ARGENTINA Advantages of Investing Today - The Argentine Economy
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Advantages of Investing Today ARGENTINA Advantages of Investing Today Secretariat of Industry, Commerce, and SMEs Ministry of Economy and Production Advantages of Investing Today The Argentine Economy 1
Advantages of Investing Today Argentina at a Glance Surface Area 2.8 million km² Argentina is the 2nd largest country in Latin America and the 8th largest worldwide in terms of surface area Population 36,223,947 GDP (2004 est.) US$ 145 billion Growth (2003) 8.7% Per Capita GDP US$ 4,003 (2004 est.) Form of Government Republican, Representative, and Federal Political Subdivisions 24 autonomous States with political, administrative and economic powers (23 provinces and the City of Buenos Aires) Currency Argentine Peso (Arg$) Language Spanish Advantages of Investing Today In terms of purchasing power, Argentina boasts the highest per capita income in Latin America. Per capita GDP 2003 (Purchasing Power Parity) 11,013 9,993 9,070 8,015 6,773 4,363 Venezuela Colombia Brazil Mexico Chile Argentina Source: World Economic Outlook 2004 (IMF) 2
Advantages of Investing Today The Argentine economy is highly diversified … GDP by Economic Sector, 2003 Services, 54% Goods, 46% Wholesale, Retail, and Repairs; 21% Manufacturing Real Estate, Rental, Industry; 52% and Other Business Activities, 22% Transport, Fisheries; 1% Warehousing, and Hotels and Electricity, Gas, Communications; Restaurants; 4% and Water 16% Supply; 4% Education, Social, Other Services; 7% Agriculture, Construction; and Health Fishing, 7% Services; 13% Financial Hunting, and Mining and Intermediation: Silviculture; Quarrying; 13% Public Administration, 23% Defense, and 7% Extraterritorial Activities; Source: ADI based on National Accounts 10% Advantages of Investing Today with an ample supply of skilled labor … Illiteracy Rate 2002 Illiterate population over age 15 (%) 12.3% Latin America and the Caribbean: 10.5% 8.3% 4.0% 3.0% 2.2% 1.5% Italy Spain Argentina Chile Mexico Brazil Source: World Bank • The illiteracy rate is the lowest in Latin America and compares with developed countries. 3
Advantages of Investing Today … high availability of natural resources … • Argentina has just under 250,000 km² of arable land. • This wealth of fertile land and a competitive industry makes Argentina: Ö The world’s leading producer and exporter of sunflower oil Ö The world’s leading exporter and third largest producer of soybean oil Ö The world’s leading exporter and second largest producer of honey Ö The world’s leading exporter of horse meat Ö The world’s second largest exporter of corn Ö The world’s third largest producer of soybeans Ö The world’s third largest producer and second largest exporter of lemons Ö The world’s third largest producer of beef Ö The world’s sixth largest producer of wine Source: FAO (2003) Advantages of Investing Today … and considerable energy resource reserves. CONFIRMED RESERVES AS AT 12/31/2002 Oil (Mm3) Gas (Mill m3) Basin Confirmed Probable Confirmed Probable North West 25,326 7,880 129,481 44,524 Cuyo 31,097 6,713 545 183 Neuquen 344,567 97,180 179,546 67,145 San Jorge Gulf 188,040 75,519 40,289 25,833 Southern 24,416 22,430 148,641 138,398 NATIONAL TOTAL 448,425 179,687 663,523 306,118 Source: Energy Secretariat 4
Advantages of Investing Today Domestic industry is modern and competitive … • Argentine industrial structure is broad • Annual domestic industrial production and diversified. includes: – 6 million tons of oilseed oils • Highly competitive industrial sectors – 12.3 million hectoliters of wine boast world class enterprises. – 2 million tons of sugar – 300,000 tons of tanned leather • Companies including Shell, Exxon, Ford, – 1.2 million tons of paper Coca-Cola, Fiat, Bayer, Renault, – 170,000 tons of PVC and 545,000 tons of polyetyhlene Siemens, Nestlé, Firestone, BASF, Pirelli – 48,000 tons of synthetic yarns and Abbot have been operating in – 275,000 tons of aluminium Argentina for over 50 years. – 5 million tons of steel and 732,000 tons of seamless pipes – 5,000 harvesters – 260,000 automobiles Advantages of Investing Today … with a highly developed infrastructure. • A 38,744 km national road network TELECOMMUNICATIONS • This extends to 500,000 kms if Latin Am. & the provincial and municipal per 1000 inhabitants Argentina Brazil Mexico the Caribbean networks are included Telephone Lines 220.2 182.1 124.7 145.9 • A 35,753 km railway network Cellular Phones 168.8 136.6 142.4 70.5 • 38 maritime ports and 25 river PCs 91.1 62.9 68.7 59.3 ports • 52 airports, 21 of which are Source: World Bank (2002) international • Over 25 airlines operate flights • Installed electrical energy generating capacity from Argentina to 40 totals 21,300 MW, while annual production stands international destinations in at 75,554 GWh (2,084 KWh/ inhabitant) five continents 5
Advantages of Investing Today Social conditions in Argentina are above the regional average. Lat. Am. & Socioeconomic Indicators 2002 Argentina Brazil Mexico Carib. Average Life Expectancy at Birth (years) 74.3 68.6 73.6 70.7 Fertility Rate (births per female) 2.4 2.1 2.5 2.5 Infant Mortality Rate (0/00) 16 31 24 27.5 Hospital Beds per 1,000 Inhabitants 3.3 3.1 1.1 2.2 Doctors per 1,000 Inhabitants 2.7 1.3 1.6 1.6 Source: World Bank Life Expectancy at Birth (years): Number of years a newborn infant will live if the mortality patterns at the time of birth remain constant throughout the entire lifespan . Fertility Rate (births per female): Number of births per female, assuming a full fertile lifespan and births in line with age group-specific fertility rates. Infant Mortality Rate (0/00): Number of infant deaths in the first year of life per1,000 live births. Advantages of Investing Today As a MERCOSUR Member State, Argentina enjoys preferential access to a market totalling 272 million consumers. MERCOSUR + MERCOSUR ASSOCIATES GDP: US$ 558 GDP: US$ 687 billion billion Population: Population: 272 221 million million Source: IMF (2003) • The MERCOSUR (Southern Cone Common Market) is a common market comprising Argentina, Brazil, Paraguay and Uruguay. • Bolivia, Chile and Peru are MERCOSUR Associate States. 6
