CCAFS East Africa 2019-2021 - Strategy for Supporting Agricultural Transformation, Food and Nutrition Security under Climate Change - CGIAR
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CCAFS East Africa 2019–2021 Strategy for Supporting Agricultural Transformation, Food and Nutrition Security under Climate Change
Authors: Acknowledgments: Dawit Solomon, Maren Radeny, Catherine Mungai, This work was produced as part of the CGIAR John Recha, Tonya Schuetz and Marianne Gadeberg Research Program on Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security (CCAFS), which is carried out Editors: with generous financial support from CGIAR Trust Dawit Solomon, Maren Radeny, Catherine Mungai Fund and CGIAR Donors through bilateral funding and Marianne Gadeberg agreements. For details please visit https://ccafs. cgiar.org/donors. The views expressed in this Design: document cannot be taken to reflect the official Michael Dougherty opinions of these organizations. Cover photo credit: Contact: Neil Palmer (CIAT) CGIAR Research Program on Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security (CCAFS), East Africa. Correct citation: P.O. Box 5689. Solomon D, Radeny M, Mungai C, Recha J, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia Schuetz T, Gadeberg M. 2018. CCAFS East Africa Phone: +251-11 617 2000 2019–2021: Strategy for supporting agricultural Fax: +251-11 617 2001 transformation, food and nutrition security under Email: ccafsea@cgiar.org climate change. Addis Ababa: CGIAR Research Website: http://ccafs.cgiar.org/regions/east-africa Program on Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security (CCAFS). Available online at: www.ccafs. @cgiarclimate_EA cgiar.org. CGIARClimate Creative Commons License: This document is licensed under a Creative CGIAR Research Program on Climate Change, Commons Attribution–NonCommercial–NoDerivs Agriculture and Food Security (CCAFS) 3.0 Unported License. Articles appearing in this publication may be freely © 2018 CGIAR Research Program on Climate quoted and reproduced provided the source is Change, Agriculture and Food Security (CCAFS) in acknowledged. No use of this publication may be East Africa. made for resale or other commercial purposes.
CCAFS East Africa 2019–2021 Strategy for Supporting Agricultural Transformation, Food and Nutrition Security under Climate Change
Contents 1. Overview and development context...............................................................................................1 2. Focus countries and research sites .................................................................................................5 3. Goals and outcomes........................................................................................................................7 4. Strategic research pillars..................................................................................................................9 5. Emerging cross-cutting opportunities in East Africa.....................................................................14 6. Program structure..........................................................................................................................18 7. Delivering impact at scale..............................................................................................................20 8. References.....................................................................................................................................24 Authors: Dawit Solomon, Maren Radeny, Catherine Mungai, John Recha, Tonya Schuetz and Marianne Gadeberg Editors: Dawit Solomon, Maren Radeny, Catherine Mungai and Marianne Gadeberg Design: Michael Dougherty Cover photo credit: Neil Palmer (CIAT)
1. Overview and development context East Africa has the potential to feed itself and be a major player in global food systems, but several challenges stand in its way—not least the accelerating impacts of climate change. Doyogena climate-smart landscape site, Doyogena district, Kembata Tembaro zone, Southern Nations, Nationalities, and Peoples’ Region (SNNPR) of Ethiopia. Credit: Dawit Solomon (CCAFS)
What is at stake for agriculture, food Agricultural systems in East Africa face many other and nutrition security in East Africa? constraints and barriers to sustainable growth. Degradation of soil, land, water and ecosystems is a persistent environmental challenge limiting the East Africa has enormous potential, not only to feed sector’s productivity. Economic barriers, including itself and eliminate hunger, but also to be a major lack of access to inputs, markets, capital, credit and player in global food systems.1 This potential lies in finance, are significant. Poor infrastructure, rising its natural resources, its people and knowledge, and land prices and structural challenges for inclusive its huge markets. Agriculture represents a significant growth are further limiting the possibilities for portion of this potential and constitutes a large part enhancing productivity, profitability as well as food of East African economies. In Ethiopia, for example, and nutrition security, putting the sector under agriculture contributed about 44% to the gross additional strain. Low human and institutional domestic product (GDP) over the past five years, capacities, poor agro-advisory services, as well while other East African countries generally attain as political instability and insecurity also make about a third of their GDP from agriculture.2,3,4 The it difficult to harness the existing potential in agriculture sector plays a key role for food and agriculture.1,5 nutrition security, sustainable natural resources management and economic diversification. If Furthermore, socio-demographic changes in the leveraged, the sector could boost investment, region are making improvements to the agriculture increase intra-regional trade, provide employment sector ever more urgent. About 264 million people opportunities, contribute to poverty eradication and live in East Africa, and the region’s population is foster human security, stability and prosperity.1,5,6 expected to grow to one billion by 2050.5 Notably, East Africa is a very youthful region; about 80% Acknowledging the sector’s huge potential, East of the population is below 35 years of age. As a African governments have made sustainable critical majority, youth will determine the shape transformation of agriculture a priority in their of the region’s future.7 The population relying on development agendas and long-term visions, and agriculture in the region stands at 185 million they have increased investments in agriculture. As a people, accounting for up to 70% of the total.5 result, these countries have started to benefit from While millions of people are involved in agriculture, growing revenue from agriculture.5 Similarly, private the number of young people directly engaged sector companies in the region are increasingly in the sector is dropping, and the agricultural investing in agriculture and related value chains, population is aging. Several factors are driving this enhancing the region’s potential to provide