Capital Markets Day Hamburg, 21 November 2018 - Hapag-Lloyd
←
→
Page content transcription
If your browser does not render page correctly, please read the page content below
Hapag-Lloyd – 171 years young… Founding Merger Takeover of Hapag in of Hapag and NDL to by Albert Ballin Hamburg Hapag-Lloyd Consortium 1847 1970 2009 1857 2005 Profit slump in the course of the Founding Merger global economic crisis of Norddeutscher with CP Ships Lloyd (NDL) 3
… and we continue to further build the company and help shape the future of the Industry… CSAV Merger Successful cash Hapag-Lloyd kicked off BCA the latest wave of with UASC capital increase signed of USD 413m sector consolidation CSAV Synergies Closing of the exceeded expectations UASC Merger 2014 Today Successful IPO Compete-to-Win Successful bond First time in challenging stock successfully changed the refinancing of dividend market environment way how we sell EUR 450m at 6.75% Successful bond since the IPO refinancing of EUR 450m at 5.125% 4
…as illustrated by some key figures when looking back only a few years People Volume 12,660 11,700 TTEU 7,000 5,900 TTEU 2014 9M 2018 2014 LTM 9M 2018 Ø Vessel Size & Age Revenue 7,190 TEU USD 13,200 m 5,300 TEU USD 9,050 m 8.7 years 7.5 years 2014 9M 2018 2014 LTM 9M 2018 5 Note: Rounded figures, 2014 figures before CSAV integration in December 2014
The past years, the industry has gone through a needed and unprecedented wave of consolidation… Industry consolidation Global capacity share [%] Carrier capacity [TEU m] 2.5 2.3 Ranking end of 2013 Top 5 1.5 Top 6-10 Remaining 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.6 44% 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 64% Maersk MSC CMA Ever- COSCOHapag- Hanjin APL CSCL MOL NYK HSüd OOCL Yang PIL K-Line ZIM Hyundai UASC CSAV CGM green Lloyd Ming 17% 3.9 Ranking as of 2018 3.2 2.8 2.6 19% 39% 1.6 1.6 1.2 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.4 17% Maersk / MSC COSCO CMA CGM Hapag-Lloyd ONE Evergreen Yang Ming PIL Hyundai ZIM Hsüd / CSCL / / APL / UASC 2013 2018 OOCL 6 Source: MDS Transmodal (October 2013, Oct 2018), Alphaliner monthly (September 2018)
…and we leveraged our ability to integrate efficiently, which allowed us to create significant value and achieve sustainable scale Timeline of major integration activities Synergies gained (in USDm) Initially estimated synergies 180 12 months CP Ships 218 integration 2005 Closing Integration completed 300 8 months integration CSAV 400 2014 Closing Integration completed 4 months integration UASC 435 2017 Closing Integration completed 7
In that process we have also renewed a major part of our fleet… Vessels & Total Capacity [#, TEUm] 1.6 TEUm 1.0 TEUm 0.8 TEUm 222 144 172 Pre-CSAV Pre-UASC Today 31 newbuilds were delivered from 2015 to 2017 while 26 vessels have been recycled since 2015 6 x 19,870 TEU 11 x 15,000 TEU 5 x 10,500 TEU 7 x 9,300 TEU 26 smaller and inefficient vessels have been 2 x 3,500 TEU environmentally friendly recycled since 2015. Total newbuild capacity of ~400 TTEU Total recycled capacity of ~100 TTEU 8 Note: Rounded figures
…resulting in one of the youngest and most fuel efficient fleets in the industry… Average fleet age [years]1) Average vessel size [TEU] Fleet ownership [%] 9.5 current chartered fleet Current own fleet3) 8.8 7,190 8.3 8.0 7.7 6,327 6,316 7.5 5,905 5,585 34% 35% 5,369 41% 51% 55% 66% 66% 65% 59% 49% 45% 34% COSCO2) MSC MSC COSCO2) COSCO2) CMA CGM MSC Hapag-Lloyd Hapag-Lloyd Hapag-Lloyd Top 10 Top 10 Top 10 CMA CGM Maersk Maersk CMA CGM Maersk 9 Source: MDS Transmodal (October 2018), Drewry (3Q 2018) 1) Weighted by carrier capacities 2) COSCO incl. OOCL 3) Includes finance leased vessels
…we have a well balanced network… Transport volume by trade 9M 2018 16% 16% 18% 22% 9% 13% 9% 9M 2014 5% 9M 2018 TTEU 23% TTEU 2,072 1,601 1,382 1,459 959 1,033 1,115 921 945 783 489 488 EMAO Transpacific Australasia Latin America Far East Far East Middle East Atlantic Atlantic Transpacific Intra Asia Latin America 10
…a relevant global market share and a solid presence in all major trades… Hapag-Lloyd’s Global Market Share on selected trades by transport volume [%] Atlantic Far East Transpacific Middle East 10% 7% 22% 18% 146,235 Latin America 11,674 Intra-Asia 116,344 >9% 14% Market share Other Trades [excl. Intra-Asia] 10,632 Global Container Volume Hapag-Lloyd Transport Volume 2018e LTM 9M 2018 11 Source: IHS Global Insight (October 2018), Internal data
…and are a core member of THE Alliance Alliance members THE Alliance 2M Ocean Alliance Capacity consolidation on key trades has improved substantially due to alliances Atlantic Transpacific Far East Others 2M Others 2M Others 2M 9% 41% 12% 20% 0% 40% 34% 16% 27% 42% 24% 36% THE Alliance Ocean THE Alliance Ocean THE Alliance Ocean 12 Source: Alphaliner Monthly Monitor (October 2018) Note: Rounding differences may occur.
