Connecting to Today's Shoppers Across Channels - ARF Shopper X Science - Advertising Research Foundation

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Connecting to Today's Shoppers Across Channels - ARF Shopper X Science - Advertising Research Foundation
ARF Shopper X Science
Connecting to Today’s Shoppers
Across Channels

Jennifer Pelino; EVP Omni Channel Media, IRI
March 2, 2021
Connecting to Today's Shoppers Across Channels - ARF Shopper X Science - Advertising Research Foundation
COVID-19 and Associated Economic
Fallout Had Substantial                                          Work and Workout At Home
Impact on the CPG Demand Curve                                   Physical home space changed
                                                                 to accommodate stay-at-home

       Home Upgrades, Inside
   & Out, Especially Digitally
      Outdoor spaces, gardens,                                                             Consumption Shifts
  workspaces, cookery, kitchen                                                             More spending at-home
 appliances, streaming services         Self- and                                          vs. away-from-home,
                                      Societal Care                                        increase in cleaning
                                      Convenience
                                       Indulgence

             Leisure & Holidays                                             Shopping Shifts
         Entertainment, holidays,                                           Increased adoption of e-commerce,
    and celebrations look different                                         fewer trips, bigger baskets, less
                                                                            product discovery in store

                                                      © 2021 Information Resources Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary.   2
Connecting to Today's Shoppers Across Channels - ARF Shopper X Science - Advertising Research Foundation
Isolating, Working, and Working Out at Home Means Elevated
  In-Home Consumption Across Many Categories

Consumers were re-    Staycations got a lift              Sales of home fitness                                                   Work commute trips                                  With movie
  introduced to the       in 2020 with                equipment grew more than 40%                                                     nationally                                   theaters closed,
kitchen; 53% report   upgrades to outdoor                 in 2020, hitting $9.5B.                                                  remain 30%-40%                                      streaming
they’ll continue to          spaces.                                                                                                    below                                       services saw a
                                                       Athleisure sales account for                                               pre-pandemic levels.                             37%** increase in
create meals from
                        26%* of adults               31% of apparel spending in 2020.                                                                                                     2020.
       scratch                                                                                                                  Many who are working
                            started
                        a food garden                                                                                                    from                                      12 million people
                        because of the                                                                                          home will continue to                             attended Fortnite’s
                           pandemic.                                                                                            do so – at least part                             Travis Scott concert
                                                                                                                                 of the time – post-                                  in April 2020.
                                                                                                                                      pandemic.

                                                                                      Source: *https://www.wsj.com/articles/covid-19-pandemic-likely-improved-your-commute-to-work-11609669801
                                           , **https://www.reportlinker.com/p05948407/Home-Fitness-Equipment-Global-Market-Report-30-Covid-19-Implications-and-Growth.html?utm_source=GNW
                                                                                                                                © 2021 Information Resources Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary.   3
Connecting to Today's Shoppers Across Channels - ARF Shopper X Science - Advertising Research Foundation
E-commerce, Grocery, Club and
Dollar Channels Emerged as Key Winners
Total CPG % Change vs. YA

                                                                                                                                                                  Trend vs.
                                                               2019 vs. 2018                                        2020 vs. 2019                                2019 growth

 Total Omnichannel                                                     3.2%                                                      15.5%

     MULO Brick & Mortar                                             1.3%                                                      11.5%

     Grocery Brick & Mortar                                         1.0%                                                         16.3%

     Mass Merch. Brick & Mortar1                                     1.6%                                                   3.6%

     Club (Sam’s, BJ’s & Costco)1                                     2.6%                                                      14.1%

     Drug1                                             -0.5%                                                               0.9%

     Convenience                                                       3.4%                                                 2.9%

     E-commerce2                                                                               22.0%                                               58.6%

     Dollar1                                                                       12.7%                                           19.3%

