CEASELESS (Copernicus Evolution and Applications with Sentinel Enhancements and Land Effluents for Shores and Seas)
←
→
Page content transcription
If your browser does not render page correctly, please read the page content below
CEASELESS (Copernicus Evolution and Applications with Sentinel Enhancements and Land Effluents for Shores and Seas) EU H2020 project Sanchez-Arcilla A, Staneva J, Cavaleri L, Badger M, Bidlot J, Sorensen JT, Hansen LB, Martin A, Saulter A, Espino M, Miglietta MM, Mestres M, Bonaldo D, Pezzutto P, Schulz- Stellenfleth J, Wiese A, Larsen X, Carniel S, Bolaños R Abdalla S and Tiesi A (2021) CMEMS-Based Coastal Analyses: Conditioning, Coupling and Limits for Applications. Front. Mar. Sci. 8:604741. doi: 10.3389/fmars.2021.604741 1
INTRODUCTION CEASELESS pilot cases: Mediterranean/North Atlantic offshore + coastal domains representing open/gulf coasts (Catalan/Northern Adriatic) and estuary/inlet coasts (German Bight/Danish). 2
MATERIALS AND METHODS QQ-Scatter plots of measured significant wave height - in-situ-GTS vs. remote sensing data of: (a) Sentinel-3A SAR, (b) Sentinel-3A RDSAR, (c) CryoSat-2 SAR, (d) CryoSat-2 RDSAR and (e) Jason-2. The comparison is from June to November 2016 period. The QQ-plot (black crosses) indicates the 45° reference line (blue line) and the least-squares best fit line (red line). 3
RESULTS Evolution of Coastal Data Conditioning (1) Sea level anomaly (SLA) standard deviation (STD) in 200 meter bins of distance to coast and 20 Hz significant wave height (SWH) median of points curve for retrackers SAMOSA++ (black curve), SAMOSA+ (red curve), together with SAR Marine (blue curve) and numerically simulated (GCOAST model - green curve) versus distance to the coast. NP is the number of points. 4
RESULTS Evolution of Coastal Data Conditioning (2) Illustration of the higher level of detail resulting from a S2 derived bathymetry (left) when compared to the widely used EMODnet bathymetry (right). The example shown is from the German part of the Wadden Sea, inside the corresponding CEASELESS pilot area. 5
RESULTS Evolution of Coastal Data Conditioning (3) Total Suspended Matter (TSM in mgr/l) in the Ebro delta southern bay, derived from Sentinel-2 data for two different scenarios: NW winds (left; 27th of December 2017) and calm conditions (right; 15th of February of 2018). The images depict the TSM originating from the bay and contributed by the main river mouth (not shown) located above the figure domain. 6
RESULTS Coupled High-Resolution Coastal Simulations (1) Absolute values of roughness length variations (A), mean sea level pressures MSLP (B), and 10 m wind speed (C) for the regional stand-alone (reference) model simulations (contours). The color coding indicates the differences between the coupled and reference model simulations in the North Sea pilot domain during a sample storm on 13th January, 2017 at 12:00 UTC. 7
RESULTS Coupled High-Resolution Coastal Simulations (2) Distribution of the current, wave and combined wave- current bottom stresses (logarithmic scale in 10Pa) in the Alfacs Bay of the Ebro delta, during the first stage of a sea breeze episode (left) and during a land wind (from the NW) event. Note that, for clarity, the plot scale is logarithmic 8
RESULTS Coupled High-Resolution Coastal Simulations (3) Relative change in normalized root-mean-square error (RMSE) of significant wave height compared with in-situ observations for the 3 -1.5 km versus 7 km model runs (AMM15 and AMM7 respectively). The error shows a degradation in performance (in red) with an improvement in performance (in blue) associated to a decreasing normalized root-mean-square error (RMSE). The increasing resolution has a largely neutral impact on open waters, while for coastal zone predictions there is a substantial reduction in error with respect to the AMM15 9 model.
RESULTS Coastal Assimilation and Error Control (1) Root mean square errors for significant wave height predictions in North Sea pilot case, including the UK East and South Coasts. The three analysed experiments correspond to: a) model run without data assimilation (amm15s, black dashed line); b) assimilation of satellite altimeter and in-situ wave observations in open waters (amm15s-acma- ig05; gold line); and c) assimilation of satellite altimeter and in-situ wave observations in open and coastal waters (amm15s-aext-cg05; green line). 10
RESULTS Coastal Assimilation and Error Control (2) Wind field derived from ASCAT-B scatterometer in the evening of 29th October, 2018 over the Adriatic Sea pilot (left), and comparison between modeled and measured wind speed values for that event (right) 11
RESULTS Coastal Assimilation and Error Control (3) Random error reduction in significant wave height HS (left) and mean wave period (right) from all performed experiments compared to the experiment without data assimilation, verified with all available in-situ data for the whole month of October 2018. Note that the random error reduction by in-situ- assimilation and the combined in-situ-altimeter assimilation shoot up at analysis times to the depicted values. 12
RESULTS Limits and Recommendations for Coastal Applications (1) Differences (in days) for the water e-flushing times between different (NBS) Nature Based Solutions (R1, R2 are controlled land discharges with different flow rates and B1, B2, B3 indicate different breaching widths in the barrier beach). Each NBS test case has been compared to the Control Simulation. Negative (positive) indicates shorter (longer) local e- flushing times for the corresponding NBS when compared with the control simulation. 13
RESULTS Limits and Recommendations for Coastal Applications (2) a) Sentinel-3a tracks together with positions (top left) of CMEMS in- situ wave measurement stations (blue diamonds) and additional GTS wave stations (red triangles), together with an example (top right) of CMEMS AMM17 model HS values for the North Sea pilot case on 10th December, 2018 00:00 UTC. b) A comparison of HS measured by the Elbe buoy with numerical model results (bottom left), and S3A measurements (bottom centre) for 2018. 14
DISCUSSION AND CONCLUSION • By merging in-situ, satellite and high-resolution numerical data, the CEASELESSS project has explored synergies among different data sources and strategies for parameter optimization, leading to improved metocean coupled predictions in coastal restricted domains. • To comply with stakeholder requirements, these high-resolution predictions should include: a) Cross validation with multiple source measurements; b) Consistent provision of accuracy for all sensors; c) Optimal blending of information from satellite, in-situ and modeled data. • However, the low probability of having a satellite overpass coincident with a critical period, such as a storm peak (i.e., right place at the right time) constitutes the main limitation of the CEASELESS methodology, suggesting as an alternative, a posteriori applications of the proposed methodology, using Sentinel data for hindcast verification and improvement of modeling physics. 15
Thank you very much. Manuel Espino Maritime Engineering Laboratory (LIM) Polytechnic University of Catalonia (UPC) Barcelona, Spain 16
You can also read