Despite increasing geopolitical risks, container shipping volume growth expectation remains on a healthy level… Global Container Volume Growth & Real GDP Growth [%] 2000 = Indexed to 100 GDP multiplier 1.9x 1.0x 1.3x 300 250 Container Volume 200 Growth 150 Real GDP 100 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018e 2019e 2020e 13 Source: IHS (October 2018), IMF WEO (October 2018) 1) Average for the period.
…which, combined with the historically low orderbook, will lead to a further improving supply/demand balance in the years to come Orderbook-to-fleet Newly placed orders [TEU m, %] [TEU m, %] YTD 2018 3.2 Orderbook 61% Vessels > 14,000 TEU 2.0 2.2 Share of World Fleet 1.8 6.5 50% 1.2 1.1 1.0 6.0 0.8 38% 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.2 5.0 27% 28% 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 21% 21% 19% 4.3 18% 16% 13% Drewry’s supply 3.9 3.6 3.8 11% Supply / Demand Balance estimate for 2020e 3.4 3.3 is highly unlikely 3.2 15 13.7% 2.8 2.4 9.7% 10 8.0% 8.0% 6.8% 6.1% 6.3% 5.7% 5.5% 5.5% 4.9% 5.3% 5 7.8% 3.1% 4.0% 3.8% 4.0% 3.5% 5.1% 0 3.1% 2.2% 2.0 1.7 1.2% 1.2% 1.4 1.7 1.4 -5 1.0 0.4 0.5 0.5 -9.2% 0.3 0.2 -10 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 October 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018e 2019e 2020e 2018 Demand Supply 14 Source: MDS Transmodal (October 2018), Drewry (3Q), Alphaliner Weekly (Issue 41)
Financial Development CFO Nicolás Burr
Opening Remarks 01 Scale Substantial volume and revenue growth 02 Cost Continuous reduction of unit costs 03 Profitability Consistently above industry average 04 Balance Sheet Strengthening through capital market measures 16
On the back of two mergers, Hapag-Lloyd was able to significantly increase transport volume and revenues Volume and Revenue Development Q1 2014 – Q3 2018 Capacity 1,009 966 963 1,573 1,596 year end [TTEU] 3,542 3,352 3,268 3,217 Transport Volume [TTEU] 3,119 3,052 Revenue [USDm] 2,987 2,861 2,807 2,774 +66.3% 2,620 2,629 2,593 2,411 2,376 2,276 2,271 2,287 2,229 2,225 2,152 2,182 2,124 2,088 +118.2% 1,945 1,934 2,130 1,861 1,822 1,774 1,811 1,947 1,950 1,892 1,560 1,474 1,473 1,399 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 1Q17 2Q17 3Q17 4Q17 1Q18 2Q18 3Q18 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 17
We continuously reduced transport expenses … Unit cost development Q1 2014 – Q3 2018 Hapag-Lloyd HL + CSAV as of HL + UASC as of standalone 2nd December 2014 24th May 2017 Synergies CSAV Synergies UASC 1,363 1,089 1,057 925 921 926 Unit cost [USD] 929 Unit cost ex bunker [USD] -7.3% 825 785 765 2014 2015 2016 2017 9M 2018 18
…and realised substantial improvements in every single cost category Total cost per TEU development 2014 – 2018 2014 -2018 Transport- volume TTEU 5,907 7,401 7,599 9,803 8,900 [USD] 1,562 -47% 306 1,232 160 1,067 1,074 1,059 -28% 100 136 161 1,057 929 -30% 825 785 765 91 78 73 72 64 -36% 108 70 70 74 69 2014 2015 2016 2017 9M 2018 Raw Materials and Supplies Cost of purchased services Personnel Depreciation 19
While bunker prices increased since 2016, freight rates have remained stable Freight Rate vs. Bunker Price Q1 2014 – Q3 2018 Freight Rate [USD] Bunker Price [USD/mt] 1,422 1,426 1,448 1,412 1,331 -1.1% 1,264 1,189 1,116 1,067 1,072 1,019 1,027 1,033 1,056 1,065 1,030 1,029 1,055 1,010 +150.4% 592 585 525 446 595 362 372 399 312 306 313 312 308 338 245 224 257 178 182 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 1Q17 2Q17 3Q17 4Q17 1Q18 2Q18 3Q18 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 20 Note: For the financial year 2018, revenues for additional services in Latin America and Turkey were included in the calculation of freight rates. The previous year´s figures have not been adjusted
Results improve consistently since Q2 2016 despite a challenging industry environment EBITDA and EBIT Development Q1 2014 – Q3 2018 EBITDA margin 1.4% 9.4% 7.9% 10.6% 9.6% EBIT margin -5.5% 4.1% 1.6% 4.2% 3.6% EBITDA USDm EBIT USDm 457 415 390 319 247 253 270 245 231 219 206 196 202 252 +453 150 152 144 167 136 111 88 103 90 83 92 73 66 34 18 41 5 8 -29 -50 4 -109 -110 +362 -403 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 1Q17 2Q17 3Q17 4Q17 1Q18 2Q18 3Q18 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 21
Hapag-Lloyd’s profitability has been consistently above industry average for the past 4 years EBIT Margin Development Q1 2014 – Q3 2018 Hapag-Lloyd EBIT margin Average industry EBIT margin 7.6% 7.1% 8 6.1% 4.9% 5.1% 5.4% 6 3.9% 3.8% 3.4% 3.5% 4 5.0% 2.1% 2.4% 0.9% 1.4% 1.4% 1.2% 2 0.8% 0.2% 0.4% 0.6% -1.0% 2.7% -0.9% 2.7% 0 1.2% -1.8% -2.4% -2 -3.0% -1.3% -1.2% -4 -5.9% -6 -6 -8.1% -7.7% -5.2% -8.5% -8 -10 -12 -14 -16.7% -16 -18 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 1Q17 2Q17 3Q17 4Q17 1Q18 2Q18 3Q18 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 22 Note: Industry average only includes figures where available and does not claim to be complete
Our efforts to reduce costs become obvious when applying the 2009 freight rate and bunker price to our 2018 cost structure 2009 freight and bunker price impact on 2018 results (indicative) Key takeaways ▪ Results in 2009 show disappointing cost Market 2009 9M 2018 Indicative 20181) management Freight rate (USD/TEU) 1,257 1,032 1,257 ▪ The industry was aware of the need to reduce Bunker price (USD/mt) 331 406 331 costs and has done so ▪ Hapag-Lloyd has put in Results 2009 9M 2018 Indicative 2018 a great effort and significantly reduced EBITDA (USDm) -407 972 ~ 4,000 unit costs ▪ When applying the 2009 EAT (USDm) -958 15 ~ 2,700 freight rate to our 2018 cost base, results would be substantially higher 23 1) Figures based on LTM 9M 2018; simplified application: bunker price 2009 used to calculate raw materials and supplies only; other cost categories LTM 9M 2018 not adjusted
