Carbon footprint study - London 2012 Carbon footprint study - Methodology and reference footprint March 2010
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London 2012 Carbon footprint study – Methodology and reference footprint March 2010 Carbon footprint study
Contents Preface 5 Introduction 6 How we developed the reference footprint 6 Report status 6 Verification 7 Methodology 8 Summary of accounting principles 9 Complying with the principles 10 Relevance 10 Completeness 10 Consistency 11 Accuracy 11 Transparency 11 Games boundaries 12 Owned, shared and associated (OSA) impacts 13 Deciding what is ‘out of scope’ 14 Emission sources considered for inclusion 15 Applying a materiality threshold 16 Tracking emissions over time 16 Defining a reference scenario 18 Developing a reduction scenario 19 Identifying and calculating GHG emissions 20 Identifying sources 20 Selecting a calculation approach 21 Collecting data and choosing emission factors 22 Accounting renewable electricity 23 Aircraft emission factors and passenger classes 24 Applying calculation tools 24 Managing inventory quality 24 Reporting GHG emissions 26 Key performance indicators (KPIs) 26 The London 2012 reference footprint 27 Summary results 27 Big hitters 29 Reference footprint method overview 29 Spectators 31 Overview 31 Big hitters 32 Emission sources 32 Materiality threshold 33 Calculation approach 33 Assumptions 35 Transport 35 Catering 36 Accommodation 37 Merchandise 38 Data and emission factors 39 Operations 41 Overview 41 Big hitters 42 Emission sources 42 Materiality threshold 43 Calculation approach 43 Assumptions 44 IT services 44 Ceremonies and culture 44 Transport services 44 Media 45 3
Travel grants 46 Staff offices and travel 46 Games workforce and athletes 47 Venue energy use 48 Overlay and fit‑out 49 Data and emission factors 49 Venues 53 Overview 53 Big hitters 54 Emission sources 55 Materiality threshold 55 Calculation approach 56 Materials 56 Transport 56 On‑site energy use 58 Assumptions 58 Olympic Stadium 58 Media Centre 59 Olympic Village 60 Aquatics Centre 61 Olympic Park works (the ‘common domain’) 61 Data and emission factors 64 Transport infrastructure 66 Overview 66 Big hitters 67 Emission sources 68 Materiality threshold 68 Calculation approach 68 Data and emission factors 68 Appendix A: London 2012 Carbon Technical Advisory Group 69 Report authors 69 Best Foot Forward 69 Terms of Reference: London 2012 Carbon Management 69 Objective 69 Remit 69 Membership 70 Modus operandi 70 Powers of the Advisory Group 70 Confidentiality 70 Communications protocol 70 Time commitment and remuneration 70 Appointment and retirement of Advisory Group members 70 Public recognition of Advisory Group membership 70 Appendix B: A description of the IO analysis used to plug data gaps 71 Appendix C: Method used to calculate uncertainty in the ICE V1.6 materials data 72 Appendix D: Adjustment policy 73 Updating the reference footprint 73 Changes in boundaries (the inclusion/exclusion of different emission sources) 73 Changes in data and assumptions 74 Trigger points for updating the reference footprint 75 Developing a reduction scenario 75 Reference reduction measure; date, assumptions and data sources 75 Proposed reduction measure; data, assumptions and data sources 75 4
Preface How do you produce an accurate carbon footprint for an event as complex and unconventional as the Olympic Games and Paralympic Games? For London 2012, the search for an answer has resulted in a ‘groundbreaking’1 new approach to footprint methodology. This London 2012 Carbon Footprint Study was devised in part through necessity. No Summer Games has ever attempted to map its carbon footprint before. Equally, no existing footprinting standard for events can be applied meaningfully to an Olympic and Paralympic Games. In the original London 2012 bid, we made a commitment to deliver a ‘low‑carbon Games’. In order to define our performance, however, it was clear that the scope and scale of Games‑related emissions needed to be properly measured and understood. That is why in the second half of 2007, London 2012 began the process of measuring its carbon footprint. This was the starting point for developing the London 2012 Carbon Management Strategy, which has four primary objectives: − To define and measure an initial baseline carbon footprint of the Games (known as a reference footprint), from which to measure any carbon reduction activities. − To seek ways to reduce our carbon footprint through avoiding emissions, reducing emissions and substituting conventional systems with lower carbon technologies. − To influence the uptake of best practices and innovative approaches developed by London 2012, and inspire behaviour change, as a means to mitigate unavoidable emissions. − To implement climate adaptation strategies so that the legacy development and parklands are appropriate for the long term. This report focuses on the first of these objectives. In particular, the carbon footprint for the Games is a forward‑looking estimate of potential carbon emissions from the project. This has turned carbon footprinting into an impact assessment tool, rather than a reporting mechanism. As this has been the first such comprehensive carbon footprint study of the Games, there have inevitably been data gaps, instances of low‑quality data and assumptions made. It is also noteworthy that footprinting itself is an emerging science. Nevertheless, despite these cautions, which we have highlighted in the report, this exercise has proved immensely valuable in defining the scale of the Games and identifying major areas of impact. We therefore feel it is important to publish this report as a technical addendum to the London 2012 Sustainability Plan and Carbon Management Strategy. This not only underlines London 2012’s commitment to transparent reporting but also to building a positive knowledge legacy. Commission for a Sustainable London 2012 Annual Report, April 2009. 1 5
Introduction This report sets out the carbon footprint methodology and reference footprint for the London 2012 Olympic Games and Paralympic Games developed on behalf of London 2012. This has informed the carbon management strategy for the Games, which is set out in the London 2012 Sustainability Plan (second edition) published in December 20092. The work was commissioned by the London Organising Committee of the Olympic Games and Paralympic Games (LOCOG), in partnership with the Olympic Delivery Authority (ODA) and the London Development Agency (LDA), in March 2008. The following report is independent. All reasonable effort has been made by London 2012 to ensure that the figures included in the updated London 2012 Sustainability Plan are consistent with those given in this report. The specific objectives addressed in this report are to: − Develop a robust methodology for calculating an initial baseline carbon footprint of the Games (known as the reference footprint) and facilitating the ongoing monitoring of this footprint throughout the London 2012 delivery programme. − Develop and showcase ‘thought leadership’ and best practice in this emerging field, leaving a positive knowledge