College Planning Essentials - A comprehensive guide to saving and investing inherit the thinking of j.p. morgan
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College Planning Essentials A comprehensive guide to saving and investing inherit the thinking of j.p. morgan Investments are NOT FDIC INSURED | no BANK GUARANTEE | MAY LOSE VALUE
Section 1 College matters Section 4 Saving and investing 4 Higher education pays 23 Current saving and investing trends 5 More education, less unemployment 24 Comparing college savings vehicles 6 Return on a college investment 25 Investing versus borrowing 7 “Major” differences in salaries 26 Investing for long-term growth 27 Performance pays Section 2 College costs 28 The benefits of compounding 9 Rising college costs 29 Invest more, pay less 10 Future four-year college costs 30 Tax-efficient investing 11 Tuition inflation 31 Making college savings a family affair 12 The real cost of college 32 Asset allocation provided a smoother ride 13 How college costs affect behavior 33 Staying diversified over 18 years 34 The power of diversification Section 3 Financial aid 35 Good intentions, unexpected consequences 36 College planning checklist 15 Financial aid overview 16 Financial aid reality check Section 5 Appendix 17 Federal financial aid eligibility 18 The effect of savings on financial aid 38 Sources of financial aid 19 Student loan landscape 39 Financial aid: Types of applications 20 Private loans 40 Federal aid methodologies 21 The burden of debt 41 Federal student aid: A sample of grant programs 42 Federal student aid: Loan programs 43 College-related tax breaks 44 Comparing college savings options 45 The 529 plan advantage 46 Checklist: Choosing a 529 plan 47 529 plans: State tax benefits 48 Index definitions 49 Disclosures 2 | INHERIT THE THINKING OF J.P. MORGAN
College matters SECTION 1 College matters The value of a college education is growing faster than 65% the cost. Today, a college diploma has become a necessity for anyone seeking increased earning potential, job security By 2020, 65% of U.S. and career opportunity. 28% jobs will require a degree beyond high school, up from 28% in 1973.1 1973 2020 1. S ource: Georgetown University, Failure to Launch: Structural Shift and the New Lost Generation, 2013. Common myths and facts Myth: “ College is too expensive.” Myth: “ Not even college Myth: “ College just isn’t worth graduates can find a the student loan debt.” Fact: The return on an investment job in this economy.” in college is nearly $1 million Fact: college graduate earns A more in lifetime earnings. Fact: T he unemployment rate 38% more than a high Page 4 among college graduates school graduate, even after is currently just 3.2%. factoring in student loans. Page 5 Page 6 College Planning Essentials: A comprehensive guide to saving and investing
College matters Higher education pays A college diploma opens the door to a lifetime of higher earnings. Average annual earnings by highest degree earned 2 COLLEGE COSTS degrees of difference $100,000 71+ 100+0+X 29 163% greater pay 85+15+X • Bachelor’s degree holders earn nearly $1 million more financial aid over a lifetime than high $80,000 70% school graduates. Those with greater pay doctorate degrees earn nearly $2 million more.1 $60,000 • People who attend college but don’t receive a degree earn only 12% more than saving & investing high school graduates.2 $40,000 $20,000 $33,852 $57,616 $89,128 $0 HiGh school graduate bachelor’s degree professional degree appendix 1. S ource: Bureau of Labor Statistics, 2013 dollars, based on 2013 earnings projected over a typical work life of ages 25 through 64. 2. S ource: Current Population Survey, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, 2013 dollars, U.S. Department of Labor. J.P. Morgan Asset Management. Data are for persons age 25 and over. Earnings are for full-time wage and salary workers. 4 | INHERIT THE THINKING OF J.P. MORGAN
College matters More education, less unemployment College graduates enjoy Unemployment rates by education level much better job security and As of August 20144 opportunity, especially during economic downturns. 18% COLLEGE COSTS less than high school diploma high school, no college some college 16% college or greater 14% Bright Job Prospects • The number of college- 12% educated Americans with financial aid jobs has increased 9.1% since the beginning of the 10% 9.1% Less than high recession.1 school diploma 8% • The unemployment rate for high school graduates aged 6.2% High school, no college 20 to 24 was 17.9% in 2012, 6% more than double the rate 5.4% saving & investing for young college graduates.2 4% Some college • A shortage of 5 million college-educated workers 2% 3.2% College or greater is projected by 2020.3 0% 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 appendix 1. S ource: New York Times, College Graduates Fare Well in Jobs Market, Even Through Recession, 5/3/2013. 2. S ource: TICAS/Project on Student Debt, Dec. 2013. 3. S ource: Georgetown University Center on Education and Workforce, June 2013. Based on current production rate. 4. S ource: J.P. Morgan Asset Management, Bureau of Labor Statistics, FactSet. Unemployment rates shown are for civilians aged 25 and older. Data are as of 9/30/14. 5 | INHERIT THE THINKING OF J.P. MORGAN
College matters Return on a college investment Even students who borrow for college can expect a significant long-term return on their investment. COLLEGE COSTS Estimated cumulative earnings minus student loan repayment Bachelor’s degree versus high school diploma $1,200,000 38% return on investment financial aid $1,000,000 In this scenario, a college diploma pays Cumulative net earnings for itself by age 36. The college graduate earns 38% more $800,000 over a lifetime than the high school graduate, even when factoring in loan 36 years old repayment of full tuition costs. saving & investing $600,000 Source: College Board, Education Pays 2013. Based on median 2011 earnings for individuals working full time year-round at each education level and each age. Includes only students who complete degrees; excludes bachelor's degree recipients who earn advanced $400,000 degrees. Assumes college graduates borrow $14,352 to cover total first-year tuition and fee charges for Bachelor’s Degree 2011–2012 (weighted average of $8,256 average public High School diploma four-year in-state and $27,883 private nonprofit four- year tuition and fees) for the first year and 5% more $200,000 each of the next three years. Tuition payments and earnings are discounted at 3%, compounded every year beyond age 18. appendix $0 18 22 26 30 34 38 42 46 50 54 58 62 64 AGE 6 | INHERIT THE THINKING OF J.P. MORGAN
