Enel Américas Corporate Presentation, December 2018 - Enel Américas
←
→
Page content transcription
If your browser does not render page correctly, please read the page content below
Enel Américas overview1 Enel Américas is Latin America´s largest private power company Brazil Colombia Generation Generation 1,354 MW 3,501 MW 1% Market Share in Installed capacity 21% Market Share in Installed capacity Net Production 4,153 GWh Net Production 14,561 GWh Sales 21.639 GWh Sales 18,572 GWh 3% Market Share in Sales 26% Market Share in Sales Distribution Distribution 17.1 million clients 3.4 million clients Sales Dx 79,596 GWh2 Sales 13,993 GWh 17% Market Share Dx 22% Market Share Dx Transmission Peru 2,100 MW transmission lines Generation Argentina 1,985 MW Generation 16% Market Share in Installed capacity 4,419 MW Net Production 8,181 GWh 13% Market Share in Installed capacity Sales 10,527 GWh Net Production 14,153 GWh 22% Market Share in Sales Sales 14,163 GWh Distribution 10% Market Share in Sales 1.4 million clients Distribution Sales Dx 7,985 GWh 2.6 million clients 31% Market Share Dx Sales Dx 18,304 GWh 16% Market Share Dx Total Generation Total Distribution Installed capacity: 11,259 MW Clients: 24.5 million Energy sales: 64,900 GWh Energy sales: 119,602 GWh2 1.- Source: Company filings and presentations, 2018 expected. 2,- Eletropaulo’s sales annualized. 3
Enel Américas overview Ownership profile1 ENEL SPA 51.80% Enel Américas’ shares are traded on: OTHER 2.60% SHAREHOLDERS Américas 15.35% 23.06% CHILEAN PENSION Market Cap2: USD 9.96 Bn FUNDS 7.19% OTHER INST. SHAREHOLDERS ADR HOLDERS 1. As of September 30, 2018. 2. As of November 30, 2018. 4
Delivery 2016-18 Main milestones in the period Total investments of US$3.5 bn in acquisitions Second phase of the Volta Grande Reorganization completed Eletropaulo acquisition consolidation (the “Merger”) 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 16 16 16 16 17 17 17 17 18 18 18 18 First phase of the Purchase of 7.5% stake in 1 Enel Dx Goiás (Celg) Reorganization completed Enel Dx Perú from consolidation (the “Spin-offs”) minorities Key Drivers Stable and Capacity to add Capacity to add Simplification attractive Profitability value new businesses Regulation Creating value in every transaction completed since 2016 4 1. Stake in Enel Dx Perú after the 7.5% acquisition.
Delivery 2016-18 Sustainability, growth, efficiencies and value creation 2016 2018E People benefited1 Thousand (cumulated) 1,437 2,687 Sustainability commitment Index Member Number of indexes 0 42 I&N End users Million 14.1 24.5 Growth Gx Energy sales TWh 50.6 64.9 Group simplification Number of companies 43 323 Opex reduction Cumulated efficiencies4 US$ m ~ 130 ~ 420 Gross Margin US$ bn 3.8 5.0 Value creation Shareholder return DPADR5 US$ 0.25 0.42 1. Base year 2015. 2. Enel Américas is member of 4: DJSI (Chile, EM and MILA) and FTSE4Good. 3. Not included acquired companies. 4. Base year 2015. 5. Dividend per ADR (1 ADR = 50 shares of Enel Américas). 7
Delivery 2016-18 Financial highlights (US$ bn) Gross Capex EBITDA + 42% + 42% 1.7 3.4 3.4 1.2 2.4 2.4 2016 2018E 2016 2018E Net Income Opex evolution + 70% - 15% Minorities 1.7 0.5 Attributable 1.2 0.1 (0.3) 0.5 1.6 1.0 1.3 0.6 1.1 0.4 1.2 0.6 2016 2018E 2016 Fx Fx & CPICPI Efficiencies 2018E without & Opex Perimeter 2018E perimeter Financial results significantly improved since 2016 6 E: Expected
Delivery 2016-18 Shareholders return Earnings per ADR1 (US$) Dividend per ADR1 (US$) Total Dividend (US$ bn) + 112% + 68% + US$ 0.2 bn 0.42 0.5 1.04 0.31 0.4 0.62 0.25 0.3 0.49 2016 2017 2018E 2016 2017 2018E 2016 2017 2018E Total dividend has increased by about 70% since 2016 E: Expected 9 1. 1 ADR = 50 shares of Enel Américas.
