Company presentation 26 May 2020 - Falck Renewables
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Forward-Looking Statements This presentation contains certain forward-looking statements that reflect the Company’s management’s current views with respect of future events and financial and operational performance of the Company and its subsidiaries. These forward-looking statements are based on Falck Renewables S.p.A.’s current expectations and projections about future events and have been prepared in accordance with IFRS currently in force and the related interpretations as set out in the documents issued to date by IFRIC and SIC, with the exclusion of any new standard which is effective for annual reporting periods beginning after January 1st 2020. Because these forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties, actual future results or performance may differ materially from those expressed in or implied by these statements due to any number of different factors, many of which are beyond the ability of Falck Renewables S.p.A. to control or estimate precisely, including changes in the regulatory environment, future market developments, fluctuations in the price and availability of fuel and other risks. You are cautioned not to place undue reliance on the forward-looking statements contained herein, which are made only as of the date of this presentation. Falck Renewables S.p.A. does not undertake any obligation to publicly release any updates or revisions to any forward-looking statements to reflect events or circumstances after the date of this presentation. The information contained in this presentation does not purport to be comprehensive and has not been independently verified by any independent third party. This presentation does not constitute a recommendation regarding the securities of the Company. This presentation is not intended to be/does not contain any offer, under any applicable law, to sell or a solicitation of any offer to buy or subscribe any securities issued by Falck Renewables S.p.A. or any of its subsidiaries. Neither the Company nor any member of the Company’s Group nor any of its or their respective representatives, directors or employees accept any liability whatsoever in connection with this presentation or any of its contents or in relation to any loss arising from its use or from any reliance placed upon it. 2
Governance & Shareholders Board Composition Current Shareholders Base Executive Director Non Executive Director Independent Dir. according to T.U.F. and Corporate Governance Code JP Morgan AM 5.37% Treasury shares 0.76% Falck SpA Free float 60.00% 33.87% The Board of Directors consists of twelve members. Seven of them are Independent Directors (58%) and five are women; one was appointed Lead Independent Director. The new Board of Directors – as approved at The Shareholders’ Meeting on 7 May 2020 – reflects the group’s international presence and includes members with relevant experience. 5
Falck Renewables at a Glance Renewable player with a continued 1,133 MW ~2 GW 95 MW Asset Development Under expansion …. base pipeline construction SHARED VALUE WITH STAKEHOLDERS SUSTAINABILITY AT THE CORE … diversified in Services and ~ 1 GW 8th C&I Business Energy dispatched Market operator Customers Solutions…. in 2019 in Italy in 2019 managed … committed to push on > 90% First battery digitalization & Integrated with Solar PV Enabling operational Employees working Innovation and Commissioned excellence from home in 2019 ….financially 3.5x 72% € 325M strong NFP/EBITDA Gross Debt Committed in 2019 hedged credit line 6
7 Net Financial EBITDA Position (€M) Main Indicators 2016 - 2019 Net Invested Group Net Capital Earnings 1,038 1,087 1,103 1,328
