Coronavirus (COVID-19) Impact - deugro group
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Coronavirus (COVID-19) Impact ISO 9001:2015 ISO 14001:2015 BS OHSAS 18001:2007 Coronavirus (COVID-19) Impact – Update April 09, 2020 Rev # 0 deugro-group.com April 09, 2020 Page 1 of 29
Index Coronavirus (COVI D-19) Impact ‒ Execut ive S ummary 3 Ocean frei ght overvi ew 4 Blank sailings and longer t ransit t imes 4 Commercial overview: Cont ainers 5 B reakbulk and c hart ering 6 COV ID -19 port rest rict ions 7 Equipment imbalance 7 Oil p rice impact 9 B eyond IMO 2020 9 Air frei ght overvi ew 10 Capac ity 10 Rat e t rends 11 Intercont inent al air f reight t raff ic to and f rom Europe 11 E U travel advice and border measures 13 Rail Freight development 13 Current operational status of our branches 14 Country updates 15 Useful links 29 Coronavirus (COVID-19) Impact Report Rev # 0 deugro-group.com April 09, 2020 Page 2 of 29
Coronavirus (COVID-19) Impact Update 4 | April 9, 2020 The coronavirus pandemic has been confirmed in over 180 countries globally since it was first discovered in the Chinese city of Wuhan in late December 2019. In the fifth deugro group COVID-19 update, we are f ocusing on the continued impacts the virus is having globally. We continue to closely monitor the global situation and provide updates regarding logistics and supply chain activities geographically, also covering all major modes of transportation. We are pleased to confirm that all deugro group global offices remain operational and capable of supporting clients’ requirements. The last week saw a significant growth in the number of infections, with the global number of cases surpassing one million on April 2, and within a week increasing by a f urther 400,000. The USA has the highest number of cases globally at over 380,000, and despite strict lockdown arrangements in force, the total impact in Spain has seen cases beyond 140,000. Strict control measures on travel and social distancing remain in place throughout Europe, the Middle East, India and South Africa. Oil prices have remained down more than 50% year to date and their lowest for nearly two decades, with WTI Crude remaining below 30 US dollars per barrel over the last week. This week’s OPEC and OPEC+ video conference meeting is planned for Thursday, April 9, with expectations that Saudi Arabia, Russia and the USA may agree to cut oil output in the hope to curb the current oversupply in the market. Most international oil companies announced significant CAPEX reductions for 2020 in the hope to reduce losses and potentially reduce their oil production. Manufacturing industries remain severely impacted due to the lockdown and social distancing, and restarting production in the months ahead could be a slow and difficult process. This continues to heavily impact the global economy, with increasing unemployment levels and governments providing unprecedented support in terms of fiscal stimulus packages for public and private industries. In China, lif e is getting back to normal as the country returns to work and people’s focus shifts towards restarting the economy. According to official statistics, health authorities have reported only one new locally transmitted case of COVID-19. In Wuhan, the center of the outbreak and the country’s worst-hit area, officials on Monday, April 6, reported a fifth day without new cases. During the last week, we saw Japan declare a state of emergency to curb the virus spread, along with Singapore seeing their largest ever daily increase in COVID-19 cases on April 8. Singapore has banned all social gatherings as part of its latest restrictions to help combat the spread of the virus; their health ministry’s plan will remain in effect until May 5. Many US and European ports are operating as usual, but as the number of COVID -19 cases increases, the impact on consumer habits and the effect of this on the supply chain and logistics demands will change. As China restarts manufacturing and shipping goods from Asia, the demand for these goods when they reach ports in Europe and the USA may have significantly decreased. This potential problem may result in the requirement f or cargo to sit in containers at the port, incurring detention and storage costs. At the same time, we are seeing shipping lines slowing down their sailing speed or traveling on longer routes in order to delay the arrival of cargo. As we continue to work through the COVID-19 pandemic, our number one aim is the safety and health of our employees, clients and partners. We continue to adhere to and promote governments’ and health experts’ recommendations for personal, workplace and community health, working together with our employees to support and protect them and their families and to prevent the spread of the virus, including complying with social distancing requirements and implementing flexible and home working where possible. As the last weeks have demonstrated that this situation continues to change very quickly, but we are monitoring these developments closely in order to ensure safety, security and business continuity and to reduce exposure to the virus. Should you have any questions, please continue to engage with your local deugro contact, who will strive to provide full support. Coronavirus (COVID-19) Impact Report Rev # 0 deugro-group.com April 09, 2020 Page 3 of 29
Ocean freight overview As the COVID-19 pandemic continues and nations across the globe take measures to contain it, the impacts on the supply chain have been dramatic and fast-changing. Over the past week, we saw disruptions continue to accelerate. As governments extend lockdown periods, manufacturers are required to extend plant closures and shipping lines to adjust their schedules. Port congestion continues to increase, and storage capacity is becoming increasingly limited. This is leading to uncertainties and lack of visibility regarding global demand for ocean freight transport. The container market continues to remain volatile this week. This is due to container stock imbalance worldwide, ongoing lockdowns, blank sailings and eroded service reliability. We believe that in order for markets to stabilize, we need to see some combination of evidence of successful virus containment, clarity on the net economic impact and a concerted global policy response. The continuing recovery in the Asian markets is leading to some recovery of the freight rates for the East Asia – North America and East Asia – Europe trade lanes. Blank sailings and longer transit times Blank sailing notices from carriers for April are being announced on a daily basis. While rapidly decreasing f uel costs might tempt carriers to persist with this tactic as the primary defense for a little while longer, the need to preserve cash may soon force lines to lay up vessels. The sudden massive volume of blank sailings announced in recent days is set to create new records in terms of the inactive containership fleet, which analysts at Alphaliner are