City of Paso Robles - Wastewater Rate Study January 2021 - Paso Robles, CA

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City of Paso Robles - Wastewater Rate Study January 2021 - Paso Robles, CA
City of Paso Robles

Wastewater Rate Study

      January 2021
City of Paso Robles - Wastewater Rate Study January 2021 - Paso Robles, CA
City of Paso Robles
Wastewater Rate Study
      January 2021

          Prepared by:

     Bartle Wells Associates
     2625 Alcatraz Ave, #602
       Berkeley, CA 94705
        Tel: 510.653.3399
      www.bartlewells.com
City of Paso Robles - Wastewater Rate Study January 2021 - Paso Robles, CA
2625 Alcatraz Ave, #602
                                                                                         Berkeley, CA 94705
                                                                                           Tel: 510 653 3399
                                                                                        www.bartlewells.com

January 20, 2021

Attn:   Matt Thompson, Wastewater Manager

Re:     Wastewater Rate Study

Bartle Wells Associates is pleased to submit the attached Wastewater Rate Study. The study develops
long‐term financial projections and calculates new wastewater rates designed to equitably recover
the costs of providing service. The recommended rates are designed to meet the City’s operational
and capital funding needs, comply with legal requirements, and be fair to all customers.

The proposed rates incorporate both overall rate increases needed to restore the wastewater
enterprise’s financial stability and meet future funding needs as well as some modifications to the
wastewater rate structure designed to improve revenue stability and more equitably align rates with
the cost of providing service. Rate increases are phased over five years, with a larger increase needed
the first year to help restore financial stability.

We enjoyed working with the City on this assignment and appreciate the ongoing assistance and input
received throughout the project. Please contact us anytime if you have questions about the
recommendations in this report or other related issues.

Sincerely,

BARTLE WELLS ASSOCIATES

Alex Handlers                                          Erik Helgeson
Principal/Vice‐President                               Senior Consultant
City of Paso Robles - Wastewater Rate Study January 2021 - Paso Robles, CA
LIST OF TABLES & FIGURES

TABLES
Table ES‐1. Single Family Residential Wastewater Rate Options............................................. ES‐3
Table ES‐2. Projected Commercial Wastewater Rates ............................................................ ES‐4
Table 1. Historical Wastewater Rates........................................................................................... 3
Table 2. Wastewater Fund Reserves ............................................................................................ 9
Table 3. Historical Wastewater Finances.................................................................................... 10
Table 4. Outstanding Debt ......................................................................................................... 11
Table 5. Wastewater Cash Flow Projections A – Phase In Rate Increases .................................. 15
Table 6. Wastewater Cash Flow Projections B – Large Up‐Front Rate Increase ......................... 16
Table 7. Single Family Residential Customers............................................................................. 18
Table 8. Commercial Accounts by Meter Size & Meter Equivalents ........................................... 18
Table 9. Single Family Residential Customers............................................................................. 19
Table 10. Single Family Residential Rate Options ....................................................................... 26
Table 11. Projected Single Family Residential Wastewater Bills ................................................. 27
Table 12. Proposed Commercial Wastewater Rates .................................................................. 29
Table 13. Projected Commercial Wastewater Bills ..................................................................... 29
Table 14. Wastewater Discharge by Customer Class .................................................................. 32
Table 15. Wastewater Discharge by Customer Class .................................................................. 32
Table 16. Single Family Residential Rate Derivation ‐ Option A .................................................. 34
Table 17. Single Family Residential Rate Derivation ‐ Option B .................................................. 35
Table 18. Single Family Residential Rate Derivation ‐ Option C .................................................. 36
Table 19. Commercial Wastewater Rate Derivation................................................................... 37

FIGURES
Figure ES‐1. Comparison of Bills with Full Implementation of Rate Options ........................... ES‐4
Figure 1: Single Family Residential Wastewater Rate Survey – Low Use ...................................... 5
Figure 2: Single Family Residential Wastewater Rate Survey – Typical Use .................................. 6
Figure 3: Single Family Residential Wastewater Rate Survey – Med‐High Use............................. 7
Figure 4: Commercial Wastewater Rate Survey ........................................................................... 8
Figure 5: Projected Revenues & Expenses.................................................................................. 17
Figure 6: Single Family Residential Winter Water Use ............................................................... 19
Figure 7: Single Family Residential Winter Water Use ............................................................... 20
Figure 8: Comparison of Single Family Bills Under Rate Options ................................................ 28
City of Paso Robles - Wastewater Rate Study January 2021 - Paso Robles, CA
LIST OF TABLES & FIGURES

TABLES
Table ES‐1. Single Family Residential Wastewater Rate Options............................................. ES‐3
Table ES‐2. Projected Commercial Wastewater Rates ............................................................ ES‐4
Table 1. Historical Wastewater Rates........................................................................................... 3
Table 2. Wastewater Fund Reserves ............................................................................................ 9
Table 3. Historical Wastewater Finances.................................................................................... 10
Table 4. Outstanding Debt ......................................................................................................... 11
Table 5. Wastewater Cash Flow Projections A – Phase In Rate Increases .................................. 15
Table 6. Wastewater Cash Flow Projections B – Large Up‐Front Rate Increase ......................... 16
Table 7. Single Family Residential Customers............................................................................. 18
Table 8. Commercial Accounts by Meter Size & Meter Equivalents ........................................... 18
Table 9. Single Family Residential Customers............................................................................. 19
Table 10. Single Family Residential Rate Options ....................................................................... 26
Table 11. Projected Single Family Residential Wastewater Bills ................................................. 27
Table 12. Proposed Commercial Wastewater Rates .................................................................. 29
Table 13. Projected Commercial Wastewater Bills ..................................................................... 29
Table 14. Wastewater Discharge by Customer Class .................................................................. 32
Table 15. Wastewater Discharge by Customer Class .................................................................. 32
Table 16. Single Family Residential Rate Derivation ‐ Option A .................................................. 34
Table 17. Single Family Residential Rate Derivation ‐ Option B .................................................. 35
Table 18. Single Family Residential Rate Derivation ‐ Option C .................................................. 36
Table 19. Commercial Wastewater Rate Derivation................................................................... 37

FIGURES
Figure ES‐1. Comparison of Bills with Full Implementation of Rate Options ........................... ES‐4
Figure 1: Single Family Residential Wastewater Rate Survey – Low Use ...................................... 5
Figure 2: Single Family Residential Wastewater Rate Survey – Typical Use .................................. 6
Figure 3: Single Family Residential Wastewater Rate Survey – Med‐High Use............................. 7
Figure 4: Commercial Wastewater Rate Survey ........................................................................... 8
Figure 5: Projected Revenues & Expenses.................................................................................. 17
Figure 6: Single Family Residential Winter Water Use ............................................................... 19
Figure 7: Single Family Residential Winter Water Use ............................................................... 20
Figure 8: Comparison of Single Family Bills Under Rate Options ................................................ 28
City of Paso Robles - Wastewater Rate Study January 2021 - Paso Robles, CA
ES EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Background
The City of Paso Robles provides wastewater service to almost 10,000 residential, commercial and
institutional accounts within the City. The City owns and operates a wastewater system consisting of
approximately 126 miles of sewer pipelines, 14 lift stations and force mains, and a wastewater treatment
plant with a capacity of 4.9 million gallons per day. Treated wastewater effluent is discharged to the
Salinas River and must meet stringent regulatory requirements.

Financially, the wastewater utility is operated as a self‐supporting enterprise that relies primarily on
revenues from wastewater rates to fund the costs of providing service. As such, rates must be set at levels
adequate to fund operating and maintenance expenses, pay debt service, and fund necessary capital
improvements to keep the City’s wastewater system in safe and reliable operating condition.

