Building a Solid Foundation for a Cleaner Energy Future - CORPORATE PRESENTATION - AUGUST 2019 - Bellatrix Exploration Ltd.
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Advisories FORWARD LOOKING STATEMENTS: In the interest of providing Bellatrix’s shareholders and potential investors with information regarding Bellatrix, including management’s assessment of Bellatrix’s future plans and operations, certain statements contained in these presentation materials (collectively, this “presentation”) are forward looking statements or information within the meaning of applicable securities legislation, collectively referred to herein as “forward looking statements”. The forward looking statements contained in this presentation speak only as of the date of this presentation and are expressly qualified by this cautionary statement. Forward looking statements in this presentation include, but are not limited to: statements regarding the quality of the Company’s assets, acreage, well results, and capital efficiencies, the Company’s infrastructure and firm transportation capacity, the expected performance of the Alder Flats Gas Plant following completion of Phase 2, expected corporate natural gas liquids yields, the Company’s development plans and forecasted investment returns, the Company’s balance sheet and available liquidity, any refinancing of long term debt and the cost of any such refinancing, future production estimates, future drilling locations, 2019 guidance relating to production, production mix, and total net capital expenditures, the Company’s acreage position, the nature and profitability of the Company’s Spirit River acreage, well results, forecasted well performance, the sustainability of cost reductions, drilling times and capital efficiencies, development metrics, future drilling inventory, the Company’s land position, and the sufficiency and performance of the Company’s infrastructure. To the extent that any forward-looking information contained herein constitute a financial outlook, they were approved by management on August 7, 2019 and are included herein to provide readers with an understanding of the anticipated funds available to Bellatrix to fund its operations and readers are cautioned that the information may not be appropriate for other purposes. Forward looking statements necessarily involve risks, including, without limitation, risks associated with oil and gas exploration, development, exploitation, production, marketing and transportation, loss of markets, volatility of commodity prices, currency fluctuations, imprecision of reserve estimates, environmental risks, competition from other producers, inability to retain drilling rigs and other services, incorrect assessment of the value of acquisitions, failure to realize the anticipated benefits of acquisitions, delays resulting from or inability to obtain required regulatory approvals, actions taken by the Company's lenders that reduce the Company's available credit and ability to access sufficient capital from internal and external sources. Events or circumstances may cause actual results to differ materially from those predicted, as a result of the risk factors set out and other known and unknown risks, uncertainties, and other factors, many of which are beyond the control of Bellatrix. In addition, forward looking statements or information are based on a number of factors and assumptions which have been used to develop such statements and information but which may prove to be incorrect and which have been used to develop such statements and information in order to provide shareholders with a more complete perspective on Bellatrix’s future operations. Such information may prove to be incorrect and readers are cautioned that the information may not be appropriate for other purposes. Although the Company believes that the expectations reflected in such forward looking statements or information are reasonable, undue reliance should not be placed on forward looking statements because the Company can give no assurance that such expectations will prove to be correct. In addition to other factors and assumptions which may be identified herein, assumptions have been made regarding, among other things: the impact of increasing competition; the general stability of the economic and political environment in which the Company operates; the timely receipt of any required regulatory approvals; the ability of the Company to obtain qualified staff, equipment and services in a timely and cost efficient manner; drilling results; the ability of the operator of the projects which the Company has an interest in to operate the field in a safe, efficient and effective manner; the ability of the Company to obtain financing on acceptable terms; field production rates and decline rates; the ability to replace and expand oil and natural gas reserves through acquisition, development of exploration; the timing and costs of pipeline, storage and facility construction and expansion and the ability of the Company to secure adequate product transportation; future commodity prices; currency, exchange and interest rates; the regulatory framework regarding royalties, taxes and environmental matters in the jurisdictions in which the Company operates; and the ability of the Company to successfully market its oil and natural gas products. Readers are cautioned that the foregoing list is not exhaustive of all factors and assumptions which have been used. As a consequence, actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in the forward-looking statements. Additional information on these and other factors that could affect Bellatrix’s operations and financial results are included in reports on file with Canadian and United States securities regulatory authorities and may be accessed through the SEDAR website (www.sedar.com), through the SEC website (www.sec.gov), and at Bellatrix’s website (www.bxe.com). Furthermore, the forward looking statements contained herein are made as at the date hereof and Bellatrix does not undertake any obligation to update publicly or to revise any of the included forward looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except as may be required by applicable securities laws. NON-GAAP MEASURES Throughout this presentation, the Company uses terms that are commonly used in the oil and natural gas industry, but do not have a standardized meaning presented by International Financial Reporting Standards (“IFRS”) and therefore may not be comparable to the calculations of similar measures for other entities. Management believes that the presentation of these non-GAAP measures provide useful information to investors and shareholders as the measures provide increased transparency and the ability to better