farmers shift, including persistent changes in farmland with improved access to inputs and services, ownership, continued competition for land and including better seeds, fertilizers, advisory services ever-decreasing farm sizes, increasing urbanization, and markets to improve productivity, incomes, risk a growing proportion of farmers relying on off-farm management and on-farm decision making.1,5 employment for income and the resulting change in the labor force towards non-farm activities. These Despite these positive efforts and developments, changes in social structures negatively affect food the region has seen very little improvement in and nutrition security, with around one-third of agricultural productivity, food and nutrition security. the region’s population currently suffering from Growth in the agriculture sector has primarily been malnutrition. The number of malnourished people achieved through unsustainable approaches, such is estimated to increase to about 320 million by as increasing the total area of land under cultivation 2050.8,9 or mobilizing large agricultural labor forces, without much improvement in yield and productivity.1,5,6 What is at stake for the region’s agriculture is, Besides, the sector is still dominated by smallholder therefore, meeting food and nutrition needs, subsistence farmers, who are struggling with deep- raising incomes and increasing employment rooted poverty and have few productive assets.5,6 opportunities, particularly in rural areas—all East Africa Strategy 2019-2021 1
while reducing inequalities and protecting the temperature, potentially associated with heat environment. This will be the most daunting waves, water stress and droughts, are likely to challenge for East African governments during the severely disrupt rain-fed agriculture. coming decades. While the precise impacts of climate variability Emerging climate-related challenges and change on East African farming systems are likely to vary spatially, two general predictions for agriculture, food and nutrition can be emphasized: greater variability in security in East Africa agricultural production and a possible decline in crop productivity arising from more erratic and Human activities are estimated to have caused extreme weather patterns.17 The combination of approximately 1.0°C of global warming above changing temperatures as well as rainfall patterns pre-industrial levels, with a likely range of 0.8°C and quantities will bring about shifts in the onset, to 1.2°C. Global warming is likely to reach 1.5°C cessation and length of growing seasons for a large between 2030 and 2052 if it continues to increase proportion of cropping and rangeland area in the at the current rate.10 East Africa is among the future. It is estimated that by 2050, the combined regions at a disproportionately higher risk of impacts of climate change could result in yield adverse consequences of global warming. It is reductions of major staple crops, e.g. on average extremely vulnerable to the various manifestations 14% for rice, 22% for wheat and 5% for maize.18 of climate change, and it is considered a climate This is projected to push more people into poverty, hotspot where climate change poses grave threats chronic hunger and nutrition deficiency, particularly to human well-being and natural environments. for the millions relying on agriculture for their livelihoods, and to exacerbate the vulnerability of The accelerating pace of climate change in the the malnourished population in the region.9,19 region is invariably being felt through increased variability, which affects the frequency, intensity, Because subsistence smallholders dominate the spatial distribution, duration and timing of extreme agriculture sector, little capacity and few resources weather and climate events.11,12 The changes in the exist for building resilience and adaptive capacity to frequency and severity of extreme climate events these emerging and changing realities.20 Women, and the increasing variability of weather patterns who on average make up 73% of the agricultural are resulting in substantial challenges for both workforce in the region, are the least prepared and human and natural systems. To the region’s farmers, are likely to suffer the greatest consequences.21,9 these emerging changes represent an additional Pastoralists may also be particularly vulnerable as source of risks and increased uncertainty. a result of direct impacts on livestock productivity and indirect effects on pasture, animal feed, and Climate variability and change are having significant increased incidences of disease and parasite direct and indirect impacts on agricultural infestations.20 production, agricultural value chains, food and nutrition security as well as the overall sustainable Agriculture and climate change exhibit a feedback growth of the sector in East Africa. These changes relationship; agriculture is not only impacted by will have a particularly devastating impact on climate change, it also contributes to climate smallholder agriculture, in which the livelihoods of change, necessitating both adaptation and farmers and pastoralists are subject to the vagaries mitigation strategies by East African countries. of the weather.1 The sector is currently the main source of national greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions in the Countries in East Africa are especially vulnerable region, accounting for about 46% in Uganda, to climate change due to their reliance 57% in Kenya, 60% in Ethiopia and up to 86% on subsistence, rain-fed agriculture.13,14,15 in Tanzania.9 The emissions from agriculture in Approximately 95% of the food in the region is the region are largely from the livestock sector, produced under rain-fed agriculture.16 This is which accounts in some cases for up to 96% of important because climate change impacts are the national agricultural emissions.22 In the region, predicted to intensify in the future. Increased, there is a general understanding that achieving more intense and more erratic rainfall, food and nutrition security as well as related accompanied by flooding, and changes in economic, social and environmental targets 2 CGIAR Research Program on Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security
