Analysts' Ideas of the Week - www.researchfrc.com September 20, 2021 - Baystreet.ca
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Analysts' Ideas of the Week Election Day! Banks, Energy, and the C$ Will Likely Be the Biggest Movers Tomorrow September 20, 2021 www.researchfrc.com
Page 2 Reddit Discussed Stocks Our pick last week, Alset EHome International (NASDAQ: AEI), went from US$2.84 on Monday, to a high of US$3.42 on Thursday (up 20.4%). The Electric Vehicle sector remains the most actively discussed among retail investors, followed by cryptos, cannabis, and betting. This week, we are observing strong retail sentiment around Lucid Group Inc. (NASDAQ: LCID). Key parameters used may include – a) total number of mentions, b) percentage change in the number of mentions, c) stock sentiment, and d) market capitalization. Sept 20, 2021 Company Ticker Sector Lucid Group Inc. LCID Auto Manufacturer Source: FRC Historic Weekly Returns (Mar 1, 2021 – Present) 24 out of 29 picks have generated positive returns Average return = 24% *Returns were calculated based on the assumption that picks were sold at their peak the same week. *Past performance is not indicative of future performance. Source: FRC ©2021 Fundamental Research Corp. “18+ Years of Bringing Undiscovered Investment Opportunities to the Forefront” Click here to view FRC’s complete list of top picks PLEASE READ THE IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES AT THE BACK OF THIS REPORT
Page 3 FRC Top Picks The following table shows last week’s top five performers among our Top Picks, including two junior resource companies, and one each in the cannabis, technology, and MIC sectors. The top performer, Gran Colombia Gold (TSX: GCM) was up 13.6%, on strong production numbers in August (discussed later in this report). Our prior reports can be viewed here. Top Five Performers Last Week Source: FRC Companies in our Top Picks list are up 43.4% on average since we initiated coverage vs -3.9% for the benchmark (TSXV). ©2021 Fundamental Research Corp. “18+ Years of Bringing Undiscovered Investment Opportunities to the Forefront” Click here to view FRC’s complete list of top picks PLEASE READ THE IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES AT THE BACK OF THIS REPORT
Page 4 Performance by Sector Source: FRC Our complete list of top picks (updated weekly) can be viewed here. Weekly Mining Commentary Global equity indices pulled back today amid concerns over a potential spillover of the debt crunch faced by China Evergrande Group (SEHK: 3333). Results of Canada’s federal elections are expected this evening. If the Liberals win, we believe financials and energy stocks will be negatively impacted tomorrow. This will also impact the C$. Source: FRC / Various Despite lower inventory levels, copper and nickel prices dropped WoW. ©2021 Fundamental Research Corp. “18+ Years of Bringing Undiscovered Investment Opportunities to the Forefront” Click here to view FRC’s complete list of top picks PLEASE READ THE IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES AT THE BACK OF THIS REPORT
Page 5 Source: FRC / Various ©2021 Fundamental Research Corp. “18+ Years of Bringing Undiscovered Investment Opportunities to the Forefront” Click here to view FRC’s complete list of top picks PLEASE READ THE IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES AT THE BACK OF THIS REPORT
Page 6 Valuations of gold producers were down 4% WoW; base metal producers were down 8%. ©2021 Fundamental Research Corp. “18+ Years of Bringing Undiscovered Investment Opportunities to the Forefront” Click here to view FRC’s complete list of top picks PLEASE READ THE IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES AT THE BACK OF THIS REPORT
