Commercial Month in Review - June 2021 - Herron Todd White
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A message from our CEO Month in Review June 2021 As we reach the end of FY21, Australians continue to be tested in ways we’d never imagined. As we close the month of June, five of our states Information Security certification, placing HTW as In the residential section, our expert teams deliver and territories have been in lockdown for a total one of the most robust, secure, and quality-forward their half-time scorecard of Australia’s diverse real of 24 days. This is a reminder that Australia is not valuation firms in the nation. This commitment to estate markets. Our professionals also reveal some yet through this period. However, I’m buoyed by quality cannot be released without the collective thoughts on how markets might proceed over the the fact we can come together and support one effort of our people around the country. Our remainder of 2021. another during the challenges and, overall, remain processes and systems ensure that we continue to Among the excellent stories on offer this month are: optimistic about the future. provide our clients with market-leading solutions. ◗ Sydney – North Shore prestige market driven by The concept of being stronger together is It is due to the diligence of our people and our ex-pat demand; something we have always adopted at Herron Todd genuine commitment to the business that positions White, but even more so of late. this commitment to quality at the forefront of our ◗ Newcastle – growth in the median house price COMMERCIAL service offering. Quality solutions for our clients, outperformed all capital cities; In recent weeks I was pleased to announce the quality solutions and processes for our people, and CEO merging of our South East Regional Australia and ◗ Shepparton – ex-Commission properties gained a quality support structure. Melbourne entities to create Herron Todd White approximately 80 per cent in value in the past 12 VIC/TAS. This latest amalgamation follows multiple It is a priority to ensure that we have rigor within months. Western Australian operations consolidating to our business to respond and remain at the forefront Our abridged rural submissions have also create the single Herron Todd White Western of quality client lead solutions. adopted this mid-year theme and discussed how Australia entity in 2020, along with New South Our June edition Month In Review submissions key primary production property markets have Wales and the ACT in 2019. This exciting merger is offer an opportunity to assess the current state of performed so far in 2021. set to improve client services, and create further the market, and prepare for what’s to come. operational efficiencies across the business. Please enjoy this latest addition of The commercial section sees local area specialists Month In Review. Our program will see more regional offices discuss unrealised investment opportunities within integrate with capital city operations and create Gary Brinkworth the industrial sector. large single state entities. This will significantly improve the company’s operation and its appeal to Stories include: employees, partners, and investors. I look forward ◗ Sydney – lack of industrial stock continues to to revealing more in the coming months. drive prices; In other news, As part of Herron Todd White’s ◗ Brisbane – continued outperformance of industrial commitment to quality, we are proud to announce compared to other commercial sectors; and that we have now received formal ISO9001 certification. This important international standard ◗ QLD regional – across the board strengthening in for quality builds on our existing ISO27001 industrial markets continues. 2
Tax Deduction for Investment Month in Review June 2021 Properties: What can you claim? Belinda Botzolis The start of the financial year doesn’t have the same excitement as the start of a new calendar year. No hashtag #newfinancialyearresolutions trending on social media and no New Financial Year Eve party hangovers on July 1st. But what we do have is a clean slate. A time to start again, financially speaking. It’s also a chance to begin prepping information which will help an accountant lodge your tax return. As a Property Valuer and Registered Tax agent the best advice I can give property COMMERCIAL investors is this – it pays to do your homework on exactly what you can and cannot claim against your taxable income. Because accounting for every dollar is important and will prevent you from paying more tax than you should. BELINDA BOTZOLIS Senior Property Advisor at HTW 3 S
The big question is, however, do you know what Month in Review those deductions are and how to claim them? It’s your money, it’s your right to claim and if you make the June 2021 When it comes to investment properties there are choice to buy an investment property, then you should claim many considerations. For example, whether you own the property outright, rent out part or all of it, what you’re entitled to. or even have a commercial owner occupier asset, Claiming the depreciable loss of a property via It’s important to do your homework on the tax there are still many items you can claim. It’s not a Tax Depreciation Schedule is, still commonly benefits, rules and guidelines when it comes to just investors who are negatively gearing their misunderstood. As a result, a substantial portion of property investment. It’s also important to talk investment property that enjoy all the deductions. depreciation goes largely unclaimed, so there could with your accountant or financial advisor, not just Every investor has the same opportunity to claim be literally thousands of dollars in deductions that at tax time but well before you buy an investment tax benefits, they just need to understand what you are failing to take advantage