requires decoupling agricultural growth from able to meet present needs and targets without GHG emissions. It is also acknowledged that GHG endangering the capacity of natural ecosystems to emissions from the agriculture sector must, where absorb the effects of human activities and without possible, be reduced and opportunities to increase compromising the ability of the future generations carbon storage in agricultural systems in soils to meet their own needs and aspirations.16 Finally, and vegetation must be encouraged in order to addressing climate change risks in the region will not mitigate climate change and safeguard long-term only help eliminate hunger and foster sustainable agricultural productivity and human well-being. economic growth, but also contribute towards reducing the risk of conflict, destabilization and mass Considering the multitude of significant and migration.23 interrelated challenges, it is evident that agricultural systems in East Africa must be transformed, Policies, strategies and priority particularly through developing and promoting sustainable agricultural strategies, policies and actions in East Africa programs that make the sector more efficient and productive. This is considered key to achieving Confronted with the triple challenge of achieving environmentally and socioeconomically viable and food and nutrition security, adapting to climate safe agricultural food systems. To achieve food and variability and change, as well as reducing GHG nutrition security, it is also necessary to increase the emissions where possible, national governments in resilience of productive landscapes and strengthen East Africa have pinned the agriculture sector as a farmers’ abilities to adapt to the emerging threats top priority. Table 1 highlights the visions, targets of climate variability and change.16 If undertaking and priorities of the governments of Ethiopia, these efforts, the countries in the region will be Kenya, Tanzania and Uganda. Table 1: Ethiopia, Kenya, Tanzania and Uganda’s vision and priorities Country National vision National priorities Ethiopia24 Achieve carbon-neutral • Improving efficiency of the agricultural system to enhance production and resilience as well as middle-income status increase adaptive capacity in an inclusive manner by 2025 through • Identifying options in crop and livestock systems for reducing emissions in the context of the implementation of the broader agricultural development and food security agenda Climate-Resilient Green • Restoring degraded land or preventing deforestation Economy strategy. • Improving the response capacity of the agricultural research system Kenya6 A climate-resilient and • Addressing vulnerability due to changes in rainfall and temperature, extreme weather events, low-carbon sustainable and unsustainable land and water management and use agriculture that ensures • Reducing GHG emissions from agriculture food security and • Establishing enabling policy, legal and institutional frameworks for effective implementation of contributes to national climate-resilient and low-carbon sustainable agriculture development goals. • Minimizing effects of underlying cross-cutting issues such as low human resource capacity and lack of finance Tanzania14 An agriculture sector • Improving productivity and incomes through sustainable and climate-resilient practices that that sustainably consider gender increases productivity, • Integrating agricultural value chains and improving infrastructure to support value addition, while enhancing climate marketing, trade and post-harvest management resilience and food • Strengthening policy, legal and institutional frameworks and improving institutional security for national coordination for effective implementation of sustainable and climate-resilient agriculture economic development. • Increasing use of climate-smart technologies in agricultural production through research and innovations • Improving and sustaining agricultural advisory services • Developing financing mechanisms to mobilize resources through national, international and public–private partnerships to support sustainable and climate-resilient agriculture Uganda15 Climate-resilient and • Increasing agricultural productivity through climate-resilient and low-carbon agriculture and low-carbon agricultural food systems approaches that consider gender and food systems • Increasing the contribution of agriculture to low-carbon development pathways through contributing to increased transformation of agricultural practices food security, wealth • Strengthening the enabling environment for efficient and effective scaling up of climate- creation and sustainable resilient and low-carbon agriculture and food systems economic growth. • Increasing partnerships and resource mobilization initiatives to support implementation of climate-resilient and low-carbon agriculture and food systems East Africa Strategy 2019-2021 3
In addition to the national policies, strategies At the regional level, members of the East and programs designed to deliver progress on African Community (EAC)—Kenya, Uganda and climate-resilient and low-carbon agriculture and Tanzania—are also guided by the EAC Climate food systems (Table 1), Ethiopia, Kenya, Tanzania Change Policy.16,29 In addition, a number of and Uganda are all parties to the United Nations countries in East Africa have prepared National Framework Convention on Climate Change Agricultural Investment Plans (NAIPs) under the (UNFCCC). All four countries have submitted Comprehensive Africa Agriculture Development Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) under Programme (CAADP) of the African Union (AU). the UNFCCC framework, communicating their The NAIPs are designed, among other objectives, climate goals to the international community.9,25,26 to scale up climate change adaptation and The NDCs represent key entry points for using mitigation actions to ensure progress towards scientific evidence to inform policies for sustainable transforming agriculture under the Africa agricultural development and climate action in East Agriculture Transformation Scorecard, which was Africa. In addition, these four countries, and all other announced at the 30th AU Heads of State Summit African parties to the UNFCCC, are represented in 2018.16,30 by the African Group of Negotiators (AGN) in the international climate change negotiations, with How CCAFS supports East some being members of the Least Developed Countries Expert Group.27 African countries’ priorities In 2015, the United Nation’s Sustainable In the context of increasing climate variability Development Goals (SDGs) replaced the Millennium and change, agriculture in East Africa is facing Development Goals, with an aim to end poverty, enormous challenges of achieving food and protect the planet and ensure prosperity for nutrition security, adapting to climate change everyone by 2030. East African countries embraced and, where possible, reducing GHG emissions the principles for sustainable development and to mitigate climate change. The CGIAR Research adopted SDGs right from the time of promulgation. Program on Climate Change, Agriculture and They have worked to mainstream sustainability into Food Security in East Africa (CCAFS EA) seeks their development strategies and embarked on to support the countries in East Africa, and the a more sustainable development pathway. Many region as a whole, in their pursuits to achieve of the long-term strategic planning documents by their sustainable developmental goals as well as East African countries developed during the past fulfill their national, regional and international decade (such as Kenya’s Vision 2030) have identified climate-related commitments. To achieve this, sustainable agricultural development among the CCAFS EA is promoting climate-smart agriculture pillars of their national development strategies, (CSA)—a strategic approach to agriculture along with more inclusive