Cooling South Melbourne - IMPACT ANALYSIS OF COOLING INTERVENTIONS - Urban Heat Island Mitigation ...
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Contents Executive Summary 4 Part 1 - Overview 7 Climate Conditions in Melbourne 8 Urban Development Characteristics 9 Urban Overheating Challenges 14 Part 2 - Urban Overheating Mitigation Strategies to Inform Strategic Planning 23 The Need for Urban Heat Mitigation in Planning Processes 24 Proposed Urban Overheating Mitigation Strategies 25 » Greater Melbourne 25 » South Melbourne Study Area 25 Part 3 - Impact Analysis of Cooling Interventions 27 Cooling Potential for Greater Melbourne in 2020 and 2050 28 » High Albedo for Urban Surfaces 31 » Urban Greenery 31 » Water Irrigation 31 » Combination of Cooling Interventions 32 » Informing the South Melbourne Study Area 35 Cooling Potential for the South Melbourne Study Area in 2020 and 2050 36 » Scenario 1 - New Buildings with Business as Usual Private Green Coverage 38 » Scenario 2 - New Buildings with Moderate Private Green Coverage and Additional Public Date: November 2020 Realm Green Coverage 40 » Scenario 3 - New Buildings with Optimised Private Green Coverage and Additional Public Authors: Realm Green Coverage 42 Lan Ding, UNSW Henry Petersen, UNSW » Scenario 4 - New Buildings and Cool Materials for all Streets, Footpaths and Private Hard Surfaces 44 William Craft, UNSW Mattheos Santamouris, UNSW » Scenario 5 - New Buildings and Cool Roofs for all New and Existing Buildings 46 Deo Prasad, UNSW » Scenario 6 - Cool Roofs for all Existing Buildings 48 Paul Osmond, UNSW Renae Walton, City of Port Phillip » Scenario 7 - Combination of all Interventions 50 Steven McKellar, City of Port Phillip David O’Reilly, City of Port Phillip » Scenario 8 - Combination of all Interventions Including Water Misting 52 » Scenario 9 - New Buildings with Increased Building Height 54 Acknowledgment: » Comparative Impact Analysis of Cooling Potential 56 Special thanks go to Serena Falasca, UniUrb, for the meso-scale modelling and analysis. Part 4 - Informing the South Melbourne Central Structure Plan 59 Many thanks also go to A/Professor Philip Oldfield, Dr Riccardo Paolini and Dr Shamila Cooling Intervention Results in a Planning Context 60 Haddad for their support and assistance. Recommendations to Inform the Future Planning of South Melbourne 62 Above: Outdoor Summer Event at the South Part 5 - Urban Heat Island Mitigation Decision-Support Tool 73 Melbourne Market Overview of Key Functions 74 Photo: City of Port Phillip Cover & Back: South Melbourne Town Hall South Melbourne Cooling Interventions in a 3D Interactive Platform 75 Photo: Donaldytong / Wikimedia / CC BY-SA 3.0 References 76 2 Cooling South Melbourne 3
Executive Summary Climate change is the defining species selection and planting which enabled the nine cooling air conditioning use and thereby challenge of our time. Just last density) and private realm building intervention scenarios in the limit potential heating effects from year, 2019 was the second warmest design (form, structure, materials microscale level to be modelled the waste heat of air conditioning. year and ended the warmest and green infrastructure), as well using ENVI-met, a computation fluid The most effective intervention decade (2010- 2019) ever recorded as identifying suitable locations for dynamics (CFD) model. This impact scenario was the combination of (WMO, 2020). The City of Port cooling interventions. Its purpose analysis highlights the maximum all mitigation strategies including Phillip has identified the need is also to model this information possible cooling potential for the water misting sprays, which had a to reduce the urban heat island so that it can be used in the South Melbourne Study Area under significant localised cooling impact (UHI) effect – increased ambient development and testing of built both current climate conditions on street level air and surface temperature in high-density urban form and public realm interventions in 2020 and future conditions in temperatures. The combination of areas compared to surrounding that will inform and provide 2050. These nine scenarios and all cooling interventions was able to suburban or rural areas – as a key supporting strategic justification their cooling potential have also respond to the diversity of land use priority in developing a greener, for updating the South Melbourne been integrated into the online and and urban typologies throughout the cooler and more liveable city that is Structure Plan (2007). interactive Microclimate and Urban study area. resilient and can adapt to climate Heat Island Mitigation Decision- To ensure the development of a One of the redevelopment change (City of Port Phillip, 2018). Support (UHI-DS) Tool. greener, cooler and more liveable scenarios involved the increasing Many of the City of Port Phillip’s city in the future, this report The results of this impact of building heights within the key local strategies, guidelines, plans identifies key urban overheating analysis show that all nine redevelopment precincts of the and policies for future planning challenges for both Greater cooling intervention scenarios study area beyond the maximum therefore prioritise the need to Melbourne and the South Melbourne can effectively reduce street level permissible planning controls. This minimise the impacts of increased Study Area and proposes urban air and surface temperatures scenario resulted from a careful urban overheating. overheating mitigation strategies throughout the South Melbourne consideration of transitional The South Melbourne Study to address them. These mitigation Study Area under current and future building scale, integration Area has been highlighted as strategies include increasing climate conditions. Increasing urban with public and private green an area that, due to its land use, public and private urban greenery, greenery in the public realm and infrastructure, material properties, demographics and ambient water misting, changes to street, the addition of cool materials for all and prevailing wind flows through temperature, is considered by footpath and roof materials, as streets, footpaths and private hard the study area. It was shown that Council to be a heat vulnerability well as a combination of these, and surfaces was highly effective at if planning controls effectively hot spot. Additionally, the area is are consolidated into nine cooling reducing street level air and surface address these factors, an increase expected to undergo change in the intervention scenarios for the South temperatures, especially in business in future density in the study area coming years with a new structure Melbourne Study Area. These and retail precincts that have does not have to mean the impacts plan slated for development in the intervention scenarios are informed wider, unshaded streets. Moderate of the UHI effect are exacerbated. coming 12 months. A key challenge by a cooling impact analysis of green infrastructure for private Developed from the outcomes for the City of Port Phillip is to Greater Melbourne using the green coverage demonstrated an of the impact analysis of cooling