Cambodia Real Estate Phnom Penh Siem Reap - Knight Frank
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Phnom Penh Siem Reap Sihanoukville Cambodia knightfrank.com/research Real Estate Highlights - 1st half 2020
E C O N O M I C S N A PS H OT ECONOMIC SNAPSHOT Cambodia’s GDP growth is expected to decline sharply during 2020 but forecast to bounce back in 2021 At the beginning of 2020, no one could However, in contrast to developed have predicted the turn of events countries, Cambodia’s economy is ROSS WHEBLE that unfolded during the first half of forecast to bounce back in 2021 (figure 2), Country Head 2020. According to the World Health with GDP growth projections from the Organisation (WHO), it was first made World Bank, Asian Development Bank aware of the Covid-19 outbreak in Wuhan, and International Monetary Fund China on 31 December 2019 and issued its ranging between 5.7% to 8.5% for 2021. “in contrast to developed countries, first Disease Outbreak News report on 5 Cambodia’s economy is forecast January 2020. This strong economic recovery will to bounce back in 2021 (figure 2), be underpinned by the fiscal and with GDP growth projections from Since that announcement, the number monetary responses implemented by the World Bank, Asian Development of Covid-19 cases globally reached a the Cambodian Government, namely: 1) Bank and International Monetary staggering 10.2 million as at the end of scaling up of existing social protection Fund ranging between 5.7% to 8.5% June 2020 and was declared a global schemes through cash transfers to poor for 2021.” pandemic by WHO on 11 March. and vulnerable households, 2) tax relief for the tourism and manufacturing sectors, In response to the outbreak, countries 3) retraining programmes for unemployed Whilst the short term outlook around the world went into various levels workforce , 4) wage subsidies for remains unclear, with the full of lockdown bringing the global economy suspended workers, 5) property ownership effects of Covid-19 yet to be felt to a virtual halt. transfer tax exemption on properties in the global and local economy, valued below US$70,000, 6) capital the medium term outlook for This had a significant impact on injection for the Rural Development and Cambodia remains positive, Cambodia’s economic performance Agriculture Bank, 7) establishment of a supported by Cambodia’s strategic during H1 2020; according to the World new SME bank, 8) improving ease of location within ASEAN and Bank, this was largely felt through three doing business. Southeast Asia, its open door key channels: tourism, exports and policy on foreign investment and foreign direct investment. The monetary policies introduced by growing domestic consumption. the central bank included a reduction in Cambodia has strong economic linkages banks’ reserve requirement, postponing with Countries that have been severely the implementation of the Capital impacted by Covid-19 (figure 1) which Conservation Buffer, cutting interest has decimated demand for garment rates on negotiable certificates of exports to the US and the EU and brought deposits and reducing the Liquidity tourism to a standstill. Coverage Ratio. Figure 1: Top 5 markets for exports, tourists & FDI origin Figure 2: 2020 GDP Growth Forecasts 2020 2021 Exports Tourism FDI Inflows % 10 US 26.80% China 32.60% China 40.00% 8 Hong Kong, 6 EU 25.00% Vietnam 12.90% 10.90% PRC SAR 4 2 Japan 7.70% Lao PDR 6.90% Korea, Rep. 7.80% 0 Canada 6.20% Thailand 6.20% Singapore 7.10% -2 -4 UK 6.10% Korea, Rep. 4.90% Japan 6.20% IMF ADB WB Source: International Monetary Fund, ROW 38.20% ROW 36.50% ROW 28.00% Asian Development Bank, World Bank Source: World Bank 2
P H N O M P E N H O F F I C E S E CTO R PHNOM PENH Key findings OFFICE SECTOR As at H1 2020, Phnom Penh’s aggregate supply of office space Average occupancy rate for both centrally-owned and strata-title stood at 588,710 sq m of net lettable offices across all grades declined to 77%, largely due to the unabated area (NLA), a y-o-y increase of 27% supply of new office. Surprisingly, there was a minimal impact from from H1 2019. the Covid-19 pandemic despite severely impacting the global financial and real estate markets. The first half of 2020 alone saw the completion of 10 office buildings across Supply and Demand Four Grade C offices entered the supply Grade B and C, contributing a total NLA during H1 2020 namely Rise Commercial of 71,666 sq m for both centrally-owned The cumulative supply of office space (2,100 sq m), OSK Building (7,000 sq m), and strata-title offices. stood at 588,710 sq m of NLA following the Royal K Plaza (7,950 sq m) and The Link completion of 10 office buildings during Office III (1,440 sq m), all of which are Conversely to the global office the first half of 2020, eight of which are centrally-owned. There was no new stock for trend, Phnom Penh’s office sector centrally-owned buildings and two strata- Grade A office completed during this period. appeared shielded from the full title buildings. adverse effects of the Covid-19 The continuous additions further pandemic as witnessed in other The cumulative supply of office space reinforced Grade B’s domination with major cities. increased by 71,666 sq m to 588,710 sq 51% of the overall supply, followed by m of NLA, an increase of 13.8% since Grade C with 40% and Grade A with 9%. Although leasing activities reduced the end of 2019 and a y-o-y increase of with weakened occupier sentiment, 27% from 2019. The supply is expected Two strata titled office buildings rentals for Phnom Penh’s centrally- to more than double over next two years completed, namely The Legacy and owned offices remained resilient and with an additional 211,372 sq m NLA of KVBC Business Centre, contributing stable across all grades, with no mass centrally-owned offices and 447,798 sq m an NLA of 20,099 sq m whilst centrally foreclosures or rent reliefs evident NLA of strata-title offices, assuming all owned office building contributed 51,567 whilst average occupancy rates projects complete as scheduled. sq m of NLA. recessed to 77% largely due to the incoming office supply. Of the new stock, 55,276 sq m NLA were An additional 124,997 sq m NLA of office of Grade B offices whilst the remaining space is expected to come online by the With the increasing number of office 16,390 sq m were Grade C offices. Notable end of 2020. completions, it is anticipated that Grade B entries were TK Central (14,366 owners of strata-title offices will sq m), The Helix Office (2,000 sq m) and By the end of 2020, most of the supply coming likely be more flexible, especially in The Legacy Tower (14,742 sq m). Other online will be strata-title offices comprising terms of rental rates and minimum additions were AMASS Central Tower 87,689 sq m NLA whilst the remaining 337,308 tenure to secure a tenant for their (7,511 sq m), The Point (9,200 sq m) and sq m will be centrally-retained offices, all unit, thus creating a more competitive KVBC Business Centre (5,357 sq m). TK of which are Grade A and B. landscape against landlords of Central (Toul Kork) and The Helix Office centrally retained offices. (7 Makara) are both centrally-owned Taking into account the 659,170 sq m NLA whilst The Legacy Tower and KVBC in the pipeline for future completion, the Business Centre are strata-title and cumulative office supply will snowball to located in Chroy Changva. 1,247,880 sq m post 2020. The current split of centrally-owned and strata-title offices Figure 3: Existing supply by District was 83% and 17%, respectively, however this is set to equalise post 2022, once all Daun Penh 26% 7 Makara 19% monitored projects complete as scheduled. Chamkarmon 21% Beung Keng Kong 16% The ratio of centrally-owned and strata-title Toul Kork 7% offices, upon completion of all monitored Chroy Changva 4% Sen Sok 6% projects will be 56% and 44%, respectively. Mean Chey 1% 89% of the future incoming supply is Grade The Helix Office, Phnom Penh Source: Knight Frank Research A whilst the remaining 11% is Grade B. 3