Enel Américas today 2018E KPIs and Financial numbers (US$ bn) EBITDA by business EBITDA by country I&N: 24.5 m end users 7% 16% 13% US$ 11.8 bn RAB6 Argentina 42% Generation Brazil Eletropaulo Large hydro generation: US$ 3.4 bn US$ 3.4 bn 28% Colombia 6.2 GW capacity Infrastructure & Networks 51% Peru 55% of total Enel Américas’ capacity 1 37% Retail and Enel X 6% Thermal generation: 5.0 GW capacity Highly flexible and efficient assets Opex 1.6 Total Net Income 1.7 Free market: 1.6 k free customers Asset Management2 0.7 Attributable Net Income 1.2 17 TWh energy sales Asset Development3 0.6 Net Debt 7.0 Enel X: 421 k Public lighting Customers4 0.4 Market Cap5 9.5 105 Charging infrastructure Enel Américas is the largest private utility company in LatAm 1. Retail includes free market business. 2. Capex related to investments for recurring asset maintenance. 3. Growth investments in generation and networks (quality programs & smart metering) 4. Capex related to customers (Retail, Enel X (e-Home, e-Industries), Network connections). 5. As of November 23rd, 2018. 6. VNR in Peru. 9
Enel Américas today 2018E Generation and I&N Net production by technology End users by country 1% 6% 10% 14% Argentina 34% Hydro Brazil Eletropaulo Oil & Gas Colombia 41.0 TWh 24.5 m CCGT 59% 41% Peru Coal 29% 6% Net production by country Distributed energy by country 8% 18% 20% 14% Argentina 34% Argentina Brazil Eletropaulo Brazil 41.0 TWh 101 TWh Colombia Colombia Peru 24% 36% Peru 36% 10% Almost 60% of our generation mix is hydro Brazil represents 70% in terms of end users and 60% of the total distributed energy 10
Energy transition and new opportunities in LatAm: our vision
Energy transition and new opportunities The role of Enel Américas 1 2 Urbanization Communities & People Concentration in urban areas Access to affordable energy Demand growth Emission reduction Grid development and automation Energy efficiency Interconnections Corporate governance 3 4 New businesses e-City Market Competition e-Industries Liberalization e-Home e-Mobility Enel Américas is ready to capture new opportunities in LatAm 14
Energy transition and new opportunities 1 Urbanization % of people living in urban areas1 Change in primary energy demand 2000-20162 1970 2014 2050 Mtoe 4 EU 106 Eurasia -89 30% 54% 66% United Latam & Caribe States Japan Middle China -73 388 -94 East 1888 Southeast 296 Asia 3 Latam & Caribe India 269 Latin America Africa 453 242 Asia Africa Emerging economies have increased their energy demand as opposed to mature economies year A Region in continuous development; population concentrated in megacities and a trend of energy demand increase 1. United Nations 2014. 2. Source: IEA, WEO 2017, Enerdata, EC statistics. 3. Source: RED 2017 CAF-banco de desarrollo de América Latina. 4. Million Tonnes of Oil Equivalent 13 .
Energy transition and new opportunities 2 Communities and people Enel Group Enel % Enel Target Américas Américas Engaging local communities (m beneficiaries) 2018E1 2020 2018E1 / Group High-quality, inclusive and fair education 0.9 0.8 0.3 38% Access to affordable and clean energy mainly in Africa, Asia and Latin America 2.22 3.0 2.0 92% Employment and sustainable and inclusive economic growth 1.8 3.0 0.3 18% Climate change 2018E 2020 2018E 2018E Reduction of CO2 specific emissions (kg/kWheq) 0.39
Energy transition and new opportunities 3 Enel X 4 Market competition Energy sales (TWh) Demand response and storage solutions ~ 2x Smart lighting for cities for C&I1 customers 32.0 Electric mobility in LatAm Energy efficiency solutions 17.3 2018E 2021 Enel X Gross capex 2019-21 (US$ m) 2% Energy market liberalization Starting over sales in the free market 19% Market growth and development Increase of power sales plan and of gas free market start of gas sales plan ~ 350 47% ~ 350 51% Uncertanty in power prices due Opportunities in the new scenario and to the situation of Ituango P.P. potential development of gas sales 81% Brazil Asset Development Commercial strategy redefinition to Colombia Low availability of energy for the Customers Rest of countries free market develop the business Growing contribution of Enel X and Retail businesses in Enel Américas’ 2019-21 Strategic Plan 15 1. Consumer and industrial.
