Data and Services by bulwiengesa AG - RIWIS Regionales Immobilien-Wirtschaftliches Informations-System
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RIWIS
Regionales Immobilien-Wirtschaftliches Informations-System BulwienGesa AG
research • analysis • consulting
Data and Services by bulwiengesa AG
© Björn Giesenbauer - Flickr
Daten und Dienstleistungen für die Immobilienwirtschaft
bulwiengesa AG – about us
© Mario Mantel - Flickr
Independent Analysis, Valuations, Consulting Market Competence
n Consultancy, Research and Analysis for more than 30 n Main Focus on office, retail, logistics and residential
years, with many long-time employees markets
n approx. 80 members of staff in n Comprehensive competence within the hotel and
n 4 offices: Berlin, Frankfurt, Hamburg and Munich leisure related sub-markets
n Interdisciplinary team – competent, quick yet quality- n Broad experience concerning special purpose
conscious services properties (nursing homes, airports, etc.)
n provides all from data to in-depth studies n leading in Germany, strong pan-European partner
network
n Independent from the very beginning – all shares
owned by the management n own valuation subsidiary:
bulwiengesa appraisal GmbH
bulwiengesa AG – Market Competence
© Jamie McHale - Flickr
Strategies, Studies, Forecasts, Indices,
Scoring, Rating
Top Down Analysis
Combine and Complement
n Data Collection, Research and Analysis of Property
Market Data
n Compliance and Confidentiality Agreements are
Experts &
respected > Data can be used to refine models
Market
Competence n Verification and Validation of Data
RIWIS online n Plausibility and Relevance Checks
n Standard Consulting Products
Bottom Up Research n Individual and Bespoke Products, Data Services or
Feasibility Studies, Market and Location Studies, Property Appraisals,
Reports and Studies
Surveys, Municipal Studies
bulwiengesa AG – Products & Services
© Jamie McHale - Flickr
Competence in all Market Sectors
n Portfolio Structuring & Strategic Consulting n Use-Concepts
n Property and Portfolio Valuation n Investment Strategies
n Research and Analysis
n Municipal Studies, Concepts, Regional Planning n Market Forecasts and Trends
n Business Modelling n Property Market Data
n Market- and Location Studies
n Feasibility Studies n RIWIS
RIWIS...
Reporting
© Frank Friedrichs - Flickr
Volatility Models
n ... is a granular and regional Information System
for real estate markets and its socio-economic
RIWIS
fabric Market
supports Risk-Management
Research Controlling
n … offers a broad spectrum of data and increases
the transparency of the property market
n … supports investment, location or strategic
decisions Strategy,
Expansion &
Design &
Competition Analysis
n … shows Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities Revision
and Threats of cycles, markets, locations,
properties …
Location Portfolio Strategies
n … enables knowledge building Decisions & Structurings
Invetment
n … facilitates well-grounded communication with Decisions
clients, investors, partners and colleagues
Daten und Dienstleistungen für die Immobilienwirtschaft
RIWIS / Scope of Data
© cfaobam - Flickr
n RIWIS covers relevant property market sectors with a broad scope of robust data
Residential
n nation-wide coverage for residential sector , focus on 125 markets for commercial markets R Retail
CTO Office
n multi-dimensioned, multi-focused, multi-layered SE Logistics/Industrial
E
TIM
…
– sector, sub-markets, details historic
development
– time-series SPACE current
situation
– regional & granular scale Site future
Building Block perspective
– several data sources Borough
City, Town
District (Kreis)
Region
n one fits all: for analysis, forecast, valuation
RIWIS: efficient– systematic – comprehensible
© Alex Eflon - Flickr
regular interviews
with >1,000
local Experts
Market property specific
n since 1990 bulwiengesa collects, compiles, vaildates
and publishes property market data
Land Registry track record
(Gutachterausschuss) Data investment
& lettings
n numerous data sources and methods are included in
this process and the processing and validation is
undertaken by long-time employees with plenty of
expertise and local market knowledge
surveys, studies,
Market Reports appraisals, advice & n the review of asking prices and comparison to actual
(various sources) consultancy work by transaction data enables plausibility checks and
bulwiengesa identification of trends on both sides
n this concept provides reliable and consistent time
primary
series which are used by a big number of clients, e.g.
