CHASING THE CHINESE DREAM - ASPIRATIONS AND DILEMMAS OF CHINA'S NEW AFFLUENT CONSUMER CLASS - Oliver Wyman
←
→
Page content transcription
If your browser does not render page correctly, please read the page content below
CHASING THE CHINESE DREAM ASPIRATIONS AND DILEMMAS OF CHINA’S NEW AFFLUENT CONSUMER CLASS AUTHORS Bernhard Kotanko, Partner Jacques Penhirin, Partner Cliff Sheng, Partner Pedro Yip, Principal Jasper Yip, Engagement Manager
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY The Chinese mass affluent class is achieving and dilemmas means that businesses a new state of mind. require a deeper understanding of Chinese motivations to succeed in Given China’s lucrative demographics, capturing opportunities. the mass affluent class (individuals with RMB 650,000 to 6 million investable To this end, we conducted a survey with assets) will be the driving force in shaping 1,000 Chinese mass affluent consumers. the Chinese consumer’s ‘New Normal’. This report shares our perspectives on the A younger, more tech-savvy, and evolution and implications for businesses: free-spending cohort than its Western Chapter 1 highlights the shift in behaviours counterparts, China’s mass affluent towards wealth and lifestyle. Unlike ever population is expected to more than double before, the Chinese are growing comfortable from 15 million in 2015 to 33 million in with their finances and seeking to spend 2020. Wealth is accumulating rapidly with more and invest more, rather than to investable assets projected to increase from harbour savings. Money is going towards RMB 21 trillion in 2015 to RMB 45 trillion in living better, not just having more. 2020. Personal consumption is expected to experience double digit growth, eventually Chapter 2 contrasts the optimism towards accounting for over three-quarters of China’s several dilemmas faced by the Chinese total consumption by 2020. mass affluent class as they strive to upgrade their quality of life. As Chinese This paper aims to reveal the evolving consumers reach for meaningful lifestyles aspirations of the Chinese mass affluent and experiences, the underlying foundation class, and to contrast that with the of economic and social security is shaky. limitations and dilemmas they faced. Discontent over cost of living is widespread While pursuing higher values beyond and profound. Quality providers of wealth material goods, they are still grappling with management and basic welfare are still basic needs. The paradox of aspirations largely lagging. ASPIRATIONS DILEMMAS Savings It’s not just about savings Rising incomes but perceived wealth is not necessarily increasing •• Savings is falling and more money is being allocated to investments •• Insecurities about the future and consumption means savings is still a safe haven and unlikely to fall to western levels Investments Investor appetites are diversifying Desire to broaden investing but untrusting of professional •• Investors are more rational money management and demand more balanced, diversified asset allocation •• Without professional wealth management, wealth is mostly illiquid and consumption power is in deadlock Consumption Rise of the experiential consumer Striving to ‘live well’ but still uneasy about basic welfare •• Consumers are seeking for meaningful experiences to •• There is growing demand for elevate lifestyles upgraded options to social goods to improve well-being Copyright © 2017 Oliver Wyman i
Chapter 3 explains the opportunities As the tastes of Chinese consumers and under the new paradigms of the Chinese investors mature, companies need to consumer and investor. We summarise be more creative and thoughtful in their several new themes that shape the way approach. Opportunities for businesses forward for consumer businesses and are abundant, but no longer ubiquitous. wealth managers to succeed in a new era Uncovering them requires closely following of consuming and investing. the changing desires of the new Chinese mass affluent class. THEMES FOR WEALTH MANAGERS TACTICS TO DEPLOY Strengthen product supply Enhanced product access and information, proprietary products Innovate with product design Fund-of-funds, ETFs Sidestep trust issues Robo-advisory THEMES FOR CONSUMER BUSINESSES TACTICS TO DEPLOY De-commoditise products Personalization, emotional marketing Align distribution strategy Omnichannel integration, flagship stores, global Chinese strategy Shift to services Adjacent services, on-demand access Copyright © 2017 Oliver Wyman ii