Advantages of Investing Today Since the creation of MERCOSUR, there has been strong growth in trade between Argentina and the other MERCOSUR Member States ... • Argentine exports to the bloc increased by 181% Argentina-MERCOSUR Trade (in millions of US$) between 1991 and 2003 Exports Imports Trade Balance 10,000 ( 30% more than sales to the rest of the world). 8,000 6,000 • Imports from MERCOSUR practically 4,000 tripled over the same 2,000 period. 0 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 -2,000 Source: INDEC. In 2003, 6,500 companies registered exports to the value of US$ 5,555 million to MERCOSUR. Advantages of Investing Today … resulting in a higher value added export profile. Exports US$/ ton (2003) Exports to MERCOSUR to other markets MERCOSUR 375 2003 2003 IM PP Other Markets 300 47% 21% IM PP 21% 23% PP: Primary Products AM: Agricultural Manufactures IM: Industrial Manufactures F&E F&E F&E: Fuel and Energy AM 20% 17% 39% AM 12% Source: ADI based on INDEC • 33% of total industrial manufacture exports go to MERCOSUR. • The export value per-ton to MERCOSUR is 25% higher than to other markets. 7
Advantages of Investing Today Argentina ranks as an integrated economy. • Since the late 80s and as a result of a significant reduction in tariff and non-tariff barriers, foreign trade has been particularly dynamic, a phenomenon that does not exclude trade with the region. Non-MERCOSUR Trade (in millions of US$) Exports Imports Trade Balance 25,000 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 0 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 -5,000 Source: ADI based on INDEC data -10,000 Advantages of Investing Today An integrated economy with its doors open to the world. FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT FLOWS (FDI) TO ARGENTINA –IN MILLIONS OF US$- 1993 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 FDI 2,793 23,988 11,657 3,206 785 478 GDP 236,505 278,369 276,173 263,997 235,236 255,751 FDI/GDP 1.2% 8.6% 4.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.2% Source: Ministry of Economy Foreign Direct Investment By Economic Sector (1992-2002) Oil Manufacturing 20% • The opening of the capital Industry 34% market and solid economic Electricity, Gas, performance attracted and Water 14% Mining numerous foreign direct 1% Banks investment projects in various 10% Trade 4% sectors of the economy. Transport and Communications Others 9% 8% Source: ADI based on Ministry of Economy data 8
Advantages of Investing Today Argentina in the new economic context Advantages of Investing Today The economy staged a gradual recovery following the crisis that began in mid-1998 and ended with the abandonment of the Convertibility Regime in January 2002. • 8 consecutive quarters of growth were recorded as from 2Q 2002, a sequence that had not been witnessed since 1997. • The surge in growth is also noteworthy: Variation rates reached 3% in the last months of the series. 9
Advantages of Investing Today The manufacturing industry led the recovery, reaching the 1998 level in March 2004, only 4% below the historical record (June 1998). Advantages of Investing Today There was renewed growth in the construction industry, surpassing 2000 and 2001 levels. Source: ADI based on Ministry of Economy data 10
Advantages of Investing Today There has been a gradual recovery in investment as from 4Q 2002. Gross Domestic Fixed Investment and Investment Rate (GDFI/GDP) GDFI (in millions of pesos) Investment Rate (%) 45,000 16% 15.6% 15% 40,000 14% 35,000 13% 30,000 12% 11.3% 25,000 11% 20,000 10% 1Q-02 2Q-02 3Q-02 4Q-02 1Q-03 2Q-03 3Q-03 4Q-03 Source: ADI based on National Accounts data • Following eight consecutive negative quarters, renewed growth in investment represented a significant contribution to GDP. Advantages of Investing Today Following devaluation, consistent monetary and fiscal policy led to price stability. • 2002 inflation marked a break with the price stability of the previous decade and was the result of abandoning the Convertibility Regime, introduced in April 1991, establishing exchange rate parity at $ 1= US$ 1. • Nevertheless, following the adjustment involving a minimal pass-through of devaluation to prices, a single-digit inflation rate was once again achieved in 2003. Source: ADI based on Ministry of Economy data 11
Advantages of Investing Today The recovery in economic activity led to a significant increase in jobs. • 1,096,000 new jobs were created between 4Q 2002 and 4Q 2003. • The albeit still high unemployment levels began to drop following the recovery in economic activity. è Employment Rate: Employed/ Total Population è Unemployment Rate: Unemployed/ Economically Active Population Advantages of Investing Today A robust trade surplus was maintained in 2003 despite the recovery of economic activity and a slight appreciation of the peso in real terms. • Export performance is highly favorable and • Imports have recovered strongly following the upward trend is expected to continue. the drop in 2002. 12
Advantages of Investing Today The Current Account Balance has turned positive following ten years of deficits. • The 2003 balance is slightly down on 2002 due to a 40% rise in imports following the economic recovery. Advantages of Investing Today The trade surplus and the reduction in the financial account deficit have significantly boosted reserves 13
Advantages of Investing Today Fiscal accounts have improved substantially since May 2002, as a result of stabilized public spending and higher tax revenues. Advantages of Investing Today A favorable monetary trend was established throughout 2003. Source: ADI based on Ministry of Economy data • The expansion of the broad monetary base and the issue of Central Bank Bills (LEBACs) exemplified the continuity of a prudent and flexible monetary policy that accompanied economic growth at no cost in terms of inflation. 14
Advantages of Investing Today The drain on deposits was halted as from 2Q 2002 , with a positive trend from that point onwards, together with banks recovering liquidity. Source: ADI based on Ministry of Economy data Advantages of Investing Today Why invest in Argentina? 15
Advantages of Investing Today Why invest in Argentina? ê Highly qualified population ê Availability of natural resources ê Modern diversified industry ê Competitive costs and services ê Developed infrastructure ê Investment incentives ê A legal framework that does not discriminate against foreign investments Advantages of Investing Today A country with a highly skilled workforce A comparison of the main education indicators reveals Argentina’s high ranking at both regional and international level. Illiteracy (2001) Illiteracy in Argentina (% of population over 15 years) (% of population over 15 years) Italy 1.5 Illiteracy in the City of Buenos Spain 2.3 Aires, with a population similar 5.8 to Uruguay, is 0.5% and 1.3% Uruguay 2.4 in the metropolitan region, with Argentina 2.6 a population similar to that of 3.8 Chile 4.1 Chile. Costa Rica 4.3 2.6 Colombia 8.1 Mexico 8.6 Latin Am. 10.8 Brazil 12.7 1980 1991 2001 Source: ADI based on UNESCO data 16