manage this future growth and Weather Research & Forecasting effective scenario for new buildings. intervention scenarios, a set of redevelopment in South Melbourne (WRF) model and are tailored While the impact of cool roofs is recommendations are provided to in a way that does not limit its ability specifically to the urban context of less than cool materials for hard inform future planning of South to mitigate and adapt to urban heat. South Melbourne and the Structure urban surfaces, it is important to Melbourne towards 2050. Plan controls. note, given the extent of existing The primary purpose for this report buildings with aging roof materials is to gather information in response 3D model data for the study in the study area, that cool roofs to this challenge, which includes area, including typologies of can lead to significant reductions information that could influence new buildings and private in roof surface temperatures. This the design of both the public realm green coverage scenarios, was can potentially improve indoor (surface types, material use, plant provided by the City of Port Phillip thermal comfort, reduce energy and 4 Cooling South Melbourne 5
Part 1 - Overview Left: Melbourne CBD skyline Photo: Adam Calaitzis / Adobe Stock 6 Cooling South Melbourne 7
Climate Conditions in Melbourne Urban Development Characteristics Greater Melbourne is characterised annual temperatures could increase For the last two decades, Melbourne sustainably (Victorian Government, by a temperate oceanic climate by up to 1.6˚C by the 2030s and has been experiencing a significant 2017a). and is well known for its highly up to 2.7˚C by the 2050s under a demographic change that is driving variable weather conditions. These a population boom in the inner-city Managing this growth through high greenhouse gas emissions temperature swings are due to its and outer-suburban developments. higher density urban areas is scenario. Also under a high geographic location that is subject While Melbourne’s transport system therefore a key challenge for emissions scenario, the frequency to both cold air masses from the has good foundations, including the City of Port Phillip, which is of extreme heat days (>35˚C) is south and hot and dry air masses the largest tram network in the already Victoria’s most densely projected to increase from 8.3 from the desert. This means that world, the more the city sprawls in populated municipality (City of Port days up to 20.4 days by the 2050s while Melbourne is typically slightly response to this growing population, Phillip, 2018). If not planned well, (Table 1). Similarly, the frequency of cooler than most other Australian the more likely it is to “become increasing density in urban areas hot nights (minimum temperature cities in summer, it still experiences an unsustainable city divided can have significant environmental >20˚C) is projected to increase unpredictable temperature spikes by disadvantage and inequality” impacts and exacerbate the UHI from 5.8 days up to 18.4 days by and heatwaves, with record (Victorian Government, 2017a). In effect. The South Melbourne Study the 2050s (Clarke JM et al., 2019) temperatures exceeding 45˚C (BOM, addition to creating an urban growth Area (Figure 1) in this report is a key (Table 1). 2020a). boundary and developing a city of development area for increasing To put this into perspective, CSIRO 20-minute neighbourhoods, the density within the City of Port Temperatures will continue to suggest that if urgent action isn’t Phillip municipality. An overview Victorian Government emphasises increase across Greater Melbourne taken to reduce global greenhouse of its existing and proposed urban Figure 1: South Melbourne urban renewal as a key strategy Study Area within the City of in the future, but the severity of gas emissions, Melbourne’s climate development characteristics is to ensuring Melbourne grows Port Phillip municipality these increases depends on global in the 2050s could be more like given below. Photo: NearMap, 2020 greenhouse gas emissions over Wangaratta’s current climate – a the coming decades (Clarke JM et regional city over 200km inland al., 2019). CSIRO’s recent Greater from Melbourne (Clarke JM et al., Melbourne Climate Projections 2019). 2019 suggests that maximum Table 1: Number of extreme heat days and hot nights projected for Greater Melbourne under a high greenhouse gas emissions scenario (Clarke JM et al., 2019) Extreme Heat Days (Days/Year with a Maximum Temperature >35˚C) 1981-2010 2040-2059 8.3 days 13.1 to 20.4 days Hot Nights (Days/Year with a Minimum Temperature >20˚C) 1981-2010 2040-2059 5.8 days 13.3 to 18.4 days 8 Cooling South Melbourne 9
Existing Urban Conditions Within the commercial, retail and industrial areas, buildings are The South Melbourne Study Area constructed with a zero setback has five broader land uses – the to create a hard street edge. This South Melbourne Activity Centre, means that there is limited public the surrounding business precincts, open space in these areas but there mixed-use precincts, the Emerald are still a few public open spaces Hill Civic, Cultural and Community within and surrounding the study Hub and the heritage residential area (e.g. small parks in residential areas. There is a diverse mix of areas, St Vincent Gardens to the building types such as the Victorian west, Albert Park to the south - see era shopfronts of Clarendon Street, Figure 2) (City of Port Phillip & the contemporary commercial and David Lock Associates, 2007). The retail development along Kings existing street canopy coverage of Way, the heritage residential areas South Melbourne (17%) is above dating back to the 1800s and social the municipal average but the park housing from the 1960s. There is a canopy coverage is below (City of Below: Park Towers Photo: Mattinbgn / Wikimedia / substantial portion of the study area Port Phillip, 2019). CC BY-SA 3.0 Left: Fishley Street Terraces protected by the City of Port Phillip’s heritage policy which discourages the demolition of any significant Future Redevelopment New development with a range and contributory buildings (City of different building types, scales of Port Phillip & David Lock In 2007, the City of Port Phillip and functions are encouraged Associates, 2007). adopted the South Melbourne within these areas provided they Central Structure Plan that outlined align with the strategic intent Buildings within the South the vision for any development at of the Structure Plan. Land use Melbourne Study Area generally that time. This document divides changes are proposed to enable range from two to four storeys with South Melbourne into 13 distinct South Melbourne to evolve as a some exceptions such as the South precincts (adapted to 14 for this unique mixed-use precinct that Melbourne Town Hall Spire and report – see Figure 2) that have supports residential, business Park Towers, as well as more recent similarities in land use patterns and retail activities, including a mixed use developments in the and urban character. The existing creative industries cluster. New north west and approved but yet to development controls for the buildings in these key development