College matters “Major” differences in salaries Choice of college major has a significant Average yearly starting salary impact on a graduate’s starting salary. by college major for the class of 2014 Engineering $62,719 COLLEGE COSTS Computer Science $61,741 salaries on the rise Business $53,901 •O n average, starting salaries for the class of 2014 are financial aid 6.6% higher than for the class of 2012. Health Sciences $51,541 • If salaries continue rising at this pace, the average child Communications $43,924 born today would earn roughly $91,700 in the first year after college. saving & investing Math and Sciences $43,414 Education $40,863 Humanities and $38,365 Social Sciences appendix All degrees $45,473 $0 $10,000 $20,000 $30,000 $40,000 $50,000 $60,000 Source: National Association of Colleges and Employers (NACE) survey, April 2014. 7 | INHERIT THE THINKING OF J.P. MORGAN
SECTION 2 College costs Two-thirds ofcolleges families have to rule out because of cost. 1 Saving for college starts with a plan. And a plan starts with a goal. It’s important to understand college costs COLLEGE COSTS so you know how much to save by enrollment time. 1. Source: Sallie Mae, How America Pays for College, 2014. Common myths and facts Myth: “ I know how expensive Myth: “I’m not concerned about college Myth: “ I’ll just make a few college is.” inflation. It has to slow down at compromises to help pay some point.” for college.” Fact: Many families underestimate just how much college costs Fact: T uition continues to rise at a Fact: on-savers often don’t realize N and how quickly prices rise. much faster rate than other the sacrifices needed to make Pages 9 and 10 expenses, so your savings need college affordable. to keep pace. Page 13 Page 11 College Planning Essentials: A comprehensive guide to saving and investing
College matters Rising college costs College savings need to grow at a healthy rate to match or exceed rapidly rising costs. Tuition, fees, room and board expenses COLLEGE COSTS $120,000 Projected $100,000 Annual Costs for 2032 $80,000 Private keeping pace Private $98,472 public Public • If prices increase 5% each $60,000 financial aid $44,260 year, the cost of college will more than double $40,000 by 2032. $20,000 saving & investing $0 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 TODAY TOMORROW Private Total Cost $40,917 Tuition and fees 74% Room and board 26% appendix Public Total Cost $18,391 Note: Average tuition and fees for the public sector reflect four- Tuition and fees 48% Room and board 52% year, in-state charges. Source: J.P. Morgan Asset Management using The College Board, 2013 Trends in College Pricing. Future college costs estimated to inflate 5% per year. 9 | INHERIT THE THINKING OF J.P. MORGAN
College matters Future four-year college costs The younger the child, the more college is likely to cost. Add up four years per child, and it equals one of a family’s largest expenses. Projected cost of a four-year college education Based on child’s current age COLLEGE COSTS $500,000 Private $450,000 Public $424,425 $400,000 $384,966 $350,000 $349,176 financial aid $316,713 $300,000 $287,268 $260,560 $250,000 $236,336 $214,364 $200,000 $194,434 $190,767 saving & investing $176,357 $173,031 $156,944 $150,000 $142,353 $129,118 $117,114 $106,226 $100,000 $87,392 $96,350 $79,268 $50,000 $0 appendix Age 18 Age 16 Age 14 Age 12 Age 10 Age 8 Age 6 Age 4 Age 2 Newborn Source: J.P. Morgan Asset Management, using The College Board, 2013 Trends in College Pricing. Future college costs estimated to inflate 5% per year. 10 | INHERIT THE THINKING OF J.P. MORGAN
College matters Tuition inflation College tuition costs have Tuition versus other expenses increased faster than any Cumulative percent price change since 1983 other household expense in recent decades. COLLEGE COSTS Apparel 25% Cars 44% why costs are rising Coffee 108% • Colleges are spending more financial aid to attract the best students. Housing 135% • Colleges are hiring more to reduce student-to-faculty ratios. Sweets 174% • Colleges are receiving less financial support from saving & investing cash-strapped states. Gas 192% Medical Care 330% Tuition 688% appendix 0% 100% 200% 300% 400% 500% 600% 700% Source: BLS, Consumer Price Index, J.P. Morgan Asset Management. Data represents cumulative percentage price change from 1983 through 2014. 11 | INHERIT THE THINKING OF J.P. MORGAN
College matters The real cost of college Net price is the “sticker price” (full cost) to attend a college, minus any grants and scholarships received. While most families don’t pay the full sticker price, actual costs vary considerably based on household income and the college’s financial aid policies. COLLEGE COSTS Public four-year institutions 1 AFFLUENT FAMILIES pay more ’03–’04 $9,400 Due to financial aid policies, ’05–’06 $10,370 higher-income families paid 36% ’07–’08 $10,850 more than lower-income families in 2013–14.1 financial aid ’09–’10 $10,800 ’11–’12 $12,000 ’13–’14 $12,620 –31.4% $18,390 $0 $10,000 $20,000 $30,000 $40,000 NET PRICE saving & investing On average, families paid 31% below Net price Sticker price sticker price at public colleges and 43% less at private colleges in 2013–14. High-income families LOW-income families Private nonprofit, four-year institutions 1 Income $>100,000+ Income
College matters How college costs affect behavior To better afford college, many families must choose less expensive schools or change their daily lifestyles. Elimination of colleges based on cost COLLEGE COSTS 2009 56% 2010 63% Off the list 2011 64% After reviewing their financial 2012 69% aid package, 67% of families 2013 67% ruled out some colleges based on cost, up from 56% in 2009. 2014 67% financial aid 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Actions taken to make college more affordable student actions parent actions Percentage of people taking each action saving & investing 66% 54% 48% 45% 28% 19% 19% appendix Student Student Student Parent Student Parent Student reduces lives at works reduces accelerates works changes spending home more spending education more major Source: Sallie Mae, How America Pays for College, 2013 and 2014. 13 | INHERIT THE THINKING OF J.P. MORGAN
SECTION 3 Financial aid Financial aid can help pay for college, but not all aid is free and not everyone qualifies. The more you More than 7 in 10 save now, the less you may have to borrow later. college seniors graduated with student loan debt in 2012.1 financial aid 1. Source: Project on Student Debt, The Institute for College Access & Success (TICAS), December 2013. Common myths and facts Myth: “ Financial aid is free money.” Myth: “ I don’t need to save Myth: “ Saving for college will hurt because my child will my chances for financial aid.” Fact: early 40% of federal aid N receive a scholarship.” comes in the form of loans Fact: S avings generally have that must be paid back Fact: nly 0.3% of college students O little impact on financial with interest. actually get a full ride. aid eligibility when the funds Page 15 Page 16 are held in parents’ names. Pages 17 and 18 College Planning Essentials: A comprehensive guide to saving and investing
