Chamber News DCCI Review December 2019 - Dhaka Chamber of Commerce ...

Page created by Billy Avila
 
CONTINUE READING
Chamber News DCCI Review December 2019 - Dhaka Chamber of Commerce ...
Chamber News   DCCI Review December 2019

                                       1
Chamber News DCCI Review December 2019 - Dhaka Chamber of Commerce ...
Chamber News   DCCI Review December 2019

2
Chamber News DCCI Review December 2019 - Dhaka Chamber of Commerce ...
Editorial Note                                                                     DCCI Review December 2019

Capital shortfall
The capital shortfall that 12 banks are reported to have      pressure on the banks to maintain the capital-to-risk
been mired in suggests that the issues of proper loan         (weighted) assets ratio at 12.5 per cent, keeping to the
pricing have largely remained ignored. This also suggests     Third Basel Standards, or Basel III.
a poor focus on issues of non-performing loans and
                                                              Many bankers think that an increase in the amount of non-
their recovery. The 12 banks are reported to be faced
                                                              performing loans is the main reason for the weakening
with about Tk 176.58 billion in capital shortfall, as of
                                                              capital base of the banks that has resulted in the capital
September 2019. After the April-June quarter that year, it
                                                              shortfall at hand. Bangladesh Bank data show that the
was 11 banks that had faced about Tk 160.01 billion in
                                                              amount of loans in default has increased by 23.83 per
capital shortfall. Reports in January 2019 show that only
                                                              cent, or Tk 223.77 billion, in the first nine months of
nine banks — six state-owned and three private — faced
                                                              2019, taking the amount of non-performing loans to
capital shortfall.
                                                              Tk 1,162.88 billion in September 2019 from Tk 939.11
The 12 banks in question are Community Bank                   billion in December 2018.
Bangladesh, which was not on the list of the previous
                                                              Economists as well as bankers have, therefore, come
quarter, Sonali Bank, ICB Islami Bank, Janata Bank, Agrani
                                                              to blame the government’s flawed policies such as
Bank, Bangladesh Krishi Bank, Rajshahi Krishi Unnayan
                                                              the introduction of loan rescheduling on easy terms
Bank, Bangladesh Commerce Bank Ltd, AB Bank, BASIC
                                                              and a lenient approach towards large, especially
Bank, Rupali Bank and the National Bank of Pakistan.
                                                              wilful, defaulters as major reasons for an increasing
Of the beleaguered banks, the capital shortfall in            amount of non-performing loans. It is believed that the
Bangladesh Krishi Bank stands at Tk 90.78 billion, the        announcement of the loan rescheduling policy and its
highest, against its capital-to-risk (weighted) asset of Tk   subsequent adoption sent out a wrong signal that the
186.21 billion; the second highest of shortfall is in the     government goes easy on loan recovery. While defaulters
state-owned Sonali Bank, with Tk 20.56 billion against        willing to repay their loans may have stopped so doing,
its capital-to-risk (weighted) asset of Tk 568.64 billion.    new borrowers might have chosen to follow suit.
Even Community Bank Bangladesh, set up in 2019, faces
                                                              Capital shortfall, considered a serious issue as it weakens
Tk 27 million in capital shortfall. Although the remaining
                                                              bank’s resilience, erodes depositor’s confidence and
46 banks have managed to maintain an adequate capital
                                                              other partners in the banking sector, and even outside,
against their risk (weighted) assets, putting up a capital
                                                              feel insecure in dealings with such banks. While capital
surplus of Tk 142.47 billion, the 12 banks with capital
                                                              shortfall stops banks from running with efficiency, it
shortfall have put at risk the banking sector on the whole.
                                                              also adds to the operating cost and reduces profitability.
The banks at hand have failed to maintain the minimum         Partners outside the country may not feel confident about
capital adequacy ratio, which is critical in ensuring         such banks and letters of credit opened with such banks
that they have enough cushion to absorb a reasonable          may not be honoured in some cases. Inter-bank borrowing
amount of losses before they become insolvent and lose        also becomes dearer for banks facing capital shortfall.
depositor’s funds. The overall capital-to-risk (weighted)
                                                              If the problem of capital shortfall is not attended to, early
assets ratio in the banking sector declined to 11.65 per
                                                              and in earnest, the existences of the banks may be at stake,
cent, as of September 2019, from 11.73 per cent three
                                                              finally leading to bankruptcy. Banks should, therefore,
months before.
                                                              shore up the issues of any drastic increase in loans and
The capital-to-risk (weighted) assets ratio in the banking    advances, asset quality, restructuring non-performing
sector, however, increased to 11.41 per cent in March         loans with less than required down payment and no
2019 from 10.5 per cent in December 2018. The                 protection against non-performing loans in disguise to
Bangladesh Bank has, in such a situation, mounted             improve on the situation r

                                                                                                                          3
Chamber News DCCI Review December 2019 - Dhaka Chamber of Commerce ...
BUSINESS KALEIDOSCOPE

    Entrepreneur…Intrapreneur…and ‘Ultrapreneur’

Electricity tariff hike move- challenges private sector prosperity
Energy is the much needed resource for all economies           The current reserve and supply of natural gas looks slim
across the world. Affordable and uninterrupted energy is       and downward. We are undergoing 1000 MMCFD gas
critical for industrial, trade development and economic        supply shortage. Despite electricity production capacity
growth cycle of Bangladesh. Energy related economic            increase, the gas based power generation plants are
operations enshrining power generation, transport,             underperforming and electricity production trend remains
industry, commercial activities, fertilizer and domestic       unutilized. On the other hand, many gas intensive
consumption largely depend on natural gas. Power               industry investment is not expanding as expected due to
sector is the largest natural gas user followed by industry    primary energy shortage.
and captive power in terms of consumption. It is worth
                                                               To meet the soaring gas demand, Government entered into
mentioning that with the gas shortage, power generation
                                                               import regime of expensive Liquid natural gas. Initially,
capacity reached to 22500 MW brining almost 92%
                                                               1000 MMCFD was planned to import and against that
people under electricity network.
                                                               600 MMCFD is being imported to ease the gas demand.
Our industry to GDP ratio reached 35.14% with 23.01%           In this circumstance, 32.8% gas tariff hike was made in
manufacturing sector contribution indicates efficient          2019 to adjust the incremental gas tariff. Since natural
energy use and manufacturing expansion. Indeed, the            gas is in the backward linkage of electricity production,
incremental power generation trend helped to a large           the gas tariff may impact the power generation cost and
extent our economic growth evidencing 8 percent growth         supply.
regime. Bangladesh is going through the economic               Ahead of long-held vision of economic graduation by
transition towards economic graduation into a developing       2024, emergence into 28th largest economy by 2030 and
country and during this phase sustainable power supply         UN SDG achievement, our investment to GDP ratio need
and tariff are inevitable. Private and public sector account   to be enhanced around 40% from current ratio of 31%
for 55% and 45% respectively of total power generation         with double digit GDP growth. To meet these investment
of country as of now though the situation may change           targets, we need to obtain energy security. According
due to deep engagement of private sector.                      to revised Power Sector Master Plan (PSMP), the power