Strategic Plan 2019-21
Strategic Plan 2019-21 Strategic Pillars Industrial Efficiencies Shareholders growth return + 68% EBITDA US$ 285 m +97% DPS growth1 - 2 Opex Saving1 growth1 Sustainable Sustainability long-term value commitment creation 1. Base year 2018E. A sustainable and solid growth to increase shareholders return 2. M&A not included. 17
Industrial growth: Organic growth Operational targets by business Infrastructure & Networks Generation Free market Enel X End users (m) Thermal Installed Capacity (GW) Free customers power & gas (k) Public lighting (m#) 4% Hydro Installed Capacity (GW) 0% 19% 100% 24.5 25.5 11.3 x 11.3 1.9 0.8 7.2 ELPL 7.6 ELPL 5.0 5.0 1.6 0.4 17.3 17.9 6.2 6.2 2018E 2021 2018E 2021 2018E 2021 2018E 2021 Thermal Generation (TWh) Distributed energy (TWh) Hydro Generation (TWh) Electricity sales in free market (TWh) Charging stations (k#) 9% 9% 85% ~115x 120 131 44.6 18 47 41.0 32.0 ELPL 25 ELPL1 17.1 16.9 62% 12.0 59% 84 emission emission 17.3 77 24.1 27.6 free free 0.1 2018E 2021 2018E 2021 2018E 2021 2018E 2021 Hydro generation will increase during the period reaching 62% of our total production Solid increase in our I&N business, close to double in Retail and relevant expansion of Enel X business in LatAm 18 1. 120 TWh includes annualized proforma distributed energy of Eletropaulo.
Industrial Growth: Organic growth Infrastructure & Networks evolution EBITDA (US$ bn) WACC2 RAB3 (US$ bn) 25% 89% 2018 2021 14.7 11.8 3.1 0.4 (0.1) 3.6 Edesur 12.5% 12.5% 1.7 1.3 1.3 0.9 1.0 Enel Dx Ceará 12.3% 12.3% 0.9 2.1 2.0 1 Enel Dx Goiás 12.3% 12.3% 2.5 1.9 2.0 0.3 0.1 (0.2) Enel Dx Rio 12.3% 12.3% 3.3 ELPL 0.2 2.7 Eletropaulo 12.3% 12.3% 1.6 1.6 1.6 2018E 2021 Enel Codensa 13.7% 11.8% Enel Dx Perú Enel Codensa Enel Dx Perú 12.0% 12.0% Eletropaulo Enel Dx Río 2018E Fx & Opex Efficiencies Tariff/RAB Demand Dx Other 2021 CPI Enel Dx Goiás Enel Dx Ceará Edesur +89% of EBITDA growth and +25% of potential RAB increase 1. US$ 1.9 bn includes annualized proforma EBITDA of Eletropaulo. 2. WACC real before taxes. Peru considers ROA. 3. VNR in Peru. 19
Industrial growth: Non organic growth Focus Eletropaulo Key Drivers @ 2017 Plan 2021 Enel Dx Ceará EBITDA1 US$ 0.3 bn US$ 0.8 bn RAB US$ 2.0 bn US$ 2.5 bn Regulatory review July 2019 Enel Dx Goiás Efficiencies - US$ 207 m Enel Dx Río End users 7.2 m 7.6 m Eletropaulo Distributed Energy 43 TWh 47 TWh Total capex invested during the period will amount to US$ 0.9 bn 1: The average USD FX rate for FY 2017 equal to 3.19 BRL only for information purposes. Original data is in Brazilian reais. 22
Industrial growth: Non organic growth Focus Eletropaulo EBITDA (US$ bn) Eletropaulo operational KPIs 167% 2018E3 2021 0.3 0.8 Energy distributed (TWh) 43 47 0.2 EBITDA/Customer (US$) 42 108 1 0.3 0.1 OPEX/Customer (US$) 77 46 0.2 2018E Efficiencies Operating 2 2021 improvement Financial and operational key drivers will improve over the period 23 1. US$ 0.3 bn includes annualized proforma EBITDA of Eletropaulo. 2. Net of Fx & Opex CPI. 3. Annualized values.
