CAPACITY BUILDING WORKSHOP: BUILDING CLIMATE RESILIENT AGRICULTURE IN PACIFIC SIDS - Integration Opportunities
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CAPACITY BUILDING WORKSHOP: BUILDING CLIMATE RESILIENT AGRICULTURE IN PACIFIC SIDS 9-11 August 2016 Tanoa Hotel, Nadi, Fiji Islands Integration Opportunities Salesa Nihmei I Meteorology and Climate Officer I SPREP I Samoa
Overview 1. Overview of SPREP and its Meteorology Programme/Partnerships 2. The Global Framework for Climate Services (GFCS) and Progress in the Pacific 3. Application of Climate Services in the region 4. Challenges and Opportunities 5. Additional Resources and Tools
Introducing Secretariat of the Pacific Regional Environment Programme (SPREP) • Working for over 40 years in the Pacific region • Inter-governmental organisation – The Pacific regional agency for the environment – Recognized as the lead agency on biodiversity, climate change, waste management and environmental monitoring and governance in the Pacific Region • 26 member countries – 21 Pacific Island countries & territories – 5 ‘metropolitan’ states (AU, NZ, FR, USA, UK) SPREP is fully accountable to member governments through an annual SPREP Meeting and Ministerial Meeting • Over 90 staff
Climate Change Division Adaptation Climate Knowledge Management Change Science and Policy Division Mitigation
Pacific Meteorological Strategy 2012-2021 guides the priorities of the region • The PIMS has 14 Pacific Key Outcomes (PKO) that outline the main priorities highlighted by the NMSs. • The implementation of each of the PKO's are further separated into (87) Pacific National Priority Actions and (68) Pacific Regional Priority Actions Under each of the PKO's • Currently under mid-term Review
14 Pacific Priorities for NMSs Priority 1, 2 and 3: Priority 8: • Improved aviation, marine and public • Preservation of Historical Data weather services Priority 9: Priority 4: • Observations of Atmospheric Chemistry • Improved end-to-end Multi-Hazard Early Warning Systems (MHEWS) Priority 10: • Capable and effective NMSs Priority 5: Priority 11: Improved EWS Flood • Education, training and Capacity Priority 6: development activities • Improved Climate information and Priority 12: prediction Services • Funding and resource mobilization Priority 7: Priority 13: • Enhanced infrastructure (data and • Strategic Partnerships information services) for weather, Priority 14: climate and water • Effective and efficient PMC (with linkages to RA-V) • Development of a Pacific Roadmap for Climate Services to be more inclusive of Sectors
1. The Pacific Meteorological Council (PMC) Majuro-2011 Number of Participants to the PMC 100 80 60 40 20 Nadi-2013 0 PMC-1 PMC-2 PMC-3 Nuku’alofa-2015
2. Pacific Meteorological Council and the Ministerial Meeting on Meteorology • First Pacific Ministerial Meeting on Meteorology (PMMM-1) held in Tonga in July 2015. • Endorsement of the Nuku’alofa Ministerial Declaration on sustainable weather and climate services for a resilient Pacific PMC-3 + Partners Regional Ministerial Meeting “Note that weather and climate services are not an option but are a responsibility and a basic human right”
Working Groups to Support the PMC • Establishment of a Pacific Island Panel (Working group) on Aviation Services to deal with and advise with the Climate implementation of Aviation weather Services Services (including looking at Quality Management and Cost Recovery) Education Communic Training ations and • Establishment of a Pacific Island Panel and Infrastructu PMC (Working group) on Marine and Ocean Research re services (including coastal inundation and tsunami) • Formalised a Pacific Islands Panel of Marine Education, Training and Research Aviation and Ocean (including a call for a Regional Training Services Services Centre) • Report from the Pacific Island Climate Services (PICS) Panel dealing with RCC, climate prediction
