CLIMATE CHANGE IN THE 2020s: FEBRUARY 2020
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CLIMATE CHANGE IN THE 2020s: THE DECADE FOR INSURERS TO LEAD Climate change is at the top of the agenda for policy makers, regulators and globally significant companies. It is an unprecedented risk and is under increasing scrutiny by shareholders and regulators. For insurers, climate change also presents opportunities for the industry to do what it does best – assessing and providing protection against risk – both in managing their own business and providing innovative products for policyholders to protect them against some of the economic implications. The 2020s will be a decisive decade in the race to deal with climate change and insurers may well play a key role in deciding the outcome of these efforts. Climate change risks property and flood insurance policies, for insurers among others. It is also likely to result in an increase in demand for protection from Climate change affects insurers on both adverse climate events. sides of their balance sheet, disrupting insurers’ assets as well as their liabilities Climate change is also universal, with its under the policies they write. Given the effects felt globally, not just in wealthy wide range of climate change risks, areas with high insurance penetration. many regulators and industry bodies Climate risks lay bare the insurance have adopted the helpful classification of protection gap in developing countries the types of climate risks coined by the where the effects of natural catastrophe is Governor of the Bank of England, likely to be significant, whilst not having Mark Carney2: the benefit of comprehensive insurance • Physical risks, the impact of the climate protection. Innovative forms of alternative on physical assets which may lead to risk transfer, through for example impairment of insurers’ assets and/or parametric (re)insurance and insurance- the property which they underwrite. linked securities (ILS) would be ideally placed to offer the protection so badly • Transition risks, the risk in moving (and needed by the most vulnerable. being required to move by laws, regulations and policy decisions) from On the life insurance side, health and life the “brown” where we are now, insurers may also be impacted by towards the “green” world by adapting changes in life expectancy and mortality, to the changing climate and seeking to lifestyles and a shifting geographical stop further damage. spread of vector-borne diseases, • Liability risks, the risk of increased alongside the effect on the assets liability resulting from litigation on backing these liabilities. climate change issues. Assets Liabilities On the asset side, climate change may On the liability side, climate change will affect the value of investments, clearly have an impact on policies particularly in ‘brown’ industries, i.e. underwritten by general insurers. An industries which have the most negative increase in severe weather conditions environmental and climate impact such will lead to an increase in claims under as fossil fuel extraction and high carbon 1 Source: NDC Global Outlook Report 2019 (https://www.undp.org/content/undp/en/home/librarypage/environment-energy/climate_change/ndc-global- outlook-report-2019.html) 2 Source: Carney, M. (2015). Breaking the Tragedy of the Horizon (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/speech/2015/breaking-thetragedy-of-the-horizon-climate-change-and- financial-stability) 2 CLIFFORD CHANCE CLIMATE CHANGE IN THE 2020s: THE DECADE FOR INSURERS TO LEAD
emission transport companies. At the to monitor and scan the horizon for future same time, new investment opportunities developments in order to ensure they do arise from these changes. Alternative not set themselves up to inadvertently fall asset classes, such as green bonds, foul of regulations. green funds and environmental, social and governance (ESG) focused We focus here on some key initiatives investments will continue to grow and will relevant to insurers (with a focus on need to feature more prominently within the UK): insurers’ portfolios in response to climate International Association of Insurance change. Indeed, as we discuss below, Supervisors (IAIS) rules, regulations and to some extent The IAIS has been working with the voluntary initiatives, such as the Task Sustainable Insurance Forum and Force on Climate-related Financial insurance regulators globally in responding Disclosures (TCFD), and consumer to climate risks. Initiatives on climate pressures will drive insurers to make change in many jurisdictions are being green investment decisions and ensure developed and the IAIS is keenly aware of they have ESG compliant investment the need for insurance supervisors to give strategies. These are issues which all climate change their full attention and that industries will be grappling with, but supervisory requirements will need to be insurers with their expertise in risk scaled up. As an indication, the focus of assessment should be ideally placed to this year’s IAIS annual conference will be leverage this liability side expertise to climate change. manage their asset portfolios. In addition, the IAIS has noted the impact Legislative and regulatory of climate change and the insurance initiatives protection gap and the role that There is an increasing awareness of the parametric/ index linked (re)insurance urgency to address the challenges of could play to plug the gap. An example of climate change. Policymakers at this is the $225 million ILS issuance by international and national levels are the government of The Philippines in working on imposing laws and November 2019 seeking to close the regulations to ensure insurers consider country’s gap in protection against climate change risks in their business. A earthquakes and tropical cyclones. complicated web of climate risk governance, risk management, The IAIS has also focused on disclosure stewardship and disclosure requirements requirements and is supportive of insurers is beginning to