We have also strengthened our equity base while at the same time optimizing our debt capital structure … Capital Market Projects Capital Increases Bond Issuances Issuance of two new bonds with a total value of EUR 900 m Takeover container activities ~ USD 1.5 bn The proceeds were used to proactively refinance outstanding 2014 CSAV Subsequent capital increase USD ~ 0.5 bn bonds due 2017, 2018 & 2019 2015 IPO ~ USD 300 m 9.75% 7.75% 7.50% 6.50%2) 5.125% EUR 450 m EUR 450 m EUR 400 m Contribution in kind ~ USD 1.4 bn EUR 200 m 2017 UASC EUR 200 m EUR 250 m Cash capital increase ~ USD 0.4 bn USD 125 m EUR 200 m EUR 250 m 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 24 1) Annual Result and FX effects 2) Yield to maturity at issuance: 6.50% (weighted average: (6.75% x 250 + 6.186% x 200) / 450 = 6.50%)
…and reduced financing Capital increase II costs as well as improved the maturity structure of financial liabilities Financial Debt Profile as at 30 September 2018 Contractual Repayment Profile as per 30 September 20181), [USDm] 2,801 Liabilities to banks Liabilities from finance lease contracts Bonds Other financial liabilities Lease liabilities to be recognised under IFRS 163) 1,970 USD 0.5-1 bn 1,496 1,162 2) 908 USD 4-5 bn 847 459 722 521 725 605 619 265 521 16 USD 6-8 bn 237 44 16 295 78 78 20 87 17 20 9 50 Q4 2019 2020 2021 2022 ≥ 2023 1) As of January 2018 financial debt profile has been changed to the statement of repayment amounts. Deviation from the total financial debt as shown in the balance sheet as per 30.09.2018 consist of 25 transaction costs and accrued interest 2) ABS programme prolonged until 2020 3) Estimates for operating lease liabilities to be recognized under IFRS 16 as from 1 January 2019 onwards; Based on annual and quarterly reports
Reduced CAPEX and substantial positive operating cash flow generation help to increase FCF and to deleverage the company CAPEX 2014-2018 [USD m] Cash flow 2014-2018 [USD m] Operating Cash Flow Other Containers Vessels Free Cash Flow 159 -38 109 1,048 651 925 1,020 105 872 279 635 521 449 11 433 501 11 461 14 209 65 181 263 542 12 354 301 196 257 55 2014 2015 2016 2017 9M 2018 2014 2015 2016 2017 9M 2018 26
Stable equity base of USD 7.2 bn, solid liquidity reserve of USD 1.2 bn and reduced net debt of USD 6.5 bn Equity base [USDm] Net debt [USDm] Equity ratio 41.3% 45.5% 44.6% 40.9% 41.0% LTM Net debt / Gearing 72.1% 66.1% 71.0% 93.8% 91.1% 27.9x 3.9x 5.7x 5.7x 4.8x EBITDA 7,595 7,272 7,263 7,171 783 737 5,068 5,497 5,342 4,518 4,256 4,415 Cash 1) 865 625 622 6,812 6,535 Net debt 3,653 3,631 3,793 2014 2015 2016 2017 9M 2018 2014 2015 2016 2017 9M 2018 Liquidity reserve [USDm] Invested capital [USDm] & ROIC [%] 1,328 14.134 13.749 1,121 1,164 1,048 9.128 9.136 Unused 545 8.722 256 822 470 credit lines 3,1% 3,2% 423 1,3% 200 4,1% 1) 865 783 Cash 625 622 694 -6,0% 2014 2015 2016 2017 9M 2018 2014 2015 2016 2017 9M 2018 27 1) Includes Restricted Cash booked as other assets
Our continuous efforts have been recognized by the capital markets Share performance since 6 November 2015 Indexed Price 225 200 175 150 125 100 75 50 HLAG Maersk Evergreen OOIL SDAX DAX Global Shipping Bonds trading 110 105 103.4 100.9 100 95 HL EUR 6.75 % 2022 HL EUR 5.125% 2024 28 Source: Bloomberg (19 November 2018)
Wrap-up Key takeaways ▪ Hapag-Lloyd financials show clear positive development Scale ▪ Since 2014, Hapag-Lloyd has substantially grown transport volume and revenue ▪ At the same time, we were able to significantly reduce our unit costs ▪ In a challenging market environment, we were able to steadily increase our operational result Profitability ▪ Hapag-Lloyds profitability has been consistently above industry average ▪ Profitability supported by improved ownership structure and synergies ▪ We have strengthened our capital structure and optimized our maturity profile ▪ At the same time we have reduced our investments to maximize free cash flow Financial policy ▪ Therefore we were able to clearly deleverage over time ▪ And we managed to maintain an adequate liquidity reserve 29
Strategy 2023 CEO Rolf Habben Jansen & CFO Nicolás Burr 30
Going forward, what do we assume? § Technology Market structure External restrictions opportunities ▪ Reasonable growth ▪ Increasing legislative ▪ Carriers build online channels and societal pressure on to target smaller customers ▪ Reasonably rational capacity environmental sustainability addition ▪ Automation opportunities for ▪ No further consolidation ▪ 3 alliances going forward back-end processes within Top 7 carriers ▪ Start-up companies remaining/entering logistics ▪ Opportunities to de-commoditize 31
In our industry marginal returns from further scale have diminished significantly Hapag-Lloyd HL + CSAV as of HL + UASC as of Twice-the-scale standalone 2nd December 2014 24th May 2017 scenario -12% -11% -5% -3% -2% to -4% Unit cost ex bunker 2014 2015 2016 2017 9M 2018 32
Hapag-Lloyd has a number of clear strengths to build on Process quality In-house IT Strong brand Global blueprint data management Quality reputation Strong global Balanced trade shareholder base Pure play carrier portfolio Solid Balance Sheet Global player The best team from with a relevant Young and large 4 lines market share in vessels Truly global culture all major trades Operational execution excellence 33