P H N O M P E N H O F F I C E S E CTO R With the sizeable incoming supply, the reduce overheads to alleviate cash flow for offices remained resilient and office market is anticipated to self- difficulties. Expansion and relocation relatively flat since the end of 2019. correct as it finds its equilibrium in plans of corporates were generally placed Grade A, B and C offices command terms of demand and rental. on hold until the situation improves. rentals ranging between US$30 to US$39 per sq m per month, US$21 to US$23 and The wise, city centre location remained However, unlike the global office market, US$14 to US$15, respectively (exclusive the most densely populated location where compassionate reliefs and tenants of service charges and tax). with offices, accounting for 89% of the foreclosures were widespread, Phnom overall stock whilst the remaining 11% Penh’s office sector appeared isolated The newly completed centrally-retained is in suburban. Distribution within the from the full brunt of this pandemic Grade B and C offices are available for rent city centre comprised Daun Penh (26%), other than reduced leasing activities. ranging between US$16 to US$24 per sq m Chamkarmon (21%), 7 Makara (19%), Boeung The above notwithstanding, the office per month (exclusive of service charges Keng Kang (16%) and Toul Kork (7%). sector outlook over the short to medium and tax) whilst the strata-title offices are term is still generally one of oversupply. available for sale starting from US$2,500 Chamkarmon to overtake Daun Penh with Average occupancy rates for both per sq m of the NLA. majority office concentration in the future. centrally-owned and strata title offices was recorded at 77%, a decline of 4.2 Office Sector Outlook Although the CBD is located in Daun percentage points since the end of 2019. Penh, Chamkarmon is set to replace Grade A and C centrally retained offices Co-working space and serviced offices its dominant spot post 2022, upon commanded an occupancy rate of 80%, were the main components impacted completion of all monitored projects whilst Grade B declined to 75%, largely by the pandemic. Challenged to stay as scheduled, comprising 26% of the due to the sizeable new office supply and open, some operators temporarily closed overall office location distribution. weakened absorption rate. as many people tried to avoid group meetings and to practice social distancing. The existing geographic office Owners of strata-title offices expected to However, operators are still optimistic on distribution of suburban comprised increase flexibility to entice tenants. the future outlook of the co-working and Chroy Changva (4%), Sen Sok (6%) and serviced office market once the pandemic Mean Chey (1%). Most MNCs halted expansion and improves within the region. relocation plans in H1 2020 leading The only new launch noted during the to a standstill in transactional Despite Cambodia having successfully first half of 2020 was Central Capital activity. Furthermore, with a sizable avoided any major fallout from the Tower, which is a Grade B strata-title development pipeline, owners of COVID-19 outbreak – no evident office, contributing about 24,800 sq m of strata-title offices will be pressured lockdowns and cases remained low, NLA to our monitored basket. to increase flexibility with rental its economy was still impacted by the and tenure, in order to compete with economic fallout its neighbours and Occupancy rates of centrally-owned centrally-owned offices. the region. This has resulted in firms offices continued to face downward holding off decision making and re- pressure whilst strata-title offices Prices and Rental strategising their corporate real estate recorded an uptick. needs. This softer sentiment will put Despite the oversupply situation pressure on rents, further compounding Centrally-owned offices recorded an which is further exacerbated by the the impending supply hitting the market average occupancy rate of 80.8%, a 5.3 unprecedented Covid-19 crisis, rentals in the coming years. percentage points drop whilst strata-title offices recorded an average occupancy Figure 4: Cumulative Supply by Year and classification rate of 59.3%, a 5.4 percentage points Grade A Grade B Grade C Total increase, since H2 2019. 1,400,000 1,200,000 1,000,000 The unprecedented Covid-19 pandemic 800,000 severely hampered leasing activity 600,000 during the first half of 2020. The 400,000 pandemic, which caused lockdowns 400,000 - and restricted movements globally has 20 st 09 08 f 10 14 16 19 18 13 12 15 7 f 11 20 f 21 Po 1 22 disrupted the global economy leaving 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 Source: Knight Frank Research many corporates no choice but to 4
P H N O M P E N H R E TA I L S E C T O R PHNOM PENH Key findings RETAIL SECTOR The cumulative retail space was recorded at 351,046 sq m NLA as at Following the announcement of Covid-19 pandemic by World Health H1 2020, a y-o-y increase of 4% over Organisation (WHO) as a “Global Pandemic” , consumer spending the same period of 2019. and business sentiment weakened significantly. Many workers chose to return and stay home until the situation improved, leading to a Three new community malls officially significant footfall decline during March and April of 2020. opened their doors contributing a total 11,792 sq m NLA to the overall Supply and Demand by a number of well populated Boreys. retail supply; namely Samai Square, Extending to a NLA of 2,342 sq m, TL Sky Mall and Khalandale Mall. Supply in Phnom Penh increased by this community mall is the first in the 11,792 sq metres NLA. The cumulative district to offer a modern retail format During H2 2020, an additional 107,946 supply space stood at 351,046 sq m NLA and comprises food & beverage retail, sq m NLA will enter the supply stream as at H1 2020. hypermarket and a cinema under the of retail space, spread across seven operator of Prime Cineplex. projects. Three additional community malls were opened during the first half of 2020 During H2 2020, an additional 107,946 To contain the spread of the Covid-19 namely; Samai Square, TL Sky Mall and sq m of NLA of retail supply spread outbreak, the Cambodian government Khalandale Mall. over eight projects is scheduled to come has relentlessly advised the public online in Phnom Penh, if all monitored against unnecessary travel and to Samai Square opened during the first projects launched or under construction apply social distancing measures. quarter of 2020 and contributed 1,650 are completed on schedule. Between 2021 Mall operators stepped up on sq m to the monitored retail supply. and 2022, the cumulative supply will hygiene measures which includes This new community mall provides double with an additional 370,000 sq m temperature screening and hand additional diversified venues to the Toul NLA coming online. sanitation at entrances. Kork district populace. Khalandale Mall opened during the second quarter of Although the current ratio of retail space Non-essential retailers in prime 2020, contributing 7,800 sq m NLA to the between the city centre and suburban shopping malls were instructed by overall supply. Khalandale Mall is directly stood at 65:35, this distribution is set to operators to temporarily reduce opposite the existing Eden Garden transform as 68% of the new supply in operating hours whilst some food & community mall, providing additional the pipeline will be focused in suburban beverage retailers have taken their diversified venues in Daun Penh. districts whilst the remaining 32% is in own initiative to cease operation or the city centre. observe social distancing measures TL Sky Mall is located in Porsenchey by serving only take-away / delivery District and is strategically surrounded services. Figure 5: Phnom Penh Supply and Demand of Retail Space Supply (LHS) Vacancy Rate (RHS) Sq. m. % 1,00,000 35 30 800,000 25 600,000 20 15 400,000 10 200,000 5 0 0 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020f 2021f 2022f Source: Knight Frank Research Khalandale Mall, Phnom Penh 5
