Adelaide Landing EAW APPENDIX Traffic Impact Analysis for - City of Hugo

 
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Adelaide Landing EAW APPENDIX Traffic Impact Analysis for - City of Hugo
EAW APPENDIX
Traffic Impact Analysis for

Adelaide Landing

A Premier Residential Development
Located North of 130th Street North
And East of US 61
Hugo, Minnesota

Prepared for:                         Prepared by:
The Excelsior Group, LLC              Westwood Professional Services
1660 Highway 100 South                7699 Anagram Drive
Suite 400                             Eden Prairie, MN 55344
Saint Louis Park, MN 55416            (952) 937-5150
(612) 353-3307
Adelaide Landing EAW APPENDIX Traffic Impact Analysis for - City of Hugo
Adelaide Landing Residential Development                                                       1/31/2017
Traffic Impact Analysis

                                    Traffic Impact Analysis for
                            Adelaide Landing
                                            Hugo, MN

                                      January 31, 2017

                   I hereby certify that this plan, specification, or report was prepared by
                   me or under my direct supervision and that I am a duly Licensed
                   Professional Engineer under the laws of the State of Minnesota.

                   Print Name: _____________Stephen J. Manhart___________

                   Signature: ________________________________________

                   Date: __01/31/2017___        License # _____22428________

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Adelaide Landing EAW APPENDIX Traffic Impact Analysis for - City of Hugo
Adelaide Landing Residential Development                                                                                                      1/31/2017
 Traffic Impact Analysis

                    Project Number: R0008463.00
                    Date: 1/31/2017

                                                                 CONTENTS

Certification Page ........................................................................................................................................ ii
List of Figures ........................................................................................................................................... iii
List of Tables ........................................................................................................................................... iv
List of Appendices ........................................................................................................................................ iv

INTRODUCITON ............................................................................................................................... 1
EXISTING CONDITIONS .................................................................................................................... 3
FUTURE YEAR FORECASTS............................................................................................................. 19
DEVELOPMENT IMPACTS .............................................................................................................. 28
MITIGATION PLAN......................................................................................................................... 39
APPENDIX ................................................................................................................................... 45

                                                                     FIGURES

Figure 1:     Site Location .................................................................................................................................. 2
Figure 2:     Existing Traffic Volumes .............................................................................................................. 13
Figure 3:     2022 No Build Traffic................................................................................................................... 20
Figure 4:     2040 No Build Traffic Volumes.................................................................................................... 22
Figure 5:     Trip Distribution .......................................................................................................................... 30
Figure 6:     Trip Assignment .......................................................................................................................... 31
Figure 7:     2022 Build Traffic Volumes ......................................................................................................... 32
Figure 8:     2040 Build Traffic Volumes ......................................................................................................... 35
Figure 9:     Proposed Geometry .................................................................................................................... 42

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Adelaide Landing EAW APPENDIX Traffic Impact Analysis for - City of Hugo
Adelaide Landing Residential Development                                                                               1/31/2017
 Traffic Impact Analysis

                                                            TABLES

Table 1: Comparison of Turning Movement Counts along TH 61 at 130th Street North ........................... 14
Table 2: Level of Service vs. Control Delay – Signalized and Unsignalized Intersections .......................... 16
Table 3: Existing Level of Service & Critical Queue Lengths ...................................................................... 18
Table 4: 2022 No-Build Level of Service & Critical Queue Lengths ........................................................... 21
Table 5: 2040 No-Build Level of Service & Critical Queue Lengths ............................................................ 23
Table 6: 2040 No-Build Level of Service & Critical Queue Lengths – 4 Lanes on TH 61............................. 25
Table 7: Adelaide Landing Development Phasing ...................................................................................... 28
Table 8: Adelaide Landing Trip Generation Potential ............................................................................... 28
Table 9: 2022 Build Level of Service & Critical Queue Lengths .................................................................. 33
Table 10: 2040 Build Level of Service & Critical Queue Lengths ................................................................ 36
Table 11: 2040 Build Level of Service & Critical Queue Lengths – 4 Lanes on TH 61 ................................ 41

                                           TECHNICAL APPENDICES

Technical Appendix I: Crash Analysis

Technical Appendix II: MnDOT LRRB Turn Lane Design Checklist

Technical Appendix III: Synchro/SimTraffic Performance and Queuing Output

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Adelaide Landing EAW APPENDIX Traffic Impact Analysis for - City of Hugo
Adelaide Landing Residential Development                                                   1/31/2017
 Traffic Impact Analysis

INTRODUCITON

The following is a traffic impact analysis for a 217.5-acre premier residential development
called Adelaide Landing, proposed north of 130th Street North and east of US Trunk Highway 61
(TH 61) in the city of Hugo, Washington County, Minnesota (see Figure 1). The Excelsior Group
(Client) is proposing to construct 324 residential units on the site. Of that number, 91 lots are
proposed to comprise villa homes, 51 lots are proposed to comprise detached townhomes and
the remainder (182 lots) are proposed to comprise single-family homes. A small neighborhood
park is proposed at a midpoint of the housing.

The street system is proposed to be curvilinear with one main neighborhood collector running
north-south through the development with various local streets intersecting the north-south
street and serving small pockets of housing. While the development will propose no new direct
access intersections onto TH 61, the concept sketch plan for the site includes a connection to
existing 137th Street North that proceeds through another residential development and
intersects TH 61. Further, the Adelaide Landing Development proposes three intersections with
130th Street North at the south end of the site, which in turn provide direct access to TH 61.
Other development streets will connect with the existing residential street system to the north
and northeast of Adelaide Landing.

This analysis looked at the traffic operation of the study area during three time periods:
 Existing condition (2016),
 One year after full development (2025), and
 Twenty-year timeframe (to 2040).

The following intersections will be assessed in this analysis:
       TH 61 & 130th Street N                                  130th Street N & 129th Drive N (Mid
       TH 61 & 134th Street N                                   Site Access Street)
       TH 61 & 137th Street N                                  130th Street N & East Site Access
                                                                 Street
       TH 61 & 140th Street N
                                                                140th Street N & Flay Avenue
       130th Street N & West Site Access
        Street/Flay Road

This analysis will address the potential for “cut-through” concerns, as well as pedestrian access
and crossings. Findings from this study will be compared with the results from previous studies
in the area, including the TH 61 Corridor Access Management Plan, the TH 61 at 130th Street
ICE Report and the City of Hugo Comprehensive Plan. A mitigation plan will be prepared that
will address the proposed development plan now and in the future.

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Adelaide Landing EAW APPENDIX Traffic Impact Analysis for - City of Hugo
140th St
                                                                       Fl
                                                                         ay
                                                                              Av
                                                                                 e

                                                    137th St

                                                  134th St
                                        t Blvd)
                                     (Fores
                                   TH 61

              130th St
                                                             Flay Rd

Phone   (952) 937-5150   7699 Anagram Drive
Fax     (952) 937-5822   Eden Prairie, MN 55344
        (888) 937-5150
Adelaide Landing EAW APPENDIX Traffic Impact Analysis for - City of Hugo
Adelaide Landing Residential Development                                              1/31/2017
 Traffic Impact Analysis

EXISTING CONDITIONS

Westwood analyzed year 2016 roadway geometrics, traffic control and traffic operations for
the existing roadways and intersections in the study area.

Observations

The following discussion provides descriptions of existing conditions at each study intersection.
(NOTE: Crash data by type appears in the Appendix):

    1. TH 61 & 130th Street N

            a. Number of Through Lanes:
                        One through lane in each direction

            b. Auxiliary Lanes and Effective Turn Bay Lengths:
                        Eastbound left turn lane – 230 ft.
                        Eastbound right turn lane – 130 ft.

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Adelaide Landing EAW APPENDIX Traffic Impact Analysis for - City of Hugo
Adelaide Landing Residential Development                                                 1/31/2017
Traffic Impact Analysis

                       Westbound left turn lane – 250 ft.
                       Westbound right turn lane – 145 ft.
                       Northbound left turn lane – 235 ft.
                       Northbound right turn lane – 250 ft.
                       Southbound left turn lane – 260 ft.
                       Southbound right turn lane – 300 ft.

           c. Sight Lines:
                       Eastbound limited sight lines to the south as vehicles approach
                        intersection due to railroad crossing and parked vehicles; clear sight line
                        beyond tracks
                       Eastbound limited sight lines to the north as vehicles approach
                        intersection due to railroad crossing and vegetation; clear sight line
                        beyond tracks
                       Westbound limited sight lines to the south as vehicles approach
                        intersection due to pine trees along property lines, but sight but sight
                        exceeds AASHTO standards at crosswalk
                       Westbound sight lines to the north are unlimited
                       Northbound limited sight lines to the east as vehicles approach
                        intersection due to pine trees along property lines, but sight exceeds
                        AASHTO standards at stop bar
                       Northbound limited sight lines to the west as vehicles approach
                        intersection due to railroad crossing and parked vehicles but sight but
                        sight exceeds AASHTO standards at stop bar
                       Southbound limited sight lines to the west as vehicles approach
                        intersection due to railroad crossing and parked vehicles but sight but
                        sight exceeds AASHTO standards at crosswalk
                       Southbound sight lines to the east are unlimited

           d. Crash History:
                       Intersection has recorded fourteen (14) crashes in the last five years, per
                        MnMCAT. (Collision Diagram appears in the Appendix.)

           e. Traffic Control:
                       Intersection is signalized with protected-permissive phasing for left
                        turns. MnDOT’s current cycle lengths are 160 seconds in the a.m. peak
                        hour and 150 seconds in the p.m. peak hour. Pedestrian signals and

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                        crosswalks appear across the north and east legs of the intersection.
                        There is signalized railroad crossing on the west leg of the intersection
                        approximately 50 feet to the west of the southbound lanes of TH 61.
                        Speed limit along TH 61 is 55 mph. Speed limit along 130 th Street west of
                        TH 61 is statutory 30 mph. The posted speed limit on 130th Street east of
                        TH 61 is 50 mph.