legacy in order to assist future events seeking to minimise their carbon footprint. How we developed the reference footprint This report arises from work commissioned by LOCOG – in partnership with the ODA and the LDA – in March 2008. It followed an initial study carried out from June to November 2007 to scope and provide an early estimate of the carbon footprint of the London 2012 Olympic Games and Paralympic Games. Both phases of this work were carried out by Best Foot Forward (BFF), a Queen’s Award‑winning, independent consultancy specialising in carbon footprinting. The work was overseen by a client steering group from LOCOG, the ODA and the LDA, and supported by a Technical Advisory Group (TAG). The TAG comprised individual specialists from universities, businesses, (including London 2012 Commercial Partners), NGOs and Government. It met six times during 2008 and 2009 and, between meetings, corresponded via an online forum where early drafts and issues documents were posted. Membership and terms of reference of the TAG are given in Appendix A. Two wider stakeholder briefings were also held over the same period to draw in additional commentary and debate a series of specific questions relating to the emerging strategy. These same questions were also debated by the Commission for a Sustainable London 2012 and conclusions were fed back to Best Foot Forward. Report status This report is based on the best data, assumptions and estimates available at the time of the research. While the overall methodology should remain largely unchanged, it is inevitable that certain elements of the London 2012 Strategy and reference footprint will continue to evolve during the two‑and‑a‑half years remaining until the Games. This is largely due to the uncertainties involved in predicting future emissions and the continuing emergence of new research, standards and guidance which will impact on the approach to accounting for greenhouse gas emissions. 2 London 2012 Sustainability Plan, 2009 – london2012.com 6
Subsequent updates will be reported as part of the annual review of the London 2012 Sustainability Plan. Verification In line with best practice, this document has been independently reviewed by KPMG to provide an objective assessment of the assumptions, method and reporting principles. We commissioned this work to provide confidence that: − the method used is credible and complies with any relevant established GHG accounting and reporting principles; and − the results contain no material discrepancies – in other words, notwithstanding the uncertainties inherent in predicting future emissions, nothing has been omitted or substantial errors made which would materially affect the conclusions. 7
Methodology This section describes the methodology used to measure the initial baseline carbon footprint of the London 2012 Games. Our primary goal is to provide sufficient detail so that this methodology can be replicated to measure the footprint of future Games and, with some limited adaptation, other large sporting events. In this sense it forms a substantive part of London 2012’s knowledge legacy. Though standards and guidelines exist for the retrospective measurement of footprints for companies, products and services, there is currently no universally agreed approach to measuring the footprint of an event. Furthermore, any new method devised for the Games must, if it is to be useful in mitigating emissions, anticipate the impact of an event many years in the future. In this sense, it has similarities to an environmental impact assessment or risk analysis; the goal is to anticipate significant ‘carbon risks’ so that they can be avoided, reduced or shared where possible. Some of these problems of definition and measurement are no different to those faced when footprinting any organisation. However, the scale, reach and very public expectations surrounding the Games make the issues even more acute and the solutions even more complex. Our method is unashamedly pragmatic. We have focused primarily on trying to identify in advance those opportunities that will cost‑effectively reduce the footprint of London 2012. Our methodology is not presented in the style of a formal standard – this would make it too generic and impenetrable. Instead, we have sought to present straightforward guidance and potential solutions to the problems that will be faced when attempting to footprint a large sporting event. There remain some areas of uncertainty and imprecision. Indeed, the many healthy discussions among members of the TAG and with key stakeholders demonstrated that there is no one right answer when deciding the best way to footprint a large event. In its favour, the method described here has been successfully applied to the Games and, where found to be wanting, it has been adapted and modified accordingly. The method builds on existing greenhouse gas accounting principles and, in particular, the Greenhouse Gas (GHG) Protocol3 and the new PAS 20504 developed jointed by BSI, Defra and the Carbon Trust. It is worth noting that two significant events occurred during the course of our work: the formation of the new Department of Energy and Climate Change (DECC) and the publication by the Committee on Climate Change of the UK’s first carbon budget. As far as possible, the methodology presented here reflects the impact of these advances. 3 T he Greenhouse Gas Protocol: A Corporate Accounting and Reporting Standard: Revised Edition. Published by WBCSD and WRI; March 2004. Available at ghgprotocol.org 4 PAS2050: Assessing the life cycle greenhouse gas emissions of goods and services. Published by BSI; October 2008. Available at bsi-global.com/en/Standards-and-Publications/ How-we-can-help-you/Professional-Standards-Service/PAS-2050/ 8
Summary of accounting principles We have highlighted the main features of our approach as a series of 15 accounting principles at relevant points throughout the document. In summary, these are as follows: 1. Comply with the underpinning principles of the Greenhouse Gas Protocol and ISO 14064‑1: Relevance, Completeness, Consistency, Accuracy and Transparency. 2. Account direct and indirect emissions (Scopes 1, 2 and 3). As far as possible, account for all Kyoto Protocol Greenhouse Gases. Report all results in tonnes of carbon dioxide equivalents or tCO2e. 3. Set the study boundaries widely to include those elements over which the Games have control or influence. As far as possible, allocate the emissions into three categories: ‘owned’, ‘shared’ or ‘associated’ based on who is responsible for generating them. 4. Establish a structured and consistent method for deciding what is in, and out, of scope. 5. Account emissions in the year that they occur, allocating them to pre‑Games, Games and legacy phases, as appropriate. Responsibility for these emissions should be established and clearly documented. 6. Legacy benefits are lasting carbon savings as a result of Games‑funded projects or initiatives. To count towards legacy, savings must be additional. 7. Establish a well‑documented reference scenario against which reductions can be accounted. Ensure that the data used to construct the reference scenario is relevant, credible and defensible. 