P H N O M P E N H R E TA I L S E C T O R Sen Sok and 7 Makara districts still between US$27.00 to US$30.00 per sq m began restructuring to strengthen their comprise the most retail space in Phnom of NLA (excluding service charges and online presence. Penh with 26% and 24% of the overall tax). However, rentals for secondary share, respectively. This is followed by grade malls remained unchanged at Moving forward, shopping mall Chamkarmon and Daun Penh representing US$21.00 to US$29.00 per sq m of NLA. operators are expected to step up 21% and 15%, respectively. The remaining on hygiene measures and sanitation 14% of retail space is spread over Boeung The Covid-19 outbreak caused retail practice with mall entrances guarded Keng Kang, Toul Kork, Mean Chey, footfall to suffer as the majority of for body temperature scan and hand Porsenchey and Chbar Ampov. shoppers avoided crowded areas sanitisation for incoming shoppers. and stayed home to conform to the Additionally, technological innovations The retail trading environment globally government and WHO’s social distancing with a focus on reducing contact has transformed subsequent to the advice. The situation was further between people will be a top priority. Covid-19 pandemic, Cambodia included. exacerbated when travel restrictions were Since the announcement by the WHO, implemented globally which reduced The pandemic led to a ‘new norm’ for the Cambodian government has taken tourist arrivals tremendously. the retail sector. The typical shopping a number of measures necessary to habits have transformed with visitations curb the spread of this outbreak. Non- With leasing activity put on hold, it to shopping malls and hypermarkets essential businesses involving close is anticipated that operators will be being more direct and purposeful rather physical contact such as cinemas, KTVs, providing additional incentives to entice than window shopping. Also, at times pubs and bars were ordered to shut until tenants to their shopping mall. of uncertainty, consumer spending will further notice. also moderate as consumers will be As a result of the pandemic and reduced cautious especially on big ticket items, As the outbreak worsened, governments footfall, relief assistance was also leading to lower business turnover. of other countries began implementing provided on a case-by-case basis by For non-essential items, retailers will “movement control” or “lockdown” landlords to existing tenants. inevitably be faced with consolidation or “circuit breaker” measures to curb and closures as they re-allocate the spread. These measures restrict all Retail Sector Outlook resources and operations. To prevent citizens and anyone residing in those major retail closures, landlords and countries from non-essential travel for Despite continuity of operations, shopping mall operators will be expected a fixed span of timeframe. Although shopping malls were not operating at full to work hand-in-hand with existing the retail footfall reduced enormously capacity due to the government’s strict retail tenants to ensure sustainability during the months of March and April, social distancing measures. Cinemas and maintain occupancy levels. the retail sector in Phnom Penh was not were shuttered whilst F&B retailers as severely impacted compared with found not adhering to the government With the supply expected to double up its regional neighbours as Cambodia’s operation guidelines were ordered to by 2022, shopping mall operators will government restriction imposed were close. Online retail appeared to be the be required to constantly adapt to the minimal. silver lining from this pandemic as it dynamic retail environment to remain became the preferred options, and many competitive and to entice tenants. The overall occupancy rate slipped to F&B consumers and fashion retailers 85%, a 0.3 percentage points drop as compared with occupancy rates noted Figure 6: Distribution of Existing Retail Space by District during the end of 2019, underpinned by strong F&B and entertainment retailer take up rates noted in Samai Square and Daun Penh 15% Chbar Ampov 3% Khalandale Mall. TL Sky Mall however 7 Makara 24% Mean Chey 5% is located in the suburban area and Chamkarmon 21% Chbar Ampov 3% recorded an occupancy rate of 66% Boeung Keng Kang 3% Porsenchey 1% during its first quarter of opening. Toul Kork 2% Sen Sok 26% Prices and Rental Subsequent to the peak of the outbreak, rentals for prime grade shopping malls Source: Knight Frank Research registered a slight decline, ranging 6
P H N O M P E N H H OT E L S E CTO R PHNOM PENH Key findings HOTEL SECTOR The global tourism industry was one of the hardest hit sectors following Hospitality sector left exposed as tourism industry took a plunge in the outbreak of Covid-19. This led to a incoming passenger arrivals stemming from travel restrictions and 64.6% year-on-year decline in tourist lockdowns imposed by global governments to contain the Covid-19 arrivals to Cambodia during the first global pandemic. half of 2020. Supply of the overall market share) followed Average hotel occupancy rates and ADRs by Chamkarmon (22%), Boeung Keng during H1 2020 plummeted by 33% and Three hotels namely Anik Palace Hotel, Kang (11%), Chroy Changva (9%) and 7 25% respectively, over H1 2019. Poulo Wai Hotel & Apartment and Makara (8%). The remaining hotels are in Aurea Central Hotel, officially opened Toul Kork, Mean Chey and Porsenchey The existing supply of hotels in Phnom and contributed 392 keys to the overall districts. Penh increased to 11,727 keys despite Phnom Penh hotel supply during the the temporary and permanent closure first half of 2020. Despite the new additions, the category of many establishments. distribution remained the same with As at H1 2020, the cumulative supply Midscale & Economy (3-star) dominating Until global travel restrictions are of hotel rooms in Phnom Penh rose to the existing supply (50%). Luxury & relaxed, the hospitality sector will 11,727 keys, an increment of 392 keys over Upper Upscale (5-star) and Upscale & remain challenging and we will three new hotels; Anik Palace Hotel (129 Upper Midscale (4-star) hotels had equal continue to see operators shift focus to keys), Aurea Central Hotel (98 keys) and market share at 25%. the growing domestic market. Poulo Wai Hotel & Apartment (165 keys). Anik Palace Hotel is an Upscale & Upper Two hotels were added to our monitored To cushion the impact, the Government Midscale hotel whilst the other two are future hotel pipeline during the first of Cambodia in collaboration with the within the Midscale & Economy segment. half of 2020; Hotel Nikko Phnom Penh National Bank of Cambodia launched a (201 keys) and The Khom Hotel (130 series of monetary and fiscal policies to In addition, Lumiere Hotel comprising 88 keys), both of which are Upscale & Upper assist tourism stakeholders including keys, an Upscale & Upper Midscale hotel in Midscale (4-star). tax exemption and increased liquidity Daun Penh district was officially rebranded for affected businesses. to Lyve Inc Hotel during Q2 2020. Hotel Nikko Phnom Penh is located in Chamkarmon District whilst The Khom Daun Penh remained the district with Hotel, which is under the Autograph the highest concentration of hotels as it Collection of Marriott International encompasses the CBD and the Phnom is located in Daun Penh District. Both Penh riverside tourist belt. hotels are scheduled to complete and Daun Penh comprised 4,444 keys (38% commence operation by 2022. Figure 7 : Cumulative Hotel Supply by Year Cumulative Supply New Supply No. Rooms 22,000 20,000 18,000 16,000 14,000 12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020f 2021f 2022f Post 2022f Source: Knight Frank Research Lyve Inc Hotel, Phnom Penh 7