   2. TH 61 & 134th Street N

           a. Number of Through Lanes:
                       One through lane in each direction

           b. Auxiliary Lanes and Effective Turn Bay Lengths:
                       Westbound – no designated turn lanes; street width of 32’ could
                        accommodate one WB left, one WB right and one EB through lane
                       Northbound right turn lane – 250 ft.
                       Southbound left turn/bypass lane – 250 ft.

           c. Sight Lines:
                       Westbound limited sight lines to the north as vehicles approach the
                        intersection due to pine trees along property lines, but sight exceed
                        AASHTO standards at stop sign

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Traffic Impact Analysis

                       Westbound limited sight lines to the south as vehicles approach the
                        intersection due to pine trees and fence along property lines, but sight
                        exceed AASHTO standards at stop sign
                       Northbound limited sight lines to the east as vehicles approach the
                        intersection due to pine trees and fence but sight exceed AASHTO
                        standards at approach to intersection
                       Southbound limited sight lines to the east as vehicles approach the
                        intersection due to pine trees but sight exceed AASHTO standards at
                        approach to intersection

           d. Crash History:
                       Intersection has recorded three (3) crashes in the last five years, per
                        MnMCAT. (Collision Diagram appears in the Appendix.)

           e. Traffic Control:
                       Intersection is side street stop controlled. Speed limit along TH 61 is 55
                        mph. Speed limit along 134th Street is statutory 30 mph.

   3. TH 61 & 137th Street N

           a. Number of Through Lanes:
                  One through lane in each direction
           b. Auxiliary Lanes and Effective Turn Bay Lengths:
                       Westbound – no designated turn lanes; street width of 33’ could
                        accommodate one WB left, one WB right and one EB through lane
                       Northbound right turn lane – 210 ft.

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Adelaide Landing Residential Development                                                 1/31/2017
Traffic Impact Analysis

                       Southbound left turn/bypass lane – 165 ft.

           c. Sight Lines:
                       Westbound limited sight lines to the north as vehicles approach the
                        intersection due to trees along property lines, but sight exceed AASHTO
                        standards at stop sign
                       Westbound generally unlimited sight lines to the south
                       Northbound generally unlimited sight lines to the east
                       Southbound limited sight lines to the east as vehicles approach the
                        intersection due to railroad crossing and parked vehicles but sight
                        exceed AASHTO standards at approach to intersection

           d. Crash History:
                       Intersection has recorded no (0) crashes in the last five years, per
                        MnMCAT.

           e. Traffic Control:
                       Intersection is side street stop controlled. Speed limit along TH 61 is 55
                        mph. Speed limit along 137th Street is statutory 30 mph.

   4. TH 61 & 140th Street N

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Adelaide Landing Residential Development                                                 1/31/2017
Traffic Impact Analysis

           a. Number of Through Lanes:
                       One through lane in each direction

           b. Auxiliary Lanes and Effective Turn Bay Lengths:
                       Eastbound right turn lane – 175 ft.
                       Westbound right turn lane – 225 ft.
                       Northbound left turn lane – 180 ft.; right turn lane – 260 ft.
                       Southbound left turn lane – 250 ft.; right turn lane – 240 ft.

           c. Sight Lines:
                       Eastbound generally unlimited sight lines to the north and south
                       Westbound generally unlimited sight lines to the north and south
                       Northbound generally unlimited sight lines to the east and west
                       Southbound generally unlimited sight lines to the east and west

           d. Crash History:
                       Intersection has recorded twenty (20) crashes in the last five years, per
                        MnMCAT. (Collision Diagram appears in the Appendix.)

           e. Traffic Control:
                       Intersection is signal controlled with protected/permitted phasing in the
                        northbound and southbound directions. MnDOT’s current cycle lengths
                        are 160 seconds in the a.m. peak hour and 150 seconds in the p.m. peak
                        hour. Speed limit along 130th Street is posted at 50 mph. Speed limit
                        along Flay Road is statutory 30 mph.

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Traffic Impact Analysis

   5. 130th Street N & Flay Road (proposed West Site Access Street)

           a. Number of Through Lanes:
                       One through lane in each direction

           b. Auxiliary Lanes and Effective Turn Bay Lengths:
                       Eastbound right turn lane – 100 ft.
                       Westbound turn lane – none
                       Northbound turn lane – none

           c. Sight Lines:
                       Eastbound sight lines limited to the south by pine trees
                       Westbound sight lines limited to the south by pine trees
                       Northbound sight lines limited to the east and west by pine trees

           d. Crash History:
                       Intersection has recorded no (0) crashes in the last five years, per
                        MnMCAT.

           e. Traffic Control:
                       Intersection is stop sign controlled for northbound traffic. Speed limit
                        along 130th Street is posted 50 mph east of TH 61. Flay Avenue is
                        statutory 30 mph.

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Adelaide Landing Residential Development                                                 1/31/2017
Traffic Impact Analysis

   6. 130th Street N & 129th Drive N (Mid Site Access Street)

           a. Number of Through Lanes:
                       One through lane in each direction

           b. Auxiliary Lanes and Effective Turn Bay Lengths:
                       Eastbound right turn lane – 70 ft.
                       Westbound turn lane – none
                       Northbound turn lane – none

           c. Sight Lines:
                       Eastbound sight lines relatively unlimited, although the street approach
                        to 130th is rather short and there is a tree to the south of 130th
                       Westbound sight lines relatively unlimited, although the street approach
                        to 130th is rather short and there is a tree to the south of 130th
                       Northbound sight lines generally unlimited to the east, but limited to the
                        west by low hanging tree branches beyond the eastbound right turn
                        lane.

           d. Crash History:
                       Intersection has recorded no (0) crashes in the last five years, per
                        MnMCAT.

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Traffic Impact Analysis

           e. Traffic Control:
                       Intersection is stop sign controlled for northbound traffic. Speed limit
                        along 130th Street is posted 50 mph east of TH 61. 29th Drive N is
                        statutory 30 mph.

   7. 140th Street N & Flay Avenue

           a. Number of Through Lanes:
                       One through lane eastbound and northbound; two through lanes
                        westbound

           b. Auxiliary Lanes and Effective Turn Bay Lengths:
                       Eastbound right turn lane – 160 ft.
                       Westbound turn lane – none marked, although approach has two
                        through lanes
                       Northbound turn lane – none marked, although approach is 24 feet wide

           c. Sight Lines:
                       Eastbound sight lines are generally unlimited
                       Westbound sight lines limited to the south by trees
                       Northbound sight lines limited to the east by trees

           d. Crash History:
                       Intersection has recorded one (1) crash in the last five years, per
                        MnMCAT. (Collision Diagram appears in the Appendix.)

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Adelaide Landing Residential Development                                                 1/31/2017
Traffic Impact Analysis

           e. Traffic Control:
                       Intersection is stop sign controlled for northbound traffic. Speed limit
                        along 130th Street is posted 50 mph east of TH 61. Flay Avenue is
                        statutory 30 mph.

   8. 130th Street N & East Site Access Street

           a. Number of Through Lanes:
                       One through lane in each direction
                       No intersection exists at this time

           b. Auxiliary Lanes and Effective Turn Bay Lengths:
                       Westbound turn lane – none
                       Northbound turn lane – none

           c. Sight Lines:
                       Not applicable at this time in either direction

           d. Crash History:
                       Location has recorded no (0) crashes in the last five years, per MnMCAT.

           e. Traffic Control:
                       Speed limit along 130th Street is posted 50 mph east of TH 61.

                                                 12
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                                                            2,5
                                                               00

                                                       0
                                                  13,50

                                                           2,350

Phone   (952) 937-5150   7699 Anagram Drive
Fax     (952) 937-5822   Eden Prairie, MN 55344
        (888) 937-5150
Adelaide Landing Residential Development                                                      1/31/2017
 Traffic Impact Analysis

Data Collection

   Westwood collected weekday a.m. and p.m. peak period turning movement counts at the
   existing intersections identified above. These peak period turning movement volumes
   appear on Figure 2. These counts were taken on August 2-3, 2016.

   It has been reported that I-35E was under construction when these counts were taken.
   Thus, a check was made to determine whether traffic volumes on TH 61 are higher than
   typical volumes. A review of historical counts has shown a resulting change in patterns
   shows variations in a.m. and p.m. peak hour movements along north bound and
   southbound TH 61 (see Table 1).