The City last increased its wastewater rates on July 1, 2016, over 4‐1/2 years ago. The City’s sewer rates
are low compared to other regional agencies based on a survey of 16 agencies on the Central Coast.

Financial Challenges
In recent years, the wastewater enterprise has been operating in deficit mode, which has resulted in a
substantial draw down of fund reserves to meet annual funding needs. In addition, the wastewater utility
is facing a number of new financial challenges that are driving the need for wastewater rate increases.
These financial challenges include:
   Loss of approximately $700,000 of annual revenues that used to be funded by Templeton Community
    Services District before the District completed a major sewer project and subsequently discontinued
    sending wastewater to the City for treatment and disposal.
   A $444,000 increase in annual debt service for repayment of a low‐interest‐rate State Revolving Fund
    issued to fund tertiary treatment facilities at the wastewater treatment plant.
   Increased funding needs for rehabilitation and replacement of aging sewer infrastructure. In 2019,
    the City adopted a Wastewater Collection System Renewal Strategy and Master Plan that identifies
    over $50 million (in 2019 dollars) of capital improvements needed to address deficiencies and replace
    aging infrastructure. The City plans to fund roughly $9.7 million of improvements that benefit existing
    ratepayers over the next five years based on a reduced capital improvement program that only
    addresses the City’s highest‐priority capital needs. Current rates provide no funding for capital
    projects. Additional capital improvements needed to serve growth will be funded by new
    development.
   The City faces an immediate need to eliminate annual budget deficits and restore financial stability.
    Rate increases are also needed to ensure compliance with debt covenants securing each of the City’s
    outstanding wastewater debt obligations.

     BARTLE WELLS ASSOCIATES                                                                          ES‐1
     City of Paso Robles Wastewater Rate Study
City of Paso Robles - Wastewater Rate Study January 2021 - Paso Robles, CA
Rate Study Objectives
In 2020, the City retained Bartle Wells Associates (BWA) to conduct a wastewater rate study. Key goals
of the study include developing financial projections to identify future funding needs, evaluating rate
options, and developing future wastewater rates designed to fund the City’s costs of providing wastewater
service and comply with the legal requirements of Proposition 218.

Required Wastewater Rate Increases
Based on evaluation of financial projections, substantial wastewater rate increases are needed over the
next five years. BWA developed two rate increase scenarios designed to meet the funding needs of the
wastewater enterprise:
A) Phase In Rate Increases: In this scenario, wastewater rate increases are phased in as gradually as
   possible but require a larger increase the first year in order to fund projected annual expenses, restore
   financial stability, and comply with debt covenants.
B) Large Up‐Front Rate Increase: This scenario assumes adoption of a large up front rate increase to
   immediately generate adequate funding to both restore financial stability and support more prudent
   levels of fund reserves. This scenario assumes no additional rate increases would be needed for three
   years with smaller future rate increases starting in 2024.

                                           July 1    April 1        April 1       April 1       April 1
                                           2021       2022           2003          2024          2025
 A) Phase In Rate Increases                24%         8%            8%             8%            8%

 B) Large Up‐Front Rate Increase           50%         0%            0%             5%            5%

Current Wastewater Rates
The City currently charges all customers a 100% volumetric rate of $7.80 per hundred cubic feet (hcf) of
estimated wastewater discharge. Single Family Residential accounts (which also include duplexes,
triplexes, and four‐plexes) are billed based on the lower of either a) average use during the months of
December through February, a time of minimal outdoor irrigation, or b) actual monthly use. Commercial
customers (which also include institutional and larger multi‐family accounts) are billed based on metered
water consumption each month and excludes use from irrigation meters.

BWA worked with City staff to evaluate a number of wastewater rate structure alternatives, including
options for phasing in a fixed rate component to help recover a portion of the City’s fixed wastewater
expenses. The City incurs a substantial amount of fixed costs ‐‐ for staffing, administration, debt service
and capital facilities – to provide infrastructure and operational capacity available to serve customers on
demand. The City estimates that roughly 80% of its wastewater expenses are fixed costs that do not vary
with changes in usage.

     BARTLE WELLS ASSOCIATES                                                                              ES‐2
     City of Paso Robles Wastewater Rate Study
City of Paso Robles - Wastewater Rate Study January 2021 - Paso Robles, CA
Single Family Residential Rate Options
Three rate options were developed for Council consideration. Each of the options includes phasing in a
fixed monthly service charge that would be levied in addition to monthly usage charges. The options differ
in the level of revenue recovery from the fixed and volumetric rates. The following table summarizes rates
under the three options and assumes the City phases in rate increases over the next five years as shown.

                    Table ES‐1. Single Family Residential Wastewater Rate Options
                                                 Current   July 1     April 1     April 1     April 1     April 1
                                                  Rates    2021        2022        2023        2024        2025
Overall Rate Increases                                      24%         8%          8%          8%          8%
Single Family Residential (1‐4 units) Wastewater Rates
Usage Charges based on average monthly water use from the prior Jan & Feb or actual monthly use, whichever is lower
Subject to minimum sewer billing basis of 2 hcf

Option A: Transition to 42% fixed charge while maintaining $7.80/hcf usage rate
Fixed Monthly Charge per Dwelling Unit              ‐    $11.40      $15.53     $19.93         $24.60      $29.58
Sewer Usage Charge per hcf                      7.80        7.80       7.80       7.80           7.80        7.80

Option B: Transition to 60% fixed & 40% volumetric rates
Fixed Monthly Charge per Dwelling Unit             ‐     $11.40        $19.07      $26.74      $34.41      $42.08
Sewer Usage Charge per hcf                     7.80        7.80          7.14        6.51        5.93        5.40

Option C: Transition to 80% fixed & 20% volumetric rates
Fixed Monthly Charge per Dwelling Unit             ‐     $11.40        $22.58      $33.75      $44.93      $56.11
Sewer Usage Charge per hcf                     7.80        7.80          6.48        5.19        3.93        2.70

A number of additional modifications to the City’s single family residential rate structure and billing
method are proposed to help improve equity and address issues with current billing practices, including:
   Calculate each customer’s sewer billing basis based on a 3‐year rolling average of monthly winter
    water use. This will help reduce annual fluctuations in billed wastewater use due to changes in
    weather and other factors. Single family charges are currently calculated based on winter water use
    from the prior year only.
   Change the months used to determine each customer’s sewer billing basis from a) the current
    3‐month period of December through February to b) the 2 months of January and February, which
    have historically been the lowest 2 months of residential water use. This period avoids the months of
    December and March, which are also low‐use months but have historically experienced more
    variability in water use, largely due to outdoor irrigation.
   Establish a minimum sewer billing basis of 2 hcf per month. This level of use equates to roughly
    50 gallons per day and reflects typical indoor water use for a single person.

The following chart shows a comparison of wastewater charges for single family customers with different
levels of billed usage for each of the residential rate options.

     BARTLE WELLS ASSOCIATES                                                                                  ES‐3
     City of Paso Robles Wastewater Rate Study
City of Paso Robles - Wastewater Rate Study January 2021 - Paso Robles, CA
Figure ES‐1. Comparison of Bills with Full Implementation of Rate Options

Commercial Wastewater Rates
Based on evaluation of rate alternatives by BWA and City staff, it is recommended that the City maintain
its 100% volumetric rate structure for commercial customers, but also establish a minimum monthly
charge designed to ensure a minimal level of cost recovery from bills with minimal to no use. The
minimum charge is not a fixed charge that is billed in addition to volumetric rates, instead it serves as a
baseline charge that would only apply when lower levels of billed usage would otherwise result in charges
below the minimum level. To help provide some parity with Single Family Residential rates, the minimum
monthly charges are proposed to be set at the same level as the fixed charge for Single Family accounts.