P H N O M P E N H H OT E L S E CTO R Towards the end of 2020, four additional Figure 9 : Average ADR, Revpar & Occupancy Rate for Phnom Penh Hotels hotels are expected to open their doors ADR (LHS) RevPar (LHS) Occupancy (RHS) if the projects complete as scheduled, US$ % 180 60 contributing an additional 556 keys to 160 the overall supply, including the much 50 140 anticipated Hyatt Regency which has 120 40 completed construction work and is 100 30 slated to open by H2 2020. 80 60 20 Between 2021 and Post 2022, 40 10 approximately 7,143 keys are expected 20 - 0 to be added to the hotel supply, a large 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 proportion of which is contributed by Source: Knight Frank Research/STR Naga World 3 in Chamkarmon district. If all monitored projects complete as scheduled, the cumulative supply of and February ranging between 47% to The international travel bans which are hotels in Phnom Penh will rise to 19,426 50%. As the outbreak worsened during being implemented to varying degrees keys representing an increase of 66% over March, and travel bans accelerated in across the globe, coupled with fear of the the existing supply. regional countries, occupancy rates highly contagious Covid-19 virus, will declined to 20% by June 2020. continue to hamper the performance of Occupancy rate and average the hotel sector over the short term. room rates Due to the low occupancy level, the Ministry of Tourism reported that To cushion the impact and prevent a Visitor arrivals to Cambodia plunged approximately 324 hotels had requested further closures, the government has 64.6% year-on-year during the first half for temporary suspension nationwide, worked hand-in-hand with the National of 2020 as countries around the world at least until the situation improves. Bank of Cambodia and launched a series battled with the Covid-19 pandemic. Between January and June 2020, of monetary and fiscal policies to assist the ADR for Phnom Penh across all tourism stakeholders including tax The severe disruption of the tourism classifications declined sharply, by 37% exemptions and increased liquidity for sector, which stemmed from global as hotels which continued operations affected businesses/hoteliers. travel restrictions imposed by global either slashed their room rates or offered governments, has directly impacted the extended monthly stays at low rates. Additionally, travel bans on incoming hospitality sector in Cambodia. foreigners were lifted towards the end of Hotel sector outlook H1 2020 and replaced with mandatory Average hotel occupancy rates and requirements such as health certificates, Average Daily Rates (ADR) during H1 Whilst quarantine measures are still insurance and medical/quarantine 2020 in Phnom Penh plummeted by in place, tourist arrivals will remain deposits which became a barrier of entry 33% and 25%, respectively, over H1 2019. depressed and hoteliers will face for foreign tourists. The year began with relatively healthy decreasing RevPar over the short term occupancy rates recorded during January The Covid-19 global pandemic continued to bring much uncertainty Figure 8: International Tourist Arrivals to Cambodia and the recovery period of the hotel 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 sector is unclear depending on the No. Tourists longevity of the outbreak or until 800,000 a viable vaccine is established and 700,000 global travel restrictions relaxed. The 600,000 hospitality sector is likely to remain 500,000 challenged and hoteliers are expected 400,000 to shift focus to the growing domestic 300,000 tourism market over the short term. 200,000 100,000 0 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Source: Tourism Statistics Department, Ministry of Tourism 8
P H N O M P E N H S E R V I C E D A PA R T M E N T S E C T O R PHNOM PENH Key findings SERVICED APARTMENT SECTOR Two new serviced apartments namely Lyzones Tower and 85 SOHO Premium Serviced Residences, contributed 192 units to the cumulative serviced Average occupancy rate of serviced apartments contracted to 61%, a apartment supply in Phnom Penh. y-o-y decrease of 18 percentage points over the same period during 2019. Although advertised asking rates remained stable, landlords Knight Frank’s basket was updated with increased flexibility with tenancy terms and lengths of stay a number of newly identified serviced apartment taking the cumulative supply of serviced apartments in Phnom Penh Supply Additional units were also added to the to 6,577 units spread across 167 blocks. Mid-tier segment with the completion of Two new serviced apartments within 85 SOHO Premium Serviced Residences. Mid-tier serviced apartments the High-end and Mid-tier segments Located within part of the Axis dominated the existing supply with contributed 192 units to the overall condominium development, this block a slight uptick of the overall share to supply during H1 2020. contributed 108 units to Sen Sok district. 57%, followed by High-end (23%) and Affordable (21%) units. In addition, Knight Frank’s basket has Despite the new entries spread across been updated with four newly identified other districts, Boeung Keng Kang Travel restrictions implemented by projects, taking the total existing serviced District still commanded the largest governments to contain the Covid-19 apartment supply to 6,577 units spread market share at 34% of the overall supply, global pandemic outbreak have limited across 167 projects. followed by Chamkarmon (17%), Daun accessibility of incoming foreigners Penh (17%), Toul Kork (11%), 7 Makara and expatriates, thus causing During the first half of 2020, the operator (10%), Chroy Chongva (6%), Sen Sok (4%) downwards pressure on the serviced of Lumiere Residence, a High-end and Mean Chey (1%). apartment sector occupancy rates as serviced apartment comprising 166 units it contracted to 61%; a y-o-y decrease in 7 Makara District, was replaced with a Approximately 56% of the overall supply of 18 percentage points over the same new operator and rebranded to Lyve Inc is categorised as Mid-tier whilst the period during 2019. Hotel & Residence. remaining 23% is High-end and 21% is Affordable. The city centre continues to The newly completed High-end serviced be the sought-after location for serviced apartment, Lyzones Tower, contributed apartments. Approximately 89% of the 84 units to Boeung Keng Kang District. existing supply is located within city centre districts whilst 11% are located in suburban districts. Figure 10: Cumulative Supply of Serviced Apartments (2009 - 2020f) Existing Supply New/Added Supply No. Units 9,000 8,000 7,000 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 0 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020f 2021f Source: Knight Frank Research Lyzones Tower, Phnom Penh 9
