A market leader in retail logistics - Logistics evolved: Agility and Ability - 2018 Interim Results Presentation 6 December 2018
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A market leader in retail logistics 2018 Interim Results Presentation 6 December 2018 Logistics evolved: Agility and Ability
Disclaimer This presentation includes statements that are, or may be deemed to be, “forward-looking statements”. These forward-looking statements can be identified by the use of forward-looking terminology, including the terms “believe”, “estimates”, “plans”, “projects”, “anticipates”, “expects”, “intends”, “may”, “will”, or “should” or, in each case, their negative or other variations or comparable terminology. These forward-looking statements include matters that are not historical facts and include statements regarding the Company’s intentions, beliefs or current expectations. Any forward-looking statements in this presentation reflect the Company’s current expectations and projections about future events. By their nature, forward-looking statements involve a number of risks, uncertainties and assumptions that could cause actual results or events to differ materially from those expressed or implied by the forward-looking statements. These risks, uncertainties and assumptions could adversely affect the outcome and financial effects of the plans and events described herein. Forward-looking statements contained in this presentation regarding past trends or activities should not be taken as a representation that such trends or activities will continue in the future. You should not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date of this presentation. No representations or warranties are made as to the accuracy of such statements, estimates or projections. Please note that the Directors of the Company are, in making this presentation, not seeking to encourage shareholders to either buy or sell shares in the Company. Shareholders in any doubt about what action to take are recommended to seek financial advice from an independent financial advisor authorised by the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000. 2
Agenda 1 Highlights – Steve Parkin 2 Financial review – David Hodkin 3 Operational review – Tony Mannix 4 Summary and Q&A – Steve Parkin 3
Highlights Group revenue growth of 14.1% to £227.9m (H1 FY18: £199.7m) Group EBIT growth of 16.1% to £10.7m (H1 FY18: £9.2m) Group EPS growth of 14.3% to 7.2p per share (H1 FY18: 6.3p) Interim dividend of 3.2p per share, up 14.3% (H1 FY18: 2.8p) Strong growth in e-fulfilment and returns management, with revenue up 40.7% (excluding Clicklink) Clicklink well positioned to enhance earnings due to new customer wins and rate enhancements Non e-fulfilment EBIT in H1 adversely impacted by activity levels, offset by property-related income. New contract wins provide positive earnings momentum into H2 European operations growing strongly, driven by e-fulfilment and returns management Commercial vehicles EBIT reduced due to lack of manufacturer support on new vehicle sales Strong pipeline of new business opportunities in logistics 5
Financial Highlights Group revenue growth of 14.1% to £227.9m (H1 FY18: £199.7m), driven by strong growth in logistics Group EBIT growth of 16.1% to £10.7m (H1 FY18: £9.2m): o E-fulfilment and returns management services – EBIT of £6.2m, up 17.1% (H1 FY18: £5.3m) o Non e-fulfilment logistics – EBIT of £7.3m, up 16.4% (H1 FY18: £6.3m) including property related advisory service fees of £2.8m (H1 FY18: £nil) o Commercial vehicles – EBIT of £0.9m, down 36.9% (H1 FY18: £1.4m) Profit before tax and amortisation up 17.3% to £9.9m (H1 FY18: £8.4m) EPS of 7.2p, up 14.3% (H1 FY18: 6.3p) Interim dividend of 3.2p per share, up 14.3% (H1 FY18: 2.8p) Note: The highlights are for the 6 months ended 31 October 2018, as compared to the 6 months ended 31 October 2017 (“H1 FY18”) 7
