Coca-Cola Hellenic Field trip presentations - Dimitris Lois, CEO
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Forward-looking statements Unless otherwise indicated, the condensed consolidated financial statements and the financial and operating data or other information included herein relate to Coca-Cola HBC AG and its subsidiaries (‚Coca-Cola HBC‛ or the ‚Company‛ or ‚we‛ or the ‚Group‛). This document contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. These statements may generally, but not always, be identified by the use of words such as ‚believe‛, ‚outlook‛, ‚guidance‛, ‚intend‛, ‚expect‛, ‚anticipate‛, ‚plan‛, ‚target‛ and similar expressions to identify forward-looking statements. All statements other than statements of historical facts, including, among others, statements regarding our future financial position and results, our outlook for 2014 and future years, business strategy and the effects of the global economic slowdown, the impact of the sovereign debt crisis, currency volatility, our recent acquisitions, and restructuring initiatives on our business and financial condition, our future dealings with The Coca-Cola Company, budgets, projected levels of consumption and production, projected raw material and other costs, estimates of capital expenditure, free cash flow, effective tax rates and plans and objectives of management for future operations, are forward-looking statements. You should not place undue reliance on such forward-looking statements. By their nature, forward-looking statements involve risk and uncertainty because they reflect our current expectations and assumptions as to future events and circumstances that may not prove accurate. Our actual results and events could differ materially from those anticipated in the forward-looking statements for many reasons, including the risks described in the UK Annual Financial Report and the annual report on Form 20-F filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (File No 1-35891) for Coca-Cola HBC AG and its subsidiaries for the year ended 31 December 2013. Although we believe that, as of the date of this document, the expectations reflected in the forward-looking statements are reasonable, we cannot assure you that our future results, level of activity, performance or achievements will meet these expectations. Moreover, neither we, nor our directors, employees, advisors nor any other person assumes responsibility for the accuracy and completeness of the forward-looking statements. After the date of the condensed consolidated financial statements included in this document, unless we are required by law or the rules of the UK Financial Conduct Authority to update these forward-looking statements, we will not necessarily update any of these forward-looking statements to conform them either to actual results or to changes in our expectations.
Significant part of the Group Group Italy GDP per capita GDP per capita 12,800 US$ 31,100 US$ Population Population1 Share in 585m revenue 56m Plants Plants2 68 5 NARTD volume3 2,354m u.c. 1 Excludes Sicily 2 Three sparkling beverages plants and two water plants 3 Source: Canadean 4
Growing the top line 660 584 • Increasing sparkling 2013 Total sparkling category servings per capita beverages consumption within NARTD 321 353 280 288 298 • Growing value share in 166 204 209 219 water, tea and juice 93 134 142 47 • Working with customers to increase availability and United States Italy Mexico Romania Bulgaria Switzerland Nigeria Russia France Spain Europe average Great Britain Coca-Cola HBC Poland Ukraine value creation Per capita consumption: Average number of 237ml or 8oz servings consumed per person per year in a specific market. Coca-Cola Hellenic’s per capita consumption is calculated by multiplying our unit case volume by 24 and dividing by the population. Source: The Coca-Cola Company, 2013 data 5
Growing the bottom line • Business impacted by the Eurozone crisis – c.40% EBIT decline in the last four years • Significant restructuring of the manufacturing base – Consolidation of plants • Reduction in operating expenses – Taking out fixed operating expenses • Further opportunities in warehousing, logistics and route-to-market 6
