CAMBODIA REAL ESTATE HIGHLIGHTS - RESEARCH - 1ST HALF 2018 - Knight Frank
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RESEARCH CAMBODIA REAL ESTATE HIGHLIGHTS 1ST HALF 2018 ECONOMIC SNAPSHOT PHNOM PENH SIEM REAP SIHANOUKVILLE
ECONOMIC SNAPSHOT In contrast to the previous election year in 2013, when market activity slowed considerably, the real estate sector continued to attract sizeable investment during H1 2018 LY HAKIM Analyst Consultancy & Research The main focal point for 2018 is of further trade sanctions being placed certainly the General Election, to be on Cambodia by the US and EU. “oil extraction is expected to held in July. However, compared with As the cost of labour in the region commence in 2019 which the previous election year in 2013, the run up to this year’s election has been is on the rise, and with improving will have knock on effects infrastructure and connectivity in across a number of real somewhat more muted and, whilst Cambodia, in addition to its strategic FDI has moderated compared with estate sectors and provide location, the Kingdom is becoming an the first half of 2017, market activity increasingly attractive alternative for further diversification to remained buoyant. international manufacturing and logistics Cambodia’s economy” According to the Ministry of Land companies to set up operation. Management, Urban Planning and Furthermore, with the recent rebound Construction, a total of US$2.15 billion in the price of oil and Kris Energy was invested in Cambodia’s construction reaching a ‘final investment decision’ sector during the first six months of In line with previous GDP growth to proceed with the first phase of 2018, with construction licenses granted forecasts for Cambodia, the World development for the Apsara oil field for 1,643 projects. Bank and the Asian Development in the Gulf of Thailand, oil extraction Bank maintained their projections for The key source countries for is expected to commence in 2019 2018, ranging between 6.9% to 7.0% investment into the Kingdom were which will have knock on effects (figure 1). This will be underpinned by China, South Korea and Japan, across a number of real estate sectors export diversification, the continued however, we are starting to see and provide further diversification expansion of the construction sector, growing interest from European and to Cambodia’s economy over the increasing consumer spending and the American companies despite the risk medium and long-term growing number of tourist arrivals to the Kingdom. FIGURE 1 CAMBODIA GDP GROWTH FORECASTS 2018 % 7 6 5 4 3 NBC ADB WB IMF Source: National Bank of Cambodia, Asian Development Bank, World Bank, International Monetary Fund 2
KEY FINDINGS PHNOM PENH OFFICE SECTOR The recent completions of The looming Cambodia election is the current trending Oval Office Tower, Vanguard, Vanda Tower and The topic but the Phnom Penh office sector remains Link Office contributed an buoyant. Supply and demand are noted to be moving aggregate of 30,185 sq m to in tandem showing a continuous upward trend in total office supply in Phnom Penh. Phnom Penh during the first half of 2018. Supply and Demand By 2020, Phnom Penh will have Kong Centre and the removal of Alpha a cumulative office supply of Tower, which has ceased operation as approximately 552,391 sq m, The influx of Foreign Direct an office building. an increase in the existing supply of 46%. Investment (FDI) and MNCs An additional 175,202 sq m of office space looking to expand operation is due for completion between H2 2018 in Cambodia has seen the and 2020; an increase in the existing With rising demand and greater flexibility of landlords, the need for additional Grade stock of 46%, bringing the total NLA up to average occupancy rate of A and B office buildings in 552,391 sq m if completed on schedule. prime office space increased Phnom Penh. Four newly proposed projects planned for completion, WTC Phnom Penh (WTCPP), to 73%. The existing office stock in Phnom Penh Sino Plaza, Olympia City and Chief Tower, was recorded at 377,189 sq m of net will contribute a further 165,683 sq m of A slow down in sales of lettable area (NLA) as at H1 2018 as office space to the supply post 2020. high-end condominiums in compared with 330,085 sq m during During H1 2018, four office buildings, Phnom Penh is encouraging the same period in 2017, equating to an namely; The Vanguard, Vanda Tower, developers to construct more increment of 14% Y-o-Y. The Link Office and Oval Office Tower, prime grade office space. The adjusted NLA has taken into added 30,185 sq m to the existing stock. consideration the removal of 9,075 sq m The Vanguard, developed, wholly owned stemming from the demolition of Hong and occupied by Shukaku Inc, is located within the award winning Phnom Penh City Centre mixed use development, while FIGURE 2 Oval Office Tower, The Link Office and EXISTING SUPPLY BY DISTRICT Vanda Tower are small-scale projects constructed by local developers. By location, the majority of office buildings are still concentrated in Daun Penh District representing 39% of existing supply. This is followed by Chamkarmon (31%), 7 Makara (20%), Toul Kork (4%), Sen Sok (4%), Mean Chey (1%) and Chroy Chongvar (1%). Despite the demolition of Hong Kong Centre and the closure of Alpha tower, the majority of existing office supply is still dominated by Grade C space representing 51% of the overall supply. This is followed by Grade B buildings at 35% and Grade A Daun Penh 39% Chroy Changva 1% buildings at 14%. 7 Makara 20% Sen Sok 4% Chamkarmon 31% Meanchey 1% Toul Kork 4% Oval Office Source: Knight Frank Cambodia 3
CAMBODIA REAL ESTATE HIGHLIGHTS PHNOM PENH Developers to provide A slight increment in the overall monthly In line with the global trend, the additional Grade A asking rent was recorded for Grade A serviced office industry has also started office space. offices, ranging between US$28 and to swell. Regus, the global serviced US$40 per sq m per month (excluding office operator, recently opened their Grade A space forms the majority (72%) service charges and tax). second co-working space in Casa of future office supply, of which 31% is Meridian and are now eying their Grade B and C asking rentals remained stratified office space. The remaining third location, in addition to several unchanged ranging between US$18 to 28% of total supply is Grade B newcomers to the market including US$25 per sq m per month and US$8 to office space. The Factory Phnom Penh located to the US$15 per sq m, respectively. south of the city centre. 