Summary Income Statement £m 6m to 31 October Change Year to 30 2018 2017 % April 2018 • Strong top-line performance in the period Revenue 227.9 199.7 14.1% 400.1 driven by e-fulfilment & non e-fulfilment Cost of sales (164.9) (142.1) (283.3) business units Gross profit 63.0 57.6 9.3% 116.8 • Key EBIT metric saw continuing growth of Other net gains 0.1 0.1 2.4 16.1%, again driven by logistics, including property-related advisory fees Admin expenses (52.3) (48.3) (98.4) Operating profit before share of equity-accounted • Finance costs up slightly, due to prior year 10.8 9.4 14.6% 20.8 acquisitions investees, net of tax Share of equity-accounted investees, net of tax (0.6) (0.6) (0.9) • Profit before tax and amortisation up 17.3% Operating profit 10.3 8.8 15.9% 19.9 to £9.9m (H1 FY18: 8.4m) EBIT 10.7 9.2 16.1% 20.9 • Profit before tax ahead by 16.9% to £9.3m Less: amortisation of other intangible assets (0.6) (0.5) (1.1) (H1 FY18: £7.9m) Share of tax and finance costs of equity-accounted investees 0.2 0.1 0.1 • EPS ahead by 14.3% to 7.2p (H1 FY18: Operating profit 10.3 8.8 19.9 6.3p) Net finance costs (1.0) (0.9) (1.9) • Interim dividend up 14.3% to 3.2p (H1 FY18: 2.8p) Profit before income tax 9.3 7.9 16.9% 18.0 Income tax (1.9) (1.7) (3.7) Profit for the financial period 7.3 6.3 14.3 Basic earnings per share (p) 7.2 6.3 14.3% 14.2 Interim dividend per share (p) 3.2 2.8 14.3% - 8
Segmental performance Revenue • Strong organic growth in e-fulfilment driven by: £m 6m to 31 October Change o Continued migration online and consequent growth in activity 2018 2017 % levels on established customers – e.g. ASOS, Wilko, Browns E-fulfilment & returns management services 107.1 76.1 40.7% o Benefit of prior year contract wins - e.g. M&S returns, River Non e-fulfilment logistics 76.1 65.7 15.8% Island, ASOS Poland Total value-added logistics services 183.2 141.8 29.2% o New contract wins in FY19 – e.g. Pretty Little Thing, Ginger Ray Commercial vehicles 45.4 58.8 -22.8% • Clicklink: loss of £0.7m (H1 FY18: £0.7m loss): Inter-segment sales (0.7) (0.9) o Profitability expected to improve substantially in H2 due to: Group Revenue 227.9 199.7 14.1% • Seasonality: 40% of annual volume in Nov-Jan • Rate enhancements • New customer onboarding EBIT • Non e-fulfilment EBIT adversely impacted by activity levels as a key £m 6m to 31 October Change customer re-shapes their network, and a reduction in tobacco activity, offset by property-related advisory fees of £2.8m (H1 FY18: nil): 2018 2017 % o Contract wins and increased tobacco activity will provide E-fulfilment & returns management services 6.2 5.3 17.1% earnings growth into H2 and beyond Non e-fulfilment logistics 7.3 6.3 16.4% • Commercial vehicles EBIT down due to lack of manufacturer support: Central logistics overheads (2.5) (2.5) o Cost base addressed Total value-added logistics services 11.0 9.1 21.2% Commercial vehicles 0.9 1.4 -36.9% • Continued investment in solutions development and IT infrastructure Head office costs (1.2) (1.3) • Share based payment credit £0.7m (H1 FY18: charge £0.6m) Group EBIT 10.7 9.2 16.1% 9
Summary cash flow statement £m 6m to 31 October Year to 30 2018 2017 April 2018 EBIT 10.7 9.2 20.9 • EBITDA ahead 14.5% Depreciation & Amortisation 3.8 3.4 6.9 Other non-cash items1 0.3 1.2 (0.1) • Working capital outflow due to higher than normal accrued revenue Change in working capital (4.4) (1.2) (3.2) Cash generated from operations 10.1 12.6 24.5 • Strong underlying cash flow and cash Net interest paid (1.0) (0.9) (1.9) conversion Tax paid (1.9) (2.0) (4.0) Net cash flows from operating activities 7.2 9.7 18.6 • Majority of capex is back-to-back with agreements by customers to repay the capital through open-book contract mechanisms Net capital expenditure (7.4) (3.6) (1.0) Acquisition of subsidiaries (0.5) (11.8) (11.8) Net cash flows from investing activities (7.9) (15.4) (12.8) Loan advance to joint venture - - (0.5) Net drawdown of bank loans 8.5 14.1 8.1 Finance leases advanced 0.3 - - Repayment of capital on finance leases (3.4) (3.7) (7.3) Shares issued 0.1 0.2 1.6 Dividends paid (5.7) (4.8) (7.6) Net cash flows from financing activities (0.2) 5.8 (5.7) Net increase / (decrease) in cash & cash equivalents (0.9) 0.1 0.1 1. Other non cash items comprise share of equity-accounted investees, share based payments and exchange differences 2. EBITDA calculated as EBIT plus depreciation and amortisation 10
Summary balance sheet £m 6m to 31 October Year to 30 2018 2017 April 2018 • Investment in fixed assets largely to support new Intangible assets 37.7 36.8 37.2 open-book contracts under which capital will be repaid Property, plant & equipment 51.2 46.7 45.0 over the term of the contract Interest in equity-accounted investees 0.7 1.6 1.3 Non-current financial assets 1.9 1.4 1.9 • Net debt £42.1m, slightly lower than the Board’s Non-current assets 91.5 86.5 85.4 expectations Inventories 24.7 30.9 22.1 Trade & other receivables 94.7 70.8 73.4 Cash & cash equivalents 2.1 0.9 2.3 Current assets 121.5 102.6 97.8 Trade & other payables 120.7 110.6 102.4 Borrowings 10.6 7.8 9.2 Short term provisions 0.1 0.3 0.1 Current tax liabilities 2.9 1.9 2.5 Current liabilities 134.3 120.6 114.2 Borrowings 35.5 33.3 26.7 Long term provisions 1.6 1.4 1.5 Deferred tax liabilities 0.9 1.3 1.5 Non-current liabilities 38.0 36.0 29.7 Net assets 40.7 32.5 39.3 11