P H N O M P E N H S E R V I C E D A PA R T M E N T S E C T O R An additional 1,371 serviced apartments Occupancy Serviced Apartment have been identified and will be added Sector Outlook to the supply over the next two years, The overall occupancy rate was reflecting an increase of 21%, assuming impacted by the onset of Covid-19, The full impact of Covid-19 on the serviced all identified projects complete as contracting to 61%, a y-o-y decrease apartment sector is largely unknown as it scheduled. of 18 percentage points over the same will depend on the scale of the outbreak period of 2019. and also government travel restrictions. Rental Demand for serviced apartments The increased supply of condominiums Asking rentals for serviced apartments is mainly driven by tourists and and serviced apartments, the repatriation remained resilient despite the increased expatriates. The bleak situation due of expatriates stemming from the Covid-19 competition from condominiums and to the Covid-19 pandemic forced pandemic and the entries of hotels in hotels. governments around the world the city offering extended stay have all to impose travel restrictions and adversely impacted occupancy rates for The significant increase in the supply lockdowns to contain the spread of the serviced apartments. of new condominiums has intensified outbreak. competition among serviced apartment Towards the end of the first half of operators. In addition, the lack of The outbreak caused many expatriates 2020 the government lifted travel bans tourists due to Covid-19 and global in Cambodia to return to their that were imposed on six countries travel restrictions has pressured hotel countries of origin via repatriation and also relaxed entry requirements operators to offering long-term stay at flights and also prevented incoming into the Kingdom. Despite the above heavily discounted rates. foreign workers. This led to the average actions, incoming tourist arrivals are occupancy rate falling to 61% during the expected to remain depressed which will Despite the increased competition, first half of 2020. negatively impact on demand for serviced advertised asking rentals remained apartments over the short term. resilient with High-end rents averaging By segment, High-end apartments were US$21 per sq m over the net lettable area, impacted the most, with the average However, there are now some green shoots Mid-tier rents averaging US$13 per sq occupancy rate recorded at 42% whilst emerging, as businesses that temporarily m and Affordable rents averaging US$7 Mid-tier and Affordable units recorded closed begin to slowly re-open, enticing per sq m. However, serviced apartment occupancy rates of 68% and 74% foreign business owners back to Cambodia, landlords and operators were more respectively. and office expansions of MNCs that were open to negotiation in terms of rentals put on hold are becoming active again. and shorter tenancy duration. Other Location-wise, Chamkarmon, Boeung incentives offered were free months stay Keng Kang, Daun Penh and Toul Kork The short term outlook of the serviced with yearly tenancy, free cleaning, free districts all recorded the highest apartment sector remains cautious. In internet, free cable TV and so on. occupancy rates averaging between 61% general, rentals and occupancy rates will to 63% whilst 7 Makara, Chroy Changva remain under pressure if the longevity of and Sen Sok were slightly lower ranging this outbreak is prolonged which could between 51% to 58%. lead to acquisition opportunities. Figure 16: Cumalative Supply of Land Housing Units (2009-2021f) Figure 11: Existing supply by District Figure 12: Monthly asking rents for high-end units by Quarter Chamkarmon 18% 7 Makara 10% 1Bed 2Bed 3Bed Boeung Keng Kang 34% Daun Penh 17% US$ Toul Kork 10% Chroy Changva 6% 4,000 Sen Sok 4% Mean Chey 1% 3,500 3,000 2,500 2,000 15,000 1,000 Q1 2017 Q2 2017 Q3 2017 Q4 2017 Q1 2018 Q2 2018 Q3 2018 Q4 2018 Q1 2019 Q2 2019 Q3 2019 Q4 2019 Q1 2020 Q2 2020 Source: Knight Frank Research Source: Knight Frank Research 10
P H N O M P E N H C O N D O M I N I U M S E CTO R PHNOM PENH Key findings CONDOMINIUM SECTOR The cumulative supply of condominiums was recorded at Although demand for condominiums weakened with the onset of the 21,935 units across 77 condominium Covid-19 global pandemic, new launches and prices remained resilient developments as at the end of H1 and there was a noticeable increase in the number of domestic buyers 2020. There were six new project completions. Supply and Demand increasingly popular residential district, After reconfiguration of Knight Frank’s Chroy Changva. condominium classification , the The first half of 2020 saw the completion current ratio of High-end and Mid-tier of six condominiums (2,699 units) and UK Condo is within Toul Kork District units in the city stood at 65% and 35%, 10 new off-plan launches (3,712 units). and Sky Tree is within Russey Keo respectively. District, both of which are established Amidst the Covid-19 pandemic, six new residential districts. The remaining new Growing domestic demand for condominiums were completed during the completions are spread across Sen Sok condominiums helped to off-set first half of the year, lifting the cumulative and Mean Chey districts. the declining demand from foreign condominium supply in Phnom Penh up investors subsequent to the Covid-19 to 21,935 units (including the balance units Although Chamkarmon remains the outbreak. within Star City which has been completed) district with highest concentration of spread across 77 projects; a y-o-y growth of condominiums, the latest incoming new Developers and market players 25% from H1 2019. entries spread across various districts remained unwavering during these have reduced its overall share to 33%, testing times with 10 new off-plan To reflect the overall increase in followed by Sen Sok (19%), 7 Makara (12%) condominium projects launched during residential prices in Phnom Penh, Knight and Chroy Changva (11%). The remaining the first half of the year Frank’s condominium classification districts Boeung keng Kang, Toul Kork, has been reconfigured; the Affordable Daun Penh, Chbar Ampov, Russey Keo To cushion the impact of Covid-19 and segment now comprises units priced and Mean Chey all recorded less than stimulate investment activities, the up to US$1,000 per square metre of net 10% share each. Government of Cambodia exempted saleable area (NLA), Mid-tier units are transfer taxes on property valued below priced between US$1,001 to US$2,500 per Despite the economic turbulence caused US$70,000 until the end of 2020. square metre of NLA. Properties selling by the outbreak of Covid-19 during Q1 above US$2,500 per square metre of NLA 2020, developers remained unwavering are categorised as High-end. and 10 new off-plan condominium launches were recorded. The ratio of existing condominium supply now stood at 65:35 for Mid-tier and High- Eight of the launched projects are Mid- end, respectively. To-date, there are still tier namely Leedon Heights (1,190 units), no existing Affordable units. Garden Residency 2 (369 units), Phnom Penh Galaxy Garden (1,140 units), Parc 21 The six completed Mid-tier Residence (132 units), AKJ Bright Pearl condominiums were UK Condo (224 (286 units), Grand Central (800 units), units), Highland Condominium (213 The Golden World (864 units) and Grand units), Mekong View Tower 6 (262 units), Condo 7 (142 units). Paramount Residence (400 units), Sky Tree (268 units) and Axis Residence (432 The only two High-end condominiums units). Additionally, the remaining 800 launched are namely Go Home Residence units of the 1,600 units in Star City have (448 units) and Le Conde’ BKK1 (1,040 units). also been completed this quarter. Despite the weakening global economic Both Mekong View Tower 6 and Highland outlook which caused many corporates Sky Tree, Phnom Penh Condominium are located within the and businesses to reduce non-essential 11
