CAPITALIZING ON HEALTH & WELLNESS TRENDS - AN OPPORTUNITY FOR FMCG COMPANIES TO PARTNER WITH CONSUMERS - Nielsen
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C A P I TA L I Z I N G O N H E A LT H & WELLNESS TRENDS AN OPPORTUNIT Y FOR FMCG COMPANIES TO PARTNER WITH CONSUMERS Copyright © 2017 The Nielsen Company 1
WELCOME ANDREW MANDZY The retail environment is especially challenging these days. Growth Director of Strategic is stagnant and consumers have more choices than ever. Retailers Insights, Health & and manufacturers are seeking pockets of growth in a tough business Wellness Growth & environment. To do that, they need to differentiate themselves and Strategy provide bottom-line value. One way many are doing this is by tapping into health and wellness, an area that has seen considerable growth and attention recently. Sure, being healthy isn’t a new concept, but several macro factors have changed how American consumers think about health: • The aging population • Increases in chronic diseases • Rising health care costs • Consumer demand for transparency • Technology as an enabler of our health and wellness So when we think about “what’s next,” it’s critical to know what’s happening today and how this will affect clients and consumers tomorrow. That means being able to answer the most pressing and critical health and wellness business questions that our clients face. In order to answer these important questions, you need the right data, and you need the right insights. Nielsen’s data in health and wellness is comprehensive and backed by science. As for the insights, well, you’ll have to read this report to see for yourself. Be well. ANDREW 2 HEALTH AND WELLNESS 2020 REPORT
Sales growth for manufacturers and retailers has been sluggish over the past few years. And when we look at prospects for 2017, we’re forecasting that sales will grow just 0.9%. So what does this mean heading into a new year and beyond? It means that companies need to find ways to differentiate themselves and find growth. And for many brands, health and wellness is just what the doctor ordered. Being healthy isn’t a new trend. After all, no one wants to be unhealthy. How consumers approach their health, however, is distinctly different from how they did in the not-too-distant past. In fact, it wasn’t too long ago that taking care of your health simply meant keeping your regularly scheduled doctor’s visits, minding your diet and getting some exercise. While these basic principles still serve as a loose overarching framework for general health and wellness, they fall well short of what the average American strives for today. Given the more comprehensive health and wellness aspirations of today, most consumers are more interested in staying out of the doctor’s office than they are about scheduling their next physical. That’s because they have all the tools they need to monitor, maintain and improve their health on their own. The explosion of information and easy access to it puts knowledge within a finger’s reach, the internet of things lets us track our health with every step we take (or don’t take), and label transparency provides clear insight into what’s in— and not in—the foods and supplements we eat. With the abundance of resources available to them, consumers are using nutrition, information and fitness to meet their health goals in personal, meaningful ways that annual check-ups never could. So what sparked this shift? We believe several factors have pushed health and wellness to the forefront in recent years, ranging from the information boom to a rise in self-care to combat escalating health care costs. With a sharper focus on health, Americans are also living longer. This is good news overall, but a Baby Boomer has a different set of health needs than a Millennial. Consumer health risks are also evolving. In fact, the World Health Organization projects that chronic diseases will cause 73% of deaths by 2020, up from just 60% in 2001. By keeping abreast of the strategies consumers are using to stay fit and healthy—across all demographics—manufacturers and retailers can do much more than simply help them meet their goals. They can become partners with them at every step of their journey. Copyright © 2017 The Nielsen Company 3
TOTAL STORE GROWTH 2.20% 1.60% 1.40% 0.90% 0.48% 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 (Projected) Source: Nielsen Scantrack CONSUMERS ARE DEMANDING TRANSPARENCY Generally speaking, food is often the first lever consumers pull when they think about getting healthier. Today, food plays a growing role in health and wellness. Not only are consumers looking for healthy meals, they’re also using food to manage ailments and to prevent health problems in the future. At mealtimes, many consumers have adopted a back-to-basics mind set, opting for products that are simple, fresh and contain fewer (or no) preservatives or unnatural elements. In a recent Nielsen Strategic Health Perspectives survey, 63% of Americans said they’re trying to eat healthier, with 49% saying they consciously eat more fruits and vegetables. Organic plays a big role in consumption today, and the companies and retailers offering organic products are reaping the benefits. Growth is also healthy among products that have transparency claims like “natural,” “GMO free,” “no artificial ingredients,” and sales have outpaced the average for the rest of the store as a result. 4 HEALTH AND WELLNESS 2020 REPORT