Winning in the market • Combine demand creation and demand delivery – Brand investment – Joint initiatives with customers – Execution in the market • Strong leadership position in sparkling beverages – Room for further growth, particularly in flavours • Low share in still drinks – Grow value profitably and sustainably 8
Growing revenue ahead of volume • Occasion-based brand, price, package, channel (OBPPC) strategy – Growing single-serve multi-packs in the modern trade – Increasing presence in the immediate consumption channel – Making products relevant to the consumer – Addressing affordability 9
Taking cost out • Optimising infrastructure – Reducing the number of plants from five to three • Centralising IT and procurement • SAP Wave • Shared Services Centre • More to come – Outsourcing of warehousing – Phase 2 of deployment to Shared Services Centre 10
Generating cash • Sharp focus on working capital management • 40% of cash-flow from operations channeled into revenue-generating investment • Cold drink equipment • Modernising production 11
Five elements of strategy in Italy Sparkling is our top priority Driving profitable volume in still drinks OBPPC, Customers’ profitability, Execution Tight control Optimising Working capital of expenses infrastructure management 12
Agenda Dimitris Lois Italy in the context of the Group Jenny Stoichkova, Coca-Cola Italy Italy: Opportunity to grow Sotiris Yannopoulos and Enrico Galasso Capturing the opportunity in Italy Dimitris Lois Closing remarks Q&A 13
Italy: Opportunity to grow Evguenia Stoichkova Operations Director TCCC
Recovering confidence: Priority for Italy Germany UK France Spain Italy 92 99 88 90 95 87 87 88 87 87 87 86 92 84 90 90 79 79 77 77 75 75 72 73 71 67 69 61 61 61 61 61 60 58 59 56 55 56 54 53 57 50 52 52 51 55 48 48 52 53 46 47 47 44 45 49 44 41 45 46 41 39 Q1 2011 Q2 2011 Q3 2011 Q4 2011 Q1 2012 Q2 2012 Q3 2012 Q4 2012 Q1 2013 Q2 2013 Q3 2013 Q4 2013 Q1 2014 Source: Nielsen Consumer Confidence Research 15
Job security is the biggest concern Job security 30 11 The economy 13 12 Italy - Unemployment Rate (%) 12.4 12.1 Debt 9 7 Increasing utility bills 5 11 (electricity, gas, heating, etc) 10.7 Health 5 10 Biggest concern Childrens' education and/or welfare 6 8 8.4 8.5 Second biggest 7.8 Political stability 5 9 concern 7.7 Work/life balance 5 7 6.8 Increasing food prices 4 6 6.7 6.1 Crime 3 5 No concerns 2 Source: Nielsen Business Indicators; Nielsen Global Consumer Confidence 16
Consumption behaviour is deeply impacted by the crisis There are signs of recovery in 2013 – more savings & holidays – even though spending is still decreasing for many categories. In Italy crisis has changed purchase behaviours more than in other EU countries Compared to this time last year, have you changed your spending to save on household expenses? Nielsen Consumer Confidence 17
As well as shopping behaviour 63% (+4 pp vs ‘12) have a strict budget and buy only what they need 86% (=) prepare a shopping list before the trip 45% (+2 pp vs ‘12) usually purchase only what they planned Source: Nielsen shopper trends 18
Key Italy insights 1. In the last four years Italy has had the lowest consumer confidence index among the big western European countries Country 2. Job security is the biggest concern for Italians, as unemployment doubled since 2007 3. As a reaction to uncertainty, Italians modified consumption behavior more than other Europeans , down-trading (more discounters) and down-grading (more private label) 4. There are however signs of recovery: in 2013, a growing number of Italians are able to save money. These trends are expected to continue in the coming years. TCCC 1. Italy has the highest Coke Brand Love (5.6) in Europe 2. Number 2 in Europe in % of households buying Coke classic on an annual basis 3. Italy shows low % of people that reject / never tried the Sparkling category 4. Coke Regular is the most preferred NARTD brand for 50% of Italians NARTD: Non Alcoholic Ready To Drink Beverages 19
