CORONAVIRUS: OPINION AND REACTION - South Africa 6 April, 2020 - Ipsos
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INTRODUCTION The coronavirus (Covid-19) has impacted lives of many across the world. The pandemic spread to South Africa, with the first confirmed case announced on 5 March 2020 by 1,655 Cases Minister of Health Zweli Mkhize. On 15 March 2020, President Cyril Ramaphosa declared a national state of disaster with a partial travel ban, travel advisories, discouraging public transport, the closing of schools, and prohibiting gatherings of more than 100 people. On 23 March 2020, the president issued a national lockdown lasting 21 days 1,549 Active Cases from 26 March 2020 to 16 April 2020. In light of the above, Ipsos launched an online survey to monitor evolving public perceptions and behaviours in response to the coronavirus outbreak. This report presents Wave 1 results of the online research survey conducted by Ipsos to 95 Recovered Cases monitor public opinions as from the 23rd of March to the 27th March 2020 across online South Africans. Ipsos forms part of a Global network and global results were compared where possible. Coronavirus-19 online conversations and content in South Africa is included in this 11 Deaths report using the Synthesio Social Listening Platform
KEY TAKE OUTS A high level of South Africans perceive Covid-19 as a threat to themselves. While opinion is divided on the longer term implications of trust in the government as a result of Covid-19, South Africans place their highest confidence in the World Health Organisation (WHO), in contrast to most other countries surveyed which prioritise their national health organisations. There is little hope that the outbreak will soon be contained, and South Africans are less optimistic than most other countries surveyed that a vaccine will soon be developed. In the interim, they are strongly supportive of initiatives to contain the spread of the virus in the country, less so to help other countries. South African’s trust that the media has not exaggerated the extent of the outbreak and that the government has been open and transparent about the extent of the coronavirus outbreak. Traditional media channels (radio, TV and newspapers) are most trusted, whilst there is little confidence in social media networks. South Africans place their highest confidence in the information from media professionals. Of the countries surveyed by Ipsos, South African perceptions are most aligned to those of Brazil and India. 3 © Ipsos 2019
THREAT LEVELS DECLINE THE CLOSER THE PERSONAL SPHERE (THE CASE W ITH ALL COUNTRIES SURVEYED). A HIGH LEVEL OF SOUTH AFRICANS PERCEIVE IT AS A THREAT TO THEMSELVES – COMPARABLE TO BRAZIL AND INDIA 97% of online South Africans are You Personally aware of the Coronavirus outbreak South Africa 48% Vietnam 62% Italy 56% What level of threat do you think the coronavirus poses India 51% to each of the following? Brazil 50% Mexico 42% France 42% China 40% United Kingdom 35% 94% 90% 67% Germany 33% 53% 48% US 29% Australia 28% The world South Africa Your local Your family You Japan 26% community personally Canada 25% Very high / High threat Russia 17% 4 © Ipsos 2019
SOUTH AFRICANS PLACE THEIR HIGHEST CONFIDENCE IN WHO (ALIGNED TO INDIA, BRAZIL AND MEXICO), WHILST MOST OTHER COUNTRIES PRIORITIS E THEIR NATIONAL HEALTH ORGANISATIONS How confident are you that the following are prepared and can effectively deal with the Coronavirus? 100% 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% South India China Mexico Brazil Vietnam Canada United US France Australia Italy Russia Germany Japan Africa Kingdom The World Health Organization National health organisations The government Businesses Very confident / somewhat confident 5 © Ipsos 2019