Industrial Growth: Organic growth Generation evolution EBITDA (US$ bn) Contracted Energy (TWh) Brazil Colombia 14% 13.0 15.7 > 9.2 14.3 100% 8.6 8.7 12.7 93% > > > > 94% > > 100% 89% 70% 100% 96% > 8.6 100% 100% 85% 100% 100% 93% 0.3 1.6 91% 92% 65% 100% 89% 74% 1.4 (0.1) 2018 2019 2020 2021 2018 2019 2020 2021 PPAs1 average duration: 15-30 years2 PPAs1 average duration: 2-4 years Peru 11.0 10.6 10.7 91% 90% 90% 9.8 81% 2018 2019 2020 2021 2018E Fx & Opex CPI Volume 2021 PPAs1 average duration: 5-7 years Securing profitability through long-term PPAs 1. Power Purchase Agreement. 2. Volta Grande’s PPA duration: 30 years. 24
Industrial Growth: Organic growth Free market: positioning & market liberalization EBITDA evolution (US$ m) Enel Américas free energy sales (TWh) Argentina Brazil 64% 12.0 6.1 0.0 5.2 3 12 2 2018E 2021 2018E 2021 72 Market Market 3% 5% 9 0% 18% Share: Share: 1 44 Colombia Peru 7.0 6.9 6.9 5.2 2018E Fx & Argentina Brazil Colombia Peru 2021 2018E 2021 2018E 2021 Opex CPI Market 20% Market 23% 28% 25% Share: Share: Market liberalization addressing our growth in the free market business 23
Industrial Growth: Organic growth Enel X e-City e-Industries EBITDA evolution (US$ m) Public lighting Demand response PV (spots, m#) (MW delivered/year) (MW installed/year) 212% 4 128 253 0.8 45 0.4 1 0 26 2 2018E 2021 2018E 2021 2018E 2021 131 57 e-Home e-Mobility Collection services Financial services Charging station e-Buses (transaction, m#) (transaction, m#) (cumulated facilities, k#) (cumulated sales, #) (3) 6 Credit card 42 1.9 0.9 38.2 12.0 41 1.5 2018E 2021 Micro insurance 0.1 0 2018E 2021 2018E FxFx& Argentina Brazil Colombia Peru 2021 2.5 1.4 2018E 2021 2018E 2021 Opex CPI 2018E 2021 Significant expansion of the Enel X business along the period 24
Industrial growth: Organic growth Capex plan 2019- 21 Total capex Total capex by business Total capex by country 2% 6% 11% 10% 14% 29% 34% 21% US$ 5.3 bn US$ 5.3 bn US$ 5.3 bn 55% 37% 81% 1 Argentina Brazil Colombia Peru Asset Development Asset Management Customers Gx I&N Retail Enel X I&N business captures more than 80% of total capex plan 1. Retail includes free market business. 25
Efficiencies Further efficiencies 2019-211 Enel Américas’ opex exc. Eletropaulo (US$ m) Eletropaulo’s opex (US$ m) Main initiatives Digitalization Apply Group standards in technical maintenance Efficiency in purchasing 1,284 Quality of service: Reduced costs due to low quality 1,207 558 Technological and functional convergence of systems 350 Reducing external costs, mainly services, travel, introduction of surveillance technology 2018E 2021 2018E 2 2021 Efficiencies at all levels New Strategic Plan envisages additional efficiencies for US$285 m 1. Values in real terms. 2. Annualized opex. 26
Financial targets EBITDA1 (US$ bn): Guidance vs previous Strategic Plan +68% + US$ ~0.7 bn Eletropaulo + US$ ~0.6 bn Eletropaulo - US$ ~0.1bn Fx effect and others - US$ ~0.4 bn Fx effect and others +US$ ~0.2 bn Eletropaulo - US$ ~0.1 bn Fortaleza +13% - US$ ~0.4 bn hyperinflation, Fx effect and +5% others 5.7 5.2 -8% 4.4 4.6 4.2 3.7 3.4 2018E 2019 2020 2021 2021 Previous Plan New Plan 2018E Improved EBITDA in the coming years mainly due to Eletropaulo’s contribution 27 1. Including Services and Holding costs.
