50 FREEDOM IN THE WORLD 2023 - Marking 50 Years in the Struggle for Democracy
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50 ANNIVERSARY EDITION FREEDOM IN THE WORLD 2023 Marking 50 Years in the Struggle for Democracy Highlights from Freedom House’s annual report on political rights and civil liberties
FREEDOM IN March 2023 THE WORLD 2023 TABLE OF CONTENTS Key findings...................................................................................................... 1 Marking 50 Years in the Struggle for Democracy......................................... 2 Executive Summary.................................................................................................................... 2 Direct attacks on democracy and the human cost of authoritarian rule......... 3 A possible turning point for global freedom.................................................................. 8 Free expression: A leading indicator of democratic decline................................... 13 Lessons from 50 years of Freedom in the World........................................................ 16 Freedom in the World Methodology.............................................................. 21 Freedom in the World 2023 Map.................................................................... 22 Regional Trends............................................................................................... 24 Countries in the Spotlight............................................................................... 31 Policy Recommendations ............................................................................... 32 This report was made possible by the generous support of Google, Inc., The Hurford Foundation, Jyllands-Posten Foundation, Lilly Endowment Inc., the Merrill Family Foundation, and National Endowment for Democracy. The Freedom in the World Junior Fellowship program gives young researchers critical work experience in the democracy and human rights field. The nine- month program employs Junior Fellows in core research positions to contribute to this report, and equips them with a range of marketable skills that can propel them on to successful careers. The Freedom in the World Junior Fellowship program is generously underwritten by the Merrill Family Foundation, with support from the Panter Foundation. The Junior Fellows contributing to Freedom in the World 2023 include: Dasha M., Junior Fellow for Europe and Eurasia Arya Patel, Junior Fellow for sub-Saharan Africa Eilidh Stalker, Junior Fellow for the Americas Freedom House is solely responsible for the report’s content. Cathryn Grothe was also instrumental in the writing of this booklet. Elisha Aaron, David Meijer, Shannon O’Toole, Tyler Roylance, and Lora Uhlig edited the report. ON THE COVER Iranian people in Izmir protest This booklet is a summary of findings for the 2023 edition of Freedom in the the death of Jina Mahsa Amini while in custody of World. The complete analysis including narrative reports on all countries and the morality police in Iran. territories can be found on our website at www.freedomhouse.org. (İdil Toffolo / Alamy)
FREEDOM IN THE WORLD 2023 Key findings Global freedom declined for the control at the expense of competence exposed the limits 17th consecutive year. of the authoritarian models offered by Beijing, Moscow, Caracas, or Tehran. Meanwhile, democratic alliances Moscow’s war of aggression led to devastating human rights demonstrated solidarity and vigor. atrocities in Ukraine. New coups and other attempts to undermine representative government destabilized Burkina Faso, Tunisia, Peru, and Brazil. Previous years’ coups and Infringement on freedom of ongoing repression continued to diminish basic liberties expression has long been a key in Guinea and constrain those in Turkey, Myanmar, and driver of global democratic decline. Thailand, among others. Two countries suffered downgrades Over the last 17 years, the number of countries and in their overall freedom status: Peru moved from Free territories that receive a score of 0 out of 4 on the report’s to Partly Free, and Burkina Faso moved from Partly Free media freedom indicator has ballooned from 14 to 33, to Not Free. as journalists face persistent attacks from autocrats and their supporters while receiving inadequate protection The struggle for democracy may be from intimidation and violence even in some democracies. approaching a turning point. The past year brought more of the same, with media freedom coming under pressure in at least 157 countries The gap between the number of countries that registered and territories during 2022. Scores for a related indicator overall improvements in political rights and civil liberties pertaining to freedom of personal expression have also and those that registered overall declines for 2022 was declined over the years amid greater invasions of privacy, the narrowest it has ever been through 17 years of global harassment and intimidation, and incentives to self-censor deterioration. Thirty-four countries made improvements, both online and offline. and the tally of countries with declines, at 35, was the smallest recorded since the negative pattern began. The gains were driven by more competitive elections as well The fight for freedom persists as a rollback of pandemic-related restrictions that had across decades. disproportionately affected freedom of assembly and When Freedom House issued the first edition of its global freedom of movement. Two countries, Colombia and survey in 1973, 44 of 148 countries were rated Free. Today, Lesotho, earned upgrades in their overall freedom status, 84 of 195 countries are Free. Over the past 50 years, moving from Partly Free to Free. consolidated democracies have not only emerged from deeply repressive environments but also proven to be While authoritarians remain remarkably resilient in the face of new challenges. Although extremely dangerous, they are democratization has slowed and encountered setbacks, not unbeatable. ordinary people around the world, including in Iran, China, and Cuba, continue to defend their rights against The year’s events showed that autocrats are far from authoritarian encroachment. infallible, and their errors provide openings for democratic forces. The effects of corruption and a focus on political FreedomHouse.org 1