1. WHAT’S CHANGING: REACHING HIGHER The evolution of China’s consumers However, with rising levels of affluence, manifests itself in behaviours and attitudes there is good indication that the Chinese around wealth and lifestyle. Our research mass affluent class is more assured about shows that this new consumer class is the security of personal finances and forging new patterns of saving, investing, willing to look beyond savings. Despite and consuming, to support a more the slowing growth of disposable income, sophisticated and urbanized way of life. they are optimistic about the future, with 58 percent of respondents perceiving that disposable income would increase over IT’S NOT JUST the next 12 months. For those who can ABOUT SAVINGS afford it, the preference is overwhelming to spend more rather than save more China has long been seen as a savings- (Exhibit 2). Our survey suggests that about rich economy. The Chinese savings two-thirds of incremental income would rate, at 39 percent, is double that of be funnelled into consumption, leaving Singapore and almost 8 times that of the a combined savings/investment ratio of U.S. (Exhibit 1). Share of savings actually about 30 percent which is materially lower increased as household incomes rose. This than the average Chinese savings rate of phenomenon is not all surprising if savings 39 percent. can be thought of as ‘purchasing peace of mind for a what-if scenario’ – the more you make, the more you can purchase. Exhibit 1: Household saving ratio by country/city (% of household disposable income, 2015)1 China 39% Singapore 19% Taiwan 18% South Korea 7% US 5% EU 4% Japan -1% Source: OECD, Oxford Economics, Oliver Wyman analysis 1. OECD, Oxford Economics, Oliver Wyman analysis Copyright © 2017 Oliver Wyman 2
As financial needs evolve, they are also saving in different ways. Investment Traditional savings is gradually shrinking to make products are increasingly favoured over way for growing preferences towards more investing traditional savings. Half of respondents and consumption. have already increased allocation of income towards financial products and/or Chinese stocks, the top two categories, followed by insurance top-up (Exhibit 3). Respondents intend to allocate more incremental income to investments than savings (Exhibit 2). Exhibit 2: Allocation of additional income of RMB 10,000/month, 2016 % INCOME ALLOCATION % INCOME ALLOCATION OF INVESTMENT 10% Savings (bank, cash) Financial products/funds 7% Chinese stocks/shares 4% Invest in own business 2% Housing in China 2% 20% Investment Insurance top-up 2% Buying bonds 2% Overseas investment 1% Housing overseas 0% % INCOME ALLOCATION OF CONSUMPTION Holidays within China 14% 67% Consumption Holidays overseas 10% Food and drink 10% Personal items 8% Entertainment 6% Children’s education 4% Household items 4% Cars or transport 4% Healthcare/medical 4% Gifts to family/friends 3% 3% Others (e.g. debt) Source: Oliver Wyman Chinese consumer and investor survey 2016, Oliver Wyman analysis Exhibit 3: Increase in investments across asset categories (% yes, 2016) Financial products/funds 55% Invest in Chinese stocks/shares 52% Housing (e.g. Larger house) 38% Insurance top-up 31% Invest in your own business/friend’s business 31% Buying bonds 24% Overseas investment (Stocks/shares) 13% Housing in overseas 9% Source: Oliver Wyman Chinese consumer and investor survey 2016, Oliver Wyman analysis Copyright © 2017 Oliver Wyman 3
INVESTOR APPETITES also planning to do so more conservatively ARE DIVERSIFYING (Exhibit 4). This preference is even stronger for those that are most confident about their Investor mentalities are changing. The investing capabilities. mindset of the past has been very short- The mass affluent class has dabbled across sighted, and the Chinese tended to trade different investment vehicles and hold a much more frequently than global peers, range of assets, with Chinese equities and and some even viewed trading as a hobby.2 Having suffered vastly from stock market bank wealth management products still volatility in recent years, investment being the most common (Exhibit 5). They behaviour is tempering and there are are open to experimenting with financial increasing doubts over the chase of innovations and have taken part in new self-driven absolute returns, leading to Fintech vehicles such as online money more appetite for balanced asset allocation market funds and peer-to-peer products. and risk diversification. While our research Development of financial markets is seeing shows that there is greater near-term new product options and investors are preference to invest more, the Chinese are looking to rebalance portfolios. Exhibit 4: Investment preferences in the next 12 months (% respondents, 2016) Making more Investing more Increasing short- investments conservatively term investment Increase Make more 18% 31% 50% cash savings investments Excellent 66% 48% 42% Invest more Invest more Very good 61% 36% 43% 28% 34% 38% aggressively conservatively Quite good 53% 31% 34% Increase long- Increase short- 33% 29% 38% Neutral 38% 41% 38% term investment term investment Self evaluation of Neutral investment knowledge Source: Oliver Wyman Chinese consumer and investor survey 2016, Oliver Wyman analysis Exhibit 5: Penetration of different types of investment (% respondents, 2016) Bank savings 83% Bank wealth Management products 64% China stocks and shares 58% Life insurance 51% Bonds or fixed deposit savings 37% Property that you lived in 37% Gold/Silver commodities 35% Mutual funds/other wealth management products 34% Investment in peer-to-peer lending 27% Property for investment only 23% Investments in businesses 15% Overseas savings or investments 8% Others 4% Source: Oliver Wyman Chinese consumer and investor survey 2016, Oliver Wyman analysis 2. State Street Center of Applied Research Study Copyright © 2017 Oliver Wyman 4