Page 7 Last week, two (unchanged) out of the 15 hardest hit nations experienced higher daily new COVID-19 cases. Two countries (unchanged) experienced WoW increases in deaths. Globally, 42.3% have received at least one dose, up 1.2 ppt WoW vs 1.5 ppt the same time last week. 75.3% of Canadians have received at least one dose (up 0.8 ppt vs 0.6 ppt). 69.3% of Canadians are fully vaccinated (0.9 ppt/unchanged) vs 65.1% in the U.K. (0.6 ppt vs 0.8 ppt), and 53.9% in the U.S. (0.8 ppt/unchanged). ©2021 Fundamental Research Corp. “18+ Years of Bringing Undiscovered Investment Opportunities to the Forefront” Click here to view FRC’s complete list of top picks PLEASE READ THE IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES AT THE BACK OF THIS REPORT
Page 8 We are maintaining our price forecasts. The U.S. Fed is meeting this week. We are expecting the Fed to maintain its dovish stance considering the recent weakness in China, and lower inflation data in August. Metals and equity markets will be negatively impacted across the board, if the Fed takes a more hawkish stance. In the following section, we review companies that announced key developments in the past week. ©2021 Fundamental Research Corp. “18+ Years of Bringing Undiscovered Investment Opportunities to the Forefront” Click here to view FRC’s complete list of top picks PLEASE READ THE IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES AT THE BACK OF THIS REPORT
Page 9 Mining / Exploration Company Ticker Current Share FRC Fair Value Name: Symbol Price: Estimate: Lumina Gold TSXV:LUM $0.60 $1.35 Corp. PR Title FRC Opinion Announces $26M private placement Positive – In addition to this equity financing, LUM was able to upsize its credit facility with Ross Beaty from $5M to $6M. Funds will be used for infill and step-out drilling, and pre-feasibility work. We continue to believe that Cangrejos is an excellent acquisition target. LUM’s CEO had joined us in a webinar last week. Subscribe to our channel to receive an alert when the webinar is uploaded. Company Ticker Current Share FRC Fair Value Name: Symbol Price: Estimate: Gran Colombia TSX: GCM $4.97 $9.32 Gold Corp PR Title FRC Opinion Announces Segovia production for Positive – Produced 17.38 Koz gold in August 2021 August 2021, bringing the total for the first eight months to 133.89 Koz, up 4% YoY. We are maintaining our 2021 forecast of 210 Koz. Company Ticker Current Share FRC Fair Value Name: Symbol Price: Estimate: Skyharbour TSXV: SYH $0.59 $0.77 Resources Ltd. PR Title FRC Opinion Intersects high grade uranium Positive – 2.54% U3O8 over 6.0 m, mineralization at the Maverick East Zone including 6.80% over 2.0 m, is highly encouraging. Results are pending for seven more holes. SYH has already commenced an additional 1,500-2,000 m drill program. ©2021 Fundamental Research Corp. “18+ Years of Bringing Undiscovered Investment Opportunities to the Forefront” Click here to view FRC’s complete list of top picks PLEASE READ THE IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES AT THE BACK OF THIS REPORT
Page 10 Company Ticker Current Share FRC Fair Value Name: Symbol Price: Estimate: CopperBank CSE: CBK $0.49 $1.78 Resources Corp. PR Title FRC Opinion Closes $5M private placement Positive – The new CEO and the new Chairman subscribed for $1.2M, reflecting their conviction in CBK. Company Ticker Current Share FRC Fair Value Name: Symbol Price: Estimate: Lomiko Metals TSXV: LMR $0.10 $0.31 Inc. PR Title FRC Opinion Bourier lithium project update Positive – We were pleased to see that 15 high to moderate lithium targets were identified. Preliminary exploration discovered five new areas of lithium-rich pegmatites. As the project is in early stages, our fair value estimate does not include any valuation on Bourier. Company Ticker Current Share FRC Fair Value Name: Symbol Price: Estimate: Latin Metals Inc. TSXV: LMS $0.175 $0.37 PR Title FRC Opinion Discovers additional copper Positive – Promising results, with mineralization at Lacsha (Peru) mineralization over long intervals (72 m grading 0.2% copper and 62 ppm molybdenum, and copper values ranging between 742 and 6,770 ppm). The project has potential to hold a large porphyry system. ©2021 Fundamental Research Corp. “18+ Years of Bringing Undiscovered Investment Opportunities to the Forefront” Click here to view FRC’s complete list of top picks PLEASE READ THE IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES AT THE BACK OF THIS REPORT
