Compendium 5.0 Section Commercial Vehicles
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The truck makes the European internal market possible Land based transport in the EU28 – 1995 =100 Land based transport in the EU28 – in billion tkm 160 2500 150 140 2000 130 1500 120 110 1000 100 500 90 80 0 2005 2012 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 Road Rail Inland Waterways Total Road Rail Inland Waterways + ► The merging of the EU triggered an enormous growth in freight transport . ► The creation of the internal market fueled growth on road and rail. ► More than 70 percent of European freight transport services are provided by trucks. ► Drastic impact of the financial crisis in 2008/2009. Only in 2018 the transport performance of the year 2007 was reached again. Source: Eurostat, Transport in Figures 2020 CO2-Kompendium, Nutzfahrzeuge 2
Traffic forecasts for the EU by year 2030 Road traffic will continue to dominate Traffic capacity in billions of passenger kilometres/tonne-kilometres Official passenger traffic forecast Official freight traffic forecast Prognos freight traffic forecast EU 10.000 Motorised private transport 4.000 Public road transport 3.000 Rail 8.000 Air 3.000 5.714 2.000 6.000 +23% 2.399 2.000 +36% 2.045 +17% 4.893 4.000 1.764 1.658 +18% 1.000 1.000 +54% 2.000 +47% +49% 602 602 513 714 393 458 496 +27% 312 527 +69% 888 337 429 +25% 0 0 0 2010 2030 2010 2030 2010 2030 Waterway Rail Road + ► There are indications that the 2013 forecast for the EU 27 is outdated. In the period from 2010 to 2015, it assumes growing transport services and clearly overestimates the real development. ► The Prognos Report does not cover the entire EU, but only 12 countries. This represents about 92 percent of road freight traffic. With the rail and waterway, the coverage is worse. Sources: EU, Trends to 2050, 2013; Progtrans, 2016; ; BMVI, Verflechtungsprognose 2030, 2014 CO2-Kompendium, Nutzfahrzeuge 3
Road traffic by freight group in 2019* As many percent of the tonnes transported by commercial vehicle... Secundary materials Groupage 7,6% 7,3% Food and luxury foods 12,8% 9,0% Agriculture, forestry and fisheries 4,0% Metals and semi-finished products 4,0% Woods (goods), paper Concrete, 12,7% 2,3% Vehicles plaster, glass 3,3% Coking and petroleum products 2,1% Equipment for the transportation of goods 2,1% Machines and equipment 7,6% Others Ores, stones and 25,3% earth * Without products from the chemical industry (no information for reasons of confidentiality) Source: Eurostat, 2020 CO2-Kompendium, Nutzfahrzeuge 4
Truck traffic in Europe – the short distance dominates TRANSPORT DISTANCE One ton of freight doesn’t travel far in the EU28 by truck Average transport distance* in kilometres for all goods groups with a share of more than one percent of traffic – as of 2019 Total goods transported 127 Ores, stones and earth, other mining products 41 Glass, plaster, cement 85 Food and beverage 183 Secondary raw materials; Waste 75 Groupage 216 Agriculture, forestry and fishing products 158 Metals and semi-finished products made therefrom; without… 217 Wood and wooden goods (excluding furniture); Paper,… 205 Vehicles 254 Coke oven products and petroleum products 103 Equipment and material for the carriage of goods 142 Machines and equipment not otherwise specified 186 *Total calculated without products of the chemical industry Source: Eurostat, 2020; own calculations CO2-Kompendium, Nutzfahrzeuge 5
Road transport plays a central role in Europe Data for EU28 in 2018 in megatonnes CO2eq Total greenhouse gas emissions1) Greenhouse gas emissions by Road traffic greenhouse gas emissions transport2) 873 232 Mt 1.110 Total 3.953 Mt 950 Mt 899 Mt 543 Mt 503 517 113 Mt Energy Industry Traffic Railways Air transport (domestic) SNfz and buses Motorbikes Agriculture Other Road Inland ship Other Cars LNfz Other 1 With sinks 2) Excluding international air and maritime transport Source: EEA, 2020 (V23) CO2-Kompendium, Nutzfahrzeuge 6