8. Reduction measures must be transparently documented, additional and linked to a clear time horizon. Double counting should be avoided. The corresponding reference scenario assumption should be readily apparent. 9. Use the financial framework within the Candidate File to help identify projects and activities that are likely to generate a carbon impact. 10. Identify a consistent dataset of carbon conversion factors for use throughout the carbon management strategy process. Ensure that these cover all Kyoto Protocol greenhouse gases, direct and indirect emissions and include a data quality assessment. Use commonly available, standard datasets where possible with tools to support and facilitate data sharing and integrated planning. 11. Identify contentious carbon accounting issues early on to allow time for research, debate and consensus building. Document the decision‑making process. 12. The carbon conversion factors used should be responsive to local circumstances. Rules about how to account, for example, renewable energy are not universal. These can change as new guidance emerges and may differ within, and between, countries. 13. Document levels of uncertainty attributable both to poor quality data and uncertainty in the carbon conversion factors used and implement quality control measures. 14. Annually report the carbon footprint. Clearly document any data, methodology or scenario changes. 15. Establish key performance indicators. These will allow comparison within, and between, Games and allow the overall effect of specific reduction measures to be quantified. 9
Complying with the principles ‘As with financial accounting and reporting, generally accepted GHG accounting principles are intended…to ensure that the reported information represents a faithful, true, and fair account of a company’s GHG emissions5.’ This section explains the 15 agreed accounting principles in detail and describes how the London 2012 methodology has sought to comply with the Greenhouse Gas (GHG) Protocol’s underpinning principles. These are not unique to the GHG Protocol but are common to many accounting systems, be they environmental or financial, and provide the basis for sound and robust decision‑making. Accounting principle 1: Comply with the underpinning principles of the Greenhouse Gas Protocol and ISO 14064‑1: Relevance, Completeness, Consistency, Accuracy and Transparency. Relevance GHG requirement: ‘Contains the information that users, both internal and external, need for their decision making… An important aspect of relevance is the selection of an appropriate boundary6.’ London 2012 response: The boundaries of our footprint methodology were selected so as to include those elements over which we have influence and/or control. In this way, all information relevant to managing London 2012’s carbon footprint falls within scope. Completeness GHG requirement: ‘All relevant emissions sources within the chosen inventory boundary need to be accounted for so that a comprehensive and meaningful inventory is compiled. In practice, a lack of data or the cost of gathering data may be a limiting factor7.’ London 2012 response: To ensure full coverage, we have based the reporting categories in our footprint methodology on the financial accounts contained within the original Candidate File. As a result, every line item in the financial framework has been reviewed with respect to its likely carbon impact. Where data on the anticipated energy or material use was not available (for example, where it was too early to detail exactly how the money would be spent) then the financial data was used directly as a proxy for carbon emissions using input‑output (IO) analysis. As better, physical data has become available, these figures have been replaced with more robust estimates of emissions. (Although little IO‑derived data remains in the datasets used to calculate the reference scenario, a brief description of the IO approach used has been provided in Appendix B.) The GHG Protocol warns against using a materiality threshold to exclude impacts deemed negligible (de minimis) – arguing that this leads to an incomplete assessment of the carbon footprint. Although a materiality threshold has been applied here for practical purposes, we have taken care to include some allowance for those smaller items which fall below the threshold. 5 Extract from The Greenhouse Gas Protocol: A Corporate Accounting and Reporting Standard: Revised Edition (2004). 6 Ibid 7 Ibid 10
See the ‘Materiality threshold’ section (see p.68) for more details on how this has been applied. Consistency GHG requirement: ‘Users of GHG information will want to track and compare GHG emissions information over time in order to identify trends and to assess performance8.’ London 2012 response: The London 2012 footprint data will be used for the IOC’s Olympic Games Impact (OGI) study. This requires the annual reporting of the GHG emissions attributable to the Games, among other metrics. Our approach reflects this need for consistency over time by adopting clear reporting boundaries and a well‑defined calculation method. We also recognise that carbon accounting is an evolving discipline and that emerging new standards, guidelines or conversion factors may make changes in method necessary. Through updates and revisions, our report provides a vehicle for justifying, documenting and communicating any method or data changes. This approach will therefore facilitate performance comparisons over time. Accuracy GHG requirement: ‘Data should be sufficiently precise to enable intended users to make decisions with reasonable assurance that the reported information is credible9.’ London 2012 response: Unlike a standard corporate carbon report, which typically deals with historical data, the London 2012 method needs to be predictive. Accuracy is therefore a key concern. To address this, the method includes a provision for rating the accuracy of all input data (see ‘Managing inventory quality’, p24). In addition, London 2012 has also commissioned specific work to understand the uncertainties within carbon conversion factors (see Appendix C: Method used to calculate uncertainty in the ICE V1.6 materials data). Transparency GHG requirement: ‘Transparency relates to the degree to which information on the processes, procedures, assumptions, and limitations of the GHG inventory are disclosed in a clear, factual, neutral, and understandable manner10.’ London 2012 response: Our engagement with stakeholders and technical experts from the outset of this project has undoubtedly contributed to the transparency and objectivity of the methodology. This has also had the benefit of challenging assumptions at every stage of its development. To make any limitation transparent, we have documented where methodology decisions were subject to any particular challenge (for example, see ‘Accounting renewable electricity’, p.23). Accounting principle 2: Account direct and indirect emissions (Scopes 1, 2 and 3). As far as possible, account for all Kyoto Protocol Greenhouse Gases. Report all results in tonnes of carbon dioxide equivalents or tCO2e. 8 Extract from The Greenhouse Gas Protocol: A Corporate Accounting and Reporting Standard: Revised Edition (2004). 9 Ibid 10 Ibid 11