now saying will exceed the 3 million TEU mark f or the first time, meaning some 13% of the entire global box fleet will be out of work. Among the carriers who have announced blank sailings this week are: Hapag Lloyd, APL, CMA CGM, ONE, 2M Carrier Alliance (MSC, Maersk). This week’s Ocean Insights update lists 761 blank sailings across 396 services on three major trade lanes. The actual number is likely to be higher since there is no detailed overview of blank sailings for smaller intraregional services. It is expected that volume loss alone from the blank sailings will cost the top 15 carriers more than 6 billion US dollars in 2020, rendering the industry loss-making in 2020 and reversing the prof it of 5.9 billion US dollars that the top 15 carriers earned combined last year. MSC announced their new Suspension of Transit (SOT) program last week. This is a flexible cargo service that will help to meet the imminent resumption of demand from Asia and ensure service continuity. It includes container yard storage in six transshipment hubs across Asia, the Middle East, Europe, Africa and the Americas, ensuring that goods can be shipped close to their destinations as soon as possible and providing easier cargo flow for clients. To mitigate the elevated risk of operating losses, shipping lines may consider off -hiring chartered tonnage wherever possible and laying up owned units to preserve cash in the event of a prolonged demand downturn. According to Drewry, cargo owners may expect significant service disruptions this year, with more blank sailings and most likely a number of service suspensions. Due to the unexpected reduction in fuel costs, shipping lines are extending round-trip voyages to absorb capacity. This is causing longer transit times. For example, some carriers are opting for sailing via South Af rica instead of the Suez due to low fuel and high Suez costs. Others are combining sailing schedules to the east and west coast of the USA, which also causes a significant increase in transit times. Coronavirus (COVID-19) Impact Report Rev # 0 deugro-group.com April 09, 2020 Page 4 of 29
Commercial overview: Containers The blank sailings implemented globally are leading to fully booked vessels , requiring longer booking times to ensure space availability. Due to this limited service availability, we are seeing volatile container f reight rates. This is shown in the year- on-year comparison of the Freightos Baltic Global Container Index™ (FBX) as shown in the figure below. The FBX is a set of indices that reflect ocean container transport spot freight rates across 12 global trade lanes. Figure 1: Year-on-year Freightos Baltic Global Container Freight Index™ The gradual restart of industrial activities in China has led to a f reight rate increase this week, reaching last year’s levels of the China / East Asia – North America West Coast trade lane. This can be seen in the figure below. Figure 2: Year-on-year FBX China / East Asia – North America West Coast freight index Coronavirus (COVID-19) Impact Report Rev # 0 deugro-group.com April 09, 2020 Page 5 of 29
Breakbulk and chartering Charter rates continue to be under pressure due to disrupted commodity supply and economic distress in major demand centers. Rates are expected to remain volatile in April 2020 as many countries across the globe continue to be under lockdown due to the COVID-19 outbreak, resulting in sluggish commodity trade. The positive news for dry bulk ship owners is that the situation in China is normalizing. It seems the worst is over f or China and the country’s economic activity will pick up pace over the next couple of months, giving a positive outlook for the country’s steel production as well as iron ore and coal imports. Breakbulk carriers are trying to increase freight rates from the Far East to Southeast Asia due to the fact that the situation is not very transparent with regards to heavily infected areas, and what sort of an outcome that has on available cargo. Carriers are a bit unsure if they will find sufficient cargo to export from Southeast Asia to the next favorable loading position. The Baltic Dry Index, which measures the cost of shipping goods around the world, continues to strengthen in April because the gradual restart of industrial activity in China has led to improved demand for shipping vessels. For the first quarter of 2020, however, the index slipped more than 40% since the rapid spread of the coronavirus around the world led to shipping restrictions and weakened demand for dry bulk vessels. Figure 3: Baltic Dry Index Coronavirus (COVID-19) Impact Report Rev # 0 deugro-group.com April 09, 2020 Page 6 of 29
COVID-19 port restrictions With countries across the globe announcing further restrictions, which may also differ from one another, keeping track of these for ships and crews is challenging. To help making this easier, we would like to share the COVID-19 Port Restrictions Map produced by Wilhelmsen Ships Service. It provides status updates twice per day of restrictions at a click on countries and ports. Locations with updated information from within the last 24 hours are highlighted. The map can be viewed at: https://www.wilhelmsen.com/ships-agency/campaigns/coronavirus/coronavirus-map/ Figure 4: COVID-19 Port Restrictions Map by Wilhelmsen Ships Services Equipment Imbalance Carriers are rapidly reducing head haul capacity through blank sailings. This risks a shortage of equipment being imported for backhaul volumes. Container imbalance remains, with the majority of equipment surplus seen in Asia. Even though production in Asia is steadily increasing, the reduction in demand in Europe and the USA is leading to further blank sailings. With the shortage of equipment in Europe and the USA, shippers are facing a challenge with exports as demand in China starts to recover. The graph below shows an overview of the current container availability worldwide for calendar week 15. The data is based on CAx (Container Availability Index). Last week’s trend of the increasing deficit in equipment availability in Europe and USA continues. The main change f rom week 14 is the resumed availability of all types of containers in India. Coronavirus (COVID-19) Impact Report Rev # 0 deugro-group.com April 09, 2020 Page 7 of 29
Region Port 20' DV 40' DV 40' HC Shanghai Qingdao Asia Singapore Port Kelang Genoa Rotterdam Europe Antwerp Hamburg Africa Durban Chicago North America Los Angeles India Nhava Sheva Figure 5: Calendar week 15 | Container availability worldwide (Source: xChange) Red – Def icit of containers (incl. full and empty units, SOC and COC) Green – Surplus of containers (incl. full and empty units, SOC and COC) Coronavirus (COVID-19) Impact Report Rev # 0 deugro-group.com April 09, 2020 Page 8 of 29