                          Table ES‐2. Projected Commercial Wastewater Rates
                                                 Current      July 1      April 1      April 1      April 1      April 1
                                                  2021        2021         2022         2023         2024         2025
Overall Rate Increases                                         24%          8%           8%           8%           8%
Commercial/Multi‐Family
Maintain 100% volumetric rates
Sewer Usage Charge per hcf                      $7.80           $9.67       $10.44      $11.27       $12.18       $13.15
Usage Charges applied to monthly metered water use
Minimum Monthly Charge                            Set equal to the Fixed Monthly Charge per Single Family Dwelling Unit

     BARTLE WELLS ASSOCIATES                                                                                         ES‐4
     City of Paso Robles Wastewater Rate Study
City of Paso Robles - Wastewater Rate Study January 2021 - Paso Robles, CA
1      BACKGROUND & OBJECTIVES

1.1 Background
The City of Paso Robles provides wastewater service to roughly 10,000 residential, commercial and
institutional accounts within the City. Paso Robles has a population of approximately 31,200 and is
located on California’s Central Coast in northern San Luis Obispo County, roughly half‐way between San
Francisco and Los Angeles.

The City owns and operates a wastewater system consisting of approximately 126 miles of sewer
pipelines, 14 lift stations and force mains, and a wastewater treatment plant with a capacity of
4.9 million gallons per day. Treated wastewater effluent is discharged to the Salinas River and must
meet stringent regulatory requirements.

The City’s treatment plant was originally built in 1954 and underwent major upgrades in 2016. Tertiary
treatment was added in 2019 to enable the City to comply with its waste discharge permit requirements
and will also enable the City to provide highly‐treated recycled water for landscape and agricultural
irrigation in the future.

Many of the City’s sewer pipelines were installed in the 1950s to 1970s and will be reaching the end of
their useful lives in upcoming years. In 2019, the City completed a Wastewater Collection System
Renewal Strategy and Master Plan that identifies over $50 million (in 2019 dollars) of infrastructure
repair and replacement projects over the next 30 years. With construction cost inflation, the projects
are expected to cost over $80 million.

Financially, the wastewater utility is operated as a self‐supporting enterprise that relies primarily on
revenues from wastewater rates to fund the costs of providing service. As such, rates must be set at
levels adequate to fund operating and maintenance expenses, pay debt service, and fund necessary
capital improvements to keep the City’s wastewater system in safe and reliable operating condition.

The City’s last wastewater rate study was completed in 2011 and resulted in adoption of 5‐years of rate
increases. The last wastewater rate increase became effective on July 1, 2016, over 4‐1/2 years ago.
The City’s sewer rates are low compared to other regional agencies.

     BARTLE WELLS ASSOCIATES                                                                          1
     City of Paso Robles Wastewater Rate Study
1.2 Rate Study Objectives
In 2020, the City retained Bartle Wells Associates to conduct a wastewater rate study to support the
City’s wastewater operations and funding needs identified in the 2019 Master Plan. Key objectives of
the study include:
   Develop 10‐year financial projections to identify future operating, capital, and debt
    service funding needs of the City’s wastewater enterprise.
   Evaluate alternatives for implementing rate increases and develop an option for phasing
    in rate increases over multiple years to the extent possible.
   Review the City’s wastewater rate structure and work with City staff to develop rate
    alternatives that:
     Recover the costs of providing wastewater service including costs for operations,
      maintenance, capital improvements, and compliance with debt service obligations
     Are fair and equitable to all customers
     Are easy to understand and administer
     Comply with the legal requirements of California Constitution, Article 13D, Section 6
      (established by Proposition 218)
     Support the long‐term operational and financial stability of the wastewater enterprise.

This report presents key findings and wastewater rate options. The rate options were developed and
refined with substantial input from City staff.

     BARTLE WELLS ASSOCIATES                                                                      2
     City of Paso Robles Wastewater Rate Study
2        WASTEWATER RATES
2.1      Historical Rates
Table 1 shows a schedule of wastewater rates since July 2011 along with corresponding monthly charges
for customers with a range of billed usage. The City’s last wastewater rate increase went into effect on
July 1, 2016, over 4‐1/2 years ago.

                                   Table 1. Historical Wastewater Rates
    Effective                                     July 1   July 1    July 1     July 1     July 1       July 1
    Date                                           2011     2012      2013       2014       2015         2016

    Monthly Fixed Charge                          25.86        ‐         ‐          ‐          ‐            ‐

    Usage Charge ($/hcf)                           1.20*   4.50       5.40      6.30       7.35          7.80
    Residential (1‐4 units): Charge based on average monthly winter water use (Dec/Jan/Feb) or montly use,
    whichever is lower
    All Other Customers: Charge based on monthly metered water use

    MONTHLY SEWER SERVICE CHARGE
    Single Family Residential (1‐4 units)
    Usage Charges based on winter water use from Dec/Jan/Feb or actual use, whichever is lower
    Description                  Use (hcf)
    Low Use                          3       25.86     13.50     16.20       18.90      22.05           23.40
    Average Use                      6       25.86     27.00     32.40       37.80      44.10           46.80
    Mod‐High Use                     9       25.86     40.50     48.60       56.70      66.15           70.20
    High Use                        12       25.86     54.00     64.80       75.60      88.20           93.60

    Commercial/Multi‐Family Residential
    Usage Charges based on metered water use each month
    Description              Use (hcf)
    Low Use                      5         25.86     22.50           27.00     31.50      36.75         39.00
    Med‐Low Use                 10         31.86     45.00           54.00     63.00      73.50         78.00
    Moderate Use                20         43.86     90.00          108.00    126.00     147.00        156.00
    Higher Use                  50         79.86    225.00          270.00    315.00     367.50        390.00

    * Usage Charges effective 2011 only applied to non‐residential use in excess of 5 hcf per month.

      BARTLE WELLS ASSOCIATES                                                                                    3
      City of Paso Robles Wastewater Rate Study
The City’s last wastewater rate study was completed in 2011. The prior study resulted in a 5‐year rate
increase designed to secure funding for a major upgrade to the City’s wastewater treatment plant. The
adopted rates also transitioned the City’s wastewater rate structure from sewer rates that included both
fixed and volumetric rate components to 100% volumetric rates based solely on usage. For comparison,
the City estimates that roughly 80% of its annual wastewater expenses are fixed costs that do not vary
with changes in the volume of wastewater discharge.

The City’s wastewater rates are billed based on metered water use as measured in units of one hundred
cubic feet (hcf). One hcf equals roughly 750 gallons. All customers pay a uniform rate for all billed usage.
The City bills customers monthly for wastewater service on a combined utility bill that also includes
charges for water service.

Wastewater Usage Charges for single family residential customers (which also include duplexes,
triplexes, and fourplexes) are billed based on the lower of a) average monthly winter water use from the
prior December through February, a period of minimal outdoor irrigation, or b) actual monthly use.

Usage Charges for commercial, institutional, and larger multi‐family accounts are billed based on
monthly water use and exclude usage from separate irrigation meters. Large wineries and breweries
are required to independently fund their own pre‐treatment facilities to reduce the strength of their
wastewater discharged to the City’s sewer system. Smaller wineries and breweries pay a surcharge for
higher‐strength wastewater.