A carbon footprint aims to provide a measure of the full life cycle impacts (direct and indirect greenhouse gas emissions) associated with a particular operation. The GHG Protocol is very clear that measurement should include – where possible – all six greenhouse gases listed in the Kyoto Protocol: − carbon dioxide (CO2) − methane (CH4) − nitrous oxide (N2O) − hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs) − perfluorocarbons (PFCs) − sulphur hexafluoride (SF6) For practical purposes, and for most types of activities, all gases but carbon dioxide are often ignored (for example, this is the case with the Defra 2008 conversion factors). CO2 is by far the most abundant greenhouse gas and the one around which most measurement systems (and conversion factors) are designed. For consistency all carbon footprint emissions data is here expressed in tonnes of CO2 or CO2e (abbreviated as tCO2 or tCO2e). Accounting principle 3: Set the study boundaries widely to include those elements over which the Games have control or influence. As far as possible, allocate emissions according to financial spend into three categories: ‘owned’, ‘shared’ or ‘associated’ based on who is responsible for generating them. Games boundaries The most fundamental accounting principle is that of organisational boundary‑setting. Any organisation needs to have a clear understanding of where it ends and the rest of the world begins. In many cases such boundaries are self‑evident and can be easily established by reference to ownership structures. The situation with London 2012 is more complex. First, London 2012 comprises two primary delivery bodies: the publicly funded Olympic Delivery Authority (ODA), which is responsible for constructing the main venues and infrastructure, and the privately funded London 2012 Organising Committee (LOCOG), which is responsible for promoting and staging the Games. Furthermore, many other agencies have a significant role in supporting delivery of the Games (for example, Transport for London, London Development Agency, central Government departments, British Olympic Association and British Paralympic Association) and there are many wider but related activities such as the Cultural Olympiad. The Games’ organisational boundaries therefore need to be drawn more widely than would be the case when conducting an organisational footprint. The GHG Protocol and ISO 14064 suggest two valid approaches for boundary setting: ‘equity share’ and ‘control’. These are based on financial accounting rules and used to determine organisational boundaries as follows: Equity share approach: an organisation accounts for its GHG emissions according to its share of equity in an operation. The equity share reflects economic interest, which is defined as the extent of rights a company has to the risks and rewards flowing from an operation. Control approach: an organisation accounts for 100 per cent of the GHG emissions from operations over which it has control. It does not account for GHG emissions from operations in which it owns an interest but has no control. Control can be defined in either financial or operational terms. 12
Neither approach applies neatly to London 2012 but elements of each have merit. Example 1: LOCOG may only get a small percentage of the sales from 2012 branded merchandise (hence its economic interest is relatively small) yet it could effectively deny a licence to a manufacturer which did not comply with certain environmental criteria (it is in a strong controlling position). It also makes little sense to account for only a small percentage of the environmental impact of 2012 merchandise when, in reality, all of it is Games‑related. Example 2: A transport infrastructure project may only be minority funded by the ODA but this support may, nonetheless, have been critical in moving the project forward. Clearly, if the project were Games‑related then it makes sense to include all of it within the London 2012 footprint even if the ODA had little, or no, economic interest. On the other hand, it would be unfair to assume that the ODA’s small contribution gave them any significant control over the project’s environmental performance (in reality, ODA report having no material control over some background projects). Owned, shared and associated (OSA) impacts A combination of equity and control approaches captures different, but equally important, aspects of the London 2012 footprint and is closely linked to financial spend. Fortunately, part of the London 2012 bid contained sufficiently detailed financial estimates for LOCOG, the ODA and third parties by broad expenditure categories. Though these will inevitably evolve over time, they provide a good basis for initially determining and allocating the footprint. That said, there are impacts clearly associated with London 2012 which would not be accounted at all under either approach. For example, spectator travel to and from London or hotel accommodation booked by accredited media. None of these receive any financial contribution from the London 2012 budget yet they are important to the success of the Games. To capture all impacts, our chosen hybrid approach classifies operations as either ‘owned’, ‘shared’ or ‘associated’ (OSA) according to the extent of the financial contribution from LOCOG and the ODA. These are defined as follows: − Owned: wholly funded core activities where the entire associated carbon footprint is allocated to London 2012 (for example, office utility use, venue construction). − Shared: the footprint associated with the partner contributions to jointly funded activities (for example, jointly funded development of Olympic Village). − Associated: activities clearly associated with the Games which are not funded by London 2012 but over which they may exert some influence and which result in a measurable difference. One further complication is that many of the huge transport infrastructure schemes being prepared in time for the Games (projects which could have spanned the ‘owned’, ‘shared’ and ‘associated’ categories) were scheduled to happen anyway – though the injection of London 2012 funding to some undoubtedly led to earlier implementation. To ensure that the impacts associated with these were neither over‑estimated nor ignored, it was decided to include only those projects which benefited from a London 2012 financial contribution. 13