Page 11 Company Ticker Current Share FRC Fair Value Name: Symbol Price: Estimate: Sonoro Gold TSXV: SGO $0.22 $0.32 Corp. PR Title FRC Opinion Positive PEA results and updated Neutral – The PEA returned an AT-NPV5% resource estimate for the Cerro Caliche of US$42M using US$1,750/oz gold. Our gold project valuation was US$49M using US$1,750/oz gold. The PEA showed a low initial CAPEX estimate of US$32M. However, the cash- cost of US$1,227/oz AuEq was higher than expected. The market was not pleased with the results; SGO’s shares are down 27%. We will publish an update shortly. SGO is trading at 40% of the PEA’s AT-NPV. Company Ticker Current Share FRC Fair Value Name: Symbol Price: Estimate: Grid Metals TSXV: GRDM $0.14 $0.54 Corp. PR Title FRC Opinion High-grade lithium drill intercepts Positive – We were pleased with the results as they showed continuous high-grade lithium-bearing dyke over 775 m. A maiden resource estimate is planned next year. Company Ticker Current Share FRC Fair Value Name: Symbol Price: Estimate: Renforth CSE: RFR $0.08 $0.12 Resources Inc. PR Title FRC Opinion Additional gold values at Parbec gold Positive - We were pleased with 9.95 m of deposit; Exploration commences at 1.75 g/t gold. Awaiting results from six Surimeau District battery metals project completed holes. We are also expecting results from the completed drill program at Surimeau. ©2021 Fundamental Research Corp. “18+ Years of Bringing Undiscovered Investment Opportunities to the Forefront” Click here to view FRC’s complete list of top picks PLEASE READ THE IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES AT THE BACK OF THIS REPORT
Page 12 Company Ticker Current Share FRC Fair Value Name: Symbol Price: Estimate: Blue Lagoon CSE: BLLG $0.52 $1.07 Resources PR Title FRC Opinion Toll mill partner sends out second Positive – Shipments to date are valued at shipment of gold & silver concentrate $0.82M. BLLG has delivered 4,000 tonnes of a total of 6,000 tonnes to its partner. Funds will be used to fund its aggressive exploration programs. Company Ticker Current Share FRC Fair Value Name: Symbol Price: Estimate: Golden Minerals NYSE: AUMN US$0.45 US$1.03 Corp. PR Title FRC Opinion Commences RC drill program at the Positive – We were pleased with 78.7 m Rodeo gold-silver mine grading 1.06 g/t Au, including 13.9 m grading 2.88 g/t Au. These results will potentially help the company to expand Rodeo’s 2.5 year mine-life. The RC drilling is expected to be completed this month. Company Ticker Current Share FRC Fair Value Name: Symbol Price: Estimate: Cora Gold AIM: CORA £0.145 £0.18 Limited PR Title FRC Opinion Additional results Positive – 103 m @ 2.1 g/t and 37 m @ 2.39 g/t gold are promising. In addition, 33 m @ 1.48 g/t came from an area outside the existing pit-shell, indicating resource expansion potential. ©2021 Fundamental Research Corp. “18+ Years of Bringing Undiscovered Investment Opportunities to the Forefront” Click here to view FRC’s complete list of top picks PLEASE READ THE IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES AT THE BACK OF THIS REPORT
Page 13 Company Ticker Current Share FRC Fair Value Name: Symbol Price: Estimate: Cornerstone TSXV: CGP $3.65 $7.44 Capital Resources Inc. PR Title FRC Opinion Three more holes intersect mineralized Positive - CGP has a 12.5% carried interest porphyry in the project. We were pleased with the following values – 185.3 m of 0.64 g/t AuEq, and 170.65 m of 0.70 g/t, including 69.6m of 0.97g/t. As the project is in early stages, our fair value estimate does not account for any upside from this project. A maiden resource estimate is expected in early 2022. Company Ticker Current Share FRC Fair Value Name: Symbol Price: Estimate: Eskay Mining TSXV: ESK $2.12 NA Corp. PR Title FRC Opinion Discovers two new large VMS systems at Positive – As VMS deposits occur its consolidated Eskay project in clusters, we believe the company will likely find additional targets. 