                     Note: Omnichannel includes MULO + C + Costco + Dollar + E-comm. 2020 = data ending Nov 29, 2020, forecast for remainder of year. Source: IRI POS, eMarket Insights and Consumer Panel
                                 1. 2020 vs. 2019 based on 52 weeks ending Nov 29, 2020 vs. YA. 2. E-commerce data includes e-commerce of MULO and Grocery as well as pure plays. Dollar based on Panel
                                                                                                                                         © 2021 Information Resources Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary.   4
Connecting to Today's Shoppers Across Channels - ARF Shopper X Science - Advertising Research Foundation
Top Growing Categories by Channel; Saw Some Similar Leading
Categories and Some Specific Drivers to Each Channel

                                                                                       Source: IRI POS, Panel and eMarket Insights.
                                            Channels filtered on largest categories in 98% of channel sales; IRI Consulting analysis.
                                                               © 2019 Information Resources Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary.   5
Connecting to Today's Shoppers Across Channels - ARF Shopper X Science - Advertising Research Foundation
Categories with Highest Existing E-commerce Share Continued
to Shift More Share to the Channel in 2020

                                                    Share ppt                                                               Share ppt
          Edible                                      Chg.              Nonedible                                             Chg.

       1 Shelf Stable Coffee Creamer                         12.8   1   Pet Supplies                                                        15.9

       2 Frozen Meat                                   8.6          2   Hair Accessories                                                    15.7

       3 Shelf Stable Meat                             8.5          3   First Aid Accessories                                              15.0

       4 Dried Fruit                                   8.4          4   Cosmetics Accessories                                              14.2
                                                                        Shaving Lotion / Men’s
       5 Drink Mixes                                   8.1          5   Fragrance
                                                                                                                                          13.9

       6 Tea (Bags/Loose)                             8.0           6   Women’s Fragrances                                                13.4
                                                                        Cleanings Tools
       7 Shelf Stable Vegetables                      7.7           7   (Mops/Brooms)
                                                                                                                                        11.8
                                                                        Baby Feeding/Care/
       8 Frozen/Refrigerated Poultry                  7.7           8                                                                   11.5
                                                                        Travel Accessories

       9 Canned/Bottled Fruit                         6.8           9   Water Filters/Devices                                           11.2

      10 Mustard & Ketchup                           5.9            10 Cosmetics ― Nail                                                10.4

              Total Edible E-commerce share: 6.5%                       Total Nonedible E-commerce share: 22.9%

                                                                                           Source: E-market Insights, POS and Panel, Omnichannel defined as MULOC+Costco+E-commerce
                                                                           Considered categories with sales >$500M in Omnichannel and >10% growth in Omnichannel IRI Consulting analysis.
                                                                                                  © 2021 Information Resources Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary.  6
Connecting to Today's Shoppers Across Channels - ARF Shopper X Science - Advertising Research Foundation
Many Manufacturers Saw Triple-Digit Growth in E-commerce

          LARGE                                             MEDIUM                                                                             SMALL

                         Source: E-market Insights, Large Defined as >$5.B in sales in MULOC, Medium defined as >$1B MULOC Sales, Small Defined as >$100M MULOC Sales
                                                                                          Considered manufacturers with sales >$100M in E-commerce, IRI Consulting analysis.
                                                                                                          © 2021 Information Resources Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary.   7
Connecting to Today's Shoppers Across Channels - ARF Shopper X Science - Advertising Research Foundation
Changes in Shopping Behavior Impact Product Discovery;
 In-Store Searches Are Down, Online Searches Increase

            Focused on                                                                                         31
                                                                                                                                 -4
      Looking for Basics                                                                                                35

       Spending Minimal                                                                                      30
                                                                                                                       +5
          Time in Store                                                                          25

   Only Looking if Usual                                                           19
Products Are Unavailable                                                                21

     Not Noticing Many                                                           18
                                                                                                       -6
  New Products in Store                                                                        24

                                                                          15
         Tight on Money
                                                                     13

      Avoiding Touching                                            12
        Too Many Items                                                  14

       Hard to Find New                                       10
        Products Online                                       10                                                                                  January 2021
                                                                                                                                                  May 2020