Our Strategy 2023 has 3 overarching goals Number 1 Be profitable Profitability Deliver unparalleled for quality throughout the cycle quality, be customer-oriented, and create value for customers as well as capture value for Hapag-Lloyd Global Reinforce strongholds player Focus on customer Expand in key growth markets segments willing to Global market share (excluding pay for value Intra Asia) greater than 10% 34
Overview of core elements to achieve the goals of our Strategy 2023 Continuously earn and keep Mid and long-term differentiating strategy the “right to play” Environmental No. 1 quality carrier responsibility Continuous Cost Management Superior land side Best-in-class capabilities Web Channel Sustainable value creation creation Revenue Management Focus on selected attractive markets Opportunistic M&A and segments Digitization & Automation Agile Organization 35
Continuously earn and keep the “right to play” 36
To enable our differentiation strategy, remaining cost competitive is a pre-requisite… From vendor to partner Continuous Cost Management Container Terminal Steering Partnering Improve cargo Increase quality steering Network Collaboration Optimize port-stay Container Procurement Fix unprofitable substitution Partnerships with key Win-wins in tighter services / feeders players along the value partnerships Further build chain global procurement Improve vessel & fleet composition Vendor management Optimize transshipment flows 37
…and we launched a cost management program, structured in 5 modules with a savings run-rate of USD 350-400 million1) by 2021 350 – 4001) Cost savings, USDm Modules: Network Container Collaboration Terminal Procurement Total Steering Partnering 38 1) Compared to a FY 2017 cost base (incl. UASC business for 12 months) Subject to further evaluation and specification in 2019/20
Many of the initiatives are currently already in the implementation phase, with more to come Example: Transshipment Advanced analytics tool developed Optimize share of transshipment and direct cargo Network Optimization of all shipsystems Managing surplus / demand Reduce empty moves Advanced analytics further enhanced Avoid container type imbalances through substitution Container Steering Direct moves between customers to avoid depots Example: Feeder network ONE Enhanced and jointly operated Feeder network Shift volumes from 3rd-party feeder to own services Collaboration Review and expand collaboration opportunities Partnering approach Timely exchange of information Reduced waiting time Improved productivity Terminal Partnering Early departure 39
Revenue Management Excellence is based on Product, Pricing and Uptake Management Decision on Decision on Booking Decision on Pricing Product/Contract Uptake ▪ Clearly defined products ▪ Analytics-based decision ▪ Better forecasting ▪ Improved contract adherence support for dynamic pricing capabilities ▪ Reduced revenue leakage ▪ Data-driven tender pricing ▪ Automated acceptance decisions 40
To achieve our vision, we will transform Hapag-Lloyd’s Pricing & Revenue Management in three phases… Strengthen the basics Foundations of new Advanced Revenue Revenue Management Management excellence 2018-2019 2019-2020 Long-term aspiration (2020+) Dedicated change management along the journey 41
…which we started in 2018 with the “Contribution Boost” ▪ Focus on 10 short-term initiatives with Examples: Reduction of low no major system changes contributing business Strengthening the basics: ▪ Improve cargo mix steering and reduce Contribution Boost revenue leakages AT WB -63% ▪ Replacing least contributing cargo LA-E NB -34% ▪ Ensure collection of Demurrage & Detention & local revenue FE WB -46% ▪ Develop new Marine Fuel Recovery mechanism and implement same by the Baseline Sep-18 beginning of 2019 42
Mid- & long-term differentiating strategy 43
Our strategy is based on our unique strengths and true differentiation through six strategic pillars I No. 1 quality carrier II Superior land side capabilities III Focus on selected attractive markets and segments Rationale: Proven willingness Rationale: Inland is a differentiator and Rationale: Shifting market growth to pay for quality in the market can offer contribution beyond port-port to emerging and niche markets IV Environmental responsibility V Best-in-class Web Channel VI Opportunistic M&A Rationale: Changing environmental Rationale: Serve smaller customers by Rationale: Seize opportunities that regulation and a good asset base building the best customer front-end support HL's strategic goals using our strong IT backbone 44
Market research reveals that PROVEN and CONSISTENT quality matters to more than half the market… "Price A seekers" 01 Capture willingness to pay Mainly from existing customers by cost-driven delivering the required quality selection levels Optimize customer mix by "Value 02 leveraging willingness to B seekers" award more business from existing quality customers Quality driven Quality matters selection >50% to more than half the market Further optimize customer "Service 03 mix by gaining new C seekers" customers in target segments to reach market customer mix Market research participants 45 Source: Market research, December 2017
…and we will deliver a clearly articulated core product to all customers and more for value and quality seekers Premium Product Diversified to target specific Improved service levels for customer needs customers who value not addressed by premium service level, base product as clearly differen- tiated products with price premium Base Consistent across Transparent with Product customers of all size, measured and contract type, and industry communicated Clearly articulated performance levels through quality promises Calibrated "slightly above market average" 46
