Adapting to the China Challenge
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executive briefing Adapting to the China Challenge Lessons from experienced multinationals Written by: Professor Simon Collinson, Lead Ghoshal Fellow, AIM, Warwick Business School Dr Bridgette Sullivan-Taylor, AIM Associate, Warwick Business School Dr Jung-Li (Rowena) Wang, AIM Associate, Warwick Business School
AIM – the UK’s research initiative on management The Advanced Institute of Management Research (AIM) develops UK-based world-class management research. AIM seeks to identify ways to enhance the competitiveness of the UK economy and its infrastructure through research into management and organisational performance in both the private and public sectors. Written by: Professor Simon Collinson, Lead Ghoshal Fellow, AIM, Warwick Business School Dr Bridgette Sullivan-Taylor, AIM Associate, Warwick Business School Dr Jung-Li (Rowena) Wang, AIM Associate, Warwick Business School 2
about AIM AIM consists of: ■ Over 250 AIM Fellows and Scholars – all leading academics in their fields… ■ Working in cooperation with leading international academics and specialists as well as UK policymakers and business leaders… ■ Undertaking a wide range of collaborative research projects on management… ■ Disseminating ideas and shared learning through publications, reports, workshops and events… ■ Fostering new ways of working more effectively with managers and policymakers… ■ To enhance UK competitiveness and productivity. AIM’s Objectives Our mission is to significantly increase the contribution of and future capacity for world class UK management research. Our more specific objectives are to: ■ Conduct research that will identify actions to enhance the UK’s international competitiveness ■ Raise the quality and international standing of UK research on management ■ Expand the size and capacity of the active UK research base on management ■ Engage with practitioners and other users of research within and beyond the UK as co-producers of knowledge about management contents AIM – the UK’s research initiative on management 2 About AIM 3 AIM research themes 4 Executive review 5 Introduction: China – the next economic superpower 6 The big picture 8 Western multinational investment in China 15 Getting into China 20 The benefits of collaboration 30 Management and policy implications – the long view 39 Conclusions 42 3
AIM research themes Current AIM research projects focus on: UK productivity and performance for the 21st century. How can UK policymakers evaluate and address concerns surrounding the UK’s performance in relation to other countries? National productivity has been the concern of economists, government policymakers, and corporate decision-makers for some time. Further research by scholars from a range of disciplines is bringing new voices to the debates about how the productivity gap can be measured, and what the UK can do to improve the effectiveness of UK industry and its supporting public services. Sustaining innovation to achieve competitive advantage and high quality public services. How can UK managers capture the benefits of innovation while meeting other demands of a competitive and social environment? Innovation is a key source of competitive advantage and public value through new strategies, products, services and organisational processes. The UK has outstanding exemplars of innovative private and public sector organisations and is investing significantly in its science and skills base to underpin future innovative capacity. Adapting promising practices to enhance performance across varied organisational contexts. How can UK managers disseminate their experience whilst learning from others? Improved management practices are identified as important for enhancing productivity and performance. The main focus is on how evidence behind good or promising practices can be systematically assessed, creatively adapted, successfully implemented and knowledge diffused to other organisations that will benefit. 4
executive review ■ Inflows of foreign direct investment (FDI) into China represent the most significant flows, not only of capital but also of technology and managerial capabilities, into an emerging economy, ever witnessed. ■ The scale, scope and speed of economic growth in China overall, and specific improvements in the innovative capabilities and competitive advantages of particular Chinese firms, are connected to these FDI inflows. ■ Both Western multinational firms and local Chinese firms are benefiting from Both Western joint-ventures, alliances and partnerships that arise from FDI. Each side is multinational learning, accessing complementary assets, capabilities and knowledge. firms and local ■ Different forms of partnership, complementarities and learning exist depending Chinese firms on the firm, industry and operational context. Coping strategies and successful are benefiting management practices also differ according to these specifics. from joint- ventures ■ These opportunities, and related threats, are evolving for Western firms currently alliances and invested in China or looking to invest (as well as firms elsewhere, as Chinese partnerships… firms increase exports and expand outward FDI). ■ The most successful firms are the most dynamic. They are clear about how current collaborators are learning and changing, and are adapting. They are proactively identifying future niche businesses and repositioning themselves within global value chains in response to the future competitive advantages of Chinese firms. ■ A central principle of the Chinese Government’s National Development Plan is to improve domestic scientific and technological capabilities and boost China’s competitiveness in high-technology based industries. ■ More research is required to map the rate of change more comprehensively across a range of industry sectors, so as to better-inform UK policymakers about the opportunities and threats for British businesses. 5
introduction: China – the next economic superpower The fact that China is an increasingly attractive market and a magnet for foreign direct investment is not news. The unprecedented rise of foreign direct investment into China – now running at over $60 billion a year – has created the largest array of international mergers and acquisitions, alliances, joint ventures and partnerships ever witnessed. These are clearly a major source of complementary assets, resources and capabilities for the Western multinationals and the local companies involved, who engage in a reciprocal give-and-take as part of the process of market entry. The research reported here examined British, European and US firms operating in China. There are numerous success stories and examples of how these multinational firms have overcome the challenges to establish profitable businesses producing and selling in the world’s fastest-growing market. Many of these firms are also learning from this experience in ways that benefit their business operations elsewhere. However, against the current opportunities presented by Chinese firms Western managers must also balance longer-term competitive threats. Chinese firms are not just managing to imitate Western brands and transfer technology (either legally or illegally) but are developing the kinds of innovative capabilities needed to continually produce new and better products and services. So while Western firms are learning about China, Chinese firms are learning how to innovate. This raises two crucial questions: which industries will Chinese firms eventually come to dominate; and how long will it take? 6
