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Africa: tackle HIV and COVID-19 together - Nature
Comment
AP/SHUTTERSTOCK

                  People in Mombasa, Kenya, hold empty boxes of antiretrovirals in an April protest over drug shortages caused by the COVID-19 pandemic.

                  Africa: tackle HIV and
                  COVID-19 together
                  Nokukhanya Msomi, Richard Lessells, Koleka Mlisana & Tulio de Oliveira

                                                                A
                  Failure to get COVID-19                                  s scientists and clinical practitioners   to the interactions between COVID-19 and HIV.
                                                                           working in hospitals and labora-             Various studies from before the rollout of
                  vaccines to nations with                                 tories across South Africa, we’ve         COVID-19 vaccines show that people with HIV
                  high rates of uncontrolled                               seen at first hand the devastation        are 30–50% more likely to die from COVID-19.
                                                                           that COVID-19 has brought to the          What’s more, a failure to tackle the pandemic
                  advanced HIV puts people                       country. Many of our colleagues (including          with sufficient urgency in countries with high
                  living with that virus at                      leading scientists and health-care profession-      rates of uncontrolled advanced HIV could
                  even greater risk, and could                   als) have died. We have also seen how much          lead to the emergence of variants of the
                                                                 harder it has become for people with HIV to         coronavirus SARS-CoV-2 that spread more
                  drive the emergence of                         get treatment and monitoring, which has             easily between people or render the vaccines
                  coronavirus variants.                          meant more people being admitted to hospi-          less effective. Conversely, both diseases could
                                                                 tal with serious illnesses such as tuberculosis     be curbed more effectively if they are tackled
                                                                 and cryptococcal meningitis.                        simultaneously, with public-health responses
                                                                    As the world shifts gear in the COVID-19         strengthened by the lessons learnt from both.
                                                                 pandemic — from tackling the immediate
                                                                 crisis to a long-term public-health response        Risk analysis
                                                                 — we urge governments, health ministries,           In 2020, the World Health Organization (WHO)
                                                                 researchers and other stakeholders worldwide        created a platform for standardized clinical
                                                                 to devote more of their resources and attention     data obtained from people with suspected or

