CCS Lecture 26.04.2021 - Petrissa Eckle, sus.lab @ ETHZ 26.04.2021 - Petrissa Eckle, sus.lab @ ETHZ
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Agenda & goals Introduce myself and “sus.lab” Deep dive into CCS in Switzerland – current projects and future plans Q&A – discuss what you are most Inspire you to think about what interested in and your questions and we all need to be working on help us collect questions! today to get to “net zero by 2050” 2
Agenda & goals Introduce myself and “sus.lab” Deep dive into CCS in Switzerland – current projects and future plans Q&A – discuss what you are most Inspire you to think about what interested in and your questions we all need to be working on today to get to “net zero by 2050” 3
Sus.lab is a “Think- and Do Tank” launched by the Chair for Sustainability and Technology (SusTec) at the Management Department of ETH Zurich Our mission Our history • Real world impact on Sus.Lab was founded in 2016 out of a feeling of increasing urgency of global sustainability issues like climate change sustainability based on • sus.lab brings sustainability research into the real world much faster – building on 15 years of latest research research on sustainability technology, policy and management 4
With our portfolio of projects on Net Zero and the Circular Economy we are gaining insights into the solutions and barriers in different industries • Hydrogen/ ammonia: Long term program with current focus on marine shipping Industry • Decarbonization of waste/ cement: Long term program with numerous projects decarbonization towards CCS at scale and other solutions in Switzerland and Europe and carbon removal • Carbon removal: Start-up accelerator in collaboration with TU Delft (starting mid 2021). Climate DDs to understand impact potential of new ideas • New products & materials: Scouting and assessment of 100+ innovative Construction/ construction materials for market potential and sustainability Buildings • Thought leadership: Digital trends in the building industry • Circular building initiative: Innovation platform for industry transformation (under development) • New proteins: Preparation of scale-up of new “insects to protein” solution – comparative assessment to other treatment options Food supply chains • Decarbonization of dairy: Methodology and model of potential and cost for Nestle • Systemic impact DD: Methodology for systemic impact of startups (pro bono) • Resolving barriers to innovation: Support of the European CEFLEX industry Circular economy consortium in their 2025 goal to make flexible packaging circular of plastics • Generating unique data for action: Packaging baseline with Denner • Recycling in Ghana: Supporting an NGO with a new social business model 5
Agenda & goals Introduce myself and “sus.lab” Deep dive into CCS in Switzerland – current projects and future plans Q&A – discuss what you are most Inspire you to think about what interested in and your questions we all need to be working on today to get to “net zero by 2050” 6
BACKGROUND End of January this year, Switzerland committed to net zero GHG emissions by 2050 Required global CO2 reductions to reach 1.5°C target CO2 in Gt p.a. To keep global warming within 1.5°C, global annual emissions need to be reduced by 50% around 2030 and reach net zero by ~2050 Source: IPCC Special Report on 1.5 degrees 7
BACKGROUND Over the last decade, Switzerland has reduced emissions by only about 9 million tons. We need a fundamentally different approach! Swiss emissions since 1990 Mio tons of CO2e 54.0 55.0 Waste 2.5 1.0 3.0 6.1 8.6 Agriculture 6.7 46.4 4.6 3.1 Industry & products 4.3 5.9 4.5 Energy 40.6 41.3 33.0 1990 2010 Current emissions (2019) Source: Federal Office for the Environment 8
BACKGROUND In all scenarios for 1.5 degrees, carbon dioxide removal is needed, and scenarios include up to 1’218 Gt of total CCS until 2100 Breakdown of contributions to global net CO2 emissions in four illustrative model pathways Billion tons CO2 per year (Gt CO2/yr) Fossil fuel and industry Agriculture, Forestry and Other Land Use (AFOLU) Bioenergy with Carbon Capture and Storage (BECCS)1 • 3 out of 4 of the example scenarios by IPCC require CCS – of cumulatively up to 1218 GT until 2100 – corresponding to ~28 years worth of current global emissions CCS required • Only scenario P1 does (cumulative GT 0 348 687 1,218 not require CCS, but in until 2100) turn would require final energy demand to shrink Final energy 2030 -15% -5% +17% +39% by 15% until 2030 and demand by 30% until 2050, as (vs 2010) 2050 -32% +2% +21% +44% well as a very fast ramp up of renewable Renewable 2030 60% 58% 48% 25% electricity to 60% share in globally by 2030 electricity 2050 77% 81% 63% 70% 1 CCS from the 2 mio tons of organic waste incinerated today are “BECCS” - Bioenergy with Carbon Capture and Storage Source: IPPC “Global Warming of 1.5 degrees” Summary for Policy Makers 9
We do have a plan .. + Airline fuels Source: Bundesamt für Energie (2020). Energieperspektiven 2050+ 10