Financial targets FFO1, capex and cash flow 2019-21 FFO and capex (US$ bn) Cash flow generation (US$ bn)2 +106% -6% 3.5 8.9 (1.9) 3.1 (1.6) 2.3 5.4 (1.8) 1.8 1.9 1.7 1.7 1.6 5 3.6 (2.7) 1.9 0.8 0.7 2018E 2019 2020 2021 FFO 1 Asset Customers 3 FFO after Asset 3 FCF 4 Dividends Net FCF 3 management asset mgmt. Developtment paid FFO Capex And cust. Positive Net Free Cash Flow leaves room for a relevant capex plan and attractive dividend payout 1. Funds From Operations. 2. M&A and minorities opportunities not included. 3. Capex. 4. Free Cash Flow. 5. Including US$1.9 bn paid to shareholders of Enel Américas and US$0.8 bn 28 dividends distributed from subsidiaries to minorities.
Financial targets Net debt evolution 2019-21 Net debt breakdown (US$ bn) Net financial expenses on debt (US$ bn) - 9% 0.8 9.0 8.0 8.0 0.7 7.5 8.0 7.0 7.6 0.7 7.0 7.1 0.6 0.7 0.1 0.3 6.4 0.6 6.0 0.5 0.5 0.6 5.0 0.4 4.0 0.3 6.9 7.3 4.0 6.6 3.0 5.8 0.2 2.0 0.1 1.0 0.0 0.0 2018E 2019 2020 2021 2019 2020 2021 Net Financial expenses Cost of gross debt (%) Countries Holding 29
Financial targets Guidance 2019-21 EBITDA and Net Income (US$ bn) Net Income evolution (US$ bn) Dividends paid (US$ bn) +68% +58% +80% +58% 2.3 (0.2) 0.9 (0.4) (0.8) 0.8 5.7 5.2 0.6 (0.2) 4.4 0.5 1.9 3.4 1.9 1.2 1.3 1.6 1.2 2018E 2019 2020 2021 2018E EBITDA D&A Financial Taxes Minorities 2021 2018E 2019 2020 2021 charges EBITDA Attributable Net Income Dividend policy: 40% 50% 50% 50% Solid EBITDA and Net Income with a 50% Dividend Policy along the period 30
Closing remarks
Closing remarks 1 Successful delivery in the period 2016-18 2 Enel Américas is now a stronger leader in the utilities sector in the Region 3 The Company is well positioned to face the energy transition and new opportunities in LatAm creating long term value 4 Financial targets reviewed upwards versus the previous plan 5 Relevant contribution to the people and communities where we operate with clear environmental, economic, and social goals 32
Exhibits
Exhibits Macro and energy scenario Local currency vs USD CPI1 14.2% 20.0% Argentina 6.9% Argentina 17.0% 4.8% 14.0% -2.7% 4.0% Brazil 0.0% Brazil 4.2% 2.8% 4.2% 3.4% 3.4% Colombia 2.3% Colombia 3.4% 2.0% 3.4% 1.2% 2.5% Peru -2.1% Peru 2.6% -1.8% 2.5% 2019 Energy demand (TWh) Enel Américas distributed energy (TWh) 2020 2021 143 18.9 Argentina 147 Edesur 19.5 152 20.0 595 82.7 Brazil 610 Brazil 85.1 624 87.4 70 14.3 Colombia 72 Codensa 14.5 73 14.7 52 Enel Dx 8.0 Peru 54 8.3 57 Perú 8.6 1. Consumer Price Index. 34
Exhibits Regulatory cycle of Distribution Companies Codensa Clients: 3.4 m Company Regulatory cycle Next regulatory cycle Enel Dx Ceará Clients: 4.0 m Edesur 5 years 2022 Enel Dx Ceará 4 years 2019 Enel Dx Goiás Enel Dx Goiás 4 years 2022 Clients: 3.0 mn Enel Dx Rio 5 years 2023 Enel Dx Rio Enel Dx Perú Clients: 3.0 m Clients: 1.4 m Eletropaulo 4 - 5 years 2019 (3Q) Eletropaulo Clients: 7.2 m Enel Codensa 5 years 2019 (1Q) Edesur Enel Dx Perú 4 years 2022 Clients: 2.5 m 37
Disclaimer This presentation does not constitute an offer to sell any securities and is not soliciting an offer to buy any securities in any jurisdiction. This presentation contains certain “forward-looking statements” regarding anticipated financial and operating results and statistics and other future events relating to Enel Américas S.A. These statements are not guarantees of future performance and are subject to material risks, uncertainties, changes and other factors which may be beyond Enel Américas’ control or may be difficult to predict. These statements may constitute forward-looking statements within the meaning of the United States Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. The inclusion of these forward- looking statements should not be regarded as an indication that Enel Américas or any other person considers such projections to be material or to be a reliable prediction of actual future results. These forward-looking statements are subjective in many respects