Advantages of Investing Today Education is compulsory and free for the 5-14 year age group, thus ensuring high school enrolment rates. In addition, attendance expectancy at educational establishments is the highest in Latin America and only one year less than that observed for developed countries such as Spain, Italy, and the United States. School attendance expectancy Net secondary education enrolment rate (years) (2001) Italy 15 Spain 94 Spain 15 Italy 91 Argentina 79 Argentina 14 Chile 75 Chile 13 Brazil 71 Uruguay 13 Uruguay 70 Mexico 12 Mexico 60 Brazil 12 Colombia 57 Colombia 11 49 Costa Rica Costa Rica 10 Number of students enrolled in the correct age group level as a Source: ADI based on UNESCO percentage of the total population eligible for this age group level. data Advantages of Investing Today The Argentine education system is also well developed at the higher education level. University Students (per 100,000 inhabitants) • Argentina boasts a broad Spain 3,582 network of public and Argentina 3,123 private universities attended Italy 3,022 by over one million students. Uruguay 2,400 • The university student/ Chile 2,100 total population ratio is the highest in Latin America Colombia 1,540 and compares with the ratio Mexico 1,490 for several developed Brazil 1,068 countries. Source: ADI based on UNESCO data 17
Advantages of Investing Today The strength of the education system is exemplified by the number of scientists and engineers working in research and development. 1,921 Scientists and Engineers working in R&D (per 1,000,000 inhabitants) 1,128 713 533 370 323 225 219 101 Spain Italy Argentina Costa Rica Chile Brazil Mexico Uruguay Colombia Source: ADI based on UNESCO data Advantages of Investing Today Availability of Natural Resources • Argentina is characterized by the abundance and quality of its natural resources that provide competitive advantages in developing activities linked to these resources. • Argentina is the eighth largest country in the world in terms of surface area and its relevance is even greater if factors relating to the potential its surface area offers are considered (i.e. the proportion of surface area suitable for agriculture, mining resources, etc.). 18
Advantages of Investing Today Agriculture: Argentina has some of the most suitable agricultural land worldwide. The relevance of Argentina’s agricultural surface area is not only due to its size but also to the excellent agroecological conditions, resulting in high yields. Source: ADI based on FAO data Advantages of Investing Today In Latin America, only Brazil has a greater surface area suitable for agricultural use. However, if the domestic market pressure on production in these areas is considered, Argentina has a higher level of agricultural land available in relative terms. Source: ADI based on FAO data 19
Advantages of Investing Today • In comparison with the major grain-producing Soybean Productivity countries, Argentine yields are highly (Argentina =100) competitive at international level. Argentina Brazil • Similar conclusions are obtained when USA comparing yields for other crops such as apples, Australia pears, lemons, beans, and garlic in which China Russia Argentina also has a considerable global market India share. 0 50 100 Wheat Productivity Corn Productivity (Argentina =100) (Argentina =100) China USA. USA Argentina India Australia Argentina China Brazil Brazil Australia Russia Russia India 0 50 100 150 200 0 30 60 90 120 150 Source: ADI based on FAO data Advantages of Investing Today Agricultural production increased 105% in the period 1990-2003. Principal crops include soybean, wheat, sunflower, and corn. Cultivated surface area increased approximately 52% over the same period, representing significant progress in terms of yields. Source: ADI based on SAGPyA data 20
Advantages of Investing Today Silviculture: The availability of extensive areas promotes the development of other activities including silviculture. • The main factors determining competitive advantages in this activity (soil types, climate, costs, human resources, etc.) are present in vast regions of Argentina. • Of the 20 million hectares suitable for forestry, only 5% are currently used for this purpose. Land suitable for forestry does not compete with other agricultural activities. • The diversity of climates and soil types makes it possible to cultivate a wide variety of species. • In addition to tree growth rates, the relatively low land value compared to countries such as Brazil and Chile yields high rates of return and exceptional payback periods. • High growth rates: 41 m 3 / hectare/ year (Chile 35 m3) for eucalyptus and up to 32 m3 / hectare/ year for pine (three times the growth rate in Canada and twice that of the United States). Advantages of Investing Today High growth rates for conifers and eucalyptus Conifers Eucalyptus Source: Simpson Timber Co., Aracruz Cellulose, Jaako Powry Investments. CIEF. 21
Advantages of Investing Today Fishery Resources: The length of its Atlantic coastline (4,725 km) and the variety of species found in the fishing zone make Argentina one of the best fishing areas worldwide. Shellfish Fish Source: ADI based on SAGPyA data Advantages of Investing Today Mining in Argentina Ö The estimated surface area with mining potential totals approximately 750,000 km2 , 75% of which has still to be exploited. Ö Argentina has considerable gold, copper, lead, zinc, natural borate, bentonite, clay, and ornamental stone deposits. Ö The effective tax rate is 41%, 6 points below the average for the principal Latin American mining nations and almost 20 points lower than that of the major Canadian and Australian mining regions. Ö The regulatory framework and current mining incentive regime play a key role in attracting investment to this sector. 22
Advantages of Investing Today The Mining Investment Law provides the following incentives: • Double deduction of prospecting, exploration, and technical/ economic feasibility study expenses. • Financing and reimbursement regime for VAT on capital goods and investments in physical infrastructure projects. • Accelerated depreciation of capital investments. • Exemption from import duties on capital goods and equipment, spare parts, and accessories. • Exemption from assets tax. • Provincial royalties are limited to 3% of the pit-head value of mineral extracted. • An income tax deduction of up to 5% of extraction operating costs and a tax deduction for environmental conservation allowances. Advantages of Investing Today Notable growth in mineral exports 8 The transformation and integration of the Argentine mining industry into international markets is reflected in the tripling of exports over the last seven years. Source: ADI based on INDEC data 23