   Table 1: Comparison of Turning Movement Counts along TH 61 at 130th Street North
                                – 2011, 2012 and 2016
      A.M. PEAK HOUR      NB Left    NB Thru   NB Right    SB Left    SB Thru    SB Right    TOTAL

          2/2/2011          69         178        25         11         796         58       1137

         11/7/2012          70         206        20         10         816         69       1191

         8/2-3/2016         14         287        21         78         735         78       1213

      P.M. PEAK HOUR      NB Left    NB Thru   NB Right    SB Left    SB Thru    SB Right    TOTAL

          2/2/2011          111        823        96         15         381         18       1444

         11/7/2012          79         717        95         29         410         26       1356

         8/2-3/2016         37         759        69         235        568         74       1742
      (Source: MnDOT Metro Intersection Count Website, and Westwood Professional Services)

   The 2016 counts appear greater than those recorded in previous years. The difference in
   volumes between 2011 and 2016 is a 1.3% annual growth rate for the a.m. peak hour.
   Conversely, during the p.m. peak hours, the annual growth rate is 3.8% over the same time
   period. This is despite the p.m. peak volume dropping in 2012.

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 Traffic Impact Analysis

Intersection Capacity Analysis

   Traffic operations for the peak hour conditions within the study area were analyzed using
   the industry-standard Synchro/SimTraffic Version 9 software package, which uses the data
   and methodology contained in the 2010 Highway Capacity Manual, published by the
   Transportation Research Board. The software model was calibrated to replicate existing
   conditions as accurately as possible before being used to assess future conditions.

   The operating conditions of transportation facilities, such as traffic signals, stop-controlled
   intersections and roundabouts, are evaluated based on the relationship of the theoretical
   capacity of a facility to the actual traffic volumes on that facility. Various factors affect
   capacity, including travel speed, roadway geometry, grade, number and width of travel
   lanes, and intersection control. The current standards for evaluating capacity and operating
   conditions are contained in the 2010 Highway Capacity Manual (HCM). The procedures
   describe operating conditions in terms of a Level of Service (LOS). Facilities are given letter
   designations from A, representing the best operating conditions, to F, representing the
   worst. Generally, Level of Service D (LOS-D) represents the threshold for acceptable overall
   intersection operating conditions during a peak hour.

   At intersections, Levels of Service are assigned differently for signalized or unsignalized
   intersections (which include Two-Way Stop Control [TWSC], All-way Stop Control [AWSC]
   and roundabouts). For signalized intersections, Level of Service is calculated by taking the
   total Intersection Delay and converting it to a letter grade as shown in the right side of
   Table 2. For an unsignalized intersection, Level of Service is calculated by taking the
   Intersection Delay and converting it to a letter grade, as shown in the left side of Table 2.
   While similar, the signalized control delay totals are higher than that of unsignalized
   intersections. In any condition, when the LOS by Volume to Capacity Ratio exceeds 1.0, the
   LOS is always F.

   Under the 2010 HCM, common movements are included into lane groups. Control Delay is
   then determined for each lane group and Levels of Service are based on this Control Delay.
   For each lane group, Control Delay is quantified by number of seconds. Control Delay is
   defined as the difference between the travel time that would have occurred in the absence
   of the intersection control, and the travel time that results because of the presence of the
   intersection control. Levels of Service are then based on the control delay per vehicle.

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Adelaide Landing Residential Development                                                                              1/31/2017
 Traffic Impact Analysis

Table 2: Level of Service vs. Control Delay - Signalized and Unsignalized Intersections (TWSC,
AWSC & Roundabouts)

              TWSC, AWSC & Roundabouts                                                      Signalized Intersections

                                      Control Delay per                                                    Control Delay per
    LOS by Volume to                                                       LOS by Volume to
                                          Vehicle                                                              Vehicle
   Capacity Ratio (≤ 1)*                                                  Capacity Ratio (≤ 1)*
                                         (Seconds)                                                            (Seconds)
               A                               ≤10                                      A                          ≤10
               B                           >10 and ≤15                                  B                      >10 and ≤20
               C                           >15 and ≤25                                  C                      >20 and ≤35
               D                           >25 and ≤35                                  D                      >35 and ≤55
               E                           >35 and ≤50                                  E                      >55 and ≤80
               F                               >50                                      F                          >80
Per the 2010 Highway Capacity Manual, published by the Transportation Research Board.
* NOTE: When LOS by Volume to Capacity Ratio >1.00, LOS is F.

     The acceptable Level of Service threshold for a particular movement at an intersection
     depends on both the priority assigned to that movement and its traffic volume. In general,
     the higher the priority and the higher the traffic volume, the more stringent the acceptable
     threshold will be. For example, the acceptable threshold for a high-priority/high-volume
     rural movement might be C, while LOS F on a low-priority/low-volume urban movement
     might be appropriate.

     For two-way stop-controlled intersections, a key measure of operational effectiveness is the
     side street LOS. Since the mainline does not have to stop, the majority of delay is attributed
     to the side-street/minor approaches. Long delays and poor LOS can sometimes result on
     the side street, even if the overall intersection is functioning well, making it a valuable
     design criterion. As the side-street/minor approach delay approaches and exceeds 60
     seconds per vehicle, drivers may divert to another route or become impatient and accept
     gaps in the mainline traffic that are less than acceptable/safe gaps resulting in the potential
     for traffic safety concerns. Therefore, depending on priority and traffic volume, acceptable
     side-street LOS can range from D to F. Side streets can operate at LOS F without the
     intersection warranting a change in traffic control.

     A final fundamental component of operational analyses is a study of vehicular queuing, as
     defined the line of vehicles waiting to pass through an intersection. An intersection can
     operate with an acceptable Level of Service, but if queues from the intersection extend back
     to block entrances to turn lanes or accesses to adjacent land uses, unsafe operating
     conditions could result.

     In reporting Levels of Service, the information from the signalized intersection analysis
     comes directly from the Synchro 9 and SimTraffic 9 reports (found in the Appendix).

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Traffic Impact Analysis

  Intersection Levels of Service are reported based on the Control Delay calculated for the
  overall intersection and for each critical movement as determined by SimTraffic 9, and as
  adjusted for driver behavior.

  For queuing, SimTraffic reports found in the Appendix list the Mean Queue, the 95th
  Percentile and the Maximum Queue Lengths that are generated after five runs. In this
  report, the 95th Percentile Queue Length is used to discern adequate lengths of turn lanes.
  The 95th Percentile Queue Length refers to that length of queue that has only a five-
  percent probability of being exceeded during an analysis period. This is the standard factor
  used to determine optimal turn lane lengths. These 95th Percentile Queue Lengths are also
  found in the Appendix.

  Table 3 illustrates the existing a.m. and p.m. peak hour levels of service at the study
  intersections. Intersection levels of service are recorded on the left side of the table, while
  lane group levels of service for critical approaches are reported on the right site of the
  table. In addition, 95th percentile queue lengths for these critical approaches are also
  reported. Existing MnDOT signal timings were used in modeling traffic operation.

  None of the study area intersections presents unacceptable overall operational or
  performance issues in the existing condition.

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 Traffic Impact Analysis

      Table 3: Existing Level of Service & Critical Queue Lengths
                                                                                                                            Available
                                         Intersection          Overall                  Lane Group Delay                               95th Percetile
             Intersection                                                                                  Lane Group LOS   Stacking
                                      Control Delay (sec) Intersection LOS   Approach         (sec)                                   Queue Length (ft)
                                                                                                                            Distance
                                        A.M.     P.M.      A.M.     P.M.                 A.M.     P.M.     A.M.     P.M.      (ft.)    A.M.     P.M.
TH 61 & 140th Street N                  17.7     30.9       B         C       EB Left    59.7     68.9       E        E        455      111      236
                                                                             EB Thru     64.9     88.6       E        F        455      111      236
                                                                             EB Right    18.0      8.1       B        A        175      55       45
                                                                             WB Left     71.1     46.2       E        D        315      133      87
                                                                             WB Thru     13.4     41.5       B        D        315      133      87
                                                                             WB Right     6.7     31.9      A         C        225      73       183
                                                                             NB Left     11.2     20.0       B        B        180      25       237
                                                                             NB Thru      6.0     25.4      A         C       1000      101      506
                                                                             NB Right     1.0      8.0      A         A        260      11       269
                                                                             SB Left     14.8     75.1       B        E        250      62       348
                                                                             SB Thru     18.8     13.1       B        B        675      383      308
                                                                             SB Right     5.1      4.2      A         A        240      183      29

140th Street N & Flay Ave               0.6       1.0       A         A      EB Thru     0.6       0.9       A       A        313       n.a      n.a.
                                                                             EB Right    0.5       0.9       A       A        160       n.a      n.a.
                                                                             WB Left     n.a.      8.1      n.a.     A        220       n.a.     10
                                                                             WB Thru     0.2       0.2       A       A        220       n.a      10
                                                                             NB Left     6.1       7.5       A       A        100       30       37
                                                                             NB Right    2.1       2.7      n.a.     A        100       11       17

TH 61 & 137th Street N                  4.4       2.9       A         A      WB Left     18.4      9.5       C       A        240       33       29
                                                                             WB Right    3.4       7.5       A       A        240       33       29
                                                                             NB Thru     1.3       2.6       A       A        1645      n.a.     n.a.
                                                                             NB Right    n.a.      0.4      n.a.     A        210       n.a.     n.a.
                                                                              SB Left    8.4       6.4       A       B        165       13       25
                                                                             SB Thru     4.4       3.1       A       A        1475      n.a.     n.a.