61,440 sq m (18%) is scheduled to come Prices of stratified office units remained online in H2 2018, with a further 75,986 Additional facilities and parking flat, ranging from US$2,000 for Grade B sq m (22%) to completed by 2019. spaces are vital in a prospective units to as high as US$4,500 per sq m tenant’s consideration for office 37,776 sq m (11%) and 165,683 sq m for Grade A units. space. Hence, the outlook for existing (49%) will be completed in 2020 and Grade C office buildings is not as Office Sector post 2020, respectively. optimistic, and we expect to see Outlook more landlords plan for refurbishment to keep pace with the market or A gradual increment redevelop into alternative uses. recorded in existing Grade A and B offices office space occupancy remain the preferred choice Occupancy rates are expected to in H1 2018. as more MNC’s are looking remain stable at 80% and 90% for Grade A and Grade B buildings to expand operation in respectively over the short-term whilst The overall occupancy rate was Cambodia. rentals are likely to remain flat despite recorded at 88.5% during H1 2018, a Y-o-Y increase of one percentage point, the increasing demand, due to the The increasing FDI and an influx of despite an additional 30,185 sq m of large incoming supply. MNC’s looking to expand operation incoming supply to the existing stock. in Cambodia has led to an increase Landlords are also likely to provide The occupancy rates for Grade B and C in demand for Grade A and B office additional incentives such as rent free offices were recorded at 96.0% and buildings in Phnom Penh. periods, stepped rents and free totems 87.4% as at H1 2018, a slight increase or signages in order to maintain or In view of the above, coupled with the from 94.8% and 86.6%, respectively, increase occupancy. high occupancy rate (average of 88.5% over the same period in 2017. as at H1 2018), developers are starting However, the occupancy rate for Grade A to tap into the commercial market, and office rose significantly from 59.8% more specifically the office sector. during H1 2017 to 73.4% as at H1 2018, an increase of 13.6 percentage points YoY. Currently, there are only two Grade FIGURE 3 A offices in Phnom Penh, Exchange CUMULATIVE PHNOM PENH OFFICE SUPPLY Square and Vattanac Capital. Both located in the CBD area of Phnom Penh, Exchange Square commands a higher Sq m occupancy rate largely due to the strong 800,000 regional reputation of the developer, 700,000 Hongkong Land. 600,000 Prices and Rental 500,000 400,000 Prices and rentals of Grade 300,000 A offices are likely to remain 200,000 flat due to increasing supply. 100,000 Despite the surge in occupancy rates 0 2 008 200 201 201 201 201 201 201 201 201 201 201 Pos 9 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8f 9f 202 recorded during the first half of 2018, 0f t 20 21 rentals for office space across all grades GRADE A GRADE B GRADE C TOTAL and locations are expected to remain flat over the short to medium-term, as supply will almost double by 2020. Source: Knight Frank Research 4
KEY FINDINGS PHNOM PENH RETAIL SECTOR Cambodia’s second AEON Mall AEON Mall Sek Sok City, Cambodia’s largest was officially inaugurated in H1 shopping centre, officially opened its doors in June 2018, adding further supply to the Kingdom’s retail sector. 2018. However, the retail outlook will be of cautious optimism due to significant incoming supply albeit An estimated 392,476 sq m supported by a growing population, rising consumer of retail NLA is due to come spending and Cambodia’s emerging middle class. online post 2020, bringing the total retail supply to 643,718 sq m, an increase of 156%. Supply and Demand bringing the total cumulative supply to 251,305 sq m as at H1 2018. The Following the completion of The Phnom Penh retail additional retail space equated to a YoY AEON Mall Sen Sok City, 70,500 sector is set to expand by growth of 39% in the existing supply. sq m was added to the existing an estimated 296,213 sq m In 2018, five on-going projects are supply, increasing to 251,305 within the next 2 years. scheduled for completion, contributing sq m as at H1 2018. a further 115,013 sq m to the retail stock; As the retail industry in Phnom Penh these include Downtown 93 (6,994 sq m), continues to thrive, AEON Mall Sen Parkson Phnom Penh City Centre (70,200 The average occupancy rate Sok City opened its doors in Q2 2018. sq m), The Lane (9,000 sq m) and The Park reached new heights as at H1 As Cambodia’s second stand alone Community Mall (10,000 sq m). 2018 at 92.1%, a YoY increase of international mall, AEON Mall Sen Sok 4.7 percentage points over the Downtown 93, Parkson Phnom Penh City City is currently the largest shopping Centre and The Lane are all located within same period. centre in Phnom Penh boasting a the city centre whilst the others are located NLA of 70,500 sq m, equipped with in suburban areas. Should all the projects Cambodia’s first IMAX cinema, an CapitaLand, Asia’s largest complete as scheduled, 2018 will see the indoor theme park and a water park, mall operator, has inked an largest incoming retail space supply on agreement to manage an on- AEON Mall Sen Sok City is a standout record; a total increase in supply of 113% going shopping centre slated amongst its competitors in Phnom (including AEON Mall Sen Sok City). for completion post 2020, Penh, achieving an occupancy rate of An estimated 392,476 sq m of retail NLA which forms part of The Peak. approximately 95% upon opening, and will come online post 2020, accumulating is following the global trend of malls a total retail space of 643,781 sq m becoming an entertainment and leisure hub There has been a noticeable post 2020; an increase of 156%. With a rather than purely a shopping destination. shift toward the development significant incoming supply in the pipeline, of Community Malls as local AEON Mall Sen Sok City added 70,500 rental rates over the medium to long term developers seek to enter the sq m to the existing stock of retail space are likely to face downwards pressure. market. FIGURE 4 PHNOM PENH SUPPLY AND DEMAND OF RETAIL SPACE Sq m % 700,000 35 600,000 30 500,000 25 400,000 20 300,000 15 200,000 10 100,000 5 0 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 Po 0 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 st f f f 20 AEON 2 20 SUPPLY (LHS) VACANCY RATE (RHS) Source: Knight Frank Research 5
CAMBODIA REAL ESTATE HIGHLIGHTS PHNOM PENH The overall occupancy rate reached new During H2 2018, there will be an retailers. The latest in the pipeline slated heights during H1 2018 at 92.1%, a YoY additional 115,013 sq m of NLA coming for completion this year is The Park, increase of 4.7 percentage points over online and this will likely impact rents located in Chbar Ampov, south-east of the same period. Prime shopping malls as mall operators seek to retain both Phnom Penh city centre. recorded an occupancy close to 97% existing tenants and anchor tenants as Also in the pipeline for completion in 2018 whilst Secondary retail malls recorded well as attracting new tenants. is the Parkson City Centre and The Bridge an occupancy of 85%. Vattanac retail retail podium. Parkson is a major mall Retail Sector Outlook podium, one of the prime shopping operator originating from Malaysia with malls, is now 96% occupied with the extensive mall networks spanning across new arrivals of upscale international Much of 2018’s anticipation was focused the South East Asia region and will be the brands such as L’Occitanne, Stefano on the opening of AEON Mall Sen Sok first international competition for AEON. Ricci, Santomi and Jimmy Choo. City. Equipped with the country’s As Cambodia’s rapid growth With the significant supply of retail space first IMAX cinema, this shopping mall continues unabated, along with rising coming online post 2020, the overall has brought Cambodia’s cinematic disposable incomes, we anticipate vacancy is forecast to increase to 20%. experience to a new level. to see more European and American However, with Cambodia’s emerging H1 2018 also saw the opening of Circle brands gradually entering the market middle class driving consumption K, a new US-based convenience store. increasing the retail offer. growth, more international Asian brands Originating from the US and now Canadian- are entering the market, leading to However, due to a potential oversupply owned, Circle K is a 24-hour convenience robust demand for international standard situation by 2020, the retail sector outlook store. With a planned expansion of an shopping centres and higher occupancy is one