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ENHANCING NDCS: A GUIDE TO - WRI.ORG | NDCS.UNDP.ORG
ENHANCING NDCS:
A GUIDE TO
STRENGTHENING
NATIONAL CLIMATE
PLANS BY 2020

WRI.ORG | NDCS.UNDP.ORG

                          Enhancing NDCs: A Guide to Strengthening National Climate Plans by 2020   i
ENHANCING NDCS: A GUIDE TO - WRI.ORG | NDCS.UNDP.ORG
ABOUT THE AUTHORS                               ACKNOWLEDGMENTS
Taryn Fransen is a Senior Fellow in the         We would like to thank the following individuals and institutions for reviewing an earlier
Global Climate Program at the World             draft of this document: Felicity Morrison, Department for Business, Energy and Industrial
Resources Institute.                            Strategy, United Kingdom; Ma. Corazon H. Dichosa, Department of Trade and Industry,
                                                Philippines; Cyril Loisel, European Commission; Ron Benioff, LEDS Global Partnership;
Contact: taryn.fransen@wri.org                  Nedal Katbeh-Bader, Minister’s Advisor for Climate Change, Palestine; Ella Havnevik
                                                Giske, Ministry of Climate and Environment, Norway; Sabyr Assylbekov, Ministry of
Ichiro Sato is a Senior Associate with the      Ecology, Kazakhstan; Lukasz Latala, Ministry of Environment, Poland; Ministry of Natural
Climate Program and the Sustainable Finance     Resources and Environmental Protection of the Republic of Belarus; Rob Bradley, NDC
Center at the World Resources Institute.        Partnership; Takeshi Kuramochi, New Climate Institute; Natallia Kliavets, Republican
                                                Center for Hydrometeorology, Belarus; Yamil Bonduki, UNDP; Michael Comstock,
Contact: ichiro.sato@wri.org
                                                UNDP; Katharina Davis, UNDP; Maria Eugenia Di Paola, UNDP; Rohini Kohli, UNDP;
Kelly Levin is a Senior Associate with          Ana Maria Nunez, UNDP; Bahareh Seyedi, UNDP; Alexandra Soezer, UNDP; Kimberly
the Global Climate Program at the World         Todd, UNDP; Krib Sitathani, UNDP; Mary Awad Menassa, UNDP; Verania Chao, UNDP;
Resources Institute.                            Susanne Olbrisch, UNDP; Fernando Garcia Barrios, UNDP; Bernd Hackman, UNFCCC
                                                Secretariat; Niranjali Amerasinghe, World Resources Institute; Pankaj Bhatia, World
Contact: kelly.levin@wri.org                    Resources Institute; Mathilde Bouye, World Resources Institute; Rebecca Carter, World
                                                Resources Institute; Subrata Chakrabarty, World Resources Institute; Yamide Dagnet,
David Waskow is the Director of the             World Resources Institute; Apurba Mitra, World Resources Institute; Eliza Northrop,
International Climate Initiative at the World   World Resources Institute; Katie Ross, World Resources Institute; Neelam Singh, World
Resources Institute.                            Resources Institute; Ranping Song, World Resources Institute; Joe Thwaites, World
                                                Resources Institute; Jacob Waslander, World Resources Institute, and Jesse Worker,
Contact: david.waskow@wri.org                   World Resources Institute.
David Rich is a Senior Associate with           In addition, we deeply appreciate support during the editing and publication process
the Global Climate Program at the World         from Billie Kanfer, Carlos Muñoz Piña, Aishwarya Ramani, Emilia Suarez, Caroline Taylor,
Resources Institute.                            and Romain Warnault.
Contact: david.rich@wri.org                     This report was generously supported by the Japan International Cooperation Agency
                                                and by the German government. This project is part of the International Climate Initiative
Sadya Ndoko is a Technical Consultant with
                                                (IKI). The Federal Ministry for the Environment, Nature Conservation and Nuclear
the Global Support Programme on National
                                                Safety (BMU) supports this initiative on the basis of a decision adopted by the German
Adaptation Plans at UNDP.
                                                Bundestag.
Contact: sadya.ndoko@undp.org

Julie Teng is a Technical Specialist working
on climate change adaptation at UNDP.

Contact: julie.teng@undp.org

Design and layout by:
Billie Kanfer
billie.kanfer@wri.org
ENHANCING NDCS: A GUIDE TO - WRI.ORG | NDCS.UNDP.ORG
TABLE OF CONTENTS
1    Foreword

3    Executive Summary

11	Introduction

21	Establishing a Process for
    NDC Enhancement

29   Designing an Enhanced Mitigation
     Component of an NDC

45	Designing an Enhanced Adaptation
    Component of an NDC

57	Communicating an Enhanced NDC
    Transparently in Accordance with the
    Paris Rulebook

65   Conclusions

67	Abbreviations

67   Endnotes

68   References
ENHANCING NDCS: A GUIDE TO - WRI.ORG | NDCS.UNDP.ORG
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ENHANCING NDCS: A GUIDE TO - WRI.ORG | NDCS.UNDP.ORG
FOREWORD
Next year, 2020, is a key milestone. For the            However, for many countries, this ambition must
first time since 2015, countries will put forward       be met with financial, technological, and capacity-
enhanced Nationally Determined Contributions            building support. We stand ready to support
(NDCs) that go beyond current national climate          countries in this process. We echo UN Secretary-
plans and bring us closer to the Paris Agreement        General António Guterres’ call for countries
goals of de-carbonizing economies and improving         to lay out a course to enhance their NDCs and
resilience. Now more than ever, ambitious action is     work towards “net-zero” emissions. This guide is
urgently needed to address the global climate crisis    designed to assist those who are exploring how to
and keep global temperature increases in check.         answer that call.

This first round of NDC enhancement comes at a          We invite countries to work through a step-by-step
crucial time. The effects of climate change are being   process to identify their best options for enhancing
felt around the world in a wide range of forms,         NDCs, to learn from country experiences, and to
including increased frequency of extreme weather,       put forward enhanced NDCs in the next year at a
biodiversity loss, rising sea levels, and prolonged     key moment for the Paris Agreement—and for our
droughts.                                               shared future.

According to the Intergovernmental Panel on
Climate Change (IPCC), we have only until
2030 to slash emissions nearly in half and limit
global warming to 1.5°C. We need rapid and bold
paradigm shifts in energy and land use, as well as
in areas like industry and infrastructure, in order
to avoid the most devastating impacts of climate        Andrew Steer                          Achim Steiner
change and achieve our sustainable development          President                             Administrator
objectives. This level of ambition must guide the       World Resources Institute             United Nations
NDC enhancement process in 2020.                                                              Development
                                                                                              Programme (UNDP)
New analysis by the UN Development Programme
(UNDP) and UN Climate Change (UNFCCC)
confirms that a significant number of countries are
committed to enhancing NDCs. This publication
guides governments through this process. The NDC
enhancement process is also an opportunity for
countries to demonstrate their climate leadership
while advancing development benefits—such
as improved health, access to clean energy, and
economic growth—in line with the Sustainable
Development Goals (SDGs). Enhancing NDCs
can help capture some of the estimated USD 26
trillion in economic benefits associated with taking
ambitious climate action between now and 2030.

                                                        Enhancing NDCs: A Guide to Strengthening National Climate Plans by 2020   1
ENHANCING NDCS: A GUIDE TO - WRI.ORG | NDCS.UNDP.ORG
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ENHANCING NDCS: A GUIDE TO - WRI.ORG | NDCS.UNDP.ORG
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
This report aims to help government officials identify options for
enhancing Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) in line with
the Paris Agreement. It offers guidance on establishing a process
for NDC enhancement, enhancing mitigation and adaptation
components of NDCs, and communicating NDCs transparently.
Additionally, it reflects on aligning NDCs with the Sustainable
Development Goals (SDGs), and on the role of finance in NDC
enhancement.