19,000 m (86 holes) of a 30,000 planned drilled program has been completed. Company Ticker Current Share FRC Fair Value Estimate: Name: Symbol Price: Hannan Metals TSXV: HAN $0.26 $0.57 Ltd. PR Title FRC Opinion Channel samples 1.6m @ 5.3% copper Positive - 2.8 m @ 3.0% copper, including and 83 g/t silver at Tabalosos East, Peru 1.6m @ 5.3% Cu, and 2.0m @ 1.1 % Cu are encouraging results. The project area remains largely untested. ©2021 Fundamental Research Corp. “18+ Years of Bringing Undiscovered Investment Opportunities to the Forefront” Click here to view FRC’s complete list of top picks PLEASE READ THE IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES AT THE BACK OF THIS REPORT
Page 14 Company Ticker Current Share FRC Fair Value Name: Symbol Price: Estimate: Southern Silver TSXV: SSV $0.32 $1.06 Exploration Corp PR Title FRC Opinion Completes final payment to acquire 100% Positive – No change in valuation as we interest in the Cerro Las Minitas silver were expecting this transaction to be project completed. Company Ticker Current Share FRC Fair Value Name: Symbol Price: Estimate: Vertical TSXV: VERT $0.145 $0.32 Exploration Inc. PR Title FRC Opinion Receives St-Onge wollastonite quarry Positive – This is a major milestone for the permit approval from the Government of company. St. Onge has a high-grade Quebec wollastonite resource. The project can be put back into production relatively quickly and at a low CAPEX, as it can be operated as a simple quarry and crushing operation. Company Ticker Current Share FRC Fair Value Name: Symbol Price: Estimate: Wealth Minerals TSXV: WML $0.37 N/A Ltd PR Title FRC Opinion New option for Kootenay nickel-cobalt- Positive – Both projects are in early stages, copper project with potential for nickel-cobalt-copper-zinc- gold. We are pleased to see management expanding and diversifying their portfolio. ©2021 Fundamental Research Corp. “18+ Years of Bringing Undiscovered Investment Opportunities to the Forefront” Click here to view FRC’s complete list of top picks PLEASE READ THE IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES AT THE BACK OF THIS REPORT
Page 15 Financials, Technology, Energy, and Special Situations Company Ticker Current Share FRC Fair Value Name: Symbol Price: Estimate: Microsoft Corp. NASDAQ: US$293.58 US$281.78 MSFT PR Title FRC Opinion Announces quarterly dividend increase, Positive – Quarterly dividends increased by and new share repurchase program US$0.06 (11%) to US$0.62, implying a dividend yield of 0.85%. The US$60B share repurchase program reflects management’s positive outlook. MSFT was sitting on US$130B in cash and investments at the end of Q2. Company Ticker Current Share FRC Fair Value Name: Symbol Price: Estimate: Voyager Digital TSX: VOYG $14.11 $32.08 Ltd. PR Title FRC Opinion Commences trading on the Toronto Stock Positive – Since we initiated coverage in Exchange and grows AUM to over July, AUM has grown to US$5B, up 51%. US$5B. Verified users increased 25% to approximately $2M. Q4/FY2021 results are expected next month. Company Ticker Current Share FRC Fair Value Name: Symbol Price: Estimate: Oculus Vision TSXV: OVT $0.52 $1.23 Tech Inc. PR Title FRC Opinion Announces new "Forget-Me-Yes®" Positive – The improved version of FMY software release allows potential customers to connect to multiple databases with a single query. FMY offers a solution for companies to comply with global data privacy laws. Management expects to begin generating meaningful revenue by year-end. ©2021 Fundamental Research Corp. “18+ Years of Bringing Undiscovered Investment Opportunities to the Forefront” Click here to view FRC’s complete list of top picks PLEASE READ THE IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES AT THE BACK OF THIS REPORT
