Barking and Dagenham 2018/19 Crime and Disorder Strategic Assessment Summary - Appendix
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Appendix 1
Barking and Dagenham
2018/19
Crime and Disorder
Strategic Assessment
Summary
1
The following areas were reviewed and “assessed” in the 2018/19 Crime and Disorder Strategic assessment (CDSA) - (a
restricted document):
• Overview of the borough, now and what it will look like in the future including population projections and
regeneration
• Horizon scanning for events and issues that will likely impact on crime and disorder in the near future.
An “assessment” of community safety issues including:
• An overview of crime and anti social behaviour
• Public perceptions and feelings of safety
• Victims vulnerability and harm, including:
2018/19 CRIME AND •
•
A review of victim profiles
Vulnerable property and hot products
DISORDER STRATEGIC • Violence Against Women and Girls
ASSESSMENT: •
• Hate crime
Offenders and offending, including:
• The impact of drugs and alcohol on offending
OVERVIEW OF WHAT • Reoffending and offender management
HAS BEEN •
•
Public order and riots
Peer groups and gangs
“ASSESSED” • Overview on County lines activity
• Use of weapons
• Organised Crime
• Violent Extremism
• Locations, including
• Ward level crime and disorder rates
• Hotspots and hot times
• Incidents of ASB
• Community tensions and monitoring
• Vulnerable localities
• Crime and Disorder on the Transport network
• Recommended Strategic priority areas to address in the year ahead
8Crime and Disorder Strategic Assessment (CDSA)
1. Performance
against priority
areas
Keeping
Children
and Young Persistent
Tackling People Offenders
Violence Reducing
Safe
Against Re-
Women offending
and Girls Creating
Fire Safety
a safer
Standing
borough up to
Tackling
Hate,
Serious Intoleranc
Violence Tackling e and Perception
Crimes Extremism of Safety
That Affect
People The
Most
3Priority 1 Description Baseline Target for 2018/19 Performance Change in the
last 12 months
Reduce the number of Jul 16-Jun 17: 134 (n) / Reduction on previous Jan 18-Dec 18: 91 (n)
First Time Entrants to Rate: 594 per 100,000. year and to bring rate / Rate: 385 per
Keeping Children and the Criminal Justice London rate: 402 per 100,000 10 – 17 100,000.
Young People Safe Service England & Wales rate: year olds in line with London rate: 283
594 regional and national England & Wales
benchmarks rate: 236
Reduce the number of Oct 16- Sep 17: 31 (n) / Reduction on previous Apr 18- Mar 19: 23
Young People receiving rate: 1.37 year and to bring rate (n) / rate: 0.97
custodial sentences London rate: 0.72 per 1000 10-17 year London rate: 0.47
England & Wales rate: olds in line with England & Wales
The last assessment showed: 0.41 regional and national rate: 0.30
• Crimes which caused the Reduce reoffending by
benchmarks
Reduce reoffending Jul 16-Jun17 cohort:
most harm to children Young People Jan 15-Dec15 cohort: 139 rate on previous year 100 / 250 = 40.0%
/ 267 = 52.1% and bring in line with reoffending rate.
and young people such as reoffending rate regional and national E&W: 40.1%
knife crime, sexual abuse benchmarks London: 43.5%
Reduce the number of April 2018 to March
and serious youth Serious Youth Violence 2017/18: 260 victims Reduction on previous 2019: 276 victims,
victims aged 0-19 years year Up 15 victims
violence were on the rise. (+5.7%)
Reduce the number of
non-domestic abuse 2017/18: 39 victims Reduction on previous April 2018 to March
• The Community Safety knife crime victims year 2019: 36 victims,
aged 1-24 years Down 3 victims
Plan that followed the (-7.7%)
assessment put forward
measures to better Reduce the number of 2017/18: Reduction on previous April 2018 to March
gun crime offences 75 offences year 2019: 70 offences,
protect and safeguard down 3 offences
children, tackle knife (-6.7%)
Reduce Lethal Barrelled 2017/18: Reduction on previous 2018/19: 8 offences
crime and gangs and Gun discharges 10 offences year (-20.0%)
intervene to stop young Encourage more
victims of Child Sexual TBC / RESTRICTED TBC / RESTRICTED TBC / RESTRICTED TBC /
people at risk of offending Exploitation to come RESTRICTED
forward and report
doing so.