4
Chamber News DCCI Review December 2019 - Dhaka Chamber of Commerce ...
BUSINESS KALEIDOSCOPE

demand will be increased to 27.4 GW in 2030 and                Taking this entire private sector and economic state into
51 GW in 2041 to steer our game-changing economic              account, hereafter some observations on power sector
visions.                                                       development and relevant issues are forwarded:

Against the escalating power production cost, all bulk         • Coal reserve of Bangladesh is 7962 Million Mt
and retail electricity distributors and transmission             equivalent to 70 TCF gas and this coal needs to be
companies claim the rationale of electricity tariff hike to      used as an alternative cheaper fuel to produce power
balance operation cost. In the brief electricity tariff hike     to rationalize the cost of power production and add
initiative, we have found that estimated 129924 million          leverage in fuel mix. As a fuel importing country,
KWh electricity will be procured in 2020. As the main            we have to rationalize power production cost using
producer and distributor, BPDB claimed that in bulk tariff       alternative fuel mix.
level loss in selling price incurred ranging from TK. 1.50
to TK.2.28 per KWh through their bulk sale to distribution     • Combined cycle power plants are more efficient
companies and system loss remained within 7%. BPDB               for Bangladesh. Using combined cycle additional
also claims total distribution expense shortage around TK.       electricity can be produced by 10-15%. All government
526 million with operation cost.                                 plants need to be remodeled to combined cycle power
                                                                 plants for operational efficiency. Dual fuel peaking
All other distribution and transmission companies also           plants may be used. The declining trend of legacy gas
demanded tariff hike as they are dependent on purchase           also threatens power generation cost and stimulate
from BPDP. PGCB claimed 50% transmission tariff hike             power purchase tariff.
as their transmission network is not strong and sufficient
enough to support entire supply system. As a whole, BPDP       • Off-shore blocs need to be allocated for new seismic
claimed tariff loss of TK. 8560 crore. Different Private         survey and exploration works to improve gas supply.
sector stakeholders i.e. industry, consumer associations         And, Local Exploration and Production companies
also raised deep concern on the potential impact of tariff       need to be well-equipped technically and financially
hike in public hearing as plan of electricity tariff hike        to better function gas production.
within 6 month time of gas tariff hike is a big blow to
                                                               • Long-term and predicable energy tariff needs to be
local industry.
                                                                 determined for the greater interest of investment and
9. 82% lowest Private sector credit flow in a decade,            economy and to keep the electricity tariff minimum.
consistent fall in capital machinery import and export
                                                               • New transmission and distribution lines need to be
trade indicate investment slump across the country. This
                                                                 expedited and private sector can be engaged in these
proposed electricity hike will affect our competiveness
                                                                 initiatives.
both in home and global market. Almost all power
intensive manufacturing industries may be adversely            • IPP and RPP agreements can be revised and made
affected especially SME sector, steel re-rolling, textile        timely and reduced corporate tax rate can be offered
sector may face average 5% to 8% production cost height.         to support them instead of huge subsidy.
Especially, Small and medium business using 50 to 100
Kwh power will be severely affected.                           Echoing the pro-business promise of the Government,
                                                               private sector would like
In a cross-country power tariff scenario, Bangladesh has       to urge for low cost energy
an advantage in competitive tariff with USD 0.09 cent
                                                               supply      and      innovative
compared to Thailand, Indonesia, India and Pakistan as
                                                               solutions to rationalize the
one of the salient strength of investment attraction which
                                                               power tariff. Indeed, low cost
will no longer be existent. This tariff hike will slim the
relocation of sunset industries from Japan, Korea and          and uninterrupted electricity
China, hurt the massive infrastructure work, export            supply is the enabler of private
competiveness and low cost-of-living and doing business.       investment     led    economic
There has been tariff escalation in several occasions since    growth towards long-cherished
2010 and if this hike continues we will lose our position      economic vision of being a
from global competiveness map.                                 developed country by 2041.
                                                                                                President’s Pick of the Month

                                                                                                                            5
Chamber News DCCI Review December 2019 - Dhaka Chamber of Commerce ...
Chamber News                                                                 DCCI Review December 2019

Shams Mahmud elected DCCI President for 2020
DCCI holds 58th AGM

                  Shams Mahmud               N K A Mobin FCA, FCS         Mohammad Bashiruddin
                     President                Senior Vice-President           Vice-President

Shams Mahmud has been elected          also on the Board of Directors         Bangladesh. He has been the
President of the Dhaka Chamber of      of the Bangladesh Textile Mills’       government-nominated        director
Commerce and Industry for 2020         Association,    the    Dutch-Bangla    on the Biman Bangladesh Airlines
while NKA Mobin, FCA, FCS and          Chamber      of    Commerce      and   Ltd board since 2016. Mobin is a
Mohammad Bashiruddin have been         Industry and Vice-President of the     member of the Gulshan North Club,
elected Senior Vice-President and      Bangladesh-Philippines Chamber of      the Uttara Club, the Baridhara Club
Vice President respectively for the    Commerce and Industry. He received     and the Kurmitola Golf Club. His
2020 tenure.                           the National Gold Export Trophy in     expertise covers top management
                                       2011–12, 2012–13 and 2013–14 and       leadership, financial management
The new Board of Directors took over
                                       the Silver Export Trophy in 2017–18.   and project management skills, ERP
charge at the 58th annual general
                                       He was awarded the Highest Export      solutions and company secretarial
meeting of the DCCI held in its
                                       Award by the Bangladesh Textile        practices.
auditorium on December 23, 2019.
                                       Mills Association in 2010–11.
                                                                              The newly elected Vice-President
The newly elected directors are
                                       The newly elected Senior Vice-         Mohammad Bashiruddin was born
Arman Haque, Md Shahid Hossain,
                                       President NKA Mobin is the             in a respected Muslim family in Old
Md Zia Uddin, Monowar Hossain
                                       Managing Director and CEO of           Dhaka in 1962. Bashir is involved
and Engr Shamsuzzoha Chowdhury.
                                       Emerging Credit Rating Ltd and has     in food and bakery business,
The newly elected President Shams      been engaged in credit rating of       agribusiness, real estate development,
Mahmud is an eminent and leading       corporate business houses, banks and   import and restaurant chain. He is
business entrepreneur in the textile   financial Institutions and insurance   the Managing Director of Capital
and apparel sector. Mahmud is a        business since 2009. He completed      Agro Aqua Enterprise Ltd, Capital
Capstone Fellow of the National        his BBA and MBA in finance from the    Siraj Centre Shopping Mall, Canary
Defence College. He is the Managing    University of Dhaka. He completed      Ltd and Digital Agro Industries Ltd.
Director of Shasha Denims Limited,     his triple EMBA from Stockholm
                                                                              He is also director of Capital
Shasha Garments Limited, Shasha        Business School, Sweden, the
                                                                              Confectionery, Capital Consortium
Spinning Ltd. and Shasha Textiles      National University of Singapore and
                                                                              Ltd and Bamboo Castle Fast Food
Limited.                               INSEAD in France.
                                                                              Shop. He is a member of the Rugby
He is the Honorary Consul of           He is currently the Vice-President     Federation and former executive
the Federal Democratic Republic        and fellow member of the Institute     committee member of Dhaka Samity r
of Ethiopia in Bangladesh. He is       of   Chartered   Accountants    of
6
Chamber News DCCI Review December 2019 - Dhaka Chamber of Commerce ...
Chamber News                                                                               DCCI Review December 2019