We have defined our future Quality Commitments – which will be an essential part of the “handshake” with our customers… Responsive service Commitment to volume and bookings Timely and accurate documentation Booked and loaded Provision of accurate as agreed information on time Reliable transport Payment as agreed Quick issue resolution 47
…and we have already taken the first steps on what we know is a multi-year journey to differentiate on quality… This will require us to reach deep down into our organizational structure and operational “engine room”, building on our proven track record of executing large scale projects. We have already started mobilizing the organization to truly deliver on our initiatives, More to come… and have the ability to systematically monitor progress and development and adjust course as necessary. Procurement and supplier management Partnering Web Channel First pilot in Benelux successfully completed Premium product Enhance product and new partnerships development More product additions Continuously launch premium products 48
…and some of it is already in place today Some examples of segments where customers are willing to pay for value Web Channel Cherry Express Dangerous Goods Instant quotes Fast transit times Safety Immediate booking Direct port calls High quality documentation Direct confirmation Special care Highly skilled and experienced staff 49
Hapag-Lloyd intends to offer more end-to-end business, as we believe this can be beneficial for all parties Higher profitability by Increased differentiation Improved control over Improved cost through capturing some value through better E2E equipment flows and integrated procurement pools and feed more service better steering of the and reduction of 1-way contributing cargo onto imbalances trips our ships 50
We will expand our position in attractive niche segments, reinforce our strongholds and further build growth markets Attractive markets Niche segments ▪ High market growth Reefer ▪ Customers are prepared to pay for high quality & value ▪ The market offers Special untapped opportunities Cargo ▪ Ambition is to "scale beyond Europe” ▪ One of the historical ▪ Growth in container shipping increasingly shifts Dangerous strength of Hapag-Lloyd towards emerging markets Goods ▪ High quality service is already ▪ We are well positioned regarding our strongholds valued by customers 51
Sustainable value creation 52
Creating Shareholder Value through Strategy 2023 To recap, we have described …and in financial terms our the 3 goals of our Strategy 2023… objectives are to: Number 1 Profitability Return more than for quality 01 our cost of capital Deliver on our Financial 02 and Non-Financial Global Targets player 53
Financial Targets to be achieved until 2023 Profitability ROIC (throughout the cycle) > WACC [This implies an EBITDA-margin of ~ 12%] Deleveraging Net Debt / EBITDA ≤ 3.0x Equity Equity ratio > 45% Liquidity Adequate liquidity reserve of ~ USD 1.1 bn 54 Note: All KPI’s subject to IFRS 16 adjustments – adjusted KPI’s will be communicated accordingly
Non-Financial Targets to be achieved until 2023 Quality Achieve best in class Net Promoter Score (NPS) Measure and improve On Time Delivery Superior landside Increase share of door-to-door business to over 40% of total by 2023 Grow volume in selected attractive markets and achieve a market share Attractive Markets of ~10% (excl. Intra Asia) in reefer market by 2023 Environmental Comply with or exceed all IMO environmental regulations Web Channel Grow volume booked via Web Channel to 15% by 2023 55
Wrap-up Key takeaways ▪ Marginal returns from further scale have diminished significantly Industry ▪ We believe that the industry is at an inflection point and the future is about differentiation ▪ Hapag-Lloyd has a strong starting position to take the next step to become the number one for quality Strategy 2023 ▪ Customers are willing to pay for quality and value ▪ We have set up a robust strategy that differs from what others do ▪ We are convinced to succeed as we have proven repeatedly that we are able to Strategy implement the measures necessary to reach our self-imposed targets implementation ▪ We looked at multiple scenarios and have a clear approach for all kind of defaults ▪ To ensure a successful implementation we will follow a set of clear principles 56
Agile Organization – Ongoing organizational improvements to implement Strategy 2023 CPO Joachim Schlotfeldt 57
Hapag-Lloyd became a truly global company over the last couple of years… The "new Hapag-Lloyd"... … is younger in age… … and is more international [Average age] [Nationalities employed] 39.2 76 78 90 39.1 38.4 Pre-CSAV Pre-UASC Post-UASC Pre-CSAV Pre-UASC Post-UASC Hapag-Lloyd in numbers: ~12,600 employees 127 countries 394 locations* 58 * Thereof 191 own offices and 203 agents
…and it’s organization is in a strong starting position to master future challenges Capabilities ▪ Strong and recognized IT & process quality Execution excellence ▪ Ability to successfully manage large-scale projects, e.g. CSAV and UASC integration Sales and ▪ Global Sales and Customer Service network customer service ▪ Good brand perception with accessible and knowledgeable sales/CS staff Global player ▪ Global footprint and strong home turfs (Germany, Italy, Canada, South America, Middle East) People & ▪ Loyal, committed, and qualified workforce that is open to change culture ▪ Value-driven and principled organization 59