College matters Financial aid overview Most college students require financial assistance of some kind, but 37% of all aid comes in the Undergraduate student aid by source and type form of loans that must be paid in billions, 2012–13 total aid in 2012–13 COLLEGE COSTS back with interest. Federal work study $0.9 (
College matters Financial aid reality check Many families expect more free money Grant reality 2013–14 from grants and scholarships than they are likely to receive. COLLEGE COSTS 43 % Percent of total costs covered by grants more applications, less aid 4-year 2-year Financial aid of total families received Private Public Public • Financial aid applicants include expectations 3 a grant, with an average 23% 26% 30% 85% of middle-income families amount of $6,6431 financial aid and 65% of high-income families. The more people applying, the less aid there is to go around.1 61% 61% of parents who are not yet Scholarship reality 2013–14 saving & investing saving for college expect scholarships or grants to cover 0.3% the costs. 44% of college students receive Percent of total costs covered by scholarships enough grants and scholarships to cover all costs.2 4-year 2-year of total families received a Private appendix Public Public scholarship, with an average 37% amount of $8,0251 24% 20% 1. S ource: Sallie Mae, How America Pays for College, 2014. 2. S ource: finaid.org. Based on full-time students at four-year colleges. 3. S ource: Sallie Mae, How America Saves for College, 2014 and The College Board, Trends in College Pricing, 2013. 16 | INHERIT THE THINKING OF J.P. MORGAN
College matters Federal financial aid eligibility The Department of Education processes the Free Application for Federal Student Aid (FAFSA) to determine the Expected Family Contribution (EFC). This is the amount parents and students are expected to pay directly from their income and savings. COLLEGE COSTS Federal aid TOTAL COLLEGE EXPECTED FAMILY Financial In 2013–14, 81% of families COSTS EACH YEAR CONTRIBUTION (EFC) Aid Eligibility with a college-bound child applied for federal aid.1 financial aid how efc is PARENTS STUDENTS TOTAL EFC calculated 2 A family’s current Income Assets Income Assets annual income, including the student’s, counts far Up to Colleges use the EFC to calculate the total cost of more in the formula than savings and investments, 22%–47% + 5.64% 50% + 20% attendance — tuition, fees and of adjusted gross of non-retirement of income of all assets in other expenses — which then especially when they’re saving & investing income above assets above above protected bank accounts, determines how much financial held in the parents’ names. the protected protected amount, amount of $6,260 CDs, UGMAs/ amount3 including 529 plans, UTMAs and any aid is available to a student. investments and other savings savings 0% of income and assets considered in federal financial aid formulas. GRANDPARENTS/ However, withdrawals for college by grandparents or others may be OTHERS considered student income and must be reported on the following appendix year’s financial aid forms. Such income can reduce the amount of aid by 50%. 1. Source: Sallie Mae, How America Pays for College 2014. 2. Based on federal methodology for 2014–15 school year. 3. Protected amount for parents is dependent upon a number of factors, including household size and number of students in college. 17 | INHERIT THE THINKING OF J.P. MORGAN
College matters The effect of savings on financial aid Savings actually count far less than current income when calculating your Expected Family Contribution (EFC) for federal financial aid purposes. COLLEGE COSTS Big difference in college savings, little difference in financial aid Federal financial aid for two families earning the same income and sending a 529 plan advantage child to the same college costing $30,000 per year 1 • When a 529 account is owned by parents, it has $30,000 financial aid EXPECTED FAMILY CONTRIBUTION much less impact on federal $11,848 $13,771 FEDERAL FINANCIAL AID financial aid eligibility than custodial accounts. $20,000 The Smiths have $75,000 5+95T $18,152 more in savings but $16,229 get just $1,923 less in saving & investing Maximum parental savings financial aid. 5.64% considered in federal financial aid formulas. $10,000 $0 Smiths Wilsons $75,000 saved in No savings appendix 529 plan 1. S ource: J.P. Morgan Asset Management and finaid.org. Assumes both families earn $100,000 annually and 529 plan is owned by the parents. Does not include non-federal financial aid opportunities such as scholarships. 18 | INHERIT THE THINKING OF J.P. MORGAN
College matters Student loan landscape Student loan debt has soared in recent years, putting an increased financial burden on college graduates and their parents. COLLEGE COSTS Issuance of federal and private loans Selected years, 2012 dollars in billions1 $0 $10 $20 $30 $40 $50 $60 $70 $80 $90 $100 $110 2005–06 t$87.6 financial aid 2007–08 t$99.7 2009–10 t$113.9 2011–12 t$113.4 In 2012, 71% of college seniors graduated 2012–13 t$110.4 with student loan debt saving & investing averaging $29,400.2 Subsidized Unsubsidized Parents PLUS Perkins Grad PLUS Private Stafford Loans Stafford Loans For parents only. For students with For graduate Education Loans* For undergraduate For undergraduate high need at some students only. Offered by private students with and graduate institutions. lenders, they can documented financial students regardless either supplement need. The government of financial need. The or replace federally pays interest while the government does not guaranteed loans. appendix student is in college. pay interest while the student is in college. *Note: Private education includes loans to students 1. S ource: The College Board, 2013 Trends in Student Aid. from states and from institutions, in addition to private loans by banks, credit unions and Sallie Mae. 2. Project on Student Debt, The Institute for College Access & Success (TICAS), December 2013. 19 | INHERIT THE THINKING OF J.P. MORGAN