be build office developments in the South Melbourne Study Area are areas are permitted an increase north east. There is a transitional based on this Structure Plan. The in height, typically to a maximum scale throughout the study area South Melbourne Central Urban of six storeys, but must ensure from the low-scale residential Design Framework builds upon the that the streetscape character is development to the south to the strategic directions of the Structure maintained and that street level increased height towards the Plan and sets out the specific urban interaction is encouraged. New Kings Way boundary and an abrupt design principles, objectives and development in these areas also transition to the high-rise towers built form guidelines to achieve offers an opportunity to improve the of Southbank and Docklands. This this vision. It focuses on the areas public domain by maximising public is known as the ‘bowl of South that have the most development open space where possible and Melbourne Central’ (City of Port potential, which are the business prioritising sustainable modes of Phillip & David Lock Associates, and mixed-use areas as well as key transport (City of Port Phillip, 2007; 2007). individual development sites (City of City of Port Phillip & David Lock Port Phillip, 2007; City of Port Phillip Associates, 2007). & David Lock Associates, 2007). 10 Cooling South Melbourne 11
A more detailed description of South Melbourne, meaning that the the existing and proposed urban current controls will have limited development characteristics for the influence on future redevelopment 14 precincts is provided in Table 2. in South Melbourne. This review presents an opportunity for new It is important to note that a development controls and public thorough review of this Structure realm initiatives to mitigate urban Plan from 2007 is considered heat island impacts, and there necessary, and the City of Port is a timely opportunity to update Phillip has commenced preparation existing planning controls to embed of a new South Melbourne Structure the recommendations developed Plan. This process will likely result from this study. in new built form controls for Left: Sketch showing the potential to maximise public open space and encourage sustainable modes of transport (City of Port Phillip & David Lock Associates, 2007) South Melbourne Study Area Precincts: South Melbourne Figure 2: South Melbourne 1. Clarendon Street Core Local Shopping Strip Study Area Boundary Study Area showing the 14 precincts and key 2. Emerging Activity Precinct South Melbourne Study redevelopment areas 3. Northern Mixed Activity Edge Area Precinct Boundaries Photo: NearMap, 2020 4. Southern Mixed Activity Edge 5. Coventry Street Specialty Shopping Precinct Precincts That Have Significant 6. South Melbourne Market Redevelopment Potential 7. Eastern Business Precinct 8. Western Business Precinct Green Open Space 9. Kings Way Mixed Use Corridor 10. City Road Wedge 11. Ferrars Street Light Rail Corridor 12. Heritage Overlay Residential Areas 13. Emerald Hill Civic, Cultural and Community Hub 14. Southern Business Precinct 12 Cooling South Melbourne 13
Urban Overheating Challenges As the population, ambient seen in the heritage residential temperature and the frequency of areas to the south and the social extreme heat events increases, housing areas where there is a higher the challenge of urban overheating street canopy coverage. Within grows. While this is a global these residential areas, a significant challenge, many of the impacts number of dwellings have higher of urban overheating are roof surface temperatures which can experienced at a local level. It often be attributed to darker or lower is well documented that higher performing materials of heritage ambient temperatures in urban buildings. Areas of higher overall areas can have a direct and serious surface temperatures (shown in red, impact on the health, wellbeing yellow and white) are predominantly and safety of citizens and the the business, retail and industrial overall environmental quality of areas of the South Melbourne Study a city (Santamouris, 2015). More Area. Factors that contribute to these specifically, urban overheating can higher surface temperatures are the cause increases in cooling energy wide unshaded streets, the compact consumption, peak electricity urban context and the large exposed demand, citizen vulnerability, heat roof surfaces. More specific urban related mortality and morbidity overheating challenges for the 14 and levels of harmful pollutants precincts is provided in Table 2. (Santamouris, 2020), as well as cause significant loss of income Importantly, the areas of higher for local businesses (Sweeney overall surface temperatures are Research & City of Melbourne, the key redevelopment areas within 2014). A key challenge for the City the South Melbourne Study Area. of Port Phillip is to manage this Therefore, it is crucial that the Below: Large exposed roofs of the business, retail and future growth and redevelopment in redevelopment of these hot spots industrial areas of the South South Melbourne in a way that does effectively mitigates the impacts of Melbourne Study Area Photo: Bob Tan / Wikimedia / not limit its ability to mitigate and urban overheating. CC BY-SA 4.0 adapt to urban heat. To help understand the existing urban overheating challenges South Melbourne Study Area Precincts: facing South Melbourne, Figure 3 1. Clarendon Street Core Local Shopping Strip Figure 3: Airborne thermal shows the surface temperature imagery of the South 2. Emerging Activity Precinct distribution across the study area 3. Northern Mixed Activity Edge Melbourne Study Area taken at in April 2020. The significant approximately 13:00 on April 4. Southern Mixed Activity Edge 14, 2020 variations in surface temperature 5. Coventry Street Specialty Shopping Precinct 6. South Melbourne Market are influenced by differences in the 7. Eastern Business Precinct physical urban environment (built 8. Western Business Precinct form, scale, density, materials, etc.) 9. Kings Way Mixed Use Corridor and land cover (paved, vegetated, 10. City Road Wedge water, etc.). Areas of lower surface 11. Ferrars Street Light Rail Corridor 12. Heritage Overlay Residential Areas temperatures (shown in purple, 13. Emerald Hill Civic, Cultural and Community Hub blue and green) are predominantly 14. Southern Business Precinct 14 Cooling South Melbourne 15