Wealth management has emerged as a professional service, but unlike mature Investment styles are becoming more rational and markets the model is product-centric practical. Investors seek balanced asset allocation and rather than advisory-centric. Online desire information, breadth of choice, product access, and platforms are successfully catering to mass convenience at low costs. affluent appetites by providing breadth of product access across asset classes and facilitating choices, while exploiting low- We observe tremendous potential in cost distribution and efficient processing. categories associated with experiential These platforms leverage big data to analyse events. New niches have sprung up and investor preferences and risk appetites whole industries are evolving to ride the to deploy targeted sales and marketing. trend. For example, the dining sector For instance, Lufax and Ant Financial offer reached an income of RMB 2,910.5 billion insurance, mutual funds, and quasi-fixed during the first ten months of 2016, income products, and aspire to become representing a 10.9 percent year-on-year “investing supermarkets”. The convenience increase and the first time with double- of 24/7 access, fast transactions, and digit growth in 3 years4. Accelerated diversified product selection available at low growth in dining is a phenomenon fuelled product commissions fees are particularly by rising middle class and mass affluent suited to investor preferences. spending power, ironically while high-end restaurants have been troubled following the anti-corruption campaign. The dining RISE OF THE industry is seeing emergence of more EXPERIENTIAL CONSUMER diversified restaurant options, demand for Compared to many western societies, ambiance and service personalization, and the Chinese wallet is significantly more continued emphasis on food safety. weighted towards spending on food and clothing3. However, the last decades of The boom in travel and tourism is rapid modernization have enabled Chinese another example of consumers seeking consumers to achieve a degree of material meaningful experiences. Our recent comfort, and now interests are shifting survey supports that Chinese travel to higher needs for self-fulfillment. They growth will persist – amongst all are becoming more fun-loving and less categories consumers are most willing to infatuated with having more. Amongst spend additional income on travel, both our respondents, about 60 percent of domestic and outbound (Exhibit 2). The respondents have increased spending Chinese are now more mobile than ever, on entertainment (sports, cinema, etc.) with improved travel infrastructure, new and domestic vacations, on par with food airport openings and development of and personal items. Furthermore, about high speed rail, while coupled with rising 30 percent of additional income would be incomes. The destinations are highly allocated to entertainment and holidays, varied, seeing growth across a range exceeding the incremental spending on including ‘red tourism’, historic communist personal and household goods. sites, nature sites, and theme parks. 3. Euromonitor, CEIC, Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research 4. National Bureau of Statistics of the Peoples Republic of China Copyright © 2017 Oliver Wyman 5
In our report “The Changing Face of the Chinese Traveller”, we discussed that Consumers aren’t just buying more, they are buying outbound travel is now more experience- differently as needs elevate. They are seeking to driven than material-driven. While upgrade lifestyles and willing to spend more on nearly all travellers would shop during meaningful experiences. their trip, the predominant purpose for travel is sightseeing, and recreation or entertainment follows closely behind In our report “Mall or Nothing: Boom and shopping as the third reason for travel. Bust”, we discuss the trend of new malls dedicating more space for entertainment Alongside the rapid growth of online and services over shopping, such as channels, offline channels are positioned cinemas, dining, spas, hair salons, to provide consumers with sought-after extended hours, etc. (Exhibit 6). Creating physical experiences. The shift toward a one-stop destination and providing an experiences in particular is demonstrated alluring experience gives consumers a by the new model of Chinese shopping mall. reason to dwell in shopping malls. Exhibit 6: Shopping mall tenant mix in select Shanghai malls (# brands, %) 75 127 70 119 1% 1% 8% 14% 24% 27% 15% 28% 47% 36% 39% Grocery Retail Service 47% 41% 39% 33% Food & Beverage Fashion/ Specialists Retail Laya Plaza Fanhua Centre 96 Plaza Thumb Plaza NEWER Source: Oliver Wyman analysis Copyright © 2017 Oliver Wyman 6
Copyright © 2017 Oliver Wyman 7