College matters Private loans With college costs rising faster than the availability of federal aid, many families are choosing to fill the growing gap with private loans. Private student loans Outstanding loans (in billions)1 COLLEGE COSTS 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 Private loans at a glance • Americans currently owe more than $165 billion in outstanding private student loan debt.2 financial aid • Outstanding private loan debt has nearly tripled since 2005. • Private student loans tend to have higher interest rates and less $55.9 $101.1 $133.0 $140.2 $165.0 flexible repayment options than federal loans. saving & investing Private loan defaults as of 2012 $8 billion 850,000 appendix in defaulted private loans distinct loans in default 1. S ource: Private Student Loan Report 2012, Consumer Finance Protection Bureau. 2. S ource: Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, Mid-year snapshot of private student loans complaints, July 2013. 20 | INHERIT THE THINKING OF J.P. MORGAN
College matters The burden of debt The debt impact Percent of student borrowers who said loans had this effect 5 Families that don’t save enough for college often have no other choice than to borrow. Today, a record four in ten households owe student loan debt.1 COLLEGE COSTS 27% 75% 29% 43% Harder to buy Harder to Put off Delayed starting necessities buy a home marriage a family drowning in debt • Student loan debt more than quadrupled to $1.1 trillion between 2004 and 2014.2 Debt balances financial aid by type of consumer loan 2 • The average student borrower owes over $29,000 in loans.3 $1.2 trillion Student loan • Student loan defaults are at a Credit card In 2010, student loan debt 20-year high, affecting over Auto loan surpassed credit card debt 7 million borrowers.4 home-equity loan for the first time in history. $1.0 trillion saving & investing $0.8 trillion 1. S ource: PEW Research Center. October 2013 Survey. Households headed by a person younger than 40. $0.6 trillion 2. S ource: New York Federal Reserve, Household Debt and appendix Credit Report, 2Q 2014. 3. S ource: The Institute for College Access and Success (TICAS), Student Debt and The Class of 2012, December 2013. 4. S ource: U.S. Department of Education, September 2013. $0.4 trillion 5. Source: American Student Assistance, Life Delayed: ’04 ’05 ’06 ’07 ’08 ’09 ’10 ’11 ’12 ’13 ’14 The Impact of Student Debt on the Daily Lives of Young Americans, 2013. 21 | INHERIT THE THINKING OF J.P. MORGAN
SECTION 4 Saving and investing Only 29% of families saving for college invest in 529 plans.1 Choosing the right savings plan and following time-tested investment strategies can help you reduce taxes, increase growth potential and accumulate more for college. 1. Source: Sallie Mae, How America Saves for College, 2014. Common myths and facts saving & investing Myth: “ All college savings plans Myth: “I’ll just take out a loan Myth: “It’s too early to start saving are the same.” if I don’t save enough.” for college.” Fact: College savings plans Fact: It costs more to borrow Fact: S tarting early and differ in a variety of ways, and pay interest than to saving regularly helps including investments, tax invest and earn interest. you maximize the power benefits and flexibility. Page 25 of compounding. Pages 24 and 30 Page 28 College Planning Essentials: A comprehensive guide to saving and investing
College matters Current saving and investing trends Half of U.S. families aren’t saving for college. The other half often choose vehicles that don’t maximize their growth potential, such as CDs, taxable investments or accounts intended for retirement. COLLEGE COSTS Percentage of families using: Ugma/Utma 10% On average, those parents with a 529 plan save 68% more than those simply using a savings account. Trust Fund 11% financial aid Coverdell Education Savings Accounts 13% Prepaid or Guaranteed State College Savings Program 14% CDs 16% saving & investing Retirement Savings Accounts 18% families using a families using 529 plan a traditional Investments 20% savings account Checking Account 24% Families don’t fully maximize growth potential 529 College Savings Plan 29% More parents—45%—save for college appendix with low-yielding savings accounts than General Savings Accounts 45% any other method. 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% Source: Sallie Mae, How America Saves for College, 2014. 23 | INHERIT THE THINKING OF J.P. MORGAN
College matters Comparing college savings vehicles Understanding the different tax benefits and features of college savings vehicles can help you choose the right one for your needs. COLLEGE COSTS 529 college savings plan Custodial account (UGMA/UTMA) Coverdell Education Savings Account financial aid • Tax-free investing and withdrawals for • Funds must be used for the child’s • Tax-free investing and withdrawals any qualified higher education expense* benefit, not necessarily for college for any level of education* • Account owner control for • Portion of investment earnings taxed at • Income limits on contributors the life of the account child’s and parents’ rates • Age limits on beneficiaries • No income limits on contributors • Child assumes control at age of majority, • Maximum contribution of $2,000 usually 18 or 21 saving & investing • High contribution maximums annually per beneficiary • Low impact on financial aid eligibility • High impact on financial aid eligibility • Low impact on financial aid eligibility 27+73+U 29% of parents own 529 plans 5+95+U 10% of parents own UGMA/ UTMA accounts 7+93+U 13% of parents own Coverdell accounts appendix *Earnings on non-qualified withdrawals may be subject to federal income tax and a 10% federal penalty tax, as well as state and local income taxes. Source: Sallie Mae, How America Saves for College, 2014. 24 | INHERIT THE THINKING OF J.P. MORGAN
College matters Investing versus borrowing It costs less to invest now than to College savings plan versus student loan Initial investment of $1,000 plus borrow later. When you borrow for monthly investment of $3002 college, you pay interest. When you invest, you earn interest and other $200,000 COLLEGE COSTS forms of investment returns. $167,553 Investment growth $150,000 Out-of-pocket cost $119,143 it takes a plan $100,000 $101,753 out-of-pocket difference • Without a plan, families run $65,800 with 529 plan $50,000 the risk of not saving enough financial aid and borrowing too much. Yet 43% of high-income families $0 and 61% of middle-income College savings plan College loan: families don’t have a plan to over 18 years principal and interest pay for college.1 1. Source: Sallie Mae, How America Pays for College, 2014. saving & investing 2. S ource: J.P. Morgan Asset Management. The investing illustration assumes an initial lump sum investment of $1,000, subsequent monthly investments of $300 A burden for thereafter for 18 years, and assumes an annual investment Average loan debt at graduation everyone return of 6% and federal tax rate of 28%. Investment losses could affect the relative tax-deferred investment for parents 3 advantage. Each investor should consider his or her The average parental current and anticipated investment horizon and income debt load has more than tax bracket when making an investment decision, as the 1993 $7,500 doubled in a decade to illustration may not reflect these factors. The borrowing illustration assumes an interest rate of 7.21% and a $33,800 in 2012, while payback period of 10 years. This hypothetical illustration 2003 $15,000 the average debt faced by is not indicative of any specific investment and does not students was more than appendix reflect the impact of fees or expenses. 2012 $33,800 The chart is shown for illustrative purposes only. Past $29,000 in 2012.4 performance is no guarantee of future results. 3. S ource: The Wall Street Journal, Parent Trap: What to $0 $10,000 $20,000 $30,000 $40,000 Know Before Taking a College Loan, FinAid.org analysis of Department of Education data, March 24, 2013. 4. S ource: The Institute for College Access and Success (TICAS), December 2013. 25 | INHERIT THE THINKING OF J.P. MORGAN