of. property. Utilising these professionals ensures they are. you’ll understand exactly what your financial I regularly hear the misconception that, ‘only new The most commonly claimed deductions are options, benefits and risks are. properties qualify for depreciation’, or ‘the amount the interest portion (not the principle portion) you can claim in depreciation on an older property Herron Todd White are more than just property of mortgage repayments, along with repair is not worth the hassle of obtaining a report’. valuers. We are fully qualified and accredited and maintenance, managing agents fees, property advisors, in all areas and class of fees associated with leasing the premises, The fact remains any property built after the property. If you or someone you know needs Tax COMMERCIAL landlord insurance, building insurance, water 16th of September 1987, regardless of condition, Depreciation advice on your investment property and council rates, strata fees and all directly qualifies for depreciation. You have 40 years please do not hesitate to contact us at tds@htw. related expenses suitably associated with the to claim from this date and I would recommend com.au, as we have fully qualified experts who are investment. looking into getting a Tax Depreciation Report as ready to help. soon as possible. Also, for any property built before Some costs are tax deductible in the year you September 1987 that has some level of alterations incur them, whereas others can be used to reduce or renovation undertaken (such as a new bathroom, your profit, or ‘capital gain’ – think Stamp Duty new kitchen, repaint or hard landscaping works and Conveyancing fees. It’s also important to etc.) you are entitled to claim depreciation on that understand that by owning a rental property, any capital improvement. No matter how large or small money earned or spent will need to be recorded the amount you claim in depreciation, it’s still better and kept, no matter how large or small the sum is. than not claiming anything at all. It’s your money, So basically, if you’ve spent money and claimed it, it’s your right to claim and if you make the choice to then you must keep an accurate record of it for at buy an investment property, then you should claim least five years. what you’re entitled to. The abovementioned deductions are fairly common The best way to have your property correctly knowledge. Most investors are well versed and assessed for depreciation is to engage the services educated in the idea of investment strategies and of a fully qualified Tax Depreciation Specialist what can and can’t be claim as deductions. who is also a registered Tax Agent. That way what But there is one area where investor tax benefits you claim will be in accordance with the ATO’s continue to be underutilised. guidelines, and no deductions will be overlooked. 4 S
National Property Clock: Industrial Month in Review June 2021 Entries coloured purple indicate positional change from last month. Gold Coast PEAK OF Brisbane MARKET Ipswich Southern Highlands Approaching Starting to Central Coast Peak of Market Decline COMMERCIAL Sunshine Coast Adelaide Illawrra Ballina/Byron Bay Lismore C’berra/ Q’beyan Mackay RISING DECLINING Orange Coffs Harbour Newcastle MARKET MARKET Toowoomba Echuca Sydney Hobart Bundaberg Melbourne Cairns Mildura Geelong Perth Start of Approaching Alice Springs Recovery Bottom of Market Darwin Gladstone Rockhampton South West WA Hervey Bay Townsville Horsham BOTTOM OF MARKET Liability limited by a scheme approved under Professional Standards Legislation. This report is not intended to be comprehensive or render advice and neither Herron Todd White nor any persons involved in the preparation of this report accept any form of liability for its contents. 5
New South Wales Month in Review June 2021 Overview site is relatively unimproved industrial land that has businesses look to take advantage of low interest Industrial property markets have, on the whole, an area of approximately 3,000 square metres. The rates and move from tenancy to owner-occupation. thrived throughout the past 18 months. While property sold in December 2019 for $3 million. The Combined with a growing need for warehousing this has been an excellent outcome for property property was resold a few weeks ago at auction for and improved business conditions, we are seeing a owners, anyone looking to invest will be faced with $4.65 million, a 55 per cent increase in less than 18 growth in both capital values and rental rates. challenges. months. Earlier in the year we noted that demand from This month, our commercial teams reveal what Another example is a site in Lansvale. The site investors was slow but they too are now more they consider to be the prime industrial property is also relatively unimproved and has an area of active in the market although are often priced out investment opportunities throughout their service approximately 4,800 square metres. The property by owner-occupiers who are willing to pay more to areas. sold in May 2019 for $3.77 million. The property secure a property. was resold in early May at auction for $5.5 million, Opportunities still exist in overlooked areas or Sydney a 46 per cent increase. COMMERCIAL where there is new development. The central The industrial market in Sydney has been growing west has seen some new supply in suburbs such in leaps and bounds in 2021 and has shown as Chullora and Enfield. Entry level strata units in the most promise following the lockdowns and areas such as Penrith and Blacktown could also uncertainty brought about by COVID-19. This present an opportunity to secure a property that growth has made it most certainly the asset to also benefits from proximity to major roads. watch this year. We are noting a shortage in supply that is seeing values being driven up and the Overall, we