Advantages of Investing Today Investment growth in the sector Ö The positive impact of the new legal framework on the sector can be observed in recent investments that rose from practically zero to over US$ 1 billion in 2002. Ö Investment has remained robust despite the economic crisis. Ö Leading global mining companies including Barrick, Homestake, BHP, and Billiton have decided to invest in Argentina. Source: ADI based on CEP data Advantages of Investing Today Argentina ranks high internationally in terms of available mining resources. • The principal mining areas currently 1.China in production include Bajo La 2. Peru Alumbrera, El Salar del Hombre 3. Philippines Muerto, Farallón Negro, Mina Aguilar 4. Brazil and Cerro Vanguardia and important 5. Chile projects involving significant 6. Argentina metalliferous mineral reserves in 7. Mexico various stages of exploration are 8. Bolivia underway at locations including 9. Venezuela Pirquitas, Agua Rica, Pascua Lama 10. Burma and Pachón. Source: ADI based on Mining Journal 24
Advantages of Investing Today Substantial oil and gas reserves • Argentina boasts substantial oil and gas reserves. Despite increased production in recent years, investment in exploration has made it possible to maintain significant levels of reserves. • CONFIRMED RESERVES (2002) – Oil: 448.4 million m3 – Gas: 663.5 billion m3 • PROBABLE RESERVES (2002) – Oil: 179.5 million m3 – Gas: 306.1 billion m3 Advantages of Investing Today Oil and Gas • The oil reserves/ production ratio increased despite a 13% rise in production during the period under review. • Although the gas ratio decreased between 1994 and 2002, it should be pointed out that production rose by 65.2% during this period. Oil: Reserves/ Production ratio Gas: Reserves/ Production ratio (years) (years) 10.6 19.8 10.2 19.3 17.8 9.2 9.1 8.9 14.8 14.5 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 Source: ADI based on Energy Secretariat data 25
Advantages of Investing Today Increased oil and gas production • Gas production has increased constantly since the early 90s, doubling early 90s levels in 2003. Oil and gas production • Although oil (in million/ billion m³ respectively) production has 50 fallen in recent 40 years, levels are 30 still 50% above the 20 levels recorded 12 10 years ago. 0 '91 '92 '93 '94 '95 '96 '97 '98 '99 '00 '01 '02 '03 Oil Gas Source: ADI based on Energy Secretariat data Advantages of Investing Today A Sustainable Environment • The availability of vast areas with Environmental Sustainability Index 2002 optimal environmental conditions is 1 Finland 73.9 2 Norway 73.0 clearly a significant factor in attracting 3 Sweden 72.6 investment . 4 Canada 70.6 5 Switzerland 66.5 • Argentina ranks 15 among 142 6 Uruguay 66.0 7 Austria 64.2 countries in the University of 8 Iceland 63.9 Colombia environmental 9 Costa Rica 63.2 10 Latvia 63.0 sustainability rankings. … 62.2 15 Argentina 61.5 • Only Costa Rica and Uruguay rank 16 Australia 60.3 higher in Latin America. In terms of 17 Panama 60.0 18 Estonia 60.0 surface area worldwide, Argentina 19 New Zealand 59.9 20 Brazil 59.6 ranks second behind Canada. 26
Advantages of Investing Today Modern diversified industry Capital Formation (2004) • Argentina boasts a relatively modern and diversified industrial structure. There has been Financial Services substantial investment in machinery and 1% Extractive equipment in recent years and a nucleus of Activities state of the art companies has emerged. 27% Industry • In addition, Argentina’s industrial profile is 42% characterized by: Trade and – Pronounced alignment with Argentine Services 11% factor endowment Infrastructure – High labor productivity indices 19% – High capital intensity Source: ADI based on CEP data – Export-oriented production – Increases of scale The recovery is currently being boosted by new investment, with flows aimed at – Transnational enterprises industry and other tradable goods sectors playing a dominant role. Advantages of Investing Today Relatively higher prices for domestic products favor the production of tradable goods, resulting in a higher industrial sector share in GDP. • The industrial sector is one of the pillars of the current economic recovery and growth in production is the result of higher exports as well as import substitution. • Sectors that were internationally competitive in the 90s (petrochemicals, iron and steel, foodstuffs) reacted favorably, while other previously relegated industries (textiles, metalworking) led the recovery in the industrial sector. Sector Share in GDP at current prices Manufacturing Industry Services 22.3% 65.1% 63.5% 62.3% 18.2% 18.2% 61.1% 60.8% 17.0% 17.2% 16.1% 50.9% 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 27
Advantages of Investing Today A modern diversified industrial sector integrated into the global market Economic opening has transformed the industrial sector, resulting in: • A greater emphasis on exporting: Manufactured goods exports have increased their share of industrial GDP. • Increased international integration: Intermediate goods imports have increased their share of industrial GDP. Intermediate Goods Imports/ Industrial GDP Exports / Industrial GDP 22% 80% 18.9% 21.6% 70% 20% 60% 26.5% 18% 50% 16.2% 40% 16% 17.4% 17.0% 30% 8.5% 34.2% 14% 20% IM 10% 12% 0% 11.4% AM 11.8% 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 10% 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 Source: ADI based on INDEC and National Accounts data Advantages of Investing Today The industrial sector displays continuous improvement in human resource productivity. • Argentina has recorded significant progress in human resource productivity with a 26% increase in labor producivity between 1995 and 2000. Industrial sector hourly productivity (1997 =100) The relative labor productivity 120 gap with the United States is the 115 lowest in Latin America. 110 105 According to ECLAC statistics, 100 average Argentine industrial 95 90 sector labor productivity is 67% 85 of US levels, with Brazil at 37%, 80 and no other Latin American III-01 III-02 IV-01 IV-02 III-00 II-00 II-01 II-02 I-00 IV-00 I-01 I-02 I-03 1998 1995 1996 1997 1999 country higher than 40%. Source: ADI based on INDEC data 28
