Bank of America 2020 Global Technology Conference (Virtual) - June 3, 2020 Casey Eichler, CFO Louis Gerhardy, Corporate ...
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AMBARELLA.COM COPYRIGHT AMBARELLA 2020 June 3, 2020 Bank of America 2020 Global Technology Conference (Virtual) Casey Eichler, CFO ceichler@ambarella.com Louis Gerhardy, Corporate Development lgerhardy@ambarella.com 1
Forward-Looking Statements This presentation contains forward-looking statements that are subject to many risks and uncertainties. All statements made in this presentation other than statements of historical facts are forward-looking statements, including, without limitation, statements regarding Ambarella’s strategy, future operations, financial targets, future revenues, projected costs, prospects, plans and objectives for future operations, future product introductions, future rate of our revenue growth, the size of markets addressed by the company's solutions and the growth rate of those markets, technology trends, our ability to address market and customer demands and to timely develop new or enhanced solutions to meet those demands, our ability to achieve design wins, and our ability to retain and expand our customer and partner relationships. In some cases, you can identify forward-looking statements by terms such as "may," "will," "should," "could," "would," "expects," "plans," "anticipates," "believes," "estimates," "projects," "predicts," "potential," or the negative of those terms, and similar expressions and comparable terminology intended to identify forward-looking statements. We have based forward-looking statements largely on our estimates of our financial results and our current expectations and projections about future events, markets and financial trends that we believe may affect our financial condition, results of operations, business strategy, short term and long-term business operations and objectives, and financial needs as of the date of this presentation. Although these forward-looking statements are based upon information available at the time the statements are made and reflect management’s good faith beliefs, forward-looking statements inherently involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors that may cause actual results, performance or achievements to differ materially from anticipated future results. Important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from expectations are disclosed in Ambarella's annual reports on Form 10-K and quarterly reports and Form 10-Q filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission (the “SEC”), particularly in the sections titled “Risk Factors” and “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations.” You should not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date on which they are made. We do not undertake to update or revise any forward-looking statements after they are made, whether as a result of new information, future events, or otherwise, except as required by applicable law. Moreover, we operate in a very competitive and rapidly changing environment. New risks emerge from time to time. It is not possible for management to predict all risks, nor can we assess the impact of all factors on our business or the extent to which any factor, or combination of factors, may cause actual results to differ materially from those contained in any forward-looking statements we may make. In light of these risks, uncertainties and assumptions, the forward-looking events and circumstances discussed in this presentation may not occur and actual results could differ materially and adversely from those anticipated or implied in the forward- looking statements. Before you invest, you should read the annual and quarterly reports and other documents Ambarella has filed with the SEC for more complete information about the company and its ordinary shares. Additional information will also be set forth in Ambarella's future quarterly and annual reports and other filings made with the SEC from time to time. You may access these documents for free by visiting EDGAR on the SEC web site at www.sec.gov. AMBARELLA.COM COPYRIGHT AMBARELLA 2020 2