are optimistic about how the market competition between buyers has become quite will perform over the remainder of the year. The fierce. strengthening prices do not seem to be showing signs of slowing. Whilst all areas of Sydney are doing very well at present, the industrial precincts closest to major 23456789170454 455775 Angeline Mann infrastructure have performed best. The industrial Commercial Director precincts along the M4, M5 and M7 motorways Fuelling current demand is the significant lack of have soared in price and demand. supply of industrial properties across the Sydney An example of this is a site in Chipping Norton. The area along with increased demand as more Earlier in the year we noted that demand from investors was slow but they too are now more active in the market although are often priced out by owner-occupiers who are willing to pay more to secure a property. 6
Victoria Month in Review June 2021 Melbourne The Melbourne industrial market has, in effect, become hot The global Coronavirus pandemic event has been an unprecedented time with multiple lockdowns property over the past 18 months. in Melbourne dampening confidence. Whilst those lease expiry profile, strong tenancy covenant Should this trend continue, vacant industrial effects have been significant in some commercial and low maintenance improvements will remain land would present as the best value growth real estate sectors, the industrial market has in strong demand. This is particularly so for opportunity for investors or owner-occupiers. been relatively resilient. The Melbourne industrial prime properties. For city fringe and inner market has, in effect, become hot property over Of particular note this month is an industrial suburban industrial properties where there is a the past 18 months. development site in East Bendigo that has just hit high underlying land value and redevelopment the market. 110-128 Strickland Road, East Bendigo With more people working from home and online potential, demand and pricing is expected to hold is 6.6 hectares of Industrial 1 Zoned land and is shopping for supermarket items, fashion and up and show continued appreciation. currently listed for $4.75 million. It is one of very household goods trebling since March 2020, the COMMERCIAL On the back of this, demand is expected to remain few remaining large industrial infill sites suitable for demand for industrial warehousing and serviced at unprecedented levels and the shortage of new further development. In the current market, a site developable land has continued to rise and outstrip space to meet that demand would indicate further such as this will provide a unique opportunity for performance of their counterparts. Multiple capital value uplift. further development. Australian Real Estate Investment Trusts have been re-positioning their portfolios towards the industrial Nick Michael Our office will continue to monitor this listing and Director sector, with this combination expected to put any further developments as we eagerly await the further pressure on capitalisation rates within the outcome and market insight it provides. prime industrial market. Bendigo The industrial sector in Bendigo has remained Trent Goodmans Property Valuer Developers have also struggled to keep pace with stable despite negative impacts in other sectors demand from logistics and e-commerce occupiers of the commercial property market from the and given the scarcity of available serviced COVID-19 pandemic. Agents are reporting that industrial land within proximity of major transport there has been strong interest in the industrial linkages, we have seen strong upward pressure property sector from both owner-occupiers on industrial land values throughout the past 12 and investors. With a limited supply of listings, months. This is expected to continue throughout the result appears to be price growth and yield 2021 and land values have broken through the compression. There is a notable shortage of $500 per square metre of land area barrier (across vacant industrial land in Bendigo at present and the western industrial market in particular). no new supply coming online this year that we are aware of. This shortage has led to some existing For industrial investment properties, yields are sites being advertised and sold well above what likely to remain tight in the current low interest was previously considered an appropriate range. rate environment and properties with a long 22342567891077970 817110 7 7
Queensland Month in Review June 2021 Brisbane attempt to capitalise on the current depth of both shorter WALEs or are carrying some vacancy. In The year to date has seen Brisbane’s industrial the occupier and investor market. particular, the south-western corridor has seen investment market go from strength-to- a flurry of activity over the past 24 months as In the institutional space, investors and super strength, with increasing investor demand investors seek to uncover opportunities that have funds have turned to Brisbane in their hunt for tightening yields to record levels. This frenzied to date been overlooked. yield. Brisbane assets offer attractive returns demand is largely driven by the low interest (circa 4.25% to 5.25%) relative to their New South The graph below illustrates the historic sales rate environment, however the investment Wales and Victorian counterparts (circa 4.0% to volumes and values over the past 10 years: characteristics of prime industrial real estate, 4.5%) whilst offering diversification in particular the long WALE and secure income benefits for the funds’ portfolios. streams (relative to the COVID impacted cash- flows of other asset types), have been a major Despite the current environment, contributing factor to the current yield trend. savvy private investors have been COMMERCIAL Capital growth has been the