The Italian NARTD market landscape NARTD Volume (2,354m u.c.) Retail Value (14,891m €) 6 258 168 129 13 85 SSD Colas 164 SSD Colas 225 SSD Flavours 960 1753 2924 SSD Flavours Water Water RTD Teas 2022 RTD Teas Juices Juices 1732 Energy 6806 Energy Sport Sport Source: 2013 Internal estimates based on Canadean and Red Book – CCH territory only 20
We have a strong position in a small portion of the market Source: Internal estimates based on Canadean and Red Book ” CCH territory only 21
Capturing more value Source: Internal estimates based on Canadean and Red Book ” CCH territory only 22
New trends - Mindset HEALTH & BEAUTY INNOVATION & GREEN INTERNET “ 57% of Italians feel QUALITY “ 42% consider buying “ 38.9m had access to the green/low impact Internet in 2012 (+7.8%) overweight “ 56% do not withdraw products from quality and are “ +40% penetration of “ 46% are trying to lose willing to pay more for it “ 24% bought more green smartphones weight (fitness & diet) products than in the “ 39% love trying new past “ 26M consider brands and new products Internet as the main source of “ 26% are keen to pay a information premium for organic, 23% low-impact and “ 21M read opinions of other fair-trade products consumers about products and services Source: Nielsen shopper trends 23
Expected development of the Italian beverage landscape • Italy is the 2nd country worldwide in terms of ageing population; this will drive still beverages volume growth • In the short term, decreasing Disposable Income (index 88 in 2014 vs. 2008 ) will further impact high value NARTD categories • Growing health and wellness concerns will favour still beverages and especially infused RTD Tea which in Italy is perceived as one of the healthier drinks SSD ’14-’20 +8 servings per +20m u.c. capita vs today NARTD ’14-’20 +80m u.c. Still ’14-’20 Water ’14-’20 +60m u.c. +55m u.c. 24
How we plan to capture these opportunities Grow Sparkling per capita Gain share in Still Beverages (Italy per cap is 91 vs EU average of 141)1 (currently 4%) 1. Consumption with food @ home is #1 occasion (39% of total beverage consumption) and TCCC share is 7% 1. Become a significant player in water 2. Socialising out of home is #3 and improve the profitability occasion (13% of total beverage 2. Re-launch RTD Tea business to consumption) and TCCC share is 9% become a strong #3 player in 3. Category permissibility with volume and #2 in value shoppers is the entry point to 3. Create a dedicated business model improve incidence and frequency to drive volume and value in small 4. Leverage portfolio of brands to profitable categories and innovation maximise user base (adults aged 30- 49 are 31% of Italian population) 1 Consumption per capita per annum of TCCC sparkling soft drinks 25
Our success comes when we have LOVED FROM A TRUSTED IN A RELEVANT BRANDS COMPANY CATEGORY 26
Entrenched in Italian society Reasons to Believe Sharing the passion for football Own the summer: Crazy for Good Say it with Coke and a song Leverage our Flavours sparkling portfolio to gain new consumers Restart advertising behind Lilia 27
And the ‘At Home with Food’ occasion Family Couple Friends Point of Sale Activations Extrinsic POS Visuals Intrinsic POS Visuals POS: Point of sale 28
With dedicated programmes for Coke Zero & Light… Double-digit growth Targeting women through recruitment with fashion Coke Regular, Coke Zero & Coke Light Execution Coke TM Asset in-store activation 29
Ensuring Category Acceptance 4 Commitments of Coca-Cola with Italians SMALLER PACKS MORE CHOICE FOR EVERY WE ENCOURAGE THE PASSION IN FOR EVERYONE LIFESTYLE SPORT. SINCE ALWAYS. INFORMATION FRONT OF PACK and responsible communication policy 30
From a trusted company Participation in EXPO to support the Coca-Cola Cup promotes active healthy Refresh 2020 commitments lifestyle in Italian schools 2,806 schools 330,000 students Supporting local communities and the Commitment to the environment economy Package innovation Coca-Cola has an Decreasing our Italian Heart footprint yoy 31