3 Operational review
Customer strategy Review of strategy, progress to date and future plans
Clipper’s key strategies for customer retention & growth Become the omni-channel fulfilment provider to customers where we only currently manage the e-commerce channel Continue to target pureplay e-tailers for both fulfilment and returns operations Increase our revenues from the major UK retailers in our existing customer base through cross-selling services 14
E-commerce is still on the rise 2013/14 European e-commerce valued at no more than EUR 307 billion 2017 European e-commerce turnover increased by 11% in the year - valued at EUR 534 billion 2018 Expected European e-commerce growth rate of 13% - valued at EUR 602 billion The United Kingdom (€178 billion), France (€93.2 billion) and Germany (€93 billion) are the three biggest e-commerce markets in Europe Together, they account for over two-thirds of the total European e-commerce turnover 38% of all online shoppers in Europe ordered abroad in 2017, with half of them ordering goods or services over the internet from sellers from other EU countries Online retail sales continue to soar E-commerce in UK grew to €15.6 billion in 2017 Mintel research suggests that 45% of online customers returned The business-to-consumer e-commerce turnover in the United at least one item last year, representing a significant cost to Kingdom has increased to 13.7 billion pounds (15.6 billion retailers. euros), last year. This is a 13.65% increase and for next year, a growth rate of 14.3% is predicted, which means e-commerce in the UK could be worth 17.8 billion euros. Financial Times, January 2018 Ecommerce, May 2018 Source: Ecommerce, July 2018 15
Progress in 2018 Pureplays o Launched in July 2018 o 615k sq. ft. warehouse in Sheffield o Peak shipping 200k+ items per day o Fastest growing retailer in UK o Moved from Worsley to Selby o Launching new crafts and anticipated growth in 2019 is +30% Key Customer Growth o Clicklink went live in 2018 for all store deliveries o Expanded to include Zara Home o Clipper also supported ‘pop up’ stores launch o Now occupy 300% more space since go-live o Significant growth in account in 2018 o Clicklink went live in 2018 for all o New same day moped delivery Superdry store deliveries service launched o Robotics launched o Planning move to dedicated site to o Partnership recognised at Supply support growth in 2019 Chain Excellence awards 16
Enhancing and Developing new Services Review of strategy, progress to date and future plans
Enhancing and Developing new services 1. Further develop the Click and Collect network 4. Grow our consolidation capability using our transport to support more complex stocking and network and click and collect technologies replenishment strategies 2. Explore options for software propositions to 5. Develop a solution for tobacco fulfilment for the UK support customer returns strategy major multiples 6. Target growing relationships with OEMs to provide a 3. Develop a Clicklink branded customer parcel wrap-around after-sales Returns, Repair & Service shop app and in store proposition proposition 18
Evolving Supply Chain Needs 19
The paid click-and-collect model will increasingly C&C tracks the effectiveness of a marketing budget – count against a retailer, especially as online-only and improves loyalty services look to make delivery costs free, or keep them low, to compete in kind. Putting a human face on an You get another opportunity to sell otherwise faceless experience 2018 State of Omnichannel Retail report, customers picking up a C&C order in store could Those that see paid-for click and collect as spend an average of 12% more – while returns dispensation for logistical outlays are the ones recoup added a further 18%, as you’re keeping an that will suffer in the next round of retail closures. engaged customer in a purchase loop. Opportunity knocks: Free C&C removes another barrier to purchase certainty 20 Source: Shift Nov 2018
Boomerang