                                               Source: IRI Consumer Survey fielded among Primary Grocery Shoppers in the National Consumer Panel, May 2020. n=1,400 (food and beverage only) ; January 2021, n=2,327.
            Q. How has your approach to shopping for new consumer goods products -- including food and beverage, health care, beauty and personal care, home care, and pet care – changed during the COVID-19 pandemic?
                                                                                                                                                        © 2021 Information Resources Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary.   8
Connecting to Today's Shoppers Across Channels - ARF Shopper X Science - Advertising Research Foundation
Many Manufacturers are Starting Up or Buying Direct-to-Consumer (D2Cs)
Businesses To Help Them With the E-Com Shift and Consumer Connectivity

Advantages of Direct-to-Consumer                                    EXAMPLES

Websites                                           SweetSnacking.com, a direct-to-consumer website that
                                                   ships Bimbo Bakeries brands directly to consumers
• Connect Directly with consumers                  Lighthouse Incubator, an innovation platform to bring
                                                   new health and wellness products to the industry
• Becomes a test platform for innovations
                                                   Objective Wellness, a supplement company targeting
• Allows manufacturers to offer a customized and   younger audiences

  personalized experience                          Kit Kat Chocolatory, a direct-to-consumer website
                                                   that allows consumers to customize Kit Kat products
• Manufacturers can target new cohorts             Launched two direct-to-consumer websites,
                                                   pantryshop.com and snacks.com, which allow
• Gather key information for more precision        consumers to purchase for themselves and ship products
  targeting                                        as gifts, with most orders arriving in two business days

                                                          © 2021 Information Resources Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary.   9
Connecting to Today's Shoppers Across Channels - ARF Shopper X Science - Advertising Research Foundation
Attributes and Benefits Focused on Product Origins, Societal
Care, Lifestyle / Diets and Self-Care Are Growing Faster
Dollar Sales Growth of Products With Attribute and Benefit Types – MULO+C, 52 WE 12/27/20

Attribute Group                                                                               F&B 2020 Growth                                                  Nonedible 2020 Growth

Product Origins (e.g., Artisanal, Made in USA)                                                                                               18%                                               8%

Societal Care (e.g., B-Corp, Eco Friendly, Fair Trade)                                                                           14%                                                                                   14%

Lifestyle Diets (e.g., Ketogenic, Plant-Based Diet, Vegan)                                                                      13%                                                                 9%

Allergens & Intolerances (e.g., Gluten-Free, Lactose-Free)                                                                     13%                                                        7%

Clean Label (e.g., Common Allergen-Free, Non-GMO)                                                                             12%                                              4%

Self-Care (e.g., Immune Support, Antioxidants)                                                                               12%                                                           7%

Botanicals & Oils (e.g., Lavender Oil, Citrus)                                                                               12%                                                   5%

FDA Nutrient Claims (e.g., More Calcium, Reduced Calories)                                                              10%                                                3%

Plant Based Protein (e.g., Pea Protein, Hemp Seed Protein)                                                            9%                                                               6%

                                                                                                  Edible Growth                   13%            Nonedible Growth                        6%

                               Note: Growth based on sum of relevant claims within group. Excludes ingredient label-based attributes. Source: IRI POS Data, Label Insights Claims, MULO+C, Data ending 12/27/2020
                                                                                                                                              © 2021 Information Resources Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary.    10
Awareness and Search Are Key Elements in Online Shopping Experience;
Target Shoppers With Simple Language and Beneficial Attributes

Shopping behaviors during last online shopping experience;
those who have shopped for groceries online in the past two months:
59% Used the search tool to type in the name of a specific item

35% Used the category menus to browse for options within a category

32% Accessed list of pre-purchased items and reordered from that list

29% Checked for sales items before making a purchase decision

12% Looked for new items to try

                                                          Source: IRI Consumer Network™ Panel Survey representing Total U.S. Primary Grocery Shoppers – 5/22 – 5/24
                                                                                                   © 2021 Information Resources Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary.   11
Retailers Also Invested to Win with Key Innovation Focused on Trending Themes