Most managers we interviewed see the rise of China in particular industries and industry niches as inevitable. Early signs suggest that consumer electronics, computer hardware, mobile telecoms, autos and certain kinds of IT services and software may be destined for Chinese domination. Certain capabilities, like high- quality manufacturing, design and incremental product development are beginning to appear. But more complex, customer-led service capabilities and radical product innovation, and truly high-tech entrepreneurship will take much longer, regardless of the ambitions of the Chinese Government. The most dynamic Western firms are responding by adapting. Whilst reaping the advantages of cheap labour and growing disposable incomes, they are learning, by being on the ground in China, about future threats and opportunities that will come from Chinese firms. This means operational changes to safeguard certain core assets and competences, and strategic changes, including re-positioning across global value chains to complement, rather than compete head-on with China’s future strengths. Certain capabilities, like high-quality manufacturing, design and incremental product development are beginning to appear. 7
the big picture 1 Scale, scope and speed of growth In the 1950s China’s economy was the size of Sudan’s. It is now the fourth biggest economy in the world. By 2015 it is predicted to be the second largest economy, and some see it overtaking the USA by 2040-50 to become the world’s largest. In the past 25 years, with GDP growth averaging 9 percent per year, it has evolved from a closed, centrally planned system towards an open, market-oriented economy. Reforms started in the late 1970s with the phasing out of collectivised agriculture, and expanded to include the gradual liberalisation of prices, fiscal decentralisation, increased autonomy for state enterprises, the foundation of a diversified banking system, the development of stock markets, the rapid growth of the non-state sector, and the opening to foreign trade and investment. Table 1: Economic growth in China; past and future 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Nominal GDP USD bn 1,641 1,932 2,247 2,632 3,131 3,673 GDP per capita USD 1,270 1,486 1,719 2,001 2,366 2,759 GDP growth (real) percent 10 10.1 10.2 10.7 10.7 10.0 Source: Deutsche Bank Research (www.dbresearch.com/servlet/reweb2.ReWEB?rwkey=u6025395) The restructuring of the economy and resulting efficiency gains have contributed to a more than tenfold increase in GDP since 1978. Despite the impressive growth rate, however, in per capita terms the country is still lower-middle income and 130 million Chinese fall below international poverty lines. Increased trade, and foreign direct investment (FDI), both inward and outward, have accompanied this economic growth as China has become integrated into the global economy. Trade in goods as a percentage of GDP doubled between 1990 and 2002, reaching a level well above that of the Triad economies. The largest contribution to this expansion was made by high-technology manufacturing. In 2006, China’s international trade volume reached 2.22 trillion U.S. dollars, with an increase of 24 percent. It now ranks third in the world in terms of total import and export volume. A growing share of China’s economic growth has been generated in the private sector as the government has opened up industries to domestic and foreign competition, though the role of the state in ownership and planning remains extensive. 8
Table 2: China trade data Major exports 2006 Percent Major imports 2006 Percent of total of total Electrical machinery 10.5 Electrical machinery 22.1 and equipment Clothing and garments 9.8 Petroleum and petroleum 10.6 products Yarn and textiles 5.0 Industrial machinery 3.5 Petroleum and products 1.1 Textiles 2.1 Main destinations Percent Main origins Percent of export 2006 of total of imports 2006 of total US 21.0 Japan 14.6 Hong Kong 16.0 South Korea 11.3 Japan 9.5 Taiwan 11.0 South Korea 4.6 US 7.5 Germany 4.2 Germany 4.8 Netherlands 3.2 Malaysia 3.0 UK 2.5 Australia 2.4 Singapore 2.4 Thailand 2.3 Source: The Economist Country profiles www.economist.com/countries/China/profile.cfm?folder=Profile-FactSheet Comparisons with Japan, during its rapid growth are interesting. Despite its large and growing domestic market China exports a great deal more and across a wider range of industries than Japan did in its heyday. Although the country only opened its borders to trade and investment during the early 1980s by 2005 China had surpassed Japan to become the third-largest trading nation in the world after the United States and Germany. In 2006 China’s trade surplus more than tripled to boost foreign currency reserves to a point where they also exceeded those of Japan to become the largest in the world. Outward FDI from China is also relatively higher, partly as a result of the strong Government push for international expansion (the ‘going global’ strategy pursued by MOFCOM) and the active use of mergers-and-acquisitions (M&A) by Chinese firms to access Western markets, technologies and brands. 9
Export figures are an indication of competitive advantage and in the case of China the size of the market, economy and wide range of industries involved in exporting differed vastly from Japan. Japan enjoyed export success in a few core sectors: consumer electronics, automotive and engineering. In China exports of goods and services now account for 40 percent of GDP. In 2006 merchandise exports from China grew 27 percent from 2005 to US$969bn. Once again, export growth outpaced the 20 percent growth in imports. Also a familiar pattern, Asia accounted for the largest proportion of exports (47 percent). China’s surplus with its two most important trade partners reached US$144bn and US$92bn respectively in 2006. This accounts for the $180 billion current account surplus, the largest in the world. The scale, scope and speed of growth in China suggest that Chinese firms are ‘learning’ faster than ‘latecomer firms’ in emerging markets. One of the major drivers of both ‘imitation’ and learning for Chinese industries has been the presence of foreign multinational companies in China’s growing economy. The scale of their involvement is shown by the sheer volume of FDI inflows over the past 20 years. In 2005 China recorded over $72 billion of FDI inflows (compared to less than $3 billion for Japan which has always attracted relatively low amounts of direct investment). China’s total stock of FDI is more than three-times that for Japan, again despite its relatively recent economic liberalisation. Table 3: Inward and outward direct investment flows US$ billions 2003 2004 2005 Inward Outward Inward Outward Inward Outward China Mainland 47.08 -0.15 54.94 1.81 79.13 11.31 France 42.50 53.15 38.71 76.65 70.69 133.60 Germany 29.20 6.17 -15.11 1.88 32.66 45.63 Hong Kong 13.62 5.49 34.03 45.72 33.62 27.20 India 4.59 1.33 5.47 2.02 6.60 1.36 Italy 16.41 9.07 16.81 19.26 19.97 39.67 Japan 6.24 28.77 7.80 30.96 3.21 45.44 Russia 7.96 9.73 15.44 13.78 14.60 13.13 Taiwan 0.45 5.68 1.90 7.15 1.63 6.03 United Kingdom 16.78 62.19 56.21 94.86 164.53 101.10 USA 53.15 129.35 122.40 222.44 99.44 -12.71 Source: UN World Investment Report 2006 National sources 10