2. WHAT’S MISSING: CHALLENGINGS WITH MEETING THE DEMAND Amidst the positive drive for higher spending Furthermore, shifting demographics as an and broader investing, certain tension points aftermath of the 35-year one-child policy exist. With rapidly rising wealth, the mass means that the burden of family rearing affluent class’s demands are becoming is only growing. Currently there are 3.4 more sophisticated but socio-economic working adults for every person aged over developments have not always kept up to 60, but by 2030 the dependency ratio will pace. We observe several dilemmas as they decrease to 1.5. These factors have led strive to upgrade their quality of life. to a sense of financial insecurity which undermines their view of personal wealth. RISING INCOMES, BUT NOT PERCEIVED WEALTH Given the future uncertainty, many still view savings as a safe haven. While the savings rate is trending downwards, it is Rapid economic development has brought unlikely to fall radically to match the western world. about a dilemma, where despite rising incomes many are uncertain about future quality of life due to mounting expenses. As a result, the level of income that Though standard of living is increasing, the defines wealth is a moving (and surging) rate of improvement is tapering. According target. Many people are unsure of how to to our survey, expenditures have increased qualify their own wealth status. In a 2015 across all categories, with food and drink survey by Chinese Academy of Social being ranked the highest and even more so Sciences, only half of the respondents with in Tier 1 cities. annual personal income of RMB 300,000 consider themselves as middle class, Urbanization is ushering people to higher though this income level already sits at the tier cities and population density is 99th percentile of the Chinese population skyrocketing. The mass affluent class is and near the top end of our mass affluent pressured by rising property prices and survey sample. better housing is not always affordable. Rising inflation and depreciation of the currency also intensifies the situation. Copyright © 2017 Oliver Wyman 8
DESIRE TO BROADEN professional advisory and unwilling to INVESTING BUT pay for investment ideas and research, as fees are deemed high and not tied to UNTRUSTING OF performance (Exhibit 8). Chinese investors PROFESSIONAL are not ready for a fee-for-advice wealth MONEY MANAGEMENT management model. A prior Oliver Wyman Most of the money is self-managed. In fact, study revealed that advisory fees account for the mass affluent class is fairly confident in less than 5 percent of total China wealth their investing abilities. 62 percent of those management revenues, compared with surveyed evaluated themselves as having about 30 percent in the United States. The good or excellent investment knowledge wealth management industry is largely (Exhibit 7). They are still sceptical about remained at a product selling oriented stage. Exhibit 7: Self-evaluation on investment knowledge (% respondents, 2016) 2% 1% 10% 62% 23% 34% evaluated with good or higher investment knowledge Quite good Very poor Very good Quite poor 29% Excellent Neither good nor poor Source: Oliver Wyman Chinese consumer and investor survey 2016, Oliver Wyman analysis Exhibit 8: Willingness to use professional investment support (% respondents, 2016) Not pay Use less Making decision for investment sophisticated Use a professional Make decision yourself ideas/research trading systems 28% 27% 45% investment advisor yourself Excellent 54% 46% 45% Pay for more Not pay investment 29% 33% 37% for investment Very good 47% 33% 35% ideas/research ideas/research Quite good 42% 37% 29% Pay for better Use less trading systems/ 39% 28% 33% sophisticated Neutral 44% 38% 33% premium transactions trading systems Self evaluation of Neutral investment knowledge Source: Oliver Wyman Chinese consumer and investor survey 2016, Oliver Wyman analysis Copyright © 2017 Oliver Wyman 9
Volatility in domestic financial markets and invest globally. Our survey reveals that currency depreciation has promoted interest 59 percent of respondents are unwilling in overseas investing for risk diversification. to invest overseas, primarily hindered by Though the Chinese government has lack of information and trusted advisors introduced more controlled channels (Exhibit 10). Excess management fees and in recent years (Exhibit 9), cross-border limited choice of distribution channels are investment remains low. In part this is due the next concerns. Those investing overseas to the uncertainties with the government’s are largely investors who view themselves as wavering plans in liberating the capital highly competent; respondents that doubt controls, while at core the Chinese are their capabilities tend to avoid cross-border fundamentally unsure of how best to investing altogether. Exhibit 9: Cross-border investment channels INVESTORS •• Mainland retail and •• Mainland retail and institutional investors •• Mainland institutional investors who institutional investors satisfy the eligibility requirements MAINLAND •• Mainland retail investors then NEW (2015) NEW (2014) buy products issued by these institutional investors Mutual recognition CHANNELS Stock Connect QDII of publicly offered funds PRODUCTS •• General equity funds, •• Eligible stocks listed on the Main Board of •• Depending on the categories of QDII bond funds, mixed the HK Stock Exchange institutions, QDIIs may invest in OFFSHORE funds, unlisted funds or −− Money market instruments physical index-trading −− Equity products exchange traded funds domiciled in Hong Kong −− Mutual funds −− Structured products QUOTA •• Aggregate quota: •• Aggregate