Our enablers • Joint scorecard •Aligned System • Monthly review between country teams vision • Quarterly review with Regional Teams / BU • Increased marketing investment •Up to date and relevant marketing • TCCC: Demand Creation approach • CCH: Demand Delivery 32
Capturing the opportunity Sotiris Yannopoulos General Manager, Italy
Our reference point is our Strategic Framework 34
Based on that we have a clear Job Ticket for Italy Grow Per Capita & Share while defending profit 1 2 3 GET BACK TO GROWTH TAKE CHARGE WIN TOGETHER Create Demand with: Deliver Demand with: Increase Productivity with: • Permissibility • Best-In-Class Execution • Governance & Control • Relevance • Customer Service • Engaged Talent 35
Get back to growth
Get Back to Growth elements Drive per capita consumption and share of MyCoke Sparkling Beverages Grow market share in SSD premium flavours Revamp Water business profitably Still Beverages Claim our fair share position in RTD Tea 37
We have a strong market share position in SSDs +5.3pts CAGR ‘08-’13 CAGR ‘08-’13 38 Source: Internal estimates based on CANADEAN & Market Sizes
Growth drivers for SSDs •70% of beverages consumption is water (2nd highest in Europe) • Low SSDs per capita despite highest brand love • SSDs are more profitable than Water for retailers • 39% of beverages consumption is with meals - MyCoke share with meals is only 7% • Socialising Out of Home is the #3 occasion with 13% of consumption ” My Coke share in socialising is only 9% • Italian population is ageing • Adult Flavours (tonic, lemonades, bitter) are the only growing segments Source: TCCC syndicated researches 39
Creating Demand with focused initiatives REFRESH 2020 MEALS ASSET EXPLOITATION COCA-COLA CUP SOCIALISING Enabled with a focused and segmented OBPPC strategy OBPPC: Occasion-Brand-Pack-Price-Channel 40
Our OBPPC supports our strategy to increase consumption Meets all shopper needs Implementation and creates value The right pack, in the right zone Modern Trade: the right sizes & recommended INCIDENCE ZONE prices to meet all shopper needs and basket types 1. Dairy NEW +1 All prices are RECOMMENDED.Pricing decision are at sole discretion of the retailer zone Vs py 2. Water Section RSP €/lt 3. Check-out&cooler 1L 0.50L 4. Bakery Entry Pet 1L 1.25 € 1.25/lt FREQUENCY ZONE Pet 1.75L 1.89 € 1.08/lt 1. Cheese&Cold Cuts (Counter) 2. Ready Meals Frequency 3. Fruit & Vegetables Can 0.33x6 3.49 € 1.76/lt 4. Pasta 1.75L 6x0.33L UPSIZE ZONE Pet 1.5L x 2 3.19 € 1.06/lt 1. Promotional Main Hall Upsize 2. Promotional Area Pet 1.5L x 4 5.99 € 0.99/lt 2x1.5L 4x1.5L UPSCALE ZONE +1 Pet 0.5L x 4 3.65 € 1.82/lt 1. Cookies&Snacks zone Vs py 2. Juices for Minican Upscale 3. Check-out Can 0.15x12 4.99 € 2.77/lt 4. Spirits NEW 12x0.15L 4x0.5L 41
Delivering demand in Modern Trade flawlessly • Extra Displays: right packs in • Permanent COMBO deals • Coke Regular, Zero & Light in- the right zones store activation Modern Trade key pillars • Co-marketing with food •Claims & POS materials • Big & impactful Extra Displays • Quarterly Household Penetration, focus Female 30+ KBIs • Basket Incidence, focus Small Baskets • Total Volume on Extra-Display 42
As well as in Fragmented Trade • 3-pack strategy activation • Permanent ‚meal‛ solutions • Dedicated Artwork (quick stop, meals, on the go) Fragmented Trade key pillars • Coolers Visibility & Quality • Glass bottle conversion & distribution •Dedicated point of sale materials (Menu boards, etc) • Coke incidence with meals KBIs • 3-packs & Glass distribution • Coke incidence in Socializing occasion 43
Leveraging our portfolio to excite teens New Teens advertising Back to advertising campaign support NBA asset exploitation Local asset exploitation 44
Leveraging our portfolio to win with adults Brand relevance with Kinley Capitalise Fanta Lemon success Population is ageing Doubled volume in 2013 consumer Association s worldwide (35 countries) ‘Product of the year’ is a consumer award issued every year by • • • Launch of Kinley in 2013 • +6 share points in Lemonades • Opportunity to more than triple the • +0.2 share points in SSDs business in five years • Won ‘Product of the Year’ Award • Advertising support 45