Owned Dim ini shi ng de gre eo fc Shared on tro la nd infl Closely Associated ue nce Boundary of measured London 2012 footprint Out of Scope Figure M1: The relationship between the different OSA categories and the associated degree of influence and control by London 2012 Accounting principle 4: Establish a structured and consistent method for deciding what is in, and out, of scope. Activities or projects that do not meet the OSA criteria are classified as ‘out of scope’. In other words, they are considered to be so far removed from London 2012 that they should not be accounted at all. Deciding what is ‘out of scope’ The power of TV: out of scope There is no easy, fail‑safe way of determining what is out of scope. Given the but interesting global nature of the Games one could easily contrive a way of classifying Assume two billion people worldwide most of the world as ‘associated’ and hence ‘in scope’. watch the London 2012 Games on TV. If a family of four watches For example, do we include the additional demand placed on a country’s together, this equates to 0.5 billion electricity grid when a significant portion of the population simultaneously TVs which may be tuned to coverage turn on their TVs to watch the Opening Ceremony? of the Games for, say, two hours per day over three weeks. Assuming all These very remote impacts of the Games may well be interesting, informative the TVs were modern, low‑energy and serve some practical purpose (for example, determining peak energy LCDs with a rating of 100 watts, then demand or predicting sales of TVs) but most observers would probably agree the total global electricity consumption that these impacts are well outside London 2012’s control. of these two billion TV viewers would be 500,000,000 x 2 x (3 x 7) x 100 However, these examples highlight the need for the application of some watts = 2.1TWh structured ‘test of reasonableness’. The OSA flowchart in figure 2 below provides several helpful decision points to assist in determining whether Assuming typical carbon intensity for something is in, or out of, scope. (Note that ‘London 2012 money spent’ electricity of 0.5kgCO2/kWh, this refers to LOCOG or ODA expenditure.) It also encapsulates the guidance alone would result in emissions of given in the GHG Protocol that ‘only some types of upstream and more than one million tonnes of CO2. downstream emissions may be relevant’. Our guiding principle is that emissions should be included if they: − are deemed critical by stakeholders; − lead to increased risk exposure; or − are capable of being influenced by the reporting organisation. 14
Figure M2: Decision tree – determining which emissions sources are in, and out, of scope Include: Owned London Is London Yes 2012 money 2012 100% spent? Yes funding? Include: Owned/shared No No Consequence Can London Are Can emissions of London 2012 exert any emissions be estimated? 2012? Yes influence? Yes Yes material?* Yes No No No No Include: Associated High stakeholder Yes No interest? Exclude *See ‘Applying a materiality threshold’, p16 Emission sources considered for inclusion The table below outlines some of the emissions sources considered by the London 2012 Technical Advisory Group (TAG) when determining the scope of the Games reference footprint, as well as its ultimate decision and a brief rationale. Emission source Decision Reason Catering for athletes, staff and Include Paid for out of London 2012 money. volunteers Food purchased by spectators at Include Consequence of the Games. London 2012 can exert London 2012 events influence through franchise arrangements. Emissions are material and can be estimated. Stakeholder interest. Food purchased by spectators in Exclude Paid for by spectators. London 2012 can’t easily exert restaurants influence. Difficult to estimate emissions. Little stakeholder interest. Transport provided by London 2012 Include Funded by London 2012. for Olympic Family Spectator transport to and from Include Consequence of the Games. London 2012 can exert Games and individual events influence through transport planning and funding of alternate infrastructure. Emissions are material and can be estimated. Stakeholder interest. ‘Informal’ spectator travel to pubs/ Exclude Difficult to be certain what is a consequence of the Games. Live Sites/friends to see London Difficult to exert influence. Difficult to estimate emissions. 2012 events on TVs/big screens 15
Applying a materiality threshold Even if they meet several inclusion criteria, some emission sources may still be excluded from detailed analysis on the basis of their small contribution to the overall footprint. These are considered to fall below a pre‑determined materiality threshold. Where stakeholder interest remains high, however, it was decided that the TAG could insist on the emission source being included. In consultation with the TAG, materiality thresholds were judged separately for venues, operations, spectators and transport infrastructure on the basis that: − A single materiality threshold would have excluded many small operational items of public and symbolic interest. − A single materiality threshold is not appropriate where multiple stakeholders are involved, each with their own area(s) of responsibility. − The high degree of uncertainty in some areas (for example, where buildings were yet to be designed) meant that a combination of highly aggregated financial and/or physical estimates were used to calculate likely emissions. This low level of data granularity meant that it was often impossible to tease out smaller projects making it problematic to make a meaningful assessment of a materiality. Every attempt was made to adjust the results to include all ‘in scope’ impacts, even where no detailed analysis was made. This was achieved by scaling up the emissions from those sources which were subject to more detailed scrutiny using input‑output analysis to assess the relative contribution. Accounting principle 5: Account for emissions in the year they occur and allocated to pre‑Games, Games and legacy phases, as appropriate. Responsibility for these emissions should be established and clearly documented. ‘A meaningful and consistent comparison of emissions over time requires that companies set a performance datum with which to compare current emissions.’ Tracking emissions over time When calculating its footprint, a typical organisation will produce an annual retrospective GHG inventory. The London 2012 methodology is different in that we are seeking to predict future emissions with the primary aim of avoiding them while maximising legacy benefits. Furthermore, as we are geared towards delivering a specific event, our operations vary from year to year. As a result, the annual monitoring of annual emissions and any inherent trends is of little practical value. It is more logical to cluster emissions in terms of three principal phases: − pre‑Games − Games − legacy In broad terms, the pre‑Games phase relates to the demolition, remediation, construction and commissioning work to build all the venues and infrastructure (including transport facilities) ready for the Games. Although the period of the Games is more clear‑cut, there remain some grey areas. For example, most venues, the Media Centre, training facilities and more become operational in advance of the Opening Ceremony. Legacy refers to the post‑Games period and is principally concerned with the transition of venues, and other facilities, into their permanent legacy configuration (overseen in the case of London by the LDA). 16