Table 2: Urban development characteristics and overheating challenges in the South Melbourne Study Area PRECINCTS & URBAN THERMAL IMAGERY AERIAL IMAGERY STREETSCAPE URBAN DEVELOPMENT CHARACTERISTICS URBAN OVERHEATING CHALLENGES TYPOLOGIES 1 Clarendon Street Core Local Shopping Strip Existing: » A dense mix of low-rise buildings (1-3 storeys) that have » Some darker roof materials (especially in areas of heritage predominantly retail functions and are heritage protected buildings) which could result in indoor thermal discomfort » Low tree canopy coverage along streets during high temperature days COMPACT LOW-RISE » Predominantly paved surfaces in public and private areas » Large areas of unshaded impervious ground cover - wide streets (e.g. Clarendon St, Coventry St, Park St) 4 » Surrounded by wide streets (>28m) with moderate volumes (Retail) of street and on-site parking » Contested urban space (e.g. tram line, retail functions) Southern Mixed limits opportunities for urban vegetation in public areas Potential New Development: Activity Edge » Compact urban context limits opportunities for urban » New development in these precincts is quite limited due to heritage restrictions with a few isolated exceptions (e.g. vegetation in private areas between Bank St and Park St, east of Clarendon St) » Any new development must be carefully considered so it » Medium-rise (3-9 storeys) mixed-use development does not exacerbate the impacts of urban overheating (e.g. encouraged with ground level retail with commercial or urban greenery, material selection, etc.) residential above 5 Coventry Street Specialty Shopping Precinct Existing: » A dense mix of medium-rise buildings (3-9 storeys) » Abundant urban surface materials that absorb and store » Low tree canopy coverage along streets large amounts of heat » Predominantly paved surfaces in public and private areas MEDIUM-RISE » Large areas of unshaded impervious ground cover - wide 2 COMPACT » Surrounded by wide streets (>28m) with moderate/high streets (e.g. York St, Cecil St) volumes of street and on-site parking Emerging Activity Potential New Development: » Compact urban context limits opportunities for urban Precinct » New development is limited due to recent developments vegetation in private areas and heritage restrictions with a few isolated exceptions » Any new development must be carefully considered so it (e.g. south of York St) does not exacerbate the impacts of urban overheating (e.g. » Medium-rise (3-9 storeys) mixed-use development with urban greenery, material selection, etc.) primarily retail and business functions Existing: » Large roof areas exposed to direct solar radiation » Open arrangements of large footprint low-rise buildings (extensive rooftop solar contributes to higher surface LARGE LOW-RISE (1-3 storeys) temperatures in certain areas) » Low tree canopy coverage along streets » Large areas of unshaded impervious ground cover (e.g. 6 » Predominantly paved surfaces in public and private areas wide streets and on-site carparking) South Melbourne » Surrounded by wide streets (>28m) with high volumes of » Limited opportunities for urban vegetation in private areas Market street and on-site parking » Limited shading in pedestrian areas for special events Potential New Development: (surrounding roads used as pedestrian areas with » Potential to redevelop at grade car park with a medium-rise temporary shading) (3-9 storeys) mixed-use development that could include » Any new development must be carefully considered so it parking, commercial, residential and community uses does not exacerbate the impacts of urban overheating (e.g. urban greenery, material selection, etc.) 16 Cooling South Melbourne 17
Table 2 (continued): Urban development characteristics and overheating challenges in the South Melbourne Study Area PRECINCTS & URBAN THERMAL IMAGERY AERIAL IMAGERY STREETSCAPE URBAN DEVELOPMENT CHARACTERISTICS URBAN OVERHEATING CHALLENGES TYPOLOGIES 3 Northern Mixed Activity Edge Existing: » Abundant urban surface materials that absorb and store » A dense mix of low-rise (1-3 storeys) and medium-rise large amounts of heat COMPACT LOW/MEDIUM-RISE buildings (3-9 storeys) that have predominantly commercial » Increased roof surface temperature and surrounding air functions temperature from darker roof materials which could also » Moderate tree canopy coverage along streets result in indoor thermal discomfort during high temperature 7 » Predominantly paved surfaces in public and private areas days » A mix of wide (>28m), medium (12-28m) and narrow » Large areas of unshaded impervious ground cover - wide Eastern Business (9 storeys) COMPACT LOW/ temperature from darker roof materials which could also result » Low tree canopy coverage along streets 9 » Predominantly paved surfaces in public and private areas in indoor thermal discomfort during high temperature days » Large areas of unshaded impervious ground cover - wide » Surrounded by wide streets (>28m) with low volumes of Kings Way Mixed streets (e.g. Kings Way, York St, Coventry St) street and on-site parking Use Corridor » Compact urban context limits opportunities for urban Potential New Development: vegetation in private areas » Potential for new medium-rise (3-9 storeys) and high-rise » Any new development must be carefully considered so it does (>9 storeys) mixed-use buildings that integrate street level not exacerbate the impacts of urban overheating (e.g. urban retail, residential and office uses greenery, material selection, etc.) Existing: » A dense mix of low-rise (1-3 storeys) commercial and COMPACT LOW-RISE industrial buildings that are predominantly heritage » Large roof areas exposed to direct solar radiation protected » Large areas of unshaded impervious ground cover - wide (Industrial) » Low/moderate tree canopy coverage along streets streets (e.g. City Rd, Cecil St, Whiteman St) 10 » Predominantly paved surfaces in public and private areas » Compact urban context limits opportunities for urban City Road Wedge » Surrounded by wide streets (>28m) with low volumes of vegetation in private areas street and on-site parking » Any new development must be carefully considered so it Potential New Development: does not exacerbate the impacts of urban overheating (e.g. » Potential for a new high-rise (>9 storeys) residential urban greenery, material selection, etc.) building to act as a transitional scale between South Melbourne Central and the Southbank high-rise 18 Cooling South Melbourne 19
Table 2 (continued): Urban development characteristics and overheating challenges in the South Melbourne Study Area PRECINCTS & URBAN THERMAL IMAGERY AERIAL IMAGERY STREETSCAPE URBAN DEVELOPMENT CHARACTERISTICS URBAN OVERHEATING CHALLENGES TYPOLOGIES » A dense mix of low-rise (1-3 storeys) semi-detached » Increased roof surface temperature and surrounding air COMPACT LOW-RISE residential buildings that are predominantly heritage temperature from darker roof materials which could also (Residential) protected result in indoor thermal discomfort during high temperature » Limited permeable ground cover in private areas days » Moderate/high tree canopy coverage along streets with » Limited opportunities for private garden spaces some vegetated street verges and public green spaces » Large areas of unshaded impervious ground cover - the » A mix of wide (>28m), medium (12-28m) and narrow wider streets (e.g. James Service Pl, Napier St, Stead St, (9 storeys) OPEN MEDIUM/ » Abundance of permeable (vegetated) land cover in public » Large building envelopes exposed to direct solar radiation HIGH-RISE and private areas due to the open built form arrangements » High tree canopy coverage along streets with vegetated » Urban heat vulnerability - some inhabitants in social street verges housing areas may be unable to maintain a thermally » Surrounded by wide streets (>28m) with moderate/high comfortable indoor environment volumes of