Communicating in Crisis: Coronavirus - Update: Thursday, June 4, 2020 - Navigator Research
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Update: Thursday, June 4, 2020 MESSAGE UPDATE Communicating in Crisis: Coronavirus Nationwide surveys of registered voters; Each wave represents approximately 1,000 interviews taken over the prior three days. Latest wave conducted May 28-June 1, 2020. For more info, visit navigatorresearch.org
Key takeaways: • Disapproval of Trump’s handling of the coronavirus pandemic has hit the highest point yet in our tracking. • The share of Americans who say Trump’s response is compassionate has fallen to a new low, particularly among African Americans. • Americans see the high death toll and a study finding 36,000 lives might have been saved with quicker action as evidence Trump made the outbreak worse than it needed to be. Nationwide surveys of registered voters; Each wave represents approximately 1,000 interviews taken over the prior three days. Latest wave conducted May 28-June 1, 2020. For more info, visit navigatorresearch.org
Trump’s Pandemic Disapproval Continues to Rise Nearly six in 10 Americans now disapprove of the way that Trump is handling the coronavirus pandemic, the highest yet in our tracking. • 47% of Americans say they “strongly disapprove” of Trump’s handling. • Only half (50%) of Republicans say they “strongly approve” of Trump’s handling. Do you approve or disapprove of the way that Donald Trump is handling the coronavirus pandemic? 57 Disapprove 56 55 53 52 52 52 52 50 50 50 49 49 -15 +10 48 48 47 47 46 46 45 44 44 42 42 Approve 41 40 3/23 3/28 4/2 4/7 4/12 4/17 4/22 4/27 5/2 5/7 5/12 5/17 5/22 5/27 6/1 Nationwide surveys of registered voters; Each wave represents approximately 1,000 interviews taken over the prior three days. Latest wave conducted May 28-June 1, 2020. For more info, visit navigatorresearch.org
Trump’s Coronavirus Response: Self-Absorbed & Uncompassionate The majority of Americans say that negative words, including self-absorbed, unprepared, chaotic, irresponsible, and negligent, apply to Donald Trump’s response to coronavirus, while less than half say positive words apply. • The majority of independents (54%) and nearly half the public overall (47%) say that “self-absorbed” very much applies to Trump’s response. Please indicate how well each of the following words or phrases apply to Donald Trump’s response to coronavirus: Applies Not sure Doesn’t apply June 1 May 18 Self-absorbed 63 7 30 +33 +33 Unprepared 62 4 34 +28 +35 Negative Chaotic 60 5 35 +25 +27 Words Irresponsible 57 4 39 +18 +20 Negligent 55 7 41 +14 n/a Serious 45 4 51 -6 -7 Presidential 43 4 54 -11 -13 Positive Competent 42 5 53 -11 -15 Words Honest 41 5 54 -13 -18 Compassionate 38 4 58 -20 -15 Nationwide Nationwide survey surveysof survey ofof1,007 1,018 registered registered voters; voters; registered EachMay voters; wave28-June April 1, 2020. represents 5-9, 2020. approximately 1,000 interviews taken over the prior three days. For For more Latest info, wave more visit visit navigatorresearch.org conducted info, May 28-June 1, 2020. For more info, visit navigatorresearch.org navigatorresearch.org
Demographic Deep Dive Steep Decline in African American Perceptions of “Compassion” African Americans are especially likely to say ”compassionate” does not apply to Donald Trump’s response to coronavirus, though there has also been a decline among white Americans saying “compassionate” applies. • There’s been a net shift of 32 points among African Americans (-38 to -70) in the last two weeks. Please indicate how well “compassionate” applies to Donald Trump’s response to coronavirus: African American White % Net % Net Applies Not sure Does not apply Applies Applies Not sure Does not apply Applies June 1 12 6 82 -70 42 4 54 -12 May 25 18 13 69 -51 44 4 52 -8 May 18 28 6 66 -38 46 4 50 -4 May 11 19 9 72 -53 46 5 49 -3 May 4 27 6 67 -40 47 3 50 -3 Nationwide surveys of registered voters; Each wave represents approximately 1,000 interviews taken over the prior three days. Latest wave conducted May 28-June 1, 2020. For more info, visit navigatorresearch.org
Lack of Early Action Underscores How Trump Worsened Pandemic Only about half of Americans have heard about a Columbia University study that found 36,000 lives might have been saved if Trump had acted more quickly on social distancing, but when they do hear about it, most believe this information reveals a failure by Trump. Please indicate whether you think each statement suggests Donald Trump made the coronavirus situation in the United States worse than it needed to be or not. Much Would have % Heard worse Somewhat worse Don’t believe happened anyways About A recent study found if Trump had taken strong action on coronavirus one week earlier, 47 11 18 24 53 36,000 fewer people would have died The United States has the highest death toll in the world 43 11 15 31 70 Over 100,000 Americans have died from coronavirus 42 14 7 37 89 Germany initiated a swift lockdown and quickly ramped up testing, which allowed it to begin reopening its economy before the United States 42 11 13 34 47 South Korea had their first cases around the same time as the United States, but they 41 12 17 30 58 acted more quickly and have seen fewer than 300 deaths so far The United States has 4% of the world's population, but 30% of coronavirus infections 39 13 15 33 42 The United States ranks 35th worldwide in the number of coronavirus tests conducted per resident 39 13 14 34 32 One third of U.S. coronavirus deaths have been nursing home residents and workers 30 13 11 46 68 Nationwide Nationwide survey survey surveysofofof1,007 1,007 1,012 registered registered registered voters; voters; voters; EachMay May wave28-June 28-June 21-May 1, 1, 2020. represents 25,2020. 2020. approximately 1,000 interviews taken over the prior three days. For For more more Latest info, info, wave visit visit navigatorresearch.org conductednavigatorresearch.org May 28-June 1, 2020. For more info, visit navigatorresearch.org