Phase Lead delivery Main impact areas What’s included organisation Pre‑Games ODA Venue construction Permanent and temporary structures, Transport infrastructure venues, accommodation, transport infrastructure, and so on, put in place LOCOG Overlay and fit‑out before the Games. Also includes some Test Events operations: staff offices and travel. Cultural Olympiad events Games LOCOG Operations Includes all impacts related to Spectators/visitors spectators: catering, merchandise and travel. Also includes operational impacts related to the Olympic Family. Legacy LDA Implementation of Legacy Ongoing energy use of new permanent Masterplan structures (venues, Olympic Village and so on) post‑Games and output from new renewable energy generating capacity. Regeneration of existing buildings and infrastructure. All Behaviour change* Ongoing benefit from the introduction of new initiatives (for example, eco‑labelling schemes) and other measures aimed at long‑term behaviour change. *W hile much of the focus on legacy delivery will be towards the long‑term use of the venues and the wider regeneration of the Olympic Park and Lower Lea Valley area in east London, there will also be wider legacy benefits through behavioural changes inspired by the Games. Table M2 above shows which activities fall within each category and the respective lead delivery organisation that is responsible for them. Accounting principle 6: Legacy benefits are lasting carbon savings as a result of Games‑funded projects or initiatives. To count towards legacy, savings must be additional. Only those benefits which are truly additional and directly related to Games projects or initiatives should be included in our methodology. For example, if existing regulations at the time of a planning application require a development to be built to certain energy efficiency standards, then only incremental measures which lead to emission savings above and beyond this are eligible for inclusion. In other words, positive impacts as a result of ‘business as usual’ do not count as legacy benefits. Accounting principle 7: Establish a well‑documented reference scenario against which reductions can be accounted. Ensure that the data used to construct the reference scenario is relevant, credible and defensible. While we have acknowledged that there is little value in tracking actual annual emissions over time (see p16), it is nonetheless crucial to understand how the projected footprint is likely to change as a result of any targeted interventions to reduce emissions. 17
Given the nature of the Games, it is clear that annual accounting relative to a base year is an inappropriate approach. Instead, the London 2012 methodology introduces the concept of a reference footprint – a baseline assessment of what the Games footprint would have been before efforts to reduce it are included. Performance is then assessed against this reference footprint using projected data which is adjusted to incorporate carbon reduction achievements and commitments. Defining a reference scenario The London 2012 reference footprint is defined by the Candidate File and assumes a ‘business as usual’ approach to sustainability based on one or more of the following: − basic legal compliance (for example, building and planning regulations); − adoption of industry standard practices (for example, approach to waste management); − anticipated spectator and Olympic Family behaviours (for example, catering demand); − an assumed similarity with past Games (for example, ceremonies and media demand); − an assumption of average sectoral emissions per £ spent (based on historical data); and − using relevant Host City baseline data (for example, modal transport split). For construction (venues and transport infrastructure), we defined our reference footprint by: − using information contained within the Candidate File as a starting point; − basing carbon assessments on initial designs or, where these do not yet exist, on the first specifications; − using quantity surveying techniques to derive material estimates for early designs and bills of quantities for more advanced projects; − assuming typical construction practices within the Host City (for example, average levels of recycled content, compliance with local building regulations and typical waste management practices); − filling data gaps using financial estimates of sectoral emissions adjusted, as required, to be consistent with detailed analyses where these were possible; and − checking assumptions by validating against carbon data for similar buildings. For spectators, we defined our reference footprint by: − using Candidate File/Transport Plan estimates for ticket sales, expected spectator numbers and origin of visitors; − basing local travel on the historical modal split for the Host City and using tourism data for international travel and accommodation estimates; − using data from previous Games as a guide – for example, to estimate number and types of meals, waste arising and purchasing of merchandise; and − validating data using Host City assumptions. For operations, we defined our reference footprint by: − using past Games as a guide – for example, on the number of uniforms, catering requirements, Olympic Family travel needs, media operations and so on; − using expert advice from Games staff, partners and stakeholders – they are often a good source of knowledge about what would be considered normal practice, especially where they have been involved in previous Games; and − filling data gaps using financial estimates of sectoral emissions adjusted, as required, to be consistent with detailed analyses where these were possible. 18
It is worth noting that our approach of measuring performance against the Candidate File submission means that none of the inherent environmental advantages of the Host City are taken into consideration (even though these may well have been a factor in the successful bid). We recognise that this may make it difficult for London and some future Host Cities that already benefit from, for example, a good public transport infrastructure or strict building regulations to make further carbon savings. Nonetheless, in the absence of any overarching carbon strategy for future Games, this approach is considered to be the most credible. As the reference footprint is the benchmark against which performance improvements are measured it is critical that the data and assumptions are open to scrutiny. For a full description of London 2012’s reference footprint, see p27. Accounting principle 8: Reduction and replacement measures must be transparently documented and linked to a clear time horizon. Double counting should be avoided. The corresponding reference scenario assumption should be readily apparent. Performance against our reference scenario needs to include measures (achievements and commitments) designed to reduce the footprint. This is achieved by using a reduction scenario which adjusts the reference footprint downwards. Developing a reduction scenario The reduction measures fall broadly into the following hierarchy: − reduce − replace − offset It is preferable to reduce the consumption of energy and/or materials as opposed to replacing them with more carbon efficient alternatives. Least preferable is offsetting: compensating for increases in the footprint by investing in projects which reduce emissions elsewhere. There are three stages in the evolution of a carbon saving (reduction or replacement) measure. After starting out as a vague carbon saving idea, which is informed by an early carbon footprint analysis, it is then investigated further before being recognised as viable reduction ‘challenge’. If formally adopted within the Sustainability Plan then it is elevated to a ‘commitment’ – at this stage, it is eligible to be included within the reduction scenario (see figure 3 below). Finally, when the measure is implemented, it becomes an ‘achievement’. Figure M3: The evolution of a carbon saving (reduce/replace) measure Included in the reduction scenario Idea Challenge Commitment Achievement 19