Our Commitments to sustainability To us, sustainability is the lasting generation of shared value for each stakeholder while maintaining the conditions that allow for such a generation shared value creation asset operational efficiency ECONOMIC & ENVIRONMENTAL environmentally sustainable management PRODUCTIVE & CLIMATE practices sustainable asset development greenhouse emissions reduction responsible clients CAPITAL CAPITAL KPI: distributed financially sustainable growth KPI: avoided GHG added value (€M) emissions (MtCO2eq) innovative competent caring KPI: hours of upskilling and KPI: share of projects with a reskilling per significant community SOCIAL & HUMAN employee (hrs/Y) engagement program (%) HR development local communities support RELATIONAL CAPITAL diversity & work-life balance local procurement & employment CAPITAL WE ARE DIRECTLY CONTRIBUTING TO 9 U.N. SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT GOALS 8
Our business model JDAs like Asset Development Digital Factory Energy Solutions Engineering & Construction Activities Smart Energy Technologies Asset Management & Technical Advisory Digital & Advisory Services Market Access PPA dispatching hedging balancing aggregation Investors in new large renewables capacity Clients + Falck Group Energy Intensive Commercials & Industrials + ENI + others 9 Enablers of Decarbonization
Today’s Portfolio:1,133 MW in Operation 354 MW 98 292 16 46 354 413 413 113 113 413 98 98 47 50 59 59° 50 50 47 47 TOTAL 959 129 46 1,133* 59 113 +95 MW Under Construction * Includes minority stake in La Muela (26%) wind farm and Frullo Energia Ambiente (49%) for a total amount of 37MW 10 ° Includes 10 MW of Carrecastro wind farm in opertionn since 7 February 2020
How do we optimize our portfolio O&M Service Scope Review (calculated on wind farms) Asset Remote Monitoring: ❑ Operations real time overview ❑ In depth performance analysis ❑ Automatic KPIs calculation ❑ Predictive maintenance* ❑ Repairs/retrofits effectiveness In house follow up responsibility for part or all 75% (favourite Asset Management & Operational 50% option) main components Control: ❑ Contract management 5% ❑ Site management ❑ On site quality inspections 2017 2019 2025 actual actual target ❑ Assessment and follow up on technical improvements SEAnet ** 95.20% 96.10% >97% O&M/MW (€k)*** 32
How do we develop new assets Greenfield, Partnerships and M&A Current approach Greenfield Energy Management, Partnerships PPA pricing / JDAs M&A Greenfield Partnerships / JDAs M&A Implemented Development, Engineering, In process / potential Construction, Finance and PPA origination Asset Management and Advisory presence on the entire value chain 12 … and in strong wind and solar markets
How do we create value for energy intensive clients Services Offered Description Focus Clients Balancing Service Provider Market Corporate Power Purchase Agreement FKR Access Power Purchase Agreement Energy New distributed PV assets, repowering PV, Solutions storage, CHP Digital & Advisory Advisory (audits, flexibility, storage), data FKR Services analysis and energy management systems Starting from Energy Team metering and Smart Energy Technologies Demande Response, plus evolution driven by IoT trends and “open-tech” approach # clients We enable value creation with advanced solutions Asset Development Large Wind/Solar producers Energy Intensive Industries Large commercial users 13 Owned Assets Small PV assets < 5MWp Large Industries Large commercial corporates
Dividends 2016-2025 2018 - 2021 2022 - 2025 Pay-out ratio (“PAY-OUT”) of Pay-out ratio (“PAY-OUT”) of DIVIDEND «CAP» 40% of Group Net Earnings 30% of Group Net Earnings 6,7 6,9 6,9 6,9 6,9 6,9 6,3 6,5 DIVIDEND €/cent «FLOOR» 5,3 4,9 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Paid in Paid in Paid in Paid in Paid in Paid in Paid in Paid in Paid in Paid in 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 distributed 6,7€/cent as dividend «cap» mechanism applies 14 Long term visibility,stable dividends to sustain strong growth
Roadmap 2025