Skills development must to tackle automation job cut
DCCI holds seminar on skills development

Minister for Labour and Employment Begum Monnujan Sufian, MP (fourth from left) speaking at a seminar on “Future Skills Development
Required for Bangladesh” held on December 7. Principal Secretary, Prime Minister’s Office Md. Nojibur Rahman (fourth from right), DCCI
President Osama Taseer (third from left), President, Bangladesh Employers’ Federation Kamran T. Rahman (second from left), Senior Vice
President of BGMEA Faisal Samad (right), Additional Director General of Bureau of Manpower, Employment and Training Sheikh Rafiqul
Islam (second from right), Chairman of BSCIC Md. Mostaque Hasan (third from right) and Member of National Skills Development Authority
Mohammad Rezaul Karim (left) were also present.
The Dhaka Chamber of Commerce                sector alone creates around 32.52             polytechnic institutes and allowed
and Industry organized a seminar on          percent of jobs.                              the private sector to come forward
“Future Skills Development Required                                                        to establish more such institutes.
                                             He said that traditional job
for Bangladesh” on December 7,                                                             She said that according to ILO, two
                                             requirements will no longer be
2019 at the Sonargaon Hotel, Dhaka.                                                        million fresh educated young people
                                             eligible and the criteria will be
                                                                                           enter the job market every year. But
The Minister for Labour and                  replaced with the knowledge of
                                                                                           to accommodate them in this 4IR
Employment       Begum      Monnujan         technology, 4IR, robotics, internet
                                             of things, big data, etc. “To create a        transition period, “We have to train
Sufian, MP was present as chief guest
                                             skilled work force that will be able          them and develop their skills.
while Md Nojibur Rahman, Principal
Secretary, Prime Minister’s Office was       to take the challenges of 4IR, we             Our academic curriculum cannot
present as guest of honour. Kamran T         must create an industry-academia              create skills for jobs.” She said
Rahman, President of the Bangladesh          collaboration from now and without            that the manufacturing sector was
Employers’ Federation, was present           any delay.”                                   gradually adopting technology which
as special guest.                            He also said, “Our NRBs send                  may cut jobs but it will create more
                                             $16.42 billion and contribute to              innovative jobs as well.
The outgoing DCCI President Osama
Taseer in his welcome address said,          our economy but countries such as             Md Nojibur Rahman urged the
“In Bangladesh, we have a work               India, Mexico and the Philippines             formulation of a needs-based
force of 63.5 million young people           earn more remittances through their
                                                                                           curriculum coming out of the
who contribute to our economic               skilled work force.” Future jobs will
                                                                                           traditional system of education to
development.” He also said that              have more high-tech orientation. “We
                                                                                           cater to the demand of the industry.
the Fourth Industrial Revolution has         need to give significant importance
                                                                                           The world is going fast and adapting
changed the dynamics of employment           to re-skilling and up-skilling to ready
                                                                                           to newer technological shift, so “We
generation. He said 6.58 percent of          our work force for future jobs.”
                                                                                           should not waste our time.” He said
the total work force were engaged in         Begum Monnujan Sufian said that the           that according to a2i, 5.5 million
the industrial sector and the apparel        government had established a few              people in five sectors, which is 47

                                                                                                                                     7
Chamber News DCCI Review December 2019 - Dhaka Chamber of Commerce ...
Chamber News                                                                             DCCI Review December 2019

percent of the total work force, may       General of Bureau of Manpower,                The Fourth Industrial Revolution has
lose their job because of automation       Employment and Training Sheikh                already started. “We do not need
by 2041. “Skills development, re-          Rafiqul Islam and BSCIC Chairman              to worry about any job cut because
skilling,   up-skilling,   technology      Md Mostaque Hasan also spoke as               the 4IR like other revolutions that we
adaptation, training and research and      panel discussants.                            saw in the past will create more job
development are some of the main                                                         opportunities.
areas where we should focus now.”          The BSCIC chairman said that the
The agriculture sector is vast which       agency would establish 50 industrial          We just need to formulate a
will create more job opportunities         parks by 2030. Faisal Samad                   technology-based curriculum and
but it needs to be modernized.             underscored the importance of proper          arrange technology-based training,
                                           training for female apparel workers           and skills development of the existing
Kamran T Rahman, President of the
                                           to create leadership qualities among          workers.”
Bangladesh Employers’ Federation,
                                           them. Sheikh Rafiqul Islam urged
said that 80 percent of jobs are created                                                 DCCI Vice-President Imran Ahmed
                                           more budget to conduct research and
in the industrial sector. He also                                                        offered the vote of thanks.
                                           development both in the public and
stressed the need for diversification
                                           private sectors.
of potential exportable items rather                                                     DCCI Directors Engr Akber Hakim,
depending solely on apparel. He also       Mohammad Rezaul Karim, Member                 Alhaj Deen Mohammad, Enamul
said that skilled work force is one of     of the National Skills Development            Haque Patwary, Kh Rashedul
the main components that can attract       Authority, presented the keynote              Ahsan, KMN Monjurul Hoque, Md
foreign direct investment.                 paper. He said that 60 percent of total       Rashedul Karim Munna, Mohammad
Senior Vice-President of the BGMEA         work force in the apparel sector will         Bashiruddin, Nuher L Khan and SM
Faisal Samad, Additional Director          come under automation by 2041.                Zillur Rahman were present r

DCCI donates blankets to cold-hit people
The Dhaka Chamber of Commerce
and Industry under its CSR
programmes donated warm clothes
and blankets, as it does every year,
to social organizations and trade
bodies for their distribution among
the distressed suffering cold across
the country.
The outgoing DCCI President Osama
Taseer handed over the clothes and
blankets to representatives of the
Dinajpur Chamber of Commerce and
Industry, the Nilphamari Chamber
of Commerce and Industry, the
Lalmonirhat Chamber of Commerce            DCCI President Osama Taseer (fourth from left) seen handing over warm cloth to President
and Industry, the Chapainawabganj          of Dinajpur Chamber of Commerce & Industry Suja Ur Rob Chowdhury (fifth from left) on
Chamber of Commerce and Industry,          December 14. DCCI Vice President Imran Ahmed (fifth from right), Directors Shams Mahmud
Anjuman Mafidul Islam, Dhaka               (sixth from right), Mohammad Bashiruddin (third from left), Hossain A Sikder (fourth from
                                           right), Alhaj Deen Mohammad (third from right), Enamul Haque Patwary (left), former Senior
Mohanagar Samity, Dhaka Shilpa             Vice President Alhaj Abdus Salam (second from left), former Vice Presidents M Abu Horairah
Malik Samity, Mizbah-ul Ulum               (second from right) and Absar Karim Chowdhury (right) are seen in the picture.
Madrasha, Moitree Sangha, Hossai
Ali-Hasna Welfare Foundation, etc.         DCCI      Vice-President     Imran            Vice-President Alhaj Abdus Salam,
                                           Ahmed, Directors Shams Mahmud,                and former Vice-Presidents M Abu
The DCCI President called on all           Mohammad Bashiruddin, Hossain                 Horairah, Absar Karim Chowdhury
well-to-do people of society to stay       A Sikder, Alhaj Deen Mohammad,                were present r
beside the cold-hit distressed people.     Enamul Haque Patwary, former Senior
8
Chamber News DCCI Review December 2019 - Dhaka Chamber of Commerce ...
Article
       Chamber News                                                                          DCCI
                                                                                             DCCI Review
                                                                                                  Review December
                                                                                                         December 2019
                                                                                                                  2019