P H N O M P E N H C O N D O M I N I U M S E CTO R employees and implement salary largest market share of condominiums Meanwhile, Le Conde’ BKK1 is sited in reductions, the condominium sector at 20%, followed by Sen Sok (18%), Chroy Boeung Keng Kang District. Comprising showed little sign of a setback, with Changva (15%), Mean Chey (12%) and 1,040 units, it is a large scale High-end on-going projects continuing as Toul Kork (11%). project positioned as being the country’s scheduled. Over the next three years, if first smart home project with high-tech all the monitored launched projects are Inevitably, the Covid-19 pandemic voice recognition technology from China completed as scheduled, the cumulative took a toll on the sales rate of both tech giant, Xiaomi. Developed by Wangfu supply of condominiums in Phnom High-end and Mid-tier condominiums. Guo Ji Property Development, the prices Penh is projected to surge up to 75,447 The restrictions of international start from US$2,800 per square meter units post 2023 which is equivalent to a travel directly impacted demand for over the net saleable area. 244% growth if compared to the current condominiums. The average sales rate number. of monitored projects moderated to 5%, Condominium Sector Outlook from 7% during H2 2019 and 15% during The worsening outbreak of the Covid-19 H1 2019. The travel restrictions under the “new pandemic has adversely impacted the normal” raises a concern for developers as financial, manufacturing, logistics, Prices and Rental the Cambodian condominium market is automobile, tourism and hospitality currently underpinned by foreign demand. sectors. This has led to an economic Average selling price continued rising uncertainty and an increase in relentlessly despite the onset of Covid-19 The condominium sector is clouded with unemployment in many countries as pandemic; corrections yet to be evident. uncertainty as the impact of the Covid-19 corporates and businesses consolidate pandemic continues to unfold. However, and look to reduce operational Although price corrections were still although sales rates began to show signs expenditure. not evident, a number of developers of distress, price corrections were still not began offering flash discounts to evident, save as for temporary discounts, As the condominium market is still entice purchasers and to improve sales rebates and free gifts offered by mainly driven by foreign purchasers and rates. However, the average selling developers as incentives for new buyers investors, the magnitude of impact is price of new launches as advertised by yet to be determined, depending on the developers during the first half of 2020 The global economic uncertainty has longevity of the outbreak. In addition, was recorded at US$2,138 per sq m over reduced offshore purchases as investors buyers are adopting a wait-and-see the net saleable area; a 15% increase over adopt a wait-and-see approach and approach towards investments and home the second half of 2019. International travel restrictions implemented purchases due to the uncertain economic have further exacerbated the situation by repercussions post Covid-19. Notable projects included Leedon obstructing incoming expatriates to the Heights, located in Sen Sok and country, leading to an even more reduced Despite surging land prices, comprising 1,190 condominiums, demand for condominiums. condominiums in city centre locations and Go Home Residence, a High-end are more sought-after and preferred, condominium in Toul Kork. It is a The softening of investment activity encouraging developers to continue 36-storey residential project developed and concerns over surplus supply in the selling projects in Chamkarmon District. by NEC Development Corporation pipeline will only weigh down investors Over the next three years, taking into comprising 448 units and priced on sentiment and the general outlook for account all newly launched and on-going average at US$2,635 per sq m over the net the condominium sector is cautious, projects, Chamkarmon will retain the saleable area. subject to the right product positioning, location and price range. Figure 13: Sales of Newly Launched Condominium units by Quarter Figure 14: Cumulative Supply of Condominium units (2009-Post2023) Average Price Unites Launched Unites Sold Existing Incoming Supply USD per sq m 10,000 3,000 80,000 9,000 2,500 70,000 8,000 60,000 7,000 2,000 6,000 50,000 5,000 1,500 40,000 4,000 1,000 30,000 3,000 2,000 20,000 500 1,000 10,000 0 0 - Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 f f f f f 2017 2017 2017 2017 2018 2018 2018 2018 2019 2019 2019 2019 2020 2020 20 21 22 23 23 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 Source: Knight Frank Research Source: Knight Frank Research st Po 12
P H N O M P E N H L A N D E D H O U S I N G S E CTO R PHNOM PENH Key findings LANDED HOUSING SECTOR 12 new housing projects contributed 3,369 units to the monitored existing Consumer spending and home buyer sentiment was curtailed during supply, taking the cumulative supply to the first half of 2020 resulting in a significant drop in the sales rate of 59,301 units as at the end of H1 2020. new launches 11 off-plan housing projects were Supply and Demand All three landed housing segments launched during the first half of 2020, inched forward in tandem. Mid-tier dominated by Chip Mong Group. Grand The rapid growth of landed housing supply housing still accounted for the majority Phnom Penh, which was sold to Chip continued unabated despite the Covid-19 of supply with 30,221 units (51%), Mong Land towards the end of 2019, outbreak; cumulative existing stock stood followed by High-end with 22,348 units launched a new phase in May 2020. at 59,301 units as at the end of H1 2020. (38%) whilst the remaining 6,732 units (11%) were Affordable. The total cumulative supply of landed Whilst the Covid-19 pandemic has houses in Phnom Penh is projected negatively impacted the global economy, Location-wise, Sen Sok remained the to increase to 78,066 if all projects including the real estate sector, it did not dominant district with the most landed complete as scheduled. deter developers from launching 11 new off- houses (25% of the overall supply), plan housing projects in Phnom Penh. followed by Dangkor (13%), Russey Keo The Covid-19 pandemic has caused (12%), Kamboul (11%), Mean Chey (10%), global economic uncertainty and toned Although there were supply-side disruptions Chbar Ampov (8%), Chroy Changva down consumer spending, specifically on on the import of construction materials in (7%), Porsenchey (7%), Prek Pnov (3%). big ticket items. Thus, sales rates of new Cambodia, 12 new housing projects were Chamkarmon, Daun Penh and Toul Kork launches were placed under pressure, completed, delivering 3,369 units to the made up the remaining 4%. declining to 16% during H1 2020. existing stock. A few notable completions were The Park Land 598 (360 units), The The total future supply of landed housing The total cumulative supply of landed Park Land 271 (316 units), The Woods, a in Phnom Penh scheduled for completion housing in Phnom Penh is projected to Natha Residence (12 units) Borey Vimean between the second half of 2020 and increase to 78,066 units by post 2022. Phnom Penh P8 (600 