The presence of multinational firms and the high rate of labour mobility in China combine to increase the rate at which Chinese firms learn. This partly drives their rate of internationalisation. Chinese firms are also apparently internationalising faster, and across a broader range of industries than comparable counterparts elsewhere. Figure 1 shows the growth of outward FDI from China in recent years. Figure 1: Chinese outbound FDI in $ million 2000-2005 6920 5498 2701 2855 785 551 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 Compound annual growth rate Excludes FDI in Hong Kong and British Virgin Islands Source: Hirt and Orr, McKinsey Quarterly (2006) 2 Government initiatives Government industrial policy is directed at growing Chinese overseas direct investment under the epithet of ‘Going Global’. In 2006 Premier Wen Jiabao strengthened this approach, building on the initial impetus by Premier Zhu Rongji in 2001, as part of the government push for the development of national industry champions and the procurement of natural resources abroad. Both underpin a broader agenda of economic nationalism including energy security, geopolitical positioning and national competitiveness. Another major policy objective in China is to boost high technology industry sectors. This is led by the National Development and Reform Commission as part of the country’s 11th Five-year Plan, launched in June 2006. Key industries, including information technology, biotechnology, aerospace, new materials, high-tech services, new energies, and marine science and technology are the focus of this initiative. The Government is also facilitating both local technology-based start-ups firms and encouraging high-tech FDI by upgrading the R&D infrastructure to develop innovative, patentable technologies. There has been a huge expansion in the number of researchers in China since 1999. China counts now more researchers than Japan, and is on its way to potentially overtake the EU in this regard. The country is already second only to the US in terms of advanced technology exports, and it will overtake Japan this year to become the second largest investor in R&D. It spent around half of the UK budget on R&D in 1994 and now spends well over three times as much as the UK each year. 11
In the coming years China plans to reduce its external imbalances; boost domestic demand, particularly consumer demand, and rebalance investment and consumption; further promote balanced external sector development; speed up financial reform; and further improve the exchange regime ‘in a gradual and controllable manner.’ There are, however, a range of on-going problems, including: ■ Large disparities in per capita income between regions. ■ Unemployment, particularly affecting previous employees of state-owned enterprises (SOEs), and migrants. ■ Corruption and other economic crimes. ■ Environmental damage and social problems related to the economy’s rapid transformation. ■ A rapidly aging population, due to the one-child policy. In the coming years China plans to reduce its external imbalances; boost domestic demand… and rebalance investment and consumption… 12
China’s aerospace industry “Within the next 15 years there will be three major commercial aerospace corporations; Boeing, Airbus and a Chinese firm. Soon after there may well be two; one of which will be the Chinese firm.”(Quote from a British executive in the Aerospace industry with over 35 years’ experience in China). Passenger volumes in China’s air transportation industry are expected to grow annually by 11 percent over the next 20 years. This will make it the world’s second largest aviation market, requiring an additional 1,790 aircraft to cope with the increased volume. 49 new airports and 701 airport expansion projects are also expected under China’s current five-year plan, which began in 2006. The Chinese Government maintains a strong degree of control over the civil aviation industry. Respective agencies aim to improve the reliability and efficiency of the transport infrastructure and promote competitiveness amongst domestic firms. The General Administration of Civil Aviation of China (CAAC) is the Government agency responsible for the non-military aviation industry. It has recently rationalised the country’s airlines, completing mergers with the ‘Big 3’ – Air China, China Eastern and China Southern – and some of the smaller airlines. CAAC and other agencies are also central to the expressed aim of the Chinese Government to develop an indigenous ‘Made-in-China’ aircraft to rival Boeing and Airbus. There is no doubt this can be done and the economic rationale is not so relevant, given that the Government has begun funding this as a prestige project and will continue to do so until it succeeds. There are questions, however, as to how long it will take and how reliable, safe and therefore saleable the final product will be. One senior British executive in China described the ‘Stairway to Heaven’. Three stages towards local technological maturity in aerospace manufacturing: Stage 1 ‘Made-to-print’: local manufacturers follow simple designs for low-end (and later, high-end) manufacturing. Stage 2 Local firms take on responsibility for product modules or ‘build-kits’, including some re-design and process innovation. Stage 3 Full engineering partnerships with Western firms, with shared design and development, local responsibility for technology, quality etc., and risk and revenue-sharing (suppliers as shareholders in on-going development processes). Foreign firms in China, including Airbus and Boeing, Rolls-Royce and General Electric are part of this plan. In order to gain access to the growing domestic market, estimated to be worth $289 billion over the next 20 years, they have had to establish partnerships with local Chinese manufacturers. These involve sub-contracting, technology transfer and training with an expressed aim of increasing the local content of aircraft. AVIC1 (Aviation Industry China) and AVIC2 are responsible for all aerospace manufacturing in China. AVIC1 concentrates on large aircraft and is the main organisation charged with developing a complete Chinese-made aircraft. However, rather than one unified ‘China’ interest group there are local rivalries and factions competing with each other to become the lead player, not a simple ‘them-and-us’ situation. As in other industries in China local competition drives learning. There is ‘collaborative competition’ guided, more-or-less by the Government, depending on the industry. 13