Pacific Islands Climate Services (PICS) Panel • Establishment and support to the meetings of the Pacific Islands Climate Services (PICS) Panel. • NIWA (NZ) is Chair and PNG is the Vice Chairman of the PICS Panel • Members include (NOAA, BoM, NIWA, Meteo-France, SPREP, USP, SPC, WMO RA-V, PNG, Vanuatu, Niue, Palau, Samoa (Water), Tonga (Agriculture)) First PICS Panel Meeting, August 2014 to Finalise its ToR and draft its Action • 3 meetings to date and developed an Action Plan
2. The Global Framework for Climate Services (GFCS) and Progress in the Pacific
Climate Database Management System A tool to manage, organise and store weather records Data Digitization PCCSP, 2012 Why are climate data important? – To describe the climate – To describe climate variability – To understand climate change and its impacts
Data Storage • PAPER FORMS • CLICOM (introduced by WMO) • SPREADSHEETS • CLIMSOFT • CliDE/CliDESC (still needs support) PCCSP, Samoa
Global Framework for Climate Services User Interface Innovative mechanism that will: • Provide ways for climate service users and providers to monitor requirements for climate services • Provide forum for dialogue to understand needs of users and capabilities of providers • Identify products and services requirements of users • Increase the literacy of climate service users • Monitor user satisfaction with the overall performance of the Framework
WMO RCC Status Worldwide NEACC North America Initiative BCC TCC ACMAD AGRRHYMET CIIFEN ICPAC Designated RCCs Designated RCC-Networks SADC-CSC RCCs in Demonstration Phase RCC-Networks in Demo Phase RCCs Proposed RCC-Networks Proposed Weather • Climate • Water 18
Climate Services • Climate Products and Information are NOT Services unless they are used for Decision Making
Value of Seasonal Forecasting • Seasonal Forecasting is a potential tool to inform community short term adaptation actions and long- term adaptation design
Why? – Many Communities in the region identify climate change impacts to the impact of extreme events and climate variability – If communities adapt to climate extremes and variability, they will be better prepared for long term changes in the climate – Seasonal forecasting can inform short-term and community- based adaptation actions while we await CCA funds to be available for larger interventons
PMC Support for Effective Climate Services Climate Services Training, August 2011 • Majuro 2011 workshop to investigate organizational structures and functions to support robust and sustained climate services at the regional level (SPREP/NOAA) • Suva 2013 convened the Pacific Islands Climate Services Forum (USP/NOAA) Pacific Islands Climate Services Forum, Jan 2013
Regional User-Interface Platforms for Climate Information • Establishment of the Pacific Islands Climate Outlook Forum (PICOF-1) targeting the Water Sector (SPREP, WMO, USP, SPC,…) • Regional Climate Statement • PICOF-2 October 2016-Nadi PICOF -1 Hosted at USP, October 2015
3. Application of Climate Services in the region
Seasonal Forecasting Capability Climate and Oceans Support Program for the Pacific (COSPPac) SCOPIC – Statistical Forecasting Capability used in the region for over 10 years • Online Forums for NMHSs (OCOF) • Climate Bulletins (Red Cross) • Developed by the BoM and now transferred to SPREP
Seasonal Forecasting Capability • New Online Climate Prediction System (CLIK℗) installed at SPREP http://clikp.sprep.org • Up to 12 Dynamical Models data available on CLIK℗ to provide advanced 3-6monthly outlooks • To reduce damages from extreme climate events through disaster risk management, • Improved monitoring and prediction of severe weather for coastal communities • Better data management and infrastructure to facilitate data collection • Improving the quality of products delivered to end-users • Develop early warning communication strategies for National Met Services.