      BARTLE WELLS ASSOCIATES                                                                             4
      City of Paso Robles Wastewater Rate Study
2.2 Regional Rate Surveys
The following charts show monthly wastewater bills for a single family home with low, typical, and higher
levels of wastewater use. The City’s sewer rates are low compared to other regional agencies. Figure 1
shows monthly charges for a low‐use customer with 3 hcf of billed monthly use. Roughly 25% of the
City’s residential wastewater bills are at or below this level of usage.

              Figure 1: Single Family Residential Wastewater Rate Survey – Low Use

As shown on the charts, most of the other regional agencies levy fixed charges for wastewater service
that do not vary based on usage. A few other agencies levy wastewater rates that include both fixed and
volumetric charges. Paso Robles is the only agency of those surveyed that levies 100% volumetric
wastewater rates with no fixed charge.

     BARTLE WELLS ASSOCIATES                                                                           5
     City of Paso Robles Wastewater Rate Study
Figure 2 shows monthly charges for a single family home with typical (roughly average) use of
6 hcf per month. The wastewater bill for a typical home in Paso Robles is approximately 30%
lower than the regional average.

        Figure 2: Single Family Residential Wastewater Rate Survey – Typical Use

     BARTLE WELLS ASSOCIATES                                                                    6
     City of Paso Robles Wastewater Rate Study
Figure 3 shows monthly charges for a single family home with medium‐high use of 12 hcf per month. This
level of use represents a customer with twice the usage of a typical home. In Paso Robles, the top 10% of
single family customers pay bills at or above this level.

           Figure 3: Single Family Residential Wastewater Rate Survey – Med‐High Use

     BARTLE WELLS ASSOCIATES                                                                           7
     City of Paso Robles Wastewater Rate Study
Figure 4 shows a comparison of commercial wastewater charges for a small office with 10 hcf of billed
monthly use. Almost all regional agencies levy commercial rates that include substantial volumetric
charges.

                             Figure 4: Commercial Wastewater Rate Survey

     BARTLE WELLS ASSOCIATES                                                                       8
     City of Paso Robles Wastewater Rate Study
3       WASTEWATER FINANCES & CASH FLOW PROJECTIONS

3.1 Financial Overview
The City’s wastewater utility is a financially self‐supporting enterprise that relies primarily on revenues
from wastewater rates to fund the costs of providing service. As such, wastewater rates must be set at
levels adequate to fund the costs of operating and maintaining the wastewater system, meet annual
debt service requirements, and fund capital improvements to keep the wastewater system in safe and
reliable operating condition.

In recent years, the wastewater enterprise has been operating in deficit mode, which has resulted in a
substantial draw down of fund reserves to meet annual funding needs. Table 2 shows a history of
wastewater fund reserves based on the City’s audited financial statements. As shown, the City’s total
wastewater fund reserves have decreased from roughly $12.8 million to $6.2 million over the past four
years. Also note that the City is required to set aside $3.1 million of this total as a debt service reserve
fund for the wastewater enterprise’s outstanding State Revolving Fund loans.

                                        Table 2. Wastewater Fund Reserves
    As of June 30                                    2017           2018           2019           2020

    Cash & Receivables
    Cash and investments                      12,747,390        9,063,657      8,372,406      5,990,851
    Accounts receivable                          757,403          887,514        963,585        856,394
    Interest receivable                                0                0         30,593         30,578
    Prepaid items                            __________0            6,864
                                                              __________           7,139
                                                                             __________     __________0
    Subtotal                                  13,504,793        9,958,035      9,373,723      6,877,823

    Less Liabilities (Excluding Debt)
    Accounts payable                            (599,370)        (803,751)    (1,125,690)      (543,234)
    Accrued payroll expenses                     (89,733)
                                             __________          (103,823)
                                                              __________        (110,600)
                                                                             __________        (104,663)
                                                                                            __________
     Subtotal                                     (689,103)      (907,574)    (1,236,290)      (647,897)

    Net Fund Reserves                         12,815,690        9,050,461      8,137,433      6,229,926

    Fund Reserve Breakdown
    Facility Charges                           3,591,556        3,987,066      6,400,768      5,383,356
    Net Other Fund Reserves                    6,512,276        2,351,537       (975,193)    (2,263,040)
     Subtotal                                 10,103,832        6,338,603      5,425,575      3,120,316
    SRF Debt Reserves                          2,711,858
                                             __________         2,711,858
                                                              __________       2,711,858
                                                                             __________       3,109,610
                                                                                            __________
     Total                                    12,815,690        9,050,461      8,137,433      6,229,926

    Source: Based on data from Comprehensive Annual Financial Reports.

      BARTLE WELLS ASSOCIATES                                                                              9
      City of Paso Robles Wastewater Rate Study
Table 3 shows a history of wastewater enterprise finances from fiscal years 2016/17 through 2018/19.

                                 Table 3. Historical Wastewater Finances
                                                    2016/17        2017/18           2018/19
        REVENUES
        Sewer User Fees                            8,093,384      8,507,857         8,854,741
        Templeton CSD Charges                        506,322        588,007           722,446
        Septage Fees                                 159,615        128,870            23,777
        Interest Earnings                             48,443         49,128           281,170
        Sewer Connection Fees                      1,987,855        380,592           380,359
        Other                                        116,889
                                                 __________         236,045
                                                                __________             80,202
                                                                                  __________
         Subtotal                                 10,912,508      9,890,499        10,342,694

        SRF Loan Proceeds                          1,532,000      6,935,960         5,891,854

        EXPENSES
        Operating & Maintenance
        Sewer Collection                           1,361,232      1,089,767         1,538,607
        Sewer Treatment                            3,552,285      3,278,797         3,756,516
        Source Control                               359,233        241,471           291,850
        Stormwater Management                        304,170        266,203           315,990
        Utility Billing                              453,562        466,949           518,359
        Cost Alloc Transfers to GF                   661,549        677,266           809,213
        Operating Transfers                           53,167
                                                 __________           6,000
                                                                __________        __________0
         Subtotal                                  6,745,197      6,026,454         7,230,536

        Debt Service
        2012 Bonds                                   462,775        463,175           468,175
        2013 SRF Loan                              2,711,857
                                                 __________       2,711,857
                                                                __________          2,711,857
                                                                                  __________
         Subtotal                                  3,174,632      3,175,032         3,180,032

        Capital/Non‐Operating
        Tertiary Treatment Project                 1,532,000      6,935,960         5,891,854
        Other Capital Improvements                   506,315
                                                 __________       1,422,628
                                                                __________          3,773,869
                                                                                  __________
         Subtotal                                  2,038,315      8,358,588         9,665,723

        Total Expenses                            11,958,143     17,560,073        20,076,290

        Revenues Less Expenses                      486,364        (733,614)       (3,841,742)

        Debt Service Coverage                           1.31           1.22              0.98

Table 4 shows a summary of outstanding debt. The wastewater enterprise has three outstanding debt
obligations including two low‐interest rate State Revolving Fund (SRF) Loans and one bond issue. The
City was successful in its efforts to obtain financing through California’s Clean Water State Revolving

     BARTLE WELLS ASSOCIATES                                                                        10
     City of Paso Robles Wastewater Rate Study
Fund Financing Program for its last round of major wastewater treatment plant upgrades and more
recently for the addition of tertiary treatment facilities. In addition, the City was awarded $4 million of
principal forgiveness (grant funding) for the tertiary treatment facilities.