quota: RMB 300 billion •• Each QDII is granted a specific quota RMB 300 billion (US$ 48 billion) •• No cap on the aggregate quota (US$ 48 billion) •• Daily quota: RMB 13 billion (US$ 2.08 billion) Source: Oliver Wyman analysis Exhibit 10: Willingness to invest overseas (% respondents, 2016) Lack of information flow 53% 74% Lack of trusted 44% 41% investment manager 57% Excess management fees 39% 29% Limited choices of 37% distribution channels 22% Lack of diversity in product types 26% 14% Biased recommendations by 25% Willingness to 59% investment advisors 13% invest overseas Yes 13% Unsatisfactory return 11% 2% Unwilling to No Don’t know 5% invest overseas Willingness to invest overseas Source: Oliver Wyman Chinese consumer and investor survey 2016, Oliver Wyman analysis Copyright © 2017 Oliver Wyman 10
Without uptake of professional investment advisory, achieving strategic asset allocation With the lack of professional support in sourcing and placing will be challenging for the mass affluent assets, wealth may well continue to be illiquid and the vast class, whose financial sophistication is majority of consumption power may be stuck in deadlock. generally still nascent. The situation is likely Product-centric offerings will gain better traction. to be aggravated by the shortage of quality financial assets available for investment in the current market. Wealth structures are Academy of Social Sciences, 62.9 percent already structurally imbalanced with heavy of the middle class felt that the level of allocation towards illiquid, non-financial social welfare protection was too low and assets. The China Household Finance Survey ineffective. The insufficient public safety by the Southwestern University of Finance net is driving consumers to allocate money and Economics suggests that the share of differently. These concerns extend to mass allocation towards property investment affluent consumers. Our survey reveals that is as high as 79.5 percent, whereas only future healthcare treatment is the top reason 10.8 percent are attributed to financial for setting money aside, and education investments. The preference for property follows closely behind as the third reason assets extends to overseas allocation. In (Exhibit 11). the first 9 months of 2016, the accumulated Chinese non-financial investment overseas Concerns are about both affordable was RMB 883 billion, representing access and quality of service. Despite 53.7 percent year-on-year growth.5 the government pushing on healthcare spending, support to alleviate the financial burden is evidently inadequate. Patients STRIVING TO ‘LIVE WELL’ today have few financing options outside BUT STILL UNEASY ABOUT their own pocket, as insurance and employee BASIC WELFARE benefits are insufficient and subsidies or loans are not universally accessible. While increasing spending towards affluent Relative to mature markets, there is a clear lifestyles, Chinese consumers are growing discrepancy in resources allocated to more acute with its demands around welfare. healthcare. China has 22 doctors for each In a 2015 study conducted by the Chinese 10,000 in population, and only 30.6 percent Exhibit 11: Reasons for investing (% respondents, 2016) For the future health care treatment 49% Gain competitive edge 42% Education 38% New/bigger Housing 37% To save up for near-term purchases 36% Retirement 26% No specific plans 9% Wedding/wedding gifts 8% Others 4% Source: Oliver Wyman Chinese consumer and investor survey 2016, Oliver Wyman analysis 5. Ministry of Commerce of People’s Republic of China press release (商务部召开例行新闻发布会), 18 October 2016 Copyright © 2017 Oliver Wyman 11
of Chinese doctors have a Bachelor’s degree Similarly, those who can afford the expense or higher – compared to 27 and 100 percent may look overseas for education. In 2015, in the United States.6 Qualified doctors and over 500,000 students were studying quality healthcare equipment is not only in abroad, representing a 13.9 percent increase scarce supply but also highly concentrated in from 2014, and this trend is accelerating. the largest hospitals of the Tier 1 cities. There It is an expensive option to study abroad are vast capacity issues at the top hospitals as over 90 percent of these students were and waiting lists are extensive. self-funded.8 As wealth grows, sending children overseas is becoming increasingly a The scepticism towards the local quality viable option. Those who leave are now more of care is fuelling a rising medical tourism inclined to come back – for every 10 overseas market, which is growing at a faster rate students, 8 are returning after graduation in than the tourism industry. A phenomenon 2015 versus only 3 in 2006.9 that used to be seen amongst the Chinese high-net-worth is now moving mainstream amongst the mass affluent. Rising incomes and growing information flow have enabled the more affluent Chinese to consider The perception that the Chinese consumers will overseas options for anything from wellness indiscriminately buy more goods is a myth. As they services to medical care and treatment for search for ‘experience goods’ to elevate lifestyles, they critical illnesses. The top 5 destinations, are at the same time seeking upgraded options to social in order, are Japan, Korea, US, Taiwan, goods to improve well-being. and Germany.7 6. Essence Securities research, 出境医疗风正起,新视野打开新格局 7. Ctrip 8. Ministry of Education of the People’s Republic of China 9. Ministry of Education of the People’s Republic of China Copyright © 2017 Oliver Wyman 12