Airbus subcontracts around $60 million per year to five Chinese firms and this is expected to double over the next 5 years. Components made in China include A32p wing parts, passenger doors and landing gear bay. Two major joint ventures are at the centre of Airbus operations in China, in the towns of Xian (Xian Aircraft Corporation with 28,000 employees) and Shenyang (Shenyang Aircraft Corporation with 20,000 employees). Both the local firms are state-owned enterprises (SOEs) operating under the AVIC1 umbrella organisation. The Head of the Xian plant is also the local town mayor. Rolls-Royce has supplied engines to many Chinese airlines and also has a number of key joint ventures, one of which is also in Xian. XR Aerocomponents Ltd (XRA) is a high-tech joint venture with the Xian Aero Engine Company that began in 1997 to cast and machine turbine nozzle guide vanes (NGV) and turbine blades. In 2002, XAE also became an approved classified parts supplier to Rolls-Royce. Other local suppliers include Sichuan ChengFa Aero Science and Technology Ltd (rings, sheet metal and fabrications), Beijing Aero Lever Precision Limited (VSV levers) and Shenyang Liming Aero-Engine Group Corporation (heat shield rings). Companies like Airbus and Rolls Royce have transferred manufacturing technology and put in place a range of training programmes to develop the local capabilities at these plants, and amongst local components suppliers. Whilst improved productivity is important the quality and reliability of the components produced here are far more important, given the safety-critical nature of the final product. Process improvement and innovation at the plant level are monitored or measured by a number of indicators. These include output and productivity measures, which show improvements in scrap yield, for example, and in ‘concessions’ (buyer’s rejection of component because of minor faults – such as inaccurately cut wing parts) and ‘rework’ (more substantial returns, accompanied by quality notes as feedback to supplier). The increased use of quality circles, ‘lean’ management systems, and techniques such as the use of ‘visibility boards’ which map out operations on the plant floor and monitor process changes, all indicate improvements in managerial and process-related capabilities. Other advances, such as a move from the use of 2-D to 3-D design drawings, demonstrate engineering, design and product development innovations. All of which shows how local Chinese managers, engineers and plant- level personnel are learning through their interaction with Western counterparts. Formal training takes place alongside informal on-the-job learning. Rolls Royce has a joint facility with CAAC in Tianjin, opened in 1997 for the training of technicians, engineers and managers. It has signed six training protocols with CAAC since 1990, including the CAAC Senior Executive Development Programme. Moreover, a number of research programmes with Chinese universities and research institutes have been developed, focusing on aero engine technology. The Joint Engineering Team (JET) programme is one of these running with AVIC I/II. 14
western multinational investment in China Foreign direct investment into China in the first six months of 2007, totalled $31.89 billion, an increase of 12.2 percent from a year earlier. Hong Kong and the British Virgin Islands, where many Chinese companies register for tax purposes, were the top two sources of foreign direct investment, followed by Korea, Japan and Singapore. China has attracted the dominant share of FDI into any single country, with over $60billion per year in recent years. Most investments are in the form of equity joint-ventures or wholly-owned foreign enterprises, as shown in the table below. Around 70 percent of FDI each year is in manufacturing industries, but service-related FDI is growing. Table 4: FDI in China (2006) Approved foreign investment this year Number of projects Realised FDI value The mode of utilising This year The same Change from This year The same Change from foreign investment period last previous period last previous year year% year year% Total 41485 44019 -5.76 735.23 758.86 -3.11 I Foreign Direct 41485 44019 -5.76 694.68 724.06 -4.06 Investment Equity Joint Venture 10223 10480 -2.45 143.78 146.14 -1.62 Contractual Joint 1036 1166 -11.15 19.40 18.31 5.92 Venture Wholly Foreign Owned 30164 32308 -6.64 462.81 429.61 7.73 Enterprise Share Company with 50 47 6.38 4.22 9.18 -54.00 Foreign Investment Joint Exploration 0 0 – 0 0 – Others 12 18 -33.33 64.47 120.81 -46.64 II Others Foreign 0 0 – 40.55 34.80 16.52 Investment Stock Issuance 0 0 – 13.55 1.60 747.00 International Leasing 0 0 – 0.36 1.08 -66.67 Compensation Trade 0 0 – 0.21 0.16 32.01 Processing and 0 0 – 26.43 31.96 -17.32 Assembling Sources: Invest in China 15
Ten Asian locations; Hong Kong, Macau, Taiwan province, Japan, Philippines, Thailand, Malaysia, Singapore, Indonesia and South Korea, account for around Whilst the 60 percent of FDI inflows. Japan, USA and the EU invest roughly similar proportions. majority are in Cumulative FDI in China’s high-tech industry has topped $70 billion, with more than the banking, 700 foreign-affiliated high-tech companies operating R&D facilities in China. In 2005 consultancy and the country’s exports of high-tech products totalled Rmb218 billion, up sixfold trading sectors, from 2000. more companies are now 1 UK-China trade and investment looking at the The UKTI, the British trade and industry agency, considers China a ‘high-growth UK’s R&D market and not an emerging economy’ (Cahn, UKTI CEO, 2007). According to Foreign capabilities and and Commonwealth figures the UK is the largest EU investor in China in cumulative service sector. terms with over 5000 British-invested projects. Major UK companies in China include Arup, BP, Shell, P&O, Rolls Royce, B&Q and Tesco. The greatest potential for UK companies lies in the aerospace, energy, environment, education and training, financial services, healthcare, ICT, oil & gas and water industries. Against this, more than 300 companies have invested in the UK from mainland China. Whilst the majority are in the banking, consultancy and trading sectors, more companies are now looking at the UK’s R&D capabilities and service sector. Total bilateral trade, including trade in goods and services between the UK and China increased by 111 percent between 2001 and 2005. ■ UK exports of goods to China increased by 16 percent over 2005. ■ UK exports of services increased by 54 percent between 2003 and 2005. ■ UK-China bilateral trade exhibited the highest rate of growth for any major market between 2001 and 2005. ■ Overall trade in goods and services reached $33 billion in 2005. ■ UK’s exports to China amounted to £3.28 billion in 2006. The main exports are iron and steel, electrical/mechanical equipment, precision instruments, plastics. chemicals and pharmaceuticals. ■ UK’s imports from China also rose and amounted to £15.9 billion in 2006, up 18 percent on 2005. Main imports are IT equipment, clothing and footwear, toys and furniture and plastics. 16
Figure 2: UK-China trade (1997-2006) 20,000 18,000 UK exports to China UK exports from China 16,000 Via Hong Kong Via Hong Kong 14,000 Direct Direct 12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Years The UK firms in the top-500 firms in China are: BP, Shell, Aviva, HSBC, Vodafone, Tesco, RBS, HBOS, Prudential, GSK, BT, Barclays, Centrica, J.Sainsbury, Lloyds TSB, Standard Life, BAT, Royal Sun Alliance, AstraZeneca, Anglo American, Compass Group, Old Mutual, Legal & General, National Grid Transco, Royal Mail Group, Hilton Group, Kingfisher, Alliance Unichem, Marks and Spencer, BAE Systems, Wolseley, Corus Group, British Airways, GUS, Diageo, Abbey National. 17