of cautious optimism. The future additional 300 stores nationwide, it will rates in prime shopping malls. incoming supply will likely place downwards be interesting to see how Circle K will pressure on rental and occupancy rates. CapitaLand, one of Asia’s largest mall differentiate itself to compete with current Mall operators in Cambodia will be required operators, recently inked an agreement to offerings such as Kiwi Mart, Smile, AEON to develop more creative marketing manage a luxury retail mall in The Peak. Max Value and other local stores. strategies and promotional events to Currently an on-going project, it is a joint We anticipate the food & beverage increase traffic to the retail malls. venture project undertaken by Singapore- segment to continue to witness an upward based Oxley Group and local developer, Notwithstanding the above, with limited trend due to Cambodia’s emerging middle Worldbridge Land. Upon completion, it will good quality and well-managed shopping glass and increasing popularity amongst comprise a five-storey retail podium (24,154 centres in the capital city, coupled with younger generation consumers. sq m NLA) with high-rise condominiums, improvements in the standard of living and office space and the Shangri-La Hotel atop The buoyant trend for community malls public infrastructure, as well as growing of the retail podium are favoured by the younger generation purchasing power amongst its population, whom are more “brand conscious” as they there is potential for the development of Notwithstanding the data indicators, feature mainly food & beverage, fashion more international standard shopping which bode well in the near future for the and entertainment retailers. Community centres in Phnom Penh, however, new retail market, it is anticipated to become malls generally command a lower rental malls will need to differentiate from increasingly challenging for mall operators due to them being located in a more the existing offering in order to ensure as the retail space per capita in Phnom decentralised area, which is beneficial for sustainable foot traffic to attract retailers. Penh is set to almost triple by 2020. Community malls in Cambodia are currently trending with food & beverage FIGURE 5 and entertainment retailers being AEON SEN SOK VS OVERALL PHNOM PENH TENANT MIX the major driver. The most recent inauguration in 2018 is Eden Garden which is fully occupied. Prices and Rental OVERALL PHNOM AEON SEN SOK PENH Average rents for retail units (below 100 sq m) in prime shopping centres remained flat between H1 2017 and H1 2018. However, a slight increment was noted with the completion of Hongkong F&B (33%, 38%) Automobile (6%, 1%) Banking (1%, 1%) Travel (1%, 0%) Wholesale FMCG (0%, 1%) Health (1%, 0%) Books/Stationery/Toys/Misc. (0%, 1%) Sportswear (2%, 3%) Land’s Exchange Square. Entertainment (5%, 6%) Beauty/Cosmetics (11%, 3%) Electronics (2%, 1%) Education (2%, 2%) Fashion (30%, 41%) Children's 2%, 0%) Homeware (3%, 3%) Secondary mall asking rentals remained unchanged at an average rent of US$18 Note: percentage based on number of units and not net floor area. per sq m per month as at H1 2018. Source: Knight Frank Research 6
KEY FINDINGS PHNOM PENH HOTEL SECTOR The existing supply of hotels Since our last report on Phnom Penh’s hotel sector with 50 rooms and above was recorded at 10,347 rooms in 2015, the tourism and hospitality landscape has across 80 hotels as at H1 2018. evolved rapidly, in line with Cambodia’s strong GDP growth, and will be a key driver of the economy in the The most notable completion years to come. during H1 2018 was the opening of the much anticipated Luxury Rosewood Phnom Penh, adding 175 keys to the existing supply. Supply Upper Upscale segment, followed by Upscale and Upper Midscale hotels Average Daily Rates and The much anticipated (37%) and Midscale & Economy hotels (25%), providing a clear indication of the RevPar for Luxury & Upper opening of the Luxury evolution of the market, shifting away Upscale hotels in Cambodia Rosewood Phnom Penh, as from the traditional ‘backpacker’ image recorded nominal YoY well as the Upper Midscale of Cambodia to one of an up and coming growth of 1.8% and 1.9% Le Castle River Hotel, tourism destination attracting more high- respectively between 2016 added 263 rooms to the value tourists looking for a wider range and 2017. existing stock. of accommodation options. Occupancy rates The average occupancy rate The total supply of hotel rooms was during the same period and recorded at 10,347 as at the end of within the Luxury & Upper H1 2018, reflecting an increase of 21% compared with the same period and room rates Upscale category remained flat at 52% for Cambodia. in 2017, largely attributable to the Despite the optimistic completion of Naga 2, providing and outlook for Phnom Penh’s additional 902 keys. hotel sector, room rates 263 keys were completed during H1 have remained relatively 2018, all of which were located within the flat since 2011 whilst the city centre District of Daun Penh. The average occupancy rate has majority (67%) of the newly completed faired a little better keys were categorised within the Luxury & Upper Upscale segment, with the Tourist arrivals to Cambodia recorded remaining keys within the Upscale & an average annual growth rate of 10.8% Upper Midscale category. between 2007 and 2017, and a YoY Whilst Midscale & Economy hotels growth of 11.7% to 5.6 million in 2017 continue to dominate supply (49%), (figure 7). However, whilst Cambodia developers have seized the opportunity has continued to record strong growth to fill the gap that once existed in the in tourist arrivals and expenditure, and market for internationally branded despite a relatively modest increase in hotels within the Upscale & Upper the supply of hotel rooms between 2016 Midscale segment, as well as the and 2017, the average occupancy rate Midscale & Economy segment, with remained flat YoY at 52%. several local developers teaming up Analysing the performance of the sector with international brands including over a longer timeframe goes some Courtyard Marriott, Novotel, Fairfield way to understanding why the average Marriott and Ibis Styles. daily rates and RevPar have remained Between H2 2018 and Post 2020, relatively flat since 2011 (figure 8), with an additional 2,452 hotel rooms are the supply of hotel rooms increasing by scheduled for completion, the majority more than 145%, equating to a supply of of which (38%) are within the Luxury & just over 1,000 rooms per annum. ROSEWOOD HOTEL, VATTANAC CAPITAL 7
CAMBODIA REAL ESTATE HIGHLIGHTS PHNOM PENH FIGURE 6 EXISTING & FUTURE INTERNATIONAL OPERATORS BY ORIGIN AND MARKET SEGMENTATION EXISTING & FUTURE INTERNATIONAL OPERATORS BY ORIGIN EXISTING (%): FUTURE OPERATORS (%): EXISTING (%): FUTURE OPERATORS (%): 37% 32% 17% 14% 50% 20% 16% 14% 37% 32% 17% 14% 50% 20% 16% 14% FRENCH JAPANESE CHINESE MALAYSIAN AMERICAN CHINESE JAPANESE FRENCH Accor Toyoko inn Rosewood Sunway Marriott Shangri-la Starts Accor FRENCH JAPANESE CHINESE MALAYSIAN AMERICAN CHINESE JAPANESE FRENCH Sofitel, Raffles Courtyard, Fairfield Emion Novotel Accor Toyoko inn Rosewood Sunway Marriott Hyatt Shangri-la Starts Accor Total beds: Sofitel, 376 Raffles Total beds: 328 Total beds: 175 Total beds: 138 Courtyard, Fairfield Total beds: 300 Total beds: 240 Emion Total beds: 200 Novotel Hyatt Regency Total beds: 376 Total beds: 328 Total beds: 175 Total beds: 138 Hyatt Total beds: 300 Total beds: 240 Total beds: 200 Total Hyattbeds: 739 Regency Total beds: 739 EXISTING & FUTURE MARKET SEGMENTATION EXISTING (%): FUTURE OPERATORS (%): EXISTING (%): FUTURE OPERATORS (%): 20% 32% 37% 20% 32% 37% 54% 54% 14% 43% 14% 43% Luxury & Upper Upscale Luxury Upscale&&Upper UpperUpscale Midscale Upscale Midscale&&Upper Midscale Economy Midscale & Economy 8