Copyright © 2017 Oliver Wyman 13
3. WHAT IT MEANS FOR YOUR BUSINESS As Chinese mass affluent consumers STRENGTHEN PRODUCT SUPPLY embark on a new era of spending, it is now the time to capture the opportunity. Wealth managers will need a staged For the first time in the last decade, approach to evolve market demand towards consumption momentum is accelerating the investment advisory model of mature but paralleled by cooling sentiments markets (Exhibit 12). Unlike mature markets around the economy. Selling today is where there exists an abundant supply of more challenging. Successful models diversified products catering to various are constantly being reinvented and new levels of financial literacy and needs, China’s opportunities are waiting to be unlocked. investment products are less sophisticated and more commoditised. Rather than Promoting a spending economy involves centering the offerings on advisory, Chinese shifting the full Chinese wallet – releasing wealth managers add value by providing savings and balancing investments to free access to unique products. up liquidity and unleash spending power, and developing consumer products and Competitive advantage in the near term services that fulfil maturing tastes. Alongside will remain supply driven. Providing policy changes to restructure the economy, information to facilitate selection of consumer businesses and wealth managers vanilla products at low costs will be keys can seize the opportunity to catalyse the full to success. A next-stage catalyst will be for potential of the Chinese consumer. money managers to upgrade sourcing and in-house product structuring capabilities. This will enable customisation of investment IMPLICATIONS FOR products and develop proprietary assets as WEALTH MANAGERS an inimitable edge. Wealth managers can further complement products with services Wealth managers should consider to enhance the proposition, for example, three themes to capture the emerging providing tools for account administration investing opportunity: and reporting. •• Strengthen product supply For example, Ant Financial started with •• Innovate with product design YuEBao, a money market product, to •• Sidestep trust issues provide users with interest on idle cash. Later, it expanded offerings to include mutual funds, insurance, ABS products and more, which offered higher returns to prevent loss of idle cash to other channels. Top online wealth management platforms are continually deepening their understanding of customers and upgrading capabilities to meet evolving demand. Copyright © 2017 Oliver Wyman 14
Exhibit 12: Stages of wealth management development in China CHINA VM V3.0 Long-term: Similar to mature markets CHINA VM V2.0 Short to mid-term: Future of China CHINA VM V1.0 China Today Investor • Seeks absolute return • Wants diversification • Seeks overall characteristics • Believes their investment (product types and origin) portfolio/asset allocation but lack knowledge ability is as good as • Fully aware of professionals • Still skeptical about risk-return concepts professional AMs KSFs for FIs • Compete on scale: • Provides access to • Provides wide range of channel, # of RMs − Information sophisticated products • Manufacture high yield − Vanilla product • Truly customer-centric financial products • Ensures low cost Source: Oliver Wyman analysis INNOVATE WITH Another example is cross-border PRODUCT DESIGN exchange-traded funds (ETFs), where the funds can be structured to track a range of An entry point to professionalising investing underlying offshore assets (bonds, stocks, could be embedding the concept of strategic commodities, etc.) and deploy various asset allocation into product design. investment strategies (hedging, leverage, Fund-of-funds can be the launch pad for etc.). ETFs offer liquidity and transparency, achieving asset allocation. These cater well while being cost effective. The Chinese ETF to the mass affluent class’s overall passive market is still under-developed and under- investment profile and can fulfil a range of penetrated, but our research suggests that investment objectives at a small fraction interest is growing particularly with more of traditional advisory fees. Fund-of -funds affluent households. Cross-border ETFs are new concepts and highly anticipated can be executed through the QDII, Mutual as hot products in 2017. More than 30 new Recognition of Fund schemes, as well as the funds from Guangfa, China Universal Asset Stock Connects. Management, Noah, and 18 other fund management companies are being reviewed in early 2017, and boast a rich product selection, from diversified, to quantitative, to retirement focused. Those that excel at product development are likely to enjoy first-mover advantage. Copyright © 2017 Oliver Wyman 15
