Brazil's Oil Prospectivity Unveiled - Eliane Petersohn Calgary, Jun, 12st 2018 Country Market Seminar - ANP
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Brazil’s Oil Prospectivity Unveiled Calgary, Eliane Petersohn Jun, 12st 2018 Chief Geologist Country Market Seminar
Outline 1 Brazil’s Current State and Prospectivity 2 Latest Auction Results 3 Open Acreage 4 New Licensing Rounds in Brazil 5 Conclusions
Outline 1 Brazil’s Current State and Prospectivity 2 Latest Auction Results 3 Open Acreage 4 New Licensing Rounds in Brazil 5 Conclusions
Brazil’s Current State Sedimentary Area: 7.5 million km2 Area under concession ~ 280,000 km2 335 Blocks 431 fields Production (Mar, 2018) Oil 2.56 million barrels/d Natural Gas 107 million m3/d Proven Reserves (Dez, 2017) Oil 12.8 billion barrels Natural Gas 367 billion m3 10th largest oil producer in the world and the largest in Latin America
Brazil’s Current State 1998 2018 Production (Dez, 1998) Production (Mar, 2018) 970 thousand bbl/d 2.56 million bbl/d 30 million m3/d 107 million m3/d Oil Export Crude Oil Export (2000) (Feb, 2018) 18.68 bbl/d 0.9 million bbl/d
Brazil’s Prospectivity Conventional Pre-Salt Onshore Offshore High quality Carbonate Mature Basins Reservoirs underneath the (Remaining Potential) salt layer Eastern and Equatorial Margin New Frontier Basins High well productivity Solimoes Basin: Potential for Potential for oil discoveries from more than 30,000 bpd in the the Upper Cretaceous to light oil accumulations beginning of production Paleogene turbidite reservoirs Paleozoic and Proterozoic Potential for giant and supergiant basins: gas prone discoveries
Onshore New Frontier Basins Parnaiba Amazonas Basin Production Solimoes 6.1 million m3/d Parnaiba Parecis Solimoes Sao Francisco Basin Producing basin and potential for light oil and natural Parana gas discoveries Other basins potential for natural Solimoes Basin production (April/18) gas discoveries Light Oil ~21 thousand bbl/d Natural Gas ~14.2 million m3/d Boe: ~110 thousand bbl/d
Parnaiba Basin Area under concession: ~78,800 km2 7 natural gas fields Four among the onshore Brazil’s top 20 producers Natural gas production ~6.1 million m3/d (jan/2018) Gavião Caboclo Gavião Branco Norte Gavião Branco Gavião Preto Gavião Vermelho Gavião Azul Gavião Real
Potiguar Onshore Mature Basins Reconcavo, Potiguar, Sergipe-Alagoas Sergipe-Alagoas and Espirito Santo - Advanced exploration stage Reconcavo - Oil & Gas Infrastructure available - Excellent opportunity for small and medium-sized companies - Recent discoveries - Remaining Potential Espirito Santo
Outline 1 Brazil’s Current State and Prospectivity 2 Latest Auction Results 3 Open Acreage 4 New Licensing Rounds in Brazil 5 Conclusions
Brazil’s 15th Licensing Round 22 blocks were acquired (Total area 16,400.30 km²) 12 winning companies from 11 countries The largest signature bonuses in concession bidding rounds ever (R$ 8 billion) A variety of operators and a geographic diversity
Brazil’s 4th Pre-Salt Auction The results demonstrate that majors Equinor, ExxonMobil, Shell, BP, and Chevron are long-term investors in Brazil The 4th Pre-salt Auction raised R$ 3.15 billion in signing bonuses and R$ 738 million in planned investments
Outline 1 Brazil’s Current State and Prospectivity 2 Latest Auction Results 3 Open Acreage 4 New Licensing Rounds in Brazil 5 Conclusions
Open Acreage Continuous offer of blocks and mature fields. Companies can bid on blocks not sold in previous auctions. Applications can be submitted anytime and not just at designated points. Companies do not need to wait for the regular bidding rounds. It gives more flexibility to the industry and it will promote exploration activity in onshore areas where there are more small and medium size companies. And, by offering companies the freedom to choose exactly the areas they want to explore the government has a better chance to bring serious energy investors.