College matters Investing for long-term growth Starting a college savings plan early allows more time to hold investments with higher return potential. COLLEGE COSTS Growth of one dollar December 1978 to December 2013 $100 s&P 500 Stocks outpace college tuition and fees tuition inflation t$52.23 U.S. 30-day treasury bills While short-term investments financial aid consumer price index grew more slowly than tuition costs, stocks delivered high returns to help beat college inflation and achieve savings goals. t$12.05 $10 saving & investing t$5.50 t$3.45 Source: J.P. Morgan Asset Management. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Hypothetical value of $1 invested at the beginning of 1979. Assumes reinvestment of income and no transaction costs or taxes. This is for illustrative purposes only and not appendix indicative of any investment. An investment cannot be made directly in an index. $1 DEC ’78 DEC ’83 DEC ’88 DEC ’93 DEC ’98 DEC ’03 DEC ’08 DEC ’13 26 | INHERIT THE THINKING OF J.P. MORGAN
College matters Performance pays Even small increases in investment Investment growth over 18 years returns can make a big difference when Calculations assume an initial investment of $100,000 at birth it comes time to pay for college. $450,000 COLLEGE COSTS 8% annual return 7.75% annual return $400,000 t$399,602 7.5% Annual return 7.25% annual return $350,000 7% annual return t$337,993 Seeking higher returns $300,000 • Be an investor, not just a saver in low-yielding bank financial aid $250,000 accounts. • Stay invested for the $200,000 Difference of long haul to avoid the risk $61,609 of being out of markets $150,000 during upswings. • Reduce taxes to keep more saving & investing $100,000 of what you earn. 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 Slightly higher returns can pay for a full year of college1 7% 7.25% 7.5% 7.75% 8.0% 1. S ource: J.P. Morgan Asset Management using The College Board 2013 Trends in College Pricing. This hypothetical $337,993 +$14,501 +$29,587 +$45,282 +$61,609 assumes an investment of $100,000 over an 18-year period. Initial Investment covers a year of covers a full covers a full covers a full appendix Different assumptions will result in outcomes different from this example. Investment losses could affect the relative tax- of $100,000 tuition at a year's cost at year's cost at year's cost at deferred investing advantage. This hypothetical illustration Public College Public College Private College Ivy League College is not indicative of any specific investment and does not (in-state) (out-of-state) reflect the impact of fees or expenses. Such costs would lower performance. Each investor should consider his or her current and anticipated investment horizon and income tax bracket when making an investment decision. 27 | INHERIT THE THINKING OF J.P. MORGAN
College matters The benefits of compounding The sooner you start saving, the more time you may have to grow your college fund through the power of long-term compounding. Even small contributions add up over time. COLLEGE COSTS Start early, small savings add up Total amounts accumulated over 6, 12 and 18 years1 Start early, accumulate more $200,000 $100 monthly contributions $185,434 $250 monthly contributions $500 monthly contributions financial aid If you start saving $500 per month $150,000 when a child is born, you'll earn $84,214 more $101,220 $92,717 than if you start at age six. $100,000 saving & investing $50,610 $41,852 $37,087 $50,000 $20,244 $20,926 $8,370 1. S ource: J.P. Morgan Asset Management. This hypothetical example illustrates the future values of different regular monthly investments for different time periods. Chart also assumes an annual investment return of 6% and a federal tax rate of appendix 28%. Investment losses could affect the relative tax-deferred investing advantage. This hypothetical illustration is not indicative of any specific investment and does $0 not reflect the impact of fees or expenses. Such costs would lower performance. Total Total Total Each investor should consider his or her current and anticipated investment horizon accumulation accumulation accumulation and income tax bracket when making an investment decision, as the illustration may in 6 years in 12 years in 18 years not reflect these factors. A plan of regular investment cannot assure a profit or protect against a loss in a declining market. The chart is shown for illustrative purposes only. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. 28 | INHERIT THE THINKING OF J.P. MORGAN
College matters Invest more, pay less Some savings vehicles, such as 529 plans, allow large contributions that can help you pay for much of college from your investment earnings instead of your pocket. COLLEGE COSTS Investing versus paying out of pocket Amounts needed to fund four years of private college in 12 years $0 $100,000 $200,000 $300,000 financial aid Lump-sum Save 51% $154,437 on out-of-pocket costs investment Annual Save 32% $217,019 on out-of-pocket costs investments saving & investing Out-of-pocket payment $316,713 Average private college cost Investment growth Out-of-pocket cost $316,713 appendix Source: College Board, 2013 Trends in College Pricing. Based on tuition, fees and room/board costs for 2013–2014 school year. Costs estimated to inflate 5% per year. This example is hypothetical and assumes a 6% annual rate of return and an annual lump sum contribution of $18,085 over a 12-year period. This example does not represent the performance of any particular investment. Different assumptions will result in outcomes different from this example. Your results may be more or less than the figures shown. Investment losses could affect the relative tax-deferred investing advantage. Each investor should consider his or her current and anticipated investment horizon and income tax bracket when making an investment decision, as the illustration may not reflect these factors. These figures do not reflect any management fees or expenses that would be paid by a 529 plan participant. Such costs would lower performance. 29 | INHERIT THE THINKING OF J.P. MORGAN
