EUROPE TRENDS 2018 - Frederic SANUY
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E D I T O R ’S PAGE 5 Sea Change Ocean plastic N OT E fashion and recycled packaging launches, ingredient bans and activism are focusing consumer Hello and welcome to the and government PAGE 17 consumer trends that we believe attention on maritime conservation. Shareholders will define the European region in the coming year and beyond. Hacks and data disclosure legislation form a new breed of consumers Our trend predictions This year’s predictions who will hold on tight to are the product of are in many ways their data and demand a methodology that reactions to the something in return encompasses four emerging challenges— Richard Cope before sharing it. components: we take environmental, political, Senior Trends account of the pending technological and Consultant PAGE 27 political and legislative psychological—we’re events and product seeing across our Teenaiders launches due in 2018; region, but we are Teens are increasingly the appetite amongst confident that you can defined by anxieties consumers for these turn them to the good around image, health evidenced by Mintel of your business and and work, and are consumer research; to the benefit of your looking for brands to the momentum in fellow consumers. alleviate the pressure PAGE 35 innovations we are and help them build seeing from our team Best wishes for Accountants both their confidence of global trend spotters; the year ahead. Catherine Cottney and prospects. In a world of post-truth politics and the opinions Manager of Trends, and unsubstantiated media, of Mintel’s expert EMEA consumers are looking for brands industry analysts. to court them with transparency, simplicity and evidence.
45 SEA CHANGE SEA CHANGE Ocean plastic fashion and recycled packaging launches, ingredient bans and activism are focusing consumer and government attention on maritime conservation.
67 SEA CHANGE What’s Happening In 2018? More food and beauty brands seek We expect that more and and cosmetic products With Adidas making one to highlight and more brands will offer containing microbeads, and million shoes from recycled safeguard the purity education and leadership Scotland’s commitment to ocean plastic and Procter with clean, safe and a deposit return scheme & Gamble committed to and future supply of sustainable products that on plastic bottles, are introduce 25% recycled their ocean ingredients. distinguish them from the initiatives that many plastic across 500 million competition as more food European countries wish bottles sold yearly on its and beauty brands seek to to emulate, with Sweden haircare brands, perceived highlight and safeguard the set to do so for microbeads polluters will be forced purity and future supply of by 2020. Politics will also to follow. Coca-Cola has their ocean ingredients. focus European consumer already responded to attention on marine pressure by raising its 2020 Lobbying campaigns by conservation, with Brexit recycling target to 50%. Greenpeace will make negotiations putting fish consumers more aware stocks on the agenda as of ocean plastic and its the UK withdraws from impact on wildlife and the London Fisheries their own health. The UK Convention and Common government’s ban on all Fisheries Policy in 2018. ‘rinse off’ personal care Government and lobbying campaigners will make consumers more aware of ocean plastic and its impact on wildlife and their own health.
89 SEA CHANGE Trends in Action Ganamos Reciclando recycling machines reward consumers with points when they Negozio recycle materials Leggero has 13 like paper or plastic stores stocking bottles. more than 1,500 package- free products across Italy and Switzerland. Procter & Gamble In Spring 2017, Adidas plans to introduce 25% debuted their new editions recycled plastic across of its popular UltraBoost 500 million bottles sold shoe, all made from plastic yearly on its haircare debris found in the ocean. brands. Grandes Origines Saumon Fumé d’Ecosse (Smoked Scottish Salmon) is marketed as being selected from sites known for their quality of water, heralding a new era of sourcing from unpolluted areas.
10 11 SEA CHANGE Why Consumers like suggestions about sustainable alternatives, while Will Buy Into This two in five UK women aged 16-24 would like to see more eco-friendly fabrics used in clothes. Across Europe, Mintel finds The 267 species of decade, according to drink water a quarter of Spanish seabird and 61% of to the Plastic from a recyclable and German turtles with plastic Pollution Coalition. bottle. Meanwhile, consumers agree in their digestive Lobbying isn’t two-fifths of Brits that being “better tracts aren’t alone, about to stop either, agree that pollution for the environment” with a third of the with Greenpeace levels in the source is the number-one fish and shellfish highlighting that area of water are reason for buying humans consume just 14% of the a concern. natural and organic containing plastic 600 billion bottles products; this is too, according to produced globally Sustainability and followed by around Plymouth University. in 2018 will be the environment are a fifth of Italian and The problem is recycled. This is high on consumers’ French consumers. escalating, with the despite the fact that, agenda, as Mintel volume of ocean according to Mintel, research finds more plastic predicted to 66% of Polish than half of UK fish double in the next consumers prefer consumers would 66% of Polish consumers prefer to drink water from a recyclable bottle.