street and on-site parking » Typically social/affordable housing within urban areas » A dense mix of low-rise (1-3 storeys) semi-detached » Increased roof surface temperature and surrounding air COMPACT LOW-RISE buildings and key public services (e.g. Town Hall, Library, temperature from darker roof materials which could also 13 (Civic Centre) Police Station) that are heritage protected result in indoor thermal discomfort during high temperature » A mix of permeable (vegetated) and impervious (paved) days Emerald Hill Civic, ground cover in public and private areas » Large areas of unshaded impervious ground cover - wide Cultural and » Moderate tree canopy coverage along streets streets (e.g. Perrins St, Bank St, Clarendon St) Community Hub » Surrounded by wide streets (>28m) with moderate volumes » Heritage elements may limit cooling potential (e.g. of street parking bluestone paving, roof materials, etc.) » A dense mix of medium-rise (3-9 storeys) and high-rise » Abundant urban surface materials that absorb and store COMPACT MEDIUM/ buildings (>9 storeys) large amounts of heat » Moderate tree canopy coverage along streets with some HIGH-RISE 14 vegetated street verges » Increased roof surface temperature and surrounding air temperature from darker roof materials which could also Southern Business » Urban surfaces shaded by surrounding tall buildings result in indoor thermal discomfort during high temperature Precinct » A mix of predominantly wide (>28m) and medium (12-28m) days streets with low/moderate volumes of street and on-site » Compact urban context limits opportunities for urban parking vegetation in private areas Aerial Images: NearMap, 2020 Streetscape Images: Google Streetview, 2020 20 Cooling South Melbourne 21
Part 2 - Urban Overheating Mitigation Strategies to Inform Strategic Planning Left: View of South Melbourne looking north towards the CBD Photo: Michael Evans / Adobe Stock 22 Cooling South Melbourne 23
The Need for Urban Heat Mitigation Proposed Urban Overheating in Planning Processes Mitigation Strategies Greater Melbourne Tackling urban overheating environment, urban amenity and challenges requires multi-sector human health. It investigates The Guide to Urban Cooling Strategies significantly reduce surface and air collaboration as well as leadership what mitigation strategies are recommends increased tree canopy, temperatures. Melbourne’s relatively in urban policy and strategic appropriate for Greater Melbourne cool materials, permeable paving low rainfall during summer means that planning processes to incorporate and a South Melbourne Study and evaporative cooling as effective permeable paving and water irrigation climate change adaptation and Area, and determines to what strategies for cooling Greater strategies will also be effective for mitigation strategies. The Victorian extent various cooling intervention Melbourne. Melbourne CBD’s high cooling Greater Melbourne (Osmond & Government has developed an options involving built form, urban urban density settings results in 12.9% Sharifi, 2017). Implementation Plan for Plan greenery and cool materials can of canopy cover (Jacobs et al., 2014). Melbourne 2017-2050 that help in mitigating urban overheating Therefore, increasing tree canopy The cooling impact analysis of high includes the improvement of and keeping our streetscapes cover is an appropriate strategy to albedo materials, water irrigation, climate change strategies in the and cities cool. Computer fluid reduce air temperature and improve increased urban greenery and Victoria Planning Provisions and dynamics models and simulations amenity and thermal comfort at combination of these cooling all planning schemes, and will are employed to provide scientific street level. To address Melbourne’s interventions for Greater Melbourne ensure these provisions are based outcomes and establish evidence high solar radiation intensity and UV will be presented in Part 3. The on scientific outcomes (Victorian to inform future provisions and level in summer, high albedo and outcomes of this impact analysis Government, 2017b). This report planning schemes at a local level for high emittance1 materials for urban will inform the cooling intervention demonstrates an urban planning the City of Port Phillip. An overview surfaces such as cool pavements options for the South Melbourne Study and development approach to of the key processes carried out for and roofs are effective in radiating Area. mitigating urban overheating and this Cooling South Melbourne report the urban heat away, which can minimising the impact of climate is shown in Figure 4. Figure 4: Overview of the key extremes on the outdoor thermal processes carried out for this report South Melbourne Study Area The South Melbourne Study Area, an addition of new buildings in the inner-city area just south of the CBD, northern and eastern redevelopment has distinctive urban characteristics areas offers a unique opportunity and urban overheating challenges to explore the cooling impact of (Table 2). The proposed urban these three private green coverage overheating mitigation strategies scenarios (BAU, Moderate and for this study area are aligned with Optimised), as well as cool materials the strategies for Greater Melbourne for public and private hard surfaces but are tailored to its specific urban and cool roofs. Due to Melbourne’s context. hot and dry summers, water misting sprays are also investigated as a The South Melbourne Study Area, cooling intervention to reduce air despite having 17% of street canopy temperatures across the study area. coverage from existing trees (City 1 Albedo refers to the of Port Phillip, 2019), still offers Part 3 conducts a cooling impact proportion of incident light reflected from a surface; opportunities to increase urban analysis of these cooling interventions its reflectivity. Emittance greenery in the public realm through for the current climate in 2020 and the refers to the amount of heat radiated from a material at a additional trees and rain gardens future climate of 2050. The outcomes given temperature compared along restricted streets (see Scenario of this analysis show the maximum to a theoretical 'black body' 2). Increases in urban greenery can cooling potential for the South (Osmond & Sharifi, 2017). As most urban surfaces already also be achieved in private areas Melbourne Study Area and can be have high emittance and through three green infrastructure used to inform the City of Port Phillip’s albedo is easier to modify, the focus will be on changing scenarios defined by the development planning of South Melbourne towards the albedo of urban surfaces of the City of Melbourne’s Green 2050. Factor Tool (Ashley, 2020). The 24 Cooling South Melbourne 25
Existing buildings Private Green Space City Rd Existing trees Private Hard Surfaces Yo rk St t ars S Ferr ay sW Alb ert ng St Ki Part 3 - Impact Analysis of Existing Roads Public Green Space Cooling Interventions Existing Footpaths Left: 3D model of the existing conditions (base case) of the South Melbourne Study Area 26 Cooling South Melbourne 27