Oil price impact The rapid spread of the coronavirus is weakening the short-term global economic outlook and oil demand, resulting in a very large oversupply. The oil market is under pressure from both shrinking demand and growing supply. Much lower economic activity due to the unprecedented lockdowns in much of Europe, the USA and many other countries is significantly reducing oil consumption. It is expected that demand will fall by several million barrels per day in 2020 compared with 2019. Figure 6: Historical and forecasted crude oil bunker prices from 2010 to 2022 (Source: Maritime Strategies International) Beyond IMO 2020 The introduction of a global 0.5% Sulphur cap on January 1, 2020 means that the vessels are now burning Very Low Sulphur Fuel Oil (VLSFO) rather than the IFO 380 (Intermediate Fuel Oil) they were using last year. Looking at the Ship and Bunker’s Global Top 20 Ports Index, which tracks bunker prices across 20 of the world’s top bunkering markets, the monthly average VLSFO price for March was 351.50 US dollars per metric ton. There was a sharp fall from January when the VLSFO price was higher, but as you can see from Figure 6 above, the trend going forward for VLSFO is an upward increase. The collapse of marine bunker prices was a surprise, so soon after the rise in costs caused by the IMO 2020 low sulf ur regulation. The rapid fall in the price of bunker was brought about by last month’s dramatic 50% decline in the price of crude. Coronavirus (COVID-19) Impact Report Rev # 0 deugro-group.com April 09, 2020 Page 9 of 29
Air freight overview The air f reight industry is enduring the heaviest impact by the spread of the coronavirus and by the restrictions across the globe. Airlines continue to follow stringent cost-saving measures and to have reduced and/or suspended flight operations. It is estimated that at least 8,500 aircraft are currently parked and only around a quarter of the global capacity is in operation. As a result of this situation, the available air freight space and capacity in the market continue to be very limited and reduced or, in some cases, not available any longer. The severe cut in capacity and the demand-driven requirements have led to a significant increase in air f reight rates and major commercial fluctuations of rates. The grounding of further aircraft continues as a consequence of further lockdowns and closures of manuf acturing facilities in many countries. Cargo capacity remains limited, and the available space is being prioritized for premium paying customers as well as medical and essential item shipments across the globe, which of ten leads to goods classed “non-essential” being bumped off booked flights. A number of airlines have started to make long-term business decisions to reduce capacity, flight operations and administration by retiring aircraft permanently. This is because the recovery of the air f reight industry is expected to take years and not return to pre-COVID-19 levels, global travel bans are expected to remain in place f or several more months and the return for high demand for air travel will potentially take years to return to “normal.” The majority of international airports is still operational, even though international flights have been fully suspended or extremely decreased to only a small number of flights, allowing only cargo and repatriation services. Freight forwarding is still possible, but with very limited connections for all cargo. Capacity COVID-19 has led to a significant change in supply, considering that approximately 75% of the global capacity is now freighter capacity, with only 25% belly capacity remaining in the market on international passenger flights. Most commercial air f reight carriers have temporarily stopped and/or reduced their passenger flights, which has led to significant loss in cargo belly capacity as a contributor to cargo capacity on most of the main trade lanes. Cargo transportation seems more robust than passenger traffic and remains in high demand for medical supplies, food and other essential items. The transformation of airlines’ passenger aircraft into cargo jets continues. The situation of fully booked freighter operations will prevail until the end of May. Most aircraft are in the air nearly nonstop or waiting to be processed at airports, which experience has shown leads to a backlog of cargo for import and export loading activities. Aircraf t availability for charters continues to be scarce; however, there are still options available for part charters (20 MT and up), as well as full-charter cargo delivery in the event of a lack of capacity on scheduled lanes. For smaller sized cargo that fits through belly-deck cargo doors, there is plenty of available options using wide-body passenger aircraft (e.g. B777, B787, B767, A330) for cargo-only charters. Heavy ramp aircraft suitable for project cargo (AN-124 and IL-76) are being used to move critical medical goods, which is causing a continuous lack of capacity for any time-critical project cargo. Coronavirus (COVID-19) Impact Report Rev # 0 deugro-group.com April 09, 2020 Page 10 of 29
Rate trends Air f reight rates continue to surge and change by the hour, since urgently needed medical supplies are prioritized, with premium surcharges applied. Previously agreed rate and capacity agreements remain suspended or are subject to an increase. For many routes, the validity of freight rates is tied to space capacity at the point in time that the quote was provided, even for premium rates. It has been noticed that noncritical general cargo is more often taken off planes again to make space for (more profitable) critical goods. Some carriers have introduced a stricter process of advance payments and penalties for cancellations, putting added pressure on operations. The backlog of cargo at its origins continues to grow, since space is tight and warehouses at destinations are f illing up with cargo not collected by the consignees due to lack in consumer goods being purchased. All charter prices are based on availability at the time of the scheduled uplift and are currently very fluid in line with demand. Charter rates vary, but, in general, air charter rates are significantly more expensive than a few months ago. Intercontinental air freight traffic to and from Europe As demand for medical equipment to fight the spread and impact of COVID -19 continues to increase, we are seeing a similar situation to the previous weeks’ status for intercontinental air freight traffic to and from Europe: • Europe WESTBOUND (to North and South America): The situation remains critical and subject to rate increases and scarce space availability as airlines continue with the reduction of their f leets. • Europe EASTBOUND (Europe to Far East): The situation remains critical and subject to rate increases and scarce space availability as airlines continue with the reduction of their fleets. A minimum of 10 days prenotice is required with most airlines. • Far East to Europe: Enormous amount of demand for aid and relief charters, with rate levels extremely high. Availability is very scarce and needs to be confirmed on a daily basis. deugro’s dedicated air charter team is in constant communication with its strategic airline partners to ensure access to the capacity required for our clients. Coronavirus (COVID-19) Impact Report Rev # 0 deugro-group.com April 09, 2020 Page 11 of 29