FREEDOM IN Marking 50 Years in the THE WORLD 2023 Struggle for Democracy Marking 50 Years in the Struggle for Democracy By Yana Gorokhovskaia, Adrian Shahbaz, and Amy Slipowitz Executive Summary with material support from many democracies, beat back T a vast Russian army that was hampered by decades of he global struggle for democracy approached a possible corruption. In China, the ruling Communist Party’s onerous turning point in 2022. The gap between the number of and politicized COVID-19 policies were abruptly dismantled in countries that registered overall improvements in political the face of public protests. rights and civil liberties and those that registered overall declines was the narrowest it has ever been through 17 The 2023 edition of Freedom in the World is the 50th in this consecutive years of deterioration. series of annual comparative reports. As such, it provides an The most serious setbacks for freedom and democracy opportunity to reflect on the challenges to and achievements were the result of war, coups, and attacks on democratic of democracy over the past five decades. Among the more institutions by illiberal incumbents. The authoritarian regime significant challenges has been a widespread assault on in Russia launched a full-scale invasion of Ukraine in a bid to the civil liberties that can be used to hold governments to scuttle that country’s hard-won democratic progress. New account—most notably, freedom of expression. coups and other attempts to undermine representative government destabilized Burkina Faso, Tunisia, Peru, and Over the last 17 years, the number of countries and territories Brazil. Previous years’ coups and ongoing repression that receive a score of 0 out of 4 on the report’s media continued to diminish basic liberties in Guinea and constrain freedom indicator has ballooned from 14 to 33. The year those in settings such as Turkey, Myanmar, and Thailand. 2022 brought more of the same, with media freedom coming Afghanistan’s Taliban regime barred girls from receiving under pressure in at least 157 countries and territories. Scores an education in the midst of an ongoing economic and for a related indicator pertaining to freedom of personal humanitarian crisis. Governments and occupying powers used expression have also suffered over the years amid greater violence and other means to destroy cultures and change invasions of privacy, harassment and intimidation, and the ethnic composition of populations in 21 countries and incentives to self-censor both online and offline. territories, including Ukraine, Ethiopia, and Myanmar. It has become more difficult to consolidate nascent A total of 34 countries showed improvements in political democratic institutions in recent decades. More and more rights and civil liberties, compared with 35 that lost countries have remained Partly Free instead of moving ground, signaling a possible slowdown in the global toward full democratization. Still, the world is significantly decline. Democratic gains were achieved through more freer today than it was 50 years ago. In 1973, 44 of 148 transparent and competitive elections in Lesotho, Colombia, countries were rated Free. Today, 84 of 195 countries have and Kenya. A lifting of pandemic-related restrictions that earned that status. Many strong democracies that emerged disproportionately affected freedom of assembly and during periods of progress have since withstood serious freedom of movement also produced positive change, as political, social, and economic pressures. did a renewed commitment to judicial independence in some countries. Ongoing protests against repression in Iran, Cuba, China, and other authoritarian countries suggest that people’s desire for In addition to these outright improvements, the year freedom is enduring, and that no setback should be regarded brought fresh evidence of the limits of authoritarian as permanent. Democratic societies’ international solidarity, power. Authoritarian influence at the United Nations and commitment to shared values, and continued support for other international organizations faltered as democracies human rights defenders are crucial to ensuring that the next reaffirmed the value of multilateral engagement. Ukrainians, 50 years bring the world closer to a state of freedom for all. 2 @ FreedomHouse #FreedomInTheWorld
Freedom House Direct attacks on democracy and the human cost of authoritarian rule D ramatic declines in political rights and civil liberties during 2022 were driven by direct assaults on democratic institutions, whether by foreign military forces or incumbent The war has been, as Ukrainian president Volodymyr Zelenskyy put it, a disaster with a high price. In his desire to destroy democracy in Ukraine and deny Ukrainians officials in positions of trust. War, coups d’état, and power their political rights and civil liberties, Putin has caused the grabs repeatedly posed an existential threat to elected deaths and injuries of thousands of Ukrainian civilians as governments around the world. well as soldiers on both sides, the destruction of crucial infrastructure, the displacement of millions of people In February, Ukrainians were violently thrust into the from their homes, a proliferation of torture and sexual heart of the global struggle to defend democracy against violence, and the intensification of already harsh repression authoritarianism. President Vladimir Putin of Russia, having within Russia. already overseen the illegal occupation of Ukrainian territory in Crimea and eastern Donbas since 2014, launched a full- scale invasion of the country. Whatever false justifications Military coups for this war of aggression have been promulgated by the Kremlin’s state-controlled media, its clear purpose is to While the assault on Ukraine’s democracy came from a remove the elected leadership in Kyiv and deprive Ukrainians neighboring state, a growing number of countries faced of their fundamental right to free self-government. attacks from within. Burkina Faso experienced the steepest 17 YEARS OF DEMOCRATIC DECLINE Countries with aggregate score declines in Freedom 17 Years of Democratic in the Decline World have outnumbered those with gains every year for the Countries with aggregate score declines in past 17 years. However, events in 2022 generated the smallest margin—aWorld Freedom in the nd thehave outnumbered smallest number those of with countries with declines— gains every year for the past 17 years. However, events in 2022 generated the smallest margin— since the negative pattern began. and the smallest number of countries with declines—since the negative pattern began. 83 This year featured the fewest countries 56 with declines in the 50 17-year period. 43 43 43 40 38 34 34 37 33 36 35 37 34 28 25 NUMBER OF COUNTRIES THAT IMPROVED 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 NUMBER OF COUNTRIES THAT DECLINED 35 Note: Countries 49 whose scores were 52 54 54 unchanged are not 59 59 60 60 63 62 64 included Note:in this comparison. Countries whose scores were 67 67 68 unchanged are not included in this Freedom in the World assesses 72 71 73 comparison. Freedom in the World 195 countries and 15and assesses 195 countries territories. 15 territories. This infographic is from the Freedom in the World 2023 report by freedomhouse.org FreedomHouse.org 3
