Addressing Coordination Issues in the COVID-19 Crisis to strengthen long-term Solidarity in the European Union - TEPSA

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Addressing Coordination Issues in the COVID-19 Crisis to strengthen long-term Solidarity in the European Union - TEPSA
Addressing Coordination Issues in the
        COVID-19 Crisis to strengthen long-term
          Solidarity in the European Union
                                                       Joël Christoph*1
                                                                          ‘Europe will not be made all at once, or
                                                                          according to a single plan. It will be built
                                                                          through concrete achievements which first
                                                                          create a de facto solidarity.’
 Abstract
                                                                          – Robert Schuman, 9 May 1950
 This paper examines coordination issues
 in the European Union during the                                         Introduction
 COVID-19 crisis and makes seven
 recommendations for policymakers to                                      Instead of 'contributions' representing offers
 strengthen long-term European solidarity.                                of returned assistance in comparable
 First, to increase immediate fiscal space.                               situations, one could define solidarity as a
 Second, to strengthen joint fiscal                                       “counterfactual reciprocity”, where mutual
 capabilities. Third, to coordinate                                       aid is grounded in the conviction that if the
 immediate crisis messaging. Fourth, to                                   giver were in the same circumstances as the
 establish     a     common       European                                receiver, in for instance a period of
 information platform. Fifth, to secure                                   economic insecurity or humanitarian crisis,
 indigenous        long-term     healthcare                               then the receiver would, if able, provide the
 capabilities. Sixth, to reaffirm internal                                same aid. In the European Union, solidarity
 European solidarity in foreign relations.                                may be distinguished in two forms, that of de
 Finally, to build consensus in advance for
                                                                          facto solidarity, a consequence of the
 strategic emergency plans.
                                                                          objective interdependence of Member
                                                                          States resulting from increasing economic
                                                                          integration, and affective solidarity, one of

* Joël Christoph is a French MA-ML Student at Johns Hopkins University SAIS and Tsinghua University. All the opinions expressed in this
briefing are the sole view of the author, and do not represent the position of the Trans European Policy Studies Association (TEPSA).
Addressing Coordination Issues in the COVID-19 Crisis to strengthen long-term Solidarity in the European Union - TEPSA
Addressing coordination issues in the
   COVID-19 crisis to strengthen long-term                         Joël Christoph
     Solidarity in the European Union

the EU’s main raisons d’être (Fabry, 2010).        the export of protective equipment from the
Questioning this fundamental characteristic        bloc has been banned. Moreover, the EU is
of the EU necessarily calls into question the      prepared to spend over EUR 140 million on
future of European integration. The ongoing        the global search for a vaccine as well as
COVID-19 crisis has brought the limits of          treatment and diagnostics (European
European solidarity into careful scrutiny.         Commission, 2020), the European Central
The ongoing pandemic has shut borders              Bank is purchasing EUR 750 billion of
across Europe and challenged the free              government debt to stimulate the economy
movement of people and of goods, two of            (European Central Bank, 2020), and
the very foundations of the European               eurozone budgetary rules on government
Union. Some argue that the bloc is facing an       debt have been suspended to allow member
existential crisis. For instance, Jacques          states to spend what is needed to survive the
Delors, the former European Commission             crisis. Nevertheless, European leaders
president, warned that the lack of solidarity      remain divided over how to tackle the
posed a “mortal danger to the European             economic costs, and burden sharing remains
Union” (Delors, 2020).                             the central issue as Europe begins to recover
                                                   from the worst phase of the outbreak.
                                                   Southern states such as Italy and Spain that
                                                   are among the hardest hit by the outbreak
 At no point in the past, peace or                 entered the crisis with higher borrowing
 war, have governments put the                     costs and less fiscal space, a problem that will
 economy in the debt-fuelled                       be further exacerbated by the economic
 equivalent of an Intensive Care Unit              fallout as longer social distancing measures
 during a deliberate shutdown to                   reduce aggregate spending and tax revenue.
 tackle a public health crisis.                    In contrast, domestically, states such as
                                                   Germany have suspended balanced budgets
                                                   to unveil a ‘bazooka’ of billions of euros to
                                                   stabilize the German economy. However,
European governments have been criticized          Germany and other northern states have so
for initially taking uncoordinated action at       far maintained traditional ‘red lines’ and it is
the national level. In the beginning, solidarity   unclear how the question of joint fiscal relief
failed because states unilaterally imposed         in Europe will be resolved. This is the most
border closures and export restrictions on         important question facing the European
medical goods. Since then, the cross-border        Union. While the coronavirus is already
delivery of assistance has increased, and EU       difficult to deal with as a public health crisis,
institutions and members states have taken         it is likely to be even more costly to handle
unprecedented measures to tackle the               once the economics are considered. At no
public health crisis. For instance, France and     point in the past, peace or war, have
Germany have sent more protective masks            governments put the economy in the debt-
to Italy than China, Germany has accepted          fuelled equivalent of an Intensive Care Unit
COVID-19 patients from Italy and France,           during a deliberate shutdown to tackle a
medical supplies have been stockpiled and          public health crisis. Many EU member states
Addressing Coordination Issues in the COVID-19 Crisis to strengthen long-term Solidarity in the European Union - TEPSA
Addressing coordination issues in the
   COVID-19 crisis to strengthen long-term                         Joël Christoph
     Solidarity in the European Union