TH 61 & 134th Street N                  2.0       3.4       A         A      WB Left      7.5      8.0       A       A        150       23       11
                                                                             WB Right     1.7      2.3       A       A        150       23       11
                                                                             NB Thru      2.1      4.6       A       A        2000      n.a.     n.a.
                                                                             NB Right     6.0      2.2       A       A        250       n.a.     n.a.
                                                                              SB Left     1.9      7.6       A       A        250       n.a.     13
                                                                             SB Thru      2.0      1.4       A       A        1645      n.a.     n.a.

TH 61 & 130th Street N                  21.5      14.0      C         B       EB Left    61.0      72.1      E       E        230       44       96
                                                                             EB Thru     53.5     173.3      D       F        500       15       53
                                                                             EB Right    18.8      11.8      B       B        130       98       79
                                                                             WB Left     57.5      81.8      E       F        250       135      75
                                                                             WB Thru     58.5     229.5      E       F        1215      73       38
                                                                             WB Right    4.3       15.2      A       B        145       44       36
                                                                             NB Left     17.6      11.0      B       B        235       56       54
                                                                             NB Thru     6.3       8.4       A       A        2600      75       210
                                                                             NB Right    1.5       3.3       A       A        250       13       14
                                                                             SB Left     19.8      18.3      B       B        260       35       98
                                                                             SB Thru     22.7      8.9       C       A        2000      460      165
                                                                             SB Right    7.3       3.3       A       A        300       212       5

130th Street N & Flay Rd.               2.3       1.9       A         A      EB Thru     0.3       1.9       A       A        1215      n.a       n.a
                                                                             EB Right    1.0       1.2       A       A        100       n.a       n.a
                                                                             WB Left     0.8       0.5       A       A        760       n.a.      n.a
                                                                             WB Thru     0.5       0.4       A       A        760       n.a       n.a
                                                                             NB Left     4.9       4.7       A       A        170       n.a       48
                                                                             NB Right    n.a.      2.5      n.a.     A        170       49        48

130th Street N & 129TH Drive N          0.2       0.5       A         A      EB Thru     0.0       0.4       A       A        760       n.a.     n.a.
                                                                             EB Right    0.0       0.2       A       A         70       n.a.     n.a.
                                                                             WB Thru     0.3       0.0       A       A        3220      n.a.     n.a.
                                                                             NB Left     3.5       3.5       A       A         60       10       23
                                                                             NB Right    n.a.      3.2      n.a.     A         60       10       23

130th Street N & Future East Access     0.1       0.6       A         A      EB Thru      0.0      0.3       A       A        n.a.      n.a.     n.a.
                                                                             WB Thru      0.2      0.0       A       A        n.a.      n.a.     n.a.

(Source: Westwood Professional Services)

                                                                             18
Adelaide Landing Residential Development                                                             1/31/2017
    Traffic Impact Analysis

FUTURE YEAR FORECASTS

       Westwood worked with the City’s traffic engineer to identify future years for analysis. The
       Adelaide Landing development has a five-year phasing schedule. Therefore, assuming
       construction of the first phase would occur in 2017, build-out could occur in 2021. It was
       determined that the study years would be one year after full development (2022) and the
       twenty year timeframe (2040, as specified by the City’s traffic engineer).

       Westwood also reviewed the findings from the TH 61 Corridor Access Management Plan,
       The TH 61 at 130th Street Intersection Control Evaluation (ICE) Report, and the City of Hugo’s
       2030 Comprehensive Plan.

       None of these utilized specific growth factors to determine background traffic. MnDOT
       State Aid, however, provides twenty-year traffic projection factors that provide a means to
       calculate annual growth rates.1 For Washington County, the traffic projection factor is listed
       as 1.3. Based on annualizing the twenty-year growth projection, this results in a 1.3%
       annual growth rate. This factor (which matches the a.m. peak hour growth rate discussed
       earlier) will be used to calculate the background growth for both 2022 and 2040 No-Build
       traffic scenarios.

       There are no known intersection improvements planned in the study area outside of the
       Adelaide Landing development.

2022 No-Build Scenario
   Figure 3 illustrates the 2022 No-Build traffic projection for a.m. and p.m. peak hours. Using
   these volume projections, Westwood calculated levels of service for the 2022 No-Build
   scenario. These appear on Table 4.

       In this scenario, no geometric or lane arrangement changes were assumed. The existing
       MnDOT signal timings were not adjusted or optimized. Nevertheless, eastbound and
       northbound movements along TH 61 record levels of service below acceptable levels. In
       addition, queue lengths exceed available turn lane storage lengths at the southbound left
       turn lanes along TH 61 at 140th Street.

2040 No-Build Scenario
   Figure 4 illustrates the 2040 No-Build traffic projection for a.m. and p.m. peak hours. Using
   these volume projections, Westwood calculated levels of service for the 2040 No-Build
   scenario. Again, existing MnDOT signal timings were used and not optimized for the future
   condition. These appear on Table 5.

1
    Traffic Projection Factors, Minnesota Department of Transportation State Aid, Saint Paul, MN, Fall 2015

                                                          19
Phone   (952) 937-5150   7699 Anagram Drive
Fax     (952) 937-5822   Eden Prairie, MN 55344
        (888) 937-5150
Adelaide Landing Residential Development                                                                                                   1/31/2017
 Traffic Impact Analysis

      Table 4: 2022 No-Build Level of Service & Critical Queue Lengths
                                                                                                                                Available
                                         Intersection     Overall Intersection              Lane Group Delay                               95th Percetile
            Intersection                                                                                       Lane Group LOS   Stacking
                                      Control Delay (sec)          LOS           Approach         (sec)                                   Queue Length (ft)
                                                                                                                                Distance
                                       A.M.       P.M.      A.M.      P.M.                   A.M.     P.M.     A.M.     P.M.      (ft.)    A.M.      P.M.
TH 61 & 140th Street N                 17.3       33.7       B          C         EB Left    61.1     84.6       E        F        455     110       258
                                                                                 EB Thru     98.9     76.4       F        E        455     110       258
                                                                                 EB Right    11.7     10.2       B        B        175      51        45
                                                                                 WB Left     67.4     64.8       E        E        315     125       125
                                                                                 WB Thru     25.6     68.6       C        E        315     125       125
                                                                                 WB Right     8.2     34.8      A         B        225      96       177
                                                                                 NB Left      8.0     25.4      A         C        180      21       143
                                                                                 NB Thru      5.6     27.0      A         C       1000     101       567
                                                                                 NB Right     2.0     11.9      A         B        260      17       232
                                                                                 SB Left     13.2     83.9       B        F        250      56       342
                                                                                 SB Thru     19.3     13.8       B        B        675     425       308
                                                                                 SB Right     5.0      4.8      A         A        240     226        32

140th Street N & Flay Ave               0.9        1.1        A         A        EB Thru     0.6       0.9      A        A        313       n.a      n.a.
                                                                                 EB Right    0.6       0.9      A        A        160       n.a      n.a.
                                                                                 WB Left     n.a.      1.9     n.a.      A        220       n.a      n.a.
                                                                                 WB Thru     0.2       0.2      A        A        220       n.a      n.a.
                                                                                 NB Left     6.6       7.7      A        A        100       49        45
                                                                                 NB Right    1.6       4.1      A        A        100        7        20

TH 61 & 137th Street N                  4.2        3.5        A         A        WB Left     75.4     39.5      F        D        240        32       36
                                                                                 WB Right     4.3      7.7      A        A        240        32       36
                                                                                 NB Thru      1.3      3.2      A        A        1645      n.a.     n.a.
                                                                                 NB Right    n.a.      1.0     n.a.      A        210       n.a.     n.a.
                                                                                  SB Left     4.7      9.8      A        A        165        8        20
                                                                                 SB Thru      5.3      3.6      A        A        1475      n.a.     n.a.

TH 61 & 134th Street N                  2.1        3.8        A         A        WB Left     11.3     11.4      B        B        150        28       13
                                                                                 WB Right     1.6      6.1      A        A        150        28       13
                                                                                 NB Thru      1.9      5.4      A        A        2000      n.a.     n.a.
                                                                                 NB Right     3.0      4.2     n.a.      A        250       n.a.     n.a.
                                                                                  SB Left     0.5      4.7     n.a.      A        250       n.a.      15
                                                                                 SB Thru      2.0      1.7      A        A        1645      n.a.     n.a.

TH 61 & 130th Street N                  24.7      16.7        C         B         EB Left    55.3     65.2      E        E        260        66       101
                                                                                 EB Thru     84.6     63.6      F        E        500        10        66
                                                                                 EB Right    29.6     15.0      C        B        130       135        97
                                                                                 WB Left     59.1     67.6      E        E        250       200       104
                                                                                 WB Thru     42.0     275.4     D        D        1215       52       110
                                                                                 WB Right     5.1     10.4      A        B        145        44        39
                                                                                 NB Left     21.4     18.0      C        B        235        74        81
                                                                                 NB Thru      5.3     11.6      A        B        2600       92       254
                                                                                 NB Right     2.2      4.9      A        A        250        21        27
                                                                                 SB Left     18.2     18.4      B        B        260        28        74
                                                                                 SB Thru     26.3     11.0      C        B        2000      607       199
                                                                                 SB Right    11.3      3.9      A        A        300       326        11

130th Street N & Flay Rd.               2.4        2.1        A         A        EB Thru      0.7      1.6      A        A        1215      n.a       n.a
                                                                                 EB Right     0.5      0.9      A        A        100       n.a       n.a
                                                                                 WB Left      0.6      0.6      A        A        760       n.a.       9
                                                                                 WB Thru      0.5      0.6      A        A        760       n.a        9
                                                                                 NB Left      5.0      5.3      A        A        170       n.a       48
                                                                                 NB Right     4.5      2.8      A        A        170        54       48

130th Street N & 129TH Drive N          0.2        0.4        A         A        EB Thru     2.0       0.4      A        A        760       n.a.     n.a.
                                                                                 EB Right    0.0       0.0      A        A         70       n.a.     n.a.
                                                                                 WB Thru     0.2       0.3      A        A        3220      n.a.     n.a.
                                                                                 NB Left     n.a.      3.6     n.a.      A         60       n.a.      23
                                                                                 NB Right    n.a.      2.3     n.a.      A         60       n.a.      23

130th Street N & Future East Access     0.1        0.6        A         A        EB Thru      0.2      0.5      A        A        n.a.      n.a.     n.a.
                                                                                 WB Thru      0.1      0.2      A        A        n.a.      n.a.     n.a.