growth. that aims to solve the region’s increasing developmental and climate-related challenges The strategic role that agriculture will play in by introducing climate-smart practices and climate change adaptation and mitigation is also technologies to sustainably increase agricultural clearly reflected in East African countries’ National productivity and income, enhance resilience and Adaptation Programmes of Action, National adaptive capacity, while reducing emissions and Adaptation Plans and Nationally Appropriate sequestering carbon. Both CCAFS EA and the Mitigation Actions.16,28 Agriculture has also become countries in East Africa recognize the relevance a main focus of the AGN and UNFCCC focal points as and efficacy of CSA and no longer consider CSA they work to effectively articulate Africa’s position an option, but a core necessity to transform on agriculture and climate change, notably through agriculture to deliver food and nutrition security contributions to the roadmap for the Koronivia Joint as well as livelihood improvements in the face of Work on Agriculture. a changing climate. 4 CGIAR Research Program on Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security
2. Focus countries and research sites CCAFS East Africa aims to contribute to a climate-resilient region that is food and nutrition secure and has equitable access to livelihood opportunities for all. Livestock farmers in the district of Lushoto, in the Tanga region of Tanzania. Credit: Georgina Smith (CIAT) CCAFS EA carries out its research and engagement In these focus countries, CCAFS EA has established activities in four focus countries: Ethiopia, Kenya, six research sites to introduce, test, evaluate Tanzania and Uganda. These countries were and promote technological and institutional CSA selected because their farming systems face a wide options for addressing climate variability and range of climatic, agro-ecological, environmental change in agriculture (Figure 1). These research and socioeconomic challenges. Besides, the sites cut across the main agro-ecological zones agricultural communities in these countries are and farming systems in East Africa. The sites highly vulnerable to climate risks and have very include Nyando (Kenya), Lushoto (Tanzania), low adaptive capacities, leading to very fragile Hoima (Uganda) as well as Borana, Doyogena existence. and Basona Werana (Ethiopia). These sites have East Africa Strategy 2019-2021 5
been established as Climate-Smart Villages (CSVs), and fisheries schemes, multi-strata agroforestry a concept developed by CCAFS. The CSVs act as systems, market and financial services, as well ‘lighthouses’, allowing communities to test, co- as multi-stress tolerant new crop varieties and develop and adopt integrated portfolios of CSA livestock breeds are among the most successful practices. The CSVs are expected to continue to interventions piloted in the CSVs in East Africa.31 provide a solid framework through which the program can investigate how and when CSA Outside the four primary focus countries, the practices and technologies can be adopted, program is working in Rwanda to build capacity building the evidence base to support future for national climate services and to improve scaling up and out of CSA in the region. The climate risk management for agriculture. In interventions tested vary depending on the climate southern Africa, the program is working in Malawi, risks of the village, level of development, as well Mozambique, Zambia and Zimbabwe to make value as the capacity and interests of farmers, local chains and business models more inclusive and government and development partners. Agro- to provide incentives and innovative finance for meteorological services, integrated crop, livestock scaling of CSA. Figure 1: CCAFS East Africa focus countries and research sites Key CCAFS EA focus countries Additional East and Southern Africa countries in which CCAFS works Climate-Smart Villages (CSVs) Basona Werana Borana Ethiopia Doyogena Hoima Uganda Kenya Rwanda Lushoto Tanzania Nyando Malawi Zambia Mozambique Zimbabwe 6 CGIAR Research Program on Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security
3. Goals and outcomes CCAFS EA aims to address persistent constraints and challenges in agriculture through innovative technologies and practices, policies and enabling environments, Livestock market in Wajir, northern Kenya. Credit: Riccardo Gangale (ILRI) as well as conducive investments. CCAFS EA aims to contribute to a climate-resilient By promoting CSA, CCAFS EA aims to address East Africa, which is food and nutrition secure persistent constraints and challenges in agriculture and that has equitable access to livelihood through innovative technologies and practices, opportunities for all. Complementary objectives policies and enabling environments, and conducive that support these goals include increasing investments. Figure 2 shows CCAFS EA’s theory carbon storage in agricultural systems as well as of change, including assumptions, approaches reducing GHG emissions from food systems and and pursued outcomes in support of East African agricultural value chains to mitigate climate change countries’ priorities. This represents the revised and supporting enabling policies and increased regional impact pathway, designed to effectively investments in agriculture and natural resource operationalize the strategy under the CCAFS flagships management. These goals are in line with CCAFS’ and cross-cutting learning platforms (LPs) (see Figure overarching aim to catalyze positive change 3). The program’s envisaged outcomes ultimately towards climate-smart agriculture, food systems contribute to the CGIAR System Level Outcomes and and landscapes.32 The goals are also aligned with the SDGs. The program’s detailed outcomes and the national policies and priority actions of East targets, which are aligned to the CCAFS flagships and African countries. cross-cutting LPs, are presented in Annex 1. East Africa Strategy 2019-2021 7
Figure 2: CCAFS East Africa Theory of Change 1 ASSUMPTION There is political and institutional readiness to implement CSA at scale in East Africa resulting in a climate-resilient, food- and nutrition-secure region 2 WAYS OF WORKING In order to achieve this, CCAFS EA has found four ways of working: With implementing partners to With policy partners to With finance and policy With research and understand how information understand what works for partners to understand knowledge partners to strengthens national policy and enabling what works for inclusive build scientific evidence for institutions and services in EA environment in EA investment CSA across scales 3 APPROACHES Country, inter-center and CRP Partnerships, Knowledge management, Gender, youth and Monitoring, learning collaborations and inclusive engagement and capacity open access and social inclusion and evaluation regional research strategy building for scaling CSA communication 4 OUTCOMES Evidence-informed, gender-sensitive CSA Increased investments and scaling of and food and nutrition security policies, d institutiona CSA to promote