BUILDING CLIMATE RESILIENCY IN NEW YORK CITY - Adam Freed Deputy Director, New York City Mayor's Office of Long-Term Planning and Sustainability ...
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BUILDING CLIMATE RESILIENCY IN
NEW YORK CITY
Adam Freed
Deputy Director, New York City Mayor’s Office
of Long-Term Planning and Sustainability
afreed@cityhall.nyc.gov
11
On Earth Day in 2007, Mayor Bloomberg released a
comprehensive sustainability plan to create a greener, more
sustainable city
PlaNYC is a roadmap to achieve 10 goals:
1 Create enough housing for our growing population
2 Ensure all New Yorkers have parks within a 10-minute walk
3 Clean up all contaminated land in New York City
4 Develop water network back-up systems
5 Open 90% of our waterways and protect natural areas
6 Improve travel times by adding transit capacity for millions
Achieve “State Of Good Repair” on our transportation
7
system
8 Upgrade our energy infrastructure to provide clean energy
9 Achieve the cleanest air of any big city in America
10 Reduce global warming emissions by 30%
22
Cities face a number of challenges in attempting to
become more resilient to climate
• Availability (or over-availability) of climate
change projections
• Frequent disconnect between research
and practitioners
• Overlapping jurisdictions
• Need to build beyond current
specifications
• Getting stakeholders to focus on
incremental individual actions as well as
“big fixes”
• “Day After Tomorrow” syndrome
• Confusion over what it means to adapt
33
PlaNYC has a four-step, risk-based approach to increase
the city’s resiliency to climate change
1 2 3
Quantify the Identify the impacts of climate Infrastructure Launch a
impacts of change on the city and develop citywide
climate change strategies to mitigate these risks Buildings strategic plan
Work with vulnerable neighborhoods to develop site-specific adaptation
strategies
4
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1 Quantify the impacts of climate change
NPCC
Academia
Mayor’s • NASA/Columbia
Office of Long- Sustainability • CISC/CUNY
Term Planning & Advisory Board • City Tech/CUNY
Sustainability
• Columbia – Lamont
• Columbia University
• NYU
• Rutgers University
Climate Change NYC Panel on • SUNY-Stony Brook
Adaptation Task Climate Change
Force (CCATF) (NPCC) • Wesleyan/UCS
Private Industry
• AIG
• Hoguet Newman Regal &
Kenney, LLP
• Oliver Wyman/Accenture
• Swiss Re
55The NPCC mission and goals
• Advise the Mayor and the NYC Climate
Goals Change Adaptation Task Force on
climate risks, impacts and the
development of adaptation strategies
• Provide broad advice on:
Key
o Climate change science
Actions
o Climate risk management
o Adaptation planning process &
frameworks
• Develop tools to identify at-risk
infrastructure and develop adaptation
strategies
• Workbooks
Outcomes o Climate Risk Information
o Adaptation Assessment Guidebook
o Climate Protection Levels
• Foundation Report
66NYC Climate Change Projections – Mean Annual
Changes
Source: New York City Panel on Climate Change
77NYC Climate Change Projections – Extreme Events
By the end of the century, New York
City could experience:
Projected # of days over 90 degrees
• Approximately 3 to 4 times more days per 70
year over 90 degrees. 60
64
45
• Approximately 3 to 4 times more heat 50
waves a year – lasting up to 7 days each 40
29
37
Low
High
30
• More frequent, intense rainstorms 20 23
29
14
• A current 1-in-10 year coastal flood about
10
once every 1 to 3 years
0
Baseline 2020s 2050s 2080s
• A current 1-in-100 year coastal flood about
once every 15 to 35 years
Source: New York City Panel on Climate Change
88NYC Climate Change Projections – Qualitative
Changes in Extreme Events
Source: New York City Panel on Climate Change
992 Identify the impacts of climate change on the city and
develop strategies to mitigate these risks
Mayor’s CCATF
Office of Long- Sustainability
Term Planning & Advisory Board
Sustainability • 12 City agencies
• 5 Regional public authorities
• 6 State agencies
Climate Change NYC Panel on
Adaptation Task Climate Change
• 2 Federal agencies
Force (CCATF) (NPCC)
• 15 Private companies
10
10The Task Force is the first effort of its kind to include
representatives from the local, state, and federal government
and the private sector
City Agencies State Agencies/Authorities Private Companies
• Dept. of Buildings • Dept. of Environmental • Astoria Energy LLC
• Dept. of City Planning Conservation • AT&T
• Dept. of Design & • Dept. of State • Cablevision
Construction • Dept. of Transportation • Con Edison
• Dept. of Environmental • Governors Island Preservation and • CSX
Protection Education Corporation • National Grid
• Dept. of Health • Hudson River Park Trust • NRG Energy
• Dept. of Law • Metropolitan Transportation • NY Independent System
• Dept. of Parks & Recreation Authority Operators
• Dept. of Sanitation • NY Power Authority • Sprint Nextel
• Dept. of Transportation • NYS Public Service Commission • Suez Energy, NA
• Economic Development Corp. • NJ Transit • Time Warner Cable
• Office of Emergency • Port Authority of NY/NJ • T-Mobile
Management • State Emergency Management • TransCanada
• Office of Management & Office • USPowerGen
Budget • Verizon
Federal Agencies
• Amtrak
• National Park Service
11
11The Task Force engaged in an 18-month multi-stepped
process
Inventories normalized by sector
Stakeholder’s use
NYC-specific climate through the working groups and Stakeholder vulnerabilities are
projections to identify
change projections policies and regulations identified prioritized using Risk Matrix
vulnerabilities
for Policy Working Group review
Inventories of
at-risk
infrastructure
WE ARE HERE Stakeholder
climate
resiliency plans
Adaptation New York City
strategies climate
resiliency plan
Adaptation strategies Strategies are Climate resiliency plans are
Strategies are prioritized
are developed for high coordinated among Task developed, including
using Prioritization Matrix
priority risks Force members recommendations for policy and
regulatory changes
12
12Keys for a successful plan and partnership
• Uncertainty is ok
• Participatory research with stakeholders is key
• Engagement with climate scientists must be ongoing
• Asking the right question is often more important than having
the right answer
• Climate information must be actionable
• Climate change should be contextualized as a risk and
adaptation as risk management
• Need to focus on all impacts of climate change, not just low-
probability, large consequence events
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