    Transfer of ownership of export bill
M S Siddiqui                                                      of title affects the parties’ rights in the event of total or
Legal Economist                                                   partial loss and damage or destruction of the goods. These
e-mail: mssiddiqui2035@gmail.com
                                                                  are regulated by the “Incoterm’’ issued by International

I
  n international trade, two important transfer of                Chamber of Commerce and accepted and adapted by all
  ownership facilitate cross border trade. On transfer            stakeholders involved in international trade.
  is for consignment and another is the payment or
                                                                  The other part of the sales contract is the consideration or
consideration of the contract for export.
                                                                  payment for of the consignment. The payment to be made
The transfer of ownership of consignment is specified             by cash in advance, deferred payment for specified time
in the sales contract very explicitly. The cross border           and specific instrument of payment such as open account,
sales contract certain specific points of products, origin,       documentary collection/cash against documents, or letter
price, form and date of payment, delivery period, etc.            of credit, revolving letter of credit etc. The right over the
The transfer of ownership of consignment is the point of          payment also transferable. In all export transactions risk
accrued of payment.                                               is a major consideration which needs to be minimised in
                                                                  all business dealings.
The transfer ownership takes at a point of time and place
as agreed following the international law and practice.           Some exporters, particularly smaller operations need
In cross border trade, it is specified in the international       immediate cash after export/ sale on the other hand buyer
sale contract by statements like: Seller and buyer agree          /importer benefited of delay of the payment. These two
that (a) title for the contact of goods will pass to the          different option are well supported by Invoice discounting
buyer when the consignment have been shipped from the             or sale of Invoice to any FI or finance company. The best
seller´s premises (ex-works), (b) that title for the contact of   solution is Bill discounting or Invoice sale.
goods will pass to the buyer when they have been handed
over to forwarding agent at port of shipment (FOB) and            These FIs provides collection service or purchase /
title will transfer while boarded on transport at certain         discount Export Bills under L/C to allow exporters to use
port (C&F)”, or (c) tile will remain unchanged until the          the money before actually receiving payment or before
consignment reached the country of destination and sale           the payment due date from an overseas buyer.
by the importer /distributor (Consignment sales).
                                                                  The FI and third-party financial company acting as
International trade has another contract between the              the collector of directly from the buyer of goods/
Exporter and shipping (transport) company. This contract          services — when the invoice is due. The option enables
reflected in the bill of loading (B/L) issued by Shipping         the business owners to finance immediate working
company or their agent. International bill of loading are         capital needs or improve cash flow situation by availing
air waybill, ocean bill of lading, rail bill of loading or        credit based on bill discounting / account receivables.
truck bill of loading considering the mode of transport.          Such a short term loan is unlike traditional bank loan. The
The document also includes Invoice, certificate of origin,        traditional bank loan has many formalities and usually
packing list and others as per contract.                          should be secured by mortgage of property or other
In case of shipment by sea, there are two types: a straight       valuables. In case of bill discounting, the FI facilitate
bill of lading, which is non-negotiable, and a negotiable         the service to recover of bill from overseas buyer since
or shipper’s order bill of lading. The ownership of               Bangladesh Foreign Exchange regulating act 1947 make
the consignment also transferable through transfer of             the exporter liable for recovery of foreign exchange of all
ownership of B/L. The negotiable B/L can be bought,               exports. Exporter must ‘get’ the payment within 4 months
sold, or traded while the goods are in transit. Transfer          of export as per law.

                                                                                                                              9
Chamber News DCCI Review December 2019 - Dhaka Chamber of Commerce ...
Article
       Chamber News                                                                       DCCI Review
                                                                                          DCCI Review December
                                                                                                      December 2019
                                                                                                               2019

 The payment terms of sales contract usually have terms
 of deferred payment. The exporter can discount the
 documents of payment for immediate payment. There are
 many methods of the Invoice discounting is a different
 way of obtaining an advance on invoices by discounting
 or complete transfer of right over payment against the
 Invoice. Most of the Financial Institutions are providing
 discount of Invoice to their customers. Many overseas
 institutions also pay advance to exporter and take the
 responsibility of collection of payment on non-recourse
 basis. In that case the ownership of invoice transferred to
 the financing company.
                                                               whether by way of damages or otherwise, shall vest in
 This transaction is a modern financial product of Banks,      the transferee, whether such notice of the transfer as in
 Non-Bank Financial Institutions and international trade       hereinafter provided be given or not.
 finance companies. Their transaction agreement has
                                                               The Financial trading companies operating in Bangladesh
 three parties. The FI pay to the exporter advance against
                                                               were dealing such transaction without explicit law or
 document and collect documents from the buyer. These
                                                               policy of legality of transfer of right over the invoice. The
 international companies or financial institution extend
                                                               conservative foreign exchange law has indirect restriction
 the advance against ownership of Invoice. They use the
                                                               on many transactions of foreign currency of modern days.
 legal right over Invoice as security. They may even take
                                                               Bangladesh Bank have filled up the legal gap through
 legal action against buyer /importer for enforcement of
                                                               the FE circular no 43 dated 17 November 2019 titled
 original sale contract between exporter and importer for
                                                               “Discounting of direct or deemed export bills – transfer
 payment etc.
                                                               of right”.
 The laws and policies of Bangladesh were silent about
                                                               It has granted general permission for assigning rights to the
 such transfer of ownership on Invoice. Under section 3
                                                               dues at maturity of a usage bill of export from Bangladesh
 of the Transfer of Property Act, 1882, an actionable claim
                                                               in favor of a license bank / financial institution abroad
 includes a claim to an unsecured debt. But there is no
                                                               by paying usance bill in full, final and without recourse.
 interpretation whether Invoice or Bill receivables are
                                                               The circular also referred to the instruction at paragraph
 considered actionable claim.
                                                               25, Chapter 8 of Foreign Exchange Transactions (GFET),
 There is no definition of movable property in Transfer of     2018, which also allowed the overseas correspondent
 Property Act, 1882. Movable property has been defined in      institutions under subsection (b) stating that The ADs may
 the General Clauses Act,1897 to mean ‘property of every       arrange fund against the discounting of usnace bills in
 description except immovable property’. The Registration      foreign exchange through their own OBUs/correspondent
 Act, 1908 defines movable property to include property        banks, financial institutions abroad or international
 of every description except immovable property, but           financing Institutions. The overseas correspondent should
 including standing timber, growing crops and grass.           include the international financial trading companies
                                                               who are playing an import role in global export trade
 Section 130 of the Transfer of Property Act, 1882 provides
                                                               finance.
 that, the transfer of an actionable claim whether with
 or without consideration shall be effected only by the        The policy will facilitate export finance and also easy
 execution of an instrument in writing signed by the           collection of outstanding export bill and boosts export of
 transferor or his duly authorized agent, shall be complete    the country.
 and effectual upon the execution of such instrument, and
 thereupon all the rights and remedies of the transferor,