9Description Baseline Target for 2018/19 Performance Change in the
last 12 months
Priority 2 27.7% (758 / 23.5% (528/2251)
Reduce Adult Reoffending 2737) Jul 2016-Jun 2017
Reducing Reoffending Jan 2015-Dec cohort
2015 cohort
Reduce Drug reoffending* 26.8% (85/317) 28.4% (82/289)
The last assessment Reduce Robbery reoffending* 33.3% (6/18) 29.4% (5/17)
highlighted: Reduction on previous
year
• The rise in criminal Reduce Summary Motoring 20.7% (54/261) 17.7% (43/243)
incidents across London reoffending*
involving offenders with
mental health problems.
Reduce Violence Against Person
• Prolific offenders in reoffending* 23.1% (39/169) 19.1% (29/152)
London are estimated to
cost £2.2 billion a year in Drug Intervention Programme
(DIP) Alcohol Treatment Improve on previous
CJS costs. The majority Requirement successful 65.7% (23/35) years 2018/19: 77.3%
lead chaotic lives and completions (17/22)
have a variety of needs
including drug and alcohol Drug Intervention Programme
addiction. (DIP) Drug Rehabilitation 34.0% (18/53) Improve on previous 2018/19: 34.6%
Requirement successful years (9/26)
completions
9Description Baseline Target for 2018/19 Performance Change in the
last 12 months
Priority 3 Encourage more victims of Anti 2017/18: 2018/19: 1 Offence
-Semitic Hate Crime to come 1 offence For monitoring (no change)
Standing Up to Hate forward and report
Intolerance and Extremism Encourage more victims of 2017/18: 2018/19: 9 Offences
Disability Hate Crime to come 6 offences For monitoring (+50%)
forward and report
Encourage more victims of 2017/18: 2018/19: 28 offences
Faith Hate crime to come 31 offences For monitoring (-9.7%)
forward and report
Encourage more victims of 2017/18:
Sexual Orientation Hate Crime 28 offences For monitoring 2018/19: 19 offences
The last assessment: to come forward and report (-32.1%)
Encourage more victims of 2017/18:
Islamophobic Hate Crime to 28 offences For monitoring 2018/19: 26 offences
• Acknowledged the come forward and report (-7.1%)
enormous harm that hate Encourage more victims of 2017/18: 2018/19: 311
Racist and religious Hate Crime 361 offences For monitoring offences (-8.3%)
crime causes to people to come forward and report
and the community Encourage more victims of 2017/18:
• The serious impact on the Transgender Hate Crime to 1 offence For monitoring 2018/19: 4 offences
come forward and report (+300%)
quality of life for those Reduce the levels of repeat Currently
affected. victimisation for Hate Crime 45% (July 17)* For monitoring unavailable
• Fully supported the Reduce the rates of attrition in
MOPAC priority of cases of Hate Crime as they Indicator TBC Indicator TBC Indicator TBC Indicator TBC
addressing Hate Crime progress through the criminal
justice process
and Intolerance and the Improve the level of satisfaction
need to support victims. of victims of hate crime with 2017/18: 71% Improvement on Sep 2018: 66%
the service they received with overall previous year overall satisfaction
the police and criminal justice satisfaction Latest TBC
service
9Priority 4:
Tackling Crimes that Affect people the
most
The last assessment:
• Highlighted that reducing the risk of arson
Description Baseline Target for 2018/19 Performance Change in
related fires has been a long term priority for the last 12
months
the CSP. The tragic fire at Grenfell Tower, Reduce Non-DA VWI 2017/18: Reduction on 2018/19: 1320 -1.9%
highlights the important of the focus on fire 1346 offences previous year offences (-1.9%)
Reduce Burglary 2017/18: Reduction on 2018/19: 1581 -4.2%
safety. 1651 offences previous year offences (-4.2%)
• Acknowledged our agreed MOPAC priorities Reduce ASB 2017/18: Reduction on 2018/19: 5227 -11.8%
5929 offences previous year offences (-11.8%)
to reduce Burglary and Non-Domestic Abuse Reduce Theft of Motor 2017/18: Reduction on 2018/19: 1245 +7.5%
Violence With Injury. Vehicle 1197 offences previous year offences
Reduce Arson 2017/18: 166 Reduction on 2018/19: 97 -40.9%
• Proposed ASB, Theft of Motor Vehicles as incidents previous year incidents
priority areas (due to increase in offences, Improve resident’s 2017 Residents Improvement on 2018 Residents -3%
perception of safety during Survey: 82% 2017 results Survey: 79%
theft of MV link between residential burglary the day
and the impact they have on residents Improve resident’s
perception of safety after
2017 Residents
Survey: 42%
Improvement on
2017 results
2018 Residents
Survey: 35%
-7%
perceptions of safety). dark
• Repeat victimisation rates for ASB, Domestic
Abuse and TNO were shown to be higher than
the London average.