inclusive business strategies and plans for climate-resilient y an lc h models, climate-proofed value chains and inclusive food systems developed ic a and innovative financing mechanisms l ng Po Climate- e African position on agriculture and food Low-emissions strategies and policies security in global climate change negotiations informed by science resilient, food- and for agriculture and livestock that feed into MRVs and NDCs developed and nutrition-secure implemented East Africa with Clima e Increased access to and control over Increased participation of women and a focus on scal productive assets and resources for youth in decision making about women and youth low-emissions development in smallholder agriculture and livestock te at farmers -s d a m te Improved incentives for and packaging of rt Improved governance for demand- gender-sensitive CSA technologies and ag en driven gender-sensitive digital climate ricu lem practices for climate-smart lture imp services and agricultural advisories for multifunctional landscapes early-warning systems and insurance for climate risk management 5 INDICATORS Number of policy decisions Amount of new investments in Number of institutions and Number of organizations Number of site-specific and strategies taken (in part) CSA based (in part) on CCAFS major initiatives using CCAFS adapting plans to increase targeted CSA technologies or based on CCAFS science and priority setting outputs for services helping women’s access to decision practices evaluated knowledge products farm households manage making and control over climate risks resources CGIAR SYSTEM LEVEL OUTCOMES Improve Improve Reduce food and natural resources poverty nutrition and ecosystems security services SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT GOALS NO ZERO GENDER RESPONSIBLE CLIMATE LIFE LIFE POVERTY HUNGER EQUALITY CONSUMPTION ACTION BELOW WATER ON LAND AND PRODUCTION 8 CGIAR Research Program on Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security
4. Strategic research pillars CCAFS EA supports the ongoing regional and national efforts to sustainably transform agriculture and achieve food and nutrition security under climate change through scaled Agroforestry in East Africa. Credit: Dawit Solomon (CCAFS) up implementation of inclusive CSA initiatives. CCAFS EA recognizes that with increasing national and regional policy makers. In February climate variability and change, East Africa is 2018, the program organized a regional strategy facing significant challenges in meeting national revision workshop in Arusha, Tanzania. This development objectives, international climate strategy workshop brought together research and commitments and the SDGs. Transforming the implementing partners, farmer organizations, non- region’s agricultural system requires a shared governmental organizations (NGOs), private sector vision among the different stakeholders in the organizations, CGIAR centers in East Africa, CCAFS development and food security sectors. Success flagship leaders and other relevant stakeholders. will only be possible through collective actions of national governments, international research As a result of this workshop, CCAFS EA identified organizations and development agencies as well as four interconnected strategic research pillars and through regional and international cooperation. a number of emerging opportunities to guide Therefore, CCAFS EA is continuously undertaking the program’s research initiatives, engagement extensive engagement and consultation with activities and communications for 2019–2021. East Africa Strategy 2019-2021 9
These priorities are in line with the CCAFS Phase water stress and drought; vi) improved agronomic II proposal, the directions provided by CCAFS’ practices; vii) aquaculture to enhance household Independent Steering Committee and the regional nutrition and diversify incomes; and viii) inclusive focus countries’ national policy and priority actions. business models and financing instruments, such CCAFS EA’s revised research strategy puts greater as local rotating savings and credit association emphasis on enhancing agricultural productivity schemes, to allow smallholder farmers to pool their and incomes, boosting food and nutrition security, financial resources and invest in climate-smart building resilience and adaptive capacity, and, technologies. where possible, reducing GHG emissions and sequestering carbon in agricultural systems. The CCAFS EA will also promote drought-tolerant program plans to focus more on cross-cutting perennial crops with the potential to sequester transformative actions, including using big data greater amounts of soil and biomass carbon to and digital solutions to enhance implementation increase the potential for farms and landscapes at scale to benefit smallholder farmers and other to mitigate climate change. Overall, the program vulnerable groups. The program’s strategy also will develop and promote solutions that are supports the ongoing regional and national efforts customized to different agro-ecologies and farming to sustainably transform agriculture and achieve systems in East Africa. Promoting a portfolio of food and nutrition security under climate change contextualized CSA technologies and practices through scaled up implementation of inclusive CSA for resource-poor farmers, including women and initiatives. The future CCAFS EA research priorities youth, will be a key priority. Climate, food and and emerging opportunities, many of which can nutrition security scenario analyses will also be be pursued as integrated research activities, are as undertaken to provide evidence for multilevel follows: gender- and nutrition-sensitive policies and to guide targeted investments in and implementation Climate-smart technologies, of CSA. innovations and policies Climate information, agro-advisory and To transition to CSA at scale, CCAFS EA will insurance for climate risk management test, evaluate, increase access to, and promote technologies and innovations to enhance The frequency and severity of extreme climate agricultural productivity and incomes, build events such as droughts, dry spells, heat resilience and adaptive capacities as well as waves, storms and floods is increasing in East to meet farmers’ needs. The technologies and Africa, making it difficult to progress towards innovations include: i) high-yielding, early maturing more sustainable and productive agriculture.12 and multi-stress tolerant crop varieties (adapted Effective climate services, early-warning systems to e.g. elevated temperature, drought, flood and and climate-informed agro-advisories are part salinity) as well as varieties resistant to emerging of an enabling environment for the transition diseases and pests triggered by climate variability towards CSA. Therefore, CCAFS EA will develop and shocks; ii) improved livestock breeds that such services to ensure that farmers are well are heat and disease tolerant and have high informed of climate risks and protected by well- feed conversion efficiency and productivity to targeted safety nets. The program will focus on