About the research: the largest survey of its kind Who is learning what in corporate alliances between foreign firms in China and their local partners – and what are the implications for future strategy and competitive advantage? This research examined the evolving relationships between foreign multinational firms and their local counterparts in China. It focused on how these firms collaborate to innovate. Producing new products or improved processes through technology- sharing, training and joint-learning activities within alliances, joint-ventures or contracted buyer-supplier relationships. The approach specifically examined transfers of assets, resources and capabilities which improved the recipients’ capacity to innovate. A central aim was to compare the benefits gained by Western multinational firms from being in China, against the potential that they are breeding their future competitors there. Key questions were, for example: what kinds of assets, resources, capabilities and knowledge were exchanged in the partnership? Were the strategic trade-offs planned or emergent? What did each side learn that contributed to specific aspects of innovation performance? What aspects of this learning were seen as reciprocal or non-reciprocal and intended or unintended? Related to this evolving process of exchange and learning was there a distinctive change in the relative specialisation of the two partners (and did this amount to a move along or between industry value chains)? A series of company case studies were developed through interviews with managers, engineers, scientists and plant-level personnel. These focused on specific joint- ventures, alliances and contractual partnerships in the China-based businesses of these firms, with local firms. Over 100 interviews were held both in the home- country location of the firm (UK, Mainland Europe or the USA) and in China. Many of the largest UK investors in China are included in the sample which covers more than 30 joint-projects in 20 multinational firms in the pharmaceuticals, telecoms, aerospace, automotive, industrial manufacturing, FMCG manufacturing and research and high-tech manufacturing sectors. Whilst compiling the company case studies the research team interviewed a range of policymakers, consultants and representatives from Government agencies based in the UK and China. These included the DTI, UKTI, CBI, British Chamber of Commerce in China and China-Britain Business Council (CBBC). 18
The largest questionnaire-based survey ever on this topic was also conducted, using two different company samples. For one sample a China-based survey firm was commissioned and produced responses from 320 firms. The other questionnaire was sent out to UK corporate members of the CBBC and other UK and China-based corporate membership organisations. This survey allowed us to compare the experiences of 51 British firms with those of 181 American firms and 88 from mainland Europe. Over half (62 percent) had been established in China for over 10 years. Most of them are manufacturing firms, and almost two-thirds are in the machinery and equipment, electrical and optical equipment, and chemicals-related sectors. In terms of sales revenue, 67 percent of the firms surveyed had more than doubled their operations in China since establishing a presence and over a quarter had grown their sales more than 6-fold. Moreover, 66 percent had grown their market share in China by over 5 percent since entering the market and 15 percent of the sample had succeeded in expanding their market share by more than 30 percent. The findings help us understand more about the challenges multinational firms face in the Chinese market and how they are responding to these challenges. They also complement aggregate, industry-level and national-level, surveys of shifting competitiveness with a better understanding of processes, practices and mechanisms of transfer and learning at the micro-level. 19
getting into China China began to open-up to investors following Deng Xiaoping’s ‘Open Door’ policy in the late 1970s. China holds the double attraction for MNEs of a growing consumer market and as an increasingly cost-effective source of ‘inputs’, particularly cheap labour. At the same time the rapid growth of the economy and the country’s growing purchasing power is channelling investment into transportation, energy, utilities, communication systems and other aspects of its infrastructure. In response to these attractions, MNEs have made a large number of investments in China. China has long-been a target market for exporters and investors. Only Government liberalisation made it possible to do business here and both central and local Government still maintain a strong influence on the local rules of the game. There is a priority list of desired investments and ventures involving advanced technology, exports, or the generation of foreign exchange are preferred. It is more common in China for multinationals to use intermediaries in the market- entry process than elsewhere in the Pacific Rim. However, FDI trends for foreign- invested enterprises (FIEs) show a distinctive shift away from joint-ventures toward wholly-owned foreign enterprises (WOFEs), driven primarily by the changing market- entry regulations. For firms in some industries, where the central Government has strong development ambitions particular forms of investment (or associated activities such as local R&D or training) may be necessary to get access to local procurement networks and markets. There are examples in industries such as aerospace (see the case study above), telecoms, energy and utilities, where investments may not appear economically viable in their own right, but need to be assessed over the longer-term. 20
According to folklore in China, ‘the mightiest dragon cannot crush the local snake’; i.e. local advantage can help a great deal in fending off larger and wealthier ‘predators’. Mutually-beneficial, collaborative partnerships and joint-ventures are the norm, however. In a joint venture the local partner is typically responsible for providing the land and buildings and for carrying out local marketing. The MNE is expected to contribute the equipment, technology, and capital and to be responsible for export marketing. In those cases where the multinational is manufacturing for sales in China, high quality products, excellent service, and good promotional efforts are critical to success. 1 Forms of foreign investment Firms can invest via direct investment mechanisms (FDI), including Sino-foreign joint ventures, joint exploitation and exclusively foreign-owned enterprises, foreign-funded share-holding companies and joint development. The other means of investment include compensation trade and processing and assembling. (i) Sino-foreign joint ventures, also known as joint share-holding corporations. In general, according to Chinese regulations, the capital from foreign party should not be lower than 25 percent. (ii) Cooperative businesses, also called contractual cooperation businesses, where the rights and obligations of different parties are embedded in the contract. The foreign partner generally supplies all or most of the capital while Chinese party supplies land, factory buildings, and other facilities. (iii) Exclusively foreign-owned enterprises. These take the form of limited liability companies and regulations formally call for these to either ‘adopt international advanced technology and facilities’ or ‘all or most of the products must be export-oriented’. (iv) Joint exploitation, development and production enterprises relate to maritime and overland oil exploitation. (v) Foreign-funded share-holding companies, where Chinese and foreign shareholders hold the shares of the company and accept liability according to proportional ownership. The shares held by foreign investors must account for more than 25 percent of the total registered capital. (vi) New types of foreign investment. China is increasingly open to new types of foreign investment such as BOT, investment companies and, increasingly, merger and acquisition (M&A). 21