12 13 SEA CHANGE Brands are responding to from unpolluted areas. sustainability demands, as While in Spain, Ganamos in Italy and Switzerland, Reciclando combines Negozio Leggero has recycling machines with 13 stores stocking more incentives by rewarding than 1,500 package-free consumers with points when products and, in France, they recycle materials like Grandes Origines Saumon paper or plastic bottles. The Fumé d'Ecosse (Smoked machine gives out money- Scottish Salmon) is off vouchers, discounts in marketed as being selected certain stores and, in some from sites known for their cases, small amounts of quality of water, heralding actual cash. a new era of sourcing UK consumer attitudes towards recycling products 79% believe 49% would people be interested 72% would be should be in buying interested in buying incentivised fashion items products with to recycle made wholly/ packaging made plastic partially wholly/partially from 73% would like from recycled plastic to see more recycled food/drink that plastic is guaranteed to be sourced from (unpolluted) waters Base: 2,000 internet users aged 16+ Source: Mintel Reports 2017
Where Next? Whilst plastics won’t be wholly with soluble pod packaging, and and lobbyists will compel them The world’s demonised (they prolong shelf-life and prevent food more retailers dispensing with it completely. In food, to embrace. leading market waste) intensified eco-lobbying will produce drink and beauty, we’ll see pure, unpolluted sourcing We may well see social intelligence agency more recyclable mainstream as a stigmatisation What you need to know products. Expect claim and natural about consumers, markets and to see incentives exfoliators like of plastic cups innovation, now and in the future. and initiatives like salt and sand sponsored ‘reverse’ championed and cling film, vending machines alongside other and more How do we do it? Mintel’s global, specialist team of world-class analysts use (such as those sustainable marine which accept used ingredients. pioneering the most credible source of data, news and opinion. They mine that data for innovation, trends and inspiration, so they beverage containers brands can give you a clear insight into what’s next. and return money to Fashionable, the user) as well as premium ocean innovating more government- plastic products will with soluble Credible Data Innovation Trends backed variations promote this trend on plastic-bag in the coming year, pod packaging. Expert Team 50+ years of Leading Industry Forecasting industry experience What’s next? taxes. We may but its consumer well see social adoption will be stigmatisation driven by health Consumers Markets of plastic cups and saving money, and cling film, whilst for brands it more pioneering will become a norm brands innovating that governments
16 17 SHAREHOLDERS SHAREHOLDERS Hacks and data disclosure legislation form a new breed of consumers who will hold on tight to their data and demand something in return before sharing it.
18 19 SHAREHOLDERS What’s The data consumers are generating is escalating, but this data is creating General Data Protection Regulation (GDPR) legislation, which from Happening vulnerabilities, as high- profile hacks of Yahoo accounts and the May 2018, will compel all businesses to seek consumer consent, disclose In 2018? WannaCry malware crisis tracking and offer the right have shown. In response, to be forgotten, when it consumers will protect comes to data disclosure. themselves with software This effectively reboots the and behaviours learned digital settings of the brand- from the more streetwise, consumer relationship and private approach of from now on brands will younger generations. need to proffer economically or personally compelling At the same time, incentives for consumers governments are providing to resume sharing their protection, with the UK information with them. seeking to emulate the EU’s Consumers will protect themselves with software and behaviours learned from the more streetwise, private approach of younger generations.
20 21 SHAREHOLDERS Why Consumers savings, discounts and personalised offers. For example, over half of UK UK willingness towards sharing financial data with Will Buy Into This consumers would be willing different providers to share information from a smartwatch or fitness band with an insurance company to help calculate the cost of Mintel research reveals from hackers/fraudsters. their plan. strong consumer concerns Meanwhile, two-thirds 75% My around both the tracking of of Brits worry about main bank their data and companies’ how brands track their ability to safeguard it. online activities. A meagre 8% of UK consumers strongly agree However, consumers Bulgari has developed that banks can be trusted are also open to data its own app to protect to keep personal data safe exchanges in return for personal data 41% Other and passwords. established banking provider 28% Price 21% Other comparison bank that is website relatively new in the market 17% Technology firms (eg Google, Apple) Base: 2,000 internet users aged 16+ Source: Current Accounts, UK 2017
22 23 SHAREHOLDERS Wearable devices and device ownership remains has developed its own smart TVs present major low too, with ownership app to protect personal opportunities here, but peaking at 13% in Italy and data and passwords—a companies will need to Germany (respectively), customised version of incentivise consumers followed by 11% in France WISeID from Swiss to raise their ownership and 9% in Spain. eSecurity firm WISeKey. levels as according to Meanwhile, THERO is a Mintel, less than one in 10 Bud, a technology platform physical desktop device out French, German, Italian and based in the UK, links users’ of Spain that gives online Spanish consumers own a financial services together privacy and protection a smartwatch. Streaming TV in a single interface. Bulgari tangible form. Bud enables users to view and interact with all their finances in one place THERO is a 3D-printed desktop device that allows users to switch between encrypted communication methods simply by Consumers turning a dial. are open to data exchanges in return for savings, discounts and personalised offers.