build resilience in the region’s livestock systems early warning, innovative insurance products and and value chains; iii) multi-strata agroforestry climate-informed agro-advisories and market to diversify farms and enhance resilience; iv) services to help build farmers’ capacity for acting integrated soil and water management as well on such information and managing climate risks. as integrated soil fertility and crop nutrient Climate information services and early warning management to reduce land degradation, enhance advisories may be shared via SMS, radio or word of soil health, boost productivity, build soil organic mouth. carbon and improve fertilizer use efficiency focusing on type, amount and time of application; Innovative insurance products, such as index-based v) solar-powered irrigation to expand access agricultural insurance, are an attractive approach to affordable irrigation, enhance resilience and to managing climate risks as they rely on direct improve water use efficiency to combat recurrent measurement of the loss or damage suffered 10 CGIAR Research Program on Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security
Box 1: Sharing better climate information for effective and timely farming decisions in Tanzania and Ethiopia In Lushoto, Tanzania, CCAFS EA is coordinating The service, which began in 2012, now reaches an initiative to provide farmers with improved more than 1,000 households in Lushoto, enabling climate information, enabling them to make them to make better farming decisions. sound and timely farming decisions, such as what and when to plant, and when to harvest. The In the northern and southern highlands of Ethiopia, initiative combines indigenous knowledge with CCAFS EA is using information and communication scientific meteorological weather forecasting. technologies (ICT) to disseminate climate services Three weather forecasting teams using indigenous and market information to smallholder farmers. knowledge have been formed in Lushoto, The initiative is carried out in partnership with the representing three different agro-ecological zones Ethiopian Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock (humid, sub-humid and lowlands). Every three Resources, research and development partners months these teams meet with experts from the and a private sector partner (Echnoserve). Tanzania Meteorological Agency (TMA) to compare Echnoserve has developed a tool, called YeZaRe, indigenous forecasts with seasonal outlook with an embedded geographic information forecasts from TMA. Following the meetings, system technology that allows farmers to receive the forecasts are integrated and packaged for information specifically tailored to their location. dissemination. The forecasts are shared through The YeZaRe phone app and SMS service are also a variety of tools: i) a farm SMS tool that sends available through a web-based system. It provides climate forecast information to subscribing farmers, three-, ten- and thirty-day forecasts as well as allowing them to receive timely alerts, advisories seasonal forecasts. The ten-day forecast also comes and weather forecasts that are issued by TMA in with agro-advisory services, enabling smallholder the national language, Swahili; ii) a more traditional farmers to make informed decisions and take mechanism involving dissemination in the relevant actions for optimal agricultural productivity. community through word of mouth; and iii) printed Currently, the service is reaching 1,000 farmers, with flyers that help broaden the reach of the forecasts. the potential of reaching 55,000 farmers within the next three years. Farmer with her phone in Dodoma, Tanzania. Credit: Cecilia Schubert (CCAFS) East Africa Strategy 2019-2021 11
by individual farmers. CCAFS EA, together with support these commitments, CCAFS EA will work national, regional and international partners, will with governments, the private sector, NGOs, explore various index-based insurance approaches international development partners and other and develop tools and approaches to reduce the relevant stakeholders to raise awareness on low- risk of livestock loss, crop yield reduction or crop emissions development (LED) systems in crop failure. This can help increase farmers’ short- and and livestock sectors and to assess the economic long-term resilience and adaptive capacity. With and social feasibility for smallholder farmers to insurance, farmers will experience reduced risks scale LED technologies and practices. Critical and may be incentivized to invest in on-farm first steps include establishing baselines for innovations to increase agricultural productivity current emission levels from crop and livestock and resilience. Finally, CCAFS EA will provide activities, gathering evidence on how low- evidence to inform policies and investments emissions technologies and practices contribute related to climate information services, agricultural to food and nutrition security, and identifying advisories and insurance products to ensure that farm- and landscape-level mitigation co-benefits. the most significant risks are being addressed, thus The objectives of the program’s LED research will providing maximum benefits to vulnerable farmers. be to i) understand the challenges and barriers for LED in crop and livestock sub-sectors; ii) test Low-emissions development whether contextualized LED pathways can reduce agricultural GHG emissions and contribute to food pathways for agriculture security; iii) explore how LED in crop and livestock sub-sectors provides farm- and landscape-level East African countries have pledged in their mitigation co-benefits; and iv) effectively support NDCs to reduce GHG emissions, in adherence the development of an enabling environment and to the Paris Agreement of the UNFCCC.33 To policies for undertaking LED at scale in public– Linking adaptation and mitigation and capitalizing on their synergies in agriculture is vital in East Africa, and should form the core of national and regional climate policy planning and implementation. Credit: Dawit Solomon (CCAFS). 12 CGIAR Research Program on Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security