2 Challenges for foreign firms The annual business climate survey conducted by the American Chamber of Commerce in China found, in 2006, that 64 percent of its member companies were Respect and reporting ‘profitable’ or ‘very profitable’ businesses in China. One out of three said credibility often that their China operations had higher margins than their worldwide organisations did comes from and another third reported margins that were on a par with the global average. Firms asserting one’s reported the biggest problems to be, in order of importance: own practices and ‘rules of ■ Transparency of laws and regulations the game’. ■ Cost of doing business ■ Recruitment and personnel management ■ Customs procedures/ export procedures ■ Foreign exchange regulations/ exchange rate risk. Some key issues for foreign entrants are: ■ Market-access rights from equity holdings to taxation levels vary by industry and are changing rapidly. At least three, often more, levels of government, including local, regional and central government agencies have a direct and strong influence over the ‘local rules of the game’ and give preferential treatment to local firms and to particular kinds of foreign investors. ■ Chinese tax laws and other regulations governing business practices are complex. Despite the expense it is necessary to use attorneys, accountants and consultants familiar with Chinese requirements. ■ Contracting tends to based around relationships and connections (guanxi) rather than formal, legal documents. These are the basis of mutual trust, with ‘ due-diligence’ on potential business partners performed by checking their network ‘connections’, as opposed to formal ‘market’ mechanisms. Relationships with the right connections are critical. Developing guanxi connections with the wrong partners creates obligations that may act as a trap. Contracts on their own are just the starting point, not the end. ■ Intellectual property rights (IPR) are not well-protected, legally or via any local business ethics. Investors need to carefully consider the implications of this, including the possibility of local firms getting and using key ‘assets’ such as brands, patents and business systems. ■ Keeping face, building a reputation and being respectful is important. Group-orientation and steeper hierarchies characterise Chinese organisations. ■ Learning the language may be important, to provide insights into the local business culture. Too much of a willingness to ‘do things the local way’ can be seen as a sign of compromise and ultimately weakness. Respect and credibility often comes from asserting one’s own practices and ‘rules of the game’. 22
■ The role of the Chinese partner in the success or failure of a joint venture or alliance cannot be over-emphasised. Good partners will have the connections to overcome obstructive red-tape and enable success; bad partners may have no power or knowledge to deal with obstructive bureaucrats, may violate confidentialities and/or establish competing businesses. ■ Although there is a large, cheap general labour pool, skilled managers, particularly those with marketing expertise, are difficult to find and keep. Engineers and technicians are similarly difficult to hold on to. China has a reputation as a cheap manufacturing hub so cost advantages are still the primary motivator for many companies. The positives of sourcing in China include: ■ Lower labour costs ■ Large manufacturing capacity ■ Lower capital costs ■ Improvements in quality ■ Low cost product design and R&D. The negatives: ■ Communication ■ Product quality ■ Initial start up time ■ Intellectual property theft ■ Increased management complexity ■ Operation and supply chain challenges. 3 Pros and cons of joint-ventures A clear benefit of majority-owned JVs is the element of control combined with the benefits of gaining immediate access to experienced managers and their local relationship networks and experienced personnel. Major reasons for forming a joint-venture or local partnership (in approximate order of importance): ■ Accessing local business knowledge, including customer and supplier connections ■ Assistance with local officials and regulations ■ Financial input from partner ■ To limit investment risk ■ Access to local management skills ■ Access to local materials of sources of inputs ■ Access to distribution channels ■ It is a requirement for PRC in my sector. 23
Key criteria for partner selection for British managers (in approximate order of importance) are: ■ Relationship between senior management (trust, respect, strategic synergies etc.) ■ Reputation of Chinese partner ■ Partner’s links and connections to officials, key institutions and firms (suppliers, customers etc.) ■ Products or services of partner ■ Location of partner ■ Complementary resources, assets and technology ■ Size of partner ■ Access to local capital/currency. Precisely how competent or well-connected Chinese managers are is difficult to assess before entering into the relationship. Partner selection is obviously critical but doing any kind of due diligence on the assets or integrity of potential partners is difficult in China. As Chinese firms very often put forward land and other assets in place of capital this can be a major issue. Experienced consultants and old-hands with good knowledge and connections can help with this process. Companies in the survey also cited problems with other legacy issues related to joint-ventures, including: ■ Built-in obligations to retain certain individual employees and/or high levels of staffing which undermined efficient operations ■ Long-standing ties to local or (less often) central politicians who may have formal roles in the firm, ownership claims or other means of influence ■ Other obligations for payments to certain parties ■ Technology transfer and training agreements ■ Obligations to certain suppliers, contractors or customers. Firms that have joint-ventures with SOEs can be tied into a number of Government regulations, particularly as regards employment and wages. Formally wage rises in SOEs are strictly regulated. One interviewee said their JV was limited to a three percent wage rise per year across the entire workforce. This presented a challenge in terms of retaining staff and competing for talent with other firms (see below), and they had been forced to find ways around this restriction. By comparison, wholly-owned foreign enterprises (WOFEs) and subsidiaries offer most control, and are on the increase as the preferred form of foreign establishment. WOFEs however do not provide the local knowledge and contact networks offered by local partners. There is an even greater premium on recruiting experienced and knowledgeable Chinese staff to fill senior positions. 24