• Addressing these issues should help to
improve residents perceptions of safety which
shows a decrease over the last year down to
42% of residents feeling safe after dark.
9Priority 5: Description Baseline Target for 2018/19 Performance Change in the
Tackling Serious Violence last 12 months
Reduce Non-DA VWI 2017/18: Reduction on previous 2018/19: 1320 -1.9%
1346 offences year offences
Serious Violence = homicide, knife crime and
Reduce Robbery of Personal 2017/18: Reduction on previous 2018/19: 790 -12.9%
gun crime and areas where serious violence or Property 907 offences year offences
its threat is inherent. Reduce Knife Crime Offences 2017/18: Reduction on previous 2018/19: 432 -2.9%
The last assessment included findings from a 444 offences year offences
Serious Violence Problem Profile completed in Reduce the repeat victimisation Jul 2017*: 19% Reduction on previous Currently TBC
the lead up to the last assessment. The profile rates for knife crime (one month year unavailable
showed:
• Those most at risk of Serious Violence only)
(victims and offenders) extend in the age Reduce Gun Crime Offences 2017/18: Reduction on previous 2018/19: 70 -6.7%
range of 18-30 year olds.
• Serious Youth Violence are at peaks
75 offences year offences
between the ages of 15 and 20 years Reduce Lethal Barrelled 2017/18: Reduction on previous 2018/19: 8 offences -20.0%
• Half of all serious wounding including GBH Discharges 10 offences year
with intent, attempted murder, stabbings
and shootings were carried out by those Total Sexual Violence Offences 2017/18: monitoring 2018/19: 569 + 18.0%
aged between 10-24 years. 483 offences offences
9Priority 6: Description Baseline Target for 2018/19 Performance Change in the
Tackling Violence Against Women and last 12 months
Girls
Increase the number of 2018/19:
domestic abuse offences 2017/18: Increase reporting 2687 offences +2.9%
reported by victims to the
police
Reduce the levels of repeat Reduce repeat 2018/19:
victimisation of domestic abuse 49% (July 2017*) victimisation rates Currently TBC
The last assessment: reported to the police unavailable
Increase the number of sexual
• Highlighted the borough continues to have violence offences reported to 2017/18: Increase reporting 2018/19: 569 +18.0%
the police offences
the highest domestic abuse offence rate per
Reduce the levels of repeat Reduce repeat 2018/19:
1,000 population in London
victimisation of sexual violence 31% (July 2017*) victimisation rates Currently -16.0%
reported to the police unavailable
• Although under reported sexual violence
Encourage reporting of harmful TBC /
and domestic violence offences are practices including Female TBC / Restricted TBC / Restricted Restricted
increasing in the borough and across London Genital Mutilation (FGM), following VAWG Increase reporting following VAWG sub following
– a clear demand driver for services. honour-based violence and sub group group review VAWG sub
forced marriage review group review
• Levels of repeat victimisation for domestic Reduce the rates of attrition in TBC /
abuse for the borough was well above the VAWG cases as they progress TBC / Restricted Reduction TBC / Restricted Restricted
London average. through the criminal justice following VAWG following VAWG sub following
process. sub group group review VAWG sub
review group review
9Summary / Interpretation / Recommendations
• So far the Community Safety Partnership has performed well against most of the priority areas
identified from the last assessment with targets set for the 2018/19 period.
Progress is being demonstrated in:
• Arson has reduced significantly compared to the previous 12 months as a result of collaboration
between partners.
• Reoffending rates of both adult and juvenile offenders.
• Gun Crime and Knife Crime has reduced compared to the previous 12 months.