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Africa: tackle HIV and COVID-19 together - Nature
Comment
  confirmed COVID-19. A preliminary analysis                                        evolution of SARS-CoV-2, and some of the          among other reasons.
  of these data from 37 countries (most of                                          variants emerging had similar mutations to           What’s more, the COVID-19 pandemic is
  which come from South Africa) revealed that,                                      those observed in three of the VOCs.              continuing to cause significant disruption to
  controlling for other factors, people with HIV                                      In short, it is plausible that a prolonged      HIV treatment and prevention programmes.
  were 30% more likely to die from COVID-19                                         COVID-19 infection in someone who is                 Part of the problem is strained health-
  among those hospitalized with the disease1.                                       immuno­compromised could lead to the emer-        care systems. More than 1,300 health-care
     In a more detailed analysis2 of hospitalized                                   gence of a variant that is more transmissible     workers died from COVID-19 between March
  cases in South Africa, only people with HIV at                                    even than the Delta variant, or that renders      2020 and August 2021 in South Africa alone .
  an advanced stage were more likely to die from                                    current COVID-19 vaccines less effective.         Thousands more could leave the profession
  COVID-19. People in this group are severely                                                                                         because of the impact of COVID-19 on their
  immunocompromised: individuals have a                                             HIV crisis                                        physical and mental health, according to a
  blood count of fewer than 200 CD4 T cells per                                     Sub-Saharan Africa is home to two out of every    report by the International Council of Nurses.
  microlitre, compared with 500–1,500 cells per                                     three people living with HIV worldwide. Last      Overseas funding for HIV has also declined.
  microlitre in people without HIV. (CD4 T cells                                    year, 19.5 million people in sub-Saharan Africa   For instance, the UK government slashed
  are white blood cells crucial for fighting infec-                                 received antiretroviral therapy, a cocktail       international aid spending this year, lead-
  tion.) In a population-based analysis of around                                   of drugs that stop HIV from making copies         ing to funding cuts of more than 80% for key
  3.5 million people from the Western Cape                                          of itself and so lessen the damage the virus      organizations involved in the global response
  Province of South Africa (around 500,000                                          causes to the immune system. This is up from      to HIV, including the Joint United Nations Pro-
  of whom were HIV-positive), people with                                           12.1 million people 5 years ago. The increase     gramme on HIV/AIDS (UNAIDS).
  HIV were twice as likely to die from COVID-19                                     is largely thanks to a stronger commitment           Key testing and prevention services declined
  (ref. 3). But for those with uncontrolled or                                      by African governments to tackle the HIV          in 13 countries supported by the Global Fund
  advanced HIV, the risk of dying from COVID‑19                                                                                       between 2019 and 2020. Of these, 12 are in
  was almost four times higher3.                                                    “The COVID-19 pandemic                            Africa. Compared with 2019, HIV testing, for
     Other reports over the past year from vari-                                                                                      instance, dropped by 22%; voluntary medical
  ous countries indicate that people with weak-
                                                                                    is continuing to cause                            male circumcision, which reduces female-
  ened immune systems can be infected with                                          significant disruption to HIV                     to-male sexual transmission of HIV by 60%,
  SARS-CoV-2 for several weeks or months. (By                                       treatment and prevention                          dropped by 27%; and the number of mothers
  contrast, those who are otherwise healthy take,                                                                                     receiving medicine to prevent the transmis-
  on average, around two weeks to clear an infec-
                                                                                    programmes.”                                      sion of HIV to their babies dropped by 4.5%
  tion.) Such prolonged infections have mainly                                                                                        (ref. 6).
  been documented in people receiving cancer                                        crisis; agreements with antiretroviral-therapy       Meanwhile, Africa is being completely left
  chemotherapy and other immuno­suppressive                                         producers to reduce prices; and more funds        behind as COVID-19 diagnostics, therapeutics
  agents. But they have also been seen in people                                    provided by organizations such as the US          and vaccines are deployed throughout much
  with advanced uncontrolled HIV.                                                   President’s Emergency Plan for AIDS Relief        of the rest of the world. By mid-November,
     Some researchers have proposed that pro-                                       (PEPFAR) and the Global Fund to Fight AIDS,       more than 40% of people globally had been
  longed infection could explain the emergence                                      Tuberculosis and Malaria.                         fully vaccinated. In Africa, it was less than 7%
  of SARS-CoV-2 ‘variants of concern’ (VOCs)4.                                         Nevertheless, 8 million people with HIV        (see ‘Left behind’). In Africa, as elsewhere,
  Such variants are more transmissible than                                         in sub-Saharan Africa (around 21% of the          older age groups are being prioritized for
  the originally identified SARS-CoV-2, or are                                      37.7 million people affected worldwide) are       vaccination, as is appropriate. But this means
  able to partially evade the immune responses                                      not receiving effective antiretroviral ther-      further delays to vaccinating Africa’s main
  that arise from infection or vaccination. We                                      apy. Some people have difficulty accessing        immunocompromised population. Around
  described a case from South Africa in June                                        clinics to obtain treatment. Others might not     80% of people with HIV across the continent
  in which SARS‑CoV-2 persisted in a person                                         have been diagnosed. Yet others might be          are under 50 years old7.
  with advanced uncontrolled HIV for more                                           unaware of the testing and treatment options         The initial aim of COVAX, an initiative
  than six months5.Repeated genomic sequenc-                                        available, or resist contact with health-care     launched in April 2020 by various groups,
  ing revealed significant step changes in the                                      providers because they fear stigmatization,       including the WHO, to distribute vaccines
                                                                                                                                      to low- and middle-income countries, was to
  LEFT BEHIND                                                                                                                         make two billion vaccine doses available by
  On many continents, people who have been fully vaccinated are now receiving an additional dose to boost                             the end of 2021. By mid-November, in large
  immunity. In Africa, most people have not had a single dose; less than 7% are fully vaccinated.
                                                                                                                                      part because of donor countries’ failure to
                                     140                                                                                              deliver on their commitments, only 507 mil-
                                             South America
Total number of doses administered

                                             North America                                                                            lion doses had been delivered.
                                     120
                                             Europe                                                                                      All these factors together make sub-Saharan
                                             Oceania                                                                                  Africa especially vulnerable to continued
                                     100
                                             Asia
         per 100 people*

                                             Africa                                                                                   and potentially worsening devastation from
                                     80                                                                                               COVID-19 and HIV. They will also negatively
                                     60
                                                                                                                                      affect the rest of Africa and the wider world.