primary component able to uncover some accretive of total return for this asset class, as market investment opportunities. A income growth is constrained by increasing common theme amongst these incentives offered by landlords competing for opportunities is that they are off- covenant and tenure. market deals. In securing an asset off market, these investors are Whilst demand for quality industrial assets remains avoiding the competitive bidding extremely strong, particularly for well-located tension created by a full and proper properties with long-term leases and strong lease marketing campaign, however it is covenants, secondary properties continue to becoming difficult as most vendors see long lease up periods and are generally less are acutely aware of the benefits of attractive in the current market. We have seen an on-market campaign. We have 2 3456789 1607886 prime assets transacting in a general yield range of also seen investors moving up the between 5.00% and 6.50%, with secondary assets risk curve to generate return. They have achieved As illustrated above, the total number and value generally achieving softer yields in the market. This this by exploiting external expertise to reposition of sales fell in 2018, which made for a slower start surge in demand has seen increased development secondary assets to unlock capital. These assets in 2019. This was primarily due to a shortfall in activity as experienced and also novice developers are typically located in non-core locations and have supply of quality industrial assets. After the federal election in May 2019, there was an increase in sales volumes. Stronger sales activity was expected to The industrial market has proven quite resilient, rebounding continue throughout the first half of 2020 with the from the COVID-19 trough of 2020 that shocked investors in final number being the highest number of sales all other markets. since 2015. 8
Investment yields for high quality assets continue years and highlights the response to strong buyer Month in Review to trend further into the 5% range. An example of demand at present. June 2021 a major transaction is a property in Eagle Farm, a The current boom in construction of new traditionally well sought-after location within the complexes has even reached Tugun, where the first TradeCoast. The property had a 5.6 year lease term industrial unit development is slated for 71-77 Boyd and transacted at circa $8 million with an analysed Street and is currently going through the approval yield of 5.25%. process. The industrial market has proven quite resilient, There is a lack of available sites for development rebounding from the COVID-19 trough of 2020 that in the region, unless a premium price is paid shocked investors in all other markets. Industrial to secure properties off-market, which is one assets have found favour as investors search for 2345678691840646 64696994 strategy being implemented by some developers. well leased, quality assets due to the lower risk For the passive investor, potentially the best profile these properties offer, coupled with the In terms of recent transactions, of note is the sale opportunity for value growth in the market is in very low cash rate. To date there is no evidence of of 36 Central Drive, Burleigh Heads, a multi-unit the small to medium size freestanding industrial diminution in industrial values for modern, either strata titled industrial complex which sold in property segment. This is due to the price point owner-occupied or well leased properties, but February 2021 at $4.2 million, reflecting a circa of such properties generally reflecting good rather a firming in values is quite evident across the 5% net yield with average lease expiry of circa value in comparison to industrial strata units. COMMERCIAL various industrial sectors. three years. The sale is a strong result, however Although prices have also exceeded peak levels, Isaac McConnell the yield is also reflective of its multi-unit nature they have generally not been elevated to quite Valuer with strata divestment potential, which generally the same degree. This is predominantly due to the translates to a lower cashflow risk if any tenancy relative affordability of units which are attractive Gold Coast was to become vacant. to small business owner-occupiers or small-scale The industrial market on the Gold Coast continues investors. to perform above expectations and has weathered difficult economic conditions over the course of At the time of writing this article, there were 2020 through to 2021 quite convincingly. Buyer only five tenanted industrial properties on the appetite for modern industrial units in the smaller Gold Coast listed on www.realcommercial.com. range has been voracious on the southern Gold au between the search range of $1.5 million and Coast in particular where there is limited supply. $5 million. The slim pickings are a stark reminder Recent developments in Burleigh Heads have of the current tight state of the market. As an fully sold out in a short time frame with limited alternative, it may be necessary to seek willing further projects in the pipeline. However, there vendors off-market which is a hit and miss strategy, is one notable large development planned for but could have a big upside. 314-328 Burleigh Connection Road which has 23456789104964906461 9649610691014 There is one notable property, utilised for food recently been approved for three medium size processing, at 57 Newheath Drive, Arundel asking and two large industrial/showroom units at the Ryan Kohler $3.25 million, with a new five year lease. This front of the site, 10 self-storage units and 31 small Director price would reflect a 6% net return (assuming all industrial warehouse units. A project of this size outgoings are recoverable). has not been undertaken in the area for many 9