The target is clear – Now we need to find a path to get there 2050 Net-zero 2030 Roll-out! Now Getting ready: Technology testing and continuous innovation Regulations Infrastructure development ... 11
We are working with “hard to decarbonize industries” Waste to Energy plants Cement Industry 12
SWISS POINT SOURCE EMISSIONS Switzerland’s ~30 largest point sources are mainly WtE plants and cement industry. Together they emit about 7 Mt of CO2 per year Large CO2-point sources in Switzerland (>100’000t CO2, 2017) • Switzerland has 32 large emitters. (Point sources with more than 100’000 tons of CO2 per year) • Together, these 32 large emitters emit 5 mio tons of fossil CO2, and 2 mio tons of biogenic CO2 (from biogenic waste, like wood or sewage sludge) Source: VBSA/PRTR 13
ONGOING ACTIVITIES We started in 2018 – and a demonstrator for the full CCS chain with KVA Linth is currently in preparation October ‘18 – March ’19 September ’19 – June ‘20 Conceptual design/feasibility for a demonstration with Study on “how to decarbonize” WtE KVA Linth at scale (100 kt of CO2 per year) • VBSA asked sus.lab at ETH to investigate options for • Basic design and cost calculation of the CO2 capture utilizing or storing large quantities of CO2 facility at KVA Linth (>100ktpa) • CCS identified as most feasible option • Transport options from KVA Linth to the North sea • Results tested in expert and stakeholder consultation • Financing/monetization options workshop in February 2019 • Regulatory aspects • Outreach and partnerships Core team Other involved/supporting partners Funded by Funded by 14
3 steps to solve 1 Capture 2 Storage 3 Transport 15
CO2 CAPTURE Large-scale CO2 capture projects using amine-technology have already been implemented, barriers to scale so far were economics and lack of utilization options for the captured CO2 • Amine-based post-combustion capture technology Main issues so far: Largest operating • CO2 is piped to an oil field for enhanced oil recovery post-combustion • Unclear how to use or carbon capture • Commenced its operation without delays and budget store the captured CO2 project worldwide overruns in December 2016, proving the possibility to (enhanced oil recovery is - Petra Nova CCS deploy the technology at large scales the main path but lacks – a 240 MW coal environmental appeal) power plant retrofit • Cost still above CO2 price in most countries • Amine based post-combustion capture technology • Societal/political First post- • Capacity to capture app. 1 Mtpa of CO2 discussion around CO2 (not used fully) storage and questionable combustion sustainability in case of carbon capture • Operational since 2014 use for enhanced coal + project - 110 megawatt (MW) • Most of CO2 is piped for enhanced oil recovery and part oil recovery is piped to the Aquistore test project for injecting into a Boundary Dam 3400m deep saltwater-infused sandstone plant in Canada • Some issues with amine degradation, leading to higher operational cost than anticipated Sources: Global CCS Institute, EIA, JX Nipon Oil & Gas Exploration Company, Aquistore, SaskPower 16
CO2 CAPTURE Carbon Capture has been done for decades, the application to waste-to-energy plants is starting now First operational capture at a Chemical industry Planned WtE plant WtE plant in Europe • Capture medium: NH3 • Plant in Duiven, NL • Plant in Twence, NL • In operation for 63 years at • Operational since 2019 • Start of capture in 2021 Lonza • Capture medium: Generic MEA • Capture medium: Proprietary (monoethanolamine) amine S26 • High-pressure process • Corrosion issues in the presence • Noncorrosive, biodegradable of oxygen Sources: AVR Duiven, AKER Carbon Capture, Lonza 17
ONGOING ACTIVITIES Not exhaustive Several projects in the waste sector are already under way. They aim at transforming Waste-to-Energy plants into energy hubs, with CO2, H2 and Methanol production • First commercial power to gas plant in Switzerland (Dietikon) • H2 generated with electricity from WtE plant, combined with methane and CO2 from the waste water plant • Construction started in autumn 2020, start-up planned for winter 21/22 • Cooperation with Climeworks (delivery of heat for regeneration of CO2 absorber) • Project for utilization of CO2 from waste treatment plant of ara Bern in construction material startup Neustark • Vision for the WtE plant as an energy hub for heat, power, H2, O2 and CO2 for use and sequestration, with steam delivery to a close-by industrial site as next step • First thoughts about utilizing the unused oil pipeline from Collombey to Genoa for CO2 transport Source: Limeco, Satom presentation, Neustark 18
3 steps to solve 1 Capture 2 Storage 3 Transport 19
STORAGE – Operational experience Operating experience: Much has been learnt from test, pilot and commercial scale CO2 injections in different types of geologic formations globally Global CCS experience Norwegian CCS experience ~23 years of successful industrial experience resulting in 23 mn tons of CO2 stored Image: Northern lights Sources: Carbon capture and storage – proven and it works by IEAGHG (2014); Northern Lights project 20