                                  Enhancing NDCs: A Guide to Strengthening National Climate Plans by 2020   3
ENHANCING NDCS: A GUIDE TO - WRI.ORG | NDCS.UNDP.ORG
Highlights                                                   Executive Summary
                                                                 Context
    ▪▪   At the Paris climate negotiations in 2015, countries    The Paris Agreement established a series
         agreed to establish 2020 as a key milestone in the      of five-year cycles to increase ambition,
         global effort to fight climate change. As part of the   including through NDCs that would grow
         regular five-year cycles to strengthen ambition laid    more ambitious over time. Countries also
         out in the Paris Agreement, countries are requested     specifically agreed on 2020 as a critical next step
                                                                 in the Paris process. Countries with an NDC time
         to put forward nationally determined contributions
                                                                 frame ending up to 2025 are requested to commu-
         (NDCs) by 2020.                                         nicate new ones by 2020 (UNFCCC 2015a). Those
    ▪▪ The rationale for updating NDCs, and particularly         countries whose NDCs have a time frame ending up
                                                                 to 2030, in turn, are requested to communicate or
         for enhancing mitigation ambition, is greater than
                                                                 update their NDCs by 2020. This guidance refers to
         ever: The latest climate science underscores the
                                                                 the process of developing new or updated NDCs as
         need for ambitious, immediate action to keep the        “NDC enhancement.”
         Paris Agreement goals within reach; technological
         advances increasingly facilitate ambitious action;      It is imperative that the NDC enhancement
         and the alignment between ambitious climate             process deliver greater mitigation ambition.
                                                                 Scientific evidence suggests that the window of
         action and socioeconomic benefits is increasingly
                                                                 opportunity to limit the global mean temperature
         well documented and understood.                         well below 2°C, or 1.5°C, is closing rapidly (IPCC
    ▪▪ This guidance provides a structure to help                2018). Hence, it is crucial that countries enhance
                                                                 the mitigation ambition of their NDCs by 2020.
         countries think through the process of enhancing
         their NDCs along three dimensions: mitigation,          NDC enhancement also provides an impor-
         adaptation, and transparent communication.              tant opportunity to make adaptation plan-

    ▪▪ With regard to mitigation, this guidance places           ning more robust and to advance transpar-
                                                                 ent communication of the NDC. Enhancing
         a priority on enhancing ambition and reducing           the adaptation component of an NDC can increase
         emissions to achieve the temperature goals in the       the visibility and profile of adaptation to achieve
         Paris Agreement, while noting that NDCs can also        balance with mitigation, strengthen adaptation
         be enhanced to strengthen implementation in             action and support, provide inputs to the global
         various ways.                                           stock-take, and enhance learning and understand-
                                                                 ing of adaptation needs and actions. Enhancing
    ▪▪ Enhancing an adaptation component of an NDC               transparency can clarify the emissions level implied
         depends strongly on a country’s objectives with         by the NDCs, facilitate global aggregation of NDCs’
         regard to adaptation and the relationship between       greenhouse gas (GHG) effect, their sectoral and
         the NDC and other adaptation-related processes.         GHG coverage, and their underlying assumptions

    ▪▪ Clear communication of NDCs builds trust and
                                                                 and methodologies, among other elements.

         facilitates effective implementation. Guidance
         on communication—or clarity, transparency, and
         understanding—is based on the Paris Agreement
         Work Program adopted in 2018.

4
ENHANCING NDCS: A GUIDE TO - WRI.ORG | NDCS.UNDP.ORG
There are many additional reasons to                           This overarching framework will be supple-
enhance NDCs in 2020:                                          mented by more detailed guidance on par-

▪▪
                                                               ticular sectors and themes. These subsequent
      Taking advantage of major technological                  modules will address electric power generation and
      advances                                                 use, transportation, agriculture, forest and land
▪▪    Avoiding carbon lock-in                                  use, oceans, short-lived climate pollutants, and

▪▪    Reducing transition costs                                potentially other sectors.

▪▪    Aligning with carbon neutrality and long-term
      strategies
                                                               Summary of the Guidance

▪▪
                                                               The guidance first presents considerations
      Building on action by subnational and nonstate           for establishing a process to enhance NDCs,
      actors                                                   and then guides countries through the main

▪▪    Seizing opportunities for economic growth and
      development
                                                               components of NDC enhancement: mitiga-
                                                               tion, adaptation, and transparent commu-

▪▪    Maximizing synergies with the Sustainable
      Development Goals (SDGs)
                                                               nication (Figure ES-1). Each section presents
                                                               the rationale for enhancing that component as well

▪▪
                                                               as guidance on taking stock of the current situation
      Attracting climate finance and investment                and identifying options for enhancement. Finally,

▪▪    Bolstering implementation                                it includes examples of additional resources that

▪▪                                                             countries can consult throughout the process of
      Building broader buy-in from key ministries              enhancement.
      and stakeholders
                                                               Establishing a clear and inclusive process to
About This Guidance                                            enhance the NDC is a vital first step (Figure
The objective of this guidance is to help                      ES-2). In establishing such a process, countries
countries design an enhanced NDC for                           should consider how to ensure coherence with
communication to the UNFCCC by 2020.                           national planning processes, gain support from
The guidance proposes an overarching framework                 affected constituencies and those who will imple-
that countries can use to think through the process            ment the NDC, define institutional arrangements to
of, and options for, updating their NDCs. Its use              ensure leadership and coordination, engage stake-
is entirely voluntary; countries are free to use it in         holders, and develop a work plan with defined roles
whole or in part and to adapt it to their national cir-        and responsibilities to undertake the enhancement.
cumstances as relevant. The guidance is intended               For both mitigation and adaptation, countries
to complement, but not substitute for, NDC provi-              should explore how climate actions in the NDC can
sions in the Paris Agreement and the Paris Agree-              also help the country achieve national development
ment Work Programme.                                           objectives, including implementation of the SDGs.

Figure ES-1 | Elements of the NDC Enhancement Process

                                             Designing an enhanced
                                             mitigation component of
                                             an NDC

              Establishing a process for                                               Communicating an
              NDC enhancement                                                          enhanced NDC transparently

                                             Designing an enhanced
                                             adaptation component of
                                             an NDC

Source: Authors.

                                                               Enhancing NDCs: A Guide to Strengthening National Climate Plans by 2020   5
ENHANCING NDCS: A GUIDE TO - WRI.ORG | NDCS.UNDP.ORG
Figure ES-2 | Steps to Establish an NDC Enhancement Process

                  1                       2                       3                               4                          5
                              ESTABLISH               PLAN FOR
     SECURE HIGH-LEVEL                                                                DEFINE DOMESTIC            DESIGN A
                              INSTITUTIONAL           STAKEHOLDER
     BUY-IN                                                                           OBJECTIVES                 WORK PLAN
                              ARRANGEMENTS            ENGAGEMENT
     ▪▪ Prime minister’s or   ▪▪ Lead institution     ▪▪ Civil society                ▪▪ Driving action          ▪▪ Roles and
        president’s office                                                                                          responsibilities
                              ▪▪ Intra-governmental   ▪▪ Academia                     ▪▪ Directing finance
     ▪▪ Key ministries           coordination         ▪▪ Private sector                                          ▪▪ Timeline and
                                                                                      ▪▪ Generating political
                                                                                                                    milestones
                              ▪▪ Alignment with       ▪▪ Subnational actors              support
                                 development                                                                     ▪▪ Monitoring
                                                      ▪▪ Trade unions                 ▪▪ Mainstreaming
                                 objectives                                                                         mechanisms
                                                                                         climate change
                                                      ▪▪ Vulnerable
                                                         populations                  ▪▪ Reflecting mitigation
                                                                                         and adaptation in key
                                                                                         sectors

    Source: Authors.