       Self and Societal Care                   Indulgence                                             Convenience
   Albertsons waterfront Bistro and   Kroger’s Simple Truth better-for-              Target’s Good & Gather is the
   Open Nature brands feature the     you and Private Selection. The                 retailer’s number-one-selling
   Responsible Choice sustainable     company expanded with global                   food brand.
   sourcing logo.                     flavors and restaurant quality.                Refrigerated pizza dough is
   Target’s Everspring made with      Walmart partnered with Unilever                available from The GIANT Co.
   biobased, recycled materials or    to develop and launch Find Your                Kroger’s Home Chef meals kits
   natural fibers.                    Happy Place candle and body                    are available in-store and for
   Whole Foods’ 365 vitamins and      care products.                                 home delivery.
   supplements are made without
   preservatives, flavors
   or colors.

                                                                          © 2021 Information Resources Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary.   12
Many Retailers Have Started or Enhanced Their Retail Media Offerings to Support
Both Brick & Mortar and E-com/Click & Collect Offerings

                                                     © 2021 Information Resources Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary.   13
Retailers are Leveraging Their Data and
Connectivity to Win with Consumers and
the Manufactures
Purchase Based Retailer Advertising Programs; Ensure
Last Touchpoint for Conversion is Captured

                                                       © 2021 Information Resources Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary.   14
Anticipate Stickiness of Some 2020 Behaviors and Leverage These
Emerging Growth Pockets

                                     Consumer
                                     • Consumers will continue to shop online; store pick-up adoption
                                       outpaces home delivery.
                                     • Stricter hygiene regimens will remain.
                                     • Health and wellness, indulgence, premiumization and taste exploration
                                       trends will continue.
                                     • As in-stocks improve, consumers will become more price sensitive.
                                     • 2020 holidays will likely spark new traditions for subsequent years.

                                     Retail/Manufacturer
                                     • Retailers and manufacturers will continue to invest in e-commerce;
                                       high levels of service are a differentiator.
                                     • Retailer cleaning protocols adopted during pandemic are now table
                                       stakes.
                                     • Retailers will continue to reinvent store layouts, build in-store
                                       experiences and invest in contactless payment options.
                                     • As in-stocks improve, pricing will become more competitive.
                                     • Holidays become an opportunity to promote new traditions, extend
                                       the shopping season.

                                                               © 2021 Information Resources Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary.   15
Thought Starters for CPGs and Retailers for Winning with Shoppers

       Self and Societal Care                          Indulgence                                                              Convenience
  • Nutritional supplements, especially     • More permissible indulgence,                                  • Retail-driven ingredient bars for
    those that support immunity,              especially in support of dietary                                quick, fresh meal solutions.
    mental health, and sleep.                 restrictions and lifestyle diets.                             • Meal kits with varying degrees of
  • New self-care products to support       • Premium private / own brands                                    prepared foods (in-store, delivery).
    other wellness efforts, e.g.,             as a point of differentiation,                                • New support for meal solutions
    products for pre- and post-workout.       especially for meal components.                                 from products in-store, via retailer
    Skin care products that include         • Customizable celebration kits                                   apps, shoppable recipes.
    remedies for joint pain, skin health.     for various occasions.                                        • Shopping convenience (e.g., menu,
  • Sustainable, renewable and              • Indulgent treats available in                                   purchasing recommendations).
    refillable packaging.                     smaller portions for smaller                                  • Products designed for small
  • Home care products that sanitize          celebrations and smaller                                        kitchen appliances, including
    over longer periods of time.              households.                                                     cocktail and other drink pods, air
  • Water conservation in personal          • Home spa products for                                           fryer products / kits, sous vide, etc.
    and home care products.                   consumers of all ages.                                        • New e-commerce product
  • Pet innovation will support post-                                                                         discovery (e.g., shoppable recipes,
    pandemic adjustments for                                                                                  sampling via click & collect or
    socializing and anti-anxiety.                                                                             home delivery).

                                                             Source: IRI National Consumer Network Product Trips Percent Change vs. Year Ago Through March 8, 2020
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