STORAGE Geological storage in Switzerland needs further exploration of the underground and thus would take 10-20 years to develop • Theoretical (unproven) storage capacity for approximately 2.6 Gt of CO2 in deep porous geological formations in Switzerland • This would be equivalent to storing app. 70 years worth of Swiss CO2 emissions* • Very low exploration maturity and sceptical public opinion • A recently started projects in Jura mountains is injecting CO2 to test for leakage and seismic effects on a very small scale Sources: Swiss geology portal (2010), *2016 CO2 emissions excl. land use change of 39 Mt based on the GHG inventory by Federal Office for the Environment (FOEN, 2018), ETH News (2019) 21
Storage Norway is planning to open up its offshore geological reservoirs to third parties by 2024 • 1,000-2,000 m under the sea floor • Building on 20 years of injecting CO2 at Sleipner project, started in 1996, with a total of 15.5mt CO2 (0.9 Mt per year) Equinor, Shell and Total are • Estimated capacity: 70 billion tons developing the (20 years worth of EU 28 direct CCS value chain CO2 emissions) with waste, • Highly subsidized by the cement and Norwegian government other sectors1 (Investment decision of >2 billion EUR in December 2020) 1 Air Liquide, Arcelor Mittal, Ervia, Fortum Oyj, HeidelbergCement AG, Preem, and Stockholm Exergi Source: Press research and interviews, H21 North of England, 2018, Images Goassnova, Northern lights, Statoil [renamed to Equinor], MIT, Sintef (2018), direct CO2 emissions of EU 28 (excl. land change and aviation) were 3.5 Gt in 2016 according to the European Environmental Agency 22
STORAGE – Geophysical monitoring In the Northern Lights project, testing is currently underway in preparation of opening the first storage site (Aurora) Tests for the first Northern Lights storage site are already starting • Exploitation permit EL 001 for CO2 storage in Aurora has been awarded by Norwegian authorities • CO2 will be injected in the Johansen formation, a saline aquifer sealed with several hundred of meters of cap rock, 1-2,000 m below the seabed • Drilling of the confirmation well is ongoing • Negotiations with the Norwegian state on the exact process for long- term responsibility transfer are currently ongoing Sources: Northern Lights, Furre et al., Building Confidence in CCS: From Sleipner to the Northern Lights Project, Special Topic: Energy Transition, 2019 23
STORAGE Especially around the North Sea several large storage projects are on the way • Several projects are planned for CO2 storage in the North Sea with the UK and Norway taking the lead • Natural gas-to-H2 with integrated carbon capture and storage is becoming a way of making projects economically feasible • Fossil-fuel companies are actively involved and often in the lead / some projects make use of legacy oil and gas assets Source: International Association of Oil and Gas Producers (IOGP, 2018) 24
STORAGE Five aspects form the basis for safety of CCS – The climate perspective, the physical basis of the process, operational and monitoring experience and regulation Putting CO2 in deep geological formations is a lot safer and better Climate protection than putting the same CO2 into the atmosphere CO2 is trapped in microscopic rock pores by the same process that Physical basis has trapped natural gas for millions of years Safety of CCS means especially confidence that the Operational stored CO2 remains trapped More than 20 years of operations at Sleipner show that CCS works experience over long time horizons without leakage Geophysical The location of the CO2 underground can be measured (with some monitoring uncertainty) to confirm it is safely stored in the intended reservoir unit Regulatory Storage sites and processes need to conform with the Norwegian compliance and EU CO2 storage directives Source: Adapted from Furre et al., Building Confidence in CCS: From Sleipner to the Northern Lights Project, Special Topic: Energy Transition, 2019 25
STORAGE – Regulatory compliance The site will need to comply to the EU CCS Directive from 2009 on Geological Storage of Carbon Dioxide which was adopted and integrated in the Norwegian regulation framework Process Requirements EU CCS Directive (also integrated in the Norwegian regulations) • Operations need to be monitored, including whether CO2 is behaving as expected, and detailed reports must be submitted to the competent authority • Storage sites require permits the Operations • Routine (at least once a year) and non-routine inspections by the competent authority contents of which are specified in the shall be executed and inspection reports shall be made public EU CCS Directive and deal with the Permitting entire lifetime of the storage site • The operator shall be responsible for sealing the storage site and removing the injection facilities • After a storage site has been closed, the operator remains responsible for monitoring, Closure reporting and corrective measures until transfer of responsibilities • CO2 streams shall consist • The competent authority may at any time require the operator to take the necessary corrective measures. If the operator fails to take the