Playing to win market share with Flavours • Dedicated Assets exploitation • NBA Asset exploitation in store • Glass exploitation in Extra Displays Demand Delivery key pillars • Extra Displays with Fanta • Availability and Visibility • ‘Rainbow’ ED with MyCoke • Share on Extra-Display KBIs • Users base • Volume Share 46
Working with our retailers • Lower cost of doing business • Higher EBITDA for the point of sale Driven by Premiumness Higher sales rate Value added services 1400€ Margin/pos +1000€ +900€ +600€ +500€ vs. leading vs. vs. leading vs. crisps candies chocolate crisps Source: DPP Carrefour, BAIN 2013; Internal estimate based on ad-hoc test 47
Moving into Water CAGR CAGR ‘08-’13 ‘08-’13 Source: Internal estimates based on CANADEAN & Market Sizes 48
Addressing brand equity, availability and sustainability in Water to build and sustain brand equity to drive distribution with customers to drive product sustainability Source: TCCC syndicated researches 49
Building a national brand with Lilia NEW POSITIONING CONTINUOUS MEDIA SUPPORT PACK INNOVATION ‘Lilia, a simple choice that 3.5m € / year - Highest ever Plant Bottle, up to 30% from matters’ Share of Voice plants 6th biggest investor in the Water category LILIA A SIMPLE CHOICE THAT MATTERS 50
Recovering profit with value and cost efficiency, while improving execution • Increased availability • Command better value: • Light Weighting (Best in Class) (Distribution in Modern Trade Retail sales price index from 34% to 65%) from 72 to 90 vs. average - Short neck finish Demand Delivery key pillars • Highest ever number of points of sale activated - New Squared Bottle 1.5l • Focus on single-serve and HoReCa (0.5 liter in HoReCa is the most profitable water SKU) • Zero touch logistics • Distribution in Modern Trade KBIs • Number of points of sale activated • Single-serve availability in Fragmented Trade 51
Ample room for market share gains in RTD Tea Our Vol. Share (RTD Tea) -6.9pts 12.7% 5.8% 2003 2013 RTD Tea Volume Sales (MUC) CAGR RTD Tea Retail Value Sales (M€) CAGR ‘08-’13 1500 ’08-’13 1228 90 92 85 1067 90 960 1000 60 500 30 - 0 2003 2008 2013 2003 2008 2013 52 Source: Internal estimates based on CANADEAN & Market Sizes
Driving growth in RTD Tea with relevant taste, brand equity and availability to build & sustain Brand equity Brand Leader = Estathé, 7m€ / year Infused formulas = 40% of volumes and growing Lemon & Peach flavours = 90% of market Full distribution and in-store activation Source: TCCC syndicated researches 53
A new and relevant proposition for Italians NEW PREMIUM PRODUCT FORMULATION POSITIONING • A sip of freedom • New infused Tea formula • 5 m€ investment with lemon and peach 54
Delivering results with the right execution • Increased distribution (Modern • Step up in-store presence • Relevant line-up to meet Trade target from 45% to 85%) through in-store promotions, shopper & consumer needs extra-displays, leaflets, trade Demand Delivery key pillars kits, point of sale material (posters, rotairs, etc) 85 85 45 45 WD WD • Distribution in Modern Trade & Normal Trade KBIs • Number of stores activated 55
Take charge Enrico Galasso National Sales Director
Creating value for our customers We are Italy’s #1 Beverage Supplier Our route-to-market We understand the fits the Italian trade customer strategies and landscape tailor our plans for our Key Accounts to meet their needs Our best-in-class sales force provides our customers with services at the point of sale and We have shopper unparalleled brand insights that drive our activation OBPPC and plans JVC: Joint Value Creation; OBPPC: Occasion-Brand-Pack-Price-Channel; RED: Right Execution Daily; RTM: Route To Market 57
Driving customer satisfaction through Joint Value Creation (JVC) ‘BeverageWorld’ ‘On Shelf Availability’ Top to Top Routines with all Category reinvention at customers Up to 440 POS activated in 2014 Out of Stock reduction Store based action plan 58