analyze performance against prior periods on a comparable basis. CAPITAL PERFORMANCE MEASURES In addition to the non-GAAP measures described above, there are also terms that have been reconciled in the Company’s financial statements to the most comparable IFRS measures. These terms do not have any standardized meaning prescribed by IFRS and therefore may not be comparable with the calculations of similar measures for other entities. These terms are used by management to analyze operating performance on a comparable basis with prior periods and to analyze the liquidity of the Company. This presentation contains the term “total net debt” which is not a recognized measure under GAAP. Therefore reference to total net debt may not be comparable with the calculation of a similar measure for other entities. The Company’s calculation of total net debt excludes other deferred liabilities, deferred capital obligations, long-term risk management contract liabilities, decommissioning liabilities, and deferred tax liabilities. Total net debt includes the working capital deficiency, long term loans receivable, convertible debentures (liability component), current bank debt and long term bank debt. FD&A costs are used as a measure of capital efficiency. FD&A presented above has been calculated based on exploration and development capital and/or acquisition capital spent in the applicable period (both including and excluding changes in future development capital for that period) divided by the change in reserves for that period including revisions for that same period. The aggregate of the exploration and development costs incurred in the most recent financial year and the change during the year in estimated future development costs generally will not reflect total finding and development costs related to reserve additions for the year. Recycle ratio calculates operating netback divided by FD&A costs. Operating netback is calculated by deducting transportation, royalties and operating costs from revenue and includes the impact of commodity price risk management contracts. DRILLING LOCATIONS In this presentation, the Company has disclosed certain drilling locations associated with Bellatrix's interest in the Spirit River and Cardium plays. Of the 382 net Spirit River drilling locations identified herein, 105 are proved locations, 27 are probable locations and 250 are unbooked locations. Of the 251 net Cardium drilling locations identified herein, 105 are proved locations, 22 are probable locations, and 124 are unbooked locations. Proved locations and probable locations are derived from Bellatrix’s independent reserve report prepared by InSite Petroleum Consultants Ltd. as at December 31, 2018 and account for drilling locations that have associated proved and/or probable reserves, as applicable. Unbooked locations are internal estimates based on the Company’s prospective acreage and an assumption as to the number of wells that can be drilled per section based on industry practice and internal review. Unbooked locations do not have attributed reserves or resources. Unbooked locations as disclosed herein have been identified by management as an estimation of the Company's multi-year drilling activities using information including applicable geologic, seismic, engineering, production, pricing assumptions and reserves information. There is no certainty that Bellatrix will drill all unbooked drilling locations and if drilled there is no certainty that such locations will result in additional oil and gas reserves, resources or production. The drilling locations on which Bellatrix actually drill wells will ultimately depend upon the availability of capital, regulatory approvals, seasonal restrictions, oil and natural gas prices, costs, actual drilling results, additional reservoir information that is obtained and other factors. While the majority of Bellatrix's unbooked locations are extensions or infills of the drilling patterns already recognized by the Company's independent qualified reserves evaluator, other unbooked drilling locations are farther away from existing wells where management may have less information about the characteristics of the reservoir and therefore there may be more uncertainty whether wells will be drilled in such locations and if drilled there may be more uncertainty that such wells will result in additional oil and gas reserves, resources or production. INITIAL RATES OF PRODUCTION References in this presentation to initial production rates associated with certain wells are useful in confirming the presence of hydrocarbons, however such rates are not determinative of the rates at which such wells will commence production and decline thereafter and are not indicative of long term performance or of ultimate recovery. While encouraging, readers are cautioned not to place reliance on such rates in calculating the aggregate production for the Company. The Company cautions that such production rates should be considered to be preliminary. BOE PRESENTATION: The term barrels of oil equivalent (“boe”) may be misleading, particularly if used in isolation. A boe conversion ratio of six thousand cubic feet of natural gas to one barrel of oil equivalent (6 mcf/ 1 bbl) is based on an energy equivalency conversion method primarily applicable at the burner tip and does not represent a value equivalency at the wellhead. Given that the value ratio based on the current price of crude oil as compared to natural gas is significantly different from the energy equivalency of 6:1, utilizing a conversion on a 6:1 basis may be misleading as an indication of value. All boe conversions in this presentation are derived from converting gas to oil in the ratio of six thousand cubic feet of gas to one barrel of oil. ESTIMATED ULTIMATE RECOVERY (EUR): In this presentation, estimated ultimate recovery represents the estimated ultimate recovery associated with the type curves presented which are based on the assumptions used by InSite Petroleum Consultants Ltd. to estimate Bellatrix's proved plus probable reserves per well as evaluated effective December 31, 2018 based on forecast prices and costs. There is no certainty that Bellatrix will ultimately recover such volumes from the wells it drills. CURRENCY: All dollar amounts in this presentation are Canadian dollars unless otherwise identified. RESERVES INFORMATION: Unless indicated otherwise, reserve estimates and related future net revenue and other reserves information is derived from Bellatrix’s independent reserve report prepared by InSite Petroleum Consultants Ltd. as at December 31, 2018 using forecast prices and costs. Land acreage information is as available at December 31, 2018, unless otherwise noted. Bellatrix reserves information includes the impact of