Bundaberg appears to have experienced an Month in Review Townsville Rockhampton absorption of vacant industrial stock, however June 2021 Townsville’s industrial market continues to show In the Rockhampton, Gladstone and Central rental levels appear to be holding firm. positive signs on the back of optimistic growth in Highlands industrial space, purchasers and the mining sector and a continued focus on jobs tenants have generally trended towards better Whilst owner-occupiers are still the most active for growth. quality buildings. Modern format industrial vacant industrial properties, there appears to be a buildings that provide good clearance and good reasonable level of demand for leased investment The majority of sales over the past 12 months utility of both the building and site are preferred stock with recent evidence suggesting market have occurred in the sub-$1 million price bracket rather than older, low clearance industrial yields of circa 8% depending on remaining lease underpinned by owner-occupiers. buildings with limited site utility. term and quality of the overall property. There are currently some good buying Ben Harnell The best opportunity for growth remains in opportunities in this sector given that we are Property Valuer buying vacant industrial properties with broad coming off a low base. Entry level freestanding tenant appeal and converting them to a tenanted sheds are priced around $500,000 to $600,000. Mackay investment. Investor appetite remains for tenanted There are also good opportunities in the sub $3 Paget remains a premier industrial location in properties over vacant properties, but, as always, million price bracket for upgraders and investors. regional Queensland. The best buying opportunities the tenant profile and lease covenant remain With the increased activity in the mining sector, for value growth are modern, heavy engineering central to investors’ decisions on yield and price support service industry is likely to experience workshops with large site areas and lower site points. Regarding market segmentation, owner- COMMERCIAL growth resulting in additional space requirements. coverages. There are however very limited occupiers are generally active up to $1.5 million and Areas such as Shaw, Bohle and Mount St John listings at this time. In recent years, these types investors are active up to $5 million, however they are established industrial precincts that are well of properties have been marketed for sale around are most active up to $2 million. located in terms of transport connectivity and offer the same time that new lease or option terms are modern sheds. Greg Williams agreed to provide longer unexpired lease terms, Director greater certainty and lower risk to investors. Yields There are currently many factors at play in the demonstrated over the past two years have been market including historically low interest rates and Wide Bay around 8.0%, however because of tightening yield significant government stimulus targeting certain The industrial property market is starting to levels in the capital cities, it is likely that yields will sectors in the economy (including the property demonstrate a broad improvement in market firm within this asset as investors get priced out of market). Locally we have experienced a relatively conditions, with many factors influencing this the metropolitan markets. sustained period of business positivity, increased trend. sentiment surrounding the mining sector, jobs We notice that local owner-occupiers are beginning Hervey Bay is experiencing a significant reduction growth and falling unemployment. Whilst not to take advantage of firming yields and rising in vacancies to a very low level. Local agents are creating a break-neck speed of market acceleration, investment property values by offering their reporting low stock availability which has the these factors along with longer term prospects properties for sale on a lease back basis. In these potential to increase rental levels, however this is of on-shoring manufacturing may influence the situations, it is important for investors to consider yet to be demonstrated. market over time. Jason Searston Director The industrial property market is starting to demonstrate a broad improvement in market conditions, with many factors influencing this trend. 10
whether the lease back rent is at an affordable ◗ Lot 11, 57 Heinemann Road, Wellcamp: $7.2 Month in Review market level and has not been pumped up to million in November 2020. A modern industrial June 2021 artificially create a higher sale price. facility on 1.62 hectares with a lettable area Greg Williams of 3,956 square metres. Sold with a lease to Director NuFarm/Croplands with an unexpired lease term of 7.80 years. Passing net yield of 6.97%. Toowoomba ◗ 275-283 McDougall Street, Glenvale: $23 Demand from investors continues to be strong with million in September 2020. A modern industrial premiums achievable for assets with good tenants facility on 3.5 hectares with a large office on long lease terms. In previous years, net yields in component. Lettable area of 6,471 square Toowoomba have ranged between 8.0% and 9.0% metres. Sold on a leaseback basis for an initial for fully leased properties. Recent sales however term of nine years. Passing net yield of 6.74%. indicate a firming of these yields for properties with quality tenants and a strong lease expiry. Whilst the investor market is strong, anecdotal evidence suggests leasing enquiry has been Major sales of note in Toowoomba over the past subdued which tends to have a negative impact on year include: vacant or owner-occupied properties with extended ◗ 339-351 Anzac Avenue, Harristown: $8.5 lease-up periods applied for valuation purposes COMMERCIAL million in January 2021. A modern industrial when assessed on a vacant possession basis. facility on 2.17 hectares with a lettable area of The reduced enquiry level is reflected in higher 3,286 square metres. New lease to Savanna with vacancy levels observed in the Toowoomba an unexpired lease term of 4.54 years. Passing industrial precincts and a trend towards increased net yield of 6.88%. incentives offered to attract tenants. ◗ 13-17 Kimberley Court, Torrington: $3.4 million Ian Douglas in February 2021. A semi-modern industrial Director facility on 1.49 hectares and a lettable area of 1,230 square metres. Sold with a lease to Lindsay International with an unexpired lease term of 4.07 years. Passing net yield of 7.12%. 234256789100668 06990800096 11