SIDESTEP TRUST ISSUES to more systematically and accurately develop investor profiles and understand Trust issues can be tackled through risk appetite. The model then creates wealth management solutions that a match between the investors and minimize reliance on individual advisors. products, based on a set of pre-developed Robo-advisory offerings can provide but actively managed portfolios. Various automated self-service tools for formats are emerging in China but yet to investment research, portfolio reach tipping point with the mass affluent construction and rebalancing, and class (Exhibit 13), with traditional financial reporting. These are complemented with institutions such as Tianhong Fund and light-touch advisory support via phone, Huatai Securities itching to venture live chat, or email. into the space. A robo-advisor would help investors build their portfolio according to a survey of investment preferences. With more data being captured, algorithms are able Exhibit 13: List of major Chinese robo-advisory platforms Product type Global China Mutual Govt Comd./ U.S. A- Minimum Platform ETF ETF QDII fund bond Futures shares shares Fee inv. req. Approach Clipper Modern 0.5% Advisor US$50 K asset/portfolio of AuM (蓝海智投) allocation theory 0.5% MiCai (弥财) US$5 K NA of AuM Caigin 0 US$500 NA (财鲸) Overseas investment Modern iToumi 0 US$500 asset/portfolio (宜信投米RA) – focused platforms allocation theory WQUANT Fee for 3rd party providing 0 (微量网) strategy trading strategy ZiPeiYi NA NA NA (资配易) Innovane Member- 0 Volatility pumping (胜算在握) ship Mean-variance, JUAICAI 20% of RMB 3 K Black Litterman, (聚爱财Plus) return Risky Parity Danjuan 0.5% RMB 10 K NA (雪球蛋卷基金) of AuM Product focus Source: China Securities, Oliver Wyman analysis Copyright © 2017 Oliver Wyman 16
IMPLICATIONS FOR For example, Chanel marketers are masterful at storytelling. In China, Chanel CONSUMER BUSINESSES has leveraged exhibition tours with special We see three themes that would differentiate Chinese elements (“Culture Chanel” and businesses in the new consumer era, and subsequently “Little Black Jacket”), and its accordingly a set of tactics to deploy: movie “Coco before Chanel” to showcase the legend of Coco Chanel and a tale of heritage. •• De-commoditise and emotionalize The story of Coco is inspirational – it is your proposition about her view of the world and how she •• Align distribution strategy moved mountains to revolutionize the •• Shift to services fashion industry. Coco’s identity has an elusive appeal with customers as it taps into DE-COMMODITISE dreams around strength, prestige, and a life AND EMOTIONALIZE philosophy. With a compelling narrative, YOUR PROPOSITION Coco’s legacy has created an emotional connection with customers. Brands need to craft propositions that highlight experience building and non-commodity offerings. Consumers ALIGN DISTRIBUTION STRATEGY are more interested in buying ‘personal signifiers’ – items that ‘make others feel In the increasingly dynamic and fragmented good about me’. One tactic to deploy is retail environment, selling ‘experience’ has personalisation. An example of this would be profound implications for distribution models. NIKEiD, which enables customers to create Delivering an integrated omnichannel their own Nike gear online by selecting shoe experience requires broadening experience colour, design and performance features. The building across the full customer journey, enhanced customisation not only created a all segments, and from physical to digital tailored product, but also lifted Nike’s profit touchpoints. We already see this from margin by channelling customers directly ecommerce retailers moving offline, including to the online sales platform and eliminating a prominent US$2.6 billion plan from Alibaba the conventional retailer. With the aid of to take department store chain Intime private. technology, customisation can be executed Online platforms are experimenting with at low costs while leveraging existing product physical formats to remove friction points lines to bring added experience. in the shopping journey by providing the necessary tactile experience (e.g. product Marketers should create memorable trial) and in-person engagement (e.g. personal and magnetic experiences to entice the touch). The winners are not simply treating consumer. This will require a new focus on brick-and-mortar as showrooms, but instead creativity. ‘Sell dreams’, and not substance. creating an end-to-end high-touch to virtual It is not just about the product, but brand experience while using sophisticated interesting, imaginative experiential events digital systems such as automatic check-out, activated by the product that speak to the dynamic pricing, and in-store data tracking aspirational status (e.g. luxury) and desired to enrich and embed online-offline analytic. lifestyle (e.g. travel). ‘Sell empathy’ for goods Alibaba has also advanced a strategic that speak to insecurities around personal partnership with Bailian Group, which has and family welfare. 4,700 stores across 200 Chinese cities, to enhance technology and analytic leveraging the joint O2O platform. Copyright © 2017 Oliver Wyman 17