FREEDOM IN Marking 50 Years in the THE WORLD 2023 Struggle for Democracy Captain Ibrahim Traoré, installed as leader of Burkina Faso following a coup, gives a news conference in October 2022, in Ouagadougou. (Image credit: Stringer / Anadolu Agency via Getty Images) decline in freedom in this year’s report, losing a total of 23 the implementation of a state of emergency that granted points on the 100-point scale and falling from Partly Free special powers to security services and limited the right to to Not Free status as a result of two successive coups. In assembly. Over two dozen people were killed and hundreds January 2022, Lieutenant Colonel Paul-Henri Sandaogo were injured in December alone as police responded to the Damiba, leading a self-proclaimed Patriotic Movement for protests with deadly force, and unrest continued into the Safeguard and Restoration, ousted the elected president, new year. The crisis caused the country to drop from Free suspended the constitution, dissolved the legislature, and to Partly Free status and threatened to further undermine instituted a curfew. Just eight months later, he was replaced a political system that has endured multiple presidential by another officer, Captain Ibrahim Traoré, who dismissed the resignations and impeachments in recent years. transitional government, again suspended the constitution, closed the borders, and issued orders that prevented civil In addition to the dangers they pose in the moment, coups society organizations from operating. Both coup leaders ruled and coup attempts can have repercussions that substantially by decree and made only vague commitments to holding degrade protections for human rights in the long run. democratic elections in the future. Thailand’s civil society continues to feel the effects of a 2014 coup by army chief Prayuth Chan-ocha. Perceived critics of Events at the end of 2022 showed that even unsuccessful the military-backed government face charges under lèse- coup attempts can do immediate harm to the political majesté laws, which forbid insulting the monarchy, and human system and human rights, especially when they take place in rights organizations were subjected to increasingly intense a country that has previously experienced authoritarianism. legal harassment in 2022. The ruling junta in Guinea, which In December, Peru’s President Pedro Castillo tried to came to power in a 2021 coup, has continued to roll back avoid imminent impeachment by suspending Congress rights and reverse the democratic gains of the past decade, and declaring a nationwide curfew. Castillo’s attempted banning all political protests last year. Since a 2021 coup in “autogolpe,” or self-coup, happened 30 years after President Myanmar, the military junta there has waged a relentless and Alberto Fujimori seized legislative and judicial powers in the brutal campaign of violence across the country, detaining country with help from the military and began a decade- and killing thousands of people, displacing approximately one long dictatorship. Even though Castillo was quickly removed million residents, and destroying an experiment with elected from office and replaced by the vice president, his arrest civilian rule that the military itself had initiated with a new sparked large protests across the country and triggered constitution in 2008. 4 @ FreedomHouse #FreedomInTheWorld
Freedom House In Turkey, a failed 2016 coup attempt has cast a long shadow Tunisia experienced the third-largest score decline of any over political rights and civil liberties. President Recep Tayyip country as a direct result of the actions of the elected Erdoğan and his Justice and Development Party (AKP) president. Kaïs Saïed, who had unilaterally dismissed the used the incident to justify the removal of key democratic prime minister and suspended the parliament in 2021, checks and balances and the elimination of political rivals. continued to consolidate power by formally dissolving the This process continued in 2022, as Turkey prepared for a parliament in March. He then rolled out a new constitution pivotal presidential election in the first half of 2023. Ahead that gave more authority to the presidency and dismantled of the vote, the government adopted a new law to control legislative and judicial checks on the executive branch, the selection of judges who will review challenges to election securing approval for the document through a flawed results, and approved a “disinformation” law that could referendum. December parliamentary elections, which were further stifle opposition campaigns and independent media. boycotted by most opposition parties, drew a voter turnout of just 11 percent and prompted calls from the opposition for Saïed to resign. The threat from incumbent leaders In El Salvador, the parliamentary supermajority gained by Democratic institutions suffered from abuses by powerful President Nayib Bukele’s allies in 2021 elections continued incumbents in 2022. After assuming office through elections, to help him undermine democratic controls. In March 2022, these leaders rejected the established democratic process the legislature approved his request for a state of exception and sought to rewrite the rules of the game to maintain their intended to address gang violence, which has led to the grip on power. indefinite detention of tens of thousands of people, with Controlling CONTROLLING LAND BY CHANGING ITS Land by Changing Its People PEOPLE Governments and occupying powers in 21 countries and territories use a variety of methods to forcibly change Governments theand occupying ethnic powersofina21country composition countries and territories or territory so as use a varietya culture to destroy of methods tothe or tip forcibly change political the ethnic balance. composition of a country or territory so as to destroy a culture or tip the political balance. CULTURAL MASS DETENTION DIRECTED PERSECUTION AND EXPULSION SETTLEMENT Ukraine: Russian occupation Myanmar: The military West Bank: Israeli authorities have destroyed has methodically authorities have promoted Ukrainian cultural sites, destroyed the villages of the growth of Israeli suppressed the Ukrainian Rohingya and other ethnic Jewish settlements and language in education, and minority groups, forcing demolished Palestinian forcibly transferred Ukrainian residents to flee. housing in the occupied children to Russia for adoption West Bank. Ethiopia: Ongoing civil by Russian families. conflict in the Tigray Tibet: Communist Party China: Communist Party region has resulted in the authorities have forcibly authorities have forced Uyghur expulsion of hundreds of resettled members of children to attend boarding thousands of people based ethnic minorities. schools away from their families on their ethnicity. and receive Mandarin-only instruction and indoctrination. This infographic is from the Freedom in the World 2023 report by freedomhouse.org FreedomHouse.org 5
