CHINA MENGNIU DAIRY COMPANY LIMITED (2319.HK) - Mengniu to acquire Lion Dairy & Drinks business in Australia November 2019
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CHINA MENGNIU DAIRY COMPANY LIMITED (2319.HK) Mengniu to acquire Lion Dairy & Drinks business in Australia November 2019
Legal disclaimer The presentation is prepared by China Mengniu Dairy Company Limited (the “Company”) and is solely for the purpose of corporate communication and general reference only. The presentation is not intended as an offer to sell, or to solicit an offer to buy or to for many basis of investment decision for any class of securities of the Company in any jurisdiction. All such information should not be used or relied on without professional advice. The presentation is a brief summary in nature and does not purport to be a complete description of the Company, its business, its current or historical operating results or its future business prospects. This presentation contains projections and forward looking statements that may reflect the Company’s current views with respect to future events and financial performance. This presentation is provided without any warranty or representation of any kind, either expressed or implied. The Company specifically disclaims all responsibilities in respect of any use or reliance of any information, whether financial or otherwise, contained in this presentation. The Company undertakes no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. 2
Proposed acquisition of Lion Dairy & Drinks 100% of the shares in Lion Dairy & Drinks Pty Limited (“Dairy & Drinks” or “D&D”)1, a leading Target Australia-based branded dairy and beverage company Share sale and purchase agreement with Kirin Foods Australia Holdings Pty Ltd, a wholly-owned Acquisition Method subsidiary of Japan-based Kirin Holdings Co. Cash consideration of A$600 million (equivalent to approximately RMB 2,868 million or HKD 3,187 Consideration million2), subject to completion adjustments Subject to Australian regulatory approvals (Foreign Investment Review Board and Australian Conditions Competition and Consumer Commission) Execution of share sale and purchase agreement: 24 November 2019 Timetable Completion expected in 1H CY2020, subject to timing of receipt of Australian regulatory approvals Note: 1. Excluding the Specialty Cheese business which was recently sold to Saputo Dairy Australia, a subsidiary of Saputo Inc. (a Canada-based manufacturer of dairy products) (completed October 2019). 2. Based on AUD/RMB exchange rate of 4.78 and AUD/HKD exchange rate of 5.31 (as at 22 November 2019). 3
A highly attractive acquisition for Mengniu Quality assets Iconic household brands, access to highly regarded Australian milk pool and support Asia extensive manufacturing and cold chain networks provide a strong foundation Pacific for Mengniu to unlock tremendous potential in the Asia Pacific markets strategy An important milestone, post-Bellamy’s, in formulating an integrated regional Regional player with a multi-category / multi-brand portfolio to serve consumers in integration Australia, China and South East Asia (“SEA”) Dairy & Drinks Considerable Anticipated realisation of meaningful synergy benefits as Mengniu builds and synergy consolidates regional supply chain networks and direct sourcing from potential Australia 4
Iconic household brand portfolio ♦ D&D’s range of iconic Australian household dairy brands have a strong Australian heritage, history and reputation for quality. Together with the Bellamy’s brand, Mengniu will have an impressive suite of Australian brands with strong market recognition. ♦ Mengniu plans to continue building D&D’s brands to unlock their full potential in Australia, China and SEA through: ̶ Continued investment to strengthen heritage brands and develop emerging brands in Australia, through capacity and capability enhancements as well as a continued focus on product innovation ̶ Assisting D&D to access international markets via Mengniu’s extensive platform Selection of D&D’s brands, by category1 Milk Beverages Yoghurt White Milk Juice & Drinks Water Ice Plant-based 3 10+ years 35+ years 115+ years 10+ years 45+ years 40 years 120 years 4 years 1 year 2 years 2 years ~30 years Market position2 #1 #1 #2 #1 #1 #1 Source: D&D information. Note: 1. Years denote number of years brand has been in existence. 2. Market share for Juice & Drinks represents Chilled Juice only. 3. A joint venture between D&D and Vitasoy International Holding Limited. 5