Page 16 Company Ticker Current Share FRC Fair Value Name: Symbol Price: Estimate: KWESST Micro TSXV: KWE $2.10 $4.28 Systems Inc. PR Title FRC Opinion Closed a $1.5M private placement Positive – As KWESST ramps up marketing and other expenses for launching its Low Energy Cartridge (LEC) non-lethal weapon, we believe the company will have to pursue additional financings in the next 12 months. LEC will be launched at the SHOT Show in Las Vegas in January 2022. Company Ticker Current Share FRC Fair Value Name: Symbol Price: Estimate: Kontrol NEO: KNR $2.18 $4.11 Technologies Corp. PR Title FRC Opinion Increases revenue order book to $160M Positive – This is an encouraging development for KNR. Timelines of the order book were undisclosed; however, we note that these orders are 4.4x our 2021 revenue estimate of $36M. The company had recently announced higher than expected revenue in August. Company Ticker Current Share FRC Fair Value Name: Symbol Price: Estimate: Clean Seed TSXV: CSX $0.50 $1.14 Capital Group Ltd. PR Title FRC Opinion Deerland Equipment takes on SMART Positive – We are pleased to see additional Seeder™ MAX distribution. distribution. We are expecting the company to start reporting sales shortly. ©2021 Fundamental Research Corp. “18+ Years of Bringing Undiscovered Investment Opportunities to the Forefront” Click here to view FRC’s complete list of top picks PLEASE READ THE IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES AT THE BACK OF THIS REPORT
Page 17 Cannabis Company Ticker Current Share FRC Fair Value Name: Symbol Price: Estimate: Ayurcann CSE: AYUR $0.19 $0.71 Holdings Corp. PR Titles FRC Opinion Enters Saskatchewan with National Positive – Pleased to see AYUR enhance Cannabis Distribution (NCD) its distribution network. We are anticipating strong Q4 (quarter ended June 30, 2021) results, which should be published in the coming weeks. Company Ticker Current Share FRC Fair Value Name: Symbol Price: Estimate: Delta 9 TSX: DN $0.39 $1.13 Cannabis Inc. PR Titles FRC Opinion Delta 9 to open sixteenth cannabis retail Positive – Pleased to see DN continue to store expand its retail presence. Since our previous report in August, DN has opened four new retail stores (two in MB, and two in AB). We are expecting four more stores this year. Company Ticker Current Share FRC Fair Value Name: Symbol Price: Estimate: Pure Extracts CSE: PULL $0.33 $0.90 Technologies Corp. PR Titles FRC Opinion Ships initial order of edible gummies to Positive – The company continues to Alberta. expand its product offerings. We are expecting PULL to report meaningful revenue in its upcoming Q4 financials. ©2021 Fundamental Research Corp. “18+ Years of Bringing Undiscovered Investment Opportunities to the Forefront” Click here to view FRC’s complete list of top picks PLEASE READ THE IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES AT THE BACK OF THIS REPORT
Page 18 Company Ticker Current Share FRC Fair Value Name: Symbol Price: Estimate: Halo Collective NEO: HALO $0.04 $0.12 Inc. PR Title FRC Opinion Announces launch of two premium Positive – Pleased to see a distribution cannabis strains in Oregon with DNA agreement with a provider of medical Genetics. cannabis in Europe. The European cannabis market is the second-largest Bophelo Bioscience & Wellness signs market after North America, and is projected distribution agreement with Cantourage to grow to US$3.8B by 2025, according to GmbH for rapidly growing European Prohibition Partners. market. Weekly Cannabis Commentary Cannabis Industry Performance September 20, 2021 U.S. Companies YTD 1-Week 1-Year Curaleaf Holdings Inc. -13% 1% 57% Trulieve Cannabis Corp. -24% 2% 39% Green Thumb Industries Inc. 3% -2% 107% Cresco Labs Inc. -21% 0% 39% Canadian Companies YTD 1-Week 1-Year Aurora Cannabis Inc. -37% -7% 14% Canopy Growth Corp. -48% -8% -8% Cronos Group Inc. -25% -5% 7% Tilray Inc. -26% -8% -27% HEXO Corp. -53% -11% -30% Organigram Holdings Inc. 50% -6% 105% Canadian Average -23% -7% 10% U.S. Average -14% 0% 61% Indices Canadian YTD 1-Week 1-Year HMMJ -5% -4% 34% MCAN -4% -4% 32% XCAN -19% -7% 17% U.S. YTD 1-Week 1-Year MSOS -21% -1% 39% Source: FRC ©2021 Fundamental Research Corp. “18+ Years of Bringing Undiscovered Investment Opportunities to the Forefront” Click here to view FRC’s complete list of top picks PLEASE READ THE IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES AT THE BACK OF THIS REPORT