Intra-EU, cross-border cargo transfers In the attempt to slow the spread of the coronavirus, EU countries and Russia have officially closed their borders to all but essential travel. Cross-border trucking of cargo is possible, to allow keeping supply chains open. Many loading and unloading points are currently experiencing long waiting times due to extensive security checks, reduced staff and shortened opening hours. The transit time in pre- and on-carriage might be elongated slightly due to the reduced freight capacity, truck availability, and extended processing times at border controls as well as the strict sanitary measures in place. On the website covid-19.sixfold.com, you can easily monitor the expected times that trucks are currently spending for crossing intra-EU borders. Figure 7: Sixfold website map with border crossing time (dated April 8, 2020) The border crossing time is the average time that trucks spend in the border crossing corridor. These corridors are approximately 10 kilometers long; their centers are displayed on the map. Coronavirus (COVID-19) Impact Report Rev # 0 deugro-group.com April 09, 2020 Page 12 of 29
EU travel advice and border measures The EU travel restrictions remain in place, in the national governments’ attempt to contain the spread of the coronavirus across Europe. All EU member states, except Ireland, and all Schengen-associated countries (Iceland, Liechtenstein, Norway, Switzerland) have applied the restriction of non-essential travel from third countries into the EU. Below is a map showing various restrictions implemented by countries across Europe: Figure 8: Restricted movement of people across the EU, except Ireland Rail freight development The lack of air freight capacity and ocean carriers seems to have triggered a shift of cargo movements to rail f rom China to Europe. It is reported that rail traffic saw a year-to-year increase of 28% and the number of departures (805 trains) and volumes (approx. 73,000 TEU) increased significantly in the month of March; a record-breaking month since the history of Eurasian rail freight traffic. Such developments demonstrate that the market is looking for and finding ways to increase cargo flows. Coronavirus (COVID-19) Impact Report Rev # 0 deugro-group.com April 09, 2020 Page 13 of 29
Current operational status of our branches Figure 9: Current operational status of deugro branches (April 8, 2020) Dark Gray – Branch operational, personnel working remotely from home Medium Gray – Branch operational, staff on rotation Blue – Branch operational, with no restrictions in place Coronavirus (COVID-19) Impact Report Rev # 0 deugro-group.com April 09, 2020 Page 14 of 29
Country updates As some markets/countries are more in the spotlight due to the intensity of the virus spreading or due to their importance in logistics, we want to provide an update for some of those markets on the following pages. It aly 16 Germany 16 Spain 17 Franc e 17 Denmark 17 Russia 18 United Kingdom 18 B enelux 18 Scandinavia 19 Sout hern Af ric a 20 B razil 21 Chile 21 P eru 21 United St ates of America 22 Canad a 22 China 23 Sout h Korea 24 Jap an 24 Indonesia 25 Myanmar 25 Singapore 26 Malaysia 26 Viet nam 27 Thailand 27 Ind ia 28 Middle East 28 Coronavirus (COVID-19) Impact Report Rev # 0 deugro-group.com April 09, 2020 Page 15 of 29
Europe Italy All branches operational, with personnel working remotely from home The Italian government announced the extension of the country lockdown of all non-essential industries and services, with effect from March 23 until April 14. No restrictions have been imposed for domestic cargo movements. Although ports and airports are exempted from the coronavirus lockdown, nearly all cargo suppliers will remain closed. All non-essential industrial and commercial production activities are suspended. Ports and terminals are exempted from the coronavirus lockdown and are running normally, with little impacts or delays. Space is extremely limited, and vessels are overbooked. Most passenger flights to/from Italy remain suspended, whereas cargo flights are operational with reduced space availability. Milano Linate Airport and Milano Malpensa Terminal 1 are temporarily closed. Germany All branches operational, with personnel working on rotation and remotely Domestic transportation within Germany remains operational without any restrictions or impacts. However, because some shippers and manufacturers are working with reduced staff numbers, trucks may have extended waiting times for loading. Cross-border traffic is experiencing delays, longer transit times as well as limited availability of trucks for all trade lanes due to additional controls at German borders. Presently, there are no changes in the performance of terminals in German ports, i.e. Hamburg, Bremerhaven and Cuxhaven. However, some terminals are experiencing an increase in (full) equipment remaining in the terminals because containers are not being collected from the receivers. We expect that space in the terminals in Germany will further reduce due to import containers that cannot be cleared by customs and delivered to the factories, manufacturing yards or receivers due to potential closures of said facilities and their warehouses in the coming days. However, as fewer import containers from the Far East are expected to arrive in the ports in Germany in the coming weeks, the terminals are confident that the current situation will improve soon and no major impacts on perf ormance are to be expected. Airports in Germany remain open and operational, with cargo flights dominating the activities. Due to lack of belly space, most airlines require prenotices of up to 10 days. Coronavirus (COVID-19) Impact Report Rev # 0 deugro-group.com April 09, 2020 Page 16 of 29