10
National Economy                                                                  DCCI Review December 2019

SMEs significant contributor to growth
The     economic        growth     and
sustainable development of a country
by a large measure depends on SME
development. Speakers made the
observations at the 23rd International
Conference for SMEs on “Achieving
Inclusive and Sustainable Goal
Through SME 4.0 by Promoting
SMEs” in India recently. The World
Association for Small and Medium
Enterprises organised the event,
supported by the MSME ministry of
India, at the WASME International
Secretariat, Film City, Noida.
                                         Zillur Rahman and Associate Editor       the backbone of a country and the
Senior Chief Executive of Ministry of    of Economic Times Pranbihanga            economic growth and sustainable
Business and Enterprise Mauritius AN     Borpuzari were present and also          development of a country depends
Oozeer inugurated the conference         spoke.                                   on SMEs development.
as chief guest and addressed the
opening session which was followed       WASME Secretary General Dr Gyan          The 23rd ICSME was aimed at
by WASME Excellence Award                Prakash Agarwal gave the welcome         promoting       SME       development
session.                                 address while its Senior Advisor         initiatives and integrating it with the
                                         Shailendra Kumar presented the           2030 agenda of achieving Sustainable
India’s State Minister for Health        keynote.                                 Development Goals (SDGs) set by
and Family Welfare Ashwini Kumar
                                                                                  the United Nations. The conference
Choubey attended the WASME               In his address Zillur Rahman, also
                                                                                  comprised six technical sessions on
Excellence Award session. Besides,       Director of Dhaka Chamber of
                                                                                  economy, strategy, technology, work
Ambassador of Mauritius to Germany       Commerce and Industry, presented
                                                                                  force of SME 4.0 and UN’s SDG.
Kheswar Jankee, Director of United       the SME status of Bangladesh
                                                                                  Founding Chairman of KCC Group
Nations ESCAP Dr Nagesh Kumar,           and stated how the SMEs could
                                                                                  Dr Sharad Kohli moderated the
Vice-President (chief in Bangladesh)     contribute more to development of
                                                                                  programme r
of the World Association of SMEs SM      different countries. He said SMEs are

Apparel sector lashed by giant waves
A tale of two halves sums up best        to    restructure    their    capital    product diversification. Even after
how the garment sector, Bangladesh’s     expenditure, operating expenditure       four decades, the country’s garment
main export earner, fared in 2019.       and supply chain. “Then they will        sector is still stuck in basic items: still
In the first six months of the year,     have a very good future,” he added.      73 percent of the shipments consist
apparel shipments fetched $17.05                                                  of T-shirts, trousers, sweaters, formal
                                         But the general sentiment of experts
billion. And the trend continued                                                  shirts and jackets.
                                         and analysts is that the slowdown
into fiscal 2019–20, which began
                                         in apparel shipment is a reflection      There has been a slow graduation
on July 1. But from August exports
                                         of the waning competitiveness of         towards value-added and high-end
started dipping and the trend appears
                                         Bangladesh’s garment industry.           garment items for upscale customers
to be continuing. Yet $13.09 billion
was received between July and            For instance, Bangladesh’s apparel       in the Western world. Bangladesh is
November, down 7.74 percent year-        exports dropped 6.67 percent             still lagging behind in production of
on-year.                                 between July and October whereas         technical and smart clothing items,
                                         its closest competitor Vietnam’s grew    due to which it could not tap into the
“I consider this is a correction,”
                                         6.41 percent.                            global market for hospital clothing,
said David Hasanat, chairman and
                                                                                  school uniforms and armed forces,
managing director of Viyellatex          Vietnam is honing in on Bangladesh’s
                                                                                  worth billions of dollars.
Group, a leading garment exporter.       position as the world’s second largest
Companies can take this opportunity      apparel supplier by focusing on          Garment exporters and sector analysts

                                                                                                                           11
National Economy                                                                  DCCI Review December 2019

 though blamed the strength of the       “It was a happening year for the          But    looking     ahead,       garment
 local currency against the US dollar    garment industry,” said Rubana Huq,       manufacturers are expecting a better
 as the main reason for declining        president of the Bangladesh Garment       year in 2020. “It’s difficult to project
 shipments from Bangladesh.              Manufacturers      and      Exporters’    the trend since the global market
                                         Association, adding that the year saw     looks volatile due to the emergence
 One US dollar now exchanges                                                       of a number of factors,” Huq said.
                                         a number of positive developments.
 for Tk 85. Another reason for
 diminishing shipments is over-          The end to the deadlock to the            The EU-Vietnam free trade agreement,
 reliance on traditional markets,        Accord’s phase out from Bangladesh        the strategic move by China to offset
                                                                                   the impact of punitive tariff by
 which can be construed as laziness      and formation of the national
                                                                                   lowering prices and the emergence
 or complacency. Shipments to the        safety monitoring regime the ‘RMG
                                                                                   of new sourcing destinations are
 traditional markets of the US, the EU   Sustainability Council’ were major
                                                                                   becoming sources of concern for
 and Canada are on the wane due to       breakthroughs.
                                                                                   Bangladesh r
 economic slowdown there.
                                         “Our journey to sustainability
 But the emerging markets are            continued with pride,” she said,          Govt plans single-digit
 providing a ray of hope: garment        adding that the number of green           interest rate
 exports to non-traditional markets      factories crossed 100, 25 of which
 grew to nearly $7 billion from          were platinum LEED-certified. Some        The Bangladesh Bank is set to raise
 somewhere between $400 million          500 more are waiting for certification.   the loan-deposit ratio by 1 more
                                                                                   percentage point as it plans to reduce
 and $500 million in 2008.
                                         But despite all investments made          the interest rate for the manufacturing
 India, China and Japan are showing      in workplace safety, compliance,          sector and increase lendable fund of
 big potential, with shipments to the    implementation of new wage structure      banks. At the same time, the finance
 Fareast Asian nation crossing $1        and green industrialisation the unit      ministry is taking a measure to bar
 billion. The government’s 4 percent     price did not see much improvement.       government entities from seeking
 incentive for shipments to new export   The unit price to the EU and the US       more than 6 percent interest rate on
 destinations accelerated the process.   increased 2.22 percent and 5.57           deposits from banks.
                                         percent respectively in the first 10      The concerted moves come as part of
 The US-China trade war can be a boon
                                         months of 2019 and yet the price          the government’s efforts to give a shot
 for Bangladesh as China has been
                                         level remains significantly lower on a    in the arm to the embattled banking
 losing its export orders. However,
                                         five-year comparison, she said.           sector. Notices on the two would be
 in this case, Bangladesh will have
 to improve the business climate and     The price of apparel imported by the      issued very soon, Finance Minister
 productivity at the factory level. In   US from Bangladesh between January        AHM Mustafa Kamal said. The loan-
 the near future, duty concessions       and October was down 2.20 percent         deposit ratio is now 85 percent for
 in international trade will vanish as   from five years earlier, according to     regular banks and 90 percent for
 the country is set to graduate from     the Office of Textiles and Apparel.       Islamic banks.
 the least-developed bracket to the      The same happened for EU: 1.94            In other words, for every Tk 100 of
 developing bracket.                     percent, according to Eurostat.           deposit regular banks can lend Tk 85.
                                                                                   But soon, they will be able to give out
                                                                                   Tk 86 and Islamic banks Tk 91.This
                                                                                   will cause a surge in loanable funds
                                                                                   by about Tk 10,000 crore, Kamal
                                                                                   said.
                                                                                   The central bank will also issue a
                                                                                   notice to cap the interest rate on
                                                                                   manufacturing loans, which is set to
                                                                                   go down to single digit in a couple
                                                                                   of days.The development comes after
                                                                                   the central bank formed a seven-
                                                                                   member committee earlier this
                                                                                   month to come up with ways to bring