emerge globally, but complying with the TCFD particularly in the European Union and Recommendations. It has found that the UK.3 whilst insurers (particularly in the general insurance sector) show good awareness In addition to focusing on climate change of climate risks, progress in complying simply because it is the right thing to do, with TCFD disclosure standards has been insurers will also need to monitor legal and slow for insurers especially compared to regulatory requirements as they begin to banks and other financial institutions.4 apply to them. In addition, decisions Whilst the TCFD Recommendations are insurers make now (for example their voluntary, in the IAIS’ view, climate risk investment strategies) are likely to have disclosure could be assumed to already long term consequences, whilst climate be required under the IAIS’ Insurance change regulations are only now beginning Core Principle 20 (Public Disclosure) to be formed. Therefore, insurers will need which requires firms to disclose “relevant 3 We refer to our Thought Leadership page on climate, sustainability, green finance and renewables which sets out a broader summary of the various initiatives on climate change and our publication Growing the Green Economy which is a collection of articles focusing on sustainability issues globally but with a particular EU and UK focus 4 See IAIS Issues Paper on the Implementation of the Recommendations of the Task Force on Climate-related Financial Disclosures, 19 December 2019. CLIFFORD CHANCE 3 CLIMATE CHANGE IN THE 2020s: THE DECADE FOR INSURERS TO LEAD
and comprehensive information on a Senior Management Function. Whilst one timely basis in order to give policyholders individual will have responsibility, insurers and market participants a clear view on will need to ensure that taking climate their business activities”. This view is also change risks and ESG matters into taken by the Financial Stability Institute account must form part of the overall and a majority of insurance regulators, culture of the firm. including the PRA.5 The IAIS now aims to publish an Application Paper on climate The PRA also expects firms to manage risks in collaboration with the Sustainable climate risks within their existing risk Insurance Forum later in 2020 to assist management framework and firms will insurance regulators in developing their need to demonstrate that they understand regulatory frameworks in respect of the resulting financial risks and how their climate risk disclosure. business models will be affected. European Insurance and Occupational In addition it has started working with Pensions Authority (EIOPA) firms on in-depth scenario and stress On the back of the EU’s Sustainable testing on climate change to identify the Finance Action Plan (SFAP)6, EIOPA has risks so as to inform firms’ decisions. published its proposals on how Similar to the EIOPA proposals, the PRA sustainability risks should be included expects firms to consider financial within the Solvency II framework. In climate change risks in their ICAAP or particular, it has proposed that ORSA assessments under the Prudent sustainability risks will expressly need to Person Principle. The Bank of England be taken into account in the Prudent has also announced that it will focus on Person Principle, risk management and financial risks resulting from climate solvency capital requirements. EIOPA is change in its 2021 biennial exploratory also encouraging insurers to use scenario to test the resilience of financial qualitative scenario analysis and testing to institutions, including insurers, to examine the impact of climate change, climate risks. with scenarios tailored to the insurer’s risk profile. These proposals echo the UK Insurers are also expected to consider PRA’s proposals as described below. further disclosure on climate risks, governance and risk management as part Prudential Regulation Authority (PRA) of their financial reporting. This enhances The PRA has been at the forefront of and builds on disclosure requirements addressing climate change within the which affect other companies such as the financial institutions sector. It was among FRC’s UK Stewardship Code for investors the first regulators to have published its and the requirement for large companies assessment of the impact of climate to report on how directors have change on the insurance sector with its considered their various duties under Supervisory Statement SS3/19 and section 172 of the Companies Act 2006. Policy Statement PS11/19 being issued This includes the duty to consider the in April 20197. The PRA has made it impact of the company’s operations on clear that boards must understand, the community and the environment, assess and address financial risks arising which requires boards to take into from climate change. In addition, they account the environmental, social and must allocate responsibility for managing governance impact of decisions made climate risks to the most suitable existing by the company. 5 See FSI Papers No 20 of 6 November 2019 – Turning up the heat – climate risk assessment in the insurance sector. 6 See our October 2019 briefing EU Sustainable Finance Action Plan: Status Table. 7 See our November 2019 Briefing Sustainable Finance: the impact for Banks and Investments 4 CLIFFORD CHANCE CLIMATE CHANGE IN THE 2020s: THE DECADE FOR INSURERS TO LEAD