Spain Branch operational, with personnel working remotely from home Freight transport remains exempted to guarantee economic activity and the supply chain. Ports in Spain are maintaining their level of activity without major delays. For general cargo, we note a clear decrease in the availability of standard containers. Shipping lines have announced rate increases. Airports remain operational for cargo shipments; however, this transportation mode is severely af f ected by the cancellation of international passenger flights. France Branch operational, with personnel working remotely from home Despite the lockdown of the entire country, no restrictions are in place for domestic cargo transportation. Cross-border cargo transfer traffic is experiencing minor delays due to increased border controls. Labor shortage in ports and terminals continue to impact all port activities, as well as the increase of blank sailings, equipment availability and vessel rotations. All traf fic at Orly Airport is currently suspended, whereas Paris-Charles De Gaulle Airport is operational with a focus on freight cargo flights. Denmark Branch operational, with personnel working remotely from home Denmark’s borders remain closed, only allowing cross-border cargo transportation, which faces small delays due to border checks. An increasing imbalance in markets is impacting the price of transportation. Especially prices for imports from southern Europe are increasing due to lack of equipment and drivers. All ports are operationally, and deliveries of containers related to ocean freight transports continue. Delays are expected at the suppliers’ loading facilities, as well as terminals, due to blank sailings. An increase in rates in general due to a general imbalance, lack of equipment and lack of sailings has already been implemented on the container market. All airports remain operational, despite passenger flights being suspended, whereas cargo flights are operational with reduced space availability. Coronavirus (COVID-19) Impact Report Rev # 0 deugro-group.com April 09, 2020 Page 17 of 29
Russia All branches operational, with personnel working on rotation and remotely As of March 30, Russia has temporarily restricted any movement by road, rail, foot and river and at combined border-crossing points, including the overland section at the Russia‒Belarus border. Restrictions do not apply for drivers and cross-border trucking of cargo. There are currently no restrictions or impacts on ocean freight and port operations. All regular and charter flights to other countries have been suspended. United Kingdom Branch operational, with personnel working remotely from home No major disruptions in domestic or international road freight have been noticed so far. Equipment and driver availability remain stable. UK’s main ports (Felixstowe, Liverpool, Southampton and London Gateway) remain open. With strict access and additional health controls in place, all ports are congested and lead times slowing. Loading facilities and warehouses face space limitations and slower processing. London Heathrow remains open for cargo business. British Airways is suspending all its flights to and f rom London’s Gatwick Airport. The airport ground handling company Dnata has furloughed a “large proportion” of its staff and will implement new terminal handling charges in the UK starting on April 9. Benelux Branches operational (Rotterdam and Antwerp), with personnel working remotely from home No major disruptions in domestic or international road freight have been noticed so far. Equipment and driver availability remain stable. The Ports of Antwerp and Rotterdam are still operational with minor disruptions due to lack of equipment. Special equipment needs to be booked at least three weeks in advance. Coronavirus (COVID-19) Impact Report Rev # 0 deugro-group.com April 09, 2020 Page 18 of 29
A continuous increase in blank sailings to the USA and Far East have been noticed, as well as reduced scheduled sailings (bi-monthly, not weekly) on certain trade lanes from the northwest continent, which have an impact on both space and equipment availability. The Port of Antwerp continues to restrict external people and companies from entering their premises, i.e. no surveyors, freight forwarders or cargo owners, in order to safeguard the staff currently working. Airports are operating with limited capacity. Most international flights are suspended, whereby cargo flights continue. At Schiphol Airport, up to 90% of Air France-KLM group capacity has been cut, with just a few scheduled services and repatriation flights operating. Scandinavia Branch operational, with personnel working remotely from home No major disruptions in domestic or international road freight have been noticed so far. The EU-wide trend of closing national borders and additional checks will result in longer transit times in international trucking, and is expected to limit ferry connections available (lat ter concerning mainly Finland). No blank sailings have been announced for feeder services from Scandinavian countries so far. The transit times to final destinations are, however, affected due to the blank sailings of shipping lines on main voyages. Equipment imbalance affects transit times and has led to an increase in rate levels. All main airports remain operational with the majority of passenger flights suspended, affecting the cargo freight sector. Compensatory services are limited, and the main solution will be road freight to European hubs. Coronavirus (COVID-19) Impact Report Rev # 0 deugro-group.com April 09, 2020 Page 19 of 29
Africa Southern Africa Branch operational, with personnel working remotely from home The government of South Africa decided to implement a national lockdown for the entire country starting on March 27. This lockdown will end on April 17. All businesses, except those providing items for basic needs, security and medical care, are closed. If operations can be maintained remotely, this is permissible. Domestic road freight is only allowed to move essential goods such as pharmaceuticals, food, coal, and household goods, and only through transporters who are registered and hold a certif icate to carry essential goods. As international road freight only, essential goods are permitted to be moved. Other southern African countries are implementing different strategies to cope with the coronavirus impact: Zimbabwe The entire country has been in lockdown since March 30, until further notice, but will remain open for the transport of essential equipment. If South Africa suspends any truck movements via Zimbabwe, there may be too many police stops and additional costs. Botswana The country is still operating as normal; however, it is expected that a 14-day quarantine on all foreign drivers will be imposed soon. The Kazungula ferry crossing is currently problematic, due to congestion and only one f erry running, along with high water levels so ferries can only work limited hours per day. DRC – Kasumbalesa/Lubumbashi A border closure of two days early last week was implemented in order to impose restrictions and protocols f or drivers arriving into DRC. This led to long delays, since the 48 hours turned into almost three days. There is currently a 56-kilometer line for trucks trying to get to the Kasumbalesa border post. Zambia The country may impose a 14-day quarantine period on all foreign drivers. Tanzania The Tanduma border appears to be open for business. The government is hesitant to announce a f ull lockdown. Ports are only accepting essential cargo at the moment and requesting essential goods carrier certif icates. Ports are also operating on skeleton staff, which has resulted in some delays. All non-essential cargo is being taken to depots by carriers until after the lockdown period. Shipping lines have established an integrated committee (SAPS, CUSTOMS, DOH, TPT) to expedite and assist with processing genuine essential goods entering and leaving the port. No other goods are permitted to enter the ports. Containers are being opened and checked randomly to confirm their content. As per the South African government, no rate increases will be allowed during this time. The mmajority of flights have been canceled, causing delays in receiving or exporting air f reight cargo. Only essential goods are being allowed to be delivered, with clients being given the certif icate of “essential service provider” as well as certain ITAC permits, which are being required. Non-essential cargo is remaining with the handling agents. Americas Coronavirus (COVID-19) Impact Report Rev # 0 deugro-group.com April 09, 2020 Page 20 of 29