Cooling Potential for Greater -37.6 Barren tundra Mixed tundra Melbourne in 2020 and 2050 Wooded tundra Water Barren or sparsely vegetated Snow and ice The cooling potential for Greater domains (Figure 5) were simulated -37.8 Cropland/natural vegetation mosaic Melbourne in 2020 and 2050 with a horizontal resolution Figure 5: (a) The four two-way Urban and built-up was modelled using the Weather increasing from 13.5 km in the nested WRF domains across Croplands Research and Forecasting (WRF) largest domain (d01) to 0.5 km in the Greater Melbourne (d01, d02, Latitude d03, d04); (b) Satellite image of Permanent wetlands model. Four two-way nested innermost domain (d04) (Table 3). the innermost domain (d04) Grasslands Savannas -38.0 Woody savannas d01 Open shrublands Closed shrublands Mixed forest Deciduos broadleaf forest Deciduos neadleaf forest -38.2 Evergreen broadleaf forest Evergreen needleaf forest 144.6 144.8 145.0 145.2 145.4 Longitude Cooling intervention scenarios were built-up areas could experience Figure 6: Land use classification in Greater defined and applied to the urban ambient temperature increases Melbourne (d04) (NASA, MODIS and built-up areas across Greater of 2.1°C - 3.7°C in February 2050 database). The City of Port Phillip municipal boundary Melbourne (refer to 13 in Figure 6) in comparison to February 2020 shown in white. to understand its cooling potential (Figure 7). However, through a and to inform the South Melbourne combination of carefully considered Study Area. Simulations of cooling cooling interventions, the simulation intervention scenarios were results show that maximum (a) (b) conducted for the whole of February ambient temperature reductions of in 2020 and 2050. Simulation 4.7°C and 6.3°C can be achieved results show that without any direct in 2020 and 2050 respectively for Table 3: The four simulation domains in the WRF model action or cooling interventions, a representative summer’s day Greater Melbourne’s urban and (February 10) (Figure 8). Domain Resolution (km) n. cells (longitude x latitude) d01 13.5 100 x 100 d02 4.5 100 x 100 d03 1.5 130 x 130 d04 0.5 187 x 181 Figure 7: Projected hourly ambient temperature increase for February 2050 in comparison to February 2020 (temperature difference is averaged across the whole month of February) 28 Cooling South Melbourne 29
High Albedo for Urban Surfaces Simulation results show that high 5.0°C and 5.4°C can be achieved albedo materials for urban surfaces for 2020 and 2050 respectively, 2020 (e.g. roofs, walls, streets) are which can lead to maximum highly effective in reducing both ambient temperature reductions average and maximum surface and of up to 1.9°C for both 2020 and ambient temperatures between 2050 (Figure 9). While its cooling (a) (b) 9:00 and 19:00 for February 2020 effectiveness reduces overnight, and 2050 (Figures 9 and 10). These increasing the albedo of urban high albedo materials are most surfaces is crucial to improving effective during the middle of the outdoor thermal comfort of the day between 13:00 and 15:00 Greater Melbourne in the future, when urban surfaces receive the with average ambient temperature most direct solar radiation. During reductions of up to 1.3°C possible 2050 these hours, maximum surface throughout February in 2050 (Figure temperature reductions of up to 10). (c) (d) Urban Greenery Figure 8: Projected ambient temperature scenarios for Greater Melbourne on February 10, 2020 and 2050 at 14:00 at 2m height. (a) Ambient temperature in 2020 (base case); (b) Ambient temperature reduction in 2020 through a combination of defined cooling interventions in comparison to the base case; (c) Ambient temperature in 2050 (base case); (d) Ambient temperature reduction in 2050 through a combination Urban greenery also plays a crucial increase of urban greenery in the of defined cooling interventions in comparison to the base case. The City of Port Phillip municipal boundary shown in white. role in improving the outdoor urban and built-up areas of Greater thermal comfort of our cities. Melbourne can provide maximum The defined individual and » High albedo materials: this Figures 9 and 10 show that an ambient temperature reductions combination of cooling scenario includes an increased increase of 20% in urban greenery of up to 1.5°C and 1.8°C in 2020 interventions are described below, albedo value of 0.6 for urban is highly effective for urban areas and 2050 respectively (Figure 9), followed by the comparative impact surfaces (e.g. roofs, walls, at reducing maximum and average as well as provide average ambient analysis of cooling interventions for streets). ambient temperatures during the temperature reductions of up to Greater Melbourne: early hours of the morning (1:00 1.0°C throughout February in 2050 » Urban greenery: this scenario » Base case: the base case includes an increase of 20% in - 7:00). During these hours, an (Figure 10). scenario was defined with greenery for the urban areas. an albedo value of 0.2 for urban surfaces (e.g. roofs, » Irrigation: this scenario walls, streets) The base case includes the irrigation of Water Irrigation scenario does not include vegetation. Evapotranspiration irrigation but waste heat from of vegetation is doubled in the urban areas for this scenario. Although increasing the results show that well irrigated cars and people (anthropogenic evapotranspiration of urban vegetation across the urban and heat) was included for both » Combination of interventions: greenery is the least effective built-up areas of Greater Melbourne 2020 and 2050. this scenario is a combination individual cooling intervention can lead to surface and ambient of high albedo materials, strategy, it plays an important role in temperature reductions of up to irrigation and increasing urban reducing both ambient and surface 1.4°C and 0.5°C respectively for greenery. temperatures throughout the day 2020, and up to 1.3°C and 0.5°C (Figures 9 and 10). The simulation respectively for 2050 (Figure 9). 30 Cooling South Melbourne 31
Combination of Cooling Interventions The combination of cooling and average surface temperature temperatures. This sustained having different weather conditions, interventions leads to significant reductions of almost 7.0°C cooling potential can lead to similar trends can be observed reductions in both maximum and throughout February in 2020 and maximum ambient temperature with the effectiveness of increased average surface and ambient 2050 (Figure 10). reductions of approximately 1.5°C urban greenery at night and high temperatures for 2020 and 2050. - 3.0°C (Figure 9) and average albedo urban surfaces during the Figures 9 and 10 show that When observing maximum and ambient temperature reductions of day leading to sustained periods considerable maximum and average average ambient temperature approximately 1.0°C - 2.0°C (Figure of average ambient temperature surface temperature reductions are reductions, Figures 9 and 10 10) throughout February in 2020 reductions. possible between 9:00 and 19:00, show that the combination of and 2050. primarily due to the effectiveness cooling interventions can provide of increasing the albedo of urban increased cooling benefits for a Figures 11 and 12 show the average surfaces. During the middle