Furthermore, within the Luxury & FIGURE 8 Upper Upscale segment, foreign ANNUAL ADR, REVPAR & OCCUPANCY RATE tourists make up more than 95% of (LUXURY + UPPER UPSCALE) hotel guests, with limited historical demand from domestic tourists for the more luxury accommodation options in US$ % the capital, adding further pressure to 200 54 occupancy and room rates. 52 150 Hotel sector outlook 50 48 The recent acquisition of 100 46 the two Raffles hotels in Phnom Penh and Siem 50 44 Reap, the increasing 42 number of international 0 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 40 operators entering the 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 market and the improving connectivity to Cambodia ADR REVPAR OCCUPANCY are all pointing in one direction Source: STR / Knight Frank Research The pace of development in Cambodia strong economic growth, booming has led to an increasing need for more since its recovery from the global construction industry and idyllic leisure suitable accommodation options for a financial crisis has been mind-blowing; destinations have placed Cambodia on more diverse market segmentation. having once been a ‘sleepy backwater’ the world map. The recent acquisition of the Raffles attracting predominantly low value Whilst Angkor Wat in Siem Reap has hotels by Lodgis Hospitality Holdings, a backpacker and thrill-seeking tourists, long been consistently ranked as one joint venture between VinaCapital and the shackles have been well and truly of the world’s top tourist destinations, Warburg Pincus, as well as the slew of broken. the improving regional and global internationally operated hotels either The misconception that people connectivity, as well as domestic under construction or in the development once had toward Cambodia is infrastructure, is opening up the rest of pipeline, gives a clear indication that slowly changing as Cambodia’s Cambodia for tourists to enjoy which the hospitality sector in Cambodia has tremendous growth potential over the short, medium and long-term. None more so than Phnom Penh, FIGURE 7 the capital city and economic hub INTERNATIONAL TOURIST ARRIVALS (2007 - 2017) of Cambodia. Whilst historically the performance of the sector has deterred international operators from entering 6,000,000 4,000 into the market, the tremendous growth prospects in both domestic 3,500 5,000,000 and international tourism, across the 3,000 leisure, business and MICE segments, 4,000,000 has led to intense competition among 2,500 operators vying for developers’ 3,000,000 2,000 attention and eager to sign hotel 1,500 management agreements across a 2,000,000 1,000 range of brands and segments. 1,000,000 500 With Six Senses, Alila, Courtyard 0 0 Marriott Phnom Penh and Shinta Mani 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 Wild, owned and designed by world renowned resort designer, Bill Bensley, INTERNATIONAL TOURIST ARRIVALS (LHS) TOURIST RECEIPTS (US$ MIL) (RHS) all set to open in H2 2018, the future looks bright for Cambodia’s tourism Source: Ministry of Tourism industry. 9
CAMBODIA REAL ESTATE HIGHLIGHTS PHNOM PENH KEY FINDINGS PHNOM PENH SERVICED APARTMENT SECTOR The cumulative supply of An abundant supply of incoming condominiums is serviced apartments in Phnom Penh was recorded at 5,050 likely to weigh down on the historically well-performed units as at H1 2018. serviced apartment sector which is being impacted by increasing competition. Approximately 54% of the existing supply is concentrated in Chamkarmon District, followed by Daun Penh (13%) Supply The View Residence is slated for completion during H2 2018. The majority and Toul Kork (12%). Notable launches in H1 of units within The View Residence will 2018 in the serviced be operated as serviced apartments, An additional 990 serviced apartment sector included managed by the developer, Grand apartments are due to The View Residence, a Richfortune Company Ltd. Located in BKK 1, The View Residence will be a complete by the end of 2018, high-end luxury hotel-style high-end luxury hotel-style serviced of which 82% are located in level of serviced residence residence. Chamkarmon, 15% in Daun in BKK 1, Phnom Penh Penh and 3% in Toul Kork. As at H1 2018, Chamkarmon continued The cumulative supply of serviced to dominate more than half of the market apartments in Phnom Penh was share with 54% of serviced apartments, Chamkarmon remains the top recorded at 5,050 units as at H1 2018; followed by Daun Penh at 13% and location and most sought after, an increase of approximately 11% Toul Kork (12%). The remaining units are particularly amongst foreigners, compared with the same period in 2017. distributed around Sen Sok, 7 Makara, due to its close proximity to Chroy Chongvar and Meanchey. eateries, entertainment outlets, Newcomer, Queen Mansion, providing retail and tourist attractions. an additional 24 mid-tier units, Of the total 5,050 units, 2,940 units completed during the first half of 2018. (58%) are mid-tier, 938 units (19%) are Located in the most desirable residential high-end whilst 1,172 units (23%) are In view of the incoming supply mass market. In the foreseeable future, neighbourhood in Chamkarmon District, and a glut in the condominium we expect growth in the supply trend of Toul Tom Pong area, it comprises only sector, we anticipate downwards 1-bedroom units. serviced apartments to moderate due pressure on asking rentals as to the significant incoming supply of well as occupancy rates. During H2 2018, an additional 990 condominiums. serviced apartments are expected to complete and be ready to move in to, reflecting an increase of 20%. FIGURE 9 CUMULATIVE SUPPLY OF SERVICED APARTMENTS (2009 - 2019F) No. UNITS 7,000 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 0 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 f f EXISTING SUPPLY NEW/ADDED SUPPLY ROSEWOOD HOTEL, VATTANAC CAPITAL Source: Knight Frank Research 10
Rental Location wise, 7 Makara has overtaken rates dropped by 12%, whilst the mid- Chamkarmon at 86% in terms of tier and mass-market remained flat. occupancy rate, due to its centralised We anticipate to see further downward As at H1 2018, the average location compared with other districts pressure as serviced apartment rental rate for high-end and lower rental rates. Following closely operators compete to maintain units was recorded at behind is Chamkarmon district at 84% occupancy rates. US$22 per sq m, a 12% and Daun Penh at 81%. drop from US$25 per sq m Demand for serviced apartments relies heavily on expatriates and will continue in H2 2017. Serviced Apartment to be sustained by such demographic Sector Outlook We started seeing a gradual decrease over the short-term. With growth in the in rental rates for high-end serviced expatriate population expected to be moderate, operators will need to target apartments during 2017 and we Occupancy rates have other market segments expect this trend to continue. With the shown an increase increasing competition of serviced apartments, and further incoming supply despite growing supply. However, This sector is increasing of condominiums, rental rates will However, the serviced supported by Cambodia’s tourism continue to face downwards pressure. apartment sector may industry, and as tourist arrivals continue to record positive growth, we will see