                                          Table 4. Outstanding Debt
                         2012 Wastewater          2013 SRF Loan       2017 SRF Loan
                          Rev Refi Bonds             WWTP               Tertiary*            Total
      Issue Size                $6,355,000            $44,721,969         $10,359,814        $61,436,783
    Interest Rate             3.25% ‐ 5.00%                  1.70%               1.70%
 Outstanding 6/30/20             4,440,000             37,063,095          10,118,869         51,621,965

  Fiscal Year Ending
         2020                      $467,575            $2,665,259              $360,013       $3,492,847
         2021                       461,575             2,665,259               444,351        3,571,185
         2022                       467,575             2,665,259               444,351        3,577,185
         2023                       472,575             2,665,259               444,351        3,582,185
         2024                       471,575             2,665,259               444,351        3,581,185
         2025                       474,825             2,665,259               444,351        3,584,435
         2026                       472,075             2,665,259               444,351        3,581,685
         2027                       470,050             2,665,259               444,351        3,579,660
         2028                       471,750             2,665,259               444,351        3,581,360
         2029                       467,925             2,665,259               444,351        3,577,535
         2030                       468,750             2,665,259               444,351        3,578,360
         2031                       463,000             2,665,259               444,351        3,572,610
         2032                       466,875             2,665,259               444,351        3,576,485
         2033                                           2,665,259               444,351        3,109,610
         2034                                           2,665,259               444,351        3,109,610
         2035                                           2,665,259               444,351        3,109,610
         2036                                           2,665,259               444,351        3,109,610
         2037                                                                   444,351          444,351
         2038                                                                   444,351          444,351
         2039                                                                   444,351          444,351
         2040                                                                   444,351          444,351
         2041                                                                   444,351          444,351
         2042                                                                   444,351          444,351
         2043                                                                   444,351          444,351
         2044                                                                   444,351          444,351
         2045                                                                   444,351          444,351
         2046                                                                   444,351          444,351
         2047                                                                   444,351          444,351
         2048                                                                   444,351          444,351
         2049                                                                   444,351          444,351
         2050                                                                                          0

 * Loan amount reflects $4 million of principal forgiveness (grant funding).

      BARTLE WELLS ASSOCIATES                                                                           11
      City of Paso Robles Wastewater Rate Study
3.2 Financial Challenges
The City’s wastewater utility is facing a number of financial challenges that will drive the need for rate
increases in upcoming years. These financial challenges include:

3.2.1     Loss of $700,000 of Revenues from Templeton CSD
In 2019, Templeton Community Services District completed construction of a major sewer project and
subsequently discontinued sending wastewater to the City for treatment and disposal. As a result, the
City experienced a roughly $700,000 loss of annual revenues that were previously paid by the District.

3.2.2     New Debt Service for Tertiary Treatment Facilities
The City needs to fund $444,000 of new annual debt service for repayment of a low‐interest‐rate State
Revolving Fund issued to fund tertiary treatment facilities at the City’s wastewater treatment plant.
With the new SRF Loan, annual debt service will total almost $3.6 million per year.

3.2.3     Rehabilitation and Replacement of Aging Sewer Infrastructure
In 2019, the City developed and adopted a Wastewater Collection System Renewal Strategy and Master
Plan that identifies over $50 million (in 2019 dollars) of capital improvements needed to address
deficiencies and replace aging sewer collection system infrastructure. With construction cost inflation,
the projects are expected to cost over $80 million.

The City plans to fund roughly $9.7 million of improvements that benefit existing ratepayers over the
next five years based on a reduced capital improvement program that only addresses the City’s highest‐
priority capital needs. The reduced capital improvement program is attached in Appendix A. Current
rates provide no funding for capital projects. Additional capital improvements needed to serve growth
will be funded entirely by new development.

3.2.4     Eliminate Annual Budget Deficits
As noted, the wastewater enterprise has been operating in deficit mode in recent years. This has
resulted in the need for the City to draw down over $6 million of fund reserves to meet annual expenses
over the past three years. A substantial budget deficit is also anticipated in the current fiscal year,
resulting in fund reserves being drawn down below prudent minimal levels. Rate increases are needed
to eliminate annual budget deficits and restore financial stability.

3.2.5     Achieve Compliance with Debt Covenants
Pursuant to the legal covenants securing all three of the City’s outstanding wastewater debt obligations,
the City is required to raise rates and charges as needed to achieve a debt service coverage ratio of 1.10x
on annual debt service. This means that rates and charges must be increased to generate annual
revenues that are adequate to fund operating expenses and 110% of annual debt service. Rate increases
are needed to bring the City back into compliance with its debt covenants.

     BARTLE WELLS ASSOCIATES                                                                            12
     City of Paso Robles Wastewater Rate Study
3.3 Wastewater Financial Projections
BWA developed 10‐year cash flow projections to identify annual revenue requirements of the
wastewater enterprise and evaluate rate increase options. The financial projections incorporate the
latest information available as well as a number of reasonable and slightly conservative assumptions.
Key assumptions include:

Revenue Assumptions
   The projections assume the first rate increase becomes effective July 1, 2021, which will be exactly
    5 years after the City’s last wastewater rate increase in 2016. Future rate adjustments are projected
    to go into effect on April 1 of each year following the annual calculation of average monthly winter
    water use that is the basis for single family residential charges.
   Sewer User Fee revenues are based on City year‐end estimates for fiscal year 2019/20 adjusted to
    account for projected rate increases. For financial planning purposes, the projections assume
    increases in billed sewer use due to growth is offset by declines in customer demand.
   Sewer connection fee revenues are based on projected average annual growth of 100 new single
    family homes or equivalents per year. This level of growth is higher than the City has experienced in
    recent history. However, the City believes this is a reasonable and conservative level of growth to
    use for financial planning as significant new development is anticipated in upcoming years with a
    number of development projects in various stages of planning.
   Interest earnings are projected based on the beginning fund balance projected each year multiplied
    by projected interest rates that gradually increase from 0.5% to 1.5% in upcoming years.
   New development pays 100% for capital improvements needed to serve growth. The projections
    assume direct developer contributions will fund a little under $12 million of capital improvement
    projects allocated to new development over the next 5 years including a) upsizing sewers in
    Commerce Way, Scott St, and Flag Way needed to accommodate flows from two developments, and
    b) design and construction of Phase 2 Airport Area Infrastructure Improvements.
   The projections exclude funding for a future recycled water distribution system and assume these
    costs would be funded by future recycled water customers. The projections also assume the
    wastewater utility will be reimbursed from future debt proceeds for $1.6 million of expenditures
    previously incurred on evaluation and design of the first phase of an anticipated recycled water
    distribution system.

Expense Assumptions
   Operating and maintenance expenses are based on the City’s budget for the current fiscal year and
    City staff projections for future years which include a slightly higher level of anticipated operating
    expenses in Fiscal Year 2021/22 and overall future cost inflation of roughly 4%.

     BARTLE WELLS ASSOCIATES                                                                           13
     City of Paso Robles Wastewater Rate Study
   The projections assume the City does not issue any new wastewater debt. The City is aware it may
      need to pledge its wastewater enterprise revenues to help provide debt repayment security for a
      potential future State Revolving Fund Loan or other financing for construction of a recycled water
      distribution system, even though the City anticipates these costs would be funded by future recycled
      water customers.
     The projections incorporate an updated Wastewater Capital Improvement Program developed by
      City staff that includes reduced levels of capital funding in early years to help facilitate a phase in of
      wastewater rate increases. Capital expenditures in the current fiscal year 2020/21 are based on
      revised City estimates for the current year and include approximately $2.4 million of carryover
      funding for projects budgeted, but not funded, in prior years. After 5 years, capital improvements
      allocated to City ratepayers are projected at $2.8 per million per year plus 3% cost escalation and
      capital improvements for new development are projected at $0.8 million, roughly aligned with
      projected wastewater connection fee revenues.