of the greater amount of time. This is ambient temperature reductions of day (13:00 - 15:00), the combination due to the effectiveness of high the individual and combination of of cooling interventions can lead albedo urban surfaces during the cooling interventions over a 5-day 2 This was the warmest five-day to maximum surface temperature day and increased urban greenery period (10 - 15 February)2 for 2020 period for Melbourne's Olympic Park weather station (BOM, at night in reducing ambient and 2050 respectively. Despite reductions of up to 8.2°C (Figure 9) 2020b) 2020 2050 2020 2050 (a) (b) (a) (b) (c) (d) (c) (d) Figure 9: Comparison of the cooling intervention scenarios against the base case showing maximum reductions in surface temperatures for (a) Figure 10: Comparison of the cooling intervention scenarios against the base case showing average reductions in surface temperatures for (a) 2020; and (b) 2050; and ambient temperatures for (c) 2020; and (d) 2050; averaged across February for Greater Melbourne 2020; and (b) 2050; and ambient temperatures for (c) 2020; and (d) 2050; averaged across February for Greater Melbourne 32 Cooling South Melbourne 33
Informing the South Melbourne Study Area The comparative impact analysis The results from this impact results for Greater Melbourne analysis of Greater Melbourne can show that significant reductions in inform the selection of appropriate surface and ambient temperatures cooling interventions at a local can be achieved now in 2020 and scale for the South Melbourne in the future towards 2050. The Study Area. These results can also simulation results have shown that help to frame the cooling of South a carefully considered combination Melbourne towards 2050 within the of cooling interventions can achieve larger objective of cooling Greater the greatest cooling potential for Melbourne. The next section will the urban and built-up areas of present the impact analysis of Greater Melbourne. Individually, a series of cooling interventions an increase of albedo for urban tailored to the specific context of Figure 11: Comparison of average ambient temperature reductions for the individual and combination of cooling interventions across Greater surfaces was the most effective the South Melbourne Study Area. Melbourne between 10 - 15 February 2020 strategy in reducing daytime It will demonstrate how urban ambient and surface temperatures, overheating mitigation strategies while an increase of urban greenery combined with urban planning and was the most effective at reducing design parameters can impact the Below: View of the South ambient temperatures across local thermal environment, thereby Melbourne Study Area in the context of Greater Melbourne Greater Melbourne. improving outdoor and indoor Photo: nilsversemann / Adobe thermal comfort. Stock Figure 12: Comparison of average ambient temperature reductions for the individual and combination of cooling interventions across Greater Melbourne between 10 - 15 February 2050 34 Cooling South Melbourne 35
Cooling Potential for the South Melbourne Study Area in 2020 and 2050 The impact analysis of cooling associated Urban Design Framework Table 4: The nine cooling intervention scenarios for the South Melbourne Study Area interventions for the South Melbourne informed the development of nine Scenario Scenario Description Study Area was conducted for the cooling intervention scenarios current climate of 2020 and the (Table 4) which include proposed New Buildings with Business as Usual Private Green Coverage: New buildings (commercial, residential and mixed-use) in the key redevelopment precincts (2, 3, 7, 8, 9 and 10 – see Figure 3) and individual future climate of 2050 using the new buildings, increasing public and 1 redevelopment sites; and a business as usual (BAU) green infrastructure scenario4 for private green coverage computational fluid dynamics (CFD) private urban greenery, water misting for these new buildings. based microclimate model, ENVI- sprays, and changes to street, New Buildings with Moderate Private Green Coverage and Additional Public Realm Green Coverage: New met. The simulation date and time footpath and roof materials. 2 buildings (same as scenario 1); a moderate green infrastructure scenario4 for private green coverage for these were set for February 14, 2020 and new buildings; and additional street trees and rain gardens. These nine scenarios were developed New Buildings with Optimised Private Green Coverage and Additional Public Realm Green Coverage: New 2050 between 08:00 and 15:00 with a and analysed to highlight the 3 buildings (same as scenario 1); an optimised green infrastructure scenario4 for private green coverage for wind speed of 2.5m/s from the north. these new buildings; and additional street trees and rain gardens. maximum possible cooling impact February 14 2020 was used as it was for the South Melbourne Study Area. New Buildings and Cool Materials for all Streets, Footpaths and Private Hard Surfaces: Scenario 1 with cool a hot summer’s day in Melbourne 4 materials for all public and private hard surfaces (e.g. footpaths, carparks, streets, courtyards, etc.). 3D model data for the study area, with the maximum recorded New Buildings and Cool Roofs for all New and Existing Buildings: Scenario 1 with cool roofs for all new typologies of new buildings and 5 temperature reaching 33.7°C3. buildings and existing buildings for the whole study area. Appropriate cooling interventions private green coverage scenarios 6 Cool Roofs for all Existing Buildings: Cool roofs are applied to all existing buildings in the study area. options were defined and modelled to were provided by the City of Port 7 Combination of all Interventions: Combination of scenarios 2, 4 and 5. investigate their potential to mitigate Phillip which enabled the nine cooling intervention scenarios to be modelled Combination of all Interventions Including Water Misting: Combination of scenarios 2, 4 and 5 with additional the impacts of urban overheating 8 water misting cooling systems for public open spaces. within the South Melbourne Study in ENVI-met and the Microclimate New Buildings with Increased Building Height: Scenario 2 with increased building height that exceed the Area. The results of these cooling and Urban Heat Island Mitigation 9 maximum permissible heights outlined in the City of Port Phillip’s planning controls. interventions are discussed in this Decision-Support (UHI-DS) Tool (see section and are reported from 08:00 Part 5). The parameter settings used - 15:00 for the comparison charts to model the cooling intervention and at 14:00 (typical peak daily scenarios in ENVI-met are outlined in Table 5: Input parameters for modelling the cooling intervention scenarios in ENVI-met 4 BAU, Moderate and Optimised temperature) for the surface and Table 5. green infrastructure scenarios Albedo Input Values are from the development of air temperature maps. The results The results of the impact analysis of the City of Melbourne's Green Roads (old asphalt pavements) 0.08 from the impact analysis of cooling the cooling intervention scenarios are Factor Tool (Ashley, 2020) Footpaths, private ground