become saturated due to the entry of more international serviced The above not withstanding, the the abundant supply of apartment operators. average rental rates for mid-tier and mass-market segments remained flat condominiums coming from H1 2017, recorded at US$13 per online in H2 2018. Landlords and serviced apartment operators of older buildings will need sq m and US$7 per sq m, respectively. Despite condominium supply swelling, to undertake refurbishment, works and the average occupancy rate across conduct regular maintenance of their Occupancy the serviced apartment sector was not properties as competition intensifies adversely affected during H1 2018. It with upcoming new condominiums and Despite the increase does, however, come at a cost, where service apartments. in supply of both serviced apartment operators need to be Traditionally, landlords and service more flexible when negotiating tenancy condominiums and serviced terms and rents. apartment operators have been able apartments, the average to command high rental rates based occupancy rate across With increasing competition and supply, on the lack of supply. However, we are already seeing a shift towards all segments for serviced rental rates are expected to face a tenant’s market due to incoming further downwards pressure. During apartment increased to H1 2018, the high-end segment rental condominium supply. 75% as at H1 2018. In contrast to the high end segment which recorded an average of 54% occupancy, FIGURE 10 FIGURE 11 the mid-tier and mass-market segments EXISTING SUPPLY BY DISTRICT QUARTERLY MONTHLY ASKING recorded average occupancies of 80% RENTS FOR HIGH-END UNITS and 84%, respectively. 4,000 The high-end segment average occupancy rate dropped from 61% recorded in H2 3,500 2017, whilst the mid-tier and mass-market 3,000 increased marginally, despite the increase of supply for these two segments. 2,500 The main market for serviced 1,500 apartments in Phnom Penh continues to be expatriates and foreign workers from 1,000 neighbouring countries. To cope with declining demand, serviced apartment 0 Chamkarmon 54% Daun Penh 13% operators are increasingly flexible in 3Q16 4Q16 1Q17 2Q17 3Q17 4Q17 1Q18 2Q18 Toul Kork 12% Chroy Changvar 8% terms of stay duration, offering rentals Sen Sok 2% Mean Chey 1% for short term tenants ranging from 1 BED 2 BED 3 BED 7 Makara 10% monthly to daily stays. Source: Knight Frank Research Source: Knight Frank Research 11
CAMBODIA REAL ESTATE HIGHLIGHTS PHNOM PENH KEY FINDINGS PHNOM PENH CONDOMINIUM SECTOR Existing supply in Phnom Penh Despite a moderation in sales of high-end currently stands at 44 projects (11,675 units) following the condominiums, developers remained optimistic with completion of 10 new projects seven new launches in H1 2018 during H1 2018. The sales rate of monitored Supply and Demand Despite the high number of on-going projects coming online in 2018, stock continued to moderate, As at H1 2018, following developers remained active with seven recorded at 11% as at H1 the completion of 10 new new off-plan launches identified during 2018, a 1 percentage point drop from H2 2017 as further projects, the number of H1 2018 adding 7,823 units to the future supplies accumulate to the existing projects stood at supply. They comprised Urban Village (840 units), Residence Bel Air (82 units), existing stock. 44 with an accumulated Residence L Bueng Tapon (600 units), 11,675 units; an increase R&F Properties (5,232 units), East Due to the sluggish sales of 57% from H2 2017. Sen Sok (500 units) Yue Tai Garden rate for high-end units, new (420 units) and L’Attrait BKK (149 units). Of the 11,675 units, 4,569 units were mid- launches in H1 2018 were tier whilst 7,106 were high-end. H1 2018 Post 2021, assuming all the identified predominantly within the saw the completion of 10 new projects, projects are completed, the total number mid-tier segment. namely Diamond One, The Bhumi Emerald, of units will stand at approximately 43,337; Bellavita, Residence L BTB, J Tower resulting in an increase of 274%. For mid-tier projects targeting Condominium, The Bridge, Prince Plaza, Location wise, as at H1 2018, the domestic purchasers, Appennines, Residence L Olympic and existing condominiums were mostly developers are providing Infinity 28. Also completed were parts concentrated in Chamkarmon District additional incentives to home of Olympia City, Block C3 and C4 which (49%), a highly sought after location contributed 500 and 300 units to the existing buyers such as discounts, for both residential and commercial stock, respectively. flexibility in down payment properties. This is followed by 7 Makara terms, longer tenure loans An additional 33 on-going projects are (16%), Chroy Changvar (15%) and and increasingly competitive slated for completion by the end of 2018, Toul Kork (6%). The rest are distributed interest rates. providing an additional 11,129 units, around Sen Sok, Daun Penh, Chbar almost doubling the existing supply. Of Ampov, Russey Keo and Meanchey. the 11,129 units, 3,340 units are mid-tier It is worth noting that Sen Sok will whilst 7,789 are high-end units. comprise a larger share in the near future, making up 31%, as its location is near the recently inaugurated AEON Mall Sen Sok City which has attracted developers to the area. FIGURE 12 SALES OF NEWLY LAUNCHED CONDOMINIUMS BY QUARTER In contrast to previous years, future incoming supply is moving towards mid-tier as opposed to high-end units. Assuming all 8,000 2,500 launched projects complete on schedule, 2,000 in 2019, mid-tier units comprise 3,556 units 6,000 (81%) and high-end units comprise 822 1,500 units (19%). In 2020, mid-tier units comprise 4,000 2,406 units (66%) whilst high-end units 1,000 comprise 1,239 units (34%). 2,000 500 Although the overall sales rate moderated - - during H1 2018, the number of units Q3 2016 Q4 2016 Q1 2017 Q2 2017 Q3 2017 Q4 2017 Q1 2018 Q2 2018 sold increased by 9% to 2,020. This is Units Launched Units Sold Average Price US$/psm primarily contributed by the sale of mid-tier units. Source: Knight Frank Research 12
Prices and Rental to US$25 per sq m in prime locations while outer areas commanded rents of suburban areas because land prices in Phnom Penh city are increasingly costly Prices across all segments between US$8 to US$12 per sq m. and it is no longer viable for developers to remained largely flat between provide mid-tier condominiums at afford- H2 2017 and H1 2018, Condominium able pricing within the city centre. whilst the high-end segment Sector Outlook As for high-end condominiums, we recorded a slight decrease expect to see stagnation in terms from an average of US$3,000 As supply outpaces of pricing as the supply outpaces to US$2,944 per sq m during demand for high-end demand. However, the inflow of foreign the same period. condominiums, affordable investments and increasing Chinese mid-tier condominiums are investors has helped underpin property Notable launches during H1 2018 still sought-after by domestic demand, some of whom are investing included Urban Village, located in the purchasers due to the on en-bloc basis (whole block). Phnom Penh Harbour, a large-scale development suburban areas south of Phnom Penh city centre, which is a combination of mid-tier emerging middle class and undertaken by Yuetai Group, has started condominiums, co-working space, retail rapid urbanisation rate. pre-sales for their riverside development and an entertainment hub, with asking for sale on an en-bloc basis. Developers are increasingly required to de- prices starting from US$59,500 