FREEDOM IN Marking 50 Years in the THE WORLD 2023 Struggle for Democracy A woman holds an infant inside a school in Mekelle, within the Tigray region of Ethiopia. The school was turned into a temporary shelter for people displaced by conflict in the region. (Image credit: Reuters/Baz Ratner) little regard for their due process rights. Under the state of for a military coup against the new government, stormed exception, authorities have also suspended anticorruption Congress, the Supreme Court, and the presidential palace. mechanisms that would shed light on government spending Although the elected administration retained power and and contracts. In September, Bukele announced that he would cracked down on the perpetrators, Brazilian democracy compete for a second term, a year after the Constitutional remained on the defensive after this destructive event. Court—newly packed with his appointees after a wholesale purge—overturned a ban on consecutive presidential terms. The worst excesses of The victory of Prime Minister Viktor Orbán’s Fidesz party unchecked power in Hungary’s April 2022 elections was facilitated by his When assessing the stakes of the struggle for democracy, it is government’s campaign since 2010 to systematically important to remember the devastating costs that authoritarian undermine the independence of the judiciary, opposition rule can impose on entire populations. In the absence of any groups, the media, and nongovernmental organizations. Among meaningful constraints on political power and the use of force, other advantages, Fidesz benefited from legislative changes it a growing number of regimes around the world have engaged in had pushed through two years earlier, which raised the vote wholesale persecution of women or ethnic minority groups, in threshold that parties must reach to enter the parliament. some cases drawing accusations of genocide. Brazilian president Jair Bolsonaro’s warnings that he would Since overthrowing Afghanistan’s elected government in not accept election results if he lost stoked mistrust in the 2021, the Taliban have presided over a catastrophic economic democratic process among his supporters. After losing collapse, a surge in hunger and poverty, and mass emigration. to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in a runoff, Bolsonaro avoided Rather than taking steps that would reduce its international formally conceding, and his campaign later attempted to isolation, however, the regime has moved in the opposite overturn the result in court by claiming that a computer error direction. The Taliban authorities barred girls from attending had disqualified large batches of votes. Just before Lula’s secondary school in March 2022, effectively ending education January 1 inauguration, Bolsonaro traveled to the United for women after the sixth grade, and in December they States, avoiding participation in the traditional transfer of the ordered private and public universities to prohibit female presidential sash to the new leader. The next week, thousands students from attending classes, preventing women who of the former president’s loyalists, who had repeatedly called already reached higher education from completing their 6 @ FreedomHouse #FreedomInTheWorld
Freedom House studies. Also in December, authorities issued a decree banning women from working in national and international nongovernmental organizations. Lacking any recourse within When assessing the stakes of the the political system, Afghan women took their demands struggle for democracy, it is important to the streets, where they were met with water cannons, beatings, and arrests. to remember the devastating costs that authoritarian rule can impose The number of countries and territories where the government or an occupying power is deliberately changing on entire populations. the ethnic composition of the population in order to destroy a culture or tip the political balance increased from 19 to 21 last year. Ethiopia and Ukraine were added to the list, of migration from Russia, transfers of local prisoners and joining longtime sites of forced ethnic change like China conscripts to Russia, deportations of those who refuse and Myanmar. Russian citizenship, and repression of the Ukrainian and Tatar cultures and languages within the education system. These In Ethiopia, the ongoing civil conflict centered on the practices were expanded to other parts of occupied Ukraine northern Tigray region has resulted in, among other abuses, after the full-scale invasion, and augmented with horrific extrajudicial killings, enforced disappearances, and the projects like the mass abduction and removal of Ukrainian expulsion of hundreds of thousands of people from their children to Russia. homes on the basis of their ethnicity. Like other countries and territories in the Not Free category, Ethiopia lacks many Forced ethnic change is also a matter of official policy for the aspects of the rule of law that might protect its citizens’ Chinese Communist Party (CCP), which aims to deliberately fundamental human rights. break up the cultures and geographic concentrations of ethnic minority groups in Xinjiang, Tibet, and Inner Mongolia. Moscow’s occupation of Crimea and eastern Donbas has Among the 57 Not Free countries in the world, China ranks entailed a long-standing campaign of forced ethnic change in near the absolute bottom in terms of overall political rights those Ukrainian territories. Since 2014, many Crimean Tatars and civil liberties. It is joined there by Myanmar, where the and ethnic Ukrainians have left the regions, driven not only military has engaged in violent attacks on and expulsions by political persecution and the violence of war but also by of the Rohingya population as well as several other overt policies of Russification, including encouragement ethnic groups. FreedomHouse.org 7