  Fund Reserves & Debt Service Coverage
     The projections assume the City continues to down fund reserves in the current fiscal year 2020/21
      before rate increases are implemented to restore financial stability. Fund reserves are expected to
      remain below prudent minimal levels until the City can gradually build back up fund reserves in
      future years.
     Debt service coverage is projected to remain temporarily below required minimum levels in the
      current fiscal year. The initial rate increase is projected to enable the City to meet its debt coverage
      requirements starting next fiscal year 2021/22.

  3.4 Rate Increase Scenarios
  BWA developed cash flow projections under two rate increase scenarios shown on the following pages:
  C) Phase In Rate Increases: In this scenario, wastewater rate increases are phased in as gradually as
     possible but require a larger increase the first year in order to fund projected annual expenses,
     restore financial stability, and achieve debt service coverage requirements.
  D) Large Up‐Front Rate Increase: This scenario is shown for comparison assuming adoption of a large
     up front rate increase to immediately generate adequate funding to both restore financial stability
     and support more prudent levels of fund reserves. This scenario assumes no additional rate
     increases for three years followed smaller future rate increases starting in 2024.

                                            July 1      April 1         April 1        April 1         April 1
                                            2021         2022            2003           2024            2025
A) Phase In Rate Increases                   24%          8%              8%             8%              8%

B) Large Up‐Front Rate Increase              50%          0%              0%             5%              5%

        BARTLE WELLS ASSOCIATES                                                                               14
        City of Paso Robles Wastewater Rate Study
A) Phase In Rate Increases                                           City of Paso Robles ‐ Sewer Cash Flow Projections
                                                                                                                         2019/20          2020/21            2021/22            2022/23             2023/24              2024/25          2025/26            2026/27            2027/28            2028/29            2029/30
                                                                      Effective Date of Rate Increase (tbd)                                               July 1    April 1           April 1                April 1          April 1         April 1              April 1            April 1            April 1          April 1
                                                                      Sewer Rate Increase Target                                                          24%         8%                 8%                    8%               8%               4%                  4%                 3%                 3%                2%
                                                                      Growth EDUs                                                30                50                100               100                   100              100              100                 100                100                100               100
                                                                      Change in Billed Usage                                                     0.0%               0.0%               0.0%                  0.0%             0.0%             0.0%                0.0%               0.0%               0.0%              0.0%
                                                                      Interest Earnings Rate                                    2.0%             0.5%              0.75%               1.0%                  1.5%             1.5%             1.5%                1.5%               1.5%               1.5%              1.5%

                                                                      Beginning Sewer Fund Reserves                     $5,426,000       $3,120,000         ($942,000)        ($1,048,000)        $347,000              $1,433,000       $1,144,000        $2,027,000         $1,886,000         $2,590,000          $2,499,000
                                                                      Beginning SRF Debt Reserves                        2,712,000
                                                                                                                       __________         3,110,000
                                                                                                                                        __________          3,110,000
                                                                                                                                                          __________            3,110,000
                                                                                                                                                                              __________          3,110,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                __________               3,110,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                       __________         3,110,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        __________          3,110,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          __________           3,110,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             __________           3,110,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                __________            3,110,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    __________
                                                                       Total                                             8,138,000        6,230,000         2,168,000           2,062,000         3,457,000              4,543,000        4,254,000         5,137,000          4,996,000          5,700,000           5,609,000

                                                                      REVENUES
                                                                      Sewer User Fees                                    8,874,000        8,857,000        11,129,000          12,019,000        12,981,000             14,019,000       15,041,000        15,643,000         16,241,000         16,729,000          17,202,000
                                                                      Templeton CSD Charges                                560,000                0                 0                   0                 0                      0                0                 0                  0                  0                   0
                                                                      Interest Earnings                                    120,000           31,000            16,000              21,000            52,000                 68,000           64,000            77,000             75,000             86,000              84,000
                                                                      Sewer Connection Fees                                297,000          400,000           810,000             810,000           810,000                810,000          810,000           810,000            810,000            810,000             810,000

                                            BARTLE WELLS ASSOCIATES
                                                                      Other Revenues                                        38,000
                                                                                                                       __________            32,000
                                                                                                                                        __________            100,000
                                                                                                                                                          __________              100,000
                                                                                                                                                                              __________            100,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                __________                 100,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                       __________           100,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        __________            100,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          __________             100,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             __________             100,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                __________              100,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    __________
                                                                      Total Revenues                                     9,889,000        9,320,000        12,055,000          12,950,000         13,943,000            14,997,000       16,015,000        16,630,000         17,226,000         17,725,000          18,196,000

                                                                      Developer Funding for Capital Projects                              2,580,000                             9,400,000

City of Paso Robles Wastewater Rate Study
                                                                      SRF Reimbursement for RW Distribution                                                                     1,600,000

                                                                      EXPENSES
                                                                      Operating & Maintenance                            Estimated YE          Budget      1st 4 items are from Matt's revised projections
                                                                      Sewer Collection 19/20 incl 711K cap outlay        1,864,000        1,389,000         1,511,000           1,569,000         1,629,000              1,692,000        1,757,000         1,826,000          1,898,000          1,973,000           2,052,000
                                                                      Sewer Treatment                                    3,065,000        3,727,000         4,295,000           4,475,000         4,665,000              4,864,000        5,072,000         5,292,000          5,523,000          5,765,000           6,020,000
                                                                      Source Control                                       243,000          309,000           360,000             370,000           381,000                392,000          403,000           414,000            426,000            438,000             451,000
                                                                      Stormwater Management                                344,000          314,000           367,000             379,000           391,000                403,000          416,000           430,000            443,000            458,000             472,000
                                                                      Utility Billing                           3.0%       422,000          452,000           466,000             480,000           494,000                509,000          524,000           540,000            556,000            573,000             590,000
                                                                      Cost Alloc Transfers to GF                3.0%       546,000
                                                                                                                       __________           500,000
                                                                                                                                        __________            515,000
                                                                                                                                                          __________              530,000
                                                                                                                                                                              __________            546,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                __________                 562,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                       __________           579,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        __________            596,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          __________             614,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             __________             632,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                __________              651,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    __________
                                                                       Subtotal                                          6,484,000        6,691,000         7,514,000           7,803,000          8,106,000             8,422,000        8,751,000         9,098,000          9,460,000          9,839,000         10,236,000
                                                                      Debt Service
                                                                      2012 Wastewater Rev Refi Bonds                       468,000          462,000           468,000             473,000           472,000                475,000          472,000           470,000            472,000            468,000             469,000
                                                                      2013 SRF Loan (WWTP)                               2,665,000        2,665,000         2,665,000           2,665,000         2,665,000              2,665,000        2,665,000         2,665,000          2,665,000          2,665,000           2,665,000
                                                                      2017 SRF Loan (Tertiary)                             360,000
                                                                                                                       __________           444,000
                                                                                                                                        __________            444,000
                                                                                                                                                          __________              444,000
                                                                                                                                                                              __________            444,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                __________                 444,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                       __________           444,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        __________            444,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          __________             444,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             __________             444,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                __________              444,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    __________
                                                                       Total                                             3,493,000        3,571,000         3,577,000           3,582,000          3,581,000             3,584,000        3,581,000         3,579,000          3,581,000          3,577,000           3,578,000
                                                                      Capital/Non‐Operating                                              With Carryover                                                                                               Average Annual Capital Funding for Ratepayer CIP Allocation
                                                                      Capital: Ratepayer Allocation                      3,276,000        3,120,000         1,070,000           1,770,000         1,170,000              2,570,000        2,800,000         2,884,000          2,971,000          3,060,000           3,152,000
                                                                      Capital: New Development Allocation              included above
                                                                                                                       __________         2,580,000
                                                                                                                                        __________        __________‐           9,400,000
                                                                                                                                                                              __________        __________‐                710,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                       __________       __________‐         1,210,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          __________             510,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             __________           1,340,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                __________              660,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    __________
                                                                       Subtotal                                          3,276,000        5,700,000         1,070,000          11,170,000         1,170,000              3,280,000        2,800,000         4,094,000          3,481,000          4,400,000           3,812,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Table 5. Wastewater Cash Flow Projections A – Phase In Rate Increases