12
National Economy                                                                       DCCI Review December 2019

down the interest rate to single digit     “The production cost in the apparel          accounts are expected to be worked
as per an instruction from the finance     sector increased by 30 percent in the        up within the next couple of days, he
ministry.                                  last four years. Similarly, the export       added. For developing countries a
                                           earnings have continued a downward           budget deficit is not unusual as the
Banks now charge interest rates
                                           trend in recent period,” she said.           government needs to spend big on
between 12 percent and 14 percent for
industrial loans, which manufacturers      The move will help manufacturers             building infrastructure to shore up
deem      excessive.The    committee       set up new industrial units and              future economic activities.
headed by its Deputy Governor SM           expand the existing ones, said               The government meets the gap
Moniruzzaman submitted a report            Rubana, also the managing director           between income and expenditure
to the finance ministry and the BB         of Mohammadi Group. But banks are
                                                                                        through domestic and foreign
board on December 24, based on             in a panic because of the single-digit
                                                                                        borrowing obtained as loans or
which the notices will be issued.          interest rate as it will hit their profit.
                                                                                        grants.But keeping the deficit within
The lift in loan-deposit ratio is a        “Every bank will see a profit decline        5 percent is recommended, and is
positive move of the government, Zaid      ranging from Tk 150 crore to Tk              in fact considered international best
Bakht, a member of this committee          200 crore per year because of the            practice.
and chairman of Agrani Bank, said.         implementation of the lower rate,”
                                           said Syed Mahbubur Rahman,                   In Bangladesh, when the budget
Banks’ loanable funds will increase
                                           chairman of the Association of               is drafted a 5 percent deficit is
as a result and their cost of funds will
                                           Bankers, Bangladesh, a forum of              projected. The actual deficit turns out
come down too. Their profit margin
                                           managing directors of private banks.         to be about 4 percent every year as
will not reduce significantly due to
                                           “The economy will get a boost but            the ministries and divisions fail to use
the single digit interest rate as banks
                                           banks will fall into a crisis,” said         up their allocated funds.
will get benefits from the central bank
and the government, Bakht said.            Rahman, also the managing director
                                                                                        Finance Minister AHM Mustafa
                                           of Mutual Trust Bank r                       Kamal acknowledged that revenue
About 50 percent of the government
deposits will be kept in private banks                                                  growth was slow.
and the interest rate will be 6 percent,   Budget deficit goes over
                                                                                        “But the government’s expenditure
Kamal said. This will bring down the       5pc boundary                                 also increased for the implementation
banks’ cost of funds r                     Budget deficit, which is when                of some mega infrastructure projects.
                                           spending exceeds revenue, is set             It was capital expenditure, which
Industrial loans                           to cross the sensible perimeter of 5         will ultimately bring benefits to the
                                           percent of the GDP in fiscal 2018–19         economy,” he said. As a result, budget
Businesspeople       welcomed      the     for the first time in 12 years on the        deficit could not be contained to the
central bank’s initiative, saying the      back of ebbing collections of the tax        previous limit.
measure will give a shot in the arm        administrator. Revenue collection
of the industrial sector, giving them      grew 10.67 percent last fiscal year          “But, this is a one-off,” he said, adding
respite from the burden of higher          against the target of about 46 percent,      that the deficit will be restricted within
interest rates.But bankers and experts     according to provisional data of the         5 percent this fiscal year as revenue
expressed their concern and said           National Board of Revenue. But, data         is expected to grow.Last fiscal year
it would have a negative impact on         from the Comptroller and Auditor             coincided with the national elections,
the banking sector as lenders will         General office shows that the growth         so the government’s spending from
shy away from disbursing loans to          was less than 10 percent.                    its own funds was higher than from
the industrial sector due to the lower                                                  foreign sources, said another finance
                                           As per the finance division’s
interest rate.                                                                          ministry official.This also had an
                                           provisional data, the budget deficit
                                           last fiscal year was 5.2 percent. “In        effect in raising the budget deficit, he
“The decision to bring down the
                                           the end, it may be even bigger,”             added.
lending rate would help export-
oriented industries to mitigate            said a finance ministry official upon        Fiscal deficit in 2018-19 increased
existing crisis,” said Rubana Huq,         condition of anonymity.                      due to both revenue shortfall and
president of the Bangladesh Garment        It takes at least six months to work         expenditure increases, said Zahid
Manufacturers       and    Exporters’      out the actual deficit after the             Hussain, former lead economist of
Association.                               conclusion of the fiscal year. The final     the World Bank’s Dhaka office.