FREEDOM IN Marking 50 Years in the THE WORLD 2023 Struggle for Democracy A possible turning point for global freedom T here were signs during the past year that the world’s long freedom recession may be bottoming out, which would set the stage for a future recovery. The gap between the in respect for fundamental rights even before the election period, as the government granted temporary protection permits to more Venezuelan refugees and the Constitutional number of countries that registered overall improvements Court decriminalized abortion. in political rights and civil liberties and those that registered overall declines in 2022 was the narrowest it has ever been Establishing a strong record of peaceful political competition through 17 consecutive years of deterioration. The number of and democratic power transfers can be a long and arduous countries with declines, at 35, was the smallest recorded since process. The elections in both Colombia and Lesotho were the negative pattern began. Thirty-four countries registered not without problems, and obstacles to further progress improvements. remain. Lesotho continues to struggle with ills including police brutality, a legacy of political influence exercised by the The gains came in various forms. Eight countries registered security agencies, and chronic political turmoil. In Colombia, modest improvements in civil liberties due to the rollback of politicians faced threats of violence while on the campaign COVID-19 restrictions that had disproportionately infringed trail, and illegal armed groups associated with the far left and on the freedoms of assembly and movement. But the most far right remain a menace to the rule of law and civil society. significant positive developments were driven by competitive The country is one of the deadliest in the world for human elections in Latin America and Africa, with politicians and rights defenders. ordinary people in the affected countries reaffirming their commitment to the democratic process. The United States navigated its 2022 midterm elections without any violence of the sort that occurred during the The year also brought fresh evidence of the limits of January 2021 assault on the Capitol. The elections produced authoritarian power, as key regimes faltered in their attempts a divided Congress, with the Republican Party winning a to exert influence at international organizations and their narrow majority in the House of Representatives while the internal governance flaws led to dramatic policy setbacks. Democratic Party maintained control in the Senate. Although hundreds of Republican candidates who explicitly denied the legitimacy of President Joseph Biden’s victory over former president Donald Trump in the 2020 election ran for office Consolidating democracy across the country, they lost in almost all key statewide races. through elections This comparative stability on the political front was offset by Two countries, Lesotho and Colombia, improved from Partly the Supreme Court’s removal of constitutional protections Free to Free last year following successful competitive against strict abortion bans. elections. In Lesotho, Sam Matekane’s Revolution for Prosperity party won a plurality of seats in the parliament In Slovenia, a competitive election with the highest voter and replaced the incumbent government. Representing turnout in 20 years resulted in defeat for the right-wing a departure from years of instability, the elections were populist government, which had repeatedly threatened media hailed as fair and peaceful by observers from numerous freedom and other democratic norms. Kenya held what international organizations. In Colombia, a broad coalition observers hailed as its most transparent presidential election enabled Gustavo Petro to win the June presidential runoff ever, and the results were confirmed by an independent vote, overcoming political forces associated with former Supreme Court. The country’s political leaders notably president Álvaro Uribe, who has dominated the political scene refrained from the boycotts and incitement of ethnic violence since the early 2000s. The country had been making gains that had disrupted some previous elections. 8 @ FreedomHouse #FreedomInTheWorld
Freedom House LARGEST ONE-YEAR GAINS AND DECLINES IN 2022 Gains in aggregate score reflect improvements in conditions for political rights and civil liberties. -23 Burkina Faso -11 Ukraine -8 Tunisia -4 Guinea -4 Nicaragua -3 El Salvador -3 Hungary -3 Mali -3 Russia Lesotho +3 Malaysia +3 FREE Philippines +3 PARTLY FREE Zambia +3 NOT FREE Kenya +4 Note: This chart shows aggregate +4 Kosovo score changes of 3 or more points in countries with a population of Slovenia +5 1 million or more. Colombia +6 -25 -20 -15 -10 -5 0 +5 +10 Gain or Decline in Aggregate Score Checks on autocrats’ However, authoritarian cooperation is motivated by narrow international influence self-interest and centers on low-cost actions, meaning it can fracture when regimes’ priorities diverge or they encounter Authoritarian powers have made an effort to reshape the determined democratic pressure. The CSTO’s response to the international system by exercising their influence at the crisis in Kazakhstan, for instance, stood in stark contrast to United Nations. They have embraced UN participation and the organization’s failure to assist Armenia, the only member multilateralism primarily as a means of defending themselves state that is rated Partly Free, as it suffered repeated attacks against international mechanisms aimed at transparency and on its sovereign territory by fellow member state Azerbaijan. accountability. Elected five times to the UN Human Rights Council, the Chinese government has repeatedly blocked Few of Vladimir Putin’s authoritarian allies have openly resolutions addressing its own policies. It has also joined with supported his war of aggression against Ukraine. CCP leader its counterparts from Iran, Belarus, North Korea, Cuba, and Xi Jinping has not endorsed the invasion or provided military other member states in the so-called Group of Friends in support despite describing the bilateral partnership as having Defense of the Charter of the United Nations to criticize the “no limits” early in 2022. The countries of the Caucasus use of sanctions. and Central Asia are often seen as lying within Moscow’s geopolitical orbit, but Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan, Tajikistan, Regional organizations too have been used to prop up Turkmenistan, and Uzbekistan have declined to recognize autocrats. The Russian-controlled Collective Security Treaty Russia’s annexation of Ukrainian territory, and they have all Organization (CSTO), for example, deployed troops in complied with sanctions against Russian banks. The Kremlin’s January 2022 to protect Kazakhstan’s President Kasym- most steadfast ally in the region continues to be President Zhomart Tokayev from large-scale antigovernment protests Alyaksandr Lukashenka of Belarus, who is dependent on sparked by a sharp rise in fuel prices. Russian support to maintain his own tenuous grip on power. FreedomHouse.org 9