College matters Tax-efficient investing A tax-advantaged account, such as a 529 plan, has the potential to grow faster for college than a taxable investment earning the exact same returns. COLLEGE COSTS Lower taxes equal a larger college fund Investment growth over 18 years1 State tax benefits • Many 529 plans offer state tax $0 $30,000 $60,000 $90,000 $120,000 benefits in addition to federal financial aid tax-free investing.2 See the Appendix on page 47 for more information. Taxable account $103,666 Tax-free $15,477 more $119,143 529 plan saving & investing with a tax-free 529 plan 1. S ource: J.P. Morgan Asset Management. Illustration assumes an initial $1,000 investment and monthly investments of $300 for 18 years. Chart also assumes an annual investment return of 6% and a federal tax rate of 28%. Investment losses could affect the relative tax-deferred investing advantage. This hypothetical illustration is not indicative of any specific investment and does not reflect the impact of fees or expenses. Each investor should consider his or her current and anticipated investment horizon and income tax appendix bracket when making an investment decision, as the illustration may not reflect these factors. These figures do not reflect any management fees or expenses that would be paid by a 529 plan participant. Such costs would lower performance. The chart is shown for illustrative purposes only. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. 2. E arnings on non-qualified withdrawals may be subject to federal income tax and a 10% federal penalty tax, as well as state and local income taxes. 30 | INHERIT THE THINKING OF J.P. MORGAN
College matters Making college savings a family affair Getting family, friends and students involved in college savings can increase the size of your account and reduce More contributors equal a larger college fund your share of the expenses. Investment growth over 18 years2 COLLEGE COSTS Don’t go it alone Total $294,604 Parents expect only 5% of college $36,906 Family and friends costs to be paid with contributions $1,000 annually from grandparents, friends and family.1 Grandparents $72,264 $2,500 annually financial aid 5% talk to children • Nearly half (47%) of college savers have discussed education costs with children, compared to just 28% of non-savers.1 saving & investing Parents $185,434 $6,000 annually 1. S ource: Sallie Mae, How America Saves for College, 2014. 2. S ource: J.P. Morgan Asset Management. This hypothetical example illustrates the future values of appendix regular monthly investments by the account owner and annual investment by other contributors over an 18-year period. Investment losses could affect the relative tax-deferred investing advantage. This hypothetical illustration is not indicative of any specific investment and does not reflect the impact of fees or expenses. Such costs would lower performance. Each investor should consider his or her current and anticipated investment horizon and income tax bracket when making an investment decision, as the illustration may not reflect these factors. A plan of regular investment cannot assure a profit or protect against a loss in a declining market. The chart is shown for illustrative purposes only. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. 31 | INHERIT THE THINKING OF J.P. MORGAN
College matters Asset allocation provided a smoother ride A diversified portfolio of many different asset classes fluctuated less than any one on its own. Asset class performance Ranked in order of annual returns, 2004–13 COLLEGE COSTS e ed iv iz at al ul 04 09 06 08 nu 05 07 13 10 12 11 m 20 An 20 20 Cu 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 REITs MSCI REITs MSCI Barclays MSCI REITs REITs REITs Russell MSCI MSCI EME EME Agg EME 2000 EME EME 31.6% 34.5% 35.1% 39.8% 5.2% 79.0% 27.9% 8.3% 19.7% 38.8% 197.7% 11.5% MSCI DJ UBS MSCI DJ UBS Cash MSCI Russell Barclays MSCI S&P Russell Russell EME Cmdty EME Cmdty EAFE 2000 Agg EME 500 2000 2000 26.0% 21.4% 32.6% 16.2% 1.8% 32.5% 26.9% 7.8% 18.6% 32.4% 138.3% 9.1% financial aid MSCI MSCI MSCI MSCI Market REITs MSCI Market MSCI MSCI REITs REITs EAFE EAFE EAFE EAFE Neutral EME Neutral EAFE EAFE 20.7% 14.0% 26.9% 11.6% 1.1% 28.0% 19.2% 4.5% 17.9% 23.3% 128.5% 8.6% Source: Russell, MSCI, Dow Jones, Standard & Russell REITs Russell Market Asset Russell DJ UBS S&P Russell Asset S&P S&P Poor’s, Credit Suisse, Barclays Capital, NAREIT, 2000 2000 Neutral Alloc. 2000 Cmdty 500 2000 Alloc. 500 500 FactSet, J.P. Morgan Asset Management. 18.3% 12.2% 18.4% 9.3% –24.0% 27.2% 16.8% 2.1% 16.3% 14.9% 104.3% 7.4% The “Asset Allocation” portfolio assumes the Asset Asset S&P Asset Russell S&P S&P Cash S&P Market MSCI MSCI following weights: 25% in the S&P 500, 10% Alloc. Alloc. 500 Alloc. 2000 500 500 500 Neutral EAFE EAFE in the Russell 2000, 15% in the MSCI EAFE, 5% 12.5% 8.3% 15.8% 7.4% –33.8% 26.5% 15.1% 0.1% 16.0% 7.9% 104.1% 7.4% saving & investing in the MSCI EMI, 25% in the Barclays Capital Aggregate, 5% in the Barclays 1-3m Treasury, S&P Market Asset Barclays DJ UBS Asset Asset Asset Asset REITs Asset Asset 5% in the CS/Tremont Equity Market Neutral 500 Neutral Alloc. Agg Cmdty Alloc. Alloc. Alloc. Alloc. Alloc. Alloc. Index, 5% in the DJ UBS Commodity Index and 10.9% 6.1% 15.2% 7.0% –35.6% 22.2% 12.5% –0.6% 11.3% 2.9% 100.1% 7.2% 5% in the NAREIT Equity REIT Index. Balanced DJ UBS S&P Market S&P S&P DJ UBS MSCI Russell Barclays Cash Market Market portfolio assumes annual rebalancing. All Cmdty 500 Neutral 500 500 Cmdty EAFE 2000 Agg Neutral Neutral data represents total return for stated period. 9.1% 4.9% 11.2% 5.5% –37.0% 18.9% 8.2% –4.2% 4.2% 0.0% 62.7% 5.0% Past performance is not indicative of future returns. Asset allocation does not guarantee Market Russell Cash Cash REITs Barclays Barclays MSCI Market Barclays Barclays Barclays investment returns and does not eliminate the Neutral 2000 Agg Agg EAFE Neutral Agg Agg Agg risk of loss. Data are as of 12/31/13, except for 6.5% 4.6% 4.8% 4.8% –37.7% 5.9% 6.5% –11.7% 0.9% –2.0% 56.0% 4.5% the CS/Tremont Equity Market Neutral Index, which reflects data through 11/30/13. “10-yrs” Barclays Cash Barclays Russell MSCI Market Cash DJ UBS Cash MSCI Cash Cash returns represent period of 1/1/04–12/31/13 Agg Agg 2000 EAFE Neutral Cmdty EME appendix showing both cumulative (Cum.) and 4.3% 3.0% 4.3% –1.6% –43.1% 4.1% 0.1% –13.3% 0.1% –2.3% 17.1% 1.6% annualized (Ann.) over the period. Cash Barclays DJ UBS REITs MSCI Cash Market MSCI DJ UBS DJ UBS DJ UBS DJ UBS Please see disclosure page at end for index Agg Cmdty EME Neutral EME Cmdty Cmdty Cmdty Cmdty definitions. 1.2% 2.4% 2.1% –15.7% -53.2% 0.1% –0.8% –18.2% –1.1% –9.5% 9.0% 0.9% *Market Neutral returns include estimates found in disclosures. 32 | INHERIT THE THINKING OF J.P. MORGAN