for one vise creative marketing strategies to entice To conclude, despite the concerns of a bedroom units. domestic buyers. Attractive incentives such condominium glut, we do not foresee a East Sen Sok, another mid-tier project as no down payment, special discounts, significant impact on the overall sector. located in an up and coming suburban lucky draw, free electrical items,, competi- The rental market, however, will be area close to AEON Mall Sen Sok City, tive interest rates and longer loan tenure are more competitive due to the significant recorded asking prices of between provided to attract first time home buyers. increase in supply, hence landlords will US$39,620 to US$47,540 for smaller units. be required to be more flexible in lease To cater to the local market, we continue terms and rental pricing. The overall average asking price to see developers launching projects in of mid-tier units as at H1 2018 was outside city districts, enabling them to Most foreign buyers of high-end recorded at US$1,582 per sq m, a target the domestic market by offering condominiums are cash investors in slight decrease from US$1,600 during more affordable units. Cambodia, therefore the short-term H2 2017. High-end units also saw a oversupply is unlikely to have any significant The condominium market in Phnom Penh is slight decrease to US$2,944 per sq m, adverse effects on the wider market as still in its infancy, largely due to limited local both due to the swelling condominium investors are able to hold on to their units demand. As with any developed market, supply and stunted sales rate. until the market shows improvement, or demand needs to be driven predominantly until we see the gap between asking prices As the supply has doubled since H2 by the domestic market to be sustainable and domestic incomes narrow. It will be 2017, and with more units to come online over the medium and long-term. interesting to see the robustness of the by the end of 2018, we anticipate asking secondary sub-sale market as purchasers The growth from domestic buyers for rents to face downward pressure. The of off-plan units now look to sell the affordable mid-tier units has prompted asking rental currently stands at US$15 properties and realise their profits. developers to shift new launches to FIGURE 13 FIGURE 14 CUMULATIVE SUPPLY QUARTERLY SALES OF MONITORED AND AVAILABLE CONDOMINIUMS (2009 - POST 2021) (3Q2015-2Q2018) 60,000 No. UNITS % 12000 22% 21% 25 18% 19% 10000 17% 20 40,000 15% 14% 8000 13% 11% 12% 15 6000 9% 10 20,000 4000 3% 5 2000 0 0 0 f Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 09 11 13 15 17 19 21 201 5 201 5 201 6 201 6 201 6 201 6 201 7 201 7 201 7 201 7 201 8 201 8 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 UNITS AVAILABLE AND MONITORED (LHS) UNITS SOLD (LHS) SALES RATE (RHS) EXISTING SUPPLY INCOMING SUPPLY Source: Knight Frank Research Source: Knight Frank Research 13
CAMBODIA REAL ESTATE HIGHLIGHTS SIEM REAP SIEM REAP H1 2018 REVIEW Overview Located approximately 231 kilometres However, there has been a noticeable With the announcement of a new airport northeast of Phnom Penh, Siem increase in investment activity during – now under construction and due for Reap is the capital city of Siem Reap the past two years, particularly within completion by 2023 – as well as the Province and is Cambodia’s top tourist the retail sector to cater to the growing completed improvement works to National destination. Covering an area of 10.3 number of tourist arrivals, as well the first Road 6, we anticipate significant growth in square kilometres the population large-scale borey development, Borey investment into the province with numerous is estimated to be in the region of The Angkor Royal Palace. projects already touted, including a water 1,000,000, whilst Siem Reap City park and theme park providing more varied accounts for approximately 20% of the tourism offerings and opportunities across total population at 200,000. a number of real estate sectors. Often voted as one of the world’s top tourist attractions, Siem Reap Province is home to the Angkor Archaeological Park, a UNESCO world heritage site located in Angkor Thom District, attracting millions of international and domestic tourists annually (figure 16) who flock to see the iconic Angkor Wat and the surrounding ruins and remnants of art, culture and architecture with well preserved murals, stone carvings and religious statues creating a depiction of life in the Khmer Empire during the 9th to 15th century. Just south of Siem Reap City is the Tonle Sap lake, the largest fresh water lake in Southeast Asia, which plays a major role in the province’s ecosystem PROPOSED SIEM REAP AIRPORT (ARCHITECT RENDERING) and biodiversity, as well as an abundant supply of fresh water fish meeting more than half of the country’s demand. FIGURE 16 NUMBER OF INTERNATIONAL TOURISTS TO ANGKOR WAT AND TOTAL The above notwithstanding, Siem Reap REVENUE (2010-2016) has attracted nominal FDI as compared with Phnom Penh and, more recently, Sihanoukville. This is largely attributable US$ No. of Tourists to three factors; firstly, development 80,000,000 2,500,000 within the Apsara Zone restricts the height of building to 4 storeys – no 2,000,000 60,000,000 buildings should be higher than Angkor 1,500,000 Wat. This makes Siem Reap a less 40,000,000 attractive investment proposition as 1,000,000 developers are restricted in terms of 20,000,000 500,000 permissible projects. Secondly, Siem Reap’s economy is largely driven by the 0 0 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 tourism industry and lacks diversification. Lastly, at 200,000, the population of Siem TOTAL INTL. VISITORS TOTAL REVENUE Reap is relatively small. Source: Knight Frank Research / Apsara Authority 14
SIEM REAP’S APSARA ZONE 15
CAMBODIA REAL ESTATE HIGHLIGHTS SIEM REAP HOTEL SECTOR With the Cambodian tourism industry Seeing great potential in the Siem Reap Between 2005 and 2010, the supply of only opening back up after the 1991 tourism market, several global hotel hotel rooms in Siem Reap more than Paris Peace Treaty, the tourism sector operators entered the market and the doubled (figure 18), with the hotel sector in the Kingdom recorded nominal city now boasts more Luxury and Upper becoming increasingly competitive growth during the early 1990s and early Upscale hotels than the country’s which has negatively impacted on 2000s, with Cambodian tourist arrivals capital, Phnom Penh. The most recent average daily rates and occupancy rates. and receipts recorded at 786,235 and addition of international operators was This is evident by the limited number US$379 million respectively in 2002. the 233 key Courtyard Marriott Siem of hotels scheduled for completion Reap, which opened its doors during H1 Hampered by poor infrastructure between H2 2018 and 2020. As at the 2018 and marked Marriott International and connectivity, as well as a lack of end of H1 2018, the existing supply Inc’s first foray into Cambodia. promotional campaigns undertaken of hotel rooms was record at 11,596. by key stakeholders, Cambodia Other Luxury and Upper Upscale hotels The majority (63%) of which were remained a predominantly low-value, include Raffles Grand d’Angkor, Park within the Upscale & Upper Midscale backpacker destination with the majority Hyatt, Sofitel, Anantara and the luxury category, followed by the Luxury & of hotel accommodation being hostels, Amansara Resort, part of the exclusive Upper Upscale category (24%) and the guesthouses and boutique hotels. Aman Resorts group. Once a