Page 19 Last week, U.S. cannabis stocks outperformed their Canadian peers. Aside from a warning issued by the FDA and CDC, the cannabis sector in the U.S. had favorable developments: ➢ The FDA and CDC issued an alert to consumers about Delta-8 THC, and the potential for cannabis products to be mislabeled. More than 100 people have been hospitalized in the U.S. this year after consuming products with Delta-8 THC. Delta-8 can be synthetically produced, and has similar psychoactive effects as Delta-9 THC, the naturally occurring psychoactive cannabinoid in cannabis plants. ➢ Ohio increased allowable cultivation capacity for medical growers by 200% to 75,000 sq. ft. ➢ Michigan’s recreational cannabis sales grew 112% YoY to $126M in August. Valuation As of September 20, 2021, the Canadian big four LPs were trading at a 69% premium (down from 83% in the previous week) over their U.S. peers. A report released last week by New Frontier Data indicated that 86% of legal global cannabis sales came from the U.S. in 2020. The report also stated that the U.S. will be a primary driver of global sales going forward. Sept 13, 2021 Sept 20, 2021 Canadian Companies Ticker TEV/Revenue TEV/EBITDA TEV/Revenue TEV/EBITDA Aurora Cannabis Inc. TSX: ACB 6.3 NM 6.3 NM Canopy Growth Corp. TSX: WEED 12.7 NM 12.4 NM Cronos Group Inc. TSX: CRON 21.3 NM 20 NM Tilray Inc. NASDAQ: TLRY 11.8 NM 11.5 NM HEXO Corp. NYSE: HEXO 6.6 NM 6.3 NM Organigram Holdings Inc. TSX: OGI 9.9 NM 9.7 NM AVERAGE 11.4 NM 11.0 NM MEDIAN 12.7 NM 12.4 NM MINIMUM 5.0 NM 5.0 NM MAXIMUM 21.3 NM 20.0 NM U.S. Companies Ticker TEV/Revenue TEV/EBITDA TEV/Revenue TEV/EBITDA Curaleaf Holdings Inc. OTC: CURLF 8.2 30.6 8.5 31.6 Trulieve Cannabis Corp. OTC TCNNF 4.6 10.1 4.8 10.5 Green Thumb Industries Inc. OTC: GTBIF 7.7 21.1 8.1 22.0 Cresco Labs Inc. OTC: CRLBF 4.5 13.9 4.7 14.5 AVERAGE 6.3 18.9 6.5 19.7 MEDIAN 6.2 17.5 6.5 18.3 MINIMUM 4.5 10.1 4.7 10.5 MAXIMUM 8.2 30.6 8.5 31.6 Implied Premium (Canada vs U.S.) (Average) 83% 69% Source: S&P Capital IQ, FRC The following chart shows the average EV/R of the companies we track in both countries: ©2021 Fundamental Research Corp. “18+ Years of Bringing Undiscovered Investment Opportunities to the Forefront” Click here to view FRC’s complete list of top picks PLEASE READ THE IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES AT THE BACK OF THIS REPORT
Page 20 Average EV/R Source: S&P Capital IQ, FRC Canadian Retail Cannabis Pricing Province (As of 2021/09/20) Average Price per Gram Average Price per Gram THC Average Price per Gram CBD # of Products Min. Price Max. Price B.C. $ 9.49 $ 9.56 $ 8.45 237 $ 3.93 $ 15.71 Ontario $ 9.22 $ 9.36 $ 7.88 382 $ 3.57 $ 19.99 Quebec $ 9.16 $ 9.17 $ 9.05 275 $ 3.60 $ 21.68 Alberta $ 10.57 $ 10.56 $ 10.61 441 $ 3.14 $ 22.00 N.B. $ 9.37 $ 9.48 $ 7.91 224 $ 3.57 $ 15.99 P.E.I. $ 9.64 $ 9.65 $ 9.34 194 $ 4.40 $ 23.30 Newfoundland $ 9.94 $ 9.88 $ 10.24 185 $ 4.08 $ 15.40 Yukon $ 16.33 $ 15.13 $ 13.95 4 $ 13.68 $ 22.28 N.S. $ 9.94 $ 9.98 $ 9.50 205 $ 4.64 $ 42.85 Nunavut $ 13.15 $ 13.35 $ 16.41 32 $ 9.43 $ 17.91 Northwest Territories $ 14.53 $ 12.64 4 $ 12.08 $ 17.28 Manitoba $ 11.30 $ 11.21 $ 11.55 376 $ 4.87 $ 23.57 Saskatchewan $ 11.76 $ 11.74 $ 12.07 278 $ 4.40 $ 38.50 CANADA $ 11.11 $ 10.90 Province (As of 2021/09/13) Average Price per Gram Average Price per Gram THC Average Price per Gram CBD # of Products Min. Price Max. Price Max. Price B.C. $ 9.53 $ 9.60 $ 8.45 241 $ 3.93 $ 15.71 $ 15.71 Ontario $ 9.23 $ 9.37 $ 7.88 382 $ 3.57 $ 19.99 $ 22.66 Quebec $ 9.17 $ 9.19 $ 9.05 279 $ 3.60 $ 21.68 $ 21.68 