    In this guidance, enhanced mitigation
    ambition is defined to mean that the
                                                                          ▪▪   Apply the following diagnostic questions at the
                                                                               sectoral and cross-sectoral level with a view
    enhanced NDC, if fully implemented,                                        both to identify and fill gaps in the NDC and to
    results in lower cumulative emissions than                                 enhance its existing elements:
    the fully implemented initial NDC (Fransen
    et al. 2017). Countries should undertake the steps                          Improving Paris alignment
    described below with a view toward promoting this                          □□    oes the NDC as a whole, and its treatment
                                                                                    D
    result.                                                                         of each sector individually, lead to a
    Countries can undertake the following steps                                     trajectory that aligns with the benchmarks
    to identify options for mitigation enhance-                                     for achieving Paris Agreement temperature
    ment and reflect them in their NDCs (Fig-                                       goals?
    ure Es-3):                                                                   eflecting new developments,
                                                                                R

    ▪▪    Take stock of recent developments, including
          updated GHG inventories, trends in key
                                                                                innovation, and best practices

                                                                               □□   Does the treatment of the sector in the
          sectoral indicators, changes in national                                  initial NDC reflect up-to-date assumptions
          policies and measures, actions and plans by                               regarding available technologies and their
          nonstate and subnational actors, and economic                             costs?
          and technology trends. National emissions
          projections should also be updated as feasible                       □□   Does the NDC as a whole, and its treatment
          and relevant.                                                             of each sector individually, reflect the

    ▪▪    Take stock of long-term objectives and
          benchmarks to inform NDC enhancement.
                                                                                    relevant plans, policies, and measures that
                                                                                    are being implemented and considered
          These include the the global and sectoral                                 at the national level or that ought to
          benchmarks for mitigation to achieve the                                  be considered based on available best
          temperature goals in the Paris Agreement, as                              practices?
          well as the SDGs and other global and national
                                                                               □□   Does the NDC as a whole, and its treatment
          frameworks and plans. Review the global
                                                                                    of each sector individually, reflect the
          emissions and associated sectoral benchmarks
                                                                                    relevant climate action commitments being
          associated with the temperature goals in the
                                                                                    made by nonstate and subnational actors in
          Paris Agreement and consider their relevance
                                                                                    the country?
          in the particular country.

6
Figure ES-3 | Steps to Enhance Mitigation in the NDC

              1                        2                             3                              4                            5
                                                                                                                      REFLECT
 TAKE STOCK OF             TAKE STOCK OF LONG-        IDENTIFY OPTIONS                 AGGREGATE, ITERATE,
                                                                                                                      ENHANCEMENTS
 PROGRESS TO DATE          TERM OBJECTIVES            FOR ENHANCEMENT                  AND REFINE
                                                                                                                      IN NDC
 ▪▪ GHG, sectoral, and     ▪▪ Global and              ▪▪ Improve Paris                 ▪▪ Aggregate impact on         ▪▪ GHG target
    socioeconomic             sectoral mitigation        alignment                        GHG emissions other         ▪▪ Sectoral, non-GHG
    projections               benchmarks              ▪▪ Reflect new                      select indicators              target(s)
 ▪▪ National policies      ▪▪ SDGs and other global      developments,                 ▪▪ Iterate to refine list of   ▪▪ Policies and measures
                              frameworks                 innovation, and best             enhancement options
 ▪▪ Subnational and non-
                                                         practice                                                     ▪▪ Alignment with long-
    state commitments      ▪▪ Long-term, low-GHG                                                                         term goals
                              emission development    ▪▪ Maximize benefits
 ▪▪ Development
                              strategies              ▪▪ Fill gaps
    objectives
                           ▪▪ Long-term national
 ▪▪ Mitigation finance                                ▪▪ Address finance
                              development plans          and implementation
                                                         issues

Source: Authors.

        Maximizing the benefits                                                 as GHG reduction potential, feasibility, and
                                                                                benefits and costs. To the extent feasible,
      □□    Does the NDC as a whole, and its treatment                          aggregate the impacts of the proposed
            of each sector individually, maximize                               enhancement opportunities and iterate the
            synergies and reduce potential conflicts                            previous steps to refine and finalize the list of
            with development objectives, including                              mitigation enhancements.

                                                                         ▪▪
            climate resilience?
                                                                                Determine how to reflect enhancements in a
        Filling the gaps                                                        revised NDC, whether in the form of a GHG
                                                                                target, a sector-specific non-GHG target,
      □□    Does the NDC address all relevant sectors,                          policies and actions, or a combination of the
            subsectors, and gases?                                              above.
         ddressing finance and
        A                                                                The following steps can guide countries in
        implementation issues                                            determining the treatment of adaptation in
                                                                         an enhanced NDC (Figure ES-4):
      □□
                                                                         ▪▪
            Could the NDC better reflect finance needs
            for NDC implementation and/or policy                                Explore the purposes of including an
            actions to align finance flows with climate                         adaptation component in the NDC: As
            goals?                                                              a starting point, a UNFCCC decision on
                                                                                adaptation communication (UNFCCC decision
      □□    Does the NDC address important cross-                               9/CMA.1) identifies the following objectives:
            sectoral interactions?
                                                                                □□   Increasing the visibility and profile of
      □□    Could the NDC otherwise facilitate                                       adaptation and its balance with mitigation.
            strengthened implementation?
                                                                                □□   Strengthening adaptation action and
         reate a list of mitigation enhancement
        C                                                                            support for developing countries.
        options on the basis of the diagnostic
        questions.                                                              □□   Providing inputs to the global stock-take.

▪▪    Refine the list of mitigation enhancement
      options on the basis of selected criteria, such
                                                                                □□   Enhancing learning and understanding of
                                                                                     adaptation needs and actions.

                                                                         Enhancing NDCs: A Guide to Strengthening National Climate Plans by 2020   7
▪▪    Determine whether to include an adaptation
          component in the NDC: While integrating
                                                                                                    country’s adaptation communication, it must be
                                                                                                    clearly indicated, and the information should be
          adaptation into the NDC is voluntary, many                                                stored in the UNFCCC registry for adaptation
          countries opted to do so in the first submission                                          communication.