residence Midscale & Economy category (13%). for guests of the king, the 1960s New However, driven by the world heritage 541 rooms across four hotels have been Khmer Architecture residence was site of Angkor Wat, Siem Reap has identified within the future supply and meticulously restored and opened as developed into Cambodia’s premier due for completion by 2020, comprising Amansara Resort in 2002. Now offering tourist destination with Angkor Wat Luxury & Upper Upscale hotels (50%), 24 suites, the resort commands some of often entering into ‘Top 10’ lists of the Upscale & Upper Midscale Hotels (29%) the highest room rates in Cambodia. world’s leading tourist attractions. and Midscale & Economy hotels (21%). FIGURE 17 FIGURE 18 INTERNATIONAL TOURIST ARRIVALS TO SIEM REAP SIEM REAP HOTEL CUMULATIVE SUPPLY No Arrivals % No. Rooms 2,600,000 15 14,000 10 12,000 2,400,000 10,000 5 8,000 2,200,000 0 6,000 -5 4,000 2,000,000 -10 2,000 1,800,000 -15 0 20 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 05 006 007 008 009 010 011 012 013 014 015 016 017 018f 019f 020f INTERNATIONAL TOURIST ARRIVALS (LHS) ANNUAL GROWTH (RHS) CUMULATIVE SUPPLY NEW SUPPLY Source: Ministry of Tourism Source: Knight Frank Research OUTLOOK: With increasing connectivity between the three main cities in Cambodia, the construction of the new Siem Reap airport and pending entry of additional passenger airlines to Siem Reap, the medium and long-term outlook for the Siem Reap hotel sector is positive, and the market continues to capture the interest of international luxury hotels catering to a rapidly evolving tourist market. However, whilst the Angkor Archeological Park should be on everyone’s ‘bucket list’; there is a need for more tourism offerings in the province to encourage tourists to stay longer and to also target repeat visitation; typically, a large percentage of international tourists to Siem Reap never return once they have visited Angkor Wat. There is also an excellent opportunity for Siem Reap to tap into the growing Meetings, Incentives, Conferencing, Exhibitions (MICE) market, and there should be a concerted effort between key stakeholders to actively promote Cambodia and Siem Reap on the global stage. 16
RETAIL SECTOR Notwithstanding that Siem Reap continues to retain its position as the main tourist destination in Cambodia, the local resident population is comparatively small and there has been limited development of purpose- built shopping malls. Whilst tourists contribute towards foot traffic at shopping malls in major cities, they alone cannot support a large-scale shopping mall development. Thus, the current retail offering in Siem Reap is dominated by shop-houses and local markets, particularly around the area surrounding Pub Street, providing boutique shops, a plethora KOULEN SHOPPING MALL (ARCHITECT RENDERING) of restaurants, and souvenirs and handicrafts at the local markets. the existing retail supply is located Despite the small population size of It is only within the past few years that in the District of Siem Reap and the Siem Reap, there are several larger-scale purpose-built retail malls have started to malls are all below 10,000 sq m, which retail malls that are under construction be developed, albeit on a relatively small would classify them as Community or and due to open in 2018 and 2019, scale, more akin to department stores as Neighbourhood shopping malls. including The Heritage Walk which will opposed to shopping malls. provide a gross area of 40,000 square Two out of the eight existing malls These include Lucky Mall, Angkor Trade metres and has already secured several are categorised as prime retail space, Centre, Thai Hout supermarket, Angkor anchor tenants, many of which are food being the Angkor Duty Free Store and Fashion Plaza, King’s Road Angkor, the & beverage retailers. T-Galleria, however, they are both duty Angkor Duty Free, T-Galleria and the free outlets and, technically, Cambodian With the official opening of The Heritage recently opened Asia Plaza Supermarket. residents cannot purchase goods Walk expected during H2 2018 and As at the end of H1 2018, the total from these malls as you are required the scheduled completion of Koulen cumulative supply of retail space in to provide travel documentation Shopping Mall by 2020, the total supply Siem Reap was recorded at 28,125 confirming that you are visiting of retail space is Siem Reap will more sq m of net lettable area (NLA). All of Cambodia on holiday. than double to approximately 73,000 square metres of NLA FIGURE 19 CUMULATIVE SUPPLY OF RETAIL SPACE IN SIEM REAP OUTLOOK: Although the trade area demographics in Sqm Siem Reap are not as appealing to retailers 80,000 as compared with Phnom Penh, we are beginning to see increasing investment in 60,000 the retail sector, underpinned by a growing population, increasing consumer spending and the projected growth in tourist arrivals 40,000 over the medium and long-term, with 2017 registering the highest number of arrivals 20,000 on record. 0 Whilst the retail sector will grow at a 201 201 201 201 201 201 201 201 201 201 202 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8f 9f 0f slower pace compared with Phnom CUMULATIVE SUPPLY NEWLY COMPLETED Penh, there is still room in the market to sustain additional retail formats and several large scale regional shopping Source: Knight Frank Research malls are believed to be in the workings. 17
CAMBODIA REAL ESTATE HIGHLIGHTS SIEM REAP RESIDENTIAL SECTOR Largely attributable to the height Kramaeuk, Siem Reap and Sronger development has also been launched, restrictions in force within the Apsara communes, providing 263 serviced Borey Angkor Palace located, in close Zone, the small size of Siem Reap city apartment units. proximity to one of Cambodia’s top golf and the large availability of land on clubs, the Nick Faldo designed Angkor The serviced apartments available within the city outskirts, the development of Golf Resort. the city have 4 levels or less due to the condominiums has been non-existent; strict height restrictions implemented Covering an area of approximately 13.5 low-rise development has generally been as part of the Apsara Zone protection hectares, Borey Angkor Palace provides in the form of shop houses, apartment scheme. These buildings typically offer a combination of shop houses, link blocks, small-scale, locally-owned 30 units or below. houses, twin houses and queen villas, serviced apartments and private villas. as well as leisure facilities. Due to the The above notwithstanding, 2016 Furthermore, Siem Reap is mainly project’s success, the developer will saw the announcement of a new seen as a tourism hub and is not yet soon launch a second project in the development proposed for Siem Reap, on the radar of many holiday home province. Les Bijoux D’Angkor, undertaken by purchasers or retirees so the market RGL Equity (Siem Reap). The project will As well as the larger scale projects, for condominiums historically has provide 84 apartments within a gated there are also a number of smaller scale been limited. community, comprising one bedroom projects, such as Phum Barang which As at the end of H1 2018, there were no and three bedroom duplex units located won Best Residential Development completed condominium developments along the Siem Reap River on the way to (Siem Reap) at the 2017 Cambodia in Siem Reap. the Anchor Archeological Park. Property awards. We have identified 14 purpose- To cater to growing demand for built serviced apartment buildings residential accommodation in the within Sla Kram, Svay Dangkum, Sla province, the first large scale borey TWIN VILLA – BOREY ANGKOR PALACE (ARCHITECT RENDERING) LES BIJOUX D’ANGKOR (ARCHITECT RENDERING) OUTLOOK: Whilst condominium development has generally been confined to Phnom Penh, we see a gap in the residential market in Siem Reap, which has the potential to attract both foreign and domestic investors looking to invest in the condominium market but are wary of the oversupply situation in Phnom Penh’s residential sector. An increase in the number of investors taking interest in Siem Reap can be expected due to recently completed infrastructure providing greater accessibility from overseas destinations and from other major cities such as Phnom Penh and Sihanoukville. At present, quality residential accommodation is lacking, predominantly due to limited historical demand. However, there is growing demand from wealthy Cambodians in Siem Reap as well as those based in Phnom Penh and we anticipate more borey developments to be launched in the coming years. 18