IFRS 16, which changes the accounting treatment of certain operating leases so that the future lease payments associated with such leases are recognized as a financial liability on the Company’s balance sheet. As a result, for the purposes of preparing the reserves data presented herein, the lease payments associated with such leases are recognized as financing costs rather than as operating costs and have not been deducted in calculating the value of the Company's reserves. If such lease payments were recognized as operating costs in calculating the value of the Company's reserves, it would result in a reduction to the Company’s 2P NPV10 future net revenue by $88 million from approximately $1.5 billion to $1.412 billion. TYPE CURVE AND CAPITAL EFFICIENCY: In this presentation information relating to the type curve, half cycle economics and capital efficiency for Bellatrix's Spirit River wells have been presented. The 5.2 Bcf type curve set forth herein is based on all Bellatrix operated, Notikewin and Falher B wells drilled between 2013 and 2017, and represents the mean (P50) performance curve. The 6.0 Bcf type curve set forth herein is based on all Bellatrix operated, Notikewin and Falher wells drilled in 2017 and represents the mean (P50) performance curve. Half cycle economics are based on Bellatrix's current expectations of drill, complete, equip and tie-in costs per well (and excluding land, seismic and related costs). Capital efficiency is a measure of expected capital expenditures per well based on half cycle economics divided by average first year production results (IP365) based on the type curve presented. F&D costs are used as a measure of capital efficiency. F&D presented above has been calculated based on exploration and development capital divided by the expected ultimate recovery (EUR). The type curve and capital efficiency numbers have been presented to provide readers with information on the assumptions used for management's budgeting process and future planning. The half cycle economics and capital efficiencies may not be achieved on future wells as a result of a number of factors including the risks identified above under "Forward Looking Statements" and as such are not reliable indicators of future performance. In addition, there is no certainty that future wells will generate results to match historic type curves presented herein. Half cycle economics and capital efficiencies are not terms that have standardized meanings and therefore such calculations may not be comparable with the calculation of similar measures for other entities. FINANCIAL INFORMATION: Unless otherwise stated, financial information is based upon Bellatrix’s audited consolidated financial statements for the years ended December 31, 2018 and 2017. 2
Natural Gas Represents the Bridge Fuel for the Future MATERIAL NATURAL GAS DEMAND GROWTH EXPECTED THROUGH 2040 (1.7% COMPOUNDED) OVERTAKES COAL AS 2ND LARGEST GLOBAL ENERGY SOURCE BY 2040 Source: BP Energy Outlook, 2019 edition 3
Canada is a Leader in Lower Emissions & Environmental Stewardship Global CO2 Emissions (2018) Canadian Natural Gas GHG Emissions & Production 58 16,000 Canadian Natural Gas Production (MMcf/d) Natural Gas Extraction GHG Emissions (mtCO2e) US India Russian Federation 56 15,500 Japan 54 15,000 Germany China South Korea Iran 52 14,500 Saudi Arabia Canada (1.6%) 50 14,000 Rest of World 48 13,500 China US India 46 13,000 Russian Federation Japan Germany 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 South Korea Iran Saudi Arabia Canada (1.6%) Rest of World GHG Emissions (Left Axis) Canadian Gas Production (Right Axis) Over the five year timeframe (2013 – 2017), Canadian natural gas extraction GHG emissions have been reduced by 11%, despite an increase in Canadian marketable natural gas production of 10% This equates to a 20% improvement in GHG intensity per unit of natural gas produced by the Canadian industry Source: Government of Canada, National Energy Board, BP Statistical Review of World Energy (2019) 4
Bellatrix Environmental Metrics DIRECT GHG EMISSIONS FLARED & VENTED GAS 0.55 8,000 e3m3/year 6,000 0.50 4,000 Tonnes CO2e (millions) 2,000 0 0.45 2015 2016 2017 2018 Flared Gas Vented Gas 0.40 REPORTABLE RELEASES 100 35 30 80 Number of Releases 25 0.35 60 20 Volume (m3) 40 15 10 20 0.30 5 2015 2016 2017 2018 0 0 2015 2016 2017 2018 Total Volume (m3) Reportable Releases (#) 5
The Call on Canadian Natural Gas to Meet Increased Demand Five Year The call on WCSB natural gas Current Outlook Growth is estimated at 3 to 6 Bcf/d over the next five years Regional Canadian demand 5 Bcf/d 7 Bcf/d 2 Bcf/d This represents required basin production growth of Canadian exports 10 Bcf/d 11 - 14 Bcf/d 1 - 4 Bcf/d approximately 20 – 40% Required WCSB production 15 Bcf/d 18 - 21 Bcf/d 3 - 6 Bcf/d compared to current levels WCSB GAS FLOWS - CURRENT WCSB GAS FLOWS – FIVE YEAR OUTLOOK Source: Adapted from Peters & Co. Limited Research 6
AECO Basis Differential Forecast Improvemment AECO Basis Differential (US$/MMBtu) $1.00 $0.50 Historical Forecast $0.00 ($0.50) ($1.00) ($1.50) Historical average (Jan 2003 to July 2019) ($2.00) US$0.80/MMBtu ($2.50) ($3.00) The AECO market was negatively impacted by the changes initiated in July 2017 The AECO basis differential shows narrowing towards historical This changed operating methodology used by the pipeline operator to regulate the levels given anticipated future flow of available gas in the Alberta market during periods of maintenance egress capacity, with a material AECO pricing has been highly discounted from pricing in other North American markets increase in egress capacity and producing basins expected in 2020 Source: Bloomberg; forward strip as at August 2, 2019 7
AECO Natural Gas Expansion Projects Underway ADDITIONAL EXPORT CAPACITY BEING DEVELOPED OUT OF THE CANADIAN BASIN Effective Capacity (MMcf/d) 2017A 2018 2019E 2020E 2021E 2022E 2023E 2024E In Service Alliance 1,800 1,800 1,800 1,800 1,800 1,800 1,800 1,800 NGTL - Empress 3,800 3,800 3,800 3,800 3,800 3,800 3,800 3,800 NGTL - McNeill 1,500 1,500 1,500 1,500 1,500 1,500 1,500 1,500 Forecasts anticipate the basin will NGTL - AB/BC Spectra - T-South 2,500 2,500 2,500 2,500 2,500 2,500 2,500 2,500 1,700 1,700 1,700 1,700 1,700 1,700 1,700 1,700 become long egress and domestic Total 11,300 11,300 11,300 11,300 11,300 11,300 11,300 11,300 demand between Q4/19 and Q1/21 Proceeding NGTL - AB/BC 230 350 650 650 650 650 650 NGTL - Empress/McNeill 400 1,280 1,280 1,280 1,280 Spectra - T-South 190 190 190 190 190 Coastal Gaslink 2,100 Total 230 350 1,240 2,120 2,120 2,120 4,220 Capacity Expansion (%) 0% 2% 3% 11% 19% 19% 19% 37% Capacity expansions add over 2.1 Bcf/d of incremental export capacity through 2021, an increase of 19% compared to current capacity levels Source: Scotiabank Energy Research, Altacorp Capital Research 8