Availability of high quality milk supply, competitive pricing and geographic proximity make Australia an ideal dairy region for China and SEA Australia is a source of high quality milk supply ♦ Strong reputation for high quality milk supply and dairy products, particularly amongst consumers in China and SEA ♦ ~34% of Australia’s domestic dairy production is exported Cost competitive nature of raw milk in Australia ♦ Raw milk in Australia is cost competitive relative to raw milk sourced in China ♦ Access to the Australian milk pool provides Mengniu with a sustainable long-term path to alleviating cost pressures from domestic supply Geographical and trade advantage in supplying China and SEA ♦ Australia is the closest scale raw milk production base to China and SEA ♦ Dairy export tariffs between Australia and China expected to gradually decrease to zero, according to free trade agreements Opportunities provided by dairy sector consolidation ♦ Whilst fragmented, the Australian dairy sector continues to consolidate, presenting opportunities for Mengniu Australian and New Zealand farmgate milk price (cents / litre, in respective local currencies, and RMB / litre)1 2.64 2.91 2.40 2.44 2.45 2.30 2.20 2.32 2.32 2.20 RMB per litre 2.03 1.77 2.12 2.05 1.99 2.11 1.89 2.03 2.11 1.96 2.12 1.65 1.53 1.35 Australia Australian / New New Zealand Zealand cents per litre 42.5 36.5 37.1 46.9 42.8 58.5 41.6 46.8 39.5 44.9 50.2 64.6 48.2 33.8 44.2 30.0 41.0 47.1 46.0 51.5 48.5 48.8 51.0 54.2 08/09 09/10 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 15/16 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20F Source: Australian Bureau of Agricultural and Resource Economics and Sciences. Note: 1. Conversion to RMB based on AUD/RMB exchange rate of 4.78 and NZD/RMB exchange rate of 4.51 (as at 22 November 2019). 2. New Zealand farmgate milk price should be considered illustrative only as it is 6 based on Fonterra’s farmgate milk price and has been converted from kg/MS to cents per litre by dividing by 13.
Extensive supply chain networks provide strong foundation Access to high quality Australian Large scale, well-invested, national Largest national cold chain milk supply manufacturing capability distribution network ♦ D&D has a proven track record of ♦ Significant manufacturing capability in ♦ Significant scale and reach across long-term and stable milk supply, even Australia, supported by material Australia which provides unrivalled during Australian drought conditions investment in recent years advantages in bringing new products to market ♦ Will help Mengniu to alleviate ̶ Best-in-class Milk Beverages increasing milk supply costs in China facility ♦ Hard-to-replicate cold chain network and unlock sustainable future growth ̶ One of the largest fruit procurement ♦ Mengniu will support D&D in operations in Australia accessing the Chinese market via in- market expertise and investment in ♦ Future international growth aspirations to be supported through utilisation of ~150 depots / distribution centres manufacturing capability and capacity (~50 owned) significant available capacity and additional investment by Mengniu 13 manufacturing facilities across Australia >35,000 customers across multiple channels Loyal supplier base ~280 dairy farmers ~85 fruit growers 2 facilities Major grocery Independent retail Impulse Long term and stable milk supply (p.a.) 1facility 1facility 5 facilities ~825 million (milk equivalent litres) 3facilities 1facility Source: D&D information. 7
Consistent with Mengniu’s growth strategy Roll out new Expand Healthy growth Turn around Ice businesses in into overseas markets maintained for Room Cream and IMF fresh milk, cheese with near-term focus Temperature and business etc. on SEA and Chilled Business Australia ♦ Recent and pending investments to secure milk supply ♦ Entry into Australian market through indirect investment in (e.g. China Modern Dairy Holdings in 2017 and China Burra Foods in 2016 Shengmu Organic Milk Limited in 20181) ♦ Indonesia Yoyi C factory commenced operation in 2018 ♦ Continued investment in both existing and new sites to increase capacity to meet demand growth ♦ Expansion in sales network in SEA ♦ Enhancing route-to-market efficiency through channel ♦ Enhanced Australian presence through proposed empowerment projects acquisition of Bellamy’s Organic in 2019 D&D acquisition provides a pathway for sustainable growth in both Room Temperature and Chilled Business as well as Asia Pacific market expansion Note: 1. Represents year of announcement. 8
Fully integrated player to serve SEA and China markets D&D has integrated capability from procurement to distribution Procurement Processing Sales and marketing Cold chain distribution Diverse product portfolio via combination of D&D1, Bellamy’s and Burra Foods Functional ingredients Milk powder 2 Nutritional milk powders Milk Beverages & Yoghurt White Milk Chilled Juice Formula Food Bulk liquid Alternatives Note: 1. D&D portfolio also includes Ambient Juice and Water Ice. 2. D&D has the exclusive right to sell and distribute Yoplait branded products within defined territories, in accordance with a master franchise agreement with Sodima. Defined territories include Australia, Singapore, Malaysia, the Philippines, Indonesia, Thailand, Vietnam, 9 Hong Kong, Taiwan, Brunei and the Maldives. Specifically excluded territories include Mainland China, Japan, South Korea, New Zealand, PNG, New Caledonia and Fiji.