Alberta $ 10.59 $ 10.58 $ 10.61 441 $ 3.14 $ 22.00 $ 22.00 N.B. $ 9.35 $ 9.49 $ 7.64 221 $ 3.57 $ 15.99 $ 16.28 P.E.I. $ 9.65 $ 9.67 $ 9.34 192 $ 4.40 $ 23.30 $ 23.30 Newfoundland $ 9.93 $ 9.88 $ 10.24 183 $ 4.08 $ 15.40 $ 15.40 Yukon $ 16.33 $ 15.13 $ 13.95 4 $ 13.68 $ 22.28 $ 22.28 N.S. $ 9.95 $ 9.99 $ 9.50 204 $ 4.64 $ 42.85 $ 42.85 Nunavut $ 13.15 $ 13.35 $ 15.41 32 $ 9.43 $ 17.91 $ 17.91 Northwest Territories $ 14.53 $ 12.64 4 $ 12.08 $ 17.28 $ 17.28 Manitoba $ 11.31 $ 11.23 $ 11.55 380 $ 4.87 $ 23.57 $ 23.57 Saskatchewan $ 11.78 $ 11.77 $ 12.07 280 $ 4.40 $ 38.50 $ 38.50 CANADA $ 11.12 $ 10.91 Source: Online Provincial Cannabis Stores, FRC The average retail price per gram fell week-over-week from $11.12 to $11.11. The chart below shows the Canadian retail dried cannabis flower pricing trend: ©2021 Fundamental Research Corp. “18+ Years of Bringing Undiscovered Investment Opportunities to the Forefront” Click here to view FRC’s complete list of top picks PLEASE READ THE IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES AT THE BACK OF THIS REPORT
Page 21 Canadian Retail Dried Cannabis Flower Pricing Source: Online Provincial Cannabis Stores, FRC Canadian Retail Cannabis Stores As of September 20, 2021, there are 2,557 retail cannabis stores, a week-over-week increase of 33 stores across Canada, including 25 in Ontario, seven in Alberta, and one in B.C. Nationwide Store Count Source: Provincial Websites, FRC ©2021 Fundamental Research Corp. “18+ Years of Bringing Undiscovered Investment Opportunities to the Forefront” Click here to view FRC’s complete list of top picks PLEASE READ THE IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES AT THE BACK OF THIS REPORT
Page 22 Aug-9-2021 Aug-16-2021 Aug-23-2021 Aug-30-2021 Sept-7-2021 Sept-13-2021 Sept-20-2021 Geographic Region Store Count Store Count Store Count Store Count Store Count Store Count Store Count Population Population / Store Alberta 667 670 671 673 677 677 684 4,428,247 6,474 B.C. 366 369 368 369 373 373 374 5,120,184 13,690 Manitoba 106 107 107 107 107 108 108 1,379,121 12,770 N.B. 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 780,890 39,045 N.S. 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 978,274 39,131 Newfoundland 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 520,437 17,348 Northwest Territories 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 44,982 7,497 Nunavut 39,486 Ontario 974 1,025 1,028 1,053 1,077 1,087 1,112 14,745,040 13,260 P.E.I. 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 158,717 39,679 Quebec 78 77 77 77 77 77 77 8,552,362 111,070 Saskatchewan 97 110 110 110 112 112 112 1,181,987 10,553 Yukon 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 41,293 8,259 CANADA 2,378 2,448 2,451 2,479 2,513 2,524 2,557 37,971,020 14,850 Source: Provincial Websites, FRC Weekly Psychedelic Commentary Psychedelic Industry Performance September 20, 2021 Company YTD 1-Week 1-Year COMPASS Pathways plc -28% -6% -27% Atai Life Sciences N.V. -20% 1% -20% Numinus Wellness Inc. -36% -14% 153% Mind Medicine Inc. -20% -1% 216% Braxia Scientific Corp. -78% 0% -78% Cybin Inc. 45% -18% 191% Levitee Labs Inc. -15% -6% -35% Seelos Therapeutics Inc. 31% -6% 183% AVERAGE -15% -6% 73% MIN -78% -18% -78% MAX 45% 1% 216% Indices YTD 1-Week 1-Year PSYK -27% -9% -27% Source: TMX Money, PSIL -5%FRC -6% -4% Last week, the first U.S. listed ETF covering the psychedelic sector was launched - the AdvisorShares Psychedelics ETF (NYSE: PSIL). We will start reporting its performance going forward. ©2021 Fundamental Research Corp. “18+ Years of Bringing Undiscovered Investment Opportunities to the Forefront” Click here to view FRC’s complete list of top picks PLEASE READ THE IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES AT THE BACK OF THIS REPORT
