ANNEX 1: BM DETAILS FOR STEEL, PETROCHEMICALS, AND PAPER SECTORS UNDER PHASE 3 OF K-ETS SECTOR PRODUCT BM VALUE BM UNIT BM BOUNDARY EXCLUSIONS PETRO- Butadiene 0.18726718 Tonnes of raw Total GHG emission activities of Low purity butadiene CHEMICAL (BD) plant tCO2 e/t material input mixed C4 heating, butadiene pretreatment, MTBE, (continued) directly to heating extraction/distillation/ logistics/storage, process such as purification, & solvent recovery/ cooling tower, gas mixed C4.d purification supply system, & waste gas incineration Styrene 0.44755891 Tonnes of styrene Total GHG emission activities of Catalyst manufactur- monomer tCO2 e/t monomer ethyl benzene reaction/distilla- ing, phenyl acetylene (SM) plant tion, styrene monomer reaction/ reduction, hydrogen distillation, & temporary storage purification, logistics/ tank storage, cooling tower, gas supply device, & waste gas incineration PAPER Combustion 34.8856 Gross calorific Combustion activities using Facilities at place of facility using tCO2 e/TJ value (TJ) of biomass as fuel included business with emis- biomass e input energy sions
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