Value for Renewable electricity and pricing model Value of avoided carbon emissions typically manifested through carbon Pricing model 2040? €/MWh; real 2020 money pricing or taxation and low carbon support mechanisms Additional Upside Value of short-term flexibility in support of system from operability and alleviation of congestions 15-20 direct carbon Carbon pricing? Value of MW of long-term reliability / adequacy in support of security of supply 15-20 Capacity Flexibility Value of MWh energy delivered to the system 20-25 Capacity 70-80 Reliability Energy 25-30 Where the Wholesale Reserve, Ancillary EU Emissions LCOE LCOE of capacity Carbon Average “products” electricity Capacity market services and Trading System based on services for pricing for price are traded market Balancing markets (EU ETS) Solar PV reliability and avoided CAPEX1) flexibility emissions (batteries)2) 1) 200-300K €/MW; 2) Assuming, for each MW of Solar, 0.5MWx8h (4 MWh of storage), ~120k€/MW 3) Considering a CO2 price of ≈70 €/tCO2 16
Focusing on energy plus capacity: how to derive value Capacity Today’s Capacity Energy Reliability focus Flexibility Long-term system adequacy in support of System goal Efficient energy dispatch Short-term system adequacy and flexibility security of supply Delivers energy in the most cost-efficient Ensures long-term system adequacy e.g., Enables the system to respond to short-term What does it way by having the market define the in the case of extreme load peaks or variations in the supply/demand balance, provide? system’s merit order backup intermittent renewable generation support operability and alleviate congestion • Forward markets • Short-term reserve markets (e.g. UK) Market • Market-based capacity remuneration • Day-ahead markets • Ancillary services (e.g. primary and instrument mechanisms • Intraday markets secondary reserve) and balancing market • Own dispatch planform for optimization • Pipeline of stand-alone storage and/or • Participation to capacity market auction of €/MWh of own plants and third- PV+Storage projects in definition for the for 2023 delivery, with Solar+Storage party energy on the Italian market Italian market. Revenues from ancillary capacity to be developed in South zone (hedging, aggregation and balancing) services (primary and secondary reserve Where are we • Awarded 9 MW/year at 75 • Ongoing platform development for the with €/MW remuneration) as well as from today? k€/MW/Year for 15 years UK market the new Fast Reserve mechanism Energy-only markets are inefficient by definition, as they include technologies with an opposite cost structure in terms on Capex- Opex, leading to energy prices trending, in some hours of the day, towards zero 17
Roadmap 2025 summary Continued expansion and Strong focus on ENERGY+ Significant Assets Growth diversification of pipeline model 100% of solar developments 2 GW plus developed and put in +2x consolidated assets with COD from 2023 with service by 2025 storage option ENABLERS OF GREEN GROWTH 1. Distributed added value 2. Projects with a significant Services and community engagement program solutions business 3. Avoided GHG emissions 4. Hours of training per employee Customer centered, technology Strong digital and application Clear sustainability and competence driven development driven expertise commitments to 2025 18
Main Targets Installed Capacity EBITDA (MW) ~ 2,300 2x (€M) ~ 280 ~ +40% ~ 1,900 vs 2019 ~ 250 vs 2019 204 1,123 It includes ~ 20M of green certifcates reduction 2019 2023 2025 2019 2023 2025 Net Financial Position Group Net Earnings (€M) ~1,035 (€M) ~ 875 0.4x ~ +65% vs 2019 vs 2019 721 ~ 70 ~ 80 48 2019 2023 2025 2019 2023 2025 NFP/ 3.5x 3.5x 3.7x EBITDA 19
Our key sustainability targets 174 255 1,300 distributed added value** €M €M €M projects with a significant 41% 55% community engagement program*** of projects of projects 0,62 1,36 5,99 avoided GHG emissions**** MtCO2eq MtCO2eq MtCO2eq hours of reskilling and upskilling 21 40 per employee hrs hrs *not audited numbers ** to stakeholders such as staff, shareholders, creditors, central & local administrations, local communities *** projects supporting local benefit/ownership schemes, or locally enabling sustainable consumption services (e.g. community energy PPA) 20 **** calculated on 2017 international emission factors. Ref.: US factor: EPA 2019, EU factors: ISPRA 2018, Norway factor: NVE-RME 2019