Page 23 Disclaimers and Disclosure The opinions expressed in this report are the true opinions of the analyst(s) about any companies and industries mentioned. Any “forward looking statements” are our best estimates and opinions based upon information that is publicly available and that we believe to be correct, but we have not independently verified with respect to truth or correctness. There is no guarantee that our forecasts will materialize. Actual results will likely vary. Certain companies mentioned in pages 3, and 10-19 are covered by FRC under an issuer paid model. FRC or companies with related management, and Analysts, may hold shares in some companies mentioned in this report including Barrick, AYUR, and MSFT. Distribution procedure: our reports are distributed first to our web- based subscribers on the date shown on this report then made available to delayed access users through various other channels for a limited time. To subscribe for real-time access to research, visit https://www.researchfrc.com/website/subscribe for subscription options. This report contains "forward looking" statements. Forward-looking statements regarding the Company, industry, and/or stock’s performance inherently involve risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ from such forward-looking statements. Factors that would cause or contribute to such differences include, but are not limited to, continued acceptance of the Company's products/services in the marketplace; acceptance in the marketplace of the Company's new product lines/services; competitive factors; new product/service introductions by others; technological changes; dependence on suppliers; systematic market risks and other risks discussed in the Company's periodic report filings, including interim reports, annual reports, and annual information forms filed with the various securities regulators. By making these forward-looking statements, Fundamental Research Corp. and the analyst/author of this report undertakes no obligation to update these statements for revisions or changes after the date of this report. Fundamental Research Corp DOES NOT MAKE ANY WARRANTIES, EXPRESSED OR IMPLIED, AS TO RESULTS TO BE OBTAINED FROM USING THIS INFORMATION AND MAKES NO EXPRESS OR IMPLIED WARRANTIES OR FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR USE. ANYONE USING THIS REPORT ASSUMES FULL RESPONSIBILITY FOR WHATEVER RESULTS THEY OBTAIN FROM WHATEVER USE THE INFORMATION WAS PUT TO. ALWAYS TALK TO YOUR FINANCIAL ADVISOR BEFORE YOU INVEST. WHETHER A STOCK SHOULD BE INCLUDED IN A PORTFOLIO DEPENDS ON ONE’S RISK TOLERANCE, OBJECTIVES, SITUATION, RETURN ON OTHER ASSETS, ETC. ONLY YOUR INVESTMENT ADVISOR WHO KNOWS YOUR UNIQUE CIRCUMSTANCES CAN MAKE A PROPER RECOMMENDATION AS TO THE MERIT OF ANY PARTICULAR SECURITY FOR INCLUSION IN YOUR PORTFOLIO. This REPORT is solely for informative purposes and is not a solicitation or an offer to buy or sell any security. It is not intended as being a complete description of the company, industry, securities or developments referred to in the material. Any forecasts contained in this report were independently prepared unless otherwise stated, and HAVE NOT BEEN endorsed by the Management of the company which is the subject of this report. Additional information is available upon request. THIS REPORT IS COPYRIGHT. YOU MAY NOT REDISTRIBUTE THIS REPORT WITHOUT OUR PERMISSION. Please give proper credit, including citing Fundamental Research Corp and/or the analyst, when quoting information from this report. The information contained in this report is intended to be viewed only in jurisdictions where it may be legally viewed and is not intended for use by any person or entity in any jurisdiction where such use would be contrary to local regulations or which would require any registration requirement within such jurisdiction. ©2021 Fundamental Research Corp. “18+ Years of Bringing Undiscovered Investment Opportunities to the Forefront” Click here to view FRC’s complete list of top picks PLEASE READ THE IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES AT THE BACK OF THIS REPORT
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