and there can be no assurance that they will be realized or that actual results will not be significantly higher or lower than described. As a result, the inclusion of any forward-looking statements in this presentation should not be relied on as necessarily predictive of actual future events. The projections and other forward-looking statements were based on numerous variables and assumptions that are inherently uncertain. Actual results may differ materially from those projected as a result of such risks and uncertainties. In addition, the financial projections do not necessarily reflect revised prospects, changes in general business or economic conditions, or any other transaction or event that has occurred or that may occur and that was not anticipated at the time the projections were prepared. Forward looking statements include, but are not limited to, information regarding: Enel Américas' business plans, Enel Américas' cost reduction plans, trends affecting Enel Américas' financial condition or results of operations including market trends in the electricity sector in Chile or elsewhere, supervision and regulation of the electricity sector in Chile or elsewhere, and the future effect of any changes in the laws and regulations applicable to Enel Américas' or its affiliates. The principal assumptions underlying these forecasts and targets relate to: Economic and Industry Conditions, Commercial Factors, Political/Governmental Factors, Operating Factors, and Competitive Factors. The following important factors, in addition to those discussed elsewhere in this presentation, could cause actual financial and operating results and statistics to differ materially from those expressed in our forward-looking statements, including but not limited to: changes or developments regarding the applicable regulations (which may affect the investment plan of Enel Américas regarding the regulated activities), legal restrictions applicable to the implementation of the dividends policy, environmental regulations and other legal issues; price of electricity; price and supply of raw materials; interest rates or exchange rates; availability of fuel; ability to maintain relationship with suppliers, customers and consumer and user protection groups; changes in climate conditions; widespread adoption energy efficiency measures; inherent risks in the construction of new power generation and distribution facilities; changes in general economic, political, administrative and business conditions; operating hazards and risks; tax risks; loss of senior management and key personnel; insufficiency of insurance coverage or increase of insurance costs; failure of systems and information technology and processing; inability to access the capital markets to refinance its debt and finance its capital expenditures; and other factors that could adversely affect the business and financial results of the Company. No assurance can be given that the forward-looking statements in this document will be realized. Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on those forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date of this presentation. Our independent registered public accounting firm has not audited, examined or compiled the forward-looking statements and, accordingly, does not provide any assurance with respect to such statements. Neither Enel Américas nor any of its affiliates intends, nor undertakes any obligation, to update or revise the forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except as required by law. 35
Enel Américas Contact us Rafael De La Haza Head of Investor Relations Enel Américas Jorge Velis Investor Relations Manager Enel Américas Itziar Letzkus Investor Relations Enel Américas Javiera Rubio Email Investor Relations Enel Américas ir.enelamericas@enel.com Phone Gonzalo Juárez +562 23534682 IR New York Office María Luz Muñoz Web site Executive Assistant www.enelamericas.com Thank you.
40
You can also read