But to be able to execute Strategy 2023 successfully we need to modernize our organization and improve agility… Introduction to Agile Organization Our goal: Steps of the organizational transformation Increase the agility of the organization Core Processes Improve core processes, optimize / simplify organization Faster decision making Continually learn and improve Quality Service Centers Develop projects flexibly Improve consistency and quality of service Deal with risks earlier Partner easily with other players Automation Drive automation of standardized processes 60
…which requires streamlined processes, better tools and a focus on core business functions Core Processes Business Admin Excellence: Voyage Control: Cargo Control: Streamline planning and Increase schedule Improve quality of steering processes reliability allocation management and ship planning Approach Optimize and simplify processes Introduce additional and better tools 61
Establishing Quality Service Centers will increase consistency and quality… 1. Improve the consistency and quality of the service provided by Hapag-Lloyd in Areas 2. Make continuous improvement of processes easier 3. Make process and system roll-outs / updates much faster and more reliable Regional centralization of certain functions of: Customer Service Operations Business Administration Build on extensive experience with bundling of non-customer facing processes in Global Service Centers in Mumbai, Chennai and Shanghai Quality Service Centers (QSC) already established in Atlanta and Suzhou Set up QSC in further Regions, e.g. Region Middle East (Mumbai) 62
…while automation will allow staff to focus on tasks with higher value-added Robotics Focus staff on value-adding functions Natural language Increase quality and speed of work, generation reduce errors Cognitive agents Support further volume growth of HL Build on automation already in place Machine learning due to strong operating backbone and process structure 63
Our organization will look substantially different in 2023 with more analytically driven roles and reduced data entry & processing roles Resource shifts Illustrative Additional staff Regular Additional staff to support to cover productivity Long-term strategy, e.g. niche specialists, volume growth gains automation ambition revenue analytics specialists, etc. Starting point Steady-state 64
Continuously earn and keep the “right to play” – Procurement Focus CPO Joachim Schlotfeldt 65
We will significantly strengthen our procurement and supplier management capabilities and competence Transport+ initiative to reduce transport spend Bunker procurement Corporate procurement Terminal procurement ▪ Objective is to raise service levels and reduce cost – i.e., improve value for money, not just drive down cost ▪ Impact on all levels of the organization: central, regional, and local ▪ Build up partnerships with our key suppliers 66
Procurement excellence program in transport aims at capturing the full potential by reducing costs and increasing service levels Standard procurement Individual levers Focused enablement to methods ensure savings capture ▪ Apply standard procurement ▪ Develop market specific levers ▪ Ensure successful tools on Area level implementation ▪ Establish standards across Hapag-Lloyd Significant cost reduction Efficient processes Continuous communication „From Vendor to Partner“ Increased transparency Better quality 67
The procurement program will initially focus on transport spend and additional locally sourced spend categories… Key takeaways ▪ Transport spend fully in scope 2,882 ▪ Further increase due to general cost inflation cannot be ruled out Rail ▪ Additional locally sourced cost Container transport Barge / Feeder categories to be costs addressed [USDm] Truck ▪ 13 lighthouse projects across all regions already in Other implementation1) LTM 9M 2018 68 1) Also covering terminal spend
…and the first results illustrate that this ambition is feasible and realistic First pilot in Area Benelux completed with positive results Next steps Cost savings of mid single digit USD million as well as process and quality ▪ Europe-wide rail improvements tender ▪ Currently addressing Partnership discussions held with trucking and barge vendors Germany, Central Europe and Indo-China Optimised modal mix ▪ Thereafter broad- scale rollout in all Areas in 2019 69
Wrap-up Key takeaways Strong ▪ Hapag-Lloyd became a truly global company over the last couple of years… backbone ▪ …and can build on acknowledged core competencies ▪ To adapt faster than competition to changing business environment and to adapt Become successfully Strategy 2023 we need to further modernize our organization and an agile increase agility organization ▪ Several initiatives have already been implemented Develop ▪ With the enlarged organization and changing market environment also enhanced Procurement needs to change procurement ▪ We will significantly strengthen our procurement and supplier management capabilities capabilities and competence 70
Environmental Responsibility – IMO 2020: Tackling regulatory challenges COO Anthony Firmin 71
Regulatory challenges have always played a role in shipping Hapag-Lloyd has successfully adopted new regulations throughout its history Tier 3 IMO2020 24-hour rule SOX max 3.5% ISPS Shiprecycling Ballast water … 72