Brazil Branch operational, with personnel working remotely from home All borders to neighboring countries are closed and entry is not permitted for all foreigners, with a f ew exceptions. Cargo f lows are not restricted, but trucking is limited, and delays are to be expected. There are no presential customs officers available, and only clearance via the system is possible. A special import customs scheme is currently taking significantly longer. Ports are operating normally; no impact as of now at all on the operational side. Some port calls have been canceled on the outbound, and the consolidation of volumes is targeted, mainly on RO/RO services. All air traf fic routes are heavily impacted, because passenger flight capacity globally has collapsed. Air freight cargo is only being accepted on the basis of priority bookings. Rates f or the air freight are with very short validity and the price level is much higher. Chile Branch operational, with personnel working remotely from home Borders to neighboring countries are closed for transit of people but remain open for the transfer of general cargo with Peru, Argentina and Bolivia. All ports are closed for entry/transit of people, but currently remain open for import/export of cargo. Carriers and terminals have implemented a shift work system, therefore no major impact to operational performance or rates has been experienced at this point. All airports are operational for cargo transfer, while passenger traffic has been suspended at almost all airports, which also brings commercial cargo flights to a standstill. Freighter f lights are operational, but limited space and availability have caused rates to increase. Peru Branch operational, with personnel working remotely from home All borders to neighboring countries remain closed, and domestic transportation is limited. Cross- border transportation is restricted to movement during daytime hours only, with a curfew in place af ter 6 p.m. All transported cargo must be accompanied with a customs form stating its origin, and drivers need to be able to present work certification to authorities. The majority of ports are fully functional, but staff shortages of 30‒45% at terminals are leading to minor delays in handling operations. All passenger air traffic is suspended; only cargo aircraft is allowed to land. Miami is used as a hub airport for supplies and all foreign shipments. Coronavirus (COVID-19) Impact Report Rev # 0 deugro-group.com April 09, 2020 Page 21 of 29
United States of America Branch operational, with personnel working remotely from home There are no restrictions on road freight as of yet. Borders to Canada and Mexico remain open to commercial traffic for essential goods. Several states have enacted complete lockdowns, and their number is increasing. Most cargo vendors or receivers continue to work but are encountering delays in loading/unloading operations due to staff shortages. Most ocean terminals remain open and fully operational but operate with limited gate hours due to low cargo volume caused by blank sailings. Vessels are fully booked and new bookings require longer lead times due to increasing numbers of blank sailings to/from the USA. Major airports remain open, despite reduced air traffic. Airlines are trying to compensate for lack of capacity by increasingly utilizing passenger aircraft, which is leading to increasing rate levels to/from the USA. Canada Branch operational, with personnel working remotely from home International borders are open to commercial traffic with the CBSA customs office working to f acilitate the movements of goods. There are currently no changes to any import/export processes. Borders remain closed for non-essential goods. A shortage of drivers is becoming more apparent, making securing loads to/from the USA difficult. Some breakbulk and heavy lift trucking companies are no longer sending drivers to the USA. Ports are still open and operating but starting to closely monitor the backlog of containers on the dock since businesses are closed and not receiving freight. The ports of Montreal, Halifax and Vancouver are running at full capacity and no vessel or rail cancellations have been reported so far. Canada National Rail is ready to ramp up its capacity as required to alleviate the pressure on long-haul truck drivers. CBSA – Canada Customs CBSA is making progress towards the expanded use of e-mail and fax in lieu of paper submissions of commercial documentation. The f irst wave of ports to offer e-mail service will be Vancouver, Toronto, Windsor, Montreal and Halifax. Additional offices will go online shortly. Commercial clients are encouraged to communicate with their local CBSA office to determine their state of readiness and the best method currently available. Airports remain open, but domestic services, as well as cargo services, are extremely limited. The only dedicated air freight cargo operator (Cargojet) is facing extremely high volumes of health-care and essential supplies, which will potentially lead to road transportation having to take the overf low from imports via the USA. Coronavirus (COVID-19) Impact Report Rev # 0 deugro-group.com April 09, 2020 Page 22 of 29
Asia and Far East China Branch operational, with personnel working on rotation An increasing amount of production is being seen in China as workshops, fabrication yards and suppliers resume work again and workers return to their workplaces. In Hubei Province, where COVID-19 started, normal lif e has resumed with the lifting of certain lockdown restrictions. It is expected that the authorities will lif t all remaining measures in place by April 8, 2020. Inland trucking in China has been further restored up to about 95%, including transports between provinces. Transport to and from Hubei Province is gradually being eased. People are allowed to enter Wuhan City again but leaving is still restricted. With production in China ramping up again after an extended shutdown at the start the year, severe levels of congestion at the major ports are forecasted. To cover the high volume, larger ships will be deployed to meet the expected upsurge in demand in April. Container carriers continue to announce schedule changes and blank sailings at short notice. This increases the risk that loaded containers may be blocked at their origin for some time, with potential container demurrage/detention