Seasonal Forecasting Capability • Rainfall Forecast • Developed by NIWA supported by SPREP
• Water Stress (3 month outlook)
3. Finnish-Pacific Project on Reduced vulnerability of Pacific island country’s villagers’ livelihoods to the effects of climate change 2013-2016 Building climate and disaster ready communities through improved National Meteorological Services • Implemented by SPREP in collaboration with the Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI) and partners: • 14 Pacific island countries • World Meteorological Organization • International Federation of Red Cross & Red Crescent Societies (IFRC) • Australian Bureau of Meteorology • Other Partners
Finland-Pacific Project on Reduced vulnerability of Pacific island country’s villagers’ livelihoods to the effects of climate change
Direct support to NMSs… • Capacity building through technical trainings for NMSs • Introduction of the SmartMet weather forecasting system to 6 NMSs (Fiji, PNG, Samoa, Solomon Islands, Tonga and Vanuatu) • Introduction of the SmartAlert warning visualization software • Rehabilitation of silent Regional Basic Synoptic Stations
Communication and Partnerships to reach Communities National Meteorological Services Others Face to Community Gov.. Media face Mobilsers Sectors (Red Cross) Communities (USERS) 60-80% of the Pacific Population
Climate Information discussed in Communities Working with Communities
Climate Early Warning System (CLEWS) • Put today’s weather into the context of the past climate record • Understand the potential severity of future events, given knowledge of historical conditions (including uncertainty) • Sectoral Application of climate Services is guided by a Policy approved by Cabinet
Site Location Map 15. Mt. Talu 13. Le Piu Tai : SMD Head Office : AWOS (Airport Weather Observation System) 14. Vaisala : AWS (Automatic Weather System) 12. Mt. Tagotala : Repeater System 31.5km 17.8km 10.5km 11. Tuasivi 15.3km 7. Faleolo International Airport 10. Mt. Valusia 1. SMD Head Office Upolu Island 7.5km 24.5km 4.5km 2. Mt. Vaea 6. Lufilufi 5.8km 9.6km 27.3km 20.3km 9.5km 5. Le Mafa 12.0km 9. Maota Airport Savaii Island 13.7km 8. Manono 3. Mt. Fiamoe 4. Togitogiga
TOGITOGIGA (AWS)
CLEWS Climate-hydro services and early warning system
CLEWS Climate and hydrometric observations
CLEWS Live data views via web services
CLEWS CliDE climate data management system
CLEWS CliDEsc data and climate services
River stage
River stage + rain
Rainfall accumulation
Fire hazard warning
Forest Fire Weather Index – 16 Sep 15
Hydropower Management: Afulilo Dam, Samoa • Afulilo Hydropower Scheme is primary renewable energy supplier in Samoa. • Output sensitive to climate variability. • Water balance model designed to quantify dam level response to rainfall, energy demand and evaporation. • Model will predict dam volume based on given rainfall and power output. • Provide forewarning of dam levels in order to make operational decisions. • Assess the impact of ENSO phases on dam storage levels.
Linking Climate and Malaria GOAL: Use climate information to improve malaria control in the Solomon Islands by providing early warning for periods of heightened malaria incidence. • Collaboration between COSPPac, Solomon Islands Met. Service and Ministry of Health. • Provide monthly or seasonal forecasts of relative malaria incidence. • Pilot scheme aims to provide forecasts for Temotu, Guadalcanal and Central. • Expansion to other provinces in 2014. • Categorical warnings: – low/moderate/high/extreme – low/medium/high • Include spatial map of warning levels in a bulletin format for stakeholders..
Summer droughts forecast in strong El Niño conditions
4. Challenges and Opportunities Integration
Capacity of the NMHSs in the Pacific • Capacity Varies from country to country
Regional Consultation on Climate Services for Pacific Small Island States April 2014, Rarotonga, Cook Islands
Discussion on Agriculture and Climate • Identify “insertion points/entry points/windows” where climate services can be applied to support Agriculture Activities – El Nino and Livestock, ENSO and Alley Cropping, Flooding and lowland farming • lack of coverage of actual climate or rainfall monitoring stations across the island(s) • Currently a low uptake of climate services in the agriculture sector - 3 month outlooks are not so useful and rather longer term services are needed • Training exchanges will be a must on climate services, particularly if considering the use of extension officers who are working directly with farmers
Discussion on Agriculture and climate • Climate information could use a number of informative tools such as maps, statistics, and that the inclusion of these in ways that make the climate information more easily understood either by the intermediate user (say the Agriculture/Fisheries researcher or extension officer) or the final user (farmer/fisherman). • The fostering of a relationship between the agriculture and NMS will take time to develop. • Being aware of the climate services available and their applications is not generally known unless agriculture researchers actively look for it, or climate services of NMS do the same (in looking for end users to their products).