      (Source: Westwood Professional Services)

                                                                                 21
Phone   (952) 937-5150   7699 Anagram Drive
Fax     (952) 937-5822   Eden Prairie, MN 55344
        (888) 937-5150
Adelaide Landing Residential Development                                                                                                   1/31/2017
 Traffic Impact Analysis

      Table 5: 2040 No-Build Level of Service & Critical Queue Lengths
                                                                                                                                Available
                                         Intersection     Overall Intersection              Lane Group Delay                               95th Percetile
            Intersection                                                                                       Lane Group LOS   Stacking
                                      Control Delay (sec)          LOS           Approach         (sec)                                   Queue Length (ft)
                                                                                                                                Distance
                                       A.M.       P.M.      A.M.      P.M.                   A.M.     P.M.     A.M.     P.M.      (ft.)    A.M.      P.M.
TH 61 & 140th Street N                 32.4       135.3      C          F         EB Left    77.5     599.0      E        F        455     144       1282
                                                                                 EB Thru     34.4     592.8      C        F        455     144       1282
                                                                                 EB Right    35.3     384.1      C        F        175      71       321
                                                                                 WB Left     62.3     44.1       E        D        315     183        77
                                                                                 WB Thru     21.7     24.4       C        D        315     183        77
                                                                                 WB Right    10.2     50.3       B        D        225     118       259
                                                                                 NB Left     37.2     52.2      D         F        180      35       275
                                                                                 NB Thru     10.8     52.2       B        F       1000     187       1336
                                                                                 NB Right     1.7     34.0      A         E        260      15       379
                                                                                 SB Left     35.7     371.8     D         F        250     447       396
                                                                                 SB Thru     40.9     135.5     D         E        675     1018      1375
                                                                                 SB Right    23.2     118.6      C        D        240     367       185

140th Street N & Flay Ave               0.9        1.4        A         A        EB Thru     0.6       0.8      A        A        313       n.a      n.a.
                                                                                 EB Right    0.6       0.9     n.a.      A        160       n.a      n.a.
                                                                                 WB Left     n.a.      5.1     n.a.      A        220       n.a       10
                                                                                 WB Thru     0.3       0.2      A        A        220       n.a       10
                                                                                 NB Left     7.0       9.1      A        A        100       40        49
                                                                                 NB Right    3.6       4.5      A        A        100       13        21

TH 61 & 137th Street N                  7.0        6.5        A         A        WB Left     43.2     35.0      E        D        240        40       35
                                                                                 WB Right     8.0     36.9      A        E        240        40       35
                                                                                 NB Thru      1.8      6.3      A        A        1645      n.a.      41
                                                                                 NB Right    n.a.      2.2     n.a.      A        210       n.a.     n.a.
                                                                                  SB Left     9.1     31.0      A        D        165        8        30
                                                                                 SB Thru      8.6      5.8      A        A        1475      n.a.     n.a.

TH 61 & 134th Street N                  3.7        6.3        A         A        WB Left     25.7      3.2      D        A        150        30       11
                                                                                 WB Right     1.7      3.7     n.a.      A        150        30       11
                                                                                 NB Thru      3.2      8.1      A        A        2000      n.a.     n.a.
                                                                                 NB Right     2.1      7.2      A        A        250       n.a.     n.a.
                                                                                  SB Left    n.a.     16.0     n.a.      C        250       n.a.      23
                                                                                 SB Thru      3.5      1.8      A        A        1645      n.a.     n.a.

TH 61 & 130th Street N                  50.5      30.6        D         C         EB Left    53.6     69.0      D        D        260        51       87
                                                                                 EB Thru     77.8     284.3     E        F        500       223      100
                                                                                 EB Right    82.0     14.5      F        B        130       173       89
                                                                                 WB Left     67.2     65.6      E        E        250       229      106
                                                                                 WB Thru     51.6     86.1      D        F        1215       80       42
                                                                                 WB Right     6.1     38.5      A        D        145        45       55
                                                                                 NB Left     86.9     33.0      F        C        235       130      225
                                                                                 NB Thru     10.9     32.9      A        C        2600      151      1111
                                                                                 NB Right     1.8     24.0      A        C        250        11      237
                                                                                 SB Left     45.7     41.1      D        D        260       258       93
                                                                                 SB Thru     57.5      8.3      E        A        2000      1030     125
                                                                                 SB Right    38.9      4.4      D        A        300       215       7

130th Street N & Flay Rd.               2.3        2.2        A         A        EB Thru      0.2      1.7      A        A        1215      n.a       n.a
                                                                                 EB Right     0.7      0.9      A        A        100       n.a       n.a
                                                                                 WB Left      0.3      1.4      A        A        760       n.a.      12
                                                                                 WB Thru      0.5      0.3      A        A        760       n.a       12
                                                                                 NB Left      5.3      5.1      A        A        170        59       54
                                                                                 NB Right     4.6      2.6      A        A        170        59       54

130th Street N & 129TH Drive N          0.1        0.5        A         A        EB Thru     0.0       0.5      A        A        760       n.a.     n.a.
                                                                                 EB Right    0.0       0.1      A        A         70       n.a.     n.a.
                                                                                 WB Thru     0.2       0.0      A        A        3220      n.a.     n.a.
                                                                                 NB Left     n.a.      3.1     n.a.      A         60       n.a.      23
                                                                                 NB Right    n.a.      2.3     n.a.      A         60       n.a.      23

130th Street N & Future East Access     0.1        0.5        A         A        EB Thru      0.0      0.6      A        A        n.a.      n.a.     n.a.
                                                                                 WB Thru      0.1      0.0      A        A        n.a.      n.a.     n.a.

      (Source: Westwood Professional Services)

                                                                                 23
Adelaide Landing Residential Development                                                    1/31/2017
    Traffic Impact Analysis

      In this scenario, no geometric or lane arrangement changes were assumed. As with the
      2022 No-Build condition, eastbound and northbound movements along TH 61 record levels
      of service below acceptable levels. In addition, some side-street movements at TH 61 &
      130th Street North begin to experience levels of service below acceptable limits.

      Conversely, there are improvements in levels of service at some locations. This is a
      situation that occurs in Synchro/SimTraffic computer runs on occasion. Due to the variable
      seeding of the five runs, there are times that the level of service actually records improved
      operation.

      The traffic growth to year 2040 exceeds the carrying capacity of a single through lane in
      each direction along TH 61. Further, at the signalized intersections, the green time for TH
      61 traffic must be so long to adequately handle through traffic that the side street queues
      build as they wait for their short green cycles. This is evidenced as queue lengths exceed
      available storage at certain locations (e.g., TH 61 at 130th Street, WB right turn, NB and SB
      left turns; TH 61 at 140th Street, WB left turn, NB left turn, NB right turn).

      To mitigate these issues, Westwood tested the impact of increasing TH 61 to four lanes (two
      lanes in each direction, plus reconstructing 130th Street to collector standards (see Table 6).
      The resulting levels of service fall to generally acceptable levels.

      This eventuality has been foreseen in the City of Hugo 2030 Comprehensive Plan2, as well as
      the US 61 in Hugo – Corridor Access Management Plan Memorandum of Understanding
      (MOU)3.

      The 2030 Comprehensive Plan stated, “…With the number of access locations, together with
      the traffic volume levels, this roadway is approaching the need for expansion to a four-lane
      facility. In addition to the mainline congestion, queuing at existing signalized and
      unsignalized intersections provides a source of localized congestion on the City street
      system.” This side-street congestion is evident in the 2022 and 2040 No-Build scenarios.

      The TH 61 MOU stated that the Corridor Access Management Plan shall occur over time,
      and that several ongoing factors should be implemented in Hugo, including:

                  Preserving right-of-way for the ultimate four-lane section as land is replatted for
                   development trough dedication or outlots.
                  MnDOT will continue to review the needs on US 61 as part of the agency’s long
                   range planning process. When funding and priority are met, the highway

2
 2030 Comprehensive Plan, City of Hugo, Minnesota, Adopted March 15, 2010
3
 Final MOU for US 61 in Hugo; Corridor Access Management Plan, Minnesota Department of Transportation,
05/19/20108.