FREEDOM IN Marking 50 Years in the THE WORLD 2023 Struggle for Democracy Valentyna Buhaiova embraces Ukrainian marines in her home village of Kyselivka, outside of Kherson, Ukraine, in November 2022. Ukrainian forces had recently retaken Kyselivka, liberating it from Russian occupation. (Image credit: Reuters/ Valentyn Ogirenko) Meanwhile, democracies are standing up for human rights Control over competence at international organizations. After years of being shielded by diplomats from Russia and China, Myanmar’s junta was Autocrats’ behavior at the international level is a reflection condemned by the UN Security Council in December for of their governing methods at home, where in the absence using violent tactics against prodemocracy activists. Similarly, of a genuine popular mandate, they rely on a crude despite the presence of authoritarian member states, the combination of corruption and force to maintain control. UN Human Rights Council voted to suspend Russia in April. The democratic institutions that might moderate graft and In October, the council went further, appointing a special state violence—such as opposition parties, independent rapporteur to monitor the human rights situation in Russia by courts, a free press, and civil society groups—are a vote of 17 to 6. suppressed as potential threats to the leader’s power. When such corrosive problems are allowed to go unchecked, they Venezuela was denied a seat on the UN Human Rights Council can undermine the regime’s own goals and threaten the lives in October elections by the General Assembly. While most of ordinary people. regional groups did not nominate more candidate countries than available seats, democratic Costa Rica and Chile both Corruption comes at a high cost to both public services ran to block Venezuela’s bid for a seat from the Latin America and government revenue. In Venezuela, endemic corruption and Caribbean group. In December, Iran was removed from orchestrated by the regime of Nicolás Maduro has stripped the UN Commission on the Status of Women and prevented the land of natural resources and undermined crucial from serving the rest of its four-year term as a result of a infrastructure, impoverishing the population and impeding resolution introduced by the United States and supported the government’s ability to address health and economic by 28 other countries. The measure noted that the Iranian emergencies. The country consequently faces an ongoing government’s campaign to suppress the rights of women and humanitarian crisis, with shortages of electricity, medicine, girls by using force against protesters flew in the face of the and food. Over seven million people have fled abroad. UN body’s mission to promote gender equality. In Russia, Putin’s long history of enabling corruption at the The contest between democratic and authoritarian norms at highest levels has left him unable to fulfill the goals of his international organizations is far from over. But the positive war of aggression. Despite the fact that the Kremlin spent developments of the past year should encourage even more hundreds of billions of dollars on modernizing the Russian active democratic engagement in multilateral forums. military over the last two decades, it remains a poorly 10 @ FreedomHouse #FreedomInTheWorld
Freedom House equipped force, with soldiers who lack food and basic medical the use of surveillance technologies, and imposed mass supplies and use Soviet-era maps and weapons. Many in the quarantines on whole cities that disproportionately restricted United States and elsewhere believed Putin’s boasts that freedom of movement and often threatened access to Russian military capabilities matched those of the North food and medical care. In December 2022, the CCP abruptly Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) and far outmatched abandoned zero-COVID restrictions without adequate those of Ukraine, but the progress of the war quickly preparation. At the end of the month, reports emerged disproved those claims. The families of Russian conscripts are of overwhelmed hospitals and as many as 1 million new now being asked to provide them with everything from body infections per day. armor to gauze for bandages. None of this has stopped the Kremlin from sending such soldiers to their deaths as the war The about-face was triggered in part by nationwide grinds on, since admitting defeat would threaten the illusion protests that followed a deadly residential fire in Urumqi of strength and shrewdness on which Putin’s illegitimate in late November, in which both victims and rescuers were authority partly depends. reportedly hampered by COVID-related restrictions on movement. As Freedom House’s China Dissent Monitor As with corruption, the need to maintain control through has shown, protests in China on a variety of issues are not overwhelming force—and the lack of mechanisms to uncommon. Despite the likelihood of grave punishments, moderate it—can interfere with an autocrat’s ability to adjust citizens participated in 638 demonstrations and similar policy in response to public frustrations. China’s disastrous dissent events between June and September 2022. The experience with the CCP’s “zero COVID” policy illustrated zero-COVID protests in the wake of the Urumqi blaze were what can happen to people caught in an authoritarian system preceded by other acts of defiance, including the “bridge that is more focused on compelling their obedience than man” protest against the central government in Beijing in ensuring their well-being. October. But even in the face of clear public outrage on a national scale, the CCP remains unable to address people’s President Xi, who has been in power since 2012 and secured underlying grievances. It failed to make health restrictions a third term as CCP leader in October 2022, has repeatedly more tailored or humane, or to lift them with appropriate claimed that China’s political system is superior to democracy caution. Indeed the party provoked further anger by in providing stability, prosperity, and even protection from promoting officials who were responsible for some of the the spread of COVID-19. In dealing with the health threat, greatest suffering, including Li Qiang, who had overseen harsh CCP officials leaned on existing tools of repression, expanded lockdowns as party chief in Shanghai. People hold white sheets of paper in protest over COVID- 19 restrictions in Beijing on Nov. 27, 2022. Crowds had gathered for a vigil honoring the victims of a fire in Urumqi, which took place during COVID-19- related lockdowns in China. (Image credit: REUTERS/ Thomas Peter) FreedomHouse.org 11