Capital Allocation 2020 – 2025 40 35 Business Lines Returns and Targets €M €M 85 €M MW added 20-25: + ~ 1.2 GW Owned Assets Incremental EBITDA 20-25: ~ €85M Upside from in- IRR → Wacc + 150 bps house development & Asset IRR > 15% management activities* 1,295 Development & Average yearly rate of pipeline + 100 bps generation ~1.6 GW Management €M 1,135 Energy Management Incremental EBITDA 20-25: €8.5M €M & Downstream IRR ~10% Services Leveraging Energy Team customer baseMave ↑ efficiency Cash-out: Capex + Development Expenses Digital & Innovation IRR ~10% 21 * compared to pay the fee to an external developer
Installed Capacity Growth +105% Growth 2019-2025 ~2,300 +70% Maintaning a balanced 14% + ~ 230 MW Consolidation of Nordics exposure presence in the Nordics ~1,900 +14% 10% 29% Onshore wind growth + ~ 175 MW depending on UK and Europe remains central 1,250-1,280 31% 1,123* decarbonisation policies with high emphasis on 15% 97 South Europe 33% Investing in significant 40% + ~ 370 MW 511 32% pipeline optionality Strong growth in the US with ENI partnership 32% Assuming full «ENI 403 27% 24% + ~ 450 MW 113 13% framework» delivery ACTUAL 2020 2023 2025 2021 installed capacity USA South Europe North Europe Nordics in line or exceeding ~2,300 By 2025 previous industrial plan ~1,900 Big effort on solar + ~1.2 GW ~0.8-1.0 GW 7.4x 1,250-1,280 installed of pipeline 1,123* 129 in excess Wind continues to blow 70% solar available 948 ACTUAL 2020 2023 2025 Wind Solar Other 22 * Does not include Carrecastro wind farm, COD on 07 February 2020
Updated targets 2020-2025 Offering Key business targets 2025 Financial Targets (€M) Dispatch and fixing IT, UK, evaluating SP and Nordics: 4,3 TWh (54% captive) Market 120 MW as Balancing Service Provider for Demand/Response Access 1 GW of CPPAs support/involvement +2.5x EBITDA ~200 new PV projects owned, ~9 MWp installed 12 Energy 4,5 MWel CHP installed and owned 4.6 Solutions M&A and revamping 3-5 PV assets ~5 MWp 2019 2025 1 M&A of ESCo or technology solutions company Data science, Virtual EM, flex / storage audits ca 1 M€ rev. Digital & Advisory Energy M&A CAPEX 20-25 CloE main platform for client, ca 3 M€ revenues Services Solutions 5 Increase of solutions for DSO/small producers (observability) 27 Smart Energy 6 Technologies > 4 M€ increase of product sales 1 New hardware / software solutions for PV in synergy with Others Smart Energy Technologies Upgrade of product line (focus on IoT and cybersecurity) 23
Scenario Assumptions Euribor & Libor 2020 2023 2025 Prices EUR/MWh 2020 2021 2023 2025 Euribor Old Plan 0.25% 1.00% n.a. PUN Old Plan 59 58 59 65 Euribor New Plan 0.00% 0.30% 1.00% PUN New Plan 50 54 60 65 UK Libor Old Plan 1.30% 1.60% n.a. Green Certificates Old Plan 92 94 96 92 UK Libor New Plan 0.90% 1.30% 1.40% Green Certificates New Plan 99 101 97 92 FX EUR/GBP Old Plan (2019-2021) 0.91 EUR/GBP New Plan (2020-2025) 0.878 Prices GBP/MWh 2020 2021 2023 2025 EUR/USD Old Plan (2019-2021) 1.18 Wholesale Old Plan 51 51 56 62 EUR/USD New Plan (2020-2025) 1.14 Wholesale New Plan 42 46 55 63 ROCs Old Plan 49 50 52 54 CapEx / MW (€k) avg. 20-25 ROCs New Plan 50 50 52 54 Capex/MW Solar 0.81 Capex/MW Wind 0.99 PPA assumptions for new projects diverge from these price scenarios 24
Price Risk Management Assumptions Power Price Risk ❑ Natural hedging provided by environmental subsidies (ROCS, Tariffs, Certificates) and Grid Benefits as been complemented by sales on forward market in ITA, UK and Nordics No price risk on 76% of expected revenues after hedging actions ❑ 24% of 2020 revenues is exposed to price risk, after hedging actions ❑ Long term price risk mitigation has been enhanced by 2 PPAs in Spain and Norway for 75% of Market Price Exposure their expected revenues 24% 22% 20% 2020 Price Risk Sensitivity considering Hedged Positions 29% 11% …same electricity price variation …different impact on revenues 19% 71% 26% 19% ± 1 €/MWh ± 0.6 M€ 67% ± 1 £/MWh ± 0.7 M£ 57% 51% 54% 