                                                    24
Adelaide Landing Residential Development                                                                                                   1/31/2017
 Traffic Impact Analysis

Table 6: 2040 No-Build Level of Service & Critical Queue Lengths – 4 Lanes on TH 61
                                                                                                                                Available
                                         Intersection     Overall Intersection              Lane Group Delay                               95th Percetile
            Intersection                                                                                       Lane Group LOS   Stacking
                                      Control Delay (sec)          LOS           Approach         (sec)                                   Queue Length (ft)
                                                                                                                                Distance
                                       A.M.       P.M.      A.M.      P.M.                   A.M.     P.M.     A.M.     P.M.      (ft.)    A.M.      P.M.
TH 61 & 140th Street N                 15.0       21.9       B          C         EB Left    35.0     76.7      D         E        455      36       262
                                                                                 EB Thru     45.5     38.5      D         D        455      36        39
                                                                                 EB Right     8.0      5.5      A         A        175      36        40
                                                                                 WB Left     28.7     33.1       C        C        315      79        76
                                                                                 WB Thru     18.1     30.8       B        C        315      79        42
                                                                                 WB Right     4.9     18.6      A         B        225      48       170
                                                                                 NB Left     10.2     16.5       B        B        180      13       134
                                                                                 NB Thru      6.9     25.4      A         C       1000      38       330
                                                                                 NB Right     1.0     10.4      A         B        260      3        157
                                                                                 SB Left      9.2     26.4      A         C        250      35       237
                                                                                 SB Thru      6.1      8.3      A         A        675      67       120
                                                                                 SB Right     2.6      2.5      A         D        240      7         18

140th Street N & Flay Ave               0.8        1.2        A         A        EB Thru      0.9      1.0      A        A        313       n.a      n.a.
                                                                                 EB Right     0.9      1.2      A        A        160       n.a      n.a.
                                                                                 WB Left      2.0      4.2      A        B        220       n.a      n.a.
                                                                                 WB Thru      0.2      0.4      A        A        220       n.a      n.a.
                                                                                 NB Left      9.9      9.4      A        A        100       35        44
                                                                                 NB Right     3.3      5.4      A        A        100       n.a       16

TH 61 & 137th Street N                  2.4        2.7        A         A        WB Left     21.2     30.5     n.a.      D        240        32       43
                                                                                 WB Right     1.8     11.9      A        B        240        32       43
                                                                                 NB Thru      1.1      2.2      A        A        1645      n.a.     n.a.
                                                                                 NB Right    n.a.      1.0     n.a.      A        210       n.a.     n.a.
                                                                                  SB Left     2.2     11.4      A        B        165       n.a.      28
                                                                                 SB Thru      2.9      3.0      A        A        1475      n.a.     n.a.

TH 61 & 134th Street N                  1.7        3.5        A         A        WB Left     0.0      46.1      A        E        150        17       12
                                                                                 WB Right    1.9       7.2      A        A        150        17       12
                                                                                 NB Thru     2.6       5.2      A        A        2000      n.a.     n.a.
                                                                                 NB Right    n.a.      4.2     n.a.      A        250       n.a.     n.a.
                                                                                  SB Left    n.a.      5.8     n.a.      A        250       n.a.      17
                                                                                 SB Thru     1.3       1.1      A        A        1645      n.a.     n.a.

TH 61 & 130th Street N                  11.4      12.6        B         B         EB Left    14.0     33.9      B        C        260        38        77
                                                                                 EB Thru     53.6     31.6      D        C        500        30        49
                                                                                 EB Right    18.0      8.5      B        A        130       123        77
                                                                                 WB Left     13.5     41.1      B        D        250        56        85
                                                                                 WB Thru     23.7     41.0      C        D        1215       38        26
                                                                                 WB Right     4.1      7.6      A        A        145        51        40
                                                                                 NB Left     14.2     14.5      B        B        235        63        78
                                                                                 NB Thru      6.7     10.5      A        B        2600       77       166
                                                                                 NB Right     2.7      3.5      A        A        250        8         16
                                                                                 SB Left      9.4     18.0      A        B        260        33        81
                                                                                 SB Thru     12.4     11.7      B        B        2000      175       150
                                                                                 SB Right     3.3      3.0      A        A        300        14        8

130th Street N & Flay Rd                2.3        2.5        A         A        EB Thru      1.4      2.4      A        A        1215      n.a       n.a
                                                                                 EB Right     0.4      1.2      A        A        100       n.a       n.a
                                                                                 WB Left      0.3      3.2      A        A        760       n.a.      15
                                                                                 WB Thru      1.3      0.4      A        A        760       n.a       15
                                                                                 NB Left      5.2      5.5      A        A        170        28       45
                                                                                 NB Right     4.5      2.8      A        A        170        28       45

130th Street N & 129TH Drive N          0.2        0.5        A         A        EB Thru     0.0       0.5      A        A        760       n.a.     n.a.
                                                                                 EB Right    0.3       0.0      A        A         70       n.a.     n.a.
                                                                                 WB Thru     0.3       0.0      A        A        3220      n.a.     n.a.
                                                                                 NB Left     n.a.      3.9     n.a.      A        150       n.a.      14
                                                                                 NB Right    n.a.      3.4     n.a.      A        100       n.a.      14

130th Street N & Future East Access     0.2        0.2        A         A        EB Thru      0.0      0.3      A        A        n.a.      n.a.     n.a.
                                                                                 WB Thru      0.3      0.0      A        A        n.a.      n.a.     n.a.

(Source: Westwood Professional Services)

                                                                                 25
Adelaide Landing Residential Development                                                   1/31/2017
    Traffic Impact Analysis

                  concept will be added to MnDOT Metro’s fiscally constrained 20-year
                   Transportation System Plan

      MnDOT’s State Highway Investment Plan: 2014-20334 describes identified and prioritized
      projects versus the twenty-year funding outlook. No project along this segment of TH 61 is
      identified in the twenty-year plan. An appendix of this plan, however, includes a Project List
      of Unmet Needs, which identifies US 61 among several routes in the Twin Cities Metro Area
      that is a traffic congestion bottleneck. While not explicitly stating this portion of TH 61, the
      list states that these projects, if funded, offer a, “…High return on investment capacity
      enhancements and spot improvements (e.g., interchange reconstruction, auxiliary lanes and
      other improvements”.

      Further, the 2016 Capital Improvement Program for the City of Hugo identifies
      reconstruction of 130th Street between TH 61 and Goodview to Collector Standards as being
      a Priority 2 project.5

Pedestrian Access & Crossing Considerations

      The area surrounding the proposed Adelaide Landing has been identified in the City of Hugo
      Comprehensive Plan as having existing or proposed sidewalks and trails.
           There exist sidewalks along 140th Street east of TH 61 and along Fray Avenue south
              to the Adelaide Landing development.
           There is a planned City Trail along 130th Street from TH 61 westward to Goodview.
              This trail will connect with a proposed trail northward and southward along
              Goodview.
           There is a planned Regional Trail along the west side of TH 61 between 130 th Street
              and 140th Street. This regional trail will provide regional pedestrian and bicycle
              access to areas north and south of the development.
           A snowmobile trail also existing on the west side of TH 61 through Hugo and
              beyond.

      A trail system is proposed in the Adelaide Landing development connecting lots on the
      north end of the development to those on the south end and connecting to the proposed
      park in the middle of the development. The trail system will meander between ponds and
      behind residential lots to provide pedestrian access and connectivity throughout the
      neighborhood.

4
 20-Year State Highway Investment Plan: 2014-2033, Minnesota Department of Transportation, December 2013.
5
 2016 Capital Improvement Program Proposed Street Improvement Locations Map, City of Hugo, MN, June 22,
2016.

                                                   26
Adelaide Landing Residential Development                                              1/31/2017
Traffic Impact Analysis

  Due to the heavy vehicular traffic volumes along TH 61, it is recommended that pedestrian
  crossings remain only at signalized intersections. Of the study area intersections, both TH
  61 at 130th and 140th Streets are signalized. Both intersections have marked crosswalks and
  pedestrian indications that serve people walking or biking across TH 61.

  Without signalization at TH 61 and 134th Street or at 137th Street, pedestrians and bicyclists
  would have difficulty finding adequate gaps to cross TH 61 during a.m. or p.m. peak hours.
  Therefore, pedestrians and bicyclists from these streets would likely choose to cross TH 61
  at 130th Street or 140th Street.

                                              27
Adelaide Landing Residential Development                                                               1/31/2017
    Traffic Impact Analysis

DEVELOPMENT IMPACTS

Trip Generation

       The Adelaide Landing development is proposed to include 324 lots of residential
       development, to be constructed in phases over five years. Table 7 lists the proposed
       breakout of the development during these phases.

       Table 7: Adelaide Landing Development Proposed Phasing
                                           50’ Lot        65’ Lot        70’ Lot         85’ Lot
           Phase            Villas                                                                         TOTAL
                                           Width          Width          Width           Width
               I           20                               16                             19                 55
               II          17              16               17                             25                 75
              III          22              21                                              25                 68
              IV           17              14                              30              20                 81
              V            15                                              30                                 45
            Total          91              51               33             60              89                324
       (Source: Westwood Professional Services)

       Westwood divided the subdivision into travelsheds based on proximity to access points.
       Westwood then utilized the equations from the Institute of Transportation Engineers’ Trip
       Generation Manual, Ninth Edition, as opposed to rates to estimate the potential trips to and
       from the development travelsheds.6 (In the case of this residential development, ITE best
       practices recommends the use of equations over rates.) Table 8 shows the overall trip
       generation potential.