Where Next? MINTEL As data creation grows in here is that brands are BIG CONVERSATIONS new forms—whether it is suddenly confronted with biometrics, geolocation apps or the Internet of legislation that makes the future of online advertising Get insight and inspiration, engage in Things (IoT)—more trusted about an unknowable user. meaningful conversations and explore outsider brands will enter the protection market. But Looking ahead, newly the potential for your business to grow. we’ll also see children and empowered consumers teens lead an education will benefit as brands drive amongst parents in solicit them. Whilst regards to data privacy. discounting for data Families will also be a schemes will mainstream, focus for the increasingly we’ll also see more on-trend desire for more creative data-sharing private leisure capsules of initiatives that help digital downtime by way of consumers to save time and visceral, sensory or slower, better monitor their health more mindful, analogue or their utilities spending. experiences. The key issue To find out more information on any Big Conversation event email: bigconversations@mintel.com
26 27 TEENAIDERS TEENAIDERS Teens are increasingly defined by anxieties around image, health and work, and are looking for brands to alleviate the pressure and help them build both their confidence and prospects.
28 29 TEENAIDERS According to Samsung, “Selfie Mode gives you the tools to take your selfies to another level creatively”. There is a growing understanding of the digital pressures facing young people and how What’s Happening In 2018? parents are adding to these problems. Pan-European has fallen from youth-focused by Ofcom and These emerging according to the studies reveal the 23.9% in March roles, telemarketing the University of pressures around World Health economic, digital 2013 to 16.9% in and cashier roles Sheffield have online bullying, Organization and emotional July 2017, these proving the most shown that the time body image (filters (WHO). By way of pressures facing rates remain double vulnerable. spent online by and functions like response, we’re today’s youth, the rates for the those aged 8-15 Samsung’s Selfie seeing more demanding a general population There is a growing has doubled in the Mode have become mental health response from and we’re starting understanding of past decade and the norm) and and well-being consumer-facing to see automation the digital pressures that spending just academic stress charities—like the brands. Whilst encroach on facing young one hour each day are contributing UK’s YoungMinds— according to youth employment people and how on social media greatly to an 18% focused on the Eurostat, youth prospects. Many parents are adding reduces happiness global growth in needs of today’s unemployment job categories are to these problems. indexes by 14%. depression over youth. across the EU-28 under threat, with In the UK, studies the past decade,
30 31 TEENAIDERS Why Consumers Will Buy Into This Mental health issues are revealed that four of the becoming more prevalent five most popular forms of amongst teens. Mintel social media have been research finds a quarter found to harm young of 7-15 year olds are people’s mental health, with concerned about their future Instagram highlighted as after school, with the same the most damaging. While number concerned about in Ireland, 72% of Irish 13- The ASOS 2017 campaign left its their appearance. And 19 year olds say that body models unairbrushed, social media usage is being image has caused them with stretch marks, held as a main contributor. stress or difficulty, with 43% cellulite and all the In the UK, the Royal Society saying social media has other skin ‘perfections’. for Public Health has done the same. Sources of anxiety for UK children and teens 44% Schoolwork BOYS 10% 16% 28% 39% Relationship with your friends 25% Family having enough money 25% Future after school AGE 7-9 AGE 10-12 AGE 13-15 24% Appearance Base: 1,500 internet 12% Social media users aged 7-15 Source: Lifestyles 11% Relationship with your parents of Children and 7% Politics in UK GIRLS 12% 28% 52% Teens UK 2017
32 33 TEENAIDERS The emerging least once a mental health by issue is that even month. However, highlighting greater before the younger generation was able to walk or switching off completely from digital platforms diversity in terms of the models they use and the depictions Where Next? talk, their every is not the answer they portray. British move was being as these channels online fashion and Young people will greater control with this has the documented online can be utilised beauty store ASOS expect brands to by being more potential to follow by their parents and to raise awareness is being praised offer support when mindful of their them for the rest of family members. and quickly connect on social media for it comes to their usage. They will their lives if nothing Indeed, according young consumers featuring models health and well- be quick to call out is done now. In to Ofcom, four in 10 with the help with stretch marks; being, as well as brands promoting 2018 and beyond, UK parents share they need. meanwhile, IRIS ON get more involved unrealistic beauty brands have an photos of their is a Dutch scheme in their education ideals and quick opportunity to children on social Brands are that offers children and development. to support those step in and provide media, with half recognising the a chance to fight With a growing level embracing diversity. solutions to of these parents role they can bullying through of attention around help empower posting photos at have in improving WhatsApp. the negative impact Today’s youth are this cohort. of social media, facing an uncertain this generation will future and the seek to take back impact of dealing With a growing level of attention around the negative impact of social media, this generation will seek to take back greater control by being more mindful of their usage. IRIS ON allows young consumers to talk to a chatbot called Iris, offering children a chance to fight bullying.