29% ± 1 $/MWh ± 0 M$ Other ± 1 €/MWh ± 0.2 M€ Falck Portfolio US UK ITA Other EU FiT + Grid Benefits* FWd Hedging + PPA Merchant Onshore Wind Full Price 2020 2023 2025 *US: SREC + Capacity Payments ; (€/MWh; nominal) UK: ROCs + % of Grid Benefits; ITA: Tariffa Grin + Conto Energia; Captured price + Green Certificate (CV) + Other EU: French FiT Guarantee of Origin (GO) – Imbalance cost 145.1 152.2 151.5** Captured price + Renewable Obligation Certificate (ROC) + Renewable Energy Guarantee of Origin 95.4 109.6 116.8 (REGO) – Imbalance cost 25 ** Minervino and San Sostene wind farms «green certificate» expiring respectively in 2023 and 2024
Guidance 2020 (€M) Scenario 1 Scenario 2 Main Considerations 196 EBITDA 202 o Price assumptions: ➢ Scenario 1: existing forward price scenario + slight recovery in 2H ➢ Scenario 2: existing forward Group Net 40 Earnings* 42 price scenario + progressive recovery to CMD assumptions o Covid-19 impacts not very Net Financial 785 Position 775 significant and partially mitigated by management actions Before provisions and impairment * Not included the impact of deferred tax liabilities on Group Net Earnings due to the change of the corporate tax rate in the UK 26
EBITDA Growth 2019 – 2025 (€M) CAGR +5.4% New Assets Operating Assets -23 +85 +14 Services Services Operating Assets New Assets ~204 +14 ~280 -28 Prices Loss of Incentives -9 End of useful life 2019 + 76 2025 32% 50% Revenues from incentives 2.4 Energy Output (TWh) 5.0 27
NFP Evolution (€M) 2019 2025 22 Cash available NFP Variation (314) Cash 22 available 109 SPV Cash SPV Cash 100 Project 10 CII Holdco Project Finance (474) Finance (672) Corporate Corporate Debt (32) (522) Debt Derivatives (33) Operating IFRS 16 /Other D. (81) Local Comm. (12) Capex Cash Flow 154 Other (33) (250) Dividends (721) Tax Equity/ (11) Derivatives Minorities Fin. (140) IFRS 16 /Other D. Charges, FV (202) Local Comm. Contributions Derivatives (10) (1,035) (1,234) 1,217 28
1Q 2020 Results
1Q 2020 Business Highlights Asset Our Business during pandemic Owned Assets Development ❑ Reached 1,133 MW* operating capacity ❑ Completed the strategic agreement with ENI Regular supply of electricity in the period. ❑ Strong quarterly production vs. 1Q 2019 for joint development in the US Business continuity secured (+35%) due to strong winds in the UK and ❑ Signed PPA in Norway for Hennøy wind Construction continuing as planned France and perimeter growth in the Nordics, farm (70% of annual production) France and Spain. Lower performance in Italy ❑ Reached 2.8 GW under management Decreased energy prices fundamentals (natural (-8%) YoY. gas) ❑ Lower comprehensive captured prices in the Continued good performance of operating UK (-7%) and in Italy (-5%) vs. 1Q 2019 assets ❑ Completed revamping at Spinasanta PV Energy Management & plant (6MW) and biannual maintenance at Financial resources available to follow the Rende biomass plant (15MW) Downstream Services Business plan implementation Minor delays suffered in Services (commercial Financials ❑ 381 GWh dispatched in-house in Italy (100% activity) of energy produced + 3rd parties) vs 265 GWh ❑ Higher Ebitda at €72.5M vs €63.0 1Q 2019 in 1Q 2019 (+15.1%) and above expectations > 90% of total workforce working from home ❑ Signed 1 contract for CHP and PV distributed ❑ NFP at €650M lower than €721M end of Additional insurance coverage to employees generation at C&I client 2019 impacted by cash-in from sale of in Italy and in the UK. Working to extend to minorities in US assets ❑ New CloE platform growing fast with more the other countries of presence than 5,000 consumption points licenced ❑ Positive impact from GBP exchange ratio International support program for local (1.2% vs average 1Q 2019) ❑ Reached 31 MW of UVAM as BSP communities ° It includes minority stake in La Muela (26%) wind farm and FEA (49%) for a total amount of 37MW 30 Sound quarterly results, business substantially unaffected during pandemic emergency