AECO Natural Gas – Demand Growth Drivers INTRA-ALBERTA DEMAND GROWTH External forecasts see intra-Alberta demand growth of: ↑ 500 MMcf/d YoY in 2018 to 5.3 Bcf/d ↑ 245 MMcf/d YoY in 2019 to 5.5 Bcf/d ↑ 190 MMcf/d YoY in 2020 to 5.7 Bcf/d Source: Scotiabank Energy Research 9
The World Needs More Canadian Natural Gas Canada has significant long term natural gas resources and is the fourth largest producing country globally1 Natural gas represents the “bridge Canadian Natural Gas Industry Scorecard fuel” of the future Stringent industry regulations Canadian natural gas development Leader in environmental stewardship has the potential to continue to High ethical standards improve global standards of living, Strong safety based culture & practices while preserving the environment Indigenous consultations & partnerships and reducing global emissions Bellatrix is a leader in responsible Canadian natural gas development, focused on safe, efficient and profitable development of our world class resources 1 Based on 2017 world natural gas production; source Natural Resources Canada 10
Bellatrix Investment Highlights Dominant core acreage position in Top tier capital efficiencies and cost west central Alberta profile deliver full cycle profitability Spirit River represents one of North Asset portfolio provides balance of America’s lowest supply cost natural natural gas and oil/liquids weighted gas plays opportunities Consistently deliver top ranked well Term debt maturities extended until productivity results 2023 Ownership and control Long term market of strategic diversification strategy infrastructure including in place through 2020 pipelines, compression, Firm transportation and processing facilities over current gross Infrastructure control operated natural gas creates significant volumes barriers to competition Firm service contracts Alder Flats Phase 2 through owned & 3rd brings total gross party processing plants processing capacity to Long term fractionation 230 MMcf/d agreements in place for 100% of volumes 11
Corporate Profile MARKET SUMMARY Ticker Symbol TSX : BXE Average Daily Volume1 ~130,000 Shares Outstanding2 40.9 million basic / 41.6 million diluted Market Capitalization3 $27 million Bank Debt4 $60 million Second Lien Notes due 20235 US$152 million Third Lien Notes due 20235 US$55 million Enterprise Value3 $385 million 2019 Estimated Annual Production 34,000 – 36,000 boe/d 2019 Natural Gas Weighting 71% 2019 Liquids Weighting 29% 1 Three month average at July 29, 2019 2 Share count at June 30, 2019. Diluted shares include options and units. 3 Calculated using July 29, 2019 share price (C$0.67/share). Enterprise value includes market capitalization plus total net debt of $358 million. Total net debt includes bank debt and adjusted working capital deficiency at June 30, 2019 ($89 million), and assumes conversion of Second and Third Lien notes at Cdn/US $1.3091. 4 Bank debt reflects $60 million outstanding on the Credit Facilities at June 30, 2019 5 Second and third lien notes reflect June 30, 2019 balances 12
Strategic Objectives & Outlook Improving financial strength and value preservation in low commodity price environment 2017 2018 2019 New management team Manage capital Advance debt refinancing established investment levels within initiatives funding Enhanced production Sustain production levels guidance three times Complete Phase 2 of BXE and optimize liquidity during the year Alder Flats Plant on-time and under budget Target further reductions Reduced capital costs by in cash costs (operating ~10% and operating costs Deliver on guidance costs, G&A) by ~5% YoY expectations Optimize returns from Enhance deliverability of Reduce capital and balanced portfolio wells with average results operating costs investment tracking ~6.0 Bcf type curve Refinance part of long Preserve long term term notes and extend resource value Achieved leading PDP debt maturities FD&A costs of $5.27/boe Achieved leading PDP FD&A costs of $3.22/boe 13
2019 Guidance & First Half Results STRONG OPERATIONAL PEFORMANCE IN THE FIRST HALF OF 2019 RELATIVE TO ANNNUAL GUIDANCE EXPECTATIONS1 2019 INITIAL ACTUAL RESULTS FIRST HALF 2019 ANNUAL GUIDANCE VERSUS MIDPOINT RESULTS (JAN 15, 2019) OF GUIDANCE Production (boe/d) 2019 Average daily production 36,450 34,000 – 36,000 +4% Production mix (%) Natural gas 71 72 -1% Crude oil, condensate and NGLs 29 28 +4% Capital Expenditures ($MM) Total net capital expenditures 2 $25.5 $40 - $50 n/a 1 2019 capital budget incorporates forward pricing expectations of US$65/bbl WTI and $1.60/GJ AECO Excludes property acquisitions and dispositions. 14 2
Hedging & Market Diversification Market Diversification Contracts Market Start Date End Date Volume Chicago 01-Feb-18 31-Oct-20 15,000 MMBtu/d Chicago 01-Nov-18 31-Oct-20 15,000 MMBtu/d Dawn 01-Feb-18 31-Oct-20 15,000 MMBtu/d Dawn 01-Nov-18 31-Oct-20 15,000 MMBtu/d Malin 01-Feb-18 31-Oct-20 15,000 MMBtu/d AECO 75,000 MMBtu/d Hedging & Market Diversification H2/19 Total Corporate Volumes Liquids Dawn Unhedged Floating 26% 7% Malin Floating Malin 2% Chicago Oil Hedged Floating Chicago Dawn 3% 8% U.S. Fixed AECO Price Hedges Unhedged 20% Henry Hub 27% AECO Fixed Price Hedges 7% Note: Percentage of estimated 2019 production volumes based on midpoint of guidance range 34,000 – 36,000 boe/d (71% natural gas weighted) 15
Commodity Price Risk Management & Diversification NATURAL GAS MARKET DIVERSIFICATION & FIXED PRICE HEDGING COVERAGE 80% 70% % of total forecast 2019 gas 60% 50% volumes 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Q3/19 Q4/19 Q1/20 Q2/20 Q3/20 Q4/20 Market Diversification Contracts U.S. Fixed Price Contracts AECO Fixed Price Swaps AECO/NYMEX Basis Swap NATURAL GAS FIXED PRICE HEDGES OIL HEDGES AECO fixed price swap contracts: WTI call option contracts: • 18 MMcf/d @ $2.01/Mcf (July – Oct 2019) • 1,000 bbl/d @ $87.50/bbl (July – Dec 2019) • 9 MMcf/d @ $1.15/Mcf (July – Sept 2019) • 1,000 bbl/d @ $77.90/bbl (Jan – Dec 2020) • 9 MMcf/d @ $1.18/Mcf (July – Oct 2019) • 9 MMcf/d @ $2.33/Mcf (Nov 2019 – Mar 2020) U.S fixed price contracts1: • 62 MMcf/d @ $1.77/Mcf (July – Oct 2019) STRONG PRICE RISK MANAGEMENT & MARKET DIVERSIFICATION COVERAGE Percent of forecast volumes based on the mid-point of average 2019 production guidance of 34 – 36 mboe/d (71% natural gas weighted). Natural gas hedges converted from $/GJ to $/Mcf based on an assumed average corporate heat content of 40.0 Mj/m3. All hedges denominated in Canadian dollars unless otherwise noted. 16 1 Net Canadian equivalent price is calculated as the US$ fixed price, less contracted differential, adjusted to Canadian dollars at an assumed exchange rate of $1.33 USD/CAD.