South Australia Month in Review June 2021 Adelaide The industrial market continued solid performance throughout the start of 2021. The demand for industrial space has remained steady, with long- WALE, high quality assets drawing a lot of investor interest. Land sales have also been on the rise in the state with spec building also becoming a factor during the first half of this year. Although demand has been high, there are still a number of opportunities in the industrial market at either end of the scale. At the higher end of the investment market, 28 Park Avenue, Woodville COMMERCIAL North is offered for sale through Raine and Horne Commercial with a net rental income of $479,874. 2345678910654391450555479458645035 945446 95 The property is leased to Viridian Glass – one year into a five- bvyear term with one right of renewal Our last industrial update touched on the is leased to the Light Regional Council for $20,800 of five years. The property features over 4900 popularity of Tonsley as an increasingly sought- per annum (including GST) until August 2024 square metres of improvements and 800 square after industrial hub in South Australia. There are and comprises 566 square metres of warehouse metres of canopy on a substantial site of 13,450 currently a number of land opportunities in Tonsley: space with small internal offices. In the south, 40 square metres. Lot 220 Valiant Road; Lot 93 MAB Circuit; and Lot Donegal Road, Lonsdale is currently listed for sale Another higher end investment opportunity is 333 MAB circuit are all currently listed for sale. The at $445,000 and features 420 square metres of available at 126 Days Road, Ferryden Park. The allotments range between 4299 and 5634 square warehouse and office space, leased on a three plus property is currently leased to Enerven Energy metres and offer valuable space in the growing three year term with an approximate 6.5% yield. Infrastructure (a subsidiary of SA Power Networks) Tonsley innovation district. Overall, there are still a number of opportunities with a lease expiry of 31 January 2026 – the tenant There are also some smaller-scale industrial in the industrial market for investors at either has occupied the property since 2016. 126 Days opportunities presenting themselves, particularly end of the scale. Many agents have reported that Road has a current annual net rental of $281,139 in outer northern and outer southern areas. 18 industrial property is still highly sought after and with a strong rent review structure of three per Stephenson Street, Freeling presents a lower-end, the market remains competitive. With land, small cent fixed increases per annum. small-scale investment opportunity. The property scale warehousing and prime, long-WALE assets all currently available, there are opportunities for entry level investors and higher-end buyers. Many agents have reported that industrial property is still highly Chris Winter sought after and the market remains competitive. Commercial Director 12
Western Australia Month in Review June 2021 Perth As we approach the end of the 2021 financial year, it has become clear that the industrial property market in Western Australia has fared the best of the three big asset classes in the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic. To date, leasing demand for modern, high-quality fabrication, transport and logistics facilities over the past six months has been firm with such properties currently in limited supply. Leasing demand for older style stock has remained COMMERCIAL subdued given the current oversupply, especially in secondary industrial estates. Tenants will continue to take advantage and reassess their space requirements with a view to negotiating a lease on favourable terms ahead of the next forecast upswing in activity. 234567891915890815141535543 45845 Our enquiries suggest that present day building compliance has rendered older facilities often that both the Tonkin Highway Industrial Estate in Prospective buyers appear to be focused on the unfeasible to bring up to code or meet the current Bayswater and the Roe Highway Logistics Park in financial strength of the tenant, the length of operational requirements of prospective occupants. Kenwick are virtually sold out. agreed lease terms, prospects for rental growth Accordingly, such tenants are inclined to enter into and depreciation benefits. From a purchase perspective, demand for industrial design and construct agreements, often at inflated property has slowly improved in the past six Traditionally low risk forms of investment (e.g. rental rates negotiated on a formulaic basis as a months. Demand has certainly strengthened for long-term deposits, bonds) are offering insufficient percentage of total construction cost (i.e. economic modern, securely leased investment property returns causing investors to re-direct capital rents) as opposed to market fundamentals. on the back of the prevailing low interest rate reserves to industrial property in a bid to secure Arguably a ‘two tier’ market (design and construct environment leading to further yield compression. higher yields. versus existing stock) has emerged. The rise of e-commerce after the disruption to Interestingly, it appears as though limited regard This represents one of the more immediate normal business operations caused by the COVID-19 is being paid by purchasers to the often-significant opportunities for existing land-owners, especially pandemic has put the spotlight firmly on large scale variance between the passing rental and the given the lack of supply of new land in the prime, warehousing, transport and logistics facilities. market rental for the accommodation achievable core industrial estates. Our enquiries indicate under a standard leasing campaign where offered 13