EU Road Transport: Emissions growth especially in the 1990s In million tonnes CO2EQ + 1.000 +23,0% ► The EU wants to reduce emissions 900 from transport by 30 percent between 2005 and 2030. 800 ► Emissions from EU road transport 700 peaked in 2007. +17,5% 600 ► Road transport CO2 emissions in the EU have fallen between 2007 and 500 2013 and have been rising again since +23,9% +58,2% 2013. 400 ► LNfz recorded the largest increase in 300 emissions but have a relatively small +55,1% +2,0% share of total emissions. 200 -1,9% -2,5% -1,9% ► Emissions growth in passenger car 100 +25,4% +20,5% +26,3% traffic was more moderate. Emissions 0 have stagnated since around 2004 Total road traffic Cars Heavy trucks und buses Light trucks and decreased between 2007 and 2012. Since 2013 they rise again. 1990 2005 2018 Source: EEA, 2020 (v23) CO2-Kompendium, Nutzfahrzeuge 7
Heavy Commercial Vehicles – Shaped by the Economy Emissions of heavy commercial vehicles and busses in the EU28; 1990 = 100 130 125 120 115 110 105 100 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Source: EEA, 20120(v23) CO2-Kompendium, Nutzfahrzeuge 8
Light commercial vehicles – Shaped by the economy Emissions of light commercial vehicles in the EU28; 1990 = 100 170 160 150 140 130 120 110 100 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Source: EEA, 2020 (v23) CO2-Kompendium, Nutzfahrzeuge 9
Light commercial vehicles move into focus Emissions of new registrations in g CO2/km by New European Driving Cycle Actual values 2009 – 2018 Target values 2020 – 2030 250 230 166 135 140 103 210 190 170 150 130 110 90 70 50 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2030 2009 2013 2017 2010 2011 2012 2014 2015 2016 2018 USA EU Japan China * Without diesel vehicles Source: ICCT, 2020 CO2-Kompendium, Nutzfahrzeuge 10
Light commercial vehicles: In 2018 all manufacturers have undercut their emissions I target Information for manufacturers with over 50,000 new registrations in the EU28 Opel Daimler Ford Werke Volkswagen Nissan Automobile Renault FCA Italy Peugeot Citroen 210 160 110 60 10 -40 Emissions 2018 Target 2018 Difference to the target of the year 2018 Source: EEA, 2020 CO2-Kompendium, Nutzfahrzeuge 11
Tractors: The youngest commercial vehicles in Europe Commercial vehicle fleets of European countries by age group in percent 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Weniger als 2 Jahre 2 bis 5 Jahre 5 bis 10 Jahre 10 bis 20 Jahre Mehr als 20 Jahre No Data available for Bulgaria, Greece, Slovakia, France: No use of category "more than 20 years"; Netherlands: Indication only for category: "Less than years” Source: Eurostat, 2020 CO2-Kompendium, Nutzfahrzeuge 12
Light commercial vehicles: Many old vehicles Fleet of light commercial vehicles
Commercial vehicles in the countries of the EU Fleet of commercial vehicles with more than 3.5 t total weight by category of age in percent 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Weniger als 2 Jahre 2 bis 5 Jahre 5 bis 10 Jahre 10 bis 20 Jahre Mehr als 20 Jahre No information available for Belgium, Bulgaria, Czech Republic, Germany, Greece, Italy, Lithuania, Slovakia, Slovenia; France, Ireland, Luxembourg: No application of category "More than 20 years"; Netherlands: Only for category: "Less than years" Source: Eurostat, 2020 CO2-Kompendium, Nutzfahrzeuge 14
Light commercial vehicles: Alternative drives still at the beginning of the road Market shares of commercial vehicles with alternative drives in the EU 27 UK - Data in percent 8,0% 7,0% 6,0% 5,0% 4,0% 3,0% 2,0% 1,0% 0,0% ECV-Rechargeable on the mains Hybrids Natural gas Other (LPG+E85) * No information available for Bulgaria, Croatia, Malta Lithuania Source: ACEA, 2020 CO2-Kompendium, Elektroautos 15