TOP ORGANIC FRESH CATEGORIES (RANKED BY DOLLAR SALES) TOMATOES PACKAGED SALAD $161.7M $886.6M 17% 6% LETTUCE BERRIES $164.9M $479.5M 9% 25% BANANAS CHICKEN DOLLAR SALES ($ mil.) $190.9M $295.5M YEAR-OVER-YEAR CHANGE (%) 26% 15% BEVERAGES APPLES $244.4M $293.2M 14% 6% CARROTS HERBS, SPICES AND SEASONINGS $247.5M $259.5M 4% 13% Source: Nielsen FreshFacts total U.S., 52 weeks ended Dec. 31, 2016 Copyright © 2017 The Nielsen Company 5
While the table above highlights the top-selling organic categories across the store, several categories with fewer dollar sales are experiencing even bigger growth percentages. For example, organic cookies garnered 1,075.3% growth on $852,000 in sales in the year ended Oct. 29, 2016, evidence that consumers love a good treat as much they like their greens. Organic avocados, which racked up $65 million in sales last year, posted annual sales growth of nearly 40%, while deli salads ($6.9 million) and deli snacks ($8.7 million) racked up sales growth of 129% and 103%, respectively. It’s also worth noting that even though many consumers associate the word organic with fresh foods, it’s a term that isn’t bound to the perimeter of the store. An array of foods and products can be certified organic, and consumers aren’t limiting their organic purchasing to fresh foods. In fact, U.S. volume sales of products with an organic claim grew by 13.7% in the 52 weeks ended Nov. 26, 2016. 6 HEALTH AND WELLNESS 2020 REPORT
USING THE TOTAL STORE TO MANAGE AILMENTS In addition to eating cleaner, consumers are eating smarter. And that means they’re growing increasingly mindful of what’s in—and what’s not in—the foods they eat. They’re doing this for an array of reasons, such as to avoid artificial ingredients, stave off illness, strengthen their immune systems, bolster the body as it ages and combat ailments. In many ways, consumers are taking their everyday health care needs into their own hands, and foods, personal care products, over-the- counter (OTC) remedies and supplements play a big part of that, especially in a country with a growing population of older consumers. According to the Population Division of the U.S. Census Bureau, more than 47 million Americans were 65 or older in 2015, representing about 15% of the U.S. population. By 2060, however, the U.S. Census Bureau projects that number will grow to 98 million, which will represent almost one-quarter of the country’s population. As the country’s older generations (Baby Boomers and the Greatest Generation) look to stay healthy, manufacturers and retailers will need to identify key health care categories that meet their needs and focus on the ingredients they’re looking for. NUTRITIONAL DIURETIC THROAT DIET AIDS REMEDIES LOZENGES PAIN SLEEPING REMEDIES AIDS FIVE OF THE TOP CATEGORIES FOR BABY BOOMERS Source: Nielsen Homescan panel, 52 week ended Dec. 3, 2016 Copyright © 2017 The Nielsen Company 7
But it’s not just older consumers who are looking for functional foods, greater transparency in product labels and foods with health benefits. Across the U.S., a Nielsen Homescan shopper panel in mid-2016 found that 39% of Americans suffer from an ailment, many of whom manage their ailments with diet. Forty-seven million households have a consumer who manages their ailments with diet, and these households spend more than $268 billion at food and retail stores each year. ALMOST 4 IN 10 HOUSEHOLDS IN THE U.S. HAS AN AILMENT SUFFERER % OF HOUSEHOLDS WITH AN AILMENT SUFFERER (BY CONDITION) 43% 34% 33% 33% 28% 25% 23% 20% ALLERGIES ACID HIGH IMPERFECT OBESITY CHOLESTEROL JOINT DEPRESSION REFLUX/ BLOOD VISION PAIRS HEARTBURN PRESSURE Source: Nielsen Homescan Shopper Ailment Panel and TSV Panel, 52 weeks ended June 11, 2016 AILMENT SHOPPERS RETAIL SPENDING GLUTEN LACTOSE RANK DIABETIC OVERWEIGHT NEGATIVE INTOLERANT NO. OF HOUSEHOLDS 24.8M 3.9M 10.3M 34.2M RETAIL SPEND $154.1B $26.1B $63.5B $208.6B FOOD SPEND $92.2B $16.7B $38.9B $127.0B Source: Nielsen 8 HEALTH AND WELLNESS 2020 REPORT