    ▪▪
          of NDCs.
          Analyze relevant links, synergies, trade-offs,
                                                                                               ▪▪   Based on the results of previous steps, identify
                                                                                                    elements to be included and how to enhance
          and opportunities to streamline with other                                                them: As a starting point, the following
          domestic and international processes; for                                                 elements drawn from the UNFCCC decision
          instance, national adaptation plans (NAPs),                                               9/CMA.1 on Adaptation Communication
          national communications (NCs) to UNFCCC,                                                  (UNFCCC 2019) could be considered, each with
          mitigation planning, national or sectoral                                                 associated options for enhancement (see main
          development planning processes, the 2030                                                  text):
          Development Agenda (SDGs), and the Sendai
          Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction 2015–                                               □□       National circumstances, institutional
          2030.                                                                                              arrangements, and legal frameworks

    ▪▪    Determine whether the adaptation component
          in the NDC constitutes the country’s adaptation
                                                                                                    □□       Impacts, risks, and vulnerabilities

          communication solely, in part, or not at all. If                                          □□       National adaptation priorities, strategies,
          the adaptation component in the NDC is the                                                         policies, plans, goals, and actions

    Figure ES-4 | Steps to Enhance Adaptation in the NDC

                  1                                  2                                     3                               4                             5
     DETERMINE WHETHER                                                    DETERMINE                            IDENTIFY ELEMENTS
                                                                                                                                              INTEGRATE THE
     TO INCLUDE                         ANALYZE LINKS WITH                RELATIONSHIP                         TO BE INCLUDED AND
                                                                                                                                              SELECTED ELEMENTS
     ADAPTATION IN THE                  OTHER PROCESSES                   TO ADAPTATION                        HOW TO ENHANCE
                                                                                                                                              INTO THE NDC
     NDC                                                                  COMMUNICATION (AC)                   THEM

     Examples of functions              ▪▪ National adaptation             ▪▪ Sole component of AC             ▪▪ See main text for details   ▪▪ New elements
     served by including                   plans
                                                                           ▪▪ Part of AC                                                      ▪▪ Updated elements
     adaptation:                        ▪▪ National
                                                                           ▪▪ Not related to AC
     ▪▪ Raising visibility and             communications
        profile                         ▪▪ Mitigation planning
     ▪▪ Bolstering action and           ▪▪ National/sectoral
        support                            development planning
     ▪▪ Providing inputs to the         ▪▪ SDGs
        global stocktake
                                        ▪▪ Sendai Framework for
     ▪▪ Facilitating learning              Disaster Risk Reduction
        and understanding

    Note: These steps are explained in the chapter “Designing an Enhanced Adaptation Component of an NDC.”
    Source: Authors.

8
□□    implementation and support needs of, and
            provision of support to, developing country
                                                                ▪▪   Integrate the elements selected into the NDC,
                                                                     with new and/or updated content, using
            Parties                                                  existing information according to the sources
                                                                     of information and processes listed above, and
      □□    implementation of adaptation actions and                 complementing this with additional analyses
            plans                                                    and consultations when required.
      □□    adaptation actions and/or economic                  Finally, countries can enhance the infor-
            diversification plans, including those that         mation in their NDCs to facilitate clarity,
            result in mitigation co-benefits                    transparency, and understanding (CTU)
                                                                in communicating their NDCs and to fos-
      □□    an assessment of how adaptation                     ter alignment with the elements of CTU as
            actions contribute to other international           agreed at COP24 (Figure ES-5). This guidance
            frameworks and/or conventions                       outlines how countries can fulfill the information
                                                                requirements agreed to under the UNFCCC, as well
      □□    gender-responsive adaptation action
                                                                as provide additional information that facilitates
            and traditional knowledge, knowledge of
                                                                even further CTU.
            indigenous peoples, and local knowledge
            systems related to adaptation

Figure ES-5 | Steps to Facilitate Clarity, Transparency, and Understanding in an Enhanced NDC

                   1                           2                             3                                   4

                                  Use the list of information
 Collect information during the                                                                     Communicate the enhanced
                                  to facilitate CTU as agreed   Elaborate with additional
 design of the enhanced NDC                                                                         NDC domestically and
                                  to at COP24 to document the   information where possible
 to ease communication                                                                              internationally
                                  enhanced NDC

Source: Authors.

                                                                Enhancing NDCs: A Guide to Strengthening National Climate Plans by 2020   9
INTRODUCTION
Since its adoption in 2015, the Paris Agreement has cleared two
major hurdles. First, it entered into force less than a year after
it was adopted. Second, in 2018, countries adopted the Paris
Agreement Work Programme, fleshing out the details governing its
implementation.

                                   Enhancing NDCs: A Guide to Strengthening National Climate Plans by 2020   11
The year 2020 will mark the Paris Agreement’s next      NDCs targeted 2030, but some targeted 2025, and
     major milestone. To achieve its ambitious long-         others targeted years beyond 2030 (WRI 2016). In
     term goals, the Agreement included a five-year cycle    recognition of these and other factors, some coun-
     to increase the ambition of climate action over time.   tries have already made changes to their NDCs in
     Reflecting the urgency of early action, countries       advance of 2020 (Box 1).
     agreed on the following actions by 2020: Countries
     with an NDC with a time frame up to 2025 are            This 2020 round of NDC enhancement would effec-
     requested to communicate a new NDC, and coun-           tively kick-start the Agreement’s mechanism for
     tries with an NDC with a time frame up to 2030 are      enhancing NDC ambition. To set the stage for this
     requested to communicate or update an existing          moment, the Talanoa Dialogue, a year-long, col-
     NDC (decision 1/CP.21, UNFCCC 2015a). A deci-           lective stock-taking process, concluded at COP 24
     sion at the 24th Conference of Parties in Katowice,     with an invitation to countries to use its outcomes
     Poland, (decision 1/CP.24) in 2018 explicitly reiter-   in preparing their NDCs. The Talanoa process
     ated this request for NDCs to be brought forward by     included an emphasis on the need for increased
     2020 (UNFCCC 2018).                                     ambition and the wide range of opportunities for
                                                             climate action across multiple sectors that can also
     Several factors motivated countries to agree that       provide development, economic, and other benefits
     2020 would be the next moment to submit NDCs.           (UNFCCC 2018).
     First, countries’ initial mitigation targets were
     insufficient to achieve the Agreement’s broader         As with each cycle of NDC communication, this
     goals, as confirmed by a UNFCCC assessment in           moment in 2020 offers countries the opportunity to
     the lead-up to the Paris negotiations (UNFCCC           assess whether the mitigation contributions in their
     2015c). Second, many countries had prepared their       NDCs reflect their highest possible ambition and
     initial NDCs without adequate time or capacity to       whether they could do more to contribute to collec-
     fully consider key issues. Developing countries,        tive efforts toward achieving the long-term goals of
     in particular, have noted challenges in developing      the Paris Agreement. The need to enhance ambition
     their first NDCs as well as the need for technical      has taken on renewed urgency in light of the IPCC
     assistance to revisit their NDCs based on the Paris     special report on 1.5°C, which underscored the need
     Agreement (UNDP 2016). Finally, the initial NDCs        to halve emissions by 2030 (IPCC 2018).
     did not set a consistent timeline for action: Most

12
BOX 1 | How NDCs Have Changed to Date

While the deadline for updating the first NDCs is not           Lastly, some countries improved the transparency of the
until 2020, several countries have already changed their        NDC since the INDC was first submitted. For example,
commitments. Some did so when ratifying the Paris               Argentina, Canada, Morocco, and Uruguay have now
Agreement, when their intended nationally determined            specified the level of emissions that will result if their NDCs
contributions (INDCs) were converted into NDCs.                 are achieved. In the case of Argentina, the country moved
Encouragingly, some of these changes have led to                from a baseline scenario target to a fixed level target (to
increased ambition. For example, while Morocco kept             not exceed net emissions of 483 MtCO2e by 2030, with a
its baseline scenario target type, it increased the target      conditional target of 369 MtCO2e by 2030).* This brings
ambition, moving from an unconditional 13 percent               greater transparency and assurances that a certain level
reduction from its baseline emissions in 2030 (and a            of emissions will be achieved. Belize communicated the
31 percent conditional reduction target) to a 17 percent        anticipated emissions reductions from its actions.
reduction (41 percent conditional reduction target).            Note: * Determining whether a new option will enhance a Party’s level of
                                                                ambition can be technically complex. Consider, for example, an NDC that
Other countries added new commitments or actions in             contains both a GHG intensity target and a renewable energy target. Say the
their NDCs. For example, Morocco added a detailed list          GHG intensity target is close to current projections of GHG intensity, but the
of 55 unconditional and conditional mitigation actions,         renewable energy target vastly exceeds current projections of renewable
alongside emissions reduction potential and cost estimates      energy capacity. In this case, the renewable energy target is the key driver of
                                                                ambition, and raising it will likely enhance overall ambition. Conversely, if the
for 2030. Nepal added a renewable energy target, and            GHG intensity target is more aggressive and the renewable energy target less
Uruguay added non-GHG targets for energy, transportation,       aggressive relative to current projections, raising the renewable energy target
agriculture, land use, and other sectors.                       may not raise the overall level of ambition. The GHG Protocol Mitigation Goal
                                                                Standard (WRI 2014a) and Policy and Action Standard (WRI 2014b) provide
Some countries, such as Argentina, Benin, Canada, Mali,
                                                                guidance on GHG accounting that can inform analysis of ambition. This content
Pakistan, and Uruguay, also chose to include adaptation, or     is adapted from Fransen et al. (2017).
expand upon its inclusion, as part of their changed NDCs.
                                                                Source: Fransen et al. 2017; Ge and Levin 2018.