College matters Staying diversified over 18 years Compare the best, worst and average annual returns for different investments over a rolling 18-year period. 18-Year Rolling Returns Annual Returns, 1978–2013 COLLEGE COSTS 20% Highest Return WHY DIVERSIFY? 18% Average Stocks Lowest • A balanced portfolio 17.4% return delivered higher returns 16% 50-50 than bonds with lower Portfolio volatility than stocks. 14% 14.8% financial aid • Even in its worst 18-year period, the balanced Bonds 12.0% portfolio outperformed 12% 12.2% 11.1% average tuition inflation. • Even in its best 18-year 10% 9.4% period, short-term cash underperformed average 8.0% saving & investing 8% tuition inflation. 7.2% 6.9% Cash 7.1% Increase in 6% 6.7% college tuition 4.1% 4% 2% 1.6% appendix 0% Source: Barclays Capital, FactSet, Robert Shiller, Strategas/Ibbotson, Federal Reserve, BLS, J.P. Morgan Asset Management. Rolling returns shown are based on calendar year returns from 1978 to 2013. Data are as of 3/31/14. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Diversification does not guarantee investment returns and does not eliminate the risk of loss. 33 | INHERIT THE THINKING OF J.P. MORGAN
College matters The power of diversification A more diversified portfolio has historically provided higher returns with lower risk. Portfolio risks and returns COLLEGE COSTS 1999-2013 Traditional portfolio More diversified portfolio 4% 8% 26% 30% 8% Barclays Agg. financial aid S&P 500 MSCI EAFE S&P 500 8% Russell 2000 MSCI EAFE REIT Barclays Agg. 55% Commodities Equity Mkt. Neutral 9% saving & investing MSCI EM 22% 15% 13% Return Return 5.23% 6.85% Standard Deviation Standard Deviation 10.88% 10.28% appendix Source: J.P. Morgan Asset Management. Indexes and weights of the traditional portfolio are as follows: U.S. stocks: 55% S&P 500, U.S. bonds: 30% Barclays Capital Aggregate, International stocks: 15% MSCI EAFE. Portfolio with 25% in alternatives is as follows: U.S. stocks: 22.2% S&P 500, 8.8% Russell 2000; International Stocks: 4.4% MSCI EM, 13.2% MSCI EAFE; U.S. Bonds: 26.5% Barclays Capital Aggregate; Alternatives: 8.3% CS/Tremont Equity Market Neutral, 8.3% DJ/UBS Commodities, 8.3% NAREIT Equity REIT Index. Return and standard deviation calculated using Morningstar Direct. Charts are shown for illustrative purposes only. Past returns are no guarantee of future results. Diversification does not guarantee investment returns and does not eliminate risk of loss. Data as of December 31, 2013. 34 | INHERIT THE THINKING OF J.P. MORGAN
College matters Good intentions, unexpected consequences Saving for college is one of a family’s top financial priorities, but common mistakes can keep them from achieving goals. COLLEGE COSTS Why save for college1 Strongly agree Somewhat agree 89% 56% of parents are not An investment in confident about meeting financial aid 60% 29% college costs.1 child’s future 83% Child will earn 51% 32% more money saving & investing 80% Part of the 47% 33% Possible reasons why: American dream • Not having a plan • Overestimating financial aid 77% • Investing too conservatively •U nderestimating college costs College degree is • Starting too late • Not getting others involved 51% 26% more important now •U sing taxable or retirement appendix accounts 1. S ource: Sallie Mae, How America Saves for College, 2014. 35 | INHERIT THE THINKING OF J.P. MORGAN
College matters College planning checklist Set a goal Get started COLLEGE COSTS What type of college should we consider? Open an account and select investments What costs should I expect? Set up a schedule of monthly contributions What is my family’s financial outlook? How much of total costs do I want to pay? financial aid What can I afford to save? What does my financial advisor recommend? saving & investing Create your plan Review and adjust Compare and choose college savings options Review plan annually Understand my risk tolerance Make adjustments based on life changes appendix 36 | INHERIT THE THINKING OF J.P. MORGAN
SECTION 5 Appendix Financial Aid Resources Parents and others can learn more about obtaining financial aid for college through the following websites: fafsa.ed.gov How to apply for federal financial aid finaid.org Guide to grants, scholarships, loans and other aid irs.gov Guide to federal income tax benefits for education IRS Publication 970, Tax Benefits for Education ed.gov/finaid.html Options from U.S. Department of Education collegeconfidential.com Resources to help pay for college collegesavings.org Information about 529 plans savingforcollege.com Comprehensive guide to college funding appendix iefa.org Aid for students studying in a foreign country College Planning Essentials: A comprehensive guide to saving and investing
College matters Sources of financial aid TYPES OF FINANCIAL AID DETAILS Grants and scholarships In addition to aid from the U.S. U.S. federal COLLEGE COSTS Loans Department of Education, scholarships government Work study and loan repayment may be available to qualified students through additional Allows qualified students to earn government entities. money for college expenses TYPES OF FINANCIAL AID Grants and scholarships are free Grants and scholarships gifts that generally don’t have to Example: New York offers a Math and Science May be available even if families Teaching Incentive Scholarship to eligible be repaid. Grants are typically States aren’t eligible for federal aid students in approved programs that lead to need-based while scholarships financial aid math or science teaching careers. are merit-based. Loans must be paid back with interest. Aid may be available for attending Grants and scholarships a particular college and/or studying Colleges specific majors. saving & investing Possible sources include charitable foundations, religious and community Non-profit or private Grants and scholarships organizations, local businesses, ethnicity- based organizations, students’ and parents’ organizations employers, and civic groups and professional associations related to a field of study. appendix Tend to have higher interest rates and Banks, credit unions Private loans less flexible repayment options than or other lenders federal loans. Source: www.studentaid.ed.gov (U.S. Department of Education). 38 | INHERIT THE THINKING OF J.P. MORGAN