Asking Prices market research &
(online marketplace) data collection
the Deutsche Bundesbank for providing data to ECB
secondary market BIS, OECD, IMF
data & national by bulwiengesa
statistics office
Daten und Dienstleistungen für die Immobilienwirtschaft
RIWIS – Selected Clients
© Sergio Morales - Flickr
RIWIS / Research and Validation
Market Observation, Monitoring,
Market Reports and Data
Surveys, Research, Test Purchases,
from Agents/Brokers
Writing of Appraisals & Studies e. g. IVD, LBS, Lührmann, Colliers etc.
Residential, Office, Retail, Logistics, Hotel, et.al.
Property Data Transaction Based Data
Mass Data e.g. Gutachterausschüsse (Land Registry)
Prices, Rents (Asking Rents & Prices)
>30,000 Letting Deals approx. 4-6 Million
> 8,000 Investment Deals Property Offers p.a.
Own Data Survey, Continuous
Aggregation to Submarket, City and Contact to Local Experts, Interview Panel
Regional Level Data
bulwiengesa Expertise and Knowledge on Markets and Regions
Market Data published by bulwiengesa
RIWIS / Research and Validation
Data Research
Own Studies Interpretation Appraisals, Studies
Secondary Sources & Analysis Marketreports,
and Surveys
Published Information Description Evaluations
Definition, Validation,
Consistency
Database
Time Series Analyses Expectations on Property Markets
Market Structure, Background, Decisions and Strategies
Trends and Changes Relevance of Market Players
Scoring, Rating, Forecast
Local, Regional, and Nation-Wide Property Market DataRIWIS / Modules
© Micha_hb - Flickr
MARKET DATA PROPERTY DATA
n RIWIS Basis n RIWIS Comparables
n RIWIS Quarterly Trends n RIWIS Pipeline
n RIWIS Regional
n RIWIS Sub-Market n RIWIS Shopping-Center & Retail Parks
n RIWIS Scoring REPORTS
n RIWIS Forecasts n RIWIS Select
n RIWIS GPIRIWIS Basis
© Jamie McHale - Flickr
n Market and Planning Data Indicators for
– office
– retail
– logistics / industrial
– residential sectors
are complemented by national statistics which describe demand
and supply structures
n Data Definitions and Methodologies are provided
n for 125 cities time-series from 1990
n for 49 West-German cities and 9 indicators data from 1975Daten und Dienstleistungen für die Immobilienwirtschaft
RIWIS Scoring
© Alex Eflon - Flickr
n Benchmarking each of the 125 cities using a bottom-up market analysis
n based on selected indicators which describe strengths and weaknesses
n three sectors
office, retail, residential
n three temporal perspectives
– historic development
– current situation
– future perspective
n six result categories (1a, 1b, 2a, 2b, 3, 4)RIWIS GPI
© Alex Eflon - Flickr
n The German Property Index (GPI) is a Property-Market-Performance-Index for 125
cities by bulwiengesa
n providing historical and forecasted data with regard to
– Total Return
– Cash Flow
– Capital Growth
for each of the125 RIWIS cities and for the office, retail, logistics and residential
markets
n Following a market approach the GPI differs from other indices which are based on
transaction based data of selected portfolios.RIWIS Forecast // RIWIS Pipeline
for Office, Retail and Residential Markets