                                     40                                                                                               Two birds, one stone
                                                                                                                                                                                         SOURCE: OUR WORLD IN DATA

                                                                                                                                      We urge stakeholders to commit to four goals.
                                     20

                                      0                                                                                               Vaccinate Africa. For people living with HIV,
                                       Dec     Jan     Feb   Mar   Apr         May          Jun         Jul   Aug   Sep   Oct   Nov   protection from COVID-19 requires a renewed
                                               2021
                                                                                                                                      commitment to vaccine equity between coun-
  *For vaccines that require multiple doses, each individual dose is counted. Because the same person
  might receive more than one dose, the number of doses per 100 people can be higher than 100.                                        tries. This must come from high-income

  34 | Nature | Vol 600 | 2 December 2021
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BRAM JANSSEN/AP/SHUTTERSTOCK

                               A person living with HIV (right) talks to a worker at a mobile clinic in Johannesburg, South Africa, during the COVID-19 pandemic.

                               nations and multilateral initiatives such as     less than 1% of the participants in the phase III   Centers for Disease Control and Prevention,
                               COVAX8. Over and above the ethical argu-         COVID-19 vaccine trials conducted by Pfizer–        already recommend that health-care
                               ments to address vaccine nationalism and         BioNTech, Moderna, AstraZeneca and                  providers give an additional dose to people
                               reduce deaths globally, the available data       Johnson & Johnson. (These have all reported         with advanced uncontrolled HIV. But govern-
                               strongly indicate that vaccinating people        safety and efficacy results, but participant fol-   ments of low- and middle-income countries
                               in Africa will help to reduce transmission       low-up is ongoing.) In fact, our own investiga-     might well demand stronger scientific evi-
                               rates globally, limit the emergence of new       tion found that, for some of the vaccines now       dence before they fund the distribution of
                               variants and accelerate global control of the    being rolled out in Africa (such as Sinopharm,      additional doses to immunocompromised
                               pandemic9.                                       Sinovac and Sputnik), people living with HIV        populations. Also, it is not yet clear which
                                                                                were excluded from the phase III trials.            subgroups of people living with HIV might
                               Prioritize research. Several gaps in knowl-         Individuals on antiretroviral therapy            benefit, or what the optimal timing of the
                               edge around the interaction of COVID-19 and      who have well-controlled HIV seem to have           additional vaccine dose might be, particularly
                               HIV urgently need addressing to inform the       immune responses to COVID-19 vaccination            in people starting or restarting antiretroviral
                               long-term public-health response.                that are similar to those of people without         therapy.
                                 More clinical and basic studies could reveal   HIV10,11. But several observational studies            As vaccines are rolled out in countries
                               whether prolonged SARS-CoV-2 infections          suggest that immune responses to COVID-19           that have high rates of HIV, governments,
                               are routine in people with advanced uncon-       vaccination might be blunted in people with         with leadership from organizations such as
                               trolled HIV or extremely rare — and whether      low CD4 T-cell counts12.This is consistent with     the WHO and the Africa Centres for Disease
                               such infections still occur after people have    what we know about how the immune systems           Control and Prevention, must support
                               been vaccinated. Studying the interaction        of people living with HIV respond to other          surveillance and monitoring systems for eval-
                               between COVID-19 and HIV must not detract        vaccines13.                                         uating the effectiveness of COVID-19 vaccines
                               from promptly providing individuals with            Clinical-trial data suggest that an addi-        in people living with HIV.
                               proper care — in particular, antiretroviral      tional COVID-19 vaccine dose might enhance
                               therapies, or new types of antiretroviral        the immune response in other immuno­                Maintain HIV services. Governments, depart-
                               treatment if previous ones have not worked.      compromised groups 14. These include                ments of health and organizations such as
                                 Although COVID-19 vaccines have been           people who have had an organ transplant             PEPFAR and the Global Fund need to take
                               shown to be safe in people living with HIV,      and are receiving treatment to suppress their       steps now to ensure that the progress made
                               there are some uncertainties when it comes       immune systems.                                     over the past few years to control the HIV
                               to COVID-19 vaccination strategies.                 International guidelines, such as those          pandemic does not go into reverse.
                                 Overall, people living with HIV represent      from the British HIV Association and the US           Across sub-Saharan Africa, health-care