cover, etc. (i.e. interventions for Greater Melbourne described in detail in the following concrete pavements) 0.2 in the previous section were used to sections. It is important to note Roofs (flat roofs, concrete) 0.2 set the boundary climate conditions that this report focuses primarily on Roofs (pitched roofs, terracotta tiles) 0.25 for the South Melbourne Study Area. improving outdoor thermal comfort Soil 0.15 Façade (concrete) 0.2 As mentioned in part 1 of this for the South Melbourne Study Façade (glass curtain walls, assumed 1/3 report, the South Melbourne Study Area. Therefore, the analysis results new buildings) 0.6 Area is divided into 14 distinct (heatmaps and charts) show only the Façade (double glazing panel, assumed 2/3 0.32 precincts, with the business and cooling potential for outdoor surface new buildings) mixed-use precincts to the north and air temperatures at street level Cool materials for all streets, footpaths and 0.6 private hard surfaces and east having the most significant (60% South Melbourne Central Structure conditions for each day (e.g. northerly 3 Refer to BOM data for Melbourne (Olympic Park) and Implementation Plan and its wind in 2020 and westerly wind in (BOM, 2020b) 2050). 36 Cooling South Melbourne 37
Scenario 1 - New Buildings with Business 2020 2050 as Usual Private Green Coverage Existing trees New buildings aligned FE 5 RR with SMC Structure Plan T RD AR ALBER S BAU private green Surface Temperature [°C] Surface Temperature [°C] ST coverage KI NG RD S TY W CI AY (a) (b) Air Temperature [°C] Air Temperature [°C] Description Wedge allowing increased heights Figure 13: Overview of cooling intervention scenario 1 of up to 40m and 90m respectively. Scenario 1 involves the impact This enables any new development analysis of a set of proposed to respect the scale of existing new buildings with a business as heritage buildings and emphasise usual (BAU) green infrastructure the ‘bowl of South Melbourne scenario for private green coverage Central’ (see Part 1). (Figure 13). These new buildings 5 New buildings are based are located in the key business and The new development for on the indicative built form (c) (d) mixed-use redevelopment precincts Scenario 1 involves a BAU green envelopes outlined by the SMC infrastructure scenario (Ashley, Structure Plan (heights and to the north and east of the South setbacks) Melbourne Study Area as well as 2020), which equates to 10-20% Temperature Distribution of the temperature distribution trends are Figure 15: Surface temperature distributions for (a) 2020 and key individual redevelopment sites. of the site area as urban greenery Change in Built Form shown under the projected future (b) 2050; and air temperature The built form (height, setbacks, (including vertical) for all the new climate conditions of 2050 (Figure distributions for (c) 2020 and The change in built form for 15). (d) 2050; from the change in footprint, materials, etc.) represents buildings (Figure 14). built form with new buildings Scenario 1 creates some cooler the maximum permissible The cooling intervention scenarios and BAU private green coverage areas that are shaded by the new (Scenario 1) development outlined in the South in this section are discussed in medium/high-rise buildings (e.g. Melbourne Central (SMC) Structure terms of their cooling potential York St). Figure 15 shows that and Implementation Plan and the in comparison with Scenario surface temperatures are hotter SMC Urban Design Framework. 1 unless stated otherwise. For for hard surfaces (roads and This typically involved maintaining footpaths), especially for wider example, the cooling potential a 2-3 storey (8-12m) street wall roads with less tree canopy (e.g. of these new buildings with both with stepped setbacks allowing Cecil St). This results in higher air moderate and optimised green buildings to reach 5-6 storeys (20- temperatures near the wider streets infrastructure scenarios for private Figure 14: Example 24m), with buildings to the east in building with BAU private and in unshaded public open space green coverage will be analysed in the Kings Way Mixed-Use Corridor green coverage within (e.g. Dorcas St Reserve and Eastern comparison to BAU in Scenarios 2 the Kings Way Mixed and 3 respectively. and to the north in the City Road Use Precinct Reserve) (Figure 15). Similar 38 Cooling South Melbourne 39
Scenario 2 - New Buildings with Moderate Private Green Coverage and Additional Public Realm Green Coverage Existing trees 2020 2050 New buildings aligned FE RR with SMC Structure Plan T RD AR ALBER S ST Moderate private green coverage Additional rain gardens Air Temperature Reduction [°C] Air Temperature Reduction [°C] and street trees KI NG RD S TY W CI AY (a) (b) Figure 18: Air temperature reductions6 of moderate private green coverage for all new buildings (Scenario 2) compared to BAU private green coverage (Scenario 1) for (a) 2020 and (b) 2050 Description would require changes to future Figure 16: Overview of cooling of street level air temperatures The maximum air temperature 6 Some maximum air and intervention scenario 2 surface temperature results road and pedestrian configurations. under current and future climate reduction resulting from the Scenario 2 involves the same set for the cooling intervention An overview of Scenario 2 is shown conditions (Figure 18). Reductions increase of private green coverage scenarios were omitted to of new buildings from Scenario in Figure 16. are more widespread in these and additional street trees and rain increase the reliability of results 1 but with a moderate green redevelopment areas due to the gardens in these key redevelopment infrastructure scenario for private increase of private green coverage areas reaches 0.78°C and 0.82°C in green coverage to investigate its Cooling Potential for the new buildings and the 2020 and 2050 respectively (Figure cooling potential. A moderate green density of additional street trees 19). infrastructure scenario equates to An increase of private green and rain gardens. 40-50% of the site area as urban coverage from BAU to moderate greenery (including vertical) (Ashley, in the northern and eastern 2020) for all the new buildings redevelopment precincts, along (Figure 17). with additional street trees and Figure 17: Example building 2020 2050 with moderate private green rain gardens results in a reduction coverage within the Eastern This scenario also includes Business Precinct additional public realm green coverage through additional street trees and rain gardens. Although the existing street tree canopy coverage of the South Melbourne Study Area is above the municipal average (see Part 1), additional greening is proposed to mitigate localised hot spots and to highlight the maximum possible cooling potential. This (a) (b) involved increasing greenery along streets with current restrictions Figure 19: Maximum air temperature reductions of moderate private green coverage for all new buildings (Scenario 2) compared to BAU private (e.g. tram lines, car parking), which green coverage (Scenario 1) for (a) 2020 and (b) 2050 40 Cooling South Melbourne 41
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