costs. Equipment availability remains a core issue as well. For FCL, we see up to four weeks’ prenotice for space and equipment allocation on certain trades. A recent development for FCL we are observing is that carriers only give very short rate validity periods and rates are basically changing daily. With regard to breakbulk services, fewer vessels are available as a result of lower demand. But the impact should be evaluated on a case-by-case basis depending on the port of loading, on the cargo and trade lane. Most airlines have implemented stringent cost-saving measures and, meanwhile, have announced they will reduce their flights significantly and/or stop flight operations. While the overall situation remains very volatile and uncertain in terms of air freight rates, space and service availability, we are observing that several airlines will enhance their freight services tof rom/ China in the coming weeks, which should have a positive impact. It is expected that for the coming one to two weeks, the air freight options will remain severely limited and prices as well as service options will remain highly dynamic. Additionally, air f reight validity remains very short and more and more agents are asking for advance payments for air f reight. We continue to recommend a minimum of two weeks’ prenotice for air freight arrangements. It is uncertain how long this situation will last, but most airlines are talking in terms of months in their announcements and it is expected that this will last well into Q2/2020. Coronavirus (COVID-19) Impact Report Rev # 0 deugro-group.com April 09, 2020 Page 23 of 29
South Korea Branch operational, with personnel working on rotation Strict 14-day quarantine rules have been implemented for foreign visitors entering the country. There are no specific restrictions for inland trucking within South Korea. However, there is an increase in demand, which is why we suggest allowing for a one-week lead time to arrange transport. All international ports and terminals remain operational, without any major impacts or delays. Due to the accident at Busan New Port on April 6, its seventh berth is expected to be out of order for a couple of months until container bridges are restored. Port congestion is a f actor leading to delays in the berthing of container vessels as well as in container releases from the terminal. There is less space and fewer voyages due to blank sailings by most container carriers. It takes longer to secure space, especially on the Far East to Europe and the Middle East route. Carriers are demanding higher freight charges due to change of vessel partners or alliances. International airports are operational. A drastic reduction in passenger flights remains. Freighters continue to operate, with South Korea’s national airline deploying their passenger planes on cargo-only routes. Air freight rates are increasing significantly depending on service route, and over a week lead time is required to secure space. Japan Branch operational, with personnel working remotely from home Japan’s government has declared a month-long state of emergency as of April 4. Despite the restrictions this entails, across several prefectures, there are no restrictions on local transportation in Japan as of yet. Many manufacturers for general goods suspended their production lines at the end of March, until further notice. Manufacturing of oil and gas vendors still seems to be operational, but limited due to shortages in staff. All major ports are still fully operational; however, all trade lanes are impacted in terms of their schedule, space and rates. Port congestion in the entire Southeast Asia region is increasing. The cargo terminals are f ully operational, but impacted due to lack of space availability, reduced schedules and an increase in air freight rates on all trades. Coronavirus (COVID-19) Impact Report Rev # 0 deugro-group.com April 09, 2020 Page 24 of 29
Indonesia Branch operational, with personnel working on rotation The impact on road freight remains limited; however, the situation could worsen should the authorities implement a full lockdown of the city of Jakarta. This means cargo would not be able to be trucked out of or into the Jakarta area and the Port of Tanjung Priok. Sudden road closures are impacting current deliveries. No major impacts on outgoing services have been experienced so far; however, because Indonesia is mainly an import country, we have noticed vessel delays or cancellations at their origins. Reduction of capacity and services continues, since airlines have grounded most of their aircraft f leet, heavily impacting cargo services and air freight levels. Increases in rate levels, or no service availability, are common. Myanmar Branch operational, with personnel working remotely from home Significant shortage of available drivers both due to the COVID-19 situation as well as due to upcoming national holidays lasting from April 10 to 19. Movement is restricted over those days. International road border crossing remains open with restrictions; longer waiting time at borders is expected. Myanmar’s customs authorities allow only one person at a time in the customs office. Customs of fices will be completely shut down during the upcoming national holiday period, with additional days off, f rom April 8 to 19. Unlike previous years, there will be no possibility to work overtime during the Thingyan holidays. Essential commodity 160 lines are now available with an online application for the import/export license. Ports are f ully operational, but sailing schedules are largely impacted by blank sailings at their origin. Rates are f ollowing a similar trend to the rest of Southeast Asia, with increased prices and surcharges. The Ministry of Transport issued a circular on March 29 stipulating the suspension of all international flights to/from Myanmar. The suspension does not affect cargo and charter flights. The loss of belly space will lead to increased rates as the availability of space becomes scarcer. Impacts on the main airports (reduction of working hours, closures or delays, manpower, etc.) are being f elt. Coronavirus (COVID-19) Impact Report Rev # 0 deugro-group.com April 09, 2020 Page 25 of 29