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Comment
AFRICA’S HIV TREATMENT GAP                                                                                            stigmatization of people living with HIV. It
Around one-third of people living with HIV in sub-Saharan Africa                                                      could also encourage the application of unfair
in 2020 were not getting effective antiretroviral treatment.
                                                                                                                      public-health measures (such as travel restric-
                                          25.3 million people (estimate)                                              tions) to countries with high rates of HIV.
HIV load                                                             Treatment       Diagnosed,       Undiagnosed        The United States banned non-citizens who
suppressed by treatment                                            not effective     not treated      HIV             had tested positive for HIV from entering the
17.3 (million)                                                              2.2              2.4      3.4
                                                                                                                      country for 22 years. (The ban was lifted only
                                                                                                                      in 2010.) And many other countries, such as

                                                                                                                                                                                           SOURCE: UNAIDS (2020 DATA)
                                                                                                                      Australia and New Zealand, still refuse to give
                                                                                                                      citizenship to people with HIV, even though
                                                                                                                      effective antiretroviral treatments are now
                                                                                   Around 8 million people urgently   available.
                                                                                   need effective antiretroviral
                                                                                   treatment for HIV, as well as         The best way for governments to protect
                                                                                   vaccination against COVID-19.      their citizens is not by further stigmatizing
                                                                                                                      those infected with HIV; it is by quickly pro-
providers have used various approaches to try              that people in these countries are offered HIV             viding vaccines to protect the world’s most
to protect essential health services from dis-             testing whenever they have any contact with                vulnerable. Only global solidarity — not dis-
ruptions caused by the COVID-19 pandemic.                  the health system. (In practice, this happens              crimination, blockage or the hoarding of
Examples in HIV programmes include pro-                    patchily.) Thus, providing people with preven-             resources — will end the COVID-19 pandemic.
viding people with several months’ worth                   tion and care for COVID-19 provides an oppor-
of antiretroviral therapy instead of one- or               tunity to boost care and treatment for HIV.
two-months’ supply; providing antiretroviral                  Ultimately, sustained efforts to ensure                 The authors
therapies or ways to check CD4 T-cell levels at            that people with HIV are diagnosed, given
people’s homes or at community centres; and                antiretroviral treatment and then followed                 Nokukhanya Msomi is head of the Virology
online appointments with physicians15. Care                up to ensure that their viral load is being sup-           Department, University of KwaZulu-Natal,
providers and others can use the experiences               pressed (see ‘Africa’s HIV treatment gap’) are             Durban, South Africa, and a clinical virologist
of the past two years to map out how best to                                                                          at the National Health Laboratory Services,
scale up effective strategies in the future.               “Ongoing complacency                                       Inkosi Albert Luthuli Central Hospital,
   In the longer term, stakeholders could also                                                                        Durban, South Africa. Richard Lessells
apply some of the innovations in the global
                                                           about how the COVID-19                                     is an infectious-diseases specialist at the
COVID-19 response to HIV. Extraordinary                    pandemic is playing out in                                 KwaZulu-Natal Research Innovation and
achievements, for instance, in the tracking                Africa is misplaced.”                                      Sequencing Platform, University of KwaZulu-
of cases and deaths, in genomic surveillance                                                                          Natal, Durban, South Africa. Koleka Mlisana
and in data sharing have demonstrated the                                                                             is the executive manager of academic
degree to which ‘knowing your epidemic’                    crucial to reducing the burden of advanced                 affairs, research and quality assurance at
in near-real time can help to guide a pub-                 HIV in the population — and so limiting the                the National Health Laboratory Services,
lic-health response at local, national and                 potential for cases of prolonged infection from            Johannesburg, South Africa. Tulio de