Monitoring Network Approx. 100 station records for 23 countries and territories (excluding the Aust. and NZ mainland) – 2010-11 Data can be modified by participating national meteorological services http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/pccsp/ (data is password protected)
National Platforms for discussion • Agro-Met Summits • Identify agriculture activities and how and when climate information can be applied
Effective Communication to Reach the Last Mile: A Proposed Approach through an MoA for Agriculture VMGD 8 1. Climate/Change Information 2. Seasonal Forecast Impact Database (GIS) 1. Delivery Options ENSO events • Bulletins (soft/hard copies Tropical Cyclone • Quarterly Seminar Volcanic Eruption /workshops 1 Other observed Impacts • Radio/TV/News paper 9 DARD (VMGD, GiZ) 2. Delivery Options 2 1. Translate Information for Farmers • Bulletins (soft/hard Solutions copies 2. What to do & how to do it? Hotspots • Quarterly Seminar 3. Report on Impacts 3 Adaptation /workshops Projects Workshops /Seminars Agriculture Extension Officers 4 Farmers Associations 1. Inform local farmers of probable 1. Inform members of probable ensuing climate 5 ensuing climate 2. Introduce climate resistant crops 2. Provide reports 6 7 Commercial and Traditional Farmers 1. All Farmers informed of the expected climate and what to do
Products Developed • 3 Agro-Met Summits • Agro-met Bulletin for Farmers and NGO’s • ENSO Sector Action Booklet • ENSO Animation – Cloud Nasara • Community based Rainfall Network • Community-based Farmers Field School • Resource Materials (Animal feed, food replication) • Communication, Partnership and Engagement Strategy
Key Messaging and Communication Needs Climate Crab: Describe ENSO in the Pacific https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sIUSWEft N4w Climate Nasara: Describe ENSO in Vanuatu https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AMthanw iOWE
• FAO • SPREP • SPC • USP • WMO • NIWA • IFAD • Vanuatu • Samoa • Tonga Project Proposal
A Practical Option for Integration of Climate and Agriculture at the National Level Alignment of: Regional and Global Organisations • Strategies (e.g. WMO, FAO, SPREP, SPC, USP…) • Projects • Funding Specialised MAF + Ag/Soil Team MetService + Climate Scientists Scientists Alignment with National Strategies Partnership (e.g. Sus Devt, Food Sec, DRR, Health) Alignment with Traditional Knowledge Farmers, Village, NGO Networks MAF Extension Church, Women’s (e.g. Red Cross) Officers Networks Farmers + Communities
Use of Existing Arrangements • Networks – Extension Services – PIRAS – PIFON – NGO’s • Type of information and products that is suitable for dissemination ? • Training needs and which level? • Institutionalization ? (Legislation, Policy, Staffing, Agreements, etc) • Harmonisation
Platforms for exchange of information/integration/ Capacity Development Regional • PICOF – Pacific Island Climate Outlook Forum Forums • Currently organised once a year in October • NCOF – National Climate Outlook National Forums Forums • Now established in Kiribati, PNG, Vanuatu and soon in Fiji and Tonga Community • Entry based field Points/ap Schools plication
Climate Frameworks: Platforms for Integration (from NMSs) Global • Global Framework for Climate Services (GFCS) • Pacific Implementation Roadmap for Climate Services • how sectors can lead with the integration Regional • Instructed by the Nuku’alofa Ministerial Declaration • Roundtable discussion in October 16 • Pacific Island Climate Services Panel National • National Framework for Climate Services (Vanuatu and soon Fiji) • Climate Services are established in NMHSs to provide support
5. Additional Resources and Tools
Climate Portals • Pacific Climate Change Portal • National Climate Change Portals – Fiji – Vanuatu – Tonga • Ocean Portal/Climate – BoM – NOAA http://cosppac.bom.gov.au/products-and- services/ocean-portal/
Climate Change in the Pacific (PCCSP) Volume 2: Climate Change Volume 1: Climate Change in the South Pacific: in the South Pacific: Scientific Assessment and Country Reports new Research
Other Tools •http://www.bom.gov.au/cyclone/history/tracks/ www.pacificclimatechangescience.org/animations/climatecrab/ https://www.niwa.co.nz/climate/icu
Climate Futures Tool Which Countries 14 PICT are able to assess climate projections
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