© Christian Rubarth - Flickr
FORECAST n deduction from individual properties to local markets to more general trends
n market forecast for the next 5 years, to be as close as possible n volumes, cycles, structures, vacancies, rents, yields
n econometric and statistical methods and techniques n one hard fact on future supply side
n based on our market data and knowledge, with additional forecasts of socio-
economic figures of approved sources
n 21 office markets, 30 retail markets and 125 residential markets
PIPELINE
n detailed monitoring of properties in draft, in planning, under construction,
recently completed
n realistic and reliable figures to pin-point volumes and time of available spacesRIWIS Sub-Market// RIWIS Quarterly Data
© Sergio Morales - Flickr
SUB-MARKET QUARTERLY DATA
n for 7 A-Markets, approx. 10-30 sub-markets each n for 7 A-Markets
n functional sub-market definition for office and residential sectors n key market figures on a quarterly basis
n most data from 2000 n national trends on a quarterly basis
– GDP
– Consumer Indices
– Real-Estate-ClimateRIWIS regional
© Michael Molthagen - Flickr
n regional market information for all German Kreise and additional 350 towns
n Residential Market data from 2004
– Rents, Purchasing Prices
– Multiplier
– socio-economic structures
n Office Market data from 2007
– rents
– indication on market volumes and activitiesDaten und Dienstleistungen für die Immobilienwirtschaft
RIWIS Cities – Basis
© Sergio Morales - Flickr
A-Markets C-Markets D-Markets
Berlin Aachen Albstadt Görlitz Lüdenscheid Salzgitter
Düsseldorf Augsburg Aschaffenburg Göttingen Ludwigshafen Schwerin
Frankfurt (Main) Bielefeld Bamberg Greifswald Lüneburg Siegen
Hamburg Braunschweig Bergisch Gladbach Gütersloh Marburg Solingen
Köln (Cologne) Darmstadt Bottrop Hagen Minden Stralsund
München (Munich) Erfurt Brandenburg (Havel) Halberstadt Moers Suhl
Stuttgart Erlangen Bremerhaven Halle (Saale) Neubrandenburg Trier
Freiburg (Breisgau) Chemnitz Hamm Neumünster Tübingen
B-Markets
Bochum Heidelberg Coburg Hanau Neuss Ulm
Bonn Kiel Cottbus Heilbronn Oberhausen Villingen-Schwenningen
Bremen Lübeck Dessau Herne Offenburg Weimar
Dortmund Magdeburg Detmold Hildesheim Oldenburg Wilhelmshaven
Dresden Mainz Düren Ingolstadt Paderborn Witten
Duisburg Mönchengladbach Eisenach Jena Passau Wolfsburg
Mülheim (Ruhr) Flensburg Kaiserslautern Pforzheim Würzburg
Essen
Offenbach (Main) Frankfurt (Oder) Kassel Plauen Zwickau
Hannover
Osnabrück Friedrichshafen Kempten (Allgäu) Ratingen
Karlsruhe
Leipzig Potsdam Fulda Koblenz Ravensburg
Regensburg Fürth Konstanz Recklinghausen
Mannheim
Rostock Gelsenkirchen Krefeld Remscheid
Münster
Saarbrücken Gera Landshut Reutlingen
Nürnberg
Wiesbaden Wuppertal Gießen Leverkusen RosenheimDaten und Dienstleistungen für die Immobilienwirtschaft
RIWIS Cities – Regional
© Sergio Morales - Flickr
Dingolfing Friedberg Hildburghausen Landau (Pfalz) Miltenberg Parchim Sankt Wendel Taunusstein Wernigerode
Dinkelsbühl Ganderkesee Hilden Landsberg am Lech Mindelheim Pasewalk Saulgau Teltow Wertheim
Dinslaken Garbsen Hirschaid Landstuhl Montabaur Pegnitz Schifferstadt Teutschenthal Wesel