• Burglary has reduced compared to the previous 12 months
• Non DA VWI is decreasing (-2%) but this work needs to continue to achieve a substantial reduction
• In 2017/18 Robbery of personal property saw a massive increase of 84% (up 415 offences to 907
offences). In 2018/19 Robbery of personal property offences have decreased substantially as a result
of police and partnership intervention. This work needs to be maintained.
Performance
Summary / The areas for improvement within the indicator sets are:
• Serious Youth Violence has increased at the end of the year despite seeing reductions at the
Interpretation / beginning of the year.
Recommendations • Alcohol Treatment Requirements and Drug Rehabilitation Requirement successful completions
• Hate Crime victim’s satisfaction with the service they received from the Police and Criminal Justice
System
• Theft of Motor Vehicles is increasing and the borough has the highest rate in London
• People feeling unsafe outside during the day / after dark has increased year on year. This requires
further analysis.
• RECOMMENDATION: Establish Task and Finish group to take up recommendations from the
Residents Survey as well as review resident’s perceptions of safety in relation to crime levels and
what can be done to improve this.
• RECOMMENDATION: Set up a Deep Dive look at Theft of Motor Vehicles and review responses in
light of the findings.
8Improvements in recording of crimes following results of HMRCFRS
inspections particularly affecting Violent and Sexual crime recording
2. Assessment of
recent trends and
partnership data
8Arson and Criminal Damage Total,
1447, 8%
Drug Offences Total, 972, 5%
Miscellaneous Crimes Against
Society Total, 245, 1%
Violence without injury Total,
3582, 19%
Public Order offences Total, 958,
5%
2018/19 OFFENCE Violence with injury Total, 2089,
BREAKDOWN (MAJOR 11% All other theft offences Total,
1949, 11%
AND MINOR)
Homicide Total, 4, 0% Bicycle theft Total, 221, 1%
Rape Total, 254, 1%
Burglary - business and
Other sexual offences Total, community Total, 376, 2%
313, 2%
Robbery of Personal Property
Burglary - residential Total, 1204,
Total, 789, 4%
6%
Robbery of Business
Property Total, 56, 0%
Shoplifting Total, 747, 4%
Possession of weapons
Total, 196, 1% Theft from the
Vehicle offences Total, 2611, 14% person Total, 519, 3%
8PUBLIC PERCEPTIONS AND FEELING OF SAFETY
The 2018 Barking and Dagenham resident’s perception survey shows that of
1,000 respondents the top area of personal concern for residents was crime
(55%) (compared to 50% IN 2017, 43% in 2016 and 40% in 2015).
The survey also asked about feelings of safety, with 79% saying they felt safe
outside in their local areas during the day, a decrease on the 2017, 2016 and
2015 results (82%, 85%, 84% respectively). Barking and Dagenham’s results
were also significantly lower when compared with October 2018 National data
(93%).
Public Perception Only 35% of residents felt safe outside in their local area after dark. There has
been a year on year decrease in residents feeling safe after dark (42% in 2017,
49% in 2016 and 51% in 2015).
This notion that Barking & Dagenham residents don’t feel particularly safe
when outside in their local area after dark is reinforced when results are
compared against National data (76%; significantly lower by 41 percentage
points).
8PUBLIC PERCEPTIONS AND FEELING OF SAFETY
The report also pointed out that there appears to be a disconnect between
what residents think and the reality, which suggests that crime levels are lower
than the London average. The report recommended that the Council may wish
to speak to residents in more depth to understand their concerns and explain
to them what they are doing to reduce crime levels.
The table below shows how much of a problem residents perceive each ASB
types to be in Barking and Dagenham.
2015 Residents 2016 Residents 2017 Residents 2018 Residents
Survey Survey Survey Survey
Public Perception Rubbish or litter lying
around
55% 60% 58% 64%
People dealing or using 51% 56% 57% 65%
drugs
Fly-tipping 50% 55% 53% 58%
People being drunk / 44% 42% 46% 49%
rowdy in public spaces
Vandalism, Graffiti etc to 38% 39% 44% 42%
property
Dog fouling 50% 47% 41% 44%
Noisy Neighbours / Loud 23% 19% 24% 23%
Parties
Abandoned / Burnt out 18% 22% 23% 18%
cars
Residents in Barking & Dagenham now perceive people using or dealing
drugs as the biggest ASB concern in their area with 65% of residents saying
it is a very or fairly big problem. In light of the above, perceptions of safety
is a key priority for the CSP.