necessary corrective overwhelmingly of CO2 and CO2 measures, the competent authority shall take them itself. composition should verified to be in CO2 injection line with the regulations prior to Responsibility can be transferred to the competent authority only if the following injection conditions are demonstrated: • All available evidence indicates that the stored CO2 will be completely and permanently contained (conformity of the actual behaviour of the injected CO2 with Transfer of the modelled behaviour; absence of any detectable leakage; storage site is evolving • EU CCS Directive on Geological responsibility towards a situation of long-term stability) Storage of Carbon Dioxide (Directive 2009/31/EC), from 25 June and long-term liability • Minimum period of 20 years has elapsed (unless the competent authority is CO2 storage convinced that the criterion referred to in point (a) is complied with before the end of 2009 regulates all CO2 storage in that period) geological formations in the EU • Operator has made a financial contribution to at least cover the anticipated cost of monitoring for a period of 30 years • The site has been sealed and the injection facilities have been removed. Source: EU Directive 2009/31/EC 26
3 steps to solve 1 Capture 2 Storage 3 Transport 27
For a first mover, rail transport is possible From an SBB loading station to Rotterdam to Norway Northern Lights 1400 km Hamburg Rotterdam 800 km Basel SBB Loading station 150 km 28
TRANSPORT For larger volumes, transport is the bottleneck.. Implications of 10 Mtpa 950-1,350 trucks per day ~11 barges per day We need to start planning for a CO2 ~450 rail cars per day “collection network” today Comparison to existing gas grid: Transmission pipelines (>5 bar): 2’243 km Distribution grid (
Costs Version 14.04.2021 Costs per ton of CO2 are likely to fall well below 150 CHF (the current domestic marginal abatement costs) once the CCS chain is operated at scale in the EU Cost calculation for full cost per ton of CO2 from KVA Linth to storage under the North Sea Please note that cost estimates are indicative CO2 capture & Transport to North Sea Storage offshore Total liquefaction Coast (Rotterdam) 45-51 CHF 78 CHF 33-61 CHF (incl. liquefaction and (Mainly train, with a very short (Northern lights currently First of a kind opportunity cost for heat) pipeline, without intermediate estimates 30-55 EUR per ton (per ton of CO2) storage) as price for transport and ~156-190 CHF focus of storage from hubs along the Linth North Sea coast) study 32-46 CHF 23-29 CHF 13-33 CHF (35-50 USD capture (5-8 CHF transmission, IPCC data, (ZEP report based on several At scale (Global CCS Institute, based on onshore pipeline for 10 Mt per in depths studies in UK and (per ton of CO2) 2019) year, 0.007-0.01 CHF per ton per km NL. Offshore incl. offshore ~68-108 CHF based on from Basel to Rotterdam, 670 km, ~5 transport) literature CHF for a smaller collection pipeline of 180 km (ZEP, 2011), 12-15 EUR for compression (Luo et al., 2014)) Sources: AKER Carbon Capture, KVA Linth, Messer, VTG, Northern Lights, IPCC Special Report on Carbon Dioxide Capture and Storage, 2018, Global CCS Institute: Waste-to-Energy with CCS: A pathway to carbon-negative power generation, 2019; Marginal cost: Kosten und Potential der Reduktion von Treibhausgasen in der Schweiz, Bericht des Bundesrates, 2011; Waste-to-Energy with CCS: A pathway to carbon-negative power generation – Global CCS Institute, 2019; Luo et al., Simulation-based techno-economic evaluation for optimal design of CO2 transport pipeline network, Applied Energy, 132, 2014 30
First estimates First estimates of investment for Carbon Capture und Collection Infrastructure in Switzerland: ~ 4 Billion CHF Swiss collection network ~3 bn CHF CAPTURE UNITS ~40 units à 20 mio ~800 mio CHF Sources: AVR Duiven, VBSA estimates, VBSA pipeline study 31
COST IMPLICATIONS FOR SWITZERLAND Such a large investment in green infrastructure is not without precedent • The waste water infrastructure consists of ~800 treatment plants and 40-50‘000 km public waste water pipelines • The cost for build- up were between 40 and 50 bn CHF, around 80-100 bn CHF today Source: Federal Office for the Environment 32
Summary: There is a lot to do! Plan & Regulate & Discuss & demonstrate Finance inform Develop concrete plans and Develop framework conditions Create opportunities for advance engineering for Understand who will pay and exchange and learning infrastructure how we can all benefit around CCS Align with European partners Run full chain demonstrators Image sources: Unsplash 33
Agenda & goals Introduce myself and “sus.lab” Deep dive into CCS in Switzerland – current projects and future plans Q&A – discuss what you are most Inspire you to think about what interested in and your questions we all need to be working on today to get to “net zero by 2050” 34
Find more on www.suslab.ch sus.lab @ Group for Sustainability & Technology ETH Zurich | Weinbergstrasse 56/58 | WEV J 423 | CH-8092 Zurich contact_suslab@ethz.ch | www.suslab.ch
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