In general, firms that have experience of joint-ventures in China report that access to local labour and support in recruiting, managing and developing local labour are important benefits of the partnership. In general foreign firms take responsibility for production and R&D functions in the joint-venture and the Chinese partner tends to contribute more to the distribution and marketing side of operations. Although there is shared responsibility for finance and A large number personnel functions, foreign and local managers tend to take on distinctive sets of of British tasks. Chinese managers deal more with local financial and personnel issues, managers including tax regulations, payment systems and wages, recruitment and routine also cited personnel management. Partly because of the long-term need to reduce expatriate differences in management involvement, foreign managers are involved in training activities and the definition managing links with head-office. or perception of ‘quality’ Many of the problems experienced by firms in joint-ventures and partnerships reflect between the challenges listed above. Recruiting, managing and motivating personnel rank very themselves and high amongst key difficulties faced by foreign managers, even when working with local managers local partners (see Labour Issues’ section below). Skill shortages and weaknesses in and personnel. Chinese management, and the resulting low levels of labour productivity also presented significant problems. But there are indications from our case studies that show this to be partly a failure on the part of British managers to differentiate between labour costs and productivity. The former are simpler to estimate than the latter, leading to high expectations of cost-savings which are not realised on the ground in China. A large number of British managers also cited differences in the definition or perception of ‘quality’ between themselves and local managers and personnel. The Chinese were seen to accept low levels of quality and/or be unclear about the need for high quality or other customer-led product attributes. This is linked to a more general difference in mind-set which stems from China’s pre-liberalised past when market incentives and individual motivations of managers and employees were very different. This influences management and employee attitudes to all basic aspects of business practice such as the need to measure and monitor performance, or the impetus for continuous improvement. Other problems and risks cited by managers include: ■ Losing control to local managers ■ Damaging reputation effects of specific partnerships ■ Dangers of creating a new competitor ■ Repatriation of profits and transfer pricing ■ Local sourcing difficulties ■ Infrastructure and communications ■ Government restrictions ■ Corruption and bureaucratic uncertainties. 25
Case study: Oxford instruments in China1 The Oxford of ancient spires and ivory-towers is well-known amongst the Chinese. The successful, high-tech spin-off Oxford Instruments (OI) is less well known, but the company is working to change this. Having sold a range of its products in China for over 10 years and experienced a 30-40 percent growth in sales year-on-year, senior managers at OI decided it was time to invest more heavily. The company opened representative offices in Beijing and Shanghai between during the last decade and employed 20 people (including two expatriates). Then, between April 2003 and August 2004 they registered as a wholly foreign-owned enterprise (WFOE) and established a manufacturing facility. This was a major investment for a firm with a turnover of $330 million and 1500 staff around the world. But it was a necessary step given that over 90 percent of OI’s sales were from outside of the UK with approximately 5 percent in China. Moreover, its managers learned a number of important lessons along the way. A key reason for investing directly in the China market, moving to a higher level of both commitment and risk, was to get closer to the growing number of Chinese customers. OI chose to build on the strong platform of Rep offices through the establishment of a repair and service centre for supporting its microanalysis detector customers in China. It also wanted to provide a platform for the assembly of top-level products. To establish a business entity capable of delivering these kinds of activities it needed some outside help. One way to reduce the risks of FDI is to hire local specialists knowledgeable about the local ‘rules of the game’ with the relationships and connections to help smooth the way. Another route is to hire experts who understand the international legal and regulatory conditions relating to a Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) project. In fact, when initiating its investment plans in China, OI did both. An international law firm was hired to ensure that global regulatory standards were followed. A local sponsor was also brought in (at a significantly lower cost) to help with the submission of the investment application to government authorities. The establishment process itself was relatively straightforward. Step one was to register the company name. Step two was the submission of a feasibility report and articles of association to show the firm would be profitable and (most important) produce good tax returns. The WFOE, Oxford Instruments (Shanghai) Co. Ltd., was then given Government approval and granted a trading license around three months after the start of the process. Post-registration procedures, including securing the company ‘chop’ (an official company seal or signature stamp) took a little longer. 1 Sources: This case has been compiled by the author from a presentation by and discussions with Daniel Ayres, Project Manager for the establishment of the Manufacturing WFOE in Shanghai; www.oxford-instruments.com. Adapted from: Rugman A.M., Collinson, S. and Hodgetts, R. (2006) International Business, FT Pearson Prentice Hall, Fourth Edition. 26