SIHANOUKVILLE H1 2018 REVIEW OVERVIEW Sihanoukville, the capital of Sihanouk the on-going road widening of National expressway linking Phnom Penh to Province, is situated in the south- Road 4 by the Japanese International Sihanoukville. This new expressway, west coastal region of Cambodia, Corporation Agency (JICA). expected to begin construction in H2 approximately 230 kilometres from the 2018, will improve travelling time and Additionally, the growth of Sihanoukville City of Phnom Penh. Renowned for its facilitate goods transportation. The will benefit from the new multi-purpose coastal beaches and tropical islands, announcements of the abovementioned terminal addition to the Sihanoukville the province is becoming a major tourist infrastructure improvements has further Autonomous Port (SAP). Launched in Q2 destination and a growing industrial hub. contributed to the rapid growth of the 2018, this new terminal can handle more Sihanoukville is an emerging market in Sihanoukville real estate market, despite than twice the current capacity. Cambodia, currently experiencing a real the upcoming election. estate boom fuelled and supported by SAP, Cambodia’s only operational deep- Land pricing in central city and seafront rising Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) sea port, is the main gateway by sea into locations has increased two to three- and diversified economic drivers. Cambodia and acts as the key economic fold during the past two years due to the path for import and export between During 2017, Sihanoukville welcomed recent influx of Chinese investors. This Cambodia and other countries. approximately 2.5 million visitors, has prompted not only the development of which 470,000 comprised foreign With support from JICA, a new Japanese of high-rise residential projects on tourists. Sihanoukville’s sudden spike Official Development Assistance (ODA) the coast of Sihanoukville, but also in tourist arrivals – by 120% since was executed last year for additional international hotel chains and casinos. 2016, has prompted investors’ interest, terminal extensions to cope with with a particular focus on gaming and increasing logistics traffic in Cambodia. hospitality. As part of China’s One Belt, One Supported by the government, Road initiative, a toll-road concession Sihanoukville is set to benefit agreement was signed between from numerous infrastructure and Cambodia and a Chinese state-owned transportation improvements, including company to construct a new four-lane What’s needed to sustain economic growth ? Commitment to Reduction in the More spending on cost of doing transparency infrastructure business, and improved projects particularly market utility cost regulation Investment in the A comprehensive education system master plan and to address land use zoning the skill gap for the province 19
CAMBODIA REAL ESTATE HIGHLIGHTS SIHANOUKVILLE CONDOMINIUM SECTOR Prior to the tourist industry boom, high- Meanwhile, Grand Lion Group Sales of newly launched projects rise residential projects in Sihanoukville announced its first project in during H1 2018 was recorded at 50%, were non-existant. The first high-rise Sihanoukville; Lyon D’Or, a mixed whilst the overall sales rate of all residential project was launched in 2015 development comprising 888 residential monitored developments was recorded and was a pioneer in the market. units, a Marriott branded hotel and at approximately 60% indicating luxury retail podium. The project is healthy demand. As at Q2 2018, there were no completed expected to launch during 2019. condominiums in Sihanoukville. The sudden influx of developers has seen However, 2,866 units are expected to An additional 15 projects were identified some offering special incentives to buyers. be delivered by the end of 2018 across providing an additional 8,383 units Phase 1 of Sunshine Bay was fully sold, three projects, namely, Sunshine Bay, to the future condominium stock due largely due to developers providing a D’Seaview and Blue Bay. for completion between 2018 and strong rental guarantee. Other incentives post 2020, These condominiums will offered include loans for foreigners and During H1 2018, two smaller scale dramatically change the skyline of flexible repayment schemes. projects were launched; The 28 Sihanoukville. Mithona and The New Nordic, Pricing for the first two projects launched contributing 350 units and 136 units All of the proposed and on-going in 2015 started from US$1,800 per sq m respectively to the supply pipeline. developments are located in Mittapheap of net saleable area. As at H1 2018, newly The first phase of a larger scale district. Most of the projects are focused launched projects recorded selling prices project, Sihanouk City View in Sangkat Bei (76%, 6,399units), followed from US$1,100 per sq m to US$2,300 per undertaken by BS Group, was also by Sangkat Boun (16%, 1,336 units) and sq m. The average selling price of mid-tier launched adding 1,200 units to the Sangkat Pir (8%, 648 units). 51% of the units started from US$1,000 per sq m to future supply. units are within the high-end segment US$1,800 per sq m whilst high-end units whilst 49% are in the mid-tier segment. ranged between US$2,000 to US$3,000 per sq m as at H1 2018. FIGURE 20 FIGURE 21 DISTRIBUTION OF CONDOMINIUM LAUNCHES IN SIHANOUKVILLE CONDOMINIUM CUMULATIVE SIHANOUKVILLE (2015- 2Q2018) SUPPLY (2018F-POST 2020) 10,000 Sangkat 1 Koh Rong 5,000 Sangkat 2 Sangkat 4 0 Sangkat 3 2018f 2019f 2020f post 2020f 0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 CUMULATIVE SUPPLY NEW SUPPLY Source: Knight Frank Research Source: Knight Frank Research OUTLOOK: Foreign investors first started to acquire land in Sihanoukville back in the early 2000s, seeing its great potential and believing it would be the next Phuket. However, with limited investment in infrastructure, as well as the onset of the global financial crisis, the development of Sihanoukville ground to a halt and it is only since 2016 that the market has seen significant investment into Sihanoukville’s real estate sector. Unlike Siem Reap, Sihanoukville is more than just a tourist destination; it is an economic hub, home to Cambodia’s only operational deep sea port as well a numerous industrial zones and agricultural opportunities, providing Sihanoukville with excellent long-term growth potential. As the city continues to grow, so too will demand for residential accommodation and we see good medium to long-term potential in this sector. 20
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