                                                                      Total Expenses                                    13,253,000       15,962,000        12,161,000          22,555,000         12,857,000            15,286,000       15,132,000        16,771,000         16,522,000         17,816,000          17,626,000

                                                                      Revenues Less Expenses                            (3,364,000)      (4,062,000)            (106,000)       1,395,000          1,086,000              (289,000)        883,000            (141,000)          704,000             (91,000)          570,000
                                                                      Net Transfer to SRF Debt Reserves                    398,000                   ‐                  ‐                  ‐                     ‐                ‐               ‐                    ‐                  ‐                  ‐                ‐

                                                                      Ending Sewer Fund Reserves                         1,664,000         (942,000)       (1,048,000)            347,000         1,433,000              1,144,000        2,027,000         1,886,000          2,590,000          2,499,000           3,069,000
                                                                      SRF Debt Reserve Requirement                       3,110,000
                                                                                                                       __________         3,110,000
                                                                                                                                        __________          3,110,000
                                                                                                                                                          __________            3,110,000
                                                                                                                                                                              __________          3,110,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                __________               3,110,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                       __________         3,110,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        __________          3,110,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          __________           3,110,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             __________           3,110,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                __________            3,110,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    __________

                                            15
                                                                       Total                                             4,774,000        2,168,000         2,062,000           3,457,000         4,543,000              4,254,000        5,137,000         4,996,000          5,700,000          5,609,000           6,179,000
                                                                      Minimum Reserve Target: 25% O&M + $1M CIP          2,621,000        2,673,000         2,879,000           2,951,000          3,027,000             3,106,000        3,188,000         3,275,000          3,365,000          3,460,000           3,559,000
                                                                      Debt Service Coverage (Min > 1.10x)                     0.97             0.74              1.27                1.44               1.63                  1.83             2.03              2.10               2.17               2.20                2.22
B) Large Upfront Rate Increase                                        City of Paso Robles ‐ Sewer Cash Flow Projections
                                                                                                                         2019/20           2020/21              2021/22            2022/23             2023/24              2024/25          2025/26            2026/27            2027/28            2028/29           2029/30
                                                                      Effective Date of Rate Increase (tbd)                                                  July 1   April 1            April 1                April 1          April 1         April 1              April 1            April 1            April 1          April 1
                                                                      Sewer Rate Increase Target                                                             50%         0%                 0%                    5%               5%               4%                  4%                 3%                 3%               3%
                                                                      Growth EDUs                                                30                 50                  100               100                   100              100              100                 100                100                100              100
                                                                      Change in Billed Usage                                                      0.0%                 0.0%               0.0%                  0.0%             0.0%             0.0%                0.0%               0.0%               0.0%             0.0%
                                                                      Interest Earnings Rate                                    2.0%              0.5%                0.75%               1.0%                  1.5%             1.5%             1.5%                1.5%               1.5%               1.5%             1.5%

                                                                      Beginning Sewer Fund Reserves                     $5,426,000       $3,120,000            ($942,000)        $1,108,000         $3,790,000             $5,343,000       $5,160,000        $5,806,000         $5,413,000         $5,850,000         $5,477,000
                                                                      Beginning SRF Debt Reserves                        2,712,000
                                                                                                                       __________         3,110,000
                                                                                                                                        __________             3,110,000
                                                                                                                                                             __________           3,110,000
                                                                                                                                                                                __________           3,110,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                   __________               3,110,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          __________         3,110,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           __________          3,110,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             __________           3,110,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                __________           3,110,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   __________           3,110,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      __________
                                                                       Total                                             8,138,000        6,230,000            2,168,000          4,218,000          6,900,000              8,453,000        8,270,000         8,916,000          8,523,000          8,960,000          8,587,000

                                                                      REVENUES
                                                                      Sewer User Fees                                    8,874,000        8,857,000           13,285,000         13,285,000         13,396,000             14,066,000       14,744,000        15,334,000         15,921,000         16,399,000         16,891,000
                                                                      Templeton CSD Charges                                560,000                0                    0                  0                  0                      0                0                 0                  0                  0                  0
                                                                      Interest Earnings                                    120,000           31,000               16,000             42,000            104,000                127,000          124,000           134,000            128,000            134,000            129,000
                                                                      Sewer Connection Fees                                297,000          400,000              810,000            810,000            810,000                810,000          810,000           810,000            810,000            810,000            810,000

                                            BARTLE WELLS ASSOCIATES
                                                                      Other Revenues                                        38,000
                                                                                                                       __________            32,000
                                                                                                                                        __________               100,000
                                                                                                                                                             __________             100,000
                                                                                                                                                                                __________             100,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                   __________                 100,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          __________           100,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           __________            100,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             __________             100,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                __________             100,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   __________             100,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      __________
                                                                      Total Revenues                                     9,889,000        9,320,000           14,211,000         14,237,000         14,410,000             15,103,000       15,778,000        16,378,000         16,959,000         17,443,000         17,930,000
                                                                      Developer Funding for Capital Projects                               2,580,000                               9,400,000

City of Paso Robles Wastewater Rate Study
                                                                      SRF Reimbursement for RW Distribution                                                                        1,600,000