Open Acreage 1st Wave Area: 14 346,035 km² Mature fields 884 15 Sedimentary Blocks basins Blocks not awarded in the 15th Bidding Round are included 722 blocks in 9 onshore basins 162 blocks in 6 offshore basins
Open Acreage Single registration Single participation rate with reduced value Complete technical data package will be optional Reduction of the financial guarantee for the Minimum Exploratory Program – 30% of the total amount Reduced signature bonus for mature basins (R$ 50,000) Local content onshore: Exploration 50% / Production Development 50%
Open Acreage special commission 1st Wave Schedule publishes the schedule Tender Protocol and Contracts Publication Registration to Open Public Hearing Acreage begins July, 19th Auction May, 2nd June, 20th 2018 ANP has 90 days from the submission of each offer to execute the auction Beginning of the enrollment. Companies can submit an interest statement for any block
Open Acreage 2nd Wave Deadline to disclosure parameters and rules December/2018 1,054 blocks Total Area: 441,400 km2 Offshore Areas Foz do Amazonas, Para-Maranhao Onshore New Barreirinhas, Ceara Frontier Basins Potiguar Solimoes Pernamubo-Paraiba Amazonas Sergipe-Alagoas Parecis Jacuipe, Camamu-Almada São Francisco Jequitinhonha, Espirito Santo Parana Santos and Pelotas Tucano
Outline 1 Brazil’s Current State and Prospectivity 2 Latest Auction Results 3 Open Acreage 4 New Licensing Rounds in Brazil 5 Conclusions
Bidding rounds schedule (Concession) (Concession) (Concession) Auction Auction September, As from 1st 3rd June, 7th 28th Nov Semester Quarter 2018 2019
5th Pre-salt Bidding Round Sudoeste de Public session for Tartaruga Verde submission of bids: September the 28th, 2018 Saturno Titã This auction will include 4 blocks: Saturno, Tita, Pau-Brasil and Sudoeste de Tartaruga Verde Pau-Brasil Unrisked oil in place volume (P50) surpasses 17 billion barrels
5th Pre-salt Bidding Round Titã Saturno Base of Salt Depth Structural Map Dione 25 km
5th Pre-salt Bidding Round SW Dione Saturno Titã NE Arbitrary Line -3,000 -5,000 Depth (m) -7,000 -9,000 Survey: 0264_BM_SANTOS_FASE_VII_B – Courtesy of CGG 5 km
5th Pre-salt Bidding Round SW Dione Saturno Titã NE Arbitrary Line -3,000 -5,000 Depth (m) -7,000 -9,000 Survey: 0264_BM_SANTOS_FASE_VII_B – Courtesy of CGG Sea Bottom Base of Salt (Aptian) Basement 5 km Top of Salt (Aptian/Albian) Base of Sag (Aptian) Fault
5th Pre-salt Bidding Round Dione Prospect -3,000 -4,000 Depth (m) -5,000 -6,000 -7,000 0 3 km Survey 0268_BM_SANTOS_FASE_VII_B – Courtesy of CGG: Arbitrary Line (Fast Track)
What´s up for 2019? 6th Pre-salt Auction & 16th Bidding Round 16th Bidding Round 6th Pre-Salt Licensing Round Cruzeiro do Sul Aram Bumerangue
Bidding Rounds Schedule Sector Round 16 2019 Area under evaluation for Round 16 Sector Round 17 2020 Area under evaluation for Round 17 Sector Round 18 2021 Area under evaluation for Round 18
Outline 1 Brazil’s Current State and Prospectivity 2 Latest Auction Results 3 Open Acreage 4 New Licensing Rounds in Brazil 5 Conclusions
Conclusions Brazil has highly promising oil prospectivity and wide diversity of plays. It has been increased its oil production and it has geological potential to be in the Top 5 oil producers in the world. In 2018 ANP is starting the open acreage process which will allow companies to have more flexibility to orchestrate deals with the Brazilian government and access to almost 2,000 blocks (~800,000 km2). It aims to make the Oil sector more dynamic and to increase exploration and production activities in the Country. Beyond these, there will be one more Pre-Salt Auction in this year; new bidding rounds under concession and production sharing in 2019 and ANP has just released sector’s schedule for 2020 and 2021.
National Agency of Petroleum, Natural Gas and Biofuels ANP Eliane Petersohn epetersohn@anp.gov.br
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