FREEDOM IN Marking 50 Years in the THE WORLD 2023 Struggle for Democracy The policy blunders committed by Moscow and aims. Similarly, the Chinese government’s botched reversal Beijing demonstrate that the fallibility of authoritarian of its procrustean COVID-19 policies may prove even more governments, and not just their malice, can take an destructive than the years of brutal lockdowns themselves. incredibly large toll on human life. Corruption, criminality, Authoritarian shortcomings must be assessed with clear and feckless leadership have made the Russian army far eyes. These regimes are unlikely to govern more effectively more deadly to soldiers and civilians on both sides of the than democracies, but their errors are part of what makes front line, despite the force’s failure to achieve stated war them so dangerous. LARGEST 10-YEAR DECLINES Dramatic declines in freedom have been observed in every region of the world. -33 Libya -32 Nicaragua -30 South Sudan -30 Tanzania -29 Turkey -28 Central African Republic -24 Venezuela -23 Benin -23 Burkina Faso -23 Egypt -23 Thailand -22 Hungary -21 El Salvador -20 Burundi -19 Afghanistan -18 Serbia -17 Myanmar -17 Tajikistan -16 Bangladesh -16 Nauru -16 Yemen -14 Azerbaijan -14 Gabon -14 Mozambique -13 Comoros -12 Congo (Brazzaville) -12 Haiti -12 Kyrgyzstan -12 Poland -11 Russia FREE -10 Bosnia and Herzegovina PARTLY FREE -10 India NOT FREE -10 United States -35 -30 -25 -20 -15 -10 -5 0 Decline in Aggregate Score 12 @ FreedomHouse #FreedomInTheWorld
Freedom House Free expression: A leading indicator of democratic decline F reedom of expression, a fundamental component of democracy, has been under sustained attack around the world for the last 17 years. Of all the indicators that Freedom intimidation and violence even in some democracies. The past year brought more of the same, with media freedom coming under pressure in at least 157 countries and territories in the World uses to assess political rights and civil liberties, assessed by Freedom in the World. freedom of the media and freedom of personal expression have declined the most precipitously since 2005. This In Russia, a multiyear media crackdown went into overdrive assault coincided with the rapid uptake of information and as the government sought to eliminate domestic opposition communication technologies that have effectively broken to the full-scale invasion of Ukraine. Russian independent many states’ media monopolies. In too many places, however, journalists and outlets had long contended with laws that authorities responded to new forms of online expression labeled them as foreign agents, extremists, or “undesirable.” with harsh offline punishments and technological innovations In 2022, the expansion of criminal laws targeting the of their own. spread of false information related to the war empowered Roskomnadzor, the federal media and telecommunications regulator, to block websites more aggressively without a court order. Authorities blocked access to most of the Press freedom in retreat independent media outlets that were still available in the Freedom for independent journalism has plummeted. The country, including Ekho Moskvy, Dozhd, Voice of America, the number of countries and territories that have a score of 0 British Broadcasting Corporation (BBC), and Meduza. Some out of 4 on the media freedom indicator has ballooned from foreign journalists were also denied entry to Russia. 14 to 33 during the 17 years of global democratic decline, as journalists faced persistent attacks from autocrats and Moscow’s tactics have spread to Central Asia, where their supporters while receiving inadequate protection from Kyrgyzstan has adopted many similar laws targeting the A protester holds a placard during a demonstration at the Hong Kong Economic and Trade Office in London. The demonstration was held in response to the closure of several media outlets in Hong Kong and concerns about media freedom. (Image credit: Hesther Ng/SOPA Images/LightRocket via Getty Images) FreedomHouse.org 13
FREEDOM IN Marking 50 Years in the THE WORLD 2023 Struggle for Democracy media. Kyrgyz authorities recently tried and failed to convict a informants and physical searches. The result is a pervasive prominent investigative journalist, Bolot Temirov, on dubious sense of fear among civic activists, members of marginalized charges of forgery. In an outrageous violation of the rule of communities, and average citizens when discussing sensitive law, Temirov was summarily stripped of his citizenship and topics in public, semipublic, or private settings. transported to Russia in late November 2022, despite the fact that he had been born in Kyrgyzstan. From 2005 to 2022, the number of countries and territories that scored a 0 out of 4 on this indicator rose from six to 15, signaling a nearly complete lack of freedom to voice The number of countries and antigovernment opinions even in private. In Nicaragua, years of worsening crackdowns on opposition to the regime of territories that have a score of 0 out of President Daniel Ortega culminated in show trials of dozens of 4 on the media freedom indicator has people—accused of crimes ranging from treason to spreading false news and undermining national integrity—based almost ballooned from 14 to 33 during the 17 solely on evidence that they made critical remarks about years of global democratic decline. the government. Such cases clearly discourage others from speaking out. Conditions are at least as grim in Afghanistan, Belarus, Russian-occupied eastern Donbas, and Eritrea, where authorities have deployed networks of informants and checked Journalists routinely face harassment and threats in reprisal people’s phones to suppress the sharing of dissenting opinions. for their efforts to expose corruption. Two reporters, including a Cable News Network (CNN) correspondent, fled Guatemala The penalties for nonviolent criticism can be extreme. last year after they received explicit threats, while another Myanmar’s military junta executed prodemocracy activist was arrested by the government in July. José Rubén Zamora, Kyaw Min Yu, better known as Ko Jimmy, for speaking out director of the newspaper El Periódico, which has faced severe against the 2021 military coup that