As of 2020, all ships will be required to use fuel with 0.5% sulphur content or less on all the world‘s oceans IMO 2020 Sulphur Regulation Bunker fuel Sulphur limit % Sulphur (by weight) 4.5 Global 4.0 ECA 3.5 3.0 Emission control All international 0.5% worldwide areas (ECAs3: bunkers outside 2.5 Europe and North ECAs3 scheduled 0.1% at berth 2.0 America) with move to move to 0.5% 0.1% Emission control areas (ECAs) to 0.1% Sulphur Sulphur on Jan 1 Targeted 0.1% ECAs China 1.5 levels in 2015 2020 1.0 Fuel type Today 2020 0.5 Worldwide Only with HSFO 3.5% (excl. ECAs) scrubbers2 0.0 2010 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 2025 No large scale use Worldwide LSFO 0.5% (excl. ECAs) ECAs3 + ECAs3 + MDO 0.1% EU Ports EU Ports + New ECAs China 73 1) Marine Diesel Oil (0.1% sulphur) 2) Possible use of scrubber for Sox post-treatment 3) Emission Control Area (ECAs) = The Channel, North Sea, Baltic Sea, North America, US Carribean
There are three options to comply with IMO2020 but Low Sulphur Fuel Oil will be the key solution in the short term Options for ensuring compliance 1 2 3 Liquefied natural Exhaust gas Compliant gas (LNG) cleaning systems fuels Estimated containership fleet as at 2020E LNG powered newbuildings LNG powered conversions 2 33 160 5,200 5,406 Scrubber newbuildings 11 Scrubber retrofits Compliant fuels More than 90% of the container world fleet will run on compliant fuels 74 Source: Alphaliner weekly
Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) Hapag-Lloyd believes LNG could be the mid-term fuel solution for the shipping industry Hapag-Lloyd’s position Regulatory certainty + Lower emissions 17 vessels LNG Future availability ready1) Refitting High capex one 15k – class vessel Bunkering network not yet in place Availability in ports not yet Further Lower sufficient sulphur refittings content possible and CO2 Mid- Estimated cost for conversion and term additional cost for new builds: solution USD 25 – 30 million per ship Attractive payback 75 1) approx. 18% of current total capacity
Exhaust Gas Cleaning Systems (EGCS) The use of EGCS is economically attractive as a short- to mid-term solution Hapag-Lloyd’s position Lower capex than LNG + No issues with fuel (HSFO 3.5%) 10 retrofits Economically attractive planned for 2019/2020 Proven base technology Retrofits for 13k TEU – Increased fuel consumption and vessel class higher CO2 emissions Further Higher Direct discharge of scrubber water into refittings CO2 and the ocean subject to water pilot No long-term solution pollution Short-/ Estimated cost for conversion: mid- term USD 7 – 10 million per ship solution Attractive payback 76
Compliant Fuels Compliant fuels are the key solution for ensuring compliance from 2020 onwards Hapag-Lloyd’s position No capex + Currently most environmentally Key solution friendly solution going into 2020 Confirmed availability1) ~90% of ships in – High price industry Higher opex Major Possible compatibility problems refittings Low not sulphur emissions before 2020 No downtime or cost for conversion Additional cost of USD ~1bn annually due to higher price 77 1) Confirmation by major suppliers
The IMO2020 regulation will make the industry greener but it will come with a price Costs will go up as both compliant fuels and investments into new technologies will be expensive Estimated impact Estimated impact Estimated impact on entire on container on Hapag-Lloyd shipping industry shipping industry On the assumption that the spread between high-sulphur fuel oil (HSFO) and low-sulphur fuel oil (LSFO 0.5%) will be ~250 US dollars per tonne by 2020, Hapag-Lloyd faces additional costs of around 1 billion US dollars annually 78
To recover fuel related costs caused by the IMO2020, Hapag-Lloyd has developed a Marine Fuel Recovery (MFR) mechanism Marine Fuel Recovery Mechanism will be gradually implemented from beginning of 2019 – all customers will take part in this change Hapag-Lloyd will replace all existing fuel charges with a new MFR mechanism 79
The new MFR mechanism is logical, transparent and easy to understand MFR creates transparency and is based on market data and averages for market class vessels Helps our customers predict and plan price development Customer feedback on the MFR has been largely positive The MFR is based on market data (fuel consumption, fuel price and carried TEU) and derived from averages for Market Class Vessels Unique approach also considering price difference between 0.1% and 0.5% Low Sulphur Fuel Dominant and non-dominant legs are treated in the same way 80
Governance is crucial – Hapag-Lloyd welcomes the Carriage Ban A robust enforcement regime is necessary for ensuring a level playing field The IMO itself has no authority for Each Flag and port state responsible governance for enforcing the regulation with sanctions and fines Carriage Ban as of March 1, 2020 Strict control in ports is extremely important IMO bans vessels that carry HSFO when not equipped with scrubbers 81
Will the new regulation affect the supply / demand balance in liner shipping? Disadvantage of inefficient vessels will become more apparent as older vessels need to use more expensive fuels Illustrative Fuel costs per day for an old +62,5% 4,000 TEU vessel 32.850 [USD/day] +$6,407 20.216 +$3,943 Cost per sea day Cost per sea day @ 400 USD/mt @ 650 USD/mt Might lead to increased scrapping of older, less efficient vessels… …which would further improve supply / demand balance 82
Wrap-up Key takeaways IMO 2020 will effect the industry as a whole Regulation 2020 Three options are available to achive compliance (LNG, EGCS, Compliant Fuels) Majority of containerships will run on compliant fuel as of 2020 Hapag-Lloyd embraces new regulation as industry is becoming greener Hapag-Lloyd We will test LNG and install EGCS in 2019 / 2020 approach Compliant fuel most relevant solution in the short-term MFR mechanism in place to tackle higher bunker costs Positive results of refitting and pilots will lead to further installation of EGCS and LNG Going forward IMO envisions significant emission reduction by 2050 83