When accounting for measures included in the reduction scenario, it is important that they are: − clearly documented – assumptions and conversion factors should be properly sourced; − not double counted – for example, counting energy savings under both venues and operations; and − given a clear time horizon – for example, a saving may occur only during the Games or persist for some years after (see legacy accounting principle, p9). Further guidance can be found within the Appendix D: Adjustment policy. Accounting principle 9: Use the financial framework within the Candidate File to help identify projects and activities that are likely to generate a carbon impact. Identifying and calculating GHG emissions Figure 4 below shows the five stages of identifying and calculating GHG emissions. Identifying sources To ensure full coverage, the London 2012 footprint methodology bases its reporting categories on the financial framework contained within the original Candidate File (also referred to as the Bid Document)11. This has been supplemented by more than 25 face‑to‑face interviews, numerous requests for information from LOCOG and ODA staff, as well as a review of key documents including: − LOCOG Games foundation plan (final draft 27 May 2007) − LOCOG venues infrastructure delivery programme − Venue construction and overlay responsibilities (March 2007) − IOC/LOCOG venues construction and infrastructure delivery programme (April 2007) − Transport Plan for the London 2012 Olympic Games and Paralympic Games (October 2006) Figure M4: Identifying and calculating GHG emissions (adapted from GHG Protocol) Identify emission sources Select calculation approach Collect data and choose emission factors Apply calculation tools Aggregate data to derive total footprint ll documents, including the Candidate File, available at london2012.com/about-us/ A 11 publications/index.php 20
The resulting items were reviewed for their likely carbon impacts, based on the information provided, and then the list of more than 250 discrete projects and activities were further clustered into the following four broad categories which cover the bulk of pre‑Games and Games activities: − Venues − Transport infrastructure − Operations − Spectators Accounting principle 10: Identify a consistent dataset of carbon conversion factors for use throughout the carbon management strategy process. Ensure that these cover all Kyoto Protocol greenhouse gases, direct and indirect emissions and include a data quality assessment. Use commonly available, standard datasets where possible with a support system to facilitate data sharing and integrated planning. Selecting a calculation approach To develop the correct methodology for determining the London 2012 footprint, we commissioned Best Foot Forward (BFF) to undertake a review of the available calculation methods and their associated datasets (see table 3). They assessed the suitability of calculation approaches which include emission factors for construction materials – the main omission in the UK’s official GHG conversion factor library12. BFF concluded that no one approach satisfied all of London 2012’s conversion factor, data management or delivery needs. Following on from this exercise, we began to work with Bath University’s Sustainable Energy Research Team to expand the capabilities of their Inventory of Carbon and Energy (ICE) V1.6 database by adding extra construction materials, including uncertainty estimates for conversion factors and including all greenhouse gases. This dataset of indirect emission factors for materials (the revised V1.6 ICE) was then supplemented with Defra’s 2007 direct emission factors, covering fuels and transport, and the associated guidance. Late in the development of this method, Defra announced a new, expanded and updated, dataset covering a wider range of transport alternatives (Defra 2008). The few remaining conversion factors not provided by either ICE V1.6 or Defra 2008 were sourced from BFF’s own in‑house database. The resulting dataset was then formatted to allow for integration into BFF’s Footprinter13 tool – which met all of our data management and delivery requirements. Greenhouse Gas Conversion Factors for Company Reporting (Defra, June 2008). 12 See footprinter.com 13 21
Coverage Bath ICE v1.5 Bilan Carbone Environment EcoInvent beta 1.5 Agency Conversion factors – Raw materials Y Some Y Y – Products Some Some N Some – Direct emissions N Y Y Y – All GHG (not just CO2) N Y N Y – Data quality assessment Y Y N Some – Incl. GHG Protocol/ISO N Y N N 14064 scopes Data management/delivery – Calculation engine N Y Y N – Web‑based delivery system N N N Y – Remote data update N N N N – Easy‑to‑use interface N N Y N – Easily extendable database Y N N N – Standardised reporting format N Y Y N – International versions N N N Some – Offers scenario capability N N N N Collecting data and choosing emission factors What are carbon We collected or estimated data on each project or activity from one or more conversion factors? sources: In order to create a single, meaningful − Project documentation (for example, the LOCOG venue requirements or footprint for all measured emissions, it ‘schedules of accommodation’ for construction projects). is necessary to allocate a greenhouse − Data from the project or design teams – for example, material ‘bills of gas or carbon dioxide value to each quantities’ or logistics planning spreadsheets. measurement. Conversion factors are − Face‑to‑face, telephone interviews and email exchanges with LOCOG and used to convert physical quantities into ODA staff (this was often supplemented with follow‑on data). carbon dioxide footprint values. For − News and progress reports – the london2012.com site provides regular example, in the following equation, the updates and much quantitative information. physical number of kilowatt‑hours of − Data from partners and stakeholders – for example, venue energy use electricity consumed is converted to estimates from EDF Energy. kilograms of carbon dioxide using a − Historical data from previous Games – Sydney, because of its conversion factor of 0.53702 (grid environmental focus, proved the most useful source but, for example, data electricity three year rolling average from both Athens 2004 and Beijing 2008 was used when estimating the – sourced from DEFRA 2008): likely impact of the Torch Relay. − Official UK Government data sources – for example, existing statistics on 1000 kWh x 0.53702kgCO2/kWh travel within London were used when trying to identify a base case for = 537.02kgCO2 spectator travel. We collected consumption data according to the following main emission categories: − catering (food and packaging) − utilities (gas, electricity and other) − passenger transport (by air, water, road and rail) − freight transport (by air, water, road and rail) − accommodation − materials (various including metals, clothing and minerals) Accounting principle 11: Identify contentious carbon accounting issues early on to allow time for research, debate and consensus building. Document the decision‑making process. 22