Evolving Supply Chain Needs Online retailers face “ returns tsunami” as try-before-you-buy trends Intensifies Returns are costing UK retailers £60 billion a year 76% of consumers would “definitely” or “maybe” purchase more items if offered a try-before-you-buy option – with shoppers ordering on average three extra items each month, only to return them without ever paying a penny 40% of retailers have seen a marked increase in “intentional returns” over the past 12 months when customers deliberately over-order multiple items knowing returns are free or cheap 69% of retailers are not deploying any technology solutions to process returns, despite shoppers increasingly wanting their returns to be processed faster. For many retailers, the new trend will result in customers returning on average three items a month, potentially tripling the cost of returns if they continue to take no action Source: Retail Gazette, March 2018 22
“Enhanced” Integrated Clicklink & Boomerang in 2019 Boomerang triage carried out in store Store based systems to link with returns centre to Item can either be fast tracked through returns centre allow for rapid reuse of “grade A” inventory for re-sale OR Fulfilled from store to customer Reduced handling costs Improved stock availability 23
Use data insight on customer behaviour to drive new revenue streams Clipper is working in partnership with Leeds University and one of our major customers to use fulfilment and returns to develop predictive analytics. This can help retailers’ decision making for ranging, merchandising, promotions and pricing strategies Analy o Analyse customer behaviour and trends Fulfilment Data se o Within season, week, day, hour time parameters Plan Predict o Replaces traditional cumbersome forecasting & & replenishment tools Propose Returns Data o More responsive, based on actual customer behaviour and feedback 24
Technical Services
Technical services – Progress in 2018 Hi-sense: Combined power of RepairTech and Servicecare now delivering multi-channel TV repair solutions Vestel: Clipper Technical Services nominated as ‘brown goods repair partner’ Argos: Renewed contract for 2 years Amazon: Extended contract and new territory (Germany) Richer Sounds: 5 year contract extension 26
Geography
Growth in Europe Second warehouse opened in Poznan, Poland to support Westwing Retail: o 350k sq ft new build facility o 4 level pick tower Expanded geography with Amazon to operate a Returns and Repair centre from within a Clipper Germany facility Strengthened relationship with s.Oliver with potential for further future growth Exploring potential European acquisitions 28
Ensuring continuity of labour Influencing Factors Key strategies 1. Net migration continues to fall. Shift in labour strategy from a high temp to perm ratio to a • Significant decrease in Polish more stable perm headcount with seasonal flex – pooling population in the UK. across site locations • Uncertainty of employment and right to remain post-Brexit Solid Framework Agreements in place with key agencies 2. Decreasing number of labour providers in and a robust PSL the UK post-Brexit 3. Confidence around competitive Full compensation and benefits review of all job levels - Compensation and Benefits strategy top to January – March 2019 bottom 30
Clipper Fresh Start FRESH START launched in May 2018 8 Key Partners including: Mencap, Scope, Remploy, Reed in Partnership, Tempus Novo 150+ people recruited directly since launch – with a target to get to 300 by end of FY Small start project with the potential for growth Significant profile for Clipper Logistics Key Labour Agencies engaged Significant CSR project for the Group Finalists in the 2018 in-house recruitment awards (Nov 2018) 31
Technology
Developing technology capability We will work with retailers to assess ‘fit for purpose’ automation solutions We will explore AI solutions for retail supply chain applications Progress in 2018 Autoboxer and conveyors installed in Ollerton to support Wilko e-commerce growth Robotic returns launched at the Superdry facility Experienced Automation Engineer recruited. 33
Black Friday 2018 More UK retailers than ever before participated in Black Friday Sales this year in the face of ongoing tough trading. Ecommerce sales were up 46% compared with last year on Black Friday itself, while footfall dropped 5.4% on 2017, Springboard reports. Participation rates from retailers reached record levels and the discounts were deeper than previous years, research from sales aggregator LovetheSales.com found. A total of 72% more UK retailers took part in Black Friday this year than in 2017 and price cuts were deeper – an average discount of 37%, compared with 33% in 2017 and 30% in 2016. Source: Springboard & LovetheSales.com– Drapers 27th Nov 18 34
4 Summary and Q&A
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