THERE IS LITTLE HOPE THAT THE OUTBREAK WILL SOON BE CONTAINED, A ND SOUTH AFRICANS ARE LESS OPTIMISTIC THAN MOST OTHER COUNTRIES SURVEYED THAT A VACCINE WILL SOON BE DEVELOPED Soon develop a vaccine South Africa 62% 62% Vietnam 91% I am confident pharmaceutical companies will soon develop a India 88% vaccine or treatment for the coronavirus 18% China 88% Mexico 86% Brazil 86% Italy 77% 25% The coronavirus outbreak Russia 76% has been contained and will Australia 73% soon be over 51% US 69% Canada 68% United Kingdom 65% Completely-Somewhat Agree Completely-Somewhat Disagree France 64% Japan 54% Germany 54% 7 © Ipsos 2019
SOUTH AFRICANS ARE STRONGLY SUPPORTIVE OF INITIATIVES TO CONTAIN THE SPREAD OF THE VIRUS IN THE COUNTRY, LESS SO TO HELP OTHER COUNTRIES To what extent, if at all, would you support or oppose each of the following measures? Anyone travelling to and from infected countries should 95% undergo mandatory screening Public transport systems in my country should be taking 94% precautions to prevent the further spread of coronavirus Government should impose mandatory quarantine for 93% those who could have the infection The government should ban any travel to and from 92% affected countries Airlines from my country should stop flying to all high-risk 90% countries Airlines from my country should stop flying to other 84% infected countries besides high-risk countries The government should send doctors, materials, supplies 51% abroad to help countries affected by the virus © Ipsos 2019 Strongly support / tend to supper
SOUTH AFRICAN’S TRUST IN MEDIA (ALIGNED TO BRAZIL) AND GOVERNMENT INFORMATION PERTAINING TO THE CORONAVIRUS Media exaggerated extent of outbreak South Africa 34% 34% India 73% The media has exaggerated the extent of the coronavirus Russia 57% outbreak. 48% Mexico 55% Australia 50% US 48% 59% Vietnam 47% The government of South Africa has been open and transparent Japan 42% about the extent of the United Kingdom 37% coronavirus outbreak 27% Brazil 35% Canada 31% China 30% Completely-Somewhat Agree Completely-Somewhat Disagree Germany 24% Italy 23% France 16% See methodology notes for full description of the data collection specifications © Ipsos 2019 © Ipsos South Africa | Coronavirus Results Wave 1 | 2020
TRADITIONAL MEDIA CHANNELS ARE MOST TRUSTED, WHILST THERE IS LITTLE CONFIDENCE IN SOCIAL MEDIA NETWORKS South Africans place high confidence in the information from medical professionals, aligned with the opinion expressed in India How much confidence, if any, do you have in the accuracy Medical professionals of these sources of information on the coronavirus? South Africa 77% Vietnam 89% Medical professionals 89% (doctors & nurses) China 88% Radio 85% India 84% Italy 67% Television 85% Canada 66% Newspapers 78% United Kingdom 56% Australia 54% Government health 77% officials Germany 50% The internet 69% France 49% US 44% Friends, family and 61% colleagues Brazil 43% Magazines 60% Mexico 40% Russia 35% Social media networks 53% Japan 33% 11 © Ipsos 2019
COVID-19 ON SOCIAL MEDIA Ipsos South Africa 6 April, 2020 © 2020 Ipsos. All rights reserved. Contains Ipsos' Confidential and Proprietary information and may not be disclosed or reproduced without the prior written consent of Ipsos.