Growing High Value Liquids Growing NGL Volumes & High Value Condensate 60.00 100% Corporate NGL yield (bbl/MMcf) 55.00 90% Light oil Product % of total crude oil & condensate volumes (bbl/d) 80% 50.00 70% 60% 45.00 50% Alder Flats Phase 2 40% 40.00 Completed 30% Condensate 35.00 20% 10% 30.00 0% High Condensate Weighting Drives Strong Realizations Relative to Benchmark Light Oil Prices $90 $8.00 $80 BXE crude oil & condensate $6.00 $70 differential (C$/bbl) $60 $4.00 Oil price (C$/bbl) $50 $2.00 $40 $30 $0.00 Canadian Light crude blend $20 BXE crude oil and condensate ($2.00) $10 $0 ($4.00) 17
Recapitalization Transaction COMPLETED JUNE 4, 2019 Total outstanding debt reduced by approximately $110 million (approximately 23%) Term debt maturities extended until 2023 Annual cash interests payments reduced by approximately $12 million (approximately 30%) until December 2021 Improves annual cash flow Positions company favorably to utilize existing infrastructure and high value assets to deliver long term sustainable growth for all stakeholders Increases runway to capitalize on Bellatrix’s significant reserve value1 Note 1: Bellatrix Proved plus Probable (2P) reserve value at December 31, 2018 as evaluated by InSite Petroleum Consultants Ltd. is $1.5 billion 18
Diversified Balance Sheet & Financial Flexibility Actively exploring refinancing opportunities and additional sources of liquidity BANK DEBT $60MM CREDIT FACILITY LONG TERM DEBT AT JUNE 30, 2019 FINANCIAL COVENANTS MATURITIES 5.0 $300 4.0 Debt/EBITDA 3.0 $250 Debt maturities (C$) 2.0 $200 Undrawn 1.0 $150 0.0 Utilized $100 Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19 Q2/19 Utilized $50 First Lien Debt to EBITDA $0 Senior Debt to EBITDA 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 Bank debt $60MM at Two financial covenants US$152MM Second Lien June 30, 2019 notes due 2023 First Lien Debt/EBITDA; maximum $90MM credit facility confirmed ratio of 3.0x US$54.9MM Third Lien May 2019 with total commitments notes due 2023; special repayment set at $100MM Senior Debt/EBITDA; maximum of principal of US$4.9MM due ratio of 5.0x December 2019 Next semi-annual redetermination November 2019 Q2/19 ratios of 1.52x and 4.34x respectively were both below financial covenant levels Bank Debt and Covenants as at June 30, 2019 and excludes letters of credit Long term U.S denominated debt converted at an exchange rate of $1.3091 CAD/USD 19
Highly Concentrated Land Base DOMINANT ACREAGE POSITION WEST CENTRAL ALBERTA CORE AREA Highly focused land base in the prolific Deep Basin of FERRIER Alberta WILLESDEN GREEN 99% of total corporate GREATER PEMBINA production and 100% of ~100 Kilometers (60 Miles) Production1 (% of total): 99% capital investment focused in the Greater Ferrier, P+P net locations2: 275 Willesden Green & Pembina Unbooked net locations2: 585 areas of Alberta Total net drilling Control of significant locations: 860 infrastructure (facilities, pipelines, compression) creates barriers to competition Alberta ~77 Kilometers (48 Miles) 1 Reflects % of June 2019 average field volumes 2 Proved, Probable and unbooked locations as at December 31, 2018 20
North American Supply Cost Comparison $4.00 $3.50 $3.00 Henry Hub (US$/MMbtu) $2.50 $2.00 $1.50 $1.00 $0.50 $0.00 Economics assume 15% Before tax IRR, assumes $US0.83 = $CDN1.00, US$0.75/MMbtu AECO basis, and a 20:1 oil-to-gas pricing ratio; Note (*): Bellatrix economics assume to be free of GORR Source: RBC Capital Markets Research 21
Pre-eminent Capital Efficient Operator in the WCSB BXE BEST IN CLASS ON 2018 ALL-IN CAPITAL EFFICIENCY $45,000 All-in capital efficiencies, excl. A&D ($/boe/d) $40,000 $35,000 $30,000 $25,000 $20,000 $15,000 $10,000 $5,000 $0 PEY BIR PSK VET KEL POU AAV BNP TOU VII ECA FRU PMT ERF ARX NVA CR DEE BXE PONY Gas (
Bellatrix’s Spirit River Play BXE Land Sections1 GREATER FERRIER AREA CORE SPIRIT RIVER PLAY • 198 Gross • 118 Net BXE Net Drilling Inventory2 • 105 proved • 27 probable • 250 unbooked • 382 total • True vertical formation depth ~2,250 meters (~7,400 feet) • Currently drilling one mile laterals • Average 17 frac stages per mile with 40 tonnes per stage Spirit River (Notikewin/Falher/Wilrich) provides significant upside 1 Includes Core Areas, Acreage as at December 31, 2018 2 Proved, Probable and unbooked locations as at December 31, 2018 23
Spirit River Geology Summary • Broad, thick, extensive sand rich valleys SPIRIT RIVER STACKED SANDS in Notikewin, Falher and Wilrich members One square • Tight sandstone: long life reserves with mile section long term hyperbolic decline profile schematic • Average thickness 20 to 40 meters (approximately 80 to 130 feet) • Up to four wells per zone to fully — Notikewin develop a section — Falher A • Porosity 6 to 18%; permeability 1 to 3 mD — Falher B • Over pressured and very low water saturation — Wilrich • Open and closed fracture systems evident in rock core and to a lesser degree in rock cuttings • Continuous reservoir in the horizontal section 24
Comparing Premier Resource Plays Spirit River Montney Duvernay Tight Conventional Siltstone Shale Sandstone BXE Typical Reservoir Porosity 6 to 18%; Porosity 0.6 to 8%; Porosity 2 to 8%; Permeability 1 to 3 mD Permeability 0.0001 to Permeability 0.001 to 0.1 mD 0.0004 mD High Permeability High Porosity Low Permeability Low Porosity Source: Spirit River and Duvernay Core Photos from BXE core, Montney core photo from Tom Moslow Publication 25