Step-changed execution Number of Extra Displays (,000) FC RED Score RED: Right Execution Daily is our holistic KBI measuring execution excellence 59
Italian trade landscape drives our Route-to-Market strategy Less concentrated trade vs. rest of Europe with strong regional focus Weight of Top 3 retailers • Multifunctional customer teams Modern Trade Source:Nielsen 2012 • Strong national and regional customer management focus • Multi-level interface with customers • Tailored Joint Value Creation programs RTM reflects opportunities of specific Channel structure Food & Bev Producers sell-in (20 Bn €) Fragmented Trade • Direct Sales and Wholesaler Direct Sales Intermediaries management capabilities in place 18% 57% 16% 8% • Partnership with wholesalers WHS C&C GDO • Segmented approach to outlets coverage and activation IC Channels (Day Time Bar, Restaurants, etc) 60
Excellent sales and execution capability • OBPPC and RED • Sales and negotiation • Shopper Insights and Category Management • Revenue Growth Management • Financial basics • Project management 61
Win together
We work across all areas to be #1 in cost leadership SLE (System Line Efficiency) & productivity 2.5pp Energy cost reduction* Production network review Logistics network review Plant warehouse outsourcing Customer collaboration & service level (DIFOTAI) Total inventory days Forecast accuracy * Supply Chain cost reduction as % of net sales revenue over three years (2010-2013) 63
We have optimised our supply chain network Core Core production production network network 2012 2014 5 3 PLANTS PLANTS Opportunities to address High speed What we have executed - Network complexity of implementation - 3 plants near the biggest demand areas - Leverage the size of our plants - No plant under 40 M UC - Asset utilisation 14 - +10 % on asset utilisation - Reduce fixed cost months - New high speed line in Nogara - High speed line 64
Improving competitiveness and better service to customers Supply chain cost 1 % NSR Service Level (DIFOTAI 2) +620bps -90 bps 18.3% 96.2% 90.0% 17.4% 2010 2013 2010 2013 1 Supply Chain cost: Production Overheads+Warehousing+Distribution+Haulage 2 DIFOTAI: Delivered in full on time accurately invoiced 65
Taking full charge of our operating expenses Cost leadership Accountability efficiency Lean organisation 2.1pp Standardisation reduction* Integration Business knowledge Discipline Efficiency Partnership Focus on business * Reduction in operating expenses as a % of net sales revenue over three years (2013 vs. 2010) 66
Contributing to our Zero Working Capital journey -Product rationalisation -Forecast accuracy 22% reduction in working capital 2013 vs. 2010 67
Generating significant Cash Flow To CCHBC Group from operations last 3 years 173m€ 290m€ 0.19 € (60%) Investments for growth 0.32 € per UC sold 117m€ 0.13 € (40%) 68
Becoming a source of good for the local communities 69
Developing internal talent Fuel leadership pipeline at all Key Positions covered by Key Make our managers talent layers People (KPe/KPo) builders • Fast Forward program • KBIs in country scorecard • Management trainee program • Performance Management • KPe/KPo and IDP • Talent acquisition program and Development process completion as incentivised objective in MBOs for • Internal promotions • Individual Development Plans senior leaders (IDP) • Our KPe/KPo grew by 21% • Successors rate to KPo grew by 10% 70
Engaged and values driven people +12% +6% 70% 67% 58% 61% 2012 2013 2012 2013 71
External endorsement Award for FINANCIAL STRENGTH World’s largest employer branding online survey (7,000 respondents aged 16-65; 150 largest companies assessed) 72
We are ready to step up As the external environment gets better 73
Closing remarks
Trading conditions Looking ahead Underlying trading environment continues to be challenging First quarter was weak due to timing of Easter and liquidity Profitable and sustainable constraints in the market growth through a combination of economic recovery and our efforts Good trading during Easter and in May, recouping some of the volume lost in the first quarter 75
Q&A
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