College matters Financial aid: Types of applications There are over 250 institutions that require students to submit the CSS/Financial Aid PROFILE in addition to the FAFSA.1 The PROFILE is an online application that is administered by the College Scholarship Service, the financial aid division of the College Board. The PROFILE is used to determine students’ eligibility for need-based institutional scholarships, grants or loans and is a more detailed assessment of the student’s and parents’ income and assets when calculating EFC. COLLEGE COSTS CSS/Financial aid profile2 FAFSA financial aid Need-based institutional aid Need-based institutional aid College-specific application Standard, universal application Required by about 250 institutions in addition to the FAFSA Required by every institution saving & investing Majority of schools tend to be specialized, highly selective or private schools. Looks at assets and income at a high level and uses a standard EFC formula for every applicant. Considers a deeper level of income and assets when calculating EFC Applicants may be asked to report additional assets or income such as home equity, business income and assets under a sibling’s name. appendix 1. Source: College Board, Participating Institutions and Programs. 2. S ee financial aid office or net price calculator at your desired institution for more information about what is used to calculate awards. 39 | INHERIT THE THINKING OF J.P. MORGAN
College matters Financial aid methodologies These factors are considered when determining the Estimated Family Contribution through both the Federal Methodology for federal aid and Institutional Methodology for individual institutional aid.1 COLLEGE COSTS Federal Methodology - FAFSA Institutional Methodology - CSS/FINANCIAL AID PROFILE Income and Assets Allowances and Expenses Income and Assets Allowances and Expenses Nontaxable income (including social Number in household Nontaxable income (including social Number in household security, child support, and worker’s security, child support, and worker’s compensation and disability) compensation and disability) Number of family members enrolled in Number of family members enrolled financial aid college at least half-time in college at least half-time Interest and dividend income Interest and dividend income Federal income tax Federal income tax Cash and savings Tax credits and itemized deductions State tax State tax (including sales tax) Investment and other Cash and savings real estate net worth FICA tax FICA tax Investment and other saving & investing Business or farm net worth (only if real estate net worth more than 100 full-time employees) Employment expense Medical and dental expense Business or farm net worth Student trusts Income protection allowance Employment expense Home equity Annual education savings allowance Income protection allowance Parents’ assets held in siblings’ names Child support paid Annual education savings allowance Student trusts Private, elementary and secondary school tuition for siblings appendix Noncustodial parent information Child support paid 1. Source: College Board, FM and IM Differences. 40 | INHERIT THE THINKING OF J.P. MORGAN
College matters Federal student aid: A sample of grant programs 2014–2015 Award Year DETAILS ANNUAL AWARD LIMIT1 up to COLLEGE COSTS Federal Pell Grant Generally awarded to undergraduate students who are in financial need $5,730 Awarded to undergraduate students with exceptional financial need Federal Supplemental Federal Pell Grant recipients receive priority up to Educational Opportunity Not all colleges participate $4,000 Grant (FSEOG) Funds depend on availability at the college; apply by college’s deadline financial aid For undergraduate, post-baccalaureate or graduate students who are taking or will be taking coursework necessary to become elementary or secondary teachers Teacher Education Must attend a participating college and meet certain academic achievement requirements up to Assistance for College $4,000 and Higher Education Must agree to serve for a minimum of four years as a full-time teacher in a high-need field, serving low-income students (TEACH) Grant F ailure to complete the teaching service commitment results in grant funds being converted saving & investing to a Federal Direct Unsubsidized Stafford Loan that must be repaid Non-need based, this grant is available to any undergraduate student who is not eligible for Iraq and Afghanistan the Pell Grant and whose parent or guardian died as a result of performing military service in Iraq or Afghanistan after the events of 9/11 up to Service Grant $5,500 Must have been less than 24 years old or enrolled at least part-time at the time of the parent’s or guardian’s death appendix 1. A wards are subject to availability of funds, and recipients must meet certain eligibility requirements. This is for informational purposes only. 41 | INHERIT THE THINKING OF J.P. MORGAN
College matters Federal student aid: Loan programs LENDER ELIGIBILITY INTEREST RATE 1 ANNUAL LOAN LIMIT up to up to $5,500 $8,000 Federal Individual Undergraduate and (undergraduate) (graduate) 5% COLLEGE COSTS graduate students enrolled Perkins Loan college with financial need Loan amount based on financial need and availability of funds at college 4.66% Direct Subsidized U.S. Department Undergraduate students enrolled at least half-time and Student not charged $3,500–$5,500 Stafford Loans of Education demonstrating financial need interest while in school and during depending on year in school financial aid deferment periods 4.66% $5,500–$20,500 for undergraduates Direct Unsubsidized U.S. Department Undergraduate and graduate students enrolled 6.21% (minus any subsidized amount Stafford Loans of Education at least half-time for graduate students received for the same period), depending on year in school Student responsible for and dependency status saving & investing interest during all periods Direct PLUS Parents of dependent students enrolled at least half-time 7.21% U.S. Department Cost of attendance minus any of Education Parent responsible other financial aid received Loan for Parents Parent must not have negative for interest during credit history all periods 1. Interest rates apply to loans first Graduate or professional disbursed between July 1, 2014, Direct PLUS 7.21% appendix degree students enrolled and June 30, 2015. U.S. Department at least half-time2 Cost of attendance minus any 2. If students have not requested the Student responsible Loan for Graduate or of Education Student must not have for interest during other financial aid received annual maximum Unsubsidized Stafford Loan amount for which Professional Students negative credit history all periods they are eligible, the school must notify them of this eligibility and give them the opportunity to apply. 42 | INHERIT THE THINKING OF J.P. MORGAN
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