Advantages of Investing Today A modern, diversified, and growing industrial sector • Industrial production has developed favorably in recent months. The recovery in domestic demand, the integration of Argentine world class producers of industrial inputs and primary commodities into external markets is intensifying, accompanied by a new process of import substitution in specific branches. Non-seasonally adjusted Monthly Industrial Estimator (MIE) (Base Year 1997=100) 105 100 The MIE is currently at its 95 highest level for the last 90 three years. 85 The cumulative increase 80 from January 2002 to 75 February 2004 is 35%. 70 Jul-02 Jul-03 Mar-02 Sep-02 Sep-03 May-02 Nov-02 Nov-03 Jan-02 Jan-03 Jan-04 Mar-03 Mar-04 May-03 Source: ADI based on INDEC data Advantages of Investing Today There has been growth in all industrial sectors in recent months. 2003 average vs. 2002 average • Of the industrial sectors currently % variation Textiles 75 displaying increased growth, special attention Metalworking 56 should be drawn to the metalworking Cotton yarn 53 industry, textiles, editing and printing Cement 31 products, agrochemicals, construction Other construction materials 30 materials, and other foodstuff and drinks Editing and printing 23 sub-sectors. Glass 20 • Only one of the 30 categories comprising Pharmaceuticals 19 the MIE recorded a lower performance vis-à- Industrial gases 18 vis the previous year. 18 Agrochemicals • Industrial growth in recent months has 17 Tires been generalized, irrespective of the various Basic chemical prods 17 branches’ specific orientation (domestic Sugar 16 market, import substitution, or exports). Source: CEP based on INDEC data 29
Advantages of Investing Today Argentina is among the most competitive economies in the international market in terms of labor costs. • Some of the basic costs investors must take into consideration if they wish to set up their business in Argentina are listed below. Gross annual wages/ salaries by sector (2003, in US$) Financial 9,628 Intermediation Manufacturing Industries 5,509 Logistics and 5,515 Communications Trade 3,648 Construction 3,276 Hotels and 2,589 Restaurants Source: ADI based on Ministry of Economy and Production data Advantages of Investing Today Skilled labor costs for Buenos Aires are competitive vis-à-vis other cities worldwide. • Comparing City of Buenos Aires local labor costs with costs in other major urban centers reveals that Argentine costs are highly competitive. Annual gross salary for engineers Annual gross salary for industrial skilled Annual gross(2003, salaryinfor US$) engineers workers (2003, in US$) Annual gross salary for industrial skilled workers (2003, in U$S) (2003, in U$S) Mexico City 9.000 Mexico City 3.600 Prague (Czech MexicoRep) City 10.200 9,000 Bogota 4.100 Mexico City 3,600 Buenos Prague Aires (Argentina) (Czech Rep) 10.500 10,200 Shanghai 4.600 Bogota 4,100 Buenos Aires (Argentina) Shanghai (China) 12.100 10,500 Buenos Aires 5.100 Shanghai 4,600 Shanghai (China) Sao Paolo (Brazil) 12,100 13.400 Sao Paolo Buenos Aires 6.500 5,100 Sao Paolo (Brazil) 13,400 Bogota (Colombia) 14.400 SaoPrague Paolo 6.800 6,500 Bogota (Colombia) 14,400 Caracas (Venezuela) 14.900 Lima Prague 6.800 6,800 Caracas (Venezuela) 14,900 6,800 Santiago (Chile) 15.500 Santiago Lima 8.300 Santiago (Chile) 15,500 Santiago 8,300 Lima (Peru) 16.800 Caracas 10.700 Lima (Peru) 16,800 Caracas 10,700 Singapore Singapore 26.700 26,700 Milan 16.100 Milan 16,100 Milan Milan(Italy) (Italy) 32.200 32,200 Singapore 17.000 Singapore 17,000 Sidney Sidney(Australia) (Australia) 32.400 32,400 Barcelona 17.700 Barcelona 17,700 Barcelona(Spain) Barcelona (Spain) 32.400 32,400 Sidney Sidney 18.400 18,400 Miami Miami (U.S.A.) (USA.) 54.000 54,000 Miami Miami 40,90040.900 Source: UBS 30
Advantages of Investing Today Buenos Aires also offers clear advantages over the rest of the world in terms of cost of living. Food basket Services basket (2003, in U$S) (2003, in U$S) Buenos Aires 153 Buenos Aires 136 Prague 164 Sao Paolo 162 Bogota 186 Prague 164 Santiago 207 Bogota 165 Lima 228 Caracas 183 Sao Paolo 230 Mexico City 202 Mexico City 246 Shangai 206 Caracas 276 Santiago 207 Sidney 349 Lima 208 Barcelona 351 Singapore 248 Shangai 359 Barcelona 270 Miami 377 Sidney 327 Singapore 417 Miami 348 Milan 422 Milan 355 A basket of 39 products with due consideration A basket of 19 services including telephone, post of the preferences of Western European office, hairdressing, cinema, restaurant dining, dry consumers was taken as a reference. Source: UBS cleaning, etc. was taken as a reference. Advantages of Investing Today Competitive costs for agricultural land combine with excellent agroecological conditions that ensure high yields in the widest variety of crops. 12 10 Argentina = 1 8 6 4 2 0 Belgium Canada Argentina Germany Australia Holland U.K. Spain USA New Zealand Source: ADI 31
Advantages of Investing Today Availability of office space at low rates Monthly rental rates (Class A offices) Class A buildings: (2003, in US$ per m²) Buildings generally used for rental purposes. Bogota 7.5 Located in easy access areas. (Colombia) Buenos Aires Modern layouts with good 8.0 (Argentina) natural light and view. Well Santiago (Chile) 11.5 finished and maintained. Tenants are generally Rio de Janeiro 14.5 multinational companies and/ (Brazil) or tenants with a high Montevideo 14.9 economic capacity. (Uruguay) Mexico City 21.0 Source: ADI based on Colliers, Castro, Cranwell & Weiss data Advantages of Investing Today Low-cost electric power for industry Electricity rates for industrial users (2002, in US$ per MWh) Argentina 19.3 Spain 31.2 Chile 36.8 Brazil 36.9 Colombia 55.0 International average 57.6 U.K. 59.1 Italy 98.7 Source: Electricity Association 32
Advantages of Investing Today Low-cost gas for industry Rates for major industrial users (2003, in US$ per m³) Argentina 0.02 Uruguay 0.11 Mexico 0.22 International average 0.25 USA 0.28 Italy 0.29 Canada 0.31 Chile 0.45 Source: ADIGAS Advantages of Investing Today Competitive telecommunications costs Local call rates (2002, in US$/ 3 minutes) Argentina 0.03 Brazil 0.03 Spain 0.09 Italy 0.12 Chile 0.12 Mexico 0.14 Uruguay 0.17 International average 0.21 Source: International Telecommunication Union 33
Advantages of Investing Today Developed infrastructure • Argentina boasts considerable development in terms of road, rail, port, aeronautical, and telecommunications infrastructure. • In addition, modern regulatory frameworks ensure a high level of competition. • Appropriate infrastructure provides a platform to boost production sector competitiveness and ensure territorial and social integration . Advantages of Investing Today Commercial Aviation infrastructure • The National Airports System comprises 52 airports, 35 of which are managed by the private sector in conjunction with recognized international operators. • Argentina has 21 airports equipped for international traffic (see map). 34