Low Cost Competitive Advantage – BXE Spirit River Versus Canadian Plays STAGE COUNT PROPPANT PLACED 40 8,000 35 7,000 Average proppant (tonnes) Average stage count 30 6,000 25 5,000 20 4,000 15 3,000 TOTAL WELL COST 10 2,000 COMPARISON 5 1,000 $10 0 0 $9 Duvernay Montney BXE Spirit Duvernay Montney BXE Spirit $8 DCE&T well costs ($MM) River River $7 FLUID PUMPED TOTAL DEPTH $6 7,000 $5 60,000 6,000 $4 Average total depth (m) Average fluid pumped (m3) 50,000 $3 5,000 40,000 $2 4,000 30,000 $1 3,000 $0 20,000 2,000 Duvernay Montney BXE Spirit 10,000 River 1,000 0 0 Duvernay Montney BXE Spirit Duvernay Montney BXE Spirit River River Source: Accumap, Scotiabank Energy Research, internal costs 26
Play Profitability Comparisons BXE Spirit River Montney Duvernay All-in Well Costs $3.4 $6.4 $9.4 (DCE&T, $MM) Average IP365 1,070 608 459 (boe/d) IP365 Capital Efficiency $3,180 $10,500 $20,560 ($/boe/d) Average Implied EUR 7.1 6.3 4.3 (Bcfe) Estimated F&D $2.87 $6.07 $13.12 ($/boe) Source: Accumap, Scotiabank Energy Research Bellatrix average estimated production (IP365) based on 2017 & 2018 performance. EUR incorporates 6.0 Bcf (raw gas) performance curve and utilizes all-in well costs of $3.4 million 27
Spirit River Type Curves SPIRIT RIVER 5.2 & 6.0 BCF TYPE CURVES Bellatrix Spirit River Economics 9 Economic Assumptions 5.2 Bcf 6.0 Bcf Liquids (bbl/MMcf) Gross CAPEX (DCE&T, $MM) $3.4 $3.4 8 Gross Natural Gas IP30 (MMcf/d) 6.6 6.3 Liquids yield (bbl/MMcf) 71 71 Producing Day Raw Gas Volumes (MMcf/d) C5+, 15 EUR (mboe) 1,094 1,245 7 C4, 9 Economic Outputs (C$2.50/GJ) 5.2 Bcf 6.0 Bcf 6 C2, 29 NPV10 BTAX ($MM) $5.5 $7.3 PIR (10%) 1.6 2.1 5 C3, 18 Payout (years) 0.9 0.6 IRR (%) 127 200 4 200% 3 2 150% 1 IRR % 100% 0 0 90 180 270 360 450 540 630 720 50% Days 5.2 Bcf 6.0 Bcf 0% $1.50/GJ $2.50/GJ Note: Type curves based on raw gas assumed recovery, total recovery including liquids 6.6 Bcfe and 7.5 Bcfe 5.2 Bcf 6.0 Bcf Economics assume liquids prices based on a US$60/bbl WTI oil price and a natural gas variable production expense cost of $0.60/Mcf and transportation cost of $0.20/Mcf. Assumed shrinkage, liquids yield and heat value based on average Bellatrix Spirit River well composition in the greater core Ferrier area. 28
Spirit River All-In Profitability 5.2 Bcf Type Curve C$1.50/GJ C$2.50/GJ Full Cycle F&D costs Drill $1.5MM Full cycle F&D costs $/Mcfe ($0.71) ($0.71) Complete $1.4MM Equip & tie in $0.5MM Half cycle costs $3.4MM Land/seismic/facilities $1.0MM Cash costs $/Mcfe ($2.17) ($2.25) Full cycle costs $4.4MM EUR (P50) 6.2 Bcfe Sales price $/Mcfe $3.24 $4.24 Full cycle F&D $0.71/Mcfe Cash costs C$1.50/GJ C$2.50/GJ Royalties (est @ 8%) $0.26/Mcfe $0.34/Mcfe Profit $/Mcfe $0.36 $1.29 Operating costs 1 $0.73/Mcfe $0.73/Mcfe Transport2 $0.38/Mcfe $0.38/Mcfe Profit margin % 11% 30% G&A2 $0.22/Mcfe $0.22/Mcfe Interest & financing2 $0.57/Mcfe $0.57/Mcfe Total costs $2.17/Mcfe $2.25/Mcfe Half Cycle IRR % 52% 127% Sales price C$1.50/GJ C$2.50/GJ Total sales price3 $3.24/Mcfe $4.24/Mcfe Note: Numbers may not add due to rounding 1 Incremental operating costs assume $0.56/Mcf for natural gas through third party plants, $0.16/Mcf for gas processed through BXE Alder plant and $8.00/bbl for oil/condensate. Includes estimated attributed operating cost impact from $75 million facilities disposition announced May 13, 2016. 2 Representative transport, G&A and interest costs based on first half 2019 corporate costs 3 Sales prices assume AECO at $1.69/Mcf ($1.50/GJ) or $2.82/Mcf ($2.50/GJ) as per scenario with net NGL pricing: ethane @ $12/bbl, propane @ $25/bbl, butane @ $40/bbl and condensate @ $70/bbl incorporating liquids extraction capabilities given mix of gas through third party and BXE Alder Flats Plant. 29
Delivering on our Objectives RESULTS OUTPERFORMING EXPECTATIONS 14 12 10 Producing Day Volumes (MMCF/d) 8 6 4 2 0 0 30 60 90 120 150 180 210 240 270 300 330 360 390 420 450 480 510 540 570 600 630 660 690 720 Days 2018/19 Wells 2018 Average 2019 Average BXE Spirit River 5.2 Bcf Type Curve BXE Spirit River 6.0 Bcf Type Curve Historical daily well production (natural gas only) versus Bellatrix representative 5.2 & 6.0 Bcf type curves 30
Enduring Efficiency Gains on Drill Times AVERAGE SPIRIT RIVER DRILLING CURVES DAYS SPUD TO RIG RELEASE BY YEAR 0 20 Days (Spud to Rig Release) 2014 Spirit River Average 500 15 2015 Spirit River Average 1,000 10 2016 Spirit River Average 1,500 2017 Spirit River 5 Measured Depth (m) Average 2,000 2018 Spirit River 0 Average 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2,500 2019 Q1 Spirit River Average DRILL COST BY YEAR 3,000 Pace Setter $3.0 $2.5 3,500 $2.0 4,000 Drill Cost ($MM) $1.5 4,500 $1.0 $0.5 5,000 0 5 10 15 20 $0.0 Days Spud to Rig Release 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Note: Comparative drilling curves by year based on one mile Bellatrix “hybrid” drilling style which constitutes technique employed for majority of wells drilled since 2014 31
Spirit River Well Costs & Capital Efficiencies FOCUSED CAPITAL COST REDUCTIONS $6.0 Long Reach Long Reach $5.0 Long Reach $4.0 Costs ($millions) Long Reach Equip & Tie-in $3.0 Complete $2.0 Drill $1.0 $0.0 2016 - 19 wells 2017 - 23 wells 2018 - 10 wells 2019 - 4 wells DRIVES STRONG CAPITAL EFFICIENCIES (IP365 ESTIMATE) AVERAGING