                                                                                                                                13
National Economy                                                                      DCCI Review December 2019

 Usually, shortfall in expenditures           containers to the total handled till       In the last one year,   investors’ stock
 buffers the revenue shortfall relative       8am on December 21, when the               value lost Tk 81,494    crore, or 19.40
 to the budget target, thus keeping the       target was achieved r                      percent, pulling the     overall market
 deficit below the original 5 percent of                                                 capitalisation down     to Tk 338,493
 GDP budget target.                                                                      crore.
                                              Stock investors haunted by
 “Last fiscal year was an exception           trust deficit, liquidity crisis            “The capital market was moribund
 to this trend and it is most likely to                                                  and stock investors lost confidence
                                              Stock investors passed a very
 continue this fiscal year as well” r         disappointing year in 2019 as the          because of macroeconomic situation,
                                              market was largely down by lack            listing of low performing companies,
 Ctg port on world’s ‘three                   of confidence, liquidity crisis and        and a lack of corporate governance in
                                              regulatory challenges, dwarfing            the listed companies,” said Mizanur
 millionaire’ list                            many measures that the government          Rahman, a stock market analyst.
 The Chittagong port has made it to           took to prop it up.
                                                                                         In the last three to four months, the
 the list of ‘three millionaire ports’        In the beginning, the market showed        current account deficit widened
 club in the world by handling 30             signs of hope on the back of political     because of the rise of government
 lakh twenty-foot equivalent units            calmness aided by the peaceful             expenditure and stagnant revenue
 of containers this year. There are 60        national elections in December 2018,       earnings, said Rahman, also a
 such seaports in the world.                  policy consistency and stable macro-
                                                                                         professor of the accounting and
 Earlier, the Bangladeshi port was            economic indicators.The benchmark
                                                                                         information systems department at
                                              index of the Dhaka Stock Exchange
 ranked 64th in the list of the world’s top                                              the University of Dhaka.
                                              surged 8.87 percent to 5,950 points
 100 container handling seaports by
                                              within a month.                            “So, the central bank had to sell a
 the maritime world’s internationally
 recognised Lloyd’s Marine Survey             But the following 11 months were           huge amount of US dollars to save the
 and Consulting.The calculations of           upsetting, as the DSEX gave up             taka from exchange rate fluctuation
 container handling were recorded             1,531.18 points, or 25.73 percent, to      that ultimately created liquidity
 from January 1 to December 22 this           fall to 4,418.83 at the end of the year,   pressure in the market.”
 year, said Md Omar Faruk, secretary          the lowest in three and a half years.
                                              Turnover, an important indicator of        Professor Rahman said many
 of the Chittagong Port Authority.                                                       companies were listed in the last
                                              the market, averaged Tk 900 crore
 The addition of modern equipment,            daily in January but it fell to Tk 300     few years but they performed poorly.
 including new gantry cranes, and             crore in the end.                          Investors bought these shares at
 increased capacity of the port have                                                     higher prices but did not get higher
                                              The round-the-year liquidity crisis
 helped the CPA a lot to achieve                                                         dividends.
                                              in the banking sector, sell-offs of
 the glory, he said. Most of the              foreign investors and some policy          There was a huge crisis of corporate
 containers were handled at New               changes were largely to blame. These       governance in the banking and non-
 Mooring Container Terminal and               all created a huge confidence crisis       banking financial sector. As a result,
 Chittagong Container Terminal. The           among the investors, bringing down         non-performing loans rose and the
 two contributed more than 17 lakh            their investment.                          capital adequacy ratio suffered,
                                                                                         spooking investors’ confidence. The
                                                                                         NPLs stood at Tk 116,288 crore in
                                                                                         September, which was 11.99 percent
                                                                                         of the total outstanding loans in
                                                                                         banks.
                                                                                         Throughout the year, bank and
                                                                                         NBFIs said they did not have
                                                                                         enough funds to invest in the stock
                                                                                         market. Some institutional investors
                                                                                         reduced investment in the market.
                                                                                         But financial institutions with funds
                                                                                         suffered from a lack of confidence.

14
National Economy                                                                    DCCI Review December 2019

As of January, the excess liquidity        9 percent interest rate, just by making   2019 growth is something to
in banks stood at Tk 67,642 crore,         2 percent down payment.                   rejoice about
down 11.45 percent from that a
                                           Rescheduling is a global practice         The economy has faced a number of
month earlier and 13 percent year-
                                           and helps businesses when they are        new challenges on its business and
on-year, according to data from the        in dire straits, Rahman said.“But,
central bank. In February, it dropped                                                fiscal fronts in 2019, even though
                                           many of our lenders are using the
to Tk 63,921 crore. The situation                                                    the political atmosphere has been
                                           tool to mitigate their problems on a
deteriorated further later. As a result,                                             peaceful, according to economists
                                           temporary basis.
the private sector credit growth                                                     and businesses.The new challenges
dropped to a six-year low of 11.29         As a result, a good amount of             are hefty borrowing from the banking
percent last fiscal year r                 rescheduled loans turn into defaulted     system by the government, fall in
                                           ones frequently,” said Rahman, also       export receipts, continued pick-up in
                                           the managing director of Mutual           inflation rate and declining import of
Loan rescheduling hits                     Trust Bank. He said rescheduling          raw materials.
new high                                   usually goes up in keeping with the
                                           rising trend of NPLs. “So, we should      Besides, the economy also confronted
Banks rescheduled a record amount
                                           check NPLs on a mandatory basis to        a number of major problems such as
of defaulted loans in the first nine
                                           contain the stressed assets.”             soaring non-performing loans in the
months of 2019 as part of their efforts
                                                                                     banking sector and slow collection
to contain bad debt and manage             The rescheduling of defaulted
hefty profit, albeit artificially.         loans will allow banks not to keep        of revenues and poor private sector
                                           provisioning, meaning they will be        credit growth in the year 2019.The
Between January and September,                                                       capital market passed another bad
                                           able to show higher profits, a central
non-performing loans amounting to                                                    year, in terms of market capitalisation,
                                           banker says.
Tk 31,175 crore were regularised,                                                    turnover and investors’ confidence.
the highest on record even for a           The relaxed policy on rescheduling
single year.The previous record was        has given a wrong signal to the           But the GDP recorded a healthy
set in 2018, when banks rescheduled        financial sector and may create           8.15 percent growth in the fiscal
Tk 23,210 crore.                           a moral hazard, said Mustafizur           year 2018-19. Professor Dr Shamsul
                                           Rahman, a distinguished fellow of         Alam, member at the General
But the record amount of loan
                                           the Centre for Policy Dialogue, a         Economics Division at the ministry
rescheduling has failed to rein in the
                                           think-tank.                               of planning, said that Bangladesh has
upward trend of defaulted loans for
                                           Many good borrowers may feel              been attaining “impressive growth”
want of corporate governance in the
                                           discouraged to repay their loans on       over the past four years.
banking sector, analysts said.
                                           time because of the easy repayment        “To my mind, GDP growth rate,
As of September, cumulative defaulted      policy, he said.A reform programme
loans stood at Tk 116,288 crore, up                                                  increase in broad money and
                                           should have been taken to improve         other indicators have been playing
23.82 percent from December last           the financial health of banks, he
year. The rescheduling of loans will                                                 an important role in economic
                                           said, adding that the latest initiative   transformation of Bangladesh,” said
escalate in the October-December           will rather undermine the corporate
quarter because of the relaxed policy                                                Dr Alam a senior secretary.
                                           governance.
offered by the central bank, said Syed                                               He, however, acknowledged that the
Mahbubur Rahman, chairman of the           “The record amount of rescheduling
                                                                                     rate of inflation had been increasing
Association of Bankers, Bangladesh,        will hit banks’ profitability as funds
                                                                                     over the past four months eroding
a forum of private banks’ managing         remain stuck for long because of the
                                           tool,” Rahman said. “Banks could          real income.He, however, said: “The
directors.
                                           have earned a good income and             four months cannot be representative
Keeping to a High Court instruction,       profit if they had recovered the funds    for the entire year.”
the central bank had earlier extended      on time. This also would have given       Dr Alam underscored the need for
the deadline for defaulters several        them chances to provide fresh loans.”     conducting proper reforms in the
times to have their NPLs rescheduled
under the relaxed policy. The last         The large amount of rescheduling          capital market.“This is complex
deadline was October 20.Under the          indicates that banks will face            market and it needs policy that should
policy, defaulters got the opportunity     liquidity crisis in the days ahead,       be adopted very carefully.” Mustafa
to regularise their loans for 10 years,    said Salehuddin Ahmed, a former           K. Mujeri, executive director at the
including one year’s grace period, at      governor of the central bank r            Institute for Inclusive Finance and