1Q 2020 Financial Highlights Breakdown (€M) 1Q 2020 1Q 2019 Depreciations (20.3) (18.1) Provisions (3.1) (1.5) Write – offs / - (0.1) Revaluations 31
1Q 2020 EBITDA Bridge (€M) Assets Services and Other (2.0) (0.6) 1.4 0.5 72.5 4.5 (4.4) 10.1 63.0 ↓ DEVEX (FALCK GBP/EUR NEXT) ↓ RENDE ↑ 2020: 0.862 ↓ NUO START-UP ↑ NORDICS ↓ WHOLESALE ITALY MAINTENANCE 2019: 0.872 ↑ FRANCE ↓ WHOLESALE UK ↓ GRID/LOCAL WIND TAXES (JULIA) ↓ WHOLESALE SPAIN ↑ WIND SPAIN ↑ UK WIND ↑ P&L EFFECT ON ENI DEAL ↑ FRANCE WIND ↓ DEVEX ↓ STRUCTURE STRENGTHENING 1Q 2019 PERIMETER PERIMETER PERIMETER PRICES PRICES PRICES VOLUMES VOLUMES VOLUMES OPEX OPEX OPEX SERVICES SERVICES G&A/ EXCHANGE 1Q 2020 OTHER RATE 32
1Q 2020 Cash Flow (€M) CASH 79 CASH 22 SPV SPV CASH CASH 147 109 PROJECT CII HOLDCO 10 Cash Flow CII HOLDCO 10 FINANCING from Net Capex/ Net Cash Exchange (656) NFP Derivatives NFP Operations Perimeter US deal ratio Dec 2019 Mar 2020 PROJECT FINANCING (672) IFRS 16 (81) FV DER. (42) IFRS 16 (81) CORPORATE LOAN (50) FV DER. (33) COMMUNITY FINCOOP INSTR.* (13) CORPORATE LOAN (32) 56 (1) 13 (650) OTHER (43) COMMUNITY FINCOOP INSTR.* (12) 44 (41) OTHER (33) (721) * Investment scheme to encourage the community to establish cooperatives, 33 whose members will contribute to financing the energy plant
1Q 2020 Gross Debt Breakdown Gross Debt by Currency Gross Debt Without Gross Debt Without Derivatives Gross Debt Nature Without Without Derivatives and Derivatives and Leases and Leases: Construction and Derivatives and Leases Leases Hedged Operations 19% 49% 1Q 1Q 47% 2019 2019 81% 4% €762M €762M €762M €762M Financing with recourse GBP Hedged Operating plants Project financing without recourse EUR Un-hedged Under construction Other financings without recourse USD Average interest rate (including interest rate swap) of 3.40%* 34 Gross Debt = Project Financing + Other Debt + Debt vs CII HoldCo *excluding IFRS 9 effect
Appendix
Asset Base in 1Q 2020 March 2020 * * * Residual Project Life Residual Debt Life Project cash flow after debt repayment Wholesale price Residual incentive life ° 36 * PPA secured, SREC (in the US only) ° Not included minority stake in La Muela (26%) wind farm and Frullo Energia Ambiente (49%) for a total amount of 37MW
Electricity Production in 1Q 2020 (GWh) 1Q 2020 D vs. Internal Index By Technology 35% Strong productions vs. 1Q 2019 (+35%). +29.4% in 1Q 2020 while in 676 912 Significant grid curtailments at our 1Q 2019 production was 1.3% Millennium, Kilbraur, Assel Valley and better than the Index Auchrobert wind farms (36 GWh compensated). • Lower wind production vs. 1Q 2019 (-8%) • Wind: -4.9% vs Index in 1Q due to poor winds in March and solar 2020 while in 1Q 2019 production below 1Q 2019 (-6%) burdened better performance of 2.1% by panels replacement at Spinasanta PV plant (6MW) • Solar: -9.0% in 1Q 2020 while in 1Q 2019 production • Energy from waste/biomass lower vs. 1Q was better 5.1% than Index By Country 35% 2019 (-13%) impacted by biannual 676 912 maintenance at Rende Biomass plant. -13.5% in 1Q 2020 while in 1Q Quarterly productions almost aligned with 2019 production was -13.6% same period of previous year vs the Index. Higher productions vs. 1Q 2019 (+104%). Full contribution from increased perimeter (56MW since March) with output better than expected. Strong performance from existing 37 wind farms (42 MW).
1Q 2020 Captured Price Overview 1Q 2020 1Q 2019 D% Eur/MWh 95 94 1% Eur/MWh 35 53 -34% Eur/MWh 26 n.m. (5%) 150 142 CAPTURED ENERGY + INCENTIVE PRICE €MWh GBP/MWh 98 (7%) 92 2020 8% 2020 8% Price exposure Price exposure (18%) (26%) FiT + Grid Benefits FWd Hedging + PPA Merchant ** Rolling yearly average Rolling yearly average Rolling yearly average Rolling yearly average 90 90 Sicily 80 80 60 60 WHOLESALE Avg. 71 €/MWh Avg. 58 €/MWh South 70 70 55 Average 55 Italy PRICE* 57 GBP/MWh Avg. 62 €/MWh Sardinia 60 60 50 50 Avg. 47 €/MWh Avg. 60 €/MWh Average 50 50 45 38GBP/MWh 45 Avg. 47 €/MWh 45 (-30% vs 1Q ‘19) 40 40 40 40 40 (-29% vs 1Q ‘19) 33 (-37% vs 1Q ‘19) * Source: GME, Heren ** Excluding Roc Recycle impact Captured price impacted by positive hedging strategy to support the 38 decrease of average market prices