                                                                      EXPENSES
                                                                      Operating & Maintenance                            Estimated YE           Budget        1st 4 items are from Matt's revised projections
                                                                      Sewer Collection 19/20 incl 711K cap outlay        1,864,000        1,389,000            1,511,000          1,569,000          1,629,000              1,692,000        1,757,000         1,826,000          1,898,000          1,973,000          2,052,000
                                                                      Sewer Treatment                                    3,065,000        3,727,000            4,295,000          4,475,000          4,665,000              4,864,000        5,072,000         5,292,000          5,523,000          5,765,000          6,020,000
                                                                      Source Control                                       243,000          309,000              360,000            370,000            381,000                392,000          403,000           414,000            426,000            438,000            451,000
                                                                      Stormwater Management                                344,000          314,000              367,000            379,000            391,000                403,000          416,000           430,000            443,000            458,000            472,000
                                                                      Utility Billing                           3.0%       422,000          452,000              466,000            480,000            494,000                509,000          524,000           540,000            556,000            573,000            590,000
                                                                      Cost Alloc Transfers to GF                3.0%       546,000
                                                                                                                       __________           500,000
                                                                                                                                        __________               515,000
                                                                                                                                                             __________             530,000
                                                                                                                                                                                __________             546,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                   __________                 562,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          __________           579,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           __________            596,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             __________             614,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                __________             632,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   __________             651,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      __________
                                                                       Subtotal                                          6,484,000        6,691,000            7,514,000           7,803,000          8,106,000             8,422,000        8,751,000         9,098,000          9,460,000          9,839,000         10,236,000
                                                                      Debt Service
                                                                      2012 Wastewater Rev Refi Bonds                       468,000          462,000              468,000            473,000            472,000                475,000          472,000           470,000            472,000            468,000            469,000
                                                                      2013 SRF Loan (WWTP)                               2,665,000        2,665,000            2,665,000          2,665,000          2,665,000              2,665,000        2,665,000         2,665,000          2,665,000          2,665,000          2,665,000
                                                                      2017 SRF Loan (Tertiary)                             360,000
                                                                                                                       __________           444,000
                                                                                                                                        __________               444,000
                                                                                                                                                             __________             444,000
                                                                                                                                                                                __________             444,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                   __________                 444,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          __________           444,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           __________            444,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             __________             444,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                __________             444,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   __________             444,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      __________
                                                                       Total                                             3,493,000         3,571,000           3,577,000           3,582,000          3,581,000             3,584,000        3,581,000         3,579,000          3,581,000          3,577,000          3,578,000
                                                                      Capital/Non‐Operating                                             With Carryover                                                                                                     Average Annual Capital Funding for Ratepayer Allocation
                                                                      Capital: Ratepayer Allocation                      3,276,000        3,120,000            1,070,000          1,770,000          1,170,000              2,570,000        2,800,000         2,884,000          2,971,000          3,060,000          3,152,000
                                                                      Capital: New Development Allocation              included above
                                                                                                                       __________         2,580,000
                                                                                                                                        __________           __________‐          9,400,000
                                                                                                                                                                                __________         __________‐                710,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          __________       __________‐         1,210,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             __________             510,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                __________           1,340,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   __________             660,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      __________
                                                                       Subtotal                                           3,276,000       5,700,000            1,070,000         11,170,000          1,170,000              3,280,000        2,800,000         4,094,000          3,481,000          4,400,000          3,812,000
                                                                      Total Expenses                                    13,253,000       15,962,000           12,161,000         22,555,000          12,857,000            15,286,000       15,132,000        16,771,000         16,522,000         17,816,000         17,626,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Table 6. Wastewater Cash Flow Projections B – Large Up‐Front Rate Increase

                                                                      Revenues Less Expenses                            (3,364,000)      (4,062,000)           2,050,000           2,682,000          1,553,000              (183,000)        646,000            (393,000)          437,000           (373,000)          304,000
                                                                      Net Transfer to SRF Debt Reserves                    398,000                       ‐                ‐                   ‐                     ‐                ‐               ‐                    ‐                  ‐                  ‐                ‐

                                                                      Ending Sewer Fund Reserves                         1,664,000         (942,000)           1,108,000          3,790,000          5,343,000              5,160,000        5,806,000         5,413,000          5,850,000          5,477,000          5,781,000
                                                                      SRF Debt Reserve Requirement                       3,110,000
                                                                                                                       __________         3,110,000
                                                                                                                                        __________             3,110,000
                                                                                                                                                             __________           3,110,000
                                                                                                                                                                                __________           3,110,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                   __________               3,110,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          __________         3,110,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           __________          3,110,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             __________           3,110,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                __________           3,110,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   __________           3,110,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      __________

                                            16
                                                                       Total                                             4,774,000        2,168,000            4,218,000          6,900,000          8,453,000              8,270,000        8,916,000         8,523,000          8,960,000          8,587,000          8,891,000
                                                                      Minimum Reserve Target: 25% O&M + $1M CIP          2,621,000        2,673,000            2,879,000           2,951,000          3,027,000             3,106,000        3,188,000         3,275,000          3,365,000          3,460,000          3,559,000
                                                                      Debt Service Coverage (Min > 1.10x)                     0.97             0.74                 1.87                1.80               1.76                  1.86             1.96              2.03               2.09               2.13               2.15
Figure 5 shows a projection of annual revenues and expenses based on the cash flow projections for
Scenario B with a 5‐year phase in of rate increases coupled with reduced capital improvement funding in
the early years.

                                 Figure 5: Projected Revenues & Expenses

     BARTLE WELLS ASSOCIATES                                                                        17
     City of Paso Robles Wastewater Rate Study
4      WASTEWATER ACCOUNTS & USAGE

4.1 Wastewater Accounts
The City’s wastewater utility currently serves a little under 10,000 total connections. Table 7 shows a
breakdown of customers in the Single Family Residential class which also include duplexes, triplexes and
four‐plexes. Single Family Residential customers account for approximately 92% of the total number of
wastewater connections.

                               Table 7. Single Family Residential Customers
                                       Number of         Dwelling               Total
                                        Accounts       Units per Acct        Dwelling Units

                 Single Family            8,795              1                       8,795
                 Duplex                     190              2                         380
                 Triplex                    114              3                         342
                 4‐Plex                      55
                                        ______               4                         220
                                                                                   ______
                 Total                     9,154                                    9,737

                 Source: Based an analysis utility billing data as of September 2020.

Commercial accounts (which include institutional and multi‐family residential buildings with five or more
dwelling units) account for about 8% of the total number of connections. Table 8 shows the number of
Commercial accounts and corresponding 3/4‐inch Meter Equivalents by water meter size based on
standard meter capacities from the American Water Works Association. Each 3‐inch meter, for example,
has the same capacity as ten 3/4‐inch meters.

                  Table 8. Commercial Accounts by Meter Size & Meter Equivalents
              Meter       Meter             Number     Max Flow         Capacity     3/4" Meter
              Code        Size              of Accts   Capacity*        Ratios*      Equivalents

              75B         3/4‐inch            392            30            1.00          392.0
              1B          1‐inch              156            50            1.67          260.0
              15B         1.5‐inch             91           100            3.33          303.3
              2B          2‐inch              125           160            5.33          666.7
              3B          3‐inch               19           300           10.00          190.0
              4B          4‐inch               11           500           16.67          183.3
              6B          6‐inch                1          1000           33.33           33.3
              8B          8‐inch                0
                                            ______         1600           53.33            0.0
                                                                                       _______
              Total                              795                                    2,028.7

              * AWWA standard meter capacities and capacity ratios
              Source: Based an analysis utility billing data as of September 2020.

     BARTLE WELLS ASSOCIATES                                                                          18
     City of Paso Robles Wastewater Rate Study
4.2 Wastewater Discharge
        Table 9 shows projected billable wastewater discharge by month based on slightly conservative
        estimates developed from analysis of historical billing data from recent years. Billed sewer use in the
        prior and current fiscal years has been impacted by Covid‐19 which may result in temporarily reduced
        levels of commercial use and increased levels of residential use.

                                              Table 9. Single Family Residential Customers
                                JUL      AUG        SEP      OCT       NOV       DEC       JAN        FEB     MAR        APR      MAY       JUN      TOTAL
Single Family Residential (1‐4 Units)
Billed Monthly Use (hcf)      56,000    56,000    56,000    53,000    52,000    51,000    50,000     50,000   50,000     51,000   52,000   53,000    630,000

Commercial/Multifamily
Billed Monthly Use (hcf)      44,000    44,000    44,000    42,000    42,000    40,000    38,000     38,000   38,000     38,000   40,000   42,000    490,000

Total                        100,000 100,000 100,000        95,000    94,000    91,000    88,000     88,000   88,000     89,000   92,000   95,000   1,120,000

Source: Slightly conservative estimates based on analysis of historical City utility billing data.
Note: FY2020/21 residential billed use expected to be a little higher due to a temporarily higher Sewer Billing Basis.

        Figure 6 shows a distribution of average monthly winter water use for single family residential customers
        based on data from December 2019 through February 2020, the period used to determine each
        customers’ sewer billing basis for wastewater charges in the current fiscal year.

                                        Figure 6: Single Family Residential Winter Water Use

              BARTLE WELLS ASSOCIATES                                                                                                               19
              City of Paso Robles Wastewater Rate Study
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