Digital Transformation CEO Rolf Habben Jansen 84
Hapag-Lloyd’s journey to digitization started in the early 90’s „Electrification“ Digitization 1990 Today Integration 93 00 10 CSAV & 18 UASC Advanced functions and process Advanced System standardization & coverage, EDI-connectivity, forecasting & integration for core processes automation, system architecture optimization Enhanced biz Process Ease of doing biz with, new steering through Excellence architecture BI 85
Hapag-Lloyd’s existing IT is the basis for our digitization efforts… Compass Integration Single Version of Truth FIS Biz Analytics High Degree of Automation, i.e. Quality and Efficiency Customer Supplier SAP Connectivity EDI/API/Web/Mobile Communication CRM Marine Ops Analytics to manage global networks Base Systems Standardized Processes & Organization Excellent starting point to continuously enhance Hapag-Lloyd’s service products and quality by leveraging digital technologies 86
…which can only be successful if there is close alignment between Business and IT HL IT Biz-IT Alignment Digital Excellence Integrated management of digital Tech Watch Unit development programme Digital Channel & e-Biz Unit Track >200 start-ups Commercial, Operations, BA, IT, Board Hapag-Lloyd online channel Discussions with >50 Agile project pipeline management Portal partnerships Partnerships with ~10 Disciplined project execution – on time, Agile product development on budget ~ 100 IT projects p.a. Process excellence Automation Collaboration 87
Hapag-Lloyd is actively monitoring digital developments and partnering with leading-edge companies… We are closely monitoring developments. Where sufficiently interesting we start discussions, leading to pilots, and eventually to partnerships TechWatch Objective Artificial Forecasting of empty container demand, network ▪ To build on our strong Intelligence, analysis and yield management operating backbone and IT Machine competence to Learning differentiate from the competition ▪ Become an increasingly Participating in three consortia to evaluate different opportunities to exploit blockchain agile and customer- Blockchain technology. responsive organization In parallel preparation of technical setup Automation Already very active with Web Channel, FIS Macros, Container Steering, Auto Booking Confirmation, Auto Shipping Instruction and a steadily increasing number of simple process robots 88
…as we know that technological innovations help to create new and better customer solutions… There are plenty of opportunities for carriers to differentiate, also with regard to digitization While the basic customer Customer service needs have not changed Physical services much, customers today Contractual commitments expect to conduct their Digital services business with the comfort Customer of modern technology: Mobile applications Centricity Transparency Fast response Digitization enables us to interact more directly with customers (and suppliers) 89
…and to accelerate this we set up the Digital Channel Incubation Unit (DCIU)… Hapag-Lloyd’s new Digital Channel Incubation Unit Customer (DCIU) drives digitization within the company Insights & Data Working with continuous real-time market & customer research, product development, marketing and IT together as one team DCIU Agile By empowering digital Digital Digital transformation, we provide Product Marketing customer solutions to unleash Develop- the potential of the future of ment logistics 90
…who in a joint effort with IT & Business launched Quick Quotes in 2018… 24/7 access to the Quick Reception of rate in immediate Quotation with just a Quotes tool whenever and response few clicks wherever Access for all customers Start of booking process follows Flexible access to Hapag- regardless of size or location directly Lloyds extensive global network 91
…which in 10 months has grown to around 6% of global Hapag- Lloyd volume – a business of over USD 0.5 bn annualized revenue! Quick Quotes volume development Volume1 Quotations2 ‘000 TEUs ‘000 New product 15 Public launch of (Open Top) 100 Project Web Channel start (week 33) 12 80 New products 9 (e.g., Reefer) 60 Full Minimum-Viable- Product rollout 6 40 3 20 0 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 26 28 30 32 34 36 38 40 42 44 Volume Quotations Calendar week (2018) 92 1 Start of Shipment based 2 Quotations: Successful customer requests based on creation date (excl. 2nd quotes) Data as of: November 5th, 2018
Wrap-up Key takeaways ▪ Hapag-Lloyd has always been at the forefront of IT developments Single ▪ Our global single operating system is an industry acclaimed competitive operating advantage… system ▪ …and a strong basis for further digital development Digitization ▪ Providing customer solutions by driving digital transformation focus & ▪ New focus on collaboration and customer centricity customer ▪ Digital Channel Incubation Unit (DCIU) drives digitization within the company… solutions ▪ …and develops new digital products in an agile way New products, ▪ We kicked off a number of potentially interesting collaboration efforts features and ▪ Web Channel has so far been a huge success enhancements ▪ Further digitization products and features are in the pipeline 93
Number One for Quality! Actively drive change by building on our capabilities Continually earn and keep our right to play Deliver unparalleled quality Become a more agile organization Deal with regulatory changes in an environmentally friendly manner Create new and better customer solutions through digitization Systematically monitor progress and development 94
You can also read