Ambarella Overview Ambarella is an artificial intelligence (“AI”) company Ambarella developed over a 3 year period an AI processor architecture specifically optimized for video edge-endpoint applications. The integration of this deep neural network AI processor with the company’s state-of-the-art video processor yields a highly optimized computer vision (“CV”) system-on-a-chip (“SoC”). Nearly $400 million cumulative investment into CV targeting automotive, security camera and other robotic applications. The first 3 production CV SoCs were taped-out and sampled in C2018 with all three SoCs now in production. Three “waves” of CV revenue anticipated; professional security cameras (CY2020), home security cameras (C2021) and automotive cameras (CY2022-23). Founded 2004, IPO (NASDAQ: AMBA) 2012 Focused on video applications, always with the premise that video is a special type of data requiring an optimized chip architecture. Initially targeted human viewing applications with low-power and high-resolution SoCs for the consumer and security camera markets. New CV SoCs enable machines to visually perceive and make decisions, enabling higher levels of automation in multiple industries. Strong and liquid balance sheet $411 million cash and marketable securities and no debt exiting Q1 F2021 (April 30, 2020). Positive operating cash flow. Returned $176 million to shareholders via stock repurchases in the last 4 years. AMBARELLA.COM COPYRIGHT AMBARELLA 2020 3
Global Footprint 760 Employees Across US, Asia, and Europe 180 55 184 325 5 5 6 United States Europe China Taiwan Hong Kong Korea Japan US ODMs Jabil VisLab HQ Flextronics Parma, Italy Santa acquired 2015 Taiwan ODMs Clara, CA Founded and incorporated ~50 employees Chicony in Cayman Islands in 2004 ~30 PhDs Sercomm Vivotek LiteOn WNC China ODMs Ability Skylight Goertek Huaqin Kenxen Manufacturing Preferred Partner Contract Design Houses Rhonda Samsung Semiconductor Teknique AMBARELLA.COM COPYRIGHT AMBARELLA 2020 4
Ambarella’s Computer Vision System-on-a-Chip Leveraging 15+ Years of Video Processing Expertise with a New and Proprietary AI Processor 15+ years of Programmable Computer Vision Platform Video and with Optimized Coprocessor Acceleration Image NEW Processing CVflow architecture Experience introduced in F2019 after 3 years in R&D Video CVflow Deep Image Compression Neural Network AI Processing processor AMBARELLA.COM COPYRIGHT AMBARELLA 2020 5
Scalable Computer Vision Portfolio AI in the Camera - Superior Performance per Watt and Performance per Dollar CV25 CV22 CV22FS CV2 CV2FS CV25 – CV22 – Mid Range CV2 – High End Mainstream CV22 CV22FS (ASIL-B) CV2 CV2FS (ASIL-B) Announced January 2019 Announced January 2018 Announced January 2020 Announced March 2018 Announced January 2020 Availability Mass production revenue July Mass production revenue TBA Production TBA 2019 December 2018 Samsung low power 10nm process Up to 6x cameras* and stereo Up to 3x cameras* and stereo Processing Up to 3x cameras* Up to 2x cameras* Up to 3x cameras* Video support support Computer Vision 8 megapixel sensors at 15 8 mega pixel sensors at 30 – 60 frames per second** frames per second** Processing CVflow Deep Neural Network AI Processor (software tools port from TensorFlow, Caffe, ONNX, etc.) AI ½ of CV22 AI (CVflow) Baseline (CVflow) 4x CV22 AI (CVflow) 2x CV22 AI (CVflow) *additional cameras can be supported using external SERDES **video processing trade-offs available between frames-per-second, resolution, and the number of cameras supported AMBARELLA.COM COPYRIGHT AMBARELLA 2020 6
Global Security Camera Installed Base Is Fertile Ground for New CV Product Cycle Security Camera Market 1,000 CV 60%-65% fiscal 2020 total revenue (3G) begins Installed base (Millions) 750 Security camera revenue driven by enterprise, smart 500 city and home spending Networked (2G) A majority from the professional security camera market 250 Primarily driven by enterprise and public spending (e.g. smart cities) 3rd party research firms anticipate premium growth in the home security market Analog (1G) - Primarily driven by household spending for durable goods 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019e 2020e ~750 million security camera global installed base in Analog Networked Computer Vision C2019 Global Security Camera Unit Source: Ambarella, IHS, Strategy Analytics, TSR Ambarella has historically served the networked camera market Shipments Pro CV Human viewing for security applications becomes material Ambarella’s now also addresses the computer vision (CV) market 300 Human viewing and machine sensing for security applications (higher ASP Millions of Units and new product cycles are incremental) Machine sensing for many non-security applications (close to 100% units 200 and ASP are incremental) Global security camera unit shipments around 210 100 million in C2018 Computer vision and networked cameras expected to grow while analog shrinks 0 C2018 C2020 AMBARELLA.COM COPYRIGHT AMBARELLA 2020 Analog Networked Computer Vision 7