8SUMMARY / INTERPRETATION / RECOMMENDATIONS
• The crime volume, estimated severity and costs table shows an overall reduction of Total Offences by
0.5% in the year ending 2018/19 compared to 2017/18. The table shows the largest reductions in Arson
and Criminal Damage, Robbery of Personal Property, all theft offences (except Theft of Motor Vehicle,
Theft Person and Burglary Business and Community (see below)).
• The above crime reductions have been off-set by the largest increases in Violence Without Injury
Offences. A deeper look at the offences making up VWOI show an increase in Harassment Offences and
Malicious Communications. Both these offences will have been be impacted by the inclusion and
recording of two new offences “Disclosure of private sexual photographs and films to causes distress or
anxiety” and “Sending letters with intent to cause distress or anxiety” both of which were previously non
notifiable a few years ago. Therefore the large increase in figures of Harassment do not necessarily mean
a real increase in actual offences, just an improvement in the recording of offences. These two offences
Trends Summary / are likely to continue to increase as a result of better recording. However, a DRILL DOWN into these
offence types is recommended.
Interpretation / • Sexual offences continue to increase and reporting is encouraged. Future assessments would benefit
from a review into sexual offences (levels that are historic / recent etc).
Recommendations • Other increases in 2018/19 that were having the biggest impact on levels of TNO’s can be seen in Theft of
Person and Theft of Motor Vehicle offences. These two offence types have also been highlighted for
inclusion in priority setting for the year ahead due to their volume, impact and cost on services and the
community.
• When looking at volume cost and harm to the community the existing priority crime types are still valid.
Theft of Person should be considered a priority area for the future moving forward.
• Wider Partnership data shows a reduction in the majority of disorder reported to partnership the exception
being increases seen in Graffiti and Noise across the borough and Violence at train stations (mainly at
Barking Station).
• The CSP has done well to reduce the levels of arson in the borough. However, the borough still has high
rates per 1,000 population compared with the rest of London for these incidents. The work in this area
needs to be maintained.
8SUMMARY / INTERPRETATION / RECOMMENDATIONS
RECOMMENDATION: Deep dive into violence without injury
RECOMMENDATION: Review drug related activity as part of the upcoming Drugs Market Profile.
RECOMMENDATION: Obtain local level outcomes data and a deeper look in the lead up to the next assessment.
RECOMMENDATION: The existing priority crime and disorder types to remain priorities to address in 2019/20. This
includes:
• Violence Against Women and Girls (mandatory high harm MOPAC priority area)
Trends Summary / •
•
Gun Crime (mandatory high harm MOPAC priority area)
Hate Crime (mandatory high harm MOPAC priority area)
Interpretation / •
•
Knife Crime (mandatory high harm MOPAC priority area)
Sexual Offences (mandatory high harm MOPAC priority area)
Recommendations •
•
Anti Social Behaviour (Mandatory MOPAC priority area)
Non-Domestic Abuse Violence With Injury (locally set)
• Theft of Motor Vehicle (locally set)
• Residential Burglary (locally set)
• Robbery of Personal property (locally set – activity needs to be maintained)
• Theft from Person (for consideration)
• Adult and Juvenile reoffending (locally set)
• Arson (locally set)
8SUMMARY / INTERPRETATION / RECOMMENDATIONS
Barking and Dagenham is one of the most deprived areas in the country. Rates of crime & disorder and
environmental crime in Abbey, Thames, Village, and Chadwell Heath wards are all higher than the borough-wide
average.
Residents Perceptions of safety, outside during the day and after dark have decreased in the borough. However, some
of the wards with the highest perception of being unsafe do not always correlate with the highest rates of crime and
disorder and this needs to be further explored via a Task and Finish Group.
Barking Town Centre and Dagenham Heathway appear in the majority of hotspot maps for crime and disorder. Abbey
LOCATIONS Ward, which contains Barking Town Centre, remains a primary location for Barking and Dagenham as it has some of
the highest levels of Robbery of personal property, arson, violence with injury and drug offences in London and is the
Summary / primary hotspot for theft from person offences in the borough.