Bellatrix Focused Spirit River Growth SPIRIT RIVER PRODUCTION GROWTH 80% 2010 32,000 70% 28,000 Spirit Spirit River % of Total Company Volumes River Average Monthly Production (boe/d) 60% 2018 New 24,000 2014 Drill Falher A Techniques 50% 2011 Other 2012 Validation 20,000 Slick Water Frac Extended 40% Reach 16,000 30% 12,000 June 2019 20% 8,000 Other Spirit 10% 4,000 River 0% 0 May-10 May-11 May-12 May-13 May-14 May-15 May-16 May-17 May-18 May-19 Jan-10 Jan-11 Jan-12 Jan-13 Jan-14 Jan-15 Jan-16 Jan-17 Jan-18 Jan-19 Sep-10 Sep-11 Sep-12 Sep-13 Sep-14 Sep-15 Sep-16 Sep-17 Sep-18 Spirit River % of Total Monthly Production (boe/d) Low cost Spirit River volumes comprise a growing proportion of total corporate production (~80%) Processing facilities and Firm Transportation (FT) capacity in place to facilitate growth 33
Cost Reductions Achieved 36% REDUCTION IN PRODUCTION EXPENSES ($/BOE) $11.00 Production expense $10.00 $9.00 ($/boe) $8.00 $7.00 $6.00 $5.00 Q4/16 Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 Q2/18 Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19 Q2/19 29% REDUCTION IN PRODUCTION EXPENSES ($MM) $32 $30 Production expense $28 $26 ($MM) $24 $22 $20 $18 Q4/16 Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 Q2/18 Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19 Q2/19 Note: 2019 operating costs impacted by IFRS 16. Historical figures have not been restated. Q2/19 production expenses included $2.3 million ($0.71/boe) of turnaround costs at Bellatrix operated facilities during the quarter 34
Low Cost FD&A Performance $6.00 FD&A costs ($/boe) $5.00 $4.00 $3.00 $2.00 $1.00 $0.00 2018 2017 3 Year Avg 2018 2017 3 Year Avg ('16-'18) ('16-'18) FD&A Costs Including Plant Capital FD&A Costs Excluding Plant Capital PDP FD&A 1P FD&A 2P FD&A FD&A Costs Including Plant Capital FD&A Costs Excluding Plant Capital 3 Year Avg 3 Year Avg 2018 2017 2018 2017 ('16-'18) ('16-'18) PDP FD&A $/boe $3.22 $5.27 $4.67 $3.12 $4.81 $4.31 1P FD&A $/boe $2.36 $4.34 $3.76 $2.28 $4.12 $3.57 2P FD&A $/boe $2.05 $3.36 $3.22 $1.99 $3.15 $3.05 PDP Recycle Ratio x 2.64x 1.71x 1.82x 2.73x 1.88x 1.97x 1P Recycle Ratio x 3.61x 2.08x 2.26x 3.73x 2.19x 2.38x 2P Recycle Ratio x 4.15x 2.68x 2.64x 4.28x 2.86x 2.78x FD&A costs are used as a measure of capital efficiency. FD&A presented above has been calculated based on exploration and development capital and/or acquisition capital spent in the applicable period (both including and excluding changes in future development capital for that period) divided by the change in reserves for that period including revisions for that same period. The aggregate of the exploration and development costs incurred in the most recent financial year and the change during the year in estimated future development costs generally will not reflect total finding and development costs related to reserve additions for the year. Recycle ratio calculates operating netback divided by FD&A costs. Operating netback is calculated by deducting transportation, royalties and operating costs from revenue and includes the impact of commodity price risk management contracts. 35
Representative Spirit River Inventory Required to Maintain Production Volumes Approximately 12-15 net (5.2 Bcf type curve) Spirit River wells1 per year maintains production in the high 30 mboe/d range through 2023 Alternatively, 10-12 net wells (6.0 Bcf type curve) achieve similar maintenance scenario 40 35 30 25 Production (mboe/d) 20 15 10 5 0 Jan-19 Jul-19 Jan-20 Jul-20 Jan-21 Jul-21 Jan-22 Jul-22 Jan-23 Jul-23 Base 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 6.0 Bcf/d wells (10/year) 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 Summary Beginning net location inventory 382 370 358 346 334 382 Net locations drilled 12 12 12 12 12 60 Ending net location inventory 370 358 346 334 322 322 % drilled of total inventory 3% 3% 3% 3% 4% 16% Assumes phased drilling development with average well results in line with Bellatrix Spirit River type curve. Representative example as future budgets, drill plans, and anticipated well results are uncertain. 36
Greater Ferrier Area Infrastructure Overview GREATER FERRIER AREA STRATEGIC INFRASTRUCTURE GREATER FERRIER EXISTING INFRASTRUCTURE ACCESS: Infrastructure gives Bellatrix control of production and growth Working interest or operatorship in • 3 major gas processing facilities • 9 compressor sites • 4 oil batteries BELLATRIX ALDER FLATS PLANT Bellatrix 25% owner and operator • Keyera 70% owner • O’Chiese 5% owner Phase I - 110 MMcf/d inlet capacity (on-stream May 2015) Phase II - 120 MMcf/d inlet capacity (on-stream March 2018) • C2 Recovery 57% • C3 Recovery 100% • C4+ Recovery 100% Strategic advantage from owned infrastructure – lowered costs and guaranteed access 37