       Table 8: Adelaide Landing Trip Generation Potential
                                                 ITE                     Weekday        AM peak           PM Peak
       Type        Land Use                     Code         Size      Enter Exit    Enter     Exit      Enter   Exit
       Residential Single Family Housing         210     324 units     1,549 1,549      59       177      191     112
                                                                       1,549 1,549      59       177      191     112
                                                                          3,098            236               303
       (Source: ITE Trip Generation Manual, Ninth Edition 2012)

       No trip reductions were taken for internal or pass-by trips.

       Rates and equations under ITE Code 230 for “Residential Condominium/Townhouse” were
       not used in to calculate trip generation for the villas because the ITE Trip Generation
       Manual stipulates that the units “have at least one other owned unit within the same
       building structure.” The villas identified here are detached units. Therefore, to be
       conservative, all units were included in ITE Code 201 for “Single Family Residential”.

6
    Trip Generation Manual, Ninth Edition, Institute of Transportation Engineers, Washington, DC, 2012

                                                         28
Adelaide Landing Residential Development                                              1/31/2017
 Traffic Impact Analysis

Trip Distribution and Assignment

   Westwood determined the trip distribution based on the existing peak hour volumes
   gathered in August 2016 and presented in Figure 2. Percentages were calculated of trips
   entering and exiting the study area based. Figure 5 illustrates the trip distributions by peak
   period. Figure 6 illustrates the assignment of peak hour trips generated by this
   development onto the study area.

2022 Build Scenario

   To model the effect of the Adelaide Landing development on study area traffic, the trip
   assignment traffic was added to the no-build traffic – both for the 2022 and 2040 scenarios.
   In each scenario, existing MnDOT signal timing were utilized.

   Figure 7 shows the resulting traffic forecast for the 2022 Build condition. There are six main
   access locations into and out of the development:
         130th Street North & Flay Road (west site access street)
         130th Street North & 129th Drive North (mid site access street)
         130th Street North & the east site access street (yet unnamed)
         134th Street North & TH 61 (via adjacent subdivision)
         137th Street North & TH 61 (via adjacent subdivision)
         140th Street North & Flay Avenue

   There are also two main intersections providing indirect access to the development
   included in the analysis:
        TH 61 & 130th Street North
        TH 61 & 140th Street North

   Table 9 lists the traffic operation and queuing that will result from the 2022 Build scenario.
   In the 2022 Build condition, all intersections performed at LOS-C or better in the a.m. peak
   hour. The intersection of TH 61 & 130th Street, however, did not operate acceptably during
   the p.m. peak hour due to heavy north/south demand and very limited east/west green
   time.

   On a movement-by-movement scale, several lane groups recorded LOS-E or -F, suggesting
   they were at or exceeding capacity:

   TH 61 & 140th Street North -- levels of service at this intersection may be improved with
   signal timing changes.
        The shared eastbound left/through lane group.
        The southbound left turn movement.

                                               29
5)
                                                                                                                    XX%

                                                                           41%
                                                                         46 (3
                                                                                                                   AM (PM)

                                                                  5%
                                                                 5 (6)
                                                                                                    13
                                                                                                  17 %
                                                                                                     (8)

                                                                                      Assume 10-15
                                                                                     peak hour "cut-
                                                                                      through" trips
                                                                                    between TH 61 &
                                                                                         existing
                                                                                    subdivision to the
                                                                                     east of Adelaide
                                                                                    Landing via 130th
                                                                                          Street

                                                                                                            2%
                                                                                                           2 (2)
                                                   6%
                                                  6 (6)
                                                                1)

                                                                           2 (2)
                                                            31%

                                                                            2%
                                                          22 (4

Phone   (952) 937-5150   7699 Anagram Drive
Fax     (952) 937-5822   Eden Prairie, MN 55344
        (888) 937-5150
Phone   (952) 937-5150   7699 Anagram Drive
Fax     (952) 937-5822   Eden Prairie, MN 55344
        (888) 937-5150
Phone   (952) 937-5150   7699 Anagram Drive
Fax     (952) 937-5822   Eden Prairie, MN 55344
        (888) 937-5150
Adelaide Landing Residential Development                                                                                                                           1/31/2017
Traffic Impact Analysis

       Table 9: 2022 Build Level of Service & Critical Queue Lengths
                                                                                                                                       Available
                                                Intersection     Overall Intersection              Lane Group Delay                               95th Percetile
                   Intersection                                                                                       Lane Group LOS   Stacking
                                             Control Delay (sec)          LOS           Approach         (sec)                                   Queue Length (ft)
                                                                                                                                       Distance
                                              A.M.       P.M.      A.M.      P.M.                   A.M.     P.M.     A.M.     P.M.      (ft.)    A.M.      P.M.
       TH 61 & 140th Street N                 19.9       47.8       B          D         EB Left    61.9     96.7       E        F        455     126       362
                                                                                        EB Thru     63.7     118.8      E        F        455     126       362
                                                                                        EB Right    15.5     18.9       B        B        175      56       184
                                                                                        WB Left     77.6     45.9       E        D        315     176       119
                                                                                        WB Thru     94.1     20.4       F        C        315     176       119
                                                                                        WB Right     9.4     33.5      A         C        225     140       180
                                                                                        NB Left     29.0     23.3       C        C        180      30       137
                                                                                        NB Thru     10.0     24.2      A         C       1000     183       610
                                                                                        NB Right     1.5     10.7      A         B        260      12       187
                                                                                        SB Left     17.6     131.8      B        F        250      68       429
                                                                                        SB Thru     20.0     45.3       B        D        675     416       1137
                                                                                        SB Right     5.0     29.1      A         C        240     131       262

       140th Street N & Flay Ave               0.9        1.1        A         A        EB Thru      0.5      1.0      A        A        313       n.a      n.a.
                                                                                        EB Right     0.4      1.0      A        A        160       n.a      n.a.
                                                                                        WB Left      2.0      2.4      A        A        220       n.a       15
                                                                                        WB Thru      0.3      0.3      A        A        220       n.a       15
                                                                                        NB Left      6.3      7.3      A        A        100       40        38
                                                                                        NB Right     3.1      4.7      A        A        100        9        16

       TH 61 & 137th Street N                  5.7        5.3        A         A        WB Left     17.8     51.0      C        F        240        72       60
                                                                                        WB Right     8.5     16.9      A        C        240        72       60
                                                                                        NB Thru      1.4      3.7      A        A        1645      n.a.     n.a.
                                                                                        NB Right     0.9      1.3      A        A        210       n.a.     n.a.
                                                                                         SB Left     7.8     12.3      A        B        165        9        28
                                                                                        SB Thru      7.0      5.7      A        A        1475      n.a.     n.a.

       TH 61 & 134th Street N                  2.8        6.6        A         A        WB Left     26.5     80.0      D        F        150        33       11
                                                                                        WB Right     3.9      4.9      A        A        150        33       11
                                                                                        NB Thru      2.2      9.7      A        A        2000      n.a.     n.a.
                                                                                        NB Right     3.6      9.3      A        A        250       n.a.     n.a.
                                                                                         SB Left     2.5      2.7      A        A        250       n.a.     n.a.
                                                                                        SB Thru     n.a.      1.7     n.a.      A        1645      n.a.     n.a.

       TH 61 & 130th Street N                  30.2      108.5       C         F         EB Left    60.0     707.4     E        F        260        55      250
                                                                                        EB Thru     261.4   1053.9     F        F        500        67      1753
                                                                                        EB Right    35.3     793.2     C        F        130       121      141
                                                                                        WB Left     116.4    68.5      F        E        250       307      154
                                                                                        WB Thru     160.8    58.2      F        E        1215      340       36
                                                                                        WB Right     8.6     35.4      A        D        145        54       76
                                                                                        NB Left     29.4     31.1      C        C        235        53      285
                                                                                        NB Thru      7.0     41.8      A        D        2600      127      750
                                                                                        NB Right     1.1     19.8      A        B        250        13      380
                                                                                        SB Left     11.2     58.0      B        E        260       123      284
                                                                                        SB Thru     15.3     27.3      B        C        2000      329      429
                                                                                        SB Right     5.6      7.6      A        A        300        19      117

       130th Street N & Flay Rd.               2.4        2.8        A         A         EB Left    1.7       3.0      A        A        260        15       18
                                                                                        EB Thru     0.4       2.9      A        A        400       n.a      n.a.
                                                                                        EB Right    0.2       1.5      A        A        100       n.a      n.a
                                                                                        WB Left     0.5       1.3      A        A        760       n.a.      8
                                                                                        WB Thru     0.7       0.6      A        A        760       n.a      n.a.
                                                                                        WB Right    n.a.      0.1     n.a.      A        250                n.a,
                                                                                        NB Left     6.0       7.5      A        A        170        50       55
                                                                                        NB Thru     n.a.     14.1      A        B        170        50       55
                                                                                        NB Right    4.1       4.1      A        A        270        50       55
                                                                                         SB Left    n.a.      5.5     n.a.      A        320                 52
                                                                                        SB Thru     5.0       7.6      A        A        500        44       52
                                                                                        SB Right    3.5       3.1      A        A        100        44       52

       130th Street N & 129TH Drive N          0.8        1.3        A         A         EB Left    0.5       1.6      A        A        760        9        9
                                                                                        EB Thru     0.2        1       A        A        760       n.a.     n.a.
                                                                                        EB Right    0.0       n.a.     A       n.a.       70       n.a.     n.a.
                                                                                        WB Thru     0.3       0.3      A        A        1430      n.a.     n.a.
                                                                                        WB Right    0.5       0.0      A        A        250                n.a.
                                                                                        NB Left     3.7       3.4      A        A        150        10       14
                                                                                        NB Right    n.a.      2.3     n.a.      A        270       n.a.      14
                                                                                        SB Right    2.8       2.4      A        A        150        47       53

       130th Street N & Future East Access     0.6        0.6        A         A         EB Left     1.8      1.1      A        A        1430      n.a.     n.a.
                                                                                        EB Thru      0.1      0.8      A        A        1430      n.a.     n.a.
                                                                                        WB Thru      0.2      0.3      A        A        800       n.a.     n.a.
                                                                                        WB Right     0.1      0.0      A        A        800       n.a.     n.a.
                                                                                         SB Left     4.8      n.a.     A       n.a.      826        39      n.a.
                                                                                        SB Right     2.5      3.2      A        A        100        39       31

       (Source: Westwood Professional Services)

                                                                                        33
Adelaide Landing Residential Development                                               1/31/2017
 Traffic Impact Analysis

   TH 61 & 137th Street North
       The low volume westbound left turn movement recorded LOS-E most likely due to
          minimal adequate gaps in TH 61 traffic to complete the turn, resulting in longer
          vehicular delay.