Further development of an effective and efficient HQ-subsidiary organisation structure and good working relationships between head-office management and local managers in China were seen to be key priorities in the early stages of the China venture. The UK side defined a common internal financial reporting structure and shared the group business strategy, which the senior management in China was then allowed to revise and tailor to the local context and culture. The existing OI China Chief Representative, a Chinese national employed by OI for 5 years, was named as the General Manager of the new organisation. The leadership of this existing member of the OI team, with experience of working both in a related industry and in an English-speaking environment to head-up the China operation was important for creating the necessary HQ-subsidiary relationships. As with any international expansion, an overarching question for OI was (and continues to be): what business processes and decision-making responsibilities do we move to China and what do we keep in the UK? Key constraints and challenges cited by OI include: time and resource-consuming Chinese bureaucracy at various levels including central, regional, local governments and individual firms (one customer required 11 different VAT invoices for a single sale). It was important for OI to link the new Shanghai facility into their global IT infrastructure but the instability of the local internet required the company to invest in alternative (and more costly) connection methods. As OI continues to grow in China the task of developing the necessary range of capable, experienced local managers in the sales and marketing functions as well as in operations will continue to be a focus. Oxford Instruments (Shanghai) Co. Ltd. is formally opened by Charles Holroyd, MD of OI Analytical Ltd. (2nd from left). Perhaps more significant than these problems have been OI’s concerns about protecting its intellectual property rights (IPR) in China. OI’s R&D assets and technological capabilities underpin its primary competitive advantage. It has had to take steps to avoid losing these to local Chinese competitors. Some formal protection and registration steps are available and these have been taken by OI but this provides limited protection in China. More effective protection of IP is gained through placing an emphasis on the careful recruitment of staff in China, the retention of the development and some manufacturing of key technologies at home in the UK. 27
Many people talk about the importance of relationships in China. One interpretation is that in the process of developing relationships the Chinese are effectively performing a ‘credit-check’. In the absence of stable or reliable formal contracting rules, regulations, processes and institutions more emphasis is placed on inter-personal trust as the reliable basis for doing business. What rules there are in China tend not to be applied consistently. This leaves plenty of scope for influencing processes and decisions which places even more of a premium on having the right connections. At an early stage in the project the following light-hearted ‘rules’ for doing business in China were presented by a speaker at a ‘Making it in China’ session at the University of Cambridge: (Rule 1) China is a highly regulated country, in which one needs to learn countless regulations, understand and follow them. (Rule 2) China presents a chaotic and unpredictable operating environment in which anything is possible, in fact there are no rules. (Rule 3) Rules 1 and 2 are simultaneously valid. 4 Labour dilemmas Across all our survey firms foreign managers confirmed that one of the most remarkable aspects of China is the sheer drive and motivation of its people. In general they are very hard-working and ambitious. Local cultural values and China’s past history do have a strong influence on work-place behaviour, underlying a reluctance to Cheap labour is take the initiative and the need for detailed instructions, for example. But a massive one of China’s appetite for learning, advancement and the rewards of capitalism amongst the people major are central to China’s growth drive. attractions, however, Cheap labour is one of China’s major attractions, however, experienced labour is experienced increasingly scarce and there is a talent war for particular kinds of employees labour is as labour rates increase and firms put in place a range of strategies to retain increasingly good employees. scarce… Despite its population of over 1.3 billion people, good labour, from experienced managers to skilled manufacturing workers, is scarce, particularly in the Eastern urban areas. Rises in wage costs since 2002 are beginning to run the risk of outpacing improvements in the productivity of the country’s workforce, which could result in lower export competitiveness. 28
Wages in advanced coastal cities like Shenzhen, Guangzhou, Shanghai and Beijing are among the highest in China. Wages in smaller cities in the east of China, such as Suzhou, Nanjing, Wenzhou and Qingdao, are relatively low, averaging between $180 and $230 per month. Meanwhile, labour costs in inland cities like Hefei, Wuhan and Weihai are the lowest in China, with monthly wage rates of between $120 and $160. Chinese Recruiting and keeping good staff is one of the most taxing issues facing Western employees business in China, as companies compete to attract qualified people. Chinese recognise their employees recognise their market value and are not afraid to bargain for better market value opportunities. Professionally trained engineers and managers who are multi-lingual and are not and can provide a ‘bridge’ to combine the advantages of West and East are in afraid to particularly short supply. bargain for better Some kinds of skilled workers in Shanghai are moving jobs as often as every 6 to 15 opportunities. months. The rapid rate of inflation of the standard of living in Shanghai is also driving this job-hopping with skilled professionals moving jobs for as little as $10/month and, for those with considerable experience, for a 20-50 percent increase in salary. Our surveyed firms averaged 9 percent labour turnover per year, ranging from 0 percent to 70 percent overall. The interview-based case studies revealed more detail and a fairly consistent pattern. They experience lower turnover amongst the less-skilled or non-skilled plant-level workers (around 3-5 percent), compared to 10-15 percent on average but up to 20-25 percent in a number of cases for well-trained employees. The pattern varies by location in China and industry sector. One firm cited a 70 percent annual turnover rate for its good, English-speaking managers creating a huge challenge to maintain both local production and consistent links with head-office and local suppliers and customers. Poaching, particularly of these kinds of scarce managers, is relatively commonplace, by Chinese firms and by multinationals competing for the same talent. For foreign firms in China who invest in training and who are concerned about controlling their intellectual property this presents a major problem. When staff move so quickly between organisations, investment in up-skilling and training can be lost. Not only this, their new knowledge and expertise, for example in manufacturing technologies, process engineering or new product development, may well end up helping competitors. In some manufacturing industries there is a significant flow of technologies, management practices and plant-level capabilities between foreign firms and local Chinese firms. In order to protect these human assets and maintain a level of sustainable competitive advantage over a longer time frame, many Western firms in China are developing innovative strategies to tie employees in for defined periods. Some companies, for example, are tying employees in for one year for every month spent abroad training. If they leave early employees are required to reimburse the company for the costs of this training. A move recently supported by the Chinese government by making compensation payments legally enforceable. 29
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