units), Elite Town 3 post 2022 was recorded at 18,765 units (147 units), Mekong Royal Phase 2 (172 units) across 59 developments as at the end of Sen Sok is the most landed housing and New World Kour Srov (870 units). H1 2020. The majority (72%) of the total concentrated district with 25% of the future supply comprises units within the total supply on the market. With the new additions during H1 2020, Mid-tier category, followed by Affordable the existing supply of landed housing was (24%); the remaining units (4%) are recorded at 59,301 units spread across 154 within the High-End category. developments. Of the overall supply, 96% (57,009 units) are located in suburban areas Due to higher land costs in the city centre, whilst the remaining 4% (2,292 units) are with only a small percentage of the within the city centre. population being able to afford the higher end projects that have been launched in Figure 15: Distribution of Existing Landed Housing Phnom Penh, all of the future incoming Supply by District housing projects are located in suburban areas. Dangkor comprises most of the incoming stock with 27%, followed by Chamkarmon 2% Kamboul with 16%, Mean Chey with 14% Daun Penh 1% Toul Kork 1% and Chbar Ampov with 11%. The rest are Sen Sok 25% Russey Keo 12% distributed in Sen Sok, Russey Keo, Chroy Chroy Changva 7% Changva, Prek Pnov and Porsenchey. Chbar Ampov 8% Mean Chey 10% Porsenchey 7% Prek Pnov 3% Year 2020 started off robustly with eight Dangkor 13% project launches, mostly within the Mid- Source: Knight Frank Research Kamboul 11% The Woods, a Natha Residence, Phnom Penh tier segment. Notable launches during 13
P H N O M P E N H L A N D E D H O U S I N G S E CTO R the first quarter of 2020 included Chip consumption dropped to near record lows, The repercussions of the Covid-19 Mong 50M (435 units), Borey Chea Ry The and purchases of big ticket items were pandemic have been felt globally, and Green Ville (600 units), Chancastle (119 placed on hold which tempered home- the short term outlook remains cloudy. units), Borey CT Villa (18 units) and Borey buying momentum. The overall sales rate Unemployment has risen in Cambodia Galaxy 11 (150 units). for landed housing dipped down to 16%, as many hotels, restaurants and garment from 34% recorded during H2 2019. factories temporarily or permanently However, towards the end of the first closed their doors and Cambodia’s GDP quarter, after the announcement by the Prices and Rental growth is expected to contract during World Health Organisation (WHO) of 2020 compared with growth of 7% Covid-19 as a global pandemic, lockdowns Average selling price across all segments recorded in 2019. and movement controls circled from continued accelerating, uplifting from country to country as local governments $830 during H2 2019 to $1,131 per sq metre During H1 2020, consumer spending implemented measure to contain the over the gross floor area during H1 2020. and consumption declined significantly outbreak. The global financial, real subsequent to the Covid-19 outbreak, estate, aviation, hospitality, logistics and Although the repercussions of the particularly for big ticket items. manufacturing sectors were severely Covid-19 pandemic impacted all real The market uncertainty and rising impacted as global mobility stagnated. estate sectors, landed housing remained unemployment led to a subdued home Investment activities plummeted and a sought-after purchase, whether for buyers sentiment. Launches during unemployment rose, leading to a decline owner occupation or investment, driven end of March and April were noted in home-buying sentiment. Only three new by the strong domestic market. to achieve poor sales rate, however, launches were recorded during the second developers remained optimistic and quarter of 2020; Borey Cheam Tech (170 The landed housing sector saw a 36% began providing additional discounts units), Borey Uptown (127 units) and Chip uplift in average pricing, largely due and attractive payment plans to entice Mong Grand Phnom Penh City (176 units). to additional launches by Chip Mong prospective home buyers. Land and Peng Huoth, both of which are Chip Mong Grand Phnom Penh City prestigious and well-known developers Although the home-buying momentum was formerly owned by Grand Phnom with units priced $1,000 per square meter was temporarily dampened during Penh International City (GPPIC), a onwards. With a generally low household the first half of 2020, there remains a joint venture between LYP Group and debt ratio and healthy gearing ratio by severe shortage of landed housing when Ciputra Group. It is an on-going mixed most home owners, price corrections are compared with the growing household development currently comprising an unlikely over the shorter term outlook formation rate. 18-hole golf course surrounded by landed as demand for landed housing will housing on 250-hectares of land. Upon be continuously underpinned by the Due to Cambodia’s restriction on acquisition, Chip Mong launched its new domestic market. foreigners owning landed properties, the phase which includes landed housing landed housing sector is driven mainly and a Central Park, with its ground Landed Housing Sector by the domestic market which is more breaking commenced in May 2020. Outlook sustainable over the medium to long term. The widely proclaimed V-Shaped The global economic fallout caused Optimism observed among house builders Recovery is expected and applicable to by the Covid-19 pandemic and rising and developers; new projects continuously the landed housing sector and the sector unemployment have impacted all real launched and on-going projects to remains one of continued optimism. estate sectors. Consumer spending and complete as scheduled. Figure 16: Cumulative Supply of Landed Housing Units (2009-2021f) Figure 17: Existing Supply by Location and Classification Existing Supply Incoming Supply Affordable Mid-tier High-end 10,000 9,000 9,000 8,000 8,000 7,000 7,000 6,000 6,000 5,000 5,000 4,000 4,000 3,000 3,000 2,000 2,000 1,000 1,000 0 ng r l eu g on ara nh Ko rk ok eo ng va v po Che y y he Pno v ko ou Bo Kan arm ak Pe ul nS yK ha Am ean nc ng amb 0 7M un Se sse rse Pre k Da mk Da To Ru y C hbar Po K ng Cha ro M 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2020f 2021f 2022f Post Ke Ch C 2022 Source: Knight Frank Research Source: Knight Frank Research 14
SIEM REAP H1 2020 REVIEW SIEM REAP H1 2020 REVIEW Overview entertainment centres and drinking easing international tourist restrictions establishments were ordered to cease by lifting the initial ban on foreigners Siem Reap is major tourism city in operations until further notice forcing from a number of countries with high Southeast Asia and is home to the world- many retailers and shops to shutter. level of infection. The ban was then famous Angkor Archaeological Park. This replaced with new measures which has underpinned steady growth in tourist The drop in international tourist arrivals required all incoming international arrivals during the past five years, with placed significant pressure on hotel tourists to deposit US$3,000 upon arrival Siem Reap consistently welcoming over 2 occupancy rates in the city, forcing to cover expenses for compulsory hotel million international tourists annually. many hotels and guesthouses to begin quarantine, food, medical and Covid-19 reducing operational expenses by tests and treatments along with a Tourism remains the main driver of cutting workforces and salaries, whilst compulsory medical insurance certificate the economy in Siem Reap Province, many suspended operation, including a with a minimum coverage of