with vacant possession. The potential downside Month in Review risk of significant rent reversions in the event of June 2021 tenant default is seemingly being disregarded in the current low interest rate environment where yields are continually being further compressed due to the historically low cost of debt funding. An opportunity may exist in a counter-cyclical acquisition of older premises in a non-core precinct at well below historical price levels, however the key, as far as investors are concerned, is securing a tenant. The achievable rental income, although well below that for a prime industrial asset, may provide a sufficient level of return against the capital outlay, especially compared to yields being derived from other asset classes of late. In the event that the Perth industrial market continues to improve in the near term, scope exists for improved returns COMMERCIAL at market rent reviews (either mid-term review or lease renewal) as market rental levels increase from the relatively low levels at which a number of older style industrial properties have been leased in the period from late 2019 through to mid-2020. Alternatively, such premises may be viewed as a short-term redevelopment option, particularly in light of the lack of new industrial land available within say a 15-kilometre radius of the Perth CBD. Positively, the Western Australian economy continues to go from strength to strength on the back of successful containment of COVID-19 and a strong mining and resources sector, which bodes well for Perth’s industrial property market in 2021. Greg Lamborn Director 14
Australian Capital Territory Month in Review June 2021 Canberra We see good opportunities in the industrial unit The ACT industrial market has shown its resilience development market going forward with the limited over the past year and this resilience has continued supply of modern single and dual bay industrial while government economic incentives have begun units on the market and the strong uptake over the rolling back. The low cost of finance has been a past 12 to 24 months. strong driver for owner-occupiers while investors James Feeney are attracted to the historically stable ACT market. Valuer The sub $1.5 million industrial market continues to be dominated by owner-occupiers. Prices for small to medium size industrial units in the region have been increasing as demand outstrips supply of these units. COMMERCIAL There have been limited investment sales in the region, however yields are tightening on good quality properties with strong sublease covenants and expiries. 23456789107733357550764 74 7 The low cost of finance has been a strong driver for owner- occupiers while investors are attracted to the historically stable ACT market. 15
Property Market Indicators June 2021
Month in Review | June 2021 Capital City Property Market Indicators – Industrial Factor Sydney Melbourne Brisbane Adelaide Perth Hobart Darwin Canberra Rental Vacancy Situation Shortage of Over-supply of Balanced market Balanced market Over-supply of Over-supply of Over-supply of Shortage of available property available property available property available property available property available property relative to demand relative to demand relative to demand relative to demand relative to demand relative to demand Rental Vacancy Trend Steady Increasing Steady Steady Steady Steady Steady Tightening Rental Rate Trend Increasing Stable Stable Stable Stable Stable Stable Increasing Volume of Property Sales Increasing Steady Increasing Steady Declining Declining Steady Increasing Stage of Property Cycle Rising market Start of recovery Approaching peak Rising market Start of recovery Rising market Approaching Rising market of market bottom of market Local Economic Situation Steady growth Contraction Flat Flat Steady growth Flat Steady growth Steady growth Value Difference between Quality Properties Small Significant Significant Significant Large Significant Significant Small with National Tenants, and Comparable Properties with Local Tenants Red entries indicate change from 3 months ago to a higher risk-rating Blue entries indicate change from 3 months ago to a lower risk-rating 6 Rental Vacancy Trend 6 Local Economic Situation Stage of Property Cycle 9 Increasing 5 Severe5 Peak of Market 8 Sharply Contraction Starting to 7 4 4 Decline 6 Increasing Contraction 5 Approaching 3 3 4 Steady2 Flat 2 Peak 3 1 1 Declining Market2 Tightening Steady Growth 1 0 0 Approaching 0 Bottom 1 1