Ambarella’s Global Security Camera Footprint Enabling Most Major Enterprise, Smart City and Smart Home Camera Companies Professional Security Consumer Security Enterprise ― Retail ―Smart Cities ― ITS ― Smart Parking Home Security ― Smart Home Automation ― Delivery Services AMBARELLA.COM COPYRIGHT AMBARELLA 2020 8
Automotive Camera System Target Markets ~15%-20% fiscal 2020 total revenue Forward-Facing Part-time & Full-time Ambarella Recorders eMirrors In-Cabin Surround Autonomous ADAS 2018 SAM ~$300M $1B+
Ambarella’s Global Automotive Footprint OEM, Tier 1’s, and Tier 2’s Computer Vision Human Viewing (Video Processor and AI Processor “CVflow”) (Video Processor only) OEM AMBARELLA.COM COPYRIGHT AMBARELLA 2020 10
EVA VisLab: 25+ Years of CV Technology Development Embedded Vehicle Autonomy Focused on Autonomous Driving Applications Acquired in 2015, spun-out from the University of Parma (Italy) in 2009 VW Tiguan 2017 4K sensors BRAiVE 2008-now CV2FS Recognized globally for computer vision software Fully autonomous expertise applied to autonomous vehicle applications Porter 2009-now 4 fully autonomous CV22FS Set worldwide milestones for autonomous driving, electric vehicles participating in multiple DARPA challenges PROUD 13km in Parma, CV2 Consistent track record of innovation TerraMax 2004-2007 100% AV Fully autonomous DEEVA CV VIAC 15km cross- integration 100% CV22 continent drive AV 100% AV following DARPA Urban driving 100% AV, driveless 1993-1994 DARPA Grand 132 Fully manual Mille Miglia 2000+km miles off-road 100% DEEVA 2014 on Italian highways AV, driverless Fully Autonomous Prometheus ADAS 94% autonomous with 13 stereo demo on closed track steering camera systems VisLab’s AV drove in downtown Parma 2015 2000 2006 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2007 2008 2009 2010 2012 2013 2014 2016 2017 2018 2019 2011 AMBARELLA.COM COPYRIGHT AMBARELLA 2020 11
Competitive Landscape is Fragmented Ambarella’s video processing expertise scales across multiple markets Security Cameras Automotive Cameras Forward-Facing Professional Consumer Recorders eMirror In-Cabin Surround PT/FT Autonomous ADAS HiSilicon (Huawei) China only Aftermarket Mobileye (Intel) (SW from Mobileye+SoC from STM=“black box”) DNN starts with EyeQ5 Movidius (Intel) (Server based Nvidia architectures) central AI processing NXP No DNN for AI processing Qualcomm Renesas SigmaStar Texas Instruments New DNN SoC sampling with primitive SW tools Xilinx PLDs utilized early in a product life cycle (IP Cores) Cadence, CEVA, etc. Incomplete solution AMLogic, Fullhan, Ingenic, Will, Socionext, (Others) (Custom ASICs) AIT, Novatek, iCatch (Custom ASICs) (Custom ASICs) AMBARELLA.COM COPYRIGHT AMBARELLA 2020 12
“Other” Revenue – Mostly “Consumer Discretionary” 15%-20% fiscal 2020 total revenue ~150% of Ambarella’s revenue decline between F2017 and F2019 was driven by “Other” C2016 C2017 C2018 C2019 Business mix shifting from consumer discretionary driven markets to (F2017) (F2018) (F2019) (F2020) consumer durable, enterprise capital expenditure and government driven investments focus Security Cameras 35%-40% 45%-50% 60%-65% 60%-65% market focus Auto “Other” revenue expected to decline in dollars and as a percent of 10%-15% 10%-15% 15%-20% 15%-20% market ______ ______ ______ ______ revenue over the next 2-3 years focus Subtotal 45%-55% 55%-65% 75%-85% 75%-85% market With a few exceptions, computer vision is not critical to “Other” Other 50%-55% 35%-40% 15%-20% 15%-20% non focus Some segments such as police body cameras and commercial drones are expected to adopt CV and remain attractive but relatively small market opportunities Total Revenue $310 $295 $228 $229 Sports/action cameras, consumer drones, and AR/VR markets have not come close to achieving market growth expectations and are relatively small opportunities AMBARELLA.COM COPYRIGHT AMBARELLA 2020 13