Financial Conduct Authority (FCA)8 sustainability, and the demand for “green” The UK FCA has also set out its climate financial products, the FCA has also change priorities in its feedback statement emphasised that it will take appropriate FS19/6 published in October 2019. The action to prevent consumers being misled FCA intends to publish a consultation by greenwashing, i.e. companies making paper in early 2020 proposing new unfounded or exaggerated claims disclosure rules aligned with the TCFD regarding the environmental credentials or Recommendations on a ‘comply or benefits of their products. explain’ basis. Such rules if implemented, would potentially accelerate the UK The below timeline provides an overview government’s current plan to require of the expected timing of various key certain listed issuers to start disclosing on initiatives coming into effect over the climate risks from 2022. Given the focus next two years. consumers themselves have on Task Force on Climate TCFD Recommendations on disclosure UK Green Finance Strategy: all UK Related Disclosures (TCFD) listed companies and asset owners expected to disclose in line with TCFD recommendations by 2022 IAIS Ongoing monitoring of IAIS Annual Conference supervisory practice (focus on climate change) (November 2020) Sustainability-related disclosures on insurance-based b investment products (March 2021) European Union Integration of climate risk considerations into Solvency II (including Prudent Person Principle) (under consideration - potentially 2022) EU Sustainable Finance Taxonomy (staggered implementation from 31 December 2021) FCA/PRA Allocating climate risk to a Senior Management Function and inclusion in ORSA and ICAAP (in force) Bank of England Biennial Exploratory Scenario stress testing (scenarios published in H2 2020, results in 2021) UK Corporate Governance S.172 statement requirement (including reporting on environmental consideration) (in force) FRC Stewardship Code UK Stewardship Code 2020 JAN 2020 JAN 2021 JAN 2022 Recommendations KEY Regulations and policy guidance Pressure groups co-operating under the slogan In addition to the legal and regulatory BlackRock’s Big Problem. BlackRock requirements on climate change and itself has subsequently joined the policyholders’ expectations, various pressure group Climate Action 100+. grassroots movements and pressure Siemens was similarly forced by the groups may also influence insurers’ group Fridays for Future, among other approach to climate change. These groups, to put in place oversight groups exert significant influence on arrangements in respect of sustainability public opinion and have the media’s issues in relation to the planned attention. Recent examples include construction of a major coal mine BlackRock’s decision to shift its business in Australia. model towards green and ESG compliant investments following pressure from The table below provides a high level various activist groups including Extinction overview of some key pressure groups Rebellion and a coalition of groups relevant to (re)insurance firms. 8 See our October 2019 briefing Sustainability Snapshot: UK FCA signals next steps in its strategy on climate change and green finance CLIFFORD CHANCE 5 CLIMATE CHANGE IN THE 2020s: THE DECADE FOR INSURERS TO LEAD
Pressure Group Relevant goals Actions ClientEarth Better disclosure of environmental and Reported several insurers to the FCA for failing to climate risks by companies adequately disclose climate risks Climate Action 100+ Ensuring the world’s largest greenhouse Pressuring greenhouse gas emitters to put in place better gas emitters take action on climate governance and disclosure through influencing their change9 institutional shareholders Asset Owners Engaging with the largest financial investors Calling out pension funds for lack of disclosure of their Disclosure Project on responsible investing10 responses to climate change Unfriend Coal Stopping insurers from underwriting risks in Naming and shaming insurers underwriting coal projects relation to the coal industry11 Disrupted the 2018 Rendez-Vous de Septembre in Monte Carlo. WWF Protecting World Heritage Sites12 Currently producing a guide for insurers on how to prevent or reduce the risk of insuring and investing in companies or projects whose activities could damage World Heritage sites Extinction Rebellion Stopping biodiversity loss and reaching net Physical disruption and blocking of insurance offices to zero greenhouse gas emissions by 202513 highlight the role of the insurance sector in the fossil fuel industry What’s next? culture and risk management framework. With the focus on climate change, insurers In addition, insurers should be aware of should and will be expected to take the impact pressure groups may have on climate change risks seriously in all their activities. aspects of their business, on both sides of Insurers wield considerable power as the balance sheet. Insurers will need to some of the world’s largest investors and fully understand the impact of climate asset managers. Their capacity to create change on their business and to respond innovative products which respond to appropriately. Regulatory developments climate change issues such as parametric are likely to also impose the need for reinsurance and ILS and their expertise in further scenario analysis and stress testing, risk modelling make insurers ideally as will additional disclosure and reporting placed to have a significant impact in the requirements on firms’ ESG policies. Whilst fight against climate change. in the UK an individual senior manager will Policymakers, regulators and pressure need to have responsibility for climate groups are challenging insurers to change, the need to focus and take embrace this role. The 2020s will be the climate change into account should not be decade for insurers to step up to this ascribed to just one individual or team, but challenge and lead from the front. will need to form part of the insurer’s 9 Source: http://www.climateaction100.org/ 10 Source: https://aodproject.net/ 11 Source: https://unfriendcoal.com/ 12 Source: https://wwf.panda.org/wwf_news/press_releases/?341718/UN-WWF-and-worlds-insurers-to- develop-pioneering-industry-guide-to-protect-World-Heritage-Sites 13 Source: https://rebellion.earth/the-truth/demands/ 6 CLIFFORD CHANCE CLIMATE CHANGE IN THE 2020s: THE DECADE FOR INSURERS TO LEAD
CONTACTS Cheng Li Yow Patrick Killing Partner Lawyer London London T: +44 20 7006 8940 T: +44 20 7006 2635 E: chengli.yow@ E: patrick.killing@ cliffordchance.com cliffordchance.com CLIFFORD CHANCE 7 CLIMATE CHANGE IN THE 2020s: THE DECADE FOR INSURERS TO LEAD
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