   TH 61 & 134th Street North
       Likewise, the westbound low volume left turn movement recorded LOS-E most likely
          due to minimal adequate gaps in TH 61 traffic to complete the turn.

   TH 61 & 130th Street North-- levels of service at this intersection may be improved with
   signal timing changes.

2040 Build Scenario

   Figure 8 shows the resulting traffic forecast for the 2040 Build condition. No other access
   points were presumed to be added between 2022 and 2040.

   Table 10 lists the traffic operation and queuing that will result from the 2040 Build scenario.
   In the 2040 Build condition, two intersections performed below LOS-D.

   TH 61 & 130th Street North
       Recorded LOS-E during both a.m. and p.m. peak hours. On a movement-by-
          movement basis, the westbound approach performed at LOS-F in the a.m. peak
          hour, while eastbound, westbound and northbound movements recorded LOS-E or
          lower during the p.m. peak hour.

   TH 61 & 140th Street North
       Recorded LOS-F for overall intersection performance in the p.m. peak hour.
       Recorded LOS-F in the eastbound and northbound approached during the p.m. peak
          hour.
       Recorded LOS-F in the southbound left turn approach.
       Recorded excessive queuing in the eastbound approach during the p.m. peak hour.

   TH 61 & 137th Street North
       The westbound approach recorded LOS-F in the p.m. peak hour, most likely due to
          minimal adequate gaps in TH 61 traffic to complete the turn.
       Queuing along northbound TH 61 extends through several intersections in the p.m.
          peak hour

                                               34
Phone   (952) 937-5150   7699 Anagram Drive
Fax     (952) 937-5822   Eden Prairie, MN 55344
        (888) 937-5150
Adelaide Landing Residential Development                                                                                                                      1/31/2017
Traffic Impact Analysis

           Table 10: 2040 Build Level of Service & Critical Queue Lengths
                                                                                                                                           Available
                                                    Intersection     Overall Intersection              Lane Group Delay                               95th Percetile
                       Intersection                                                                                       Lane Group LOS   Stacking
                                                 Control Delay (sec)          LOS           Approach         (sec)                                   Queue Length (ft)
                                                                                                                                           Distance
                                                  A.M.       P.M.      A.M.      P.M.                   A.M.     P.M.     A.M.     P.M.      (ft.)    A.M.      P.M.
           TH 61 & 140th Street N                 23.4       100.7      C          F         EB Left    66.2     481.1      E        F        455     142       1321
                                                                                            EB Thru     142.3    490.5      F        F        455     142       1321
                                                                                            EB Right    47.8     323.0     D         F        175      97       358
                                                                                            WB Left     62.9     52.3       E        D        315     178       150
                                                                                            WB Thru     28.0     36.5       C        D        315     178       150
                                                                                            WB Right     9.9     44.6      A         D        225     105       271
                                                                                            NB Left     36.9     31.2      D         C        180      38       144
                                                                                            NB Thru      5.8     21.2      A         C       1000     112       497
                                                                                            NB Right     1.4      8.2      A         A        260      11       269
                                                                                            SB Left     24.7     228.5      C        F        250     300       455
                                                                                            SB Thru     27.0     83.3       C        F        675     589       1445
                                                                                            SB Right    10.7     66.9       B        E        240     260       260

           140th Street N & Flay Ave               1.1        1.4        A         A        EB Thru      0.6      1.0      A        A        313       n.a      n.a.
                                                                                            EB Right     0.7      1.0      A        A        160       n.a      n.a.
                                                                                            WB Left      2.3      2.6      A        A        220       11       n.a.
                                                                                            WB Thru      0.3      0.3      A        A        220       11       n.a.
                                                                                            NB Left      7.2     10.6      A        B        100       33        50
                                                                                            NB Right     2.1      4.3      A        A        100       15        25

           TH 61 & 137th Street N                  8.0        6.4        A         A        WB Left     40.1     75.0      E        F        240        79       88
                                                                                            WB Right    10.7     37.3      B        E        240        79       88
                                                                                            NB Thru      1.8      4.1      A        A        1645      n.a.     n.a.
                                                                                            NB Right     1.0      1.5      A        A        210       n.a.     n.a.
                                                                                             SB Left    10.7     24.8      B        C        165        24       41
                                                                                            SB Thru      9.5      6.2      A        A        1475      n.a.     n.a.

           TH 61 & 134th Street N                  3.4        6.9        A         A        WB Left     40.1     42.1      E        E        150        21       31
                                                                                            WB Right     1.9      3.0      A        A        150        21       31
                                                                                            NB Thru      2.8      9.8      A        A        2000      n.a.     n.a.
                                                                                            NB Right     4.6      7.7      A        A        250       n.a.     n.a.
                                                                                             SB Left     0.1     22.7      A        C        250       n.a.      15
                                                                                            SB Thru      3.2      2.1      A        A        1645      n.a.     n.a.

           TH 61 & 130th Street N                  59.3      77.1        E         E         EB Left    50.4     109.2     D        F        260        67       80
                                                                                            EB Thru     63.5     263.3     E        F        500       166      602
                                                                                            EB Right    65.1     92.1      E        F        130       169      106
                                                                                            WB Left     486.7    70.3      F        E        250       280      154
                                                                                            WB Thru     579.6    84.9      F        F        1215      1625      76
                                                                                            WB Right    339.1    32.5      F        D        145       104       97
                                                                                            NB Left     52.8     101.1     D        F        235        95      300
                                                                                            NB Thru     10.0     100.3     A        F        2600      161      1291
                                                                                            NB Right     1.8     80.1      A        F        250        21      346
                                                                                            SB Left     31.3     49.4      C        D        260        54      338
                                                                                            SB Thru     37.6     30.9      D        C        2000      783      491
                                                                                            SB Right    21.1     13.1      C        B        300       246       11

           130th Street N & Flay Rd                51.7       2.6        F         A         EB Left     1.6      2.5      A        A        n.a.       13       29
                                                                                            EB Thru      1.1      2.5      A        A        1215      n.a.     n.a.
                                                                                            EB Right     0.6      1.6      A        A        100       n.a.     n.a.
                                                                                            WB Left      3.7      2.5      A        A        n.a.      n.a.      12
                                                                                            WB Thru     23.8      0.6      C        A        760       179      n.a.
                                                                                            WB Right     n.a.     0.0     n.a.      A        n.a.      179      n.a.
                                                                                            NB Left     132.8     6.4      F        A        100       286       47
                                                                                            NB Thru     131.8     6.4      F        A        100       286       47
                                                                                            NB Right    85.6      3.6      F        A        100       286       47
                                                                                            SB Thru      9.8      6.3     n.a.      A        250       138       46
                                                                                            SB Right    99.4      3.0      F        A         70       138       46

           130th Street N & 129TH Drive N          1.0        1.1        A         A         EB Left    0.7       1.3      A        A        n.a.      n.a.      17
                                                                                            EB Thru     0.2       0.8      A        A        1430      n.a.     n.a.
                                                                                            EB Right    n.a.      0.0     n.a.      A        n.a.      n.a.     n.a.
                                                                                            WB Thru     0.3       0.4      A        A        1430      n.a.     n.a.
                                                                                            NB Left     5.7       3.6      A        A        150        10       18
                                                                                            NB Right    n.a.      5.2     n.a.      A        150        10       18
                                                                                             SB Left    6.5       3.9      A        A        904        53       10
                                                                                            SB Right    2.8       2.7      A        A        150        53       47

           130th Street N & Future East Access     0.6        0.7        A         A         EB Left    1.0       1.4      A        A        1430       8       n.a.
                                                                                            EB Thru     0.1       0.5      A        A        1430       8       n.a.
                                                                                            WB Thru     0.1       0.0      A        A        800       n.a.     n.a.
                                                                                            WB Right    n.a.      0.0     n.a.      A        800       n.a.     n.a.
                                                                                             SB Left    6.5       n.a.     A       n.a.      488        43      n.a.
                                                                                            SB Right    2.8       2.2      A        A        100        43       32

           (Source: Westwood Professional Services)

                                                                                       36
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