Emerging Opportunities Includes consumer, enterprise and public applications Robotics platform announced at CES 2020 Robotic software development kit (“SDK”) is a unified software infrastructure targeting automated guided vehicles (AGV), consumer robots, industrial robots and other emerging Industry 4.0 applications. Provides access and acceleration for common robotic functions including stereo, object detection, key points tracking, occupancy grid, visual odometry. Potential applications include assistance, cleaning, delivery services, surveillance, warehouse, etc.. Potential customer examples: Amazon, Alibaba, Baidu, Dyson, LG, iRobot, Segway, Walmart Manufacturing related applications include barcode reading, defect inspection and other factory related applications Potential customer examples: Basler, Cognex, Fanuc, Keyence, Omron Access control and building automation Potential customer examples: Assa Abloy, Amazon, Honeywell, Schneider, Siemens Images represent potential customers and their applications AMBARELLA.COMCOPYRIGHT AMBARELLA 2020 14
Q1 F2021 (April 2020) Earnings Call Recap 15 customer and partner engagements announced including 8 CV design wins 3 Automotive Customers/Partners 6 Security Customers/Partners 1 Other Customer/Partner OEM, T1, and aftermarket 8 enterprise/smart city and 3 smart home 1 public safety wearable 1 CV and 2 video processing 7 CV and 4 video processing 1 video processing Market Application Customer/ Partner Product AMBA Comment Single channel emirror combined with drive recording 1 Auto-OEM eMirror (Tier 1) 1 channel emirror A12 functionality 2 Auto-OEM L3/L4 Inceptio Comercl. trucks TaaS CV2AQ Intends to migrate to CV2FS 3 Auto-AM Recorder-AM Thinkware QXD-5000 H22 2 channel aftermarket drive recorder with QHD+QHD 8K+4K with AI; person/face/vehicle, license plate, counting, 4,5,6 Security Professional Hanwha Techwin WiseNet P Series CV2 queue mgmt, and heatmap March Networks 6MP features next-gen analytics with Digital Overlap HDR 7 Security Professional ME6 dome and bullet CV22 (Infinova) and advanced compression 8, 9, 10 Security Professional PIPS (Panasonic) I-Pro Sensing Series CV22 Fixed dome AI, bullet AI, and fixed box AI camera series 11 Security Professional PIPS (Panasonic) I-Pro S3L i-Pro series models announced, 7 models 1080p viewing camera w ultra wide FOV, lurking detection, 12 Security Smart Home Lumi Smart Lock S2L Homekit 13 Security Smart home Vivint Video Doorbell Pro S5L 1080p wide FOV; view, detect, notify for faces/packages Records 1080p w180 FOV with night IR footage up to 15'; 14 Security Smart Home Logitech Circle View S2L Homekit 15 Other Wearable Axis (Canon) Work body camera S5L 1080p, offers WDR and operates for a full 12 hours AMBARELLA.COM COPYRIGHT AMBARELLA 2020 15
Q1 F2021 (April 2020) Review and Q2 Outlook (Q1 F2021 results and Q2 F2021 outlook provided June 2, 2020) The unprecedented combination of geopolitical and pandemic factors, and the associated economic downturn, limit visibility and cause the duration, severity and impact to our business to be unknown COVID-19 risks are bringing high levels of uncertainty and volatility to our outlook We continue to see a wide variety of geopolitical risks outstanding, including foreign policy, trade and IP matters. Factors potentially disruptive include potential export regulations on advanced technologies the risk customers in China continue to take actions to reduce their dependence on components they believe could be subject to new export controls, including the creation of dual China/non-China supply chains changes to tariffs and/or the Entity List market share shifts between our customers supply chain issues Our largest competitor in the security camera SoC market, HiSilicon, a unit of Huawei, is facing headwinds of their own Q2 F2021 (July, 2020) Outlook Our Q2 revenue guidance is $50.0 million, plus or minus 6%. We anticipate security camera business to increase sequentially, with automotive and other revenue to decline sequentially We estimate Q2 non-GAAP gross margin between 59.0% to 60.5% with non-GAAP operating expense in the $31 to $33 million range Q1 F2021 (April, 2020) Results Revenue of $54.6 million was slightly above the mid-point of our original guidance range of $52.0 million to $57.0 million and the consensus estimate of $54.2 million. All markets declined sequentially, with automotive declining in the very low double digits and security and other revenue declining slightly. Non-GAAP EPS were $0.04 with a positive operating cash flow of $7.6 million. $1.0 million of stock was repurchased (25,719 shares) under an existing authorization of $50.0 million in place through June 2020. In May Ambarella’s Board of Directors authorized an extension of this authorization through June 2021. AMBARELLA.COM COPYRIGHT AMBARELLA 2020 16
COPYRIGHT AMBARELLA 2019 www. ambarella.com lgerhardy@ambarella.com Louis Gerhardy Corporate Development 17
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