Döbeln Garmisch-Partenkirchen Hof Langenfeld (Rheinland) Mosbach Peine Schleswig Tirschenreuth Wetzlar
Dormagen Geesthacht Hofheim am Taunus Langenhagen Mühlacker Pfaffenhofen (Ilm) Schönebeck (Elbe) Torgau Willich
Dorsten Germering Holzkirchen Lauf an der Pegnitz Mühlhausen (Thüringen) Pirmasens Schönenberg-Kübelberg Traunstein Wismar
Dülmen Germersheim Holzminden Leer (Ostfriesland) Müllheim Pirna Schwabach Troisdorf Wittenberg
Eberswalde Gifhorn Homburg Lennestadt Münchberg Pößneck Schwäbisch Gmünd Tuttlingen Wittenberge
Eggenfelden Gladbeck Horb am Neckar Lichtenfels Naumburg (Saale) Preetz Schwäbisch Hall Uelzen Wittlich
• Basis Module City Ehingen (Donau) Göppingen Höxter Limbach-Oberfrohna Neckarsulm Pulheim Schwalmstadt Unna Wittmund
Eichstätt Goslar Hoyerswerda Limburg an der Lahn Neu-Ulm Quedlinburg Schwandorf Unterschleißheim Wolfen
• Regional Module City Eisenberg Gotha Hürth Lindau (Bodensee) Neuburg an der Donau Radeberg Schwarzenberg (Erzgebirge) Varel Wolfenbüttel
Aalen Bad Kissingen Bitburg Eisenberg (Pfalz) Greiz Husum Lingen (Ems) Neumarkt in der Oberpfalz Radebeul Schwedt (Oder) Vaterstetten Worms
Achim Bad Kreuznach Bocholt Eisenhüttenstadt Grevenbroich Ibbenbüren Lippstadt Neunkirchen Rastatt Schweinfurt Vechta Zerbst
Ahlen Bad Neuenahr-Ahrweiler Bogen Eisleben, Lutherstadt Grevesmühlen Idar-Oberstein Lohr am Main Neuruppin Regen Schwerte Velbert Zirndorf
Ahrensburg Bad Neustadt (Saale) Boppard Elmshorn Griesheim Ilmenau Lörrach Neustadt (Weinstraße) Regenstauf Seevetal Viersen Zittau
Alsfeld Bad Reichenhall Bruchsal Emden Grimma Ingelheim am Rhein Lüchow (Wendland) Neustadt an der Aisch Reichenbach (Vogtland) Senftenberg Vilsbiburg Zweibrücken
Altenburg Bad Salzuflen Burg Emmendingen Gummersbach Iserlohn Ludwigsburg Neustadt bei Coburg Rendsburg Sindelfingen Vilshofen
Alzenau in Unterfranken Bad Salzungen Burghausen Erding Günzburg Itzehoe Ludwigsfelde Neustrelitz Rheine Sömmerda Vohenstrauß
Alzey Bad Schwartau Calw Erftstadt Güstrow Kaufbeuren Lünen Neuwied Ribnitz-Damgarten Sondershausen Waiblingen
Amberg Bad Tölz Castrop-Rauxel Erkelenz Hagenow Kelheim Marienberg Nienburg (Weser) Riesa Sonneberg Waldkirchen
Andernach Bad Vilbel Celle Eschwege Haldensleben Kerpen Markkleeberg Nordenham Rinteln Sonthofen Waldkraiburg
Anklam Bad Zwischenahn Cham Eschweiler Hameln Kitzingen Marktoberdorf Norderstedt Rodalben Speyer Waldshut-Tiengen
Annaberg-Buchholz Baden-Baden Cloppenburg Esslingen am Neckar Haßfurt Kleve Marktredwitz Nordhausen Rodgau Spremberg Walsrode
Ansbach Baunatal Cochem Euskirchen Hattingen Kolbermoor Marl Nordhorn Rotenburg (Wümme) Stade Waren (Müritz)
Apolda Bautzen Cuxhaven Falkensee Heide Königs Wusterhausen Meerbusch Nördlingen Roth Starnberg Weiden (Oberpfalz)
Arnsberg Bensheim Dachau Finsterwalde Heidenheim an der Brenz Königsbrunn Meiningen Northeim Rottweil Stendal Weilheim in Oberbayern
Aschersleben Bergen (Rügen) Daun Forchheim Heilbad Heiligenstadt Konz Melle Ochsenfurt Rüsselsheim Stolberg (Rheinland) Weinheim
Aurich Bergheim Deggendorf Frankenberg Helmstedt Korbach Memmingen Öhringen Saalfeld (Saale) Stollberg (Erzgebirge) Weißenburg in Bayern