34 35 ACCOUNTANTS ACCOUNTANTS In a world of post- truth politics and unsubstantiated media, consumers are looking for brands to court them with transparency, simplicity and evidence.
36 37 ACCOUNTANTS What’s Happening In 2018? More and more Consumer distrust in companies with more than governments and media is 250 employees to publish companies spreading to companies, their gender pay gap data; will take an and so is the clamour for and this will extend to the truth and transparency in consumer realm. More ‘open kitchen’ ingredients and behind-the- and more companies will explaining ingredients approach scenes processes. We’ll take an ‘open kitchen’ and sourcing. Other brands see greater accountability approach and use their to follow include fashion and use their in politics, media and packaging, portals and retailers like Everlane and packaging, employment in the form premises to practise truth Reformation who provide of Claimbuster’s and transparency. Expect price breakdowns and portals and AI-backed fact-checking more brands to follow the environmental scores, premises services, Germany’s pioneering approaches and online retail Network Enforcement of fast-moving consumer behemoth Amazon to practise Act against fake news goods (FMCG) companies offering the ultimate in truth and and hate speech, and the like SC Johnson, Lush and openness: warehouse UK government compelling Method when it comes to tours for customers. transparency.
38 39 Everlane reveals the ACCOUNTANTS true costs behind all Trends in Action of its products, from materials to labour to transportation. Products are then offered, minus the traditional retail markup. French supermarket chain U took advantage of Snapchat Stories (and the fact they disappear after 24 hours) to Lush Ltd. demonstrate that its fish promotes an is freshly caught. Method discloses ethical buying the ingredients in policy. all products and the processes they use to make them. Renault offered a candid view of how its Scénic model is equipped to handle the trials of family life in ‘Behind Car Doors’, a campaign fronted by two leading Instagram parents.
Why Consumers European agreement that social media is forcing food and drink companies to be Will Buy Into This more transparent* 65% Italian Blind trust in companies ability of consumers to or institutions is a thing communicate and find of the past. According to information via social media Mintel research, just 25% and the internet is forcing 63% Spanish of those who have used a companies to be more device to access national transparent. However, many newspapers online say consumers—especially that the content on these at the younger end of websites is trustworthy. the spectrum—expect 60% Polish Social media has enabled companies to take a empowered consumers more proactive, high-tech to instantly question and approach when it comes take brands to task when to increasing transparency. their actions cause concern One in five 20-24-year- 54% German or confusion. Consumers old Brits would like online are utilising the tools at retailers to have videos their disposal to keep an showing how clothes and eye on what companies shoes are made. are doing, with Mintel 50% French research showing that at least half of Europeans agree the increased *Consumers were asked if they agreed that the ability to communicate and find information via social media/the internet is forcing food and drink companies to be more transparent. Base: 2,000 adults aged 16+ Source: Mintel Reports 2017
Where Next? Quantified and qualified facts will be in high demand and consumers will expect greater transparency as standard, whether this is related to manufacturing processes or how efficacious Social media has enabled a product is. In terms of empowered consumers marketing, there will be a push for greater authenticity; to instantly question consumers are set to see and take brands to task behind-the-scenes revealed through creative campaigns when their actions cause that put employees to the concern or confusion. fore and capitalise on their years of expertise. Radical Brands are responding supermarket chain U’s 2017 With consumers more able transparency to this demand for campaign uses Snapchat to question and query the will be the transparency, as in the Stories to demonstrate just actions of brands, radical automobile sector, Renault how fresh its fish are. And transparency will be the watchword for has hired two popular Vodafone has unveiled watchword for 2018 as they 2018 as brands Instagrammers for a year- plans to block its advertising try and show they can be long campaign to show how from appearing on fake relied upon as trustworthy. try and show its latest Scénic vehicle news websites or those that they can be can handle the rigours of contain hate speech. family. Meanwhile, French relied upon as trustworthy.
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