Month in Review | June 2021 East Coast & Country New South Wales Property Market Indicators – Industrial Southern Factor Canberra Central Coast Coffs Harbour Lismore Ballina/Byron Bay Newcastle Highlands S y d ne y Rental Vacancy Situation Shortage of available Balanced market Shortage of available Shortage of Shortage of available Shortage of Balanced market Shortage of property relative to property relative to available property property relative to available available demand demand relative to demand demand property relative property relative to demand to demand Rental Vacancy Trend Tightening Steady Tightening Tightening Tightening Steady Tightening Steady Rental Rate Trend Increasing Stable Increasing Stable Increasing Increasing Increasing Increasing Volume of Property Sales Increasing Declining Steady Declining Steady Steady Increasing Increasing Stage of Property Cycle Rising market Starting to decline Rising market Rising market Rising market Rising market Approaching Rising market peak of market Local Economic Situation Steady growth Flat Steady growth Steady growth Steady growth Steady growth Steady growth Steady growth Value Difference between Small Significant Significant Significant Small Small Significant Small Quality Properties with National Tenants, and Comparable Properties with Local Tenants Red entries indicate change from 3 months ago to a higher risk-rating Blue entries indicate change from 3 months ago to a lower risk-rating 6 Rental Vacancy Trend 6 Local Economic Situation 9 Stage of Property Cycle Increasing Severe Approaching 8 Sharply 5 Contraction 5 Bttom 7 4 6 4 Rising Market Increasing Contraction 3 5 3 Bottom of 4 Steady Flat 2 3 2 Market 2 Start of 1 1 1 Tightening Recovery 0 0 0 Tightening Sharply
Month in Review | June 2021 Victorian and Tasmanian Property Market Indicators – Industrial Factor Geelong Echuca Horsham Melbourne Mildura Hobart Rental Vacancy Situation Over-supply of available property Balanced market Over-supply of available Over-supply of available Balanced market Over-supply of available relative to demand property relative to property relative to property relative to demand demand demand Rental Vacancy Trend Increasing Steady Steady Increasing Steady Steady Rental Rate Trend Stable Stable Stable Stable Stable Stable Volume of Property Sales Steady Steady Steady Steady Steady Declining Stage of Property Cycle Start of recovery Rising market Start of recovery Start of recovery Start of recovery Rising market Local Economic Situation Flat Flat Flat Contraction Steady growth Flat Value Difference between Quality Significant Small Significant Significant Small Significant Properties with National Tenants, and Comparable Properties with Local Tenants Red entries indicate change from 3 months ago to a higher risk-rating Blue entries indicate change from 3 months ago to a lower risk-rating Rental Vacancy Trend 6 Local Economic Situation Stage of Property Cycle 6 9 Severe Peak of Increasing 8 Contraction Market 5 Sharply 5 7 4 4 Starting to 6 Increasing Contraction 3 3 Decline 5 4 Flat Approachin Steady 2 2 3 g Peak 2 Steady 1 Tightening 1 Declining 1 0 0 Market 0
Month in Review | June 2021 Queensland Property Market Indicators – Industrial Sunshine Factor Townsville Mackay Rockhampton Gladstone Bundaberg Hervey Bay Brisbane Ipswich Cairns Gold Coast Toowoomba Coast Rental Vacancy Situation Balanced Balanced Balanced Balanced Shortage of Shortage of Shortage of Balanced Over-supply of Balanced Shortage of Over-supply of market market market market available available available market available market available available property property property property property property relative to relative to relative to relative to relative to relative to demand demand demand demand demand demand Rental Vacancy Trend Steady Steady Steady Steady Tightening Tightening Tightening Steady Steady Tightening Tightening Steady Rental Rate Trend Stable Stable Stable Stable Increasing Stable Increasing Stable Stable Stable Increasing Stable Volume of Property Sales Increasing Steady Steady Steady Steady Steady Steady Increasing Steady Steady Increasing Steady Stage of Property Cycle Start of Rising market Start of Start of Start of Start of Approaching Approaching Approaching Start of Peak of market Declining recovery recovery recovery recovery recovery peak of peak of peak of market recovery market market market Local Economic Situation Steady Steady growth Steady growth Flat Steady growth Steady growth Steady growth Flat Flat Flat Steady growth Contraction growth Value Difference between Significant Significant Significant Significant Significant Significant Significant Significant Significant Small Small Large Quality Properties with National Tenants, and Comparable Properties with Local Tenants Red entries indicate change from 3 months ago to a higher risk-rating Blue entries indicate change from 3 months ago to a lower risk-rating Rental Vacancy Trend Local Economic Situation 9 Stage of Property Cycle 6 6 Severe 8 5 Contraction 5 Peak of Market 7 Increasing Sharply 4 4 Starting to 6 Contraction Decline 5 3 Increasing 3 4 Approaching 2 Flat 2 3 Steady Peak 2 Steady Growth 1 1 Declining 1 Tightening 0 0 Market 0 Approaching
Month in Review | June 2021 SA, NT and WA Property Market Indicators – Industrial Factor Adelaide Alice Springs Darwin Perth South West WA Rental Vacancy Situation Balanced market Over-supply of available Over-supply of available Over-supply of available Over-supply of available property property relative to demand property relative to demand property relative to demand relative to demand Rental Vacancy Trend Steady Steady Steady Steady Increasing Rental Rate Trend Stable Stable Stable Stable Declining Volume of Property Sales Steady Steady Steady Declining Steady Stage of Property Cycle Rising market Approaching bottom of Approaching bottom of Start of recovery Approaching bottom of market market market Local Economic Situation Flat Flat Steady growth Steady growth Contraction Value Difference between Quality Properties with National Significant Small Significant Large Large Tenants, and Comparable Properties with Local Tenants Red entries indicate change from 3 months ago to a higher risk-rating Blue entries indicate change from 3 months ago to a lower risk-rating Rental Vacancy Trend Local Economic Situation Stage of Property Cycle 6 6 9 Peak of Increasing Severe 8 Market 5 Contraction 5 Sharply 7 4 4 Starting to 6 Increasing Contraction Decline 5 3 3 Approaching 4 Steady Flat Peak 2 3 2 Declining 2 Tightening 1 Steady Growth 1 Market 1 0 0 0 Approaching
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