Advantages of Investing Today Port infrastructure • Argentina has 38 maritime ports along the Atlantic coastline and 25 river ports. • Recognized international maritime cargo operators operate out of Argentina. • The Port of Buenos Aires is the main container port in Latin America and the Caribbean. • Argentina’s principal maritime and river ports are featured on the map. Advantages of Investing Today Port Infrastructure • Argentina’s main port has achieved considerable progress in recent years in terms of operability. CATEGORY 1991 2001 General cargo (thousands of tons) 4,000 6,957 Containers (thousands of TEUs) 300 650 Operating area (hectares) 65 92 Average lay days 6.2 1.0 Productivity tons/ personnel/ year 800 5,984 Source: Port of Buenos Aires 35
Advantages of Investing Today Paraguay - Paraná Waterway • The Paraguay-Paraná Waterway is the main river transport lane along the Paraguay- Paraná water system and measures 3,302 km in length. • The importance of this project lies in the lower river navigation costs (the approximate freight cost is US$ 0.010 per ton/ km) and the lower environmental impact. • Hidrovía S.A. is responsible for dredging to a draft depth of 32 feet, seamarking, and maintaining the main access channel to the River Plate and the River Paraná for the 779 km stretch to the port of Santa Fe. • The waterway is navigated by tug-propelled barge convoys, each barge with a loading capacity of 1,500 tons. Currently, the maximum convoy is generally 20 barges (30,000 tons) measuring approximately 300 meters between perpendiculars with a 48 meter beam. Advantages of Investing Today Road Infrastructure • The National Road Network spans 38,632 km, 81% of which are paved (see map). • A further 180,000 km of roads are under provincial and 280,000 km under municipal jurisdiction. 36
Advantages of Investing Today Railway Infrastructure • The Argentine railway network is one of the most extensive worldwide, covering a distance of 35,753 km. • The federal government has decided to promote regional integration though the railway system and consequently decreed the reopening of branch lines such as the Central Trans-Andean Railway via tender and the rehabilitation and transformation of the Belgrano Cargas freight line. Advantages of Investing Today Telecommunications Argentina began developing telecommunications 123 ago, only 4 years following the launch of the Bell Telephone Company. Over the last 10 years, investments totalling more than 20 billion dollars have increased the number of telephone lines in service by 74%, total digitalization of the network has been achieved, and the mobile telephone service has grown from less than half a million to 8 million phones in service. PER 100 Latin Am. Argentina Brazil Mexico INHABITANTS & Carib. Telephone lines 22.0 18.2 12.5 14.8 Cellular phones 16.9 13.7 14.2 12.2 PCs 9.1 6.3 6.9 5.9 Internet users 8.8 4.6 3.7 5.0 Source: World Bank (2001) 37
Advantages of Investing Today Telecommunications • Various indicators give an overview of improvements in the telecommunications sector in recent years. CATEGORY 1990 2000 Lines installed (thousands) 3,097 7,894 Cellular phones (thousands) 15 6,380 Digitalization of network 13% 100% Lines in service per 100 inhabitants 11.9 20.6 Public telephones (thousands) 22.5 150.7 Lines in service per employee 76.1 406.9 Investment in the sector 1991-2000 US$ 21,150 million Source: National Communications Commission Advantages of Investing Today Telecommunications Telephone lines in service (in millions) 8.5 8.6 8.7 7.9 7.1 7.2 6.8 6.3 5.7 5.0 '94 '95 '96 '97 '98 '99 '00 '01 '02 '03 Source: National Communications Commission 38
Advantages of Investing Today Telecommunications Cellular telephone lines (in millions) 7.8 6.7 6.6 6.4 3.9 2.7 2.0 0.7 0.2 0.3 '94 '95 '96 '97 '98 '99 '00 '01 '02 '03 Source: National Communications Commission Advantages of Investing Today Investment Incentives • Argentina has a number of regimes designed to promote investments by both domestic and foreign investors alike: – General incentives: Instruments and measures aimed at promoting investment in any region or economic activity – Sectoral incentives: Promotion regimes aimed at a particular economic sector – Regional incentives: Provincial investment promotion regimes and investment support infrastructure 39
Advantages of Investing Today General Incentives • Export promotion incentives including drawback, temporary admission, turnkey plant exports, and customs-at-factory regimes. • Instruments and regulations aimed at reducing initial investment costs: investment VAT financing; reduced VAT tax rate on capital goods, IT, and telecommunications; zero import tariff on capital goods; zero tariff on all goods destined for use in major investment projects. • Measures that boost competitiveness by reducing operating costs, such as deregulation of the electricity market, air freight transport, etc. Advantages of Investing Today General Incentives • The Executive Branch has proposed new mechanisms designed to promote investment and these mechanisms are currenly being analyzed by Congress: – Accelerated depreciation for machinery, equipment, and infrastructure works destined for investment projects. Capital goods purchases may be depreciated in the balance sheets for the three years subsequent to purchase and infrastructure project depreciation will be reduced by 50% vis-à-vis the usual depreciation period. – Refund of VAT paid on the purchase of goods destined for use in investment projects. All VAT not offset will be refunded in cash three months after purchase. – The regime will remain in effect for 36 months. 40
Advantages of Investing Today Sectoral Incentives • Certain sectors including mining, forestry, tourism, and the automotive industry have specific investment promotion regimes. • Some of these regimes include the following incentives inter alia: – Fiscal stability for 30 years (forestry, mining) – Special depreciation regime for income tax purposes (forestry, mining) – Tax exemptions (forestry, mining, tourism, automotive industry) – Compensated trade regime (automotive industry) Advantages of Investing Today Regional Incentives • Various provinces in Argentina have investment promotion regimes that generally include the following incentives: – Exemption from provincial taxes such as turnover tax, stamp duty, real estate tax, etc. – Reduced public utility rates – Support for infrastructure and equipment projects – Facilities for the purchase, rental, or lease without charge of public property • Most provinces have business support infrastructure such as industrial parks and free zones. 41