Bad Doberan Bergkamen Delitzsch Frankenthal (Pfalz) Herford Köthen Menden (Sauerland) Oranienburg Saarlouis Straubing Weißenfels
Bad Dürkheim Bernburg (Saale) Delmenhorst Freiberg Herten Kronach Merseburg (Saale) Oschersleben (Bode) Salzwedel, Hansestadt Strausberg Weißwasser
Bad Hersfeld Betzdorf Demmin Freising Herxheim bei Landau Kulmbach Merzig Osterholz-Scharmbeck Sangerhausen Stuhr Werdau
Bad Homburg vor der Höhe Biberach an der Riß Dillingen (Donau) Freital Herzogenaurach Lahnstein Michelstadt Osterode am Harz Sankt Augustin Sulzbach-Rosenberg WerneckRIWIS
Regionales Immobilien-Wirtschaftliches Informations-System BulwienGesa AG
research • analysis • consulting
Granular Data and Urban Structures
© Xavier Lacot - FlickrRIWIS • Urban Structures
© Jamie McHale - Flickr
n Visualisation of Urban Structures
n Nation-wide Coverage at Building Block Level
n Granularity, Scalable
n Bespoke Services and Data Provision
n Example Residential Location Quality – solvency
based on granular data on block (Baublock) level, bulwiengesa and microm have – size of residential units
created a methodology to create small scale location types for residential uses.
Variables taken into account are: – net migration
– neighbourhood status – proximity to greens & parks
– social millieu (social environment) – distance to industrial areasRIWIS • Urban Structures
© Jamie McHale - Flickr
Residential Area Quality
Dominance
very good location
good to very good location
good location
average to good location
average location
below average to average location
below average locationRIWIS • Urban Structures
© Jamie McHale - Flickr
Population Density
Inhabitants per sqm
below1,000
1,000 to 2,000
2,000 to 3,000
3,000 to 5,000
5,000 to 9,000
9,000 to 18,000
over18,000RIWIS • Urban Structures
© Jamie McHale - Flickr
Purchasing Power Index
Germany = 100
below 80
80 to 85
85 to 90
90 to 100
100 to 110
110 to 135
over135RIWIS • Urban Structures
© Jamie McHale - Flickr
Main Use of Building
Dominance of Single-Family Homes
light
mean
strong
Dominance of Small Multi-Family Houses
light
mean
strong
Dominance of Larger Multi-Family Houses
light
mean
strong
Dominance of Commercial Buildings
light
mean
strongRIWIS • Urban Structures
© Jamie McHale - Flickr
Dominant Life-Cycle Groups
Young Singles
Yound Couples
Young Families
Singles
Couples
Families
Senior Singles
Senior Couples
Senior Multi-Person HouseholsRIWIS • Urban Structures
© Jamie McHale - Flickr
Food-Store Supply
Total sqm of Food Retail
Space within 500m of
Building Block
prob. small spaces avail.
below500
500 – 1,500
1,500 – 2,500
2,500 – 3,500
3,500 – 5,000
5,000 – 7,000
7,000 – 12,000
12,000 – 20,000
over 20,000RIWIS • Urban Structures
© Jamie McHale - Flickr
Public Transport Access
limited access to public transport
excellent access to public transportwww.RIWIS.de
www.riwis.de
riwis@bulwiengesa.de
© Jamie McHale - Flickr
Please contact us!
Nymphenburger Straße 5 80335 München T. +49 89 23 23 76-0 F. + 4989 23 23 76-76 info@bulwiengesa.de www.bulwiengesa.deYou can also read