US$50,000. supporting many local businesses. number of international hotel chains. However, towards the end of 2019, the Looking at the residential sector, the number of international tourists arrivals Indirectly, the absence of international impact of the Covid-19 pandemic began on a downward trajectory. The tourists in Siem Reap has also impacted moderated demand during H1 2020, worsening of the Covid-19 pandemic the retail sector with much reduced however, developer selling prices in early March 2020 decimated tourist footfall, causing many businesses to remained resilient, albeit with discounts arrivals to Siem Reap which severely temporarily or permanently close. On offered to prospective purchasers. impacted the local economy. top of that, guidelines to restrict the Despite the slowdown, developers number of customers, compliance to remained upbeat on the residential The spread of this highly contagious social distancing measures and generally sector. One notable launch during the outbreak forced many governments the public’s fear of contracting the virus first half of 2020 was Rose Apple Square, around the world to began implementing further worsened retail footfall. a mixed development comprising lockdowns and restricting incoming and condominiums, co-living apartments, outgoing tourists. Although the global restrictions began strata-title offices and co-working spaces. easing towards the end of H1 2020, Although Cambodia only underwent international tourism activities remained Other on-going projects in the pipeline a brief lockdown period, restricting subdued with the global economic outlook which were unaffected include The Sky domestic provincial travel in April, the uncertain amidst rising job losses. Park, ST Premier Residence, Bakorng lack of international tourists and the Village, Borey Tourism City, SSC unprecedented global disruption sent the The latest data from Ministry of Residence, Angkor Grace and various other tourism and hospitality sector in Siem Tourism revealed that the number of smaller-scaled landed housing projects. Reap grinding to a halt leaving most of international tourists visiting Angkor. All the listed projects were scheduled for its tourist attractions and entertainment completion between H2 2020 and 2022. streets eerily empty. Archaeological Park during the first half of 2020 declined by 68% compared with Evidently, there are various on-going Under the government’s guideline the same period in 2019. Towards the infrastructure improvements in and to contain the outbreak, all schools, end of H1 2020, the government began around Siem Reap, notably the new international airport, new outer ring Figure 18: Siem Reap International Tourist Arrivals Y-o-Y % Change by Month (January to June 2020) roads, road rehabilitations, upgrades to 0% the water supply system, improvements -20% of the western causeway of Angkor Wat, -40% conservation of Tonle Sap lake and improvements along National Road 6. -60% -80% These continuous efforts by the -100% government enhances accessibility -120% January February March April May June to/from Siem Reap, promoting both international and domestic tourism, Source: Ministry of Tourism whilst also driving economic growth. 15
SIEM REAP H1 2020 REVIEW HOTEL SECTOR The declining tourist arrivals through Siem Apsara Angkor Resort & Conference to guests to comply with the government’s Reap International Airport towards the announced its temporary suspension after enforced virus prevention measures. end of year 2019 was further exacerbated two decades of operations to undergo by the onset of the Covid-19 pandemic. As extensive renovation works. A number of No new hotels inaugurated during the the outbreak worsened during Q1 2020, other operators also took this opportunity first half of 2020. The ratio of hotel governments around the world began to undertake much needed refurbishmemt segment also remained the same as implementing lockdowns and restricting and renovation works to their hotels. at the end of 2019 with 64% of the international travel to contain the chain of overall supply being Upscale & Upper infection. According to the latest tourism As at H1 2020, the total existing supply Midscale,23% were Luxury & Upper data released by the Ministry of Tourism, of hotel rooms remained the same since Midscale hotels and the remaining 13% Cambodia, the cumulative incoming the end of H2 2019 at 12,148 keys . This were Midscale & Economy. arrivals and international tourist arrivals aggregate includes the aforementioned plummeted by 75% and 69%, respectively, hotels that suspended operations either The bleak outlook of Siem Reap’s during the first half of 2020 when permanently or temporarily. During the hospitality sector caused by the global compared with the same period in 2019. first half of 2020, approximately 25% of outbreak has derailed many expansion the hotels in our monitored supply were plans for hotel operators with no new The lack of tourists and decline in hotel operational, with most operators limiting operator agreements signed. The much occupancy rates and room rates led to the number of available rooms. anticipated 158-room Luxury & Upper a number of operators permanently Upscale, Angsana Siem Reap under closing their doors. The latest tourism Heightened hygiene and sanitation policies Banyan Tree Holdings, which was data by the Ministry of Tourism recorded were noted across all hotels including initially scheduled to open by H1 2020 approximately 172 hotels under temporary temperature checks and hand sanitizers has now rolled over to H2 2020. suspension and 18 hotels shuttered, placed strategically around hotels. Most food equating to 78% of the overall hotel and & beverage and recreational facilities (spa, Data from STR during revealed an average guesthouse supply in Siem Reap. swimming pool, sports) remained off-limits occupancy rate of 38.5% which is a 24.5 percentage points decrease compared over the same period of 2019 for Luxury, Upper Figure 19: International Tourist Arrivals by months between H1 2019 and H1 2020 Upscale & Midscale rooms. Starting off H1 2019 H 12020 vigorously during January with an average 300,000 250,000 of 61.5%, it slid during February and March 200,000 to 41.8% and 12.7%, respectively. 150,000 100,000 Conversely, ADRs reported an 50,000 increase of 3.8% during Q1 2020 as a 0 result of various hotel closures and January Ferbruary March April May June room limitations as operators reduce Source: Ministry of Tourism operation costs to stay afloat. Outlook: Towards the end of June 2020, the Government of Cambodia lifted the ban on incoming foreigners from specific countries with high level of infection. In addition, the tax exemption for tourism-related industries was prolonged to July 2020 for affected businesses, provided by the government to ease the burden of hoteliers and to prevent a cascade of closures. By the end of H1 2020, incoming tourists showed no sign of improvement as countries around the world entered into different stages of the Covid-19 outbreak cycle. Although Cambodia reported a very low level of infection rate, the absence of incoming international tourists continues to place significant pressure on profitability for operators. The lackluster commercial activities surrounding the tourist belt of Siem Reap town led to a continuous cascade of business closures. Amidst the global economic uncertainty and until a vaccine is found, the tourism sector will continue to be challenged and the path to recovery for Siem Reap’s hotel sector will be heavily reliant on domestic tourism. 16
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