Emission factors were selected by BFF with support on materials from Bath University. Most emission categories and types were straightforward to map onto conversion factors extracted from the aforementioned databases. That said, a number of areas were less clear‑cut and provoked considerable debate within the TAG. These were: − How should renewable electricity be treated? − What aircraft emission factors should be used? − Should the analysis differentiate between aircraft passenger classes? Accounting principle 12: The carbon conversion factors used should be responsive to local circumstances. Rules about how to account, for example, renewable energy are not universal. These can change as new guidance emerges and may differ within, and between, countries. Accounting renewable electricity London 2012 is planning to install a 2MW wind turbine on the Olympic Park site as well as a low‑carbon combined cooling, heating and power plant (CCHP). The issue here was one of additionality. In other words, was there proof that these new low‑carbon generators would have been built regardless of the Games? TAG members felt that proof of additionality was needed before this ‘green’ energy could be given a zero carbon rating. The complexity arises because there are many incentive schemes operating in the UK aimed at increasing installed renewable capacity. Any new capacity which benefits from one of these schemes (such as the Renewables Obligation) is deemed to contribute to meeting the national statutory target. It therefore cannot be considered ‘additional’ (at least, not until the national target is surpassed). Following specific discussions with EDF Energy and Defra, the London 2012 position is to follow the new UK GHG reporting guidance published during the course of this research14, which states: ‘If you generate renewable electricity on‑site, and do not sell Renewable Obligation Certificates (ROCs) or Levy Exemption Certifications (LECs) to a third party, this electricity should be rated as zero emission. “Renewable electricity” in this context should be considered any form of generation that does not emit carbon dioxide, or generation of electricity from renewable biomass.’ Furthermore: ‘If you generate renewable electricity on‑site, and do sell Renewable Obligation Certificates (ROCs) or Levy Exemption Certifications (LECs) to a third party, emissions should be calculated as per UK Grid electricity use15.’ A related issue concerns whether the purchase of electricity for the Games through a green tariff could be claimed as zero carbon? Although less clear, London 2012 again follows Defra guidance16: ‘For the 2008–09 reporting year, we recommend that best practice will be for businesses to use the grid average electricity quotient. This fits with wider policy, such as the upcoming Carbon Reduction Commitment, and is consistent on how Government reports its own carbon emissions. ‘However, we do recognise that some existing and future green tariffs may well deliver broader environmental benefits and may have the potential to deliver these carbon benefits in the long term…’ 14 Guidelines to Defra’s Greenhouse Gas Conversion Factors for Company Reporting (June 2008). 15 At the time of writing a ROC is worth approximately £50 and equates to 1MWh of renewable electricity. For a 2MW wind turbine, assuming a 25 per cent load factor, selling ROCs would generate around £200,000 per annum. 16 Guidelines to Defra’s Greenhouse Gas Conversion Factors for Company Reporting (June 2008). 23
Aircraft emission factors and passenger classes Several emissions factors exist to calculate the impact of domestic, short and long haul passenger flights and to account for radiative forcing and the other global warming impacts associated with flying. Each is likely to produce a different result. The TAG considered carefully which emissions factors would prove to be the most accurate. A secondary issue when calculating flights was whether or not to distinguish between different classes of passenger: economy, business and first class. Some conversion factor datasets (for example, Bilan Carbone) make great efforts to differentiate between travel classes but Defra – at the time of the discussions – did not. Defra subsequently issued an updated conversion factor dataset which includes conversion factors for passenger classes as well more detailed basic emission factors. Various experts on the TAG provided academic papers, presentations and scientific reviews which were collated and offered up on the CMS Forum for comment. A meeting was also organised with British Airways (BA), the official airline partner for 2012, to discuss both issues. Several helpful exchanges with easyJet also took place. Based on these extensive discussions, we decided to: − Use the new Defra 2008 figures for air travel and passenger classes. − Recognise the scientific uncertainty surrounding the non‑CO2 global warming impacts associated with flying, account only CO2 to be consistent with Defra 2008. − Ensure that any offset programme for air travel emissions should include a margin of at least 20 per cent to reflect the scientific uncertainty. Applying calculation tools The GHG Protocol is supported by various sector‑specific and cross‑sectoral tools, but none was suitable for footprinting London 2012. Instead, we developed a custom Excel spreadsheet for each of our four main categories: venues, transport infrastructure, operations and spectators. This made it possible to aggregate data to give the total Games footprint. We undertook and reported the analyses of these four categories’ footprints separately. This made the calculation process more manageable and also reflected the different nature of these elements of the Games. Accounting principle 13: Document levels of uncertainty that are attributable both to poor quality data and uncertainty in the carbon conversion factors used, and implement quality control measures. It is good practice (as recognised in the GHG Protocol and ISO 14064‑1) to provide an assessment of data quality. This helps to guide interpretation of the results and highlight areas for future improvement. Managing inventory quality Recognising that all data on energy and material use was necessarily going to be estimated (with the exception of ‘live’ data from projects already underway), each of the results from the footprinting of a project or venue was rated as being either of high (H), medium (M) or low (L) quality. Data gaps were also highlighted to demonstrate completeness. These were defined as follows: 24
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