global scales.                                             SARS-CoV-2. Encouragingly, in our case study               Oliveira is director of the Centre for Epidemic
   In fact, besides impressive global collab-              from South Africa, the individual cleared the              Response and Innovation, Stellenbosch
oration, the scientific response to COVID-19               SARS-CoV-2 infection three weeks after being               University, Stellenbosch, South Africa, and of
has strengthened local and regional col-                   given effective HIV treatment5.                            the KwaZulu-Natal Research Innovation and
laboration across Africa, including in                                                                                Sequencing Platform.
clinical research, in the trials of vaccines               Avoid stigmatization                                       e-mail: tulio@sun.ac.za
and therapeutics, and in epidemiology and                  What the past year has shown is that early —
                                                                                                                      1.    World Health Organization. Clinical Features and
genomics 16–18. The scientific community                   and ongoing — complacency about how the                          Prognostic Factors of COVID-19 in People Living with HIV
globally should support these networks and                 COVID-19 pandemic is playing out in Africa                       Hospitalized with Suspected or Confirmed SARS-CoV-2
expand their scope to help address HIV as                  is misplaced.                                                    Infection (WHO, 2021).
                                                                                                                      2.    Jassat, W. et al. Lancet HIV 8, e554–e567 (2021).
well as the other public-health priorities in                 Comparing only cases and deaths across                  3.    Boulle, A. et al. Clin. Infect. Dis. 73, e2005–e2015 (2021).
Africa — tuberculosis, malaria and neglected               countries or continents with different demo-               4.    Corey, L. et al. N. Engl. J. Med. 385, 562–566 (2021).
tropical diseases.                                         graphics, and obtained using different testing             5.    Karim, F. et al. Preprint at medRxiv https://doi.
                                                                                                                            org/10.1101/2021.06.03.21258228 (2021).
                                                           strategies and reporting systems, can give a               6.    The Global Fund. Results Report 2021 (Global Fund, 2021).
Integrate health systems. Governments,                     misleading picture19. A rolling analysis of excess         7.    Autenrieth, C. S. et al. PLoS ONE 13, e0207005 (2018).
departments of health and HIV programmes                   deaths in South Africa, for instance, indicates            8.    World Health Organization. Strategy to Achieve Global
                                                                                                                            Covid-19 Vaccination by Mid-2022 (WHO, 2021).
need to find better ways to integrate COVID‑19             that deaths from COVID‑19 could be between                 9.    Wagner, C. E. et al. Science 373, eabj7364 (2021).
and HIV services. Providing COVID-19 vacci-                two and three times higher than reported                   10.   Madhi, S. A. et al. Lancet HIV 8, E568–E580 (2021).
nation at clinics and centres that currently               deaths, and that South Africa has been one                 11.   Frater, J. et al. Lancet HIV 8, e474–e485 (2021).
                                                                                                                      12.   Spinelli, M. A. et al. Preprint at SSRN https://doi.
offer testing and antiretroviral therapies for             of the hardest-hit countries in the world (see
                                                                                                                            org/10.2139/ssrn.3909785 (2021).
HIV could help to ensure that people with                  go.nature.com/3r6dt3j). Certainly, a 30–50%                13.   Kernéis, S. et al. Clin. Infect. Dis. 58, 1130–1139 (2014).
advanced or uncontrolled HIV are prioritized               increased chance of death from COVID-19 for a              14.   Hall, V. G. et al. N. Engl. J. Med. 385, 1244–1246 (2021).
                                                                                                                      15.   Inzaule, S. C. et al. PLoS Med. 18, e1003666 (2021).
for COVID-19 vaccination, including any addi-              young sector of the population that makes up
                                                                                                                      16.   Salyer, S. J. et al. Lancet 397, 1265–1275 (2021).
tional doses that might be recommended.                    most of the workforce could have devastating               17.   Wilkinson, E. et al. Science 374, 423–431 (2021).
   Similarly, people living in countries that              consequences in the long term.                             18.   Biccard, B. M. et al. Lancet 397, 1885–1894 (2021).
                                                                                                                      19.   Burki, T. K. Lancet Respir. Med. https://doi.org/10.1016/
have high rates of HIV should be offered HIV                  On the flip side, an obvious risk of drawing
                                                                                                                            S2213-2600(21)00504-X (2021).
testing whenever they receive a COVID-19                   attention to the interactions between
vaccine. Currently, the WHO recommends                     SARS-CoV-2 and HIV is increasing the                       The authors declare no competing interests.

36 | Nature | Vol 600 | 2 December 2021
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