Drill Bit Focused PLANT PHASE 2 CONSTRUCTION COMPLETE MARCH 2018 • Major compressor stations, pipelines and Bellatrix Alder Flats Plant capital investment completed • Proportion of incremental capital to drilling & completion expected to increase • Increased drill bit directed capital positions Bellatrix to deliver enhanced corporate capital efficiency rates in 2019 & beyond ALLOCATION OF TOTAL CORPORATE E&D CAPITAL EXPENDITURES 100% Plant Plant 90% Plant Plant Land, G&G, and other capital % of Total E&D Capital Expenditures 80% Plant 70% BXE Alder Flats Plant DRILLING 60% DRILLING DRILLING DRILLING 50% DRILLING 40% Facilities & equipment (excluding BXE Plant) DRILLING 30% 1 20% Drilling & completion capital 10% 0% 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019E 1Drilling and completion capital includes capitalized items Note: Capital expenditures and development plans for 2019 are based on current capital budget guidance. 38
Ample Takeaway Capacity & Market Egress ALBERTA NATURAL GAS MARKET EGRESS AMPLE FIRM TRANSPORTATION IN PLACE FOR CURRENT & GROWTH ALBERTA VOLUMES • Firm Transportation (FT) agreements in place for gross operated volumes at multiple receipt points along the Nova Gas Transmission Ltd. (NGTL) system Montney FIRM SERVICE PROCESSING CAPACITY • Maintain firm service capacity through several natural gas processing plants to ensure unfettered delivery capability for current & forecast growth volumes AMPLE FRACTIONATION CAPACITY Alliance Pipeline SECURED • Long term agreements in place provide 100% coverage for current and forecast NGL Nova Gas volume growth Transmission BXE core west central area ideally situated Ltd. (NGTL) on the NGTL system, downstream of System Pipelines Montney & northern Deep Basin areas, with firm transportation capacity 39
Supplemental Information 40
Concentrated Multi-Zone Acreage DEEP BASIN MULTI-ZONE ACREAGE Deep Basin is highly coveted for: • Sweet, liquids rich natural gas 4,600 ft TVD— — Belly River • Sweet, light gravity crude oil 6,200 ft TVD— — Cardium • Multi-zone hydrocarbon charged — Second White Specs formations — Viking 7,400 ft TVD— • Low production cost with no — Notikewin formation water — Falher A Spirit 7,700 ft TVD— • Year round access — Falher B River Benefits of multi-zone development: — Wilrich — Glauconite • Pad drilling reduces above ground footprint — Ostracod — Ellerslie • Lease sizes minimized — Rock Creek • Manufacturing style approach — Nordegg 11,200 ft TVD— • Half-cycle returns expected longer — Duvernay term as subsequent formation development utilizes existing lease pads, pipelines, and infrastructure TVD: True vertical depth 41
Cardium Light Oil Resource Play BXE Land Sections1 • 176 Gross • 117 Net BELLATRIX Activity Since Jan 2017 5 Wells Drilled BXE Net Drilling Inventory2 • 105 proved • 22 probable • 124 unbooked • 251 total Cardium Resource Play Summary • Largest WCSB light oil accumulation • Approximately 20,000 square miles • Approximately 1.9 Billion bbls produced to date 1 Acreage as at December 31, 2018 2 Proved, Probable, and unbooked locations as at December 31, 2018 Cardium provides light oil exposure with optionality to improving prices Remains a key focus formation for Bellatrix long-term within its core areas 42
Strategic Land Position GREATER FERRIER/BRAZEAU/WILLESDEN GREEN AREAS OF WEST CENTRAL ALBERTA Pembina Brazeau Ferrier Willesden Green Source: Accumap, company presentations and various public sources 43
AER Calculated LMR 0 4 8 12 16 20 24 28 LMR as at July 6, 2019 Advantage Oil and Gas Birchcliff Energy Pengrowth Energy Bellatrix Exploration Torc Oil and Gas NuVista Energy Kelt Exploration Tamarack Valley Energy Bonavista Energy Painted Pony Energy Peer Group LMR Comparison Baytex Energy Surge Energy Liability Management Rating - Alberta Bonterra Energy BELLATRIX RETAINS A STRONG LMR POSITION Cardinal Energy Crew Energy Obsidian Energy Industry average Pine Cliff Energy Storm Resources 44
Operational Execution Scorecard Production expense reductions 40% reduction in production expenditures to $6.29/boe in H1/19 from $10.57/boe in Q4/16 Capital cost reductions 20% reduction in all-in well costs to under $3.4 million (drill, complete, equip and tie-in) from ~$4.2 million in Q4/16 Operational performance 2018 program delivered average IP180 well performance 35% above management expectations; 2019 program 15% outperformance on an IP45 basis Leading peer group F&D cost performance All-in PDP FD&A $3.22/boe ($0.54/Mcfe) in 2018. 2P FD&A $2.05/boe in 2018 and three year average $3.22/boe. Top decile results. Pre-eminent capital efficient operator in the WCSB 2018/2019 program delivering capital efficiencies
Corporate Information BOARD OF DIRECTORS SENIOR OFFICERS BANKERS Todd Dillabough, B.Sc. Brent A. Eshleman, P.Eng. National Bank of Canada Chairman President & CEO Alberta Treasury Branches Canadian Western Bank Cody Church, B.Econ Max Lof, CFA Executive Vice President & CFO EVALUATION ENGINEERS Brent A. Eshleman, P.Eng InSite Petroleum Consultants Ltd. Charles R. Kraus, Esq. Brian Frank, B.A., M.A. Executive Vice President, General REGISTRAR & TRANSFER AGENT Keith E. Macdonald, CPA, CA Counsel & Corporate Secretary Computershare Trust Company of Canada Thomas E. MacInnis, B.Comm, MBA Garrett Ulmer, P.Eng AUDITORS Chief Operating Officer KPMG LLP Mark Smith, P.Eng Steve G. Toth, CFA EXCHANGE LISTING Vice President, Investor Relations & The Toronto Stock Exchange - BXE Corporate Development ADDRESS 1920, 800 – 5th Avenue SW Calgary, Alberta Canada T2P 3T6 Tel: (403) 266-8670 Fax: (403) 264-8163 www.bxe.com investor.relations@bxe.com 46
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