Boosting Growth in the US: the Partnership with Eni Transaction Summary Shareholdings and Governance Key Targets DevCo (50/50) between Falck Eni 49% 50% Technology: PV, Wind and Storage > 5 MW and Eni to develop 112.5 Operating NewCo DevCo DevCo: Greenfield, RtB, COD and JDAs ~ 1 GW by 2023 51% 50% Falck Transfer from DevCo: rights for 400 MW to NewCo Sale of 49% of the operating portfolio (112.5 MW in a (51/ 49) and 600 MW to EniCo (100% Eni) NewCo Governance: Falck to fully NewCo) and 50% of Devco Technical and commercial Asset Management by @ $70M with a gain of control and consolidate line by line Falck Renewables Group €14,5M (including fx gain) (100%) with impact on Net Equity DevCo Governance: shared control of the Reserve and €2M (including fx gain) with impact on P&L company; Falck has the right to appoint the President and Eni a Vice President 39
Storage benefits to RES producers and C&I customers Key set ups Key system benefits Market examples and reference values* Intraday trading schemes Energy 40-80 k€ / MW / year BTM @ C&I Time shift / trading Reduction of curtailments FTM with RES Self consumption optimisation (ex Buddusò) ~5-8 GWh / year jjj Curtailments reduction Unbalances reduction Power TERNA projects for grid support Stand Alone Peak shaving 30-60 k€ / MW / year Grid support Peak shaving schemes for DSO (Middleton project in operation) BRP BSP Services UVAM Primary UVAS pilot project 30 -110 k€ / MW / year Markets / Grid Secondary Future secondary RES scheme BTM = behind the meter FTM = front of the meter Market Capacity Capacity payment for RES RES = renewables sources Market based payments (2 Falck Renewables projects 20-40 k€ / MW / year** C&I = commercials & industrials BRP = Balance Responsible Party accepted for 2023) BSP = Balance Service Provider Enabling RES and C&I storage: RES + storage dispatching capabilities, C&I know how with Energy Team 40 ***Range of values from observed market cases, Falck Renewables estimates Falck Renewables awarded projects ca. 34 k€ / MW / year (storage)
Group Net Earnings 2019 – 2025 (€M) + 65% ~ 76 ~ (29) ~ 14 ~ (19) ~ (10) ~ 80 ~ 48 2019 EBITDA D&A Financial Taxes Minorities 2025 Charges & Equity 41
Main Financial Indicators 2019 - 2025 90% 81% 50% 80% 45% Debt to Equity Ratio 66% 70% 40% Falck Renewables 60% 35% 3.0x 3.0x 3.0x Net Debt Covenant Earnings/EBITDA 50% 30% FFO/EBITDA 40% 25% 37% 30% 31% 20% 1.2x 1.0x Falck Renewables 20% 15% NFP to Equity Ratio 10% 10% 2020 2023 2025 2019 2025 04x 23% 22% 04x 22% 22% 04x 21% NFP to EBITDA Ratio 04x 21% 20% 7.0x 7.0x 7.0x Falck Renewables NetDebt/EBITDA 03x Debt Covenant 19% 3,7x 20% FFO/Net Debt 03x 19% 03x 19% 18% 03x 3,5x 18% Falck Renewables 03x 17% 3.8x NFP to EBITDA 3.7x 2019 2025 Ratio 2020 2023 2025 10% 9% 8% 12% 8% 10% ROE 6% 11% 10% 8% 4% 6% ROI 2% 4% NFP significantly within current covenants 0% 2% 2019 2025 42
Uses and Sources 2019 – 2025 (€M) Cash Out Cash In 9 ~ 2,166 202 of which €325M revolving credit facility 250 522 471 273 154 Operating Cash Flow Corporate Debt New Project Financing Tax Equity/Minorities contrib. 1,234 1,217 CapEx Project Finance Financial Dividends Others Repayments Charges 43
Cumulative Capex 2020 - 2025 (€M) By Area By Contribution to EBITDA North Partial/Nill Nordics 16% Nordics 16% Europe 20% 15% 1,234 1,234 North South Europe Europe 16% 23% USA South Europe 33% 31% USA 30% 44
Management Incentive Plan Performance shares ❑ Condition of financial sustainability - (NFP / EBITDA) 2020 - 2022 ❑ Conditions of minimum cumulative Group EBITDA ❑ Overperformance mechanism based on stock price can trigger shares attribution of New Plan shares ranging from 0.41% to 0.61% of current market cap Cash Plan ❑ Condition of financial sustainability - (NFP / EBITDA) ❑ Conditions of business performance - Group EBITDA - Specific drivers for business lines Strong long-term alignment between management and shareholders 45
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