Despite growing uptake of online sales, the best at offering the Chinese perspective. shoppers can be brought back into Finally, richer data and enhanced technology brick-and-mortar, but store activation will paves way for new ways to follow the trail of require creativity. Stores need to facilitate the travelling Chinese consumer. Analysis imaginative experiences to make the trip of transactional and digital footprint data worthwhile. Flagship stores could be can generate deeper insights for improved positioned as experience centres for customer targeting. the brand. Burberry’s 3-storey flagship in Shanghai’s Jing An district creates a theatrical brand experience through SHIFT TO SERVICES multi-sensory digital technology, including Players who traditionally think of audiovisual experiences with 40 video themselves as consumer package goods screens and 130 speakers in-store, and use (CPG) companies or retailers should of radio-frequency identification on select consider adjacent services that reinforce clothing to trigger display of runway and what they traditionally sell. Reinventing the product videos on fitting room mirrors that proposition can be a means to strengthen a are screens when activated. More recently, position in the current category or advance the new Shanghai flagship store of DJI, a a position into an entirely new market. producer of drones, features a flight cage for Anheuser-Busch InBev, a global leader in drone demonstration, a gallery showcasing beer brewing, is cultivating China’s demand aerial images, and a projection screen to for expensive craft beer. While planting showcase the brand story. its craft brands in Chinese distribution networks, it has also recently acquired a As consumers shop more and more stake in Boxing Cat Brewery, a budding overseas, brands need to follow their craft brewer in China. customers and develop a ‘Chinese strategy’ and not just a ‘China strategy’. The proposition can be transformed by Our survey shows that brands are still lacking selling on-demand access rather than the the ability to provide a tailored shopping product itself. Nothing can be more Chinese experience for Chinese travellers. 47 percent than buying a bike, but even this is becoming of respondents are dissatisfied with the a service rather than a product. With the lack of willingness to speak Putonghua and vast penetration of mobile, bike sharing 43 percent are unhappy about the level applications such as Mobike have taken off. of Putonghua fluency when shopping in They enable the convenience of identifying overseas retail stores. Aside from service and accessing a nearby bike anywhere and quality, business units need to be re-aligned anytime, and the flexibility of drop-off at to tailor the Chinese strategy for overseas many parking spots right by destinations – all retail – the overseas team is not likely to be enabled by mobile GPS and mobile payment. * * * In the end, there is real evidence that the Chinese mass affluent class will deliver to the promise of a bigger spending economy. The new consumer class will behave much differently from its western counterparts. Winners will be the ones that ride the tailwinds of change and understand the deep motivations and desires of the Chinese consumer. Copyright © 2017 Oliver Wyman 18
ABOUT OLIVER WYMAN Oliver Wyman is a global leader in management consulting. With offices in 50+ cities across nearly 30 countries, Oliver Wyman combines deep industry knowledge with specialised expertise in strategy, operations, risk management, and organisation transformation. The firm has more than 4,500 professionals around the world who help clients optimise their business, improve their operations and risk profile, and accelerate their organisational performance to seize the most attractive opportunities. Oliver Wyman is a wholly owned subsidiary of Marsh & McLennan Companies [NYSE: MMC]. For more information, visit www.oliverwyman.com. Follow Oliver Wyman on Twitter @OliverWyman. ASIA PACIFIC +65 6510 9700 EMEA +44 20 7333 8333 AMERICAS +1 212 541 8100 Copyright © 2017 Oliver Wyman All rights reserved. This report may not be reproduced or redistributed, in whole or in part, without the written permission of Oliver Wyman and Oliver Wyman accepts no liability whatsoever for the actions of third parties in this respect. The information and opinions in this report were prepared by Oliver Wyman. This report is not investment advice and should not be relied on for such advice or as a substitute for consultation with professional accountants, tax, legal or financial advisors. Oliver Wyman has made every effort to use reliable, up-to-date and comprehensive information and analysis, but all information is provided without warranty of any kind, express or implied. Oliver Wyman disclaims any responsibility to update the information or conclusions in this report. Oliver Wyman accepts no liability for any loss arising from any action taken or refrained from as a result of information contained in this report or any reports or sources of information referred to herein, or for any consequential, special or similar damages even if advised of the possibility of such damages. The report is not an offer to buy or sell securities or a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. This report may not be sold without the written consent of Oliver Wyman.
You can also read