Singapore Branch operational, with personnel working from home Singapore has gone into partial lockdown from April 7 to May 4, 2020. Only essential services are allowed to operate. Transport and logistics are part of essential services; hence, deugro is registering with the government to operate with minimum office staff. There are no bans on cargo trucking within Singapore, and we do not see any challenges in operational capabilities at this time. The new lockdown situation is expected to slow down communication of suppliers and subcontractors in the coming days. The most affected trade lanes remain Europe, India and the USA, with rate levels increasing. Despite port operations still running, carriers are increasing blank sailings and crews are not allowed to disembark. Sailings to the Middle East remain fully booked, but intra-Asia services are stable. Terminals are operating as usual 24/7. However, passenger flights have been reduced drastically and a significant portion of cargo space now occupies passenger planes’ belly holds. Rates are quoted based on consignment details and space availability. Malaysia Branch operational, with personnel working on rotation Despite restricted movement rules in place until April 14, domestic transport is still allowed, but the government has strict measures in place based on a classification system. Non-essential and essential goods need a permission letter from the respective ministry (MITI). Checks under the Movement of Control Order (MCO) are common. Main ports are operating as usual, but delays can be expected due to manpower reduction. Terminals are operating as usual for cargo, yet passenger flights remain restricted. Space availability is limited, and rates are higher than usual. Coronavirus (COVID-19) Impact Report Rev # 0 deugro-group.com April 09, 2020 Page 26 of 29
Vietnam Branch operational, with personnel working from the office Domestic transport is currently operating as normal. Cross-border and long-haul movements are unstable, and trucking companies are reluctant to accept long-haul cargo. The reason being that there are strict measures in place for health checks at the borders and a mandatory 14-day quarantine f or drivers upon return. Ports are operating as usual, with blank sailings on the increase, leading to space constraints. Rate increases are expected for April as demand in China resumes and space reduces. Vessel crews of arriving vessels must be checked for coronavirus infections by the port authority during anchoring. A significant impact on rates and space is seen due to major regional and international flight cancellations that consist of nearly all air traffic. Limited freighter capacity remains. Pricing is theref ore extremely volatile, depending on the trade lane, and we advise booking with an increased lead time. Thailand Branch operational, with personnel working from the office All border stations remain closed to foreigners and only allow commercial trucking, diplomats, ship crew, pilots, etc. who have the prime minister’s approval to enter Thailand. If performing cross- border trucking, they need to have proper identification to be permitted to cross and re-enter Thailand. All Thai workers entering back into Thailand may be asked to quarantine themselves for 14 days. Throughout Thailand, there are 300+ major roadblocks testing people’s temperature for disease control. Trade lanes most impacted are ports in East Asia. Feeder ships have been canceling and rescheduling due to restrictions and delays in other ports. There are empty sailings to Thailand picking up single shipments. Special equipment is becoming more and more scarce; a situation worsened by the continued slow pace of demand. There may be delays for berthing if a ship has been previously quarantined due to the crew’s exposure to COVID-19. All international border stations are closed to foreigners. Exceptions include commercial trucking, diplomats, ship crew, pilots, etc. who have the prime minister’s approval to enter Thailand. Due to f light cancellations, shortage of space availability should be expected. Coronavirus (COVID-19) Impact Report Rev # 0 deugro-group.com April 09, 2020 Page 27 of 29
India Branch operational, with personnel working from home The government of India imposed total lockdown/curfew in the country until mid-April. The lockdown has also led to all states closing their borders, which has restricted road transportation and led to a major shortage of truck drivers, causing delays in the entire transport chain. Vessels originating from countries seen as high risk need to ender a mandatory 14-day quarantine prior to berthing, resulting in an increase in congestion and delays in ports. Port operations have not been officially suspended, but owing to restrictions on people’s movement, it is getting difficult to find manpower resources like stevedores, etc. for port operations. An increase in rates and blank sailings is expected for the entire month of April. Domestic and international passenger flights have been suspended to any airport in India. International cargo flights are permitted, but the restrictions on people’s movement are affecting cargo handling operations. Capacity shortages will lead to increased rates, and delays are f orecasted due to limited staff. Middle East Branches operational, with most personnel working from home and limited operational staff in the office All land borders are currently closed. Trucks/drivers can expect delays of three to four days due to medical and security checks on the borders. Domestic trucking of containers to the consignee yard is possible within UAE. Major shipping lines continue to operate as normal in UAE, with the impact of blank sailings increasing. The f eeders’ services have begun to be under pressure due to road closures and disruptions in the region. The expected “pre-Ramadan rush” will potentially not take place this year despite it being expected by many carriers. The majority of airlines are not operating, except for f reighter flights. Emirates Airlines and Etihad Airlines have converted their passenger flights to carry cargo only. Freighter f lights are high in demand. Service to certain main airports has also been canceled, with reduced fleet operations. For any inquiries, bookings and more information, please get in touch with your deugro contact or local deugro group office. They are available and ready to help. https://deugro-group.com/contact/ Coronavirus (COVID-19) Impact Report Rev # 0 deugro-group.com April 09, 2020 Page 28 of 29
Useful links The links below are for information purposes only. Number of confirmed cases worldwide • gisanddata.maps.arcgis.com/apps/op Air freight – General updates sdashboard/index.html#/bda7594740f d40299423467b48e9ecf6 • www.aircargonews.net • aircargoworld.com • www.aircargoweek.com Ocean freight – General updates • www.economist.com/business/2020/0 3/15/the-impact-of-covid-19-on- • www.seatrade-maritime.com airlines • www.tradewindsnews.com • www.aerotime.aero • www.xeneta.com/blog • www.tacindex.com/ • www.theloadstar.com • www.worldmaritimenews.com • www.hellenicshippingnews.com Oil and fuel prices • www.lloydslist.maritimeintelligence.inf orma.com • www.shipandbunker.com • www.oilprice.com Ocean freight – Global port restrictions map • www.wilhelmsen.com/ships- Policy tracker of government responses agency/campaigns/coronavirus/coron avirus-map/ • https://www.imf.org/en/Topics/imf- and-covid19/Policy-Responses-to- COVID-19#U Ocean freight – Equipment availability Note: Data as of April 1‒8, 2020 • www.container-xchange.com Road transportation – General updates • www.iru.org/ Coronavirus (COVID-19) Impact Report Rev # 0 deugro-group.com April 09, 2020 Page 29 of 29
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