have among the best public health                   necessary in future ones. Relying on the
infrastructure worldwide. However, these            European Stability Mechanism, issuing joint
are becoming increasingly overwhelmed and           bonds, using the EU budget or the multi-
under-resourced due to unprecedented                annual financial framework, strengthening
pressure. In the face of what is likely to be       the European Investment Bank, are all
the worst health and economic crisis in the         elements of a temporary recovery plan. All
EU’s history, avoiding the mistakes of past         options must remain on the table to ensure
Eurozone crises is not enough, and acting in        a restart of Europe’s economic engine and
solidarity has never been more important.           the rebound of growth and employment
Here are seven measures to overcome                 after this crisis, as well as in anticipation of
coordination issues arising in the COVID-19         the next. The European Commission’s state
crisis and take steps towards a common              supported short-time work scheme, SURE,
European future.                                    guaranteed by all member states, is a crucial
                                                    step in the right direction.
1. Increase immediate fiscal space
                                                    3. Coordinate           immediate        crisis
Governments should be allowed to borrow
substantially in excess of their current fiscal
                                                    messaging
receipts, increasing deficits as much as            To prevent future outbreaks and
necessary to keep the economy afloat and            humanitarian crises, European leaders must
preserve productive capacity for the post-          use clear and coordinated messaging, both
pandemic period. Increasing public debt on          domestically and internationally, to publicly
government balance sheets will absorb               acknowledge the magnitude of the threat
widespread private sector income losses to          and to implement immediate measures
protect citizens and the economy against            despite the costs on individuals and the
shocks that the private sector is neither           economy. Governments must avoid mixed,
responsible for nor able to absorb (Draghi,         contradictory signals or uncoordinated
2020). Protecting people from the                   messaging that reduces the effectiveness of
permanent damage done to employment                 responses to the crisis.
and capacity if families and firms fail to
repair their balance sheets will build              4. Establish a common European
solidarity and trust in the ability of              information platform
governments and the EU to maintain
                                                    A common European source on data and
flexibility in response to future crises.
                                                    information during this and future crises will
2. Strengthen joint fiscal capabilities             prevent the fragmentation of narratives
                                                    about the situation in different member
Minimizing damage to the economy and                states, which is detrimental to solidarity. This
health requires shared commitments and              avoids a single government imposing a single
engaging in the most effective European             interpretation of the situation and reduces
response available. Single states, whether          the stigmatization or stereotyping of others
stronger or weaker, will not be able to afford      through the instrumentalization of political
this project alone. A lack of solidarity amid       discourse and media coverage, for instance
this crisis threatens the solidarity that will be
Addressing Coordination Issues in the COVID-19 Crisis to strengthen long-term Solidarity in the European Union - TEPSA
Addressing coordination issues in the
   COVID-19 crisis to strengthen long-term                     Joël Christoph
     Solidarity in the European Union

in terms such as ‘benefits tourism’ or          deterioration of current health and
‘welfare tourism’.                              economic conditions. Governments must
                                                also have a coordinated strategic plan in
5. Secure indigenous             long-term      place for future pandemics and other
healthcare capabilities                         highrisk, low probability scenarios, from
                                                cyber, nuclear, biological and chemical error
Governments will have to alter incentives
                                                or terror, to climate change and seismic
and mobilize fiscal resources for the medical
                                                political shifts. This includes building
and pharmaceutical sector to take sufficient
                                                international communication channels and
investment in diagnostics, prevention and
                                                organizational structures to accelerate
infectious diseases in the future, instead of
                                                responses to future crises. Governments
concentrating research into the most
                                                must avoid waiting until the crisis occurs to
profitable and immediately lucrative
                                                build a national and European strategy.
treatments and cures. Furthermore,
European coordination in building               The Way Ahead
indigenous medical production capabilities
will reduce the cost of addressing potential    The Covid-19 pandemic is the worst health
shortages of medicine and protective gear       crisis in a century and has claimed over
while avoiding overreliance on imports from     545,000 deaths worldwide (Worldometer,
non-EU countries.                               2020), while putting governments under
                                                extraordinary pressure. These challenges
6. Reaffirm internal European                   notwithstanding, sustained, unprecedented
solidarity in foreign relations                 and drastic action can reduce damage to
                                                public health and the economy before things
The EU must reaffirm its internal solidarity
                                                return to business as usual. In the worst
when dealing with foreign partners and
                                                cases, everything will have to change so that
suppliers, for instance by upholding its
                                                everything can stay the same. The European
common standards, criteria, and values in       Union has been through many crises in its
the negotiation of bilateral trade and
                                                history and the present is a historic
investment agreements. This enables the EU      opportunity not only to recover but, in a
to defend and export its common values in
                                                world of continuing uncertainty, to come out
international contexts in pursuit of a better   stronger and more united than before. The
regulated and fairer globalisation and
                                                questions differ in each crisis, but the answer
international order, which is in turn           remains the same. Europe, united with one
fundamental to securing internal European
                                                voice can be heard, and its message can be
solidarity    without      sacrificing   the
                                                felt. This is more important today than ever
competitiveness of member states.
                                                before.
7. Build consensus in advance for
strategic emergency plans
While preventing a worsening recession,
European leaders should build consensus in
advance for the scenarios of prolongation or
Addressing coordination issues in the
  COVID-19 crisis to strengthen long-term                         Joël Christoph
    Solidarity in the European Union

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Addressing coordination issues in the
COVID-19 crisis to strengthen long-term                          Joël Christoph
  Solidarity in the European Union

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