                                                              Enhancing NDCs: A Guide to Strengthening National Climate Plans by 2020               13
Figure 1 | Types of NDC Enhancement

                   MITIGATION AMBITION                                                 ADAPTATION

                                                                  Update or add               Update or add                Update or add
                                                                  information on             current & near-                monitoring,
                     Strengthen                                trends, impacts &           term planning and               evaluation &
                      or add a                                   vulnerabilities                 action                   learning plans
                     GHG target

                                         Strengthen or add
                                       a sectoral non-GHG                        Update or add
                                              target                                                           Update or add
                                                                                 information on
                                                                                                          information on gaps &
                                                                              national long-term
                                                                                                                 barriers
                                                                                goals or vision

                 Strengthen or add
                policies and actions

                                                Align         IMPLEMENTATION                            COMMUNICATION
                                          implementation
                                        of the existing NDC
                                         with long-term                Add actions                        Provide basic
                                                                                                         information to            Provide
                                               goals                  or measures                                                 additional
                                                                     to strengthen                     enhance clarity,
                                                                                                                                    detail
                                                                    implementation                     transparency &
                                                                                                        understanding

     Source: Fransen et al. 2017.

     Defining NDC Enhancement                                            On mitigation, the guidance aims to help countries
                                                                         identify opportunities to strengthen the ambition
     The term NDC enhancement captures the idea of
                                                                         of their NDCs, given the very large emissions gap
     NDC progression inherent in the Paris Agreement,
                                                                         between the current global emissions trajectory
     starting with the invitation to communicate new or
                                                                         and the pathway consistent with achieving the
     updated NDCs in 2020 (Fransen et al. 2017). This
                                                                         Paris Agreement’s goals. We define strengthened
     guidance considers the following dimensions of
                                                                         mitigation ambition as when an enhanced NDC—
     NDC enhancement—mitigation (noting that mitiga-
                                                                         including its complete set of mitigation targets and
     tion enhancements can increase ambition and/or
                                                                         actions, and assuming full implementation—results
     facilitate enhanced implementation), adaptation,
                                                                         in lower cumulative emissions than the existing
     and communication—taking into account that the
                                                                         NDC. To determine the effect of NDC enhancement
     objectives and requirements under the Paris Agree-
                                                                         on mitigation ambition, the cumulative impact of
     ment vary across these components (See Figure 1).
                                                                         all changes to the NDC, including their overlap with
     Ideally, the NDC enhancement process will bring
                                                                         one another, must be considered (Box 2; Fransen
     NDCs more closely into alignment with the goals of
                                                                         et al. 2017). Aside from their effects on ambition,
     the Paris Agreement, maximize the benefits of the
                                                                         enhancements related to mitigation can also have
     NDC for development and resilience, incorporate
                                                                         the effect of facilitating stronger implementation,
     relevant opportunities to strengthen implementa-
                                                                         if countries commit to specific policies and mea-
     tion, and improve transparency.
                                                                         sures in support of existing targets, including those
                                                                         related to financial flows, coordinated implementa-
                                                                         tion, and greater integration with development.

14
On adaptation, the guidance walks countries                          guidance on communication is based on the ele-
through options for enhancing various elements,                      ments of clarity, transparency, and understanding
taking into consideration their objectives in includ-                (CTU) adopted at COP 24 in Katowice (UNFCCC
ing adaptation in the NDC as well as the relation-                   2018)
ship between their NDC and their adaptation
communication, building on other processes such                      These elements of NDC enhancement are neither
as the National Adaptation Plans (NAPs).                             mutually exclusive nor interchangeable. It may be
                                                                     appropriate for a country to enhance its NDC across
Finally, enhanced communication is essential “to                     more than one of these dimensions.
build mutual trust and confidence and to promote
effective implementation” (UNFCCC 2015b). Our

       BOX 2 | Terms Related to NDC Enhancement

       New or updated NDC: From the COP decision adopted               action(s) articulated in the original NDC. In determining the
       together with the Paris Agreement (1/CP.21), these              effect on mitigation ambition, it is important to consider the
       terms refer to the request in the COP decision to Parties       cumulative impact of all changes to the NDC, including the
       concerning NDCs in 2020. A new NDC is one subsequent to         extent to which they overlap with each other as well as the
       the initial NDC when a Party’s initial NDC contains a time      targets, policies, and measures in the existing NDC.*
       frame up to 2025. An updated NDC is one communicated by         Note: * Determining whether a new option will enhance a Party’s level of
       a Party whose initial NDC contains a time frame up to 2030.     ambition can be technically complex. Consider, for example, an NDC that
                                                                       contains both a GHG intensity target and a renewable energy target. Say the
       Enhanced NDC: In this guidance, a new or updated                GHG intensity target is close to current projections of GHG intensity, but the
       NDC that improves upon the initial NDC with respect to          renewable energy target vastly exceeds current projections of renewable
       mitigation (ambition and/or implementation), adaptation,        energy capacity. In this case, the renewable energy target is the key driver of
       and/or communication.                                           ambition, and raising it will likely enhance overall ambition. Conversely, if the
                                                                       GHG intensity target is more aggressive and the renewable energy target less
       NDC with enhanced mitigation ambition: In this                  aggressive relative to current projections, raising the renewable energy target
       guidance, this refers to an NDC that, if fully implemented,     may not raise the overall level of ambition. The GHG Protocol Mitigation Goal
       would result in lower cumulative emissions than the fully       Standard (WRI 2014a) and Policy and Action Standard (WRI 2014b) provide
       implemented existing NDC. It is important to note that a        guidance on GHG accounting that can inform analysis of ambition.
       new, updated, or enhanced NDC may not necessarily lead to       Source: Fransen et al. 2017 and authors.
       enhanced mitigation ambition. The baseline for determining
       this is the complete set of mitigation target(s) and/or