Interpretation / Efforts should continue with the Barking Town Centre Management Meetings to address the levels of crime and
Recommendations disorder in these areas.
Community tensions across the borough are being monitored and managed through the Tension Monitoring Group
(TMG), which is also supported by the Hate Crime, Intolerance and Extremism sub-group and tensions continue to be
monitored closely.
8SUMMARY / INTERPRETATION / RECOMMENDATIONS
Victim profiles show the young people (under 21) are particularly vulnerable to violent crimes in
the borough. They are especially vulnerable to Robbery of Personal Property, Violence With
Injury, Serious Violence, knife Crime and Gang related offences.
Issues around domestic violence remain similar to the previous year and include the borough
having one of the highest offence rates in London. Over the following 18 months council officer
support and work needs to continue in the lead up to the Domestic Abuse Commission, which
will specifically look at the higher levels of acceptance and tolerance of abusive behaviours
across the borough.
Victims, Vulnerability and There is the potential for Hate Crimes to increase in the lead up to BREXIT and all reports and
Harm section: community tensions need to be monitored closely. The council has a new Cohesion and
Integration Strategy with the aim of bringing people together in the borough.
Summary / Interpretation /
Recommendations RECOMMENDATION: Levels of female genital mutilation and forced marriage to be sent to vawg
group and fed into the next assessment.
RECOMMENDATION: Officers to continue to support the Domestic Abuse Commission over the
next 18 months.
RECOMMENDATION: VAWG Group and CYP sub groups to work together to undertake a
campaign tackling sexual violence, raising the status of consent and respect, particularly directed
at young people.
RECOMMENDATION: Implement the council’s Cohesion and Integration Strategy’s action plan.
8SUMMARY / INTERPRETATION / RECOMMENDATIONS
Males make up the majority of offenders in Barking and Dagenham. The age
groups 10-24 are over represented for violence and serious violence offences.
The National Crime Agency’s latest Strategic Assessment identifies Organised
Crime Groups as the largest threat to the UK. A problem profile into OCG’s in the
borough, along with a refresh of the Child Sexual Exploitation Problem Profile
Offenders summary and upcoming drug market profile is required to ascertain the scale of organised
/ Interpretation / crime in the borough.
Recommendations RECOMMENDATION: A multi-agency problem profile into Organised Crime
Groups should take place to ascertain the extent that Organised Crime groups
are operating within Barking and Dagenham.PRIORITY TARGETS
Priority 1: Keeping Children and Reduce the number of First Time Entrants
Young People Safe Reduce the number of young people receiving custodial sentences
Reduce reoffending by young people
Reduce the number of Serious Youth Violence victims aged 0-19 years
Reduce the number of NDA Knife Crime Victims aged 1-24 years
Encourage more victims of Child Sexual Exolitation to come forward and report
Contribute to exploitation problem profiles including CSE, Organised Crime Groups
Priority 2: Reduce Reoffending Reduce Reoffending (Adult/Juvenile/Drug/Robbery/Motoring offences/violence)
Improve Successful completions for Drug and Alcohol Rehabilitation Requirements
Contribute to Drug Market Profile
Priority 3: Standing up to Hate Increase in the levels of Hate Crimes reported
Crime and Intolerance
5. PROPOSED Priority 4: Tackling Crimes that
affect people the most
Reduce Non-Domestic Abuse Violence With Injury
Reduce Burglary
STRATEGIC Reduce ASB
Reduce Theft of Motor Vehicle
PRIORITIES Reduce Arson
Reduce Theft from Peron
Priority 5: Tackling Serious Reduce Non DA VWI
Violence Reduce Robbery of Personal Property
Reduce Knife Crime Offences
Reduce the repeat victimisation rates for Knife Crime
Reduce the number of gun crime offences and lethal barrelled discharges
Monitor levels of Sexual Offences
Priority 6: Tacking Violence New indicators to be agreed but this will cover: Domestic Abuse Offences, repeat victimisation levels, FGM and Honour
Against Women and Girls Based Violence and Forced Marriage, Reducing attrition of VAWG through the CJS.
Cross Cutting theme 1 Persistent Offenders
Cross Cutting Theme 2 Fire Safety
Cross Cutting Theme 3 Perceptions on safety
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