Uniquely High Death Toll Raises More Concern than High Infection Rate While highlighting the high rates of infection in the United States still concerns Americans, more are concerned by Trump’s handling resulting in far more people dying in the United States than in other countries. • This comes as more than one in ten Americans (13%) say they know someone who has lost their life to the virus. Which of the following concerns you more about Which of the following concerns you more about Donald Trump’s approach to the coronavirus Donald Trump’s approach to the coronavirus pandemic? pandemic? Under Trump's watch, Trump's handling has meant Under Trump's watch, 1 in Trump's handling has meant more than 1.5 million far more people have died every 200 Americans far more people have died people have become in the United States than in have become infected in the United States than in infected with coronavirus Neither other countries with coronavirus Neither other countries Overall 21 40 39 12 41 47 Democrats 29 10 61 16 12 72 Independents 31 29 40 20 30 50 Republicans 10 77 13 6 79 15 Nationwide Nationwide survey survey surveysofofof1,007 1,012 1,011 registered registered registered voters; voters; voters; EachMay May wave28-June 21-May 15-May 25, 1, 2020. represents 18, 2020. approximately 1,000 interviews taken over the prior three days. For For more more Latest info, info, wave visit visit navigatorresearch.org conductednavigatorresearch.org May 28-June 1, 2020. For more info, visit navigatorresearch.org
How It Got This Bad: Ignoring Early Warnings, Failing to Develop a Strategy The public sees Trump’s ignoring of early warnings, cutting programs at the CDC, and failing to develop a national strategy as actions that made the impacts of the pandemic worse. Below are some statements about how Donald Trump had handled the coronavirus pandemic. Some have argued these actions made the health and economic impacts of the pandemic worse, while others disagree. Please indicate whether you think each one has made things worse or not: Much Worse: % Much worse Mixed on Trump* He ignored early warnings when he should have been preparing 51% 47 He cut important pandemic programs at the CDC and got rid of a "pandemic playbook" for responding to outbreaks 47 33 He has failed to develop a national strategy for delivering supplies and tests, leaving many states to compete with each other and fend for themselves 47 39 He publicly encouraged states to quickly "reopen," overruling the advice of public health experts like Dr. Fauci 44 32 His administration tried to "bury" a report aimed at providing a clear plan for safely reopening cities and states 43 31 He has tried to cut health care and repeal the Affordable Care Act instead of expanding 42 31 coverage He promoted potentially dangerous, unproven drugs like hydroxychloroquine 41 32 He has refused to wear a mask in public and criticized others for wearing one 39 29 *”Mixed on survey Nationwide Nationwide Trump” surveysofrefers of1,012toregistered Americans registered voters;who Eachdon’t voters; always wave21-May May approve represents or don’t always approximately 25, 2020. disapprove 1,000 interviewsof Trump’s taken over overall jobthree the prior performance, days. his handling Latest For more of wave the economy, conducted info, visit Mayhis 28-June handling1,of2020. navigatorresearch.org the coronavirus pandemic, For more info, and his handling of health care. visit navigatorresearch.org Nationwide survey of 1,007 registered voters; May 28-June 1, 2020. For more info, visit navigatorresearch.org
About Navigator For Press inquiries contact: In a world where the news cycle is the length of a tweet, our leaders often lack the real-time public-sentiment press@navigatorresearch.org analysis to shape the best approaches to talking about the issues that matter the most. Navigator is designed to act as a consistent, flexible, responsive tool to inform policy debates by conducting research and reliable guidance to inform allies, elected leaders, and the press. Navigator is a project led by pollsters from Global To learn more about Strategy Group and GBAO along with an advisory committee, including: Andrea Purse, progressive strategist; Navigator: Arkadi Gerney, The Hub Project; Christina Reynolds, EMILY’s List; Delvone Michael, Working Families; Felicia Wong, Roosevelt Institute; Mike Podhorzer, AFL-CIO; Jesse Ferguson, progressive strategist; Navin Nayak, http://navigatorresearch.org Center for American Progress Action Fund; Stephanie Valencia, EquisLabs; and Melanie Newman, Planned Parenthood Action Fund. @NavigatorSurvey on Twitter About the Study Global Strategy Group conducted a public opinion survey among a sample of 1,007 registered voters conducted May 28-June 1, 2020. The survey was conducted online, recruiting respondents from multiple opt-in online panel vendors. Respondents were verified against a voter file and special care was taken to ensure the demographic composition of our sample matched that of the national registered voter population across a variety of demographic variables. Nationwide surveys of registered voters; Each wave represents approximately 1,000 interviews taken over the prior three days. Latest wave conducted May 28-June 1, 2020. For more info, visit navigatorresearch.org
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