Advantages of Investing Today Legal Framework • Removal of barriers to foreign investor acess to specific economic sectors • The main aspects of the current legal framework with regard to FDI are based on: – National treatment for foreign investors – No prior approval or registration requirement for investments – Access to all economic sectors – Access to domestic incentive programs – Unimpeded transfer of profits and repatriation of capital • Protection and arbitration of disputes between Argentina and foreign investors • Argentina maintains bilateral agreements for the promotion and protection of investments (BITs) and is a member of MIGA, OPIC and ICSID. Advantages of Investing Today Attractive Sectors for Investment 42
Advantages of Investing Today Attractive sectors for investment • The following include some of the most attractive sectors for investment: n Mining n Forest industry n Leather and leather products n Petrochemical industry n Agricultural machinery n Vegetable oils n Grape growing and wine making n Cultural industries n Software n Outsourcing n Tourism Advantages of Investing Today Mining Rates of return after taxes (gold mine) S. Africa 4Strong increase in production Chile Argentina 4Exports tripled in the last 7 years (US$ 996 Australia millon in 2003) USA Peru 4Strong foreign investment in the last 6 years Bolivia (US$ 3 billion) Canada Mexico 4Favorable legal framework China 4Geological potential: rich in mining resources 0 5 10 15 20 (ranked sixth worldwide) Rates of return after taxes (copper mine) 475% territory with potential still unexplored Chile 4Mining Integration Treaty with Chile Argentina S. Africa 4High profitability in copper and gold mines USA Australia 4Availability of production resources: Peru infrastructure, skilled labor and a growing China supply of local suppliers Bolivia Mexico Source: Colorado School of Mines è Canada 0 5 10 15 20 43
Advantages of Investing Today Forest Industry PAPER INDUSTRY • The Forestry Law provides an attractive legal • Unmet domestic demand framework for investments • Growing per capita consumption • Fiscal and economic incentives for the development of the sector WOOD INDUSTRY • High growth rates and lower harvesting • New project potential maturities • Cost of wood lower than in Nordic countries • Abundant supply of suitable low-cost land • High expansion potential due to relatively low and extensive tracts available consumption • 20 million hectares of suitable virgin land, only 5% of which is currently being Productivity per worker in paper and paper cultivated product production (1993=100) • High potential for industrial development 200 • PULP INDUSTRY 150 • Abundant supply of forest raw material 100 • Extensive use of recycled fibers with definite 50 growth potential 0 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 Source: CEP Advantages of Investing Today Leather and leather products The sector produces tanned leather, semi- The largest firms produce up to 5,000/6,000 finished and finished leather, and upholstery pelts per day (in Italy average-sized companies covers with an annual turnover of US$ 1 produce approximately 200/300 pelts per day). billion. The industry is moving forward in terms of Argentina is the world’s fourth largest producer upstream integration, basically by producing and exporter of leather goods and claims 9% upholstery covers for the automotive industry of the global leather market. (US$ 200 million in exports). 80% of total production is exported and 50% of these exports go to the USA, China, and Brazil. Production has increased notably in recent Productivity per man hour years. (1993=100) Productivity per worker 180 (1993=100) 130 180 80 130 30 94 01 93 95 96 97 98 99 00 02 80 30 Source: CEP 94 97 00 01 93 95 96 98 99 02 44
Advantages of Investing Today Petrochemical Industry The petrochemical industry has been operating for more than fifty years in Argentina and petrochemical plants process and add value to raw materials in the form of locally extracted hydrocarbons (oil derivatives and natural gas compounds). 43 plants with installed capacity on an international scale Urea production produce primary, intermediate, and final products, and in (in thousands of tons) the five-year period 1996-2000, the petrochemical industry 1,200 invested approximately US$ 3 billion and doubled its 1,000 800 installed capacity to 6.2 million tons per annum. 600 400 Demanding domestic market: one of the most notable 200 examples is the increase in apparent consumption in the 0 agricultural sector. 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 The industry has the potential to become a production Productivity per worker (1993=100) platform to supply MERCOSUR markets. 300 250 200 Human resource productivity in the manufacture of 150 chemical products for agricultural use has practically tripled 100 in 10 years. 50 0 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 Advantages of Investing Today Agricultural Machinery This sector has been industrially active for over 100 years and has the capacity to adapt to changes in agricultural practices (e.g. the adaptation of seeders to the direct seeding system). Argentine seeder production statistics 1990 3,278 n An ever-expanding and important domestic 1991 2,562 1992 2,080 market: Agricultural production is displaying marked 1993 3,100 growth, while current profitability allows producers 1994 3,600 to procure suitable equipment. 1995 3,400 1996 5,880 n The industry is able to support domestic 1997 4,740 purchasers in the post-sales phase. 1998 4,640 n National equipment can be adapted perfectly to 1999 4,178 Argentine soil characteristics. 2000 3,894 2001 3,420 n Applied knowledge export potential. 2002 5,100 2003 5,350 45
Advantages of Investing Today Vegetable Oils • SOYBEANS: • Argentina’s prominence in the global market: èAverage production unit capacity: 5,000 tons è 12% of global soybean production Principal global producers: USA (1,500 tons), è 30% of vegetable oil exports and 10% of Brazil (2,500 tons) seed exports èCrush cost US$ 4/ ton (USA –US$ 10-, Brazil è 22% of global sunflower production -US$ 14-) è Leading exporter of sunflower oil • A high incidence of leading-edge technology in use in the industrial sector • GPV: US$ 4.2 billion • Capacity to produce bio-fuels from vegetable oils • Low cost of arable land • High geographic concentration of primary and Soybean oil exports industrial production (in millions of US$) • Availability of futures markets for agricultural 2000 producers 1500 • Growing global demand for vegetable oils and 1000 500 vegetable oil by-products 0 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 Source: INDEC Advantages of Investing Today Grape Growing and Wine Making • Argentina is the world’s fifth largest producer of • High availability of raw materials: eighth wine largest global producer of fresh grapes • High domestic consumption (world’s sixth largest • High competitiveness of Argentine wine consumer of wine) producers: excellent price/quality ratio • Argentine wine exports have risen by more than • Low cost of land in the context of a global 400% in the last ten years reduction in planted area • High quality wines account for over 80% of exports in this sector • Available technology similar to that used by the major producing countries Argentine wine exports • Capacity to export high-value wines amid (in millions of US$) 180 growing foreign demand 150 • Capacity to produce organic products 120 90 • Ongoing improvement in the quality of grape 60 and wine products 30 0 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 Source: INDEC 46