                                                                     Enhancing NDCs: A Guide to Strengthening National Climate Plans by 2020               15
Why Enhance NDCs in 2020                                  around the world. Broadly, the study finds: Renew-
                                                               able power generation costs continue to fall and
     The rationale for enhancing the mitigation ambition
                                                               are already very competitive to meet needs for new
     of NDCs sooner rather than later is threefold: The
                                                               capacity. Competitive procurement—including
     window for climate stability is closing, countries
                                                               auctions—accounts for a small fraction of global
     have a growing number of opportunities to enhance
                                                               renewable energy deployment. Yet these mecha-
     their ambition, and countries that act ambitiously
                                                               nisms are very rapidly driving down costs in new
     will benefit.
                                                               markets. Global competition is helping to spread
     The window for climate stability is closing               the best project development practices, reducing
                                                               technology and project risk and making renewables
     The IPCC has emphasized that large-scale, immedi-
                                                               more cost-competitive than ever before. In devel-
     ate transformation is necessary to keep the goals
                                                               oped countries, solar power has become cheaper
     of the Paris Agreement in reach. Warming is likely
                                                               than new nuclear power. For example, the cost of
     to reach 1.5⁰C as early as 2030 if it continues to
                                                               a lithium-ion battery pack fell to US$176/kwh in
     increase at the current rate; CO2 emissions, in turn,
                                                               2018, down from $577/kwh in 2014 when many
     must be slashed by almost half from recent levels
                                                               INDCs were being developed (Goldie-Scot 2019).
     by that same year to avoid such an outcome (IPCC
     2018).1 Current NDCs are not consistent with these        Many countries have made significant progress on
     goals (Rogelj et al. 2016). Delaying the process of       NDC implementation, and some are on track to
     increasing ambition until 2025 or beyond will dra-        meet or exceed their existing targets, including six
     matically constrain options for achieving the Paris       of the G20 countries (UNEP 2018; den Elzen et al.
     goals. It will mean needing to achieve even more          2019), countries committed to a variety of climate
     rapid decarbonization, at greater cost, while rely-       actions, including post-2020 greenhouse gas
     ing on unproven technologies. Laying out a more           (GHG) reductions. The 2020 process for enhancing
     ambitious vision now, on the other hand, preserves        NDCs offers an opportunity to examine the ambi-
     countries’ remaining options to achieve the Paris         tion of the initial NDCs in light of this progress.
     objectives.                                               Moreover, cities, states, regions, companies, and
                                                               investors have announced significant new commit-
     While some countries’ enhancement of ambition
                                                               ments to climate action that were not reflected in
     will clearly have greater impact due to the mag-
                                                               initial NDCs. At the Global Climate Action Summit
     nitude of their emissions, the range and number
                                                               alone, 73 of the world’s largest cities committed to
     of countries that enhance their NDCs can have an
                                                               carbon neutrality, 150 major corporations commit-
     important impact on the political momentum for
                                                               ted to 100 percent clean energy, and 400 investors
     strengthened ambition globally. Moreover, if a
                                                               managing $32 trillion in assets committed to an
     wide array of countries take action in their NDCs in
                                                               ambitious climate action agenda, alongside over
     critical sectors like energy, transportation, land-use,
                                                               500 other commitments by nonstate actors (Global
     and agriculture, doing so can reinforce the politi-
                                                               Climate Action Summit 2018). In this sense, there
     cal signals and market drivers for change in those
                                                               is an opportunity to enhance NDCs to reflect the
     arenas.
                                                               national, subnational, and nonstate action that is
     Opportunities to enhance ambition are growing             already under way.

     Since the initial NDCs were developed, innovation         At the international level, the Paris Agreement
     has flourished and technology costs have fallen,          has taken effect, and its modalities have largely
     alongside other developments that can enable              taken shape. Likewise, the Montreal Protocol’s
     countries to enhance their NDCs. The cost of              Kigali Amendment has entered into force, defining
     renewable energy technologies – including battery         a schedule for phasing down hydrofluorocarbon
     storage and charging infrastructure – has declined        emissions.
     dramatically, opening up possibilities in the power
     and transportation sectors (IRENA 2018) based on          Taken together, these factors create many more
     the latest cost and auction price data from projects      options for climate action than countries were
                                                               able to consider prior to the Paris Agreement.
                                                               Nevertheless, these developments do not suggest

16
that enhancing mitigation ambition will be easy          process than would be possible in cases where sepa-
or straightforward. The scale of transformation          rate efforts are made for mitigation, adaptation,
needed is without precedent, and many countries          and development objectives respectively.
face substantial political, financial, and capacity-
related challenges in delivering it. This guidance       Finally, reflecting enhanced ambition in NDCs may
proposes that the 2020 NDC enhancement process           also afford countries an opportunity to rally stake-
can be an opportunity to rally political support         holders in support of implementation and to attract
to help overcome these challenges, in light of the       finance, technology, and capacity-building support
growing number of options, and urgent need, for          from the international community.
enhanced ambition.
                                                         How Should This Guidance Be Used?
Countries that enhance ambition stand to benefit         This guidance aims to help countries through the
Although enhanced NDCs are critical to meet the          process of designing enhanced NDCs for commu-
objectives of the Paris Agreement, countries that        nication to the UNFCCC, with a particular focus
take ambitious action also benefit domestically.         on 2020. Whether a country’s current NDC targets
They stand to reap the gains not only of being rec-      2025 or 2030, this guidance assumes that countries
ognized for their international leadership, but also     will build on their most recent NDC in some way,
gains in the form of economic growth and develop-        rather than starting from scratch.
ment benefits. Evidence of the alignment among
                                                         The guidance provides a framework that countries
climate action, economic growth, and development
                                                         can use to think through systematically how to go
benefits continues to accumulate. On the economic
                                                         about enhancing their NDCs. While it does not go
side, the latest analysis estimates that ambitious
                                                         into detail on particular sectors, the United Nations
climate action could generate $26 trillion in net
                                                         Development Programme (UNDP) and WRI plan
economic benefits between now and 2030 and cre-
                                                         to publish sector-specific modules over the coming
ate 65 million jobs in 2030, while avoiding 700,000
                                                         months (Figure 2).
premature deaths from air pollution (The Global
Commission on the Economy and Climate 2018).             Use of the guidance is entirely voluntary; countries
                                                         are free to use it in whole or in part, and to adapt
NDCs can also contribute to achieving a wide range
                                                         it to their national circumstances as relevant. The
of development priorities, including those related to
                                                         guidance is intended to complement, but not sub-
the SDGs, as described in Box 3 (WRI n.d.). These
                                                         stitute for, NDC provisions in the Paris Agreement
synergies include sectors that are clearly related to
                                                         and the Katowice Rulebook.
climate action, such as energy, transportation, land
use, and ocean issues, as well as relevant intersec-     Support for NDC Enhancement2
tions related to poverty, inequality, health, gender
equality, and the broader principle embedded in the      Several NDC support programs exist to help
SDGs of “leaving no one behind” (IPCC 2018). By          countries through a range of NDC-related func-
undertaking NDC enhancement in consideration             tions, including enhancement as well as design,
of mitigation, adaptation, and sustainable develop-      implementation, and review. For example, the NDC
ment benefits in combination, it is possible to create   Partnership, a global coalition of countries and
greater benefits, make more informed and equitable       institutions, works to drive transformational cli-
decisions on trade-offs, and design more efficient       mate action through sustainable development. The

                                                         Enhancing NDCs: A Guide to Strengthening National Climate Plans by 2020   17
Figure 2 | Overview of NDC-Related Guidance by UNDP and WRI

     DESIGNING (I)NDCS                                                               IMPLEMENTING NDCS                           ENHANCING NDCS

                                                                                                                                                          Power

                                                                                                                                                      Transportation

                                                                                                                                                          Forests
                                                                                         Implementing NDCs
                                                                                                                                                        Agriculture
          DESIGNING AND PREPARING                                                      UNDP et al (forthcoming)
          INTENDED NATIONALLY DETERMINED
          CONTRIBUTIONS (INDCs)
                                                                                                                                                          Oceans
          KELLY LEVIN, DAVID RICH, YAMIL BONDUKI, MICHAEL COMSTOCK, DENNIS TIRPAK,

                                                                                                                                               Short-lived climate pollutants
          HEATHER MCGRAY, IAN NOBLE, KATHLEEN MOGELGAARD, AND DAVID WASKOW

          WRI.ORG | UNDP.ORG                                                                                                                   Additional sectors and themes

     Source: Authors.

     partnership’s Climate Action Enhancement Package                                                                  Programmer, NDC Pipeline Accelerator, NDC
     is designed to deliver targeted, fast-track support                                                               Market Booster, and NDC Finance Mobilizer.
     to NDC Partnership members to enhance the qual-
     ity, increase the ambition, and foster the imple-                                                            ▪▪   The NDC Support Programme under
                                                                                                                       UNDP works with countries to advance the
     mentation of NDCs. Many initiatives, including the                                                                implementation of the Paris Agreement and
     ones mentioned below, support countries with their                                                                strategically use their NDCs as a tool for
     internal resources or with resources designated for                                                               realizing inclusive, zero-carbon, and climate-
     Climate Action Enhancement Package:                                                                               resilient development.