private partnership schemes. The research will also benefit national LED efforts by developing and strengthening tools for better emissions Women often carry the measurement, to improve measurement, reporting and verification (MRV) systems that can brunt of the climate burden, feed into the countries’ NDCs, and by building both technical and human capacities to implement but keeping their challenges LED at scale. in mind when designing The primary beneficiaries of the program’s LED research, technologies and research are the region’s smallholder farmers, for whom LED practices can contribute to food policies can help create security and climate resilience by increasing yields, reducing input use and improving natural equitable opportunities and capital. The research will also benefit the private sector and national LED efforts by providing better climate resilience. emissions estimates, improving technical capacities to implement and monitor LED, and supporting policy development. efforts will focus on i) supporting the development Gender, youth and socially of gender-sensitive and socially inclusive CSA policies; ii) developing strategies that encourage inclusive growth investments to increase access to and control over productive assets and resources by women, youth Resource-poor women, youth and other already and other marginalized groups; iii) supporting marginalized groups are particularly vulnerable to gender-sensitive, socially inclusive community the impacts of climate change and often face higher efforts that provide greater opportunity for risks.9 These groups have inadequate access to women, youth and other vulnerable groups to and control over productive assets and can rarely adopt CSA technologies and practices; and iv) participate in decision making and labor markets, designing initiatives that increase access to CSA making them unable to effectively contribute technologies and practices, information and to climate-related planning, policy making and decision making by women, youth and other implementation of CSA initiatives. In addition, marginalized groups. men and women often have different preferences and priorities, which need to be considered The program will also prioritize building capacity when piloting or scaling CSA. Women often play of policy leaders to better integrate gender a critical role in addressing climate-related risks considerations into climate change policies and due to their local knowledge and leadership in programs at national levels. Making CSA more sustainable natural resource management practices attractive and accessible to youth will be another at household and community levels.34 CCAFS EA important focus, and potential strategies include recognizes that development and implementation improved linkages between education and of policies that do not take women’s meaningful business, inclusive financial services and business participation into account could further widen the models, better access to markets and equitable gender gap. CCAFS EA will conduct research to transfers of technology and skills. inform, catalyze and target climate-smart solutions to women, youth and other vulnerable groups In addition to the strategic research pillars outlined to increase their control over productive assets above, the revised CCAFS EA strategy will explore and resources as well as enhance their access to and maximize the following emerging cross-cutting information and participation in decision making. opportunities that can help transform the region’s agriculture. In doing so, the program will seek to CCAFS EA will address gender, youth and foster South–South partnerships among CCAFS’ social inclusion-related challenges and engage regional programs and seek out various bilateral stakeholders to achieve these goals at multiple opportunities to scale up the main research scales. The program’s research and engagement priorities outlined above. East Africa Strategy 2019-2021 13
5. Emerging cross-cutting opportunities in East Africa benefits of CSA at scale as well as trade-off analyses Integrated ecological approaches and foresight modeling to help inform policy decisions. CCAFS EA’s research is also intended to for climate-smart and resilient help governments and the private sector prioritize landscapes and food security CSA investments and to provide smallholders with access to climate finance. This can help overcome East African countries, and their international sustainability- and scaling-related constraints to development partners, have identified climate- achieving climate-smart and resilient landscapes. smart, multifunctional landscapes as an important climate change adaptation and mitigation Strengthening and climate- strategy. CCAFS EA recognizes that landscapes are multifunctional and provide benefits and proofing value chains services to a wide range of ecosystem processes and species as well as to the region’s increasing Climate extremes and weather hazards could lead population. The program seeks to support to severe economic and financial consequences for research on contextualized, integrated planning agricultural value chains and markets across East and management of landscapes that i) considers Africa, affecting both farmers and private sector the interests of multiple stakeholders; ii) identifies actors.22,35 Farmers’ production is in many instances synergies on productivity, food and nutrition inextricably linked to agri-businesses, and a changing security, income, adaptation and mitigation co- climate could likely jeopardize the relationship, benefits; and iii) analyzes and negotiates the trade- putting businesses that depend on farmers at risk, offs among different uses. Identifying landscape and vice versa. approaches that integrate sustainable management of ecosystems with livelihood considerations, Recognizing the emerging challenges from climate including crop–livestock management, agroforestry, variability and change, it is critical to include climate sustainable fisheries, afforestation and reforestation, into vulnerability assessments across agricultural and improved rangeland management, will be an value chains. This will allow stakeholders, including integral part of the regional program’s priorities. smallholder farmers and agri-businesses, to identify the risks, develop and strengthen contingency plans, CCAFS EA will also work with relevant stakeholders create possibilities for responding with climate- and CGIAR partners to offer opportunities for smart adaptation measures to minimize risks and reversing deforestation and land degradation as well climate-proof value chains, improve efficiency and as for creating synergies between climate change reduce costs. At the same time, opportunities to adaptation and mitigation. Such efforts will include reduce GHG emissions and capitalize on the ensuing quantifying carbon sequestration potentials and new business opportunities can be created. benefits of climate-smart and resilient landscapes as well as of large-scale land management and Strengthening agricultural value chains in support of agro-ecosystem rehabilitation projects. The goal CSA represents an opportunity to increase climate is to learn how to effectively use landscapes and resilience in the region. Climate risks can be reduced agro-ecosystems to reduce GHG emissions, without by making inputs available and improving access compromising agricultural productivity or food and to market information to incentivize smallholders nutrition security. to invest in CSA; developing and strengthening contingency plans for responding to climate risks; Making such large-scale changes requires improving improving efficiencies and reducing costs along the enabling policy environment and setting the value chain; and creating opportunities to priorities for targeted investments. The program reduce GHG emissions. CCAFS EA will work with will provide decision makers with evidence on the countries, private sector partners and communities 14 CGIAR Research Program on Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security