Advantages of Investing Today Cultural Industries • The book industry was one of the first to develop in Latin America, while there is also a long history of film production. • Cultural industry professionals and technicians are high-quality, and human resources working in these industries display a high degree of flexibility in adapting to work-related developments and adverse scenarios. • A large number of training centers are available for professionals in the various specialist fields covered by these industries. • Argentina boasts talented writers, musicians, actors, authors, scriptwriters, directors, and advertisers of world renown. • High-level equipment in graphic design, film studios, television and music production ensures high- quality productions. • Argentine cinema is always represented and performs well at international film festivals, and Argentina was among the top five creative leaders worldwide in advertising in the 90s. • Argentina has a wide variety of landscapes and locations suitable for filmmaking, and a good tourist infrastructure and transport system makes it easy for television, cinema, and advertising production teams to stay in and move around the country. Advantages of Investing Today Software • Human Capital: highly trained, specialized • Low production costs: the cost structure for in technology and IT solutions at competitive this sector is highly competitive internationally costs, with socioeconomic and cultural • Argentina: A highly competitive base for characteristics similar to those in the most producing and exporting software and IT highly developed countries services to Latin America and the Spanish- è 3,500 computer and IT graduates/ year speaking world è 20,000 AMBA professionals • Legal framework: Software Development Bill: • Potentially significant domestic markets è Fiscal stability for specific applications: è Extrazone import duty exemption for è Agribusiness, industrial automation, hardware imports educational and entertainment software è Income tax reduction in the amount of (edutainment) a percentage to be investe in R&D • Exportable software development è VAT credit capability 47
Advantages of Investing Today Outsourcing • Argentina is in a position to become one of the main beneficiaries of this growing corporate trend. Various multinational companies (HP, IBM, Teleperfomance, SAP, Motorola, Accenture) have selected Argentina as their base for operations ranging from basic services (such as telemarketing or call-centers) to software development, engineering, financial analysis, design, and R&D. • The main reasons for Argentina’s attractiveness are the level of qualification of the population, the critical mass of professionals and university students, labor cost levels, and telecommunications infrastructure availability. “Proficiency in English” examination " (% of successful candidates) 70 • Potential to provide the US market with 60 call center services. A growing number of 50 global average: Argentines are training and qualifying in 40 46% English. Qualifications obtained abroad 30 No data available: less by Argentine students are among the 20 than 40 candidates highest. 10 0 Chile Brazil Uruguay Argentina Italy Spain Source: University of Cambridge, EFL Advantages of Investing Today Tourism • The number of foreign tourists visiting Argentina rose Hotel supply: by 27% in 2003 compared to a 15% increase in Number of establishments 2002. 7,800 • Foreign tourism displays a high degree of diversity in 7,500 terms of countries of origin and average spending, 7,200 accompanied by longer average stays. 6,900 6,600 • There has been strong investment in hotel 6,300 infrastructure in recent years, although there are still 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 a considerable number of locations available for developing tourist services. Tourist countries of origin 2003 • Skilled labor is low-cost and tourist tariffs are Others Brazil attractive. 13% 17% • The diversity of Argentine landscapes makes it Uruguay Chile 26% 17% possible to tailor products to international demand USA & Europe (ecotourism, rural tourism, cultural tourism, sport Canada 17% 10% tourism, etc.). Source: INDEC 48
Advantages of Investing Today Perspectives and Challenges Advantages of Investing Today Market expectations consensus: improved Argentine economic performance Market Expectations Survey GDP 2004 7.2% Industrial Activity 2004 11.0% (Interannual variation) 2005 4.8% (Interannual variation) 2005 7.5% Nominal Exchange Rate End 2004 2.97 Investment 2004 23.0% ($/US$) End 2005 3.00 (Interannual variation) 2005 11.5% Consumer Prices Dec 04 6.9% Trade Balance 2004 13.0 (Interannual variation) Dec 05 6.0% (US$ billion) 2005 12.3 Average Salary 2004 10.5% Current Account Balance 2004 5.1 (Interannual variation) 2005 8.0% (US$ billion) 2005 4.1 Unemployment Rate 2004 13.5% International Reserves 2004 17.1 (% of Workforce) 2005 12.4% (US$ billion) 2005 18.8 Source: BCRA This survey is conducted by the Central Bank of Argentina to obtain a systematic follow-up of the principal short- and medium-term macroeconomic projections made by Argentine and foreign analysts and academics on Argentine economic performance. 49
Advantages of Investing Today Argentina will be among the leading countries in Latin America in 2004/ 2005 in terms of growth. Source: World Economic Outlook (IMF) • Argentina recorded the highest growth in Latin America in 2003 and is expected to continue to be among the leaders in the years to come. Advantages of Investing Today On the domestic front, Argentina aims to intensify the current economic growth process • To achieve this goal, Argentina must ensure continuity in the processes already underway: – Lowering unemployment – Boosting investment flows – Strengthening the financial system – Fiscal consolidation – Restructuring the social security system – Stabilizing prices 50
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