Only a few vehicles on the road up to now Only a fraction of the fleet has an alternative propulsion system 3,0% 1,4% Shares of alternative drives Shares of alternative drives in the 1,3% in the stock of passenger cars stock of light commercial vehicles 2,5% 2,4% 1,2% in 2018 in 2018 1,0% 2,0% 0,8% 1,5% 0,6% 1,0% 0,7% 0,4% 0,3% 0,5% 0,4% 0,3% 0,2% 0,0% 0,0% 0,0% 0,0% 0,0% ECV - Hybrids Fuel cell Natural gas Other (LPG+E85) ECV - rechargeable Hybrids Fuel cell LPG and natural gas Rechargeable from the mains from the mains Source: ACEA, 2020 CO2-Kompendium, Elektroautos 16
EU freight transport between 2000 and 2018 Increases in efficiency are obscured by volume growth Development of energy consumption – Data in terawatt hours (TWh) + ► More efficient vehicles and route planning 195,59 compensate for the factors that increase 258,45 consumption. ► Relocation effects 42,88 towards the road with an 105,7 additional consumption of almost 34 TWh play a subordinate role to the increase in activity. More traffic Efficiency Other, Total increase Modal shift effect Source: Odyssee Database 2020 CO2-Kompendium, Nutzfahrzeuge 17
Integrated approach: future regulation must cover all areas Estimation from road freight transport Vehicle-related measures Vehicle operation Vehicle Trailer Tyre Alternative fuels Operation Infrastructure Fleet renewal Efficient Maximum size Low- Biofuel of the second Driver training Better Replacement of Euro engines allowed (more resistance Kraftstoffe generation Route Infrastructure 0 - III vehicles Aerodynamics transport tyres Synthetic fuels planning Infrastruktur (ca. 5% additional fleet Driver volume) Tyre-pressure Natural gas (LNG) Volume (Lockouts, renewal) CO2-Emissionen assistance Aerodynamics check utilisation detours) systems Lightweight Super single Telematics design tyre systems Driver Combating assistance congestion CO2-Emissions systems + + = -6% -2,5% -13% -21,5% + ► An integrated approach avoids rebound effects and can significantly increase the saving effect. ► Various instruments are needed to exploit all potentials. Source: ACEA CO2-Kompendium, Nutzfahrzeuge 18
Visible progress in the field test Scientifically accompanied road test with comparable trucks of different years depending on the manufacturer on different routes1) 1 Difference in emissions between 2 Emission reduction per year Old and New– total Daimler -22% 1 1996: 436 PS 2016: 450 PS DEKRA -1,10% 2 Scania 1992: 500 PS 2016: 500 PS -25% 1 AVL -1,04% 2 Volvo -19% 1 1991: 405 PS 2016: 460 PS AVL -0,76% 2 MAN -31,5% 1 1994: 402 PS 2016: 460 PS TÜV Süd -1,45% 2 Iveco -21% 1 1994: 514 PS 2016: 571 PS AVL -0,95% 2 1) A Comparison of the reduction performance between the manufacturers is not permitted, because test tracks and environmental conditions (weather etc.) were not standardized. Source: ACEA, 2017, Reducing CO2 from trucks: progress in practice – Third-party assessment CO2-Kompendium, Nutzfahrzeuge 19
Turn 3 into 2 – More loading volume saves fuel Turn 3 into 2 Low consumption The long truck drives more efficiently than other trucks. Two long trucks transport as much load as three standard trucks. The result: less fuel consumption per charge. Standard truck 1 Standard truck 2 Standard truck 3 Conventional articulated trucks 16,5 m -10% Loading volume CO2 Extended articulated trucks 50 Standard truck 1 100 +50% 17,8 m 100 Long truck 1 Standard truck 2 100 50 +50% -25% Standard truck 3 100 100 Long truck 2 CO2 Long truck 25,25 m Long truck 1 Long truck 2 Route network long truck CO2-Kompendium, Nutzfahrzeuge 20
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