     ▪▪    The Africa NDC Hub, established by
           the African Development Bank, engages
                                                                                                                  ▪▪   The World Bank NDC Support Facility is
                                                                                                                       a multi-donor trust fund created and designed
           national, subnational, nonstate actors, and                                                                 to help developing countries implement climate
           private sector representatives on appropriate                                                               change targets laid out in the NDCs. Grants
           policies, strategies, and actions tailored to                                                               provided by the facility contribute to activities
           suit individual needs of African countries to                                                               that include capacity building, analytics,
           enable them to deliver their climate change                                                                 coordination among development actors, and
           commitments under the Paris Agreement.                                                                      financial leverage for climate action.

     ▪▪    NDC Advance is a platform of the Asian
           Development Bank aimed at helping its
                                                                                                                  ▪▪   World Resources Institute provides
                                                                                                                       knowledge products and technical support to
           developing member countries in Asia and the                                                                 countries focused on NDC enhancement and
           Pacific mobilize funding to meet their goals                                                                related topics, including developing long-
           under the Paris Agreement.                                                                                  term strategies; adaptation planning; capacity

     ▪▪    NDC Invest, created by the Inter-American
           Development Bank and the Inter-American
                                                                                                                       building; and systems for measurement,
                                                                                                                       reporting, and verification.
           Investment Corporation, serves as a one-stop
           shop for countries to access resources for
           transforming their national commitments into
           achievable investments plans, including NDC

18
BOX 3 | Aligning with and Reflecting SDGs and National Development Goals

By addressing intersections between climate       objectives. The assessment process can                Assessment Institutions Network 2017).
action and other national development goals
in enhanced NDCs, countries can strengthen
                                                  also help ensure alignment among the NDC
                                                  and SDGs and other national development           ▪▪ Climate Watch database (WRI n.d.) and
                                                                                                       the NDC-SDG Connections tool (Stockholm
the NDC content itself, as well as broaden buy-   objectives. In many countries, the NDCs and
                                                                                                        Environment Institute n.d.) enable users
in and support for the NDC’s commitments.         their national development and SDG plans are
                                                                                                        to examine the ways in which targets and
There are two principal ways in which these       not adequately linked and sometimes even
                                                                                                        actions in existing NDCs are relevant for
intersections can be addressed:                   have contradictory objectives; for example,
                                                                                                        SDG-related objectives, which can then
                                                  involving strategies for energy sources
1) Assess the development effects of                                                                    be considered in the development of
                                                  (renewables or other sources). Alignment
potential climate actions and include or                                                                enhanced NDCs.
                                                  is critical to achieving a country’s climate-
modify the NDC to maximize benefits
                                                  related and other goals.                          2) Specify targets or actions that reflect
Based on an assessment of the development                                                           development benefits of climate action
                                                  The impact assessments can also be used
impacts of specific climate-oriented targets
                                                  to consider ways in which benefits might be       The NDC can also explicitly specify targets
and measures in the NDC, countries can
                                                  maximized (e.g., to increase energy access        or actions that reflect and aim to maximize
modify the NDC to maximize mutual benefits
                                                  provided as part of a renewable energy            the benefits from climate action or reduce
with other development objectives and
                                                  target or action) and instances in which any      any trade-offs. These targets or actions
address potential trade-offs. Importantly, this
                                                  trade-offs may need to be addressed (e.g.,        can be derived from the assessments
can be relevant for both the mitigation and
                                                  impacts on ecosystems or food security            of climate actions in the NDC or can be
adaptation components of countries’ NDCs.
                                                  due to bioenergy production). In addition,        developed through reference to other
Impact assessments can be quantitative—for        impact assessments can be helpful in              national development plans and strategies.
example, quantitative assessments and             identifying indicators that a government may      For example, NDCs could include targets or
modeling have been used often to assess           use to measure and assess outcomes from           policies for
the employment or health effects of climate
policies—or qualitative, to determine the
                                                  implementation of the NDC. Assessing impacts
                                                  and identifying a comprehensive set of impact     ▪▪ increased energy access, particularly
                                                                                                       through distributed renewable energy, and
potential linkages between climate policies       indicators can also provide information and
and other development objectives and the                                                                energy security;

                                                                                                    ▪▪ increased
                                                  signals for public and private investment and
estimated magnitude of any relevant effects.      help steer capital, including low-cost finance,                 access to affordable,
In assessing the effect of climate actions        to flow to implementation of NDCs.                   sustainable transportation and mobility;
that might be included in an NDC, it will be      Impact assessments and policy decision-           ▪▪ improved air quality and health outcomes;
necessary to do the following:                    making for the NDC can draw on the following
                                                                                                    ▪▪ reduced
▪▪ Clearly
                                                                                                                damages from climate-related
           identify the target or policy to be    resources that provide guidance for such             disasters through adaptation measures,
   assessed. In some cases, it may be difficult   assessments:                                          such as better land-use planning or
    to undertake quantitative analysis of the
                                                  ▪▪ Initiative for Climate Action Transparency’s       integrated coastal zone management;
    impact of broad sectoral targets (such as
    renewables’ share of overall energy), so
                                                     Sustainable Development Guidance
                                                      provides guidance for assessing the
                                                                                                    ▪▪ sustainable  food and agriculture systems,
                                                                                                       particularly through measures that
    it may be necessary to define policies to         environmental, social, and economic               increase food security;

                                                                                                    ▪▪ climate-appropriate
    achieve the target.                               impacts of climate-related policies and
▪▪ Clearly identify the impact(s) to be               actions, including both qualitative and
                                                      quantitative assessments (Initiative for
                                                                                                                            green jobs and/or just
                                                                                                       transition programs and investments;

                                                                                                    ▪▪ health-related
   assessed.* Impacts can be derived from
    the SDG targets or from other development         Climate Action Transparency 2018).                              objectives, such as
    objectives, including those reflected in a
    country’s national or sectoral development
                                                  ▪▪ UNDP  Climate Action Impact Tool
                                                     provides a framework for considering the
                                                                                                       reductions in local air pollutants linked to
                                                                                                        GHG reductions or reductions of climate-
    plans. These could include effects such           development impacts, including for the            sensitive diseases such as water-borne
    as those involving health, employment,            SDGs, of climate actions at the program           illnesses; and
    food security, energy access, access to           and project level (UNDP n.d.).                ▪▪ gender-related objectives, such as to
    sustainable transport, poverty level and
    inequality, and gender-related objectives.    ▪▪ SDG Climate Action Nexus tool provides
                                                     mapping for the effects of various climate
                                                                                                       ensure women’s access to clean energy
                                                                                                        and securing their rights and tenure to
Although impact assessments require                   actions on achieving the SDGs (New                land, water, forests, and housing and
capacity and resources, they can be helpful           Climate Institute n.d.).                          their access to resilience measures, and

                                                  ▪▪ International
to identify and clarify priority actions of an                                                          to promote women’s participation and
                                                                   Labour Organization training         leadership in decision-making processes.
NDC and to enable effective communication
                                                     guide on measuring and modeling social
among various relevant ministries and                                                               Note: * The ICAT Sustainable Development Guidance
                                                      and employment outcomes of climate
agencies about how climate action in the                                                            provides options for identifying impacts to be
                                                      and sustainable development (Green Jobs
NDC relates to other national development                                                           assessed.