It is time to look ahead for big opportunities: digital systems and technologies, climate financing and resilient value chains are some of the most promising. Beneficiary of Takaful insurance payout in Wajir, northern Kenya. Credit: Riccardo Gangale (ILRI) to i) identify key agricultural value chains in the program focused on climate-proofing agricultural region; ii) conduct socioeconomic and bio-physical value chains for Kenya, Tanzania and Uganda in feasibility and environmental benefit assessments collaboration with the Netherlands Development with special focus on local smallholder farming Organization (SNV), Wageningen University and communities and the natural environment, Research, Agriterra and Rabobank, and with support acknowledging their essential roles within business from the Government of the Netherlands. value chains; iii) ascertain drivers, such as shocks and disturbances, and hotspots for risks across value Big data and climate-informed chains; and iv) evaluate key value chains’ robustness, resilience, adaptability and capacity to withstand digital systems for improved and absorb shocks.36 agricultural advisory services The program will aim to identify leverage points In the developed world, big data libraries, and opportunities for smallholder farmers, agri- integrated digital technologies and advanced businesses and other private sector stakeholders analytics are already transforming agriculture, to develop and implement preventive actions that making farm operations more insight driven build robustness, address stressors and enhance and efficient. However, the application of digital reactive capacities of value chains. In this way, value technology in agriculture and other sectors chains can better respond to shocks and adapt to remains limited in East Africa. short- and long-term climate risks, thus creating benefits for private sector partners, communities CCAFS EA will pursue the application of big data as and the environment. well as digital systems and solutions to strengthen agricultural extension systems and advisories for To support such efforts, CCAFS EA has recently smallholder farmers. Existing agricultural advisory developed a large-scale climate and food security systems are not designed to draw on location- East Africa Strategy 2019-2021 15
specific and accurate data, such as soil type and more attractive to the youth and have potential to health, crop and livestock diseases and pests, and enhance involvement of the youth in transforming market prices. Instead, advisory services tend to East African agriculture. be generic and centrally controlled, with limited options to engage with and respond to the needs Innovative financing mechanisms of private sector actors, farming communities, women and youth. Opportunities for improving Lack of vigorous and sustainable agricultural the use of digital solutions must be considered, productivity and growth as well as prevalent including increasing ‘last-mile connectivity’— unsustainable approaches are among the main as facilitated by the rapid expansion of mobile causes of food insecurity in East Africa. On technology and large investments in telecom the other hand, robust growth in agricultural services, which makes it possible to reach even productivity, achieved through sustainable, more smallholder farmers. Similarly, digital demand-driven and market-oriented agricultural decision-support tools (DSTs) that benefit from big transformation, can drive the productivity data have the potential to support policy makers, increases crucial for food and nutrition security, private sector investors and farmers to make better poverty reduction and achievement of the SDGs decisions. under a changing climate. Clearly, there is need for scaled investment in agriculture to meet the CCAFS EA recognizes that increased use of digital existing challenges and support adaptation to technology and ICT has the potential to accelerate climate change. agricultural productivity, improve food security, and boost job opportunities and incomes across Accordingly, in 2003, the countries in East Africa the region. Therefore, the program will work agreed to dedicate 10% of their national budgets with smallholder farmers, national and regional to agriculture in the Maputo Declaration on partners, CGIAR centers and CGIAR research Agriculture and Food Security in Africa. Since programs (CRPs), NGOs, women and youth groups, then, agricultural investments in the region have the private sector, and other relevant stakeholders been growing.37 However, due to competing to undertake strategic research in order to i) needs, pressure on public resources is increasing. understand the priorities, policies and systemic Therefore, additional investments in agriculture, bottlenecks for developing climate-informed made possible through innovative financing digital advisories and solutions; ii) support the mechanisms, will be critical to strengthen the development of integrated national digital sector’s resilience and adaptation to climate agricultural data hubs; iii) explore opportunities for variability and change. developing digital, demand-driven and inclusive agricultural advisories, DSTs and services; and iv) CCAFS EA will work towards supporting private test such digital systems at scale to help transform and public sector partners and other stakeholders the region’s agriculture. in the region to identify and nurture innovative financing mechanisms that can generate These strategic efforts are expected to support positive returns on investment and synergies for the development of national agricultural digital sustainable development. Such mechanisms may hubs, which integrate climate, soil, crop, livestock provide incentives to scale up implementation and market information, as well as agricultural of CSA and climate-smart landscapes, generating decision-support platforms that can engage adaptation and mitigation co-benefits. Potential women and youth. Through public–private financing opportunities include i) private partnerships, the program will strive to develop financing for climate adaptation, benefitting agro-ecosystem-specific, demand-driven, and from the private sector’s ability to mobilize climate-informed agricultural advisories, DSTs, finance for agriculture;38 ii) impact investment climate and insurance services to be delivered in attractive agricultural projects with social, through digital mechanisms (e.g. web-based environmental and other development benefits; services, smart phone-based apps, SMS, interactive iii) blended finance where development finance voice response, video and radio) or through and philanthropic funds are used to incentivize face-to-face interactions, particularly for climate and leverage private sector capital for CSA, services, agricultural advisories and insurance. for example in the form of grants and loans These efforts are expected to make agriculture to smallholder farmers and small agricultural 16 CGIAR Research Program on Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security
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