Data Centres: The New Frontier - Cushman & Wakefield
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“Data centres are the core infrastructure on which the digital economy runs. As Singapore journeys to a Smart Nation, it will require more uses of and reliance on data centres for areas such as cloud services, data analytics and the Internet of Things.” IDA SINGAPORE | 11 MAY 2015 ©2016 Cushman & Wakefield NO WARRANTY OR REPRESENTATION, EXPRESS OR IMPLIED, IS MADE TO THE ACCURACY OR COMPLETENESS OF THE INFORMATION CONTAINED HEREIN, AND SAME IS SUBMITTED SUBJECT TO ERRORS, OMISSIONS, CHANGE OF PRICE, RENTAL OR OTHER CONDITIONS, WITHDRAWAL WITHOUT NOTICE, AND TO ANY SPECIAL LISTING CONDITIONS IMPOSED BY THE PROPERTY OWNER(S). AS APPLICABLE, WE MAKE NO REPRESENTATION AS TO THE CONDITION OF THE PROPERTY (OR PROPERTIES) IN QUESTION.
and landlords are still confident about the take- up rates and C&W believes that once the supply is fully absorbed, pricing might even start to trend up as early as the beginning of 2018. Singapore’s DC scene started with three ma- jor operators: Equinix (SG1), Global Switch (Tai Seng) and Singtel (Commtech) in the late 90s. Being the first mover in this industry, they were the gateway to global network providers via international carriers. Equinix and Global Switch dominated the MNCs, while Singtel attracted most of the local enterprises and government 248.5 MegaWatts agencies. However, majority of the servers was still housed within the office space until the late 2000s. Today, both Equinix and Global Switch have the reputation as a “carrier hotel”, with up APPROXIMATE IT POWER SUPPLY to 200 telco carriers in each of their facilities. IN SINGAPORE’S DATA CENTRES At the time of the launch of iPhones came the next wave of DC providers, namely, DRT (IBP), Keppel (S25), Singtel (KC1), Equinix (SG2) and 1-Net (Chai Chee). Most of these providers have Data Centres: The New Frontier Data Centre Colocations Capacity: Regional Distribution Despite the across-the-board pessimism in the Based on C&W’s data, there is approximate- real estate industry, data centres (DCs) seem to ly 248.5 MegaWatts (MW) of IT power supply 9% NORTH be one unique segment that is booming with collectively in Singapore’s data centres. Out of $83M lots of optimism. Singapore currently has the which, 163 MW has been utilised, 55.1 MW has largest data centre market in the Asia Pacific been earmarked for future expansion and 30.4 region (even larger than UK, which is the biggest MW is currently available. In addition, there will SENGKANG market in Europe), owing to several attributes be 115.9 MW of supply across seven DC new which make it a conducive host country for data facilities by December 2016 islandwide (with 32% WEST centres. These include advantageous geographic additional two DC facilities being planned with $310M JURONG location, safe and dynamic business environ- no specific timeline). This represents a whopping SERANGOON ment, stable power supply, and support from the 46.6% of the total current stock by MW, which government. Singapore is also spared from nat- presents an ideal scenario for tenants seeking Colocation Revenue ural disasters such as earthquakes and typhoons better quality DCs or migrating from ageing 32% 2014 TOTAL $963M which affect many neighbouring countries. facilities due to competitive pricing. Despite this EAST $571M new wave of supply of DC facilities, operators (in USD) Source: Structure Research 4 | Cushman & Wakefield Data Centres: The New Frontier | 5
good occupancy given their strategic locations, mence operation in December 2016. uptime availability and more importantly, their Since 2011, Singtel (KC2), Tata, NTT, Keppel good reputations in the market. (T25), Pacnet (110 PL), iO (AMK), and Century The more recent significant demand for DC Link have garnered more market share. Most started in early 2010s when the Singapore gov- recently, with the completion of Keppel (T27) ernment took a keen interest in developing the and Equinix (SG3), the nationwide supply was sector further to cement Singapore’s position as boosted to more than 248MW. an infocomm technology and media hub un- Demand for DC facilities has been robust and is der the Smart Nation initiatives. As a result, the likely to sustain in the medium term. According Infocomm Development Authority of Singapore to C&W’s data, the compounded annual growth (IDA), Singapore Economic Development Board rate (CAGR) of annual absorption by square (EDB) and Jurong Town Corporation (JTC) footage is 28% for the year 2008 through 2015. teamed up to establish a Data Centre Park (DCP) In addition, based on Structure Research, Sin- in Jurong to attract multinational corporations gapore colocation market size is likely to grow to set up premium DC operations in Singapore. from US$963.2 million in 2014 to US$1.265 billion Till date, Telin has taken possession of a plot of in 2016, clocking a 15% annual growth rate. green field in the DCP, which is slated to com- Pipeline Supply of DC Facilities U LT I M AT E CO M P L E T I O N O P E R ATO R ADDRESS REGION I T LOA D DAT E C A PAC I T Y ( M W ) Artist impression of 1-Net North Data Centre (Provided by 1-Net Singapore Pte Ltd) Singtel Yung Ho road West 36 Q4 2016 Telin Sunview Road West 12 Q4 2016 ST Telemedia / Ayer Rajar West 14 Q1 2016 Data Centre Demand on the Rise Utilisation Trend Starhub ST Telemedia Defu Ave 1 East 12 Q2 2016 sq ft 250,000 DRT Loyang Loyang Way (Brownfield) East 13.2 Q1 2016 85.5% 81.5% 77.9% 200,000 Keppel T20 Tampines St 92 East 17 Q4 2016 1-Net Riverside Road North 12 Q1 2016 150,000 ST Electronics Ang Mo Kio North TBC TBC 100,000 74.7% 67.1% Global Switch Gambas North TBC TBC 50,000 60.0% TOTAL 115.9 0 (9 DC facilities) 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 UTILISATION UTILISATION (POWER) (RACKS) Source: Cushman & Wakefield Research Source: Cushman & Wakefield Research Source: Structure Research 6 | Cushman & Wakefield Data Centres: The New Frontier | 7
Increased compliance requirements on data security from the finance industry, along with the exponential growth in data storage and management in a digital economy, should underpin the medium term growth for the market segment. Average DC occupancy islandwide currently Moving forward, a combination of push and pull stands at about 70%. With a large volume of factors will continue to drive demand for data new supply coming online next year, occupancy centres in the city-state. Increased compliance could fall further, but it should not be a cause for requirements on data security from the finance alarm. Prices could bottom out quickly next year industry, along with the exponential growth in due to the sustained demand from the growing data storage and management in a digital econ- tech/network content companies (such as Face- omy, should underpin the medium term growth book, Netflix, Uber), major banks and insurance for the market segment. As the Singapore DC companies outsourcing the data centres to be market matures, it is highly unlikely to see an- compliant with MAS’ requirement on threat and other opportunity like this following this wave vulnerability risk assessment (TVRA). We expect of new supply. It will therefore be wise to lock in occupancy to be back in the 70% mark by 2018, attractive pricing in the short term to prepare for and it will soon turn into a landlord’s market with the business in the next decade. positive rental reversions once the supply is fully taken up over the next two years. 8 | Cushman & Wakefield Data Centres: The New Frontier | 9
Lynus Pook Christine Li Data Centre Advisory Group Director, Research Broker +65 6232 0815 +65 6232 0845 christineli.mw@cushwake.com Lynus.pook@cushwake.com Copyright © 2016 Cushman & Wakefield. All rights reserved.
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