The more manufacturers and retailers know about distinct health topics, the better equipped they’ll be to help consumers meet all of their wellness goals. For example, Nielsen research has found that the average consumer with diabetes takes 5.4 prescription medications for this ailment. They also buy an assortment of specific health care items disproportionately from the general public, such as digestive aids and blood testing products. Sixty-five percent of these consumers also use diet to help manage their conditions, and many do so by buying items with reduced salt, sugar and fat. With a complete understanding of consumers with specific needs, it becomes that much easier for companies to become true partners with them. This is particularly relevant for meeting the needs of ailment shoppers, largely because they outspend the general population when it comes to other health care products. So if manufacturers and retailers do their part in connecting the front-end assortment to overall health and wellness, shoppers will get exactly what they need without ever having to stray elsewhere to find what they’re looking for. AILMENT SHOPPERS AND OTC RETAIL SPEND 150 120 124 123 120 119 90 100 INDEX 60 30 0 AVERAGE ALLERGY ACID CHOLESTEROL INSOMNIA REFLUX Read as: Households with allergy sufferers spend 19% more on OTC remedies than the average household. OTC—Over-the-counter. *OTC spend per household among sufferer group divided by total OTC spend per household x100. Source: Nielsen Health Survey 52 weeks ended June 2015. But ailment shoppers aren’t the only ones looking to use specific foods to stay healthy. On a larger scale, many Americans are looking to specific foods to bolster, strengthen and improve their overall health and wellness. For example, digestive health has become a sizable trend in the U.S.—one that many consumers are addressing with probiotics—a type of good bacteria that may help with digestion and offer protection from harmful bacteria. In fact, Nielsen’s Homescan shopper panel recently found that 19.2% of U.S. households say that probiotics are important to them. And from a sales perspective, it’s clear that products with probiotics are winning at the register. Copyright © 2017 The Nielsen Company 9
TOP CATEGORIES WITH PROBIOTIC CL AIMS PROBIOTIC CLAIMS SHARE OF CATEGORY % SALES GROWTH SALES (%) VITAMINS AND SUPPLEMENTS +26% +12% YOGURT +3% +22% REFRIGERATED TEAS +80% +5% Source: Nielsen Scantrack 52 weeks ended Aug. 27, 2016 For manufacturers and retailers looking for growth opportunity via products with probiotics, it’s important to have a comprehensive view of the landscape. Consumers are clearly using vitamins and supplements as a way to ensure that they are the getting the probiotics they need. The probiotic space is also expanding quickly, as the market share of supplements with probiotic claims has grown to 12%, up 26% in dollar sales from a year ago. As consumers look across the store to meet their health and wellness needs, food can help supply the right nutrients and digestive properties. Yogurt, for example, is a category with a high concentration of probiotics, and a category like refrigerated teas has also shown strong growth with products featuring probiotic claims. Fiber is another ingredient that consumers are looking for when thinking about digestive health. In fact, 57% of consumers in a recent Nielsen survey stated that fiber influences their decision making. Therefore, it’s important for retailers and manufacturers to understand this trend and to be able to communicate the health benefits of fiber with consumers. According to Nielsen Product Insider, the Federal Food and Drug Administration (FDA) has defined 60% of the products in the canned bean category as an excellent source of fiber. Only 28% of those products, however, include a fiber claim on the package. As consumers continue to look for specific ingredients and attributes to aid them in their overall health and wellness, communicating these benefits will become critical to success. 10 HEALTH AND WELLNESS 2020 REPORT
HOW CONSUMERS ARE COPING WITH RISING HEALTH CARE COSTS In addition to being proactive about their health, U.S. consumers are growing increasingly aware of the rising costs associated with traditional health care. According to the World Bank, U.S. health care costs will amount to 20% of GDP by 2025 (up from 17.5% in 2014), the highest in the world among industrialized countries. While Americans’ drive to be independent, prevent disease/illness and stay healthy has caused a spike in self-care, a recent Strategic Health Perspectives survey found that health care costs remain the top concern for consumers. While 19% of consumers said they’d like to see improved quality of health care, 43% said reducing out-of-pocket expenses is most important. AMERICANS ARE FEELING THE PINCH OF RISING HEALTH CARE COSTS % OF CONSUMERS WHO SAID THAT THEIR OUT-OF-POCKETS COSTS INCREASED FROM THE PREVIOUS YEAR 53% 50% 41% 39% 34% 30% 2014 2015 2016 DOCTOR VISITS RX Source: Strategic Health Perspectives Copyright © 2017 The Nielsen Company 11