PEAK IN SA CONVERSATION WHEN PRESIDENT CYRIL RAMAPHOSA DECLARES A NATIONAL STATE OF DISASTER ON 15 MARCH Covid-19 is a dominant focus, with authorities and economics taking a distant second. NUMBER OF TOPICS DRIVING MENTIONS IN MARCH VOLUME India 5.3M 80% “Coronavirus” includes: deaths, symptoms, quarantines, new cases Brazil 3.3M SA 725K 24-Feb 02-Mar 09-Mar 16-Mar 23-Mar “Economic” includes: general economic impact, stock prices, trading Brazil approves state of emergency on 20th March “Authorities” includes: healthcare services, local government, WHO, Chinese government Prime Minister Narendra Mondi announced India’s lockdown on the 24 March © Ipsos 2019
INTERACTIONS DRIVEN BY GOVERNMENTS RESPONSE TO THE PANDEMIC, AS NEWS 24 EMERGES AS SA TOP INFLUENCER Ramaphosa announces the impact Department of Health announces on the economy is going to be new measures to reduce the Lockdown commences quite devastating spread of Covid-19 Total Interactions Total Interactions Total Interactions 17/03 – 18/03 24/03 – 25/03 29/03 – 30/03 Total Total Total 125.2K Interactions 186.3K Interactions 147.1K Interactions General Economic Impact: Healthcare Services: Quarantines: Outstanding Uncommon increase in Unusual spike in increase (1773%) in interactions (2354% interactions (3051% interactions at end of March increase from previous day) increase from previous day) Top 3 INFLUENCERS by impressions 4,069,789,321 impressions 1,098,468,430 983,116,538 impressions impressions
DEATH RATES DOMINATE ONLINE INTEREST, WHILE THE TOPICS OF QUARANTINE, ECONOMIC IMPACT AND SYMPTOMS DECLINE
YOU TUBE HAS THE MOST POLARISED SENTIMENT WHILST INSTAGRAM TENDS TO BE MORE POSITIVE. SOUTH AFRICANS SEEM TO BE KEEPING POSITIVE IN THEIR EMOJIS… Negative Positive TOP EMOJIS YouTube 22% 58% 20% Instagram 11% 71% 18% Institution, government 6% 85% 9% + 13 000 Twitter 13% 78% 8% Facebook 15% 77% 8% + 10 000 Forum 23% 72% 5% Blog 8% 91% 1% + 6 000 TV, radio 8% 91% 1% Regional newspaper 9% 90% 1% + 5 000 National newspaper 11% 88% 1% General news, Magazine 11% 88% 1% + 4 000 Professional news, Industry news 6% 94% 0% News agency 4% 96% 0% 16 ‒
…WITH THE MOST SHARED / LIKED POSTS ABOUT COVID POKE FUN AT LOCKDOWN / MASKS / ENFORCEMENT Viral is defined by a high amount of likes, comments & views, also by a large amount of potential reach (relating to the number of followers from original post)
TECHNICAL NOTE These are the findings of the Ipsos Coronavirus SAR China, Hungary, Italy, Japan, Netherlands, points for countries where the sample is 500+. For public perceptions and behavioral responses survey Poland, Singapore, South Korea, Spain, Sweden and more information on the Ipsos use of credibility (2020). The South African poll comprised of 1,008 United States). intervals, please visit the Ipsos website interviews conducted via the Ipsos online panel (www.Ipsos.com). Brazil, Chile, Colombia, China, India, Malaysia, between the 25th and the 30th of March 2020. Mexico, Peru, Philippines, Romania, Russia, Saudi The results were weighted and projected to South Arabia, South Africa, and Turkey produce a national Africans who have access to the internet–either at sample that is more urban & educated, and with home and/or on their mobile phones. Individuals who higher incomes than their fellow citizens. only have internet access at work or at a public We refer to these respondents as “Upper Deck This study did not have any external facility have been excluded. The South African Consumer Citizens”. They are not nationally sponsors or partners. It was sample is more urban, more educated and/or more initiated and run by Ipsos with the representative of their country. affluent than the general population and should be intention to share our viewed as reflecting the views of the more Where results do not sum to 100 or the ‘difference’ understanding about the world we “connected” segment of the population. The data is appears to be +-1 more/less than the actual, this may weighted so that the sample composition best reflects be due to computer rounding, multiple responses or live in and how citizens around the the demographic profile of the adult population the exclusion of don't knows or not stated responses. globe think and feel about their according to the most recent census data. world. Sample surveys and polls may be subject to other The survey is conducted in 32 countries around the sources of error, including, but not limited to coverage world with Approximately 1000 individuals in each error, and measurement error. The precision of Ipsos country aged 16-74. 18 of the 32 countries surveyed online surveys is measured using a Bayesian online generate nationally representative samples in Credibility Interval. Here, the poll has a credibility their countries (Argentina, Australia, Belgium, interval of +/-3.5 percentage points considering that Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hong Kong the sample is 1,000+. The credibility interval is +/- 4.8 © Ipsos South Africa | Coronavirus Results Wave 1
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