                                                                         Enhancing NDCs: A Guide to Strengthening National Climate Plans by 2020        19
ESTABLISHING A
PROCESS FOR NDC
ENHANCEMENT  3

A process for NDC enhancement may take into account how to
secure high-level buy-in, establish institutional arrangements,
engage stakeholders, define objectives for enhancement, and
design a work plan. The NDC enhancement process should
be inclusive, clear, and coherent with other national planning
processes.

                                 Enhancing NDCs: A Guide to Strengthening National Climate Plans by 2020   21
Rationale                                                             ments that can be harnessed for this purpose,
                                                                           including those that were used to develop the
     The process for NDC enhancement will drive the
                                                                           intended INDC. However, given that many of the
     content of the NDC and will ultimately underpin its
                                                                           INDCs were designed quickly in the lead-up to the
     successful implementation. NDC enhancement will
                                                                           Paris Agreement, NDC enhancement can also be an
     benefit from buy-in at the highest levels of govern-
                                                                           opportunity to revisit and improve the NDC design
     ment and from clear and coordinated institutional
                                                                           process.
     arrangements. A robust stakeholder engagement
     process can also greatly strengthen support for the                   The NDC enhancement process as a forward-look-
     enhanced NDC. Likewise, explicitly articulating the                   ing exercise and the NDC enhancement milestone
     domestic objectives of NDC enhancement can focus                      for 2020 are only the starting points of the Paris
     attention on key interventions. Finally, a work plan                  Agreement’s ambition mechanism. The design of
     with clear roles and responsibilities will drive the                  processes to enhance the NDC, including institu-
     process forward (Figure 3).                                           tional arrangements and stakeholder engagement,
                                                                           would benefit from having this long-term view
     It may not be necessary to establish new processes
                                                                           included, so that long-term capacity is built, and
     and institutional arrangements for NDC enhance-
                                                                           governments do not have to start from scratch only
     ment; some countries may have existing arrange-
                                                                           a few years later for the next NDC cycle.

     Figure 3 | Steps to Establish a Process for NDC Enhancement

                   1                       2                       3                             4                          5
                               ESTABLISH               PLAN FOR
      SECURE HIGH-LEVEL                                                              DEFINE DOMESTIC            DESIGN A
                               INSTITUTIONAL           STAKEHOLDER
      BUY-IN                                                                         OBJECTIVES                 WORK PLAN
                               ARRANGEMENTS            ENGAGEMENT
      ▪▪ Prime minister’s or   ▪▪ Lead institution     ▪▪ Civil society              ▪▪ Driving action          ▪▪ Roles and
         president’s office                                                                                        responsibilities
                               ▪▪ Intra-governmental   ▪▪ Academia                   ▪▪ Directing finance
      ▪▪ Key ministries           coordination         ▪▪ Private sector                                        ▪▪ Timeline and
                                                                                     ▪▪ Generating political
                                                                                                                   milestones
                               ▪▪ Alignment with       ▪▪ Subnational actors            support
                                  development                                                                   ▪▪ Monitoring
                                                       ▪▪ Trade unions               ▪▪ Mainstreaming
                                  objectives                                                                       mechanisms
                                                                                        climate change
                                                       ▪▪ Vulnerable
                                                          populations                ▪▪ Reflecting mitigation
                                                                                        and adaptation in key
                                                                                        sectors

     Source: Authors.

22
1) Secure High-Level Buy-In                               Identify a lead institution
Despite their technical nature, NDCs are inherently       If political support for NDC enhancement has
political. They commit the countries to climate           been secured from the prime minister’s office,
action, steer economic and social change, and serve       president’s office, or other high-level institution,
as an official communication to the UN Climate            it can be helpful to situate the lead of the NDC
Change Secretariat. Support from the prime minis-         enhancement process within that office to maintain
ter’s or president’s office to initiate the process can   buy in. Alternatively, the institution that has been
help those tasked with NDC enhancement to gain            initially charged with INDC design and/or NDC
cooperation from stakeholders within and outside          implementation may be most appropriate to lead
of government. Buy-in from powerful ministries,           NDC enhancement in an effort to sustain technical
such as those in charge of planning or finance,           expertise and ensure that the NDC builds on the
should be viewed as fundamental.                          existing processes and available information, such
                                                          as the bi-annual update reports, the National Com-
Unless such ministries are already supportive of          munications (NCs) and NAPs. If such an institution
enhancing the NDC, it will likely be necessary            sits within the environment ministry, ensuring that
to explore the benefits and importance of NDC             the lead institution has joint responsibility with
enhancement to the country. Some countries might          finance and/or planning ministries can strengthen
find that it is easier to engage and sustain leader-      alignment with national budget frameworks,
ship if the NDC enhancement process is approached         investments, and development agendas (Levin et
in the context of development and poverty eradi-          al. 2015). Ideally, if time allows, legal mandates
cation, linking climate change to other domestic          can be established for roles and responsibilities of
priorities such as improving access to energy. In         both the lead institution as well as others provid-
the context of NDC implementation, some coun-             ing inputs. Engagement with parliament will be
tries have found that having the opportunity to           critical for some countries for establishing such
announce their intentions internationally can help        mandates. Some countries may have mechanisms
catalyze the process and attract high-level political     to secure such roles and responsibilities on a more
attention, building political profile and showcas-        rapid timeline, such as through a memorandum of
ing leadership (NDC Partnership forthcoming).             understanding.
Some countries have also found that peer-to-peer
exchanges can help pique the interest of the minis-       Provide for intra-governmental coordination
try of finance. For example, in an exchange between
                                                          Given the cross-cutting nature of the NDC, it is
Honduras and the Dominican Republic, organized
                                                          critically important for the lead institution or
by the NDC Partnership Support Unit, Honduras
                                                          another body to manage cooperation in the interest
gained greater appreciation of the financial oppor-
                                                          of a whole-of-government approach (Sands et al.
tunities related to NDC implementation from the
                                                          2012). Coordination across government institutions
Ministry of Economy, Planning, and Development
                                                          as well as relevant planning processes can increase
of the Dominican Republic (NDC Partnership
                                                          efficiency, the quality of inputs, and eventual imple-
forthcoming). While this example is with regard to
                                                          mentation. If a suitable coordination body (e.g., a
NDC implementation, lessons may be applicable
                                                          climate change committee) does not already exist,
to engagement of various ministries during NDC
                                                          the lead institution or another new body can be
enhancement processes.
                                                          made responsible. Ideally, the coordination process
2) Establish Institutional Arrangements                   will account for

The INDC design process illustrated the important
role that a lead institution plays in managing the
                                                          ▪▪   all relevant ministries, including ministries not
                                                               traditionally associated with the formulation
design process, as well as coordinating with affected          of climate change policy, such as gender, social
sectors, local governments, technical experts, civil           development, and health;
society, and the private sector. The same is true for
NDC enhancement.                                          ▪▪   the roles of parliament and the judiciary, as
                                                               applicable;

                                                          Enhancing NDCs: A Guide to Strengthening National Climate Plans by 2020   23
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