As a result of rising health care costs, consumers are making adjustments in several ways: making trade-offs: taking less medicine; taking an OTC medication first; asking for cheaper alternatives; and side-stepping visits to the doctor altogether. THE HEALTH CARE TRADE-OFFS CONSUMERS ARE MAKING 27% 21% 20% ASKED DOCTOR/ TOOK A TOOK AN OTC PHARMACIST PRESCRIPTION MEDICATION ABOUT A LESS LESS OFTEN BEFORE STARTING EXPENSIVE THAN A RECOMMENDED ALTERNATIVE RECOMMENDED MEDICATION PRESCRIPTION OTC—Over-the-counter Source: Strategic Health Perspectives Given the current environment, retail has a huge opportunity to affect consumer lives like never before by supporting the medical needs that influence purchasing. Retailers across all channels have already seized the opportunity by using health and wellness as a growth strategy. Initiatives include everything from prioritizing health foods in the center of the store to emphasizing fresh foods around the perimeter to training associates and hiring dieticians to be more knowledgeable about healthy products. At a more involved level, many have opened health clinics, a trend that has ramped up significantly over the past two years. Global consulting firm Accenture projects there will be more than 2,800 in-store retail clinics in the U.S. by the end of this year, up 47% from 2014, when there were just over 1,900. Given the ease of access and convenience of these clinics, consumer acceptance and use of them is growing. A Nielsen “Retail Health Care Services as Total Growth Opportunity” survey in the fall of 2016 found that one in five Americans visited a retail health clinic in the past year. Certain demographics are visiting more than the overall average, however, including Hispanics, Millennials and households with children. 12 HEALTH AND WELLNESS 2020 REPORT
RETAILERS ARE BECOMING HEALTH CARE PROVIDERS 35% 29% 26% 19% U.S. AVERAGE HOUSEHOLDS HISPANICS MILLENNIALS WITH CHILDREN Source: ‘Retail Health Care Services as Total Store Growth Opportunity’ survey In addition to offering consumers an alternative to heading to the traditional doctor’s office, retailers that understand the influence that trips to retail clinics have on additional in-store purchases will be best positioned to capitalize on additional spend potential. More importantly, retailers also have an opportunity to increase customer spend and loyalty by leveraging retail clinic interactions to influence what consumers purchase across the rest of the store during their visit. Nielsen’s Retail Health Care Services as Total Growth Opportunity survey found that 53% of the adults who visited a health care were influenced to buy a retail product as a result of their visit. Thirty- six percent were influenced to buy an OTC medication, 27% were influenced to buy a personal care item, 24% were influenced to buy food and 18% were influenced to buy household cleaners. Copyright © 2017 The Nielsen Company 13
BECOMING HEALTH AND WELLNESS PARTNERS WITH CONSUMERS There’s no denying the rising importance of health and wellness among consumers. This presents significant opportunity for manufacturers and retailers to help them make better decisions about how and where they spend their dollars. Food remains a primary driver in health and wellness, but more than 70% of survey respondents agree that “eating right” is a challenge. The upside for manufacturers and retailers, however, is that 70% agree that they can manage their health and wellness through proper nutrition, and that means they’re actively looking for an array of fresh items, clear ingredient listings and transparency about nutrition facts/benefits. Consumers also want simplicity and transparency, and sales of products with health and wellness claims are rising as a result. For example, products labeled “gluten free” experienced a combined average growth rate (CAGR) of more than 11% over the year-year period ending Oct. 29, 2016, while products labeled “organic” saw CAGR of almost 15%. Products labeled “natural” and “GMO free” also experienced double- digit CAGRs. Above all, there is no one-size-fits-all approach to health and wellness. There are myriad circumstances motivating consumers, making health and wellness a personal quest that varies from individual to individual. Manufacturers and retailers have a true opportunity to partner with consumers as health and wellness is of growing importance in their lives, but generalized and ambiguous solutions won’t be helpful in traversing a path to success. 14 HEALTH AND WELLNESS 2020 REPORT
ABOUT NIELSEN Nielsen Holdings plc (NYSE: NLSN) is a global performance management company that provides a comprehensive understanding of what consumers watch and buy. Nielsen’s Watch segment provides media and advertising clients with Total Audience measurement services for all devices on which content — video, audio and text — is consumed. The Buy segment offers consumer packaged goods manufacturers and retailers the industry’s only global view of retail performance measurement. By integrating information from its Watch and Buy segments and other data sources, Nielsen also provides its clients with analytics that help improve performance. Nielsen, an S&P 500 company, has operations in over 100 countries, covering more than 90% of the world’s population. For more information, visit www.nielsen.com. Copyright © 2017 The Nielsen Company. All rights reserved. Nielsen and the Nielsen logo are trademarks or registered trademarks of CZT/ACN Trademarks, L.L.C. Other product and service names are trademarks or registered trademarks of their respective companies. 17/10796 Copyright © 2017 The Nielsen Company 15
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