Platform to drive growth in “One Belt, One Road” regions ♦ D&D’s market leading positions in Australia provide Mengniu D&D’s yoghurt market position in SEA and China with an immediate presence and established platform in the Australian market ♦ D&D currently also distributes products internationally, into SEA and China, with a core focus on yoghurt ̶ Number of market leading yoghurt positions in SEA, most Mainland China notably in Singapore where D&D has a ~35% total market ~60% share of the imported share and ~55% premium market share Australian yoghurt segment Thailand ̶ Opportunity for Mengniu to continue to drive growth in #1 in imported yoghurt D&D’s yoghurt positions in SEA Vietnam Philippines ♦ Significant potential for launching other product categories #13 in yoghurt Malaysia Top 5 in yoghurt (such as milk based beverages) into the SEA markets #1 in imported yoghurt ♦ Consistent with (and complementary to) Mengniu’s strategy to grow in SEA and Australia Singapore Indonesia #1 in yoghurt #5 in yoghurt ̶ Through disciplined investment in manufacturing capacity / capability and new product development, Mengniu expects to drive further growth in Australia as well as exports into SEA and China D&D’s yoghurt brands in international markets 1 Source: D&D information. Note: 1. D&D has the exclusive right to sell and distribute Yoplait branded products within defined territories, in accordance with a master franchise agreement with Sodima. Defined territories include Australia, Singapore, Malaysia, the Philippines, Indonesia, Thailand, Vietnam, Hong Kong, 10 Taiwan, Brunei and the Maldives. Specifically excluded territories include Mainland China, Japan, South Korea, New Zealand, PNG, New Caledonia and Fiji.
Considerable synergy potential as Mengniu builds and consolidates the supply chain Ultra-high temperature (UHT) Procurement efficiencies Other potential synergies production ♦ Mengniu currently outsources the ♦ Supply chain efficiencies in the ♦ Potential benefits from complementary production of some of its UHT milk sourcing of raw milk given increased base of operations in Australia across operational scale and flexibility across D&D, Burra Foods and Bellamy’s to ♦ Preliminary analysis indicates that Mengniu’s Australian platform be explored some D&D facilities may be potential candidates for in-house UHT ♦ Procurement cost saving opportunities ̶ Shared distribution network / processing for non-milk inputs increased product throughput ♦ In-house UHT processing has the ♦ Implementation of production ̶ Potential sharing of infrastructure potential to realise material cost capabilities / technologies to facilitate and back office systems (e.g. IT savings export of milk to Mengniu’s existing platforms, office occupancy) markets overseas ♦ R&D efficiencies ̶ Ability to realise material cost savings through in-sourcing (given ♦ Sales and marketing collaboration some production is currently ♦ Cross-selling across brands and outsourced) products, both in Australia and internationally Mengniu expects the impact of identified synergy opportunities to be meaningful over time 11
Key financials and pro-forma analysis D&D profit before tax (AUD m)1 D&D profit after tax (AUD m)1 D&D net assets (AUD m)2 69.0 65.5 596 48.3 45.8 FY17 FY18 FY17 FY18 Aug-19 Recent profitability (in particular, year-to-date FY19) Net asset value broadly equal to impacted by ongoing drought conditions in Australia purchase consideration which have resulted in higher milk input costs Pro-forma combined analysis (FY18A)1,3 Revenue EBITDA EBITDA margin 10% 8% 7.8% 7.7% 6.6% D&D Mengniu 90% 92% D&D Mengniu Combined Upon realisation of identified synergies, Mengniu expects a material positive financial impact Note: 1. Unaudited pro forma adjusted figures for the financial year ended 31 December. 2. Unaudited pro forma book value of net assets. As part of post- acquisition purchase price accounting (as required by accounting standards), an independent valuer will assess the fair value of assets which may result in a step- 12 up or step-down to book value. 3. Combination based on AUD/RMB exchange rate of 4.78 (as at 22 November 2019).
Q&A 13
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