                                                                                                                           15
National Economy                                                                     DCCI Review December 2019

 Development, said the symptoms             The Bangladesh Bank made the               percent in 2018. The BB, however,
 that the economy faced in 2019 point       observations in its “quarterly” report.    expressed its optimism that workers’
 to “stagnation”.                           “Some headwind stemmed from                remittance would help maintain the
                                            slowed down export and import              current trend of the economic growth
 Stagnation is a situation in the
                                            growth due to shrinking global             rate which has already crossed 8.0
 economy where the output falls amid
                                            economic growth” may have a                percent mark.
 rising inflation. The inflation has been
 rising but the official statistics shows   negative impact on the country’s           “But strong remittance inflow
 the gross domestic product growth          economic expansion outlook for the         can minimize some risks through
 at an 8.15 percent in the fiscal year      financial year 2020, said the central      buoyancy in the domestic activities,”
 2019.                                      bank publication.                          it added. Inflow of remittances
                                            The report reviewed the economic           jumped around 23 percent in the first
 Dr Mujeri, who had served as chief
                                            development in the first quarter           five months of the current fiscal year
 economist at the country’s central
                                            (July–September) and highlighted the       over that of the same period of last
 bank, said that the banking sector has
                                            possible trend of the economy in the       fiscal.
 suffered its worst period in 2019 due
 to large default loans.Dr Mujeri was       upcoming days. The data relating to        The central bank, however, cautioned
 critical of the high bank borrowing,       different economic indicators are,         about the rise in inflationary pressure.
 arguing that the banking sector does       however, now available beyond the
                                            first quarter.                             “Although food inflation moderated
 not have adequate money to feed
                                                                                       to 5.30 percent in September 2019
 over Tk 5.23 trillion budget.              Exports from Bangladesh declined by
                                                                                       from 5.40 percent in June 2019 with
                                            7.60 percent in the first five months of
 “Such type of borrowing by the                                                        the falling prices of rice and pulses,
                                            the current fiscal year while imports
 government is risk-free investment                                                    the possibility of the second-round
                                            dropped by 3.20 percent in July-
 for banks but it shrinks the investment                                               effects arising from high prices of
                                            October. The central bank linked the
 opportunities for private sector                                                      some food items such as onion,
                                            reduction in external trade growth
 borrowers,” Dr Mujeri said.The                                                        fish and vegetables warrants close
                                            with the slowdown in global trade as
 country’s productive sector seems to                                                  attention,” it said.
                                            well as the economy.
 be facing a slump as raw materials
                                            The World Trade Organisation has           The Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics
 imports have declined notably in the
                                            already projected that global trade        data showed that food inflation
 outgoing year.
                                            volume would shrink 2.60 percent in        reached 6.41 percent in November
 According to the Bangladesh Garment                                                   this year. “Headline inflation is likely
                                            2019 while the same shrank by 3.0
 Manufacturers        and  Exporters’       percent in 2018. The International         to face upside risks in the near term
 Association president Rubana Huq:          Monetary Fund said global growth           arising from crop loss resulted from
 “The year was not a pleasant one for       this year “recorded its weakest pace”      recent cyclonic storm ‘Bulbul’,” the
 export as growth had been faltering        since the global financial crisis a        central bank report added.
 throughout the year and had a nose         decade ago.
 dive in the latter half.”                                                             The annual average inflation rate
                                            The IMF projected 3.0 percent              was 5.49 percent in September
 “Slowdown in private sector credit         growth of the global economy in            which inched up to 5.56 percent in
 growth has also become a concern           the outgoing year which was 3.60           November r
 as it hit a record nine-year low,” said
 Abul Kasem Khan, former president
 of the Dhaka Chamber of Commerce
 and Industry r

 Slower external trade may
 impact growth
 The slowdown in its external trade
 might hurt the country’s pace of
 economic growth in the current
 fiscal year. But a robust growth of
 workers’ remittance is likely to act
 as counterweight in this regard.

16
SAARC News                                                                         DCCI Review December 2019

AFN 3-4b get out of use each year
Each year, 3–4 billion afghanis, the
Afghan currency or AFN, get out of
use each year. Although the Afghan
currency is made purely of cotton
and has the capacity of being folded
up to 3500 times, the wrong use of
it by the residents makes it get out of
use in a short time, the central bank
said.
“The Afghan money has the highest
physical quality in the region, but
annually 3 to 4 billion Afghanis get
out of use because of the wrong use.
To print an Afghani, 3.5 Afghanis will
cost,” said Shafiqullah Shafiq, the        central bank for not raising awareness   from the central bank, in the past
operating deputy of the central bank.      among people regarding this issue.       decade, more than 58 billion Afghanis
Meanwhile, economists blame the            This comes as based on the statistics    got out of use. r

Fuel price increases in Kabul
Compared with the previous years,          and non-banks incurred a loss of Nu      performing loans with 26.97 percent,
the fuel price increased by 20             1.19B for the same reasons. The loss     followed by trade and commerce
percent to 25 percent, said the Kabul      in June this year was recorded at Nu     with 24.03 percent and housing with
residents. They want the government        1.49B.                                   12.28 percent.
to obviate the people who sell at a
                                           This is according to the financial       Compared with September 2018,
high price.
                                           sector performance review of the         non-performing loans in September
This comes as the Afghanistan Chamber      central bank, which also reveals         increased by Nu 10.27b, with the
of Commerce and Investment known           service and tourism sector as the        non-performing loans share of the
as ACCI confirmed and added that the       highest defaulter.The services and       services and tourism increasing to
main reason for this increase is the       tourism sector recorded the highest      30.5 percent.
high demand of people.                     non-performing loans, which is
                                           obvious considering the sprouting        Non-performing loans are considered
“We have invited the sellers to ACCI
                                           numbers of hotels and travel             a bad loan, in which the debtor has
and encouraged them to keep the
                                           businesses.                              not made the scheduled payments
prices as low as possible because of the
                                                                                    beyond 90 days. Some banks have
low economy of our people,” said Jan       Analysis on the loan classification      even stopped providing loan in these
Agha Noori the ACCI spokesperson.          of the financial sector indicated        sectors in urban and western region
He added that this problem is              that both loans and non-performing
temporary and will be solved soon.                                                  since the number of hotels has grown
                                           loans have increased by Nu 20.78B
Every year, in cold seasons, the price                                              manifolds r
                                           and Nu 8.89B respectively. Records
of fuel in Kabul rises r                   of sectoral non-performing loans
                                           indicate that service and tourism has    Bhutan’s FDI sector registers
Bhutan loses Nu 2.5b for NPL,              the highest share with 31.12 percent,    slower growth
high interest expense                      followed by trade and commerce           The country recorded a slight decline
                                           with 21.51 percent, production and
The financial sector in Bhutan                                                      in the number of foreign direct
                                           manufacturing with 11.53 percent
has suffered a loss of Nu 2.54B in                                                  investment projects coming in with
                                           and housing with 11.4 percent.
September this year due to increased                                                only 12 projects approved as of
interest expense and non-performing        Even in March, service and tourism       November. In 2018, 16 foreign direct
loans. In March 2019, both banks           had the highest share of non-            investment projects were approved.
                                                                                                                       17
You can also read