displaced an elected harassment in the past, was charged with financial crimes in civilian government. In August 2022, a terrorism court in what many observers describe as a bid to censor an outlet Saudi Arabia sentenced Nourah bint Saeed al-Qahtani to that has reported critically on the government of President 45 years in prison merely for social media posts, just weeks Alejandro Giammattei. Zamora remained in pretrial detention after handing a 34-year sentence to another woman, Salma through the end of the year, with the trial reportedly not al-Shehab, for sharing posts by Saudi dissidents. In Hong scheduled to start until May 2023. Kong, following Beijing’s imposition of the draconian National Security Law in 2020, authorities began pursuing national Authorities in a variety of countries failed to offer effective security and sedition charges against both political activists protections to media professionals who were at risk of and ordinary residents for expressing dissent, for example by extralegal violence from nonstate actors. Journalists playing protest songs, clapping in court, or putting up posters. reporting on the security situation in Haiti, which had worsened since the 2021 assassination of President Jovenel There are fewer and fewer spaces where people can express Moïse, experienced an extraordinary amount of physical themselves without fear of surveillance. At a time when the violence in 2022. Members of the media were executed by internet has become fundamental to people’s daily lives, virtually gangs, killed while in police custody, and shot at while on their all online activities generate data that are subject to monitoring way to work. by authorities, whether directly or through commercial systems and advertising technology that can be exploited to reveal sensitive information. Many countries employ police units to The risks of personal expression search social media posts for banned forms of political, artistic, Beyond the news media, ordinary people are less free to express religious, or sexual expression. Networks of street cameras their views to others, whether online or off. Many governments equipped with artificial intelligence can identify protesters and have been quick to reapply existing repressive laws to the online track their whereabouts. And the proliferation of spyware has sphere and adopt invasive technologies to monitor digital made electronic surveillance potentially ubiquitous; even the communication. Others continue to resort to old-fashioned presence of an internet-connected device can be enough to methods of control over speech, like the use of human deter uninhibited discussion. 14 @ FreedomHouse #FreedomInTheWorld
Freedom House TO STIFLE DEMOCRACY, SILENCE To StifleFREE SPEECH Democracy, Silence Free Speech Of all the indicators tracked by Freedom in the World, media freedom and freedom of Of all the indicators tracked by Freedom personal expressionin thedeclined have media World, the mostfreedom and over precipitously freedom of personal the past 17 years. expression have declined the most precipitously over the past 17 years. The number of countries and territories receiving the RESTRICTING lowest score for freedom of PERSONAL personal expression more than doubled between 2005 The number of countries and EXPRESSION and 2022.* ATTACKS territories receiving the lowest score for media freedom has In 2022, authorities or ON MEDIA ballooned from 14 in 2005 to 33 powerful figures in 109 countries and territories FREEDOM in 2022.* took steps to restrict free In 2022, free and independent speech and discussion media came under attack in among ordinary citizens. 157 countries and territories worldwide. Types of restrictions on personal expression Types of attacks on media include: freedom include: • Criminal penalties for offline or online speech that is protected • Criminal prosecution of journalists under international human rights • Extrajudicial violence against journalists standards • Adoption of laws that limit media • Violent reprisals for such independence protected speech • Censorship and blocking of critical • Use of surveillance to monitor outlets protected private speech * These countries and territories received a score* These of 0countries on a 0–4 scale,received and territories witha 0 representing score of 0 on a 0–4 scale,the with 0least degree representing ofdegree the least freedom. of freedom. This infographic is from the Freedom in the World 2023 report by freedomhouse.org No country can match the scale and sophistication of China’s infrastructure, spyware targets a victim’s smartphone or surveillance state, in which residents’ activities are invasively other electronic device regardless of its location, and allows monitored by public security cameras, urban grid managers, the capture of phone records, contact lists, geolocation data, and automated systems that detect suspicious and banned keyboard strokes, and even camera and microphone inputs. behavior, including innocuous expressions of ethnic and The Pegasus spyware product has been found on devices in religious identity. Workers at private digital platforms in China France, Hungary, India, Israel, Mexico, and Poland. Victims are required to censor an ever-changing list of prohibited included journalists and politicians, while the perpetrators terms and to notify authorities about users who dare to remained unknown and unaccountable for their abuses. criticize the CCP. Those identified as dissidents can face consequences including forced disappearance and torture. These pernicious encroachments on freedom of expression pose an obvious threat to democracy. While professional But surveillance has also chilled freedom of expression in journalists and media outlets disseminate information, ensure countries rated Free and Partly Free. Technology companies transparency, and hold the powerful to account, the freedom are generally required to maintain a log of their users’ online of personal expression reinforces individual autonomy and activities, and in many countries, they must share it with facilitates discussion of differing opinions. It is also crucial authorities through a process that lacks judicial oversight and to fostering associations and communities within a larger guardrails against abuse. The growing and unregulated global society, including those based on ethnic, cultural, sexual, market for commercial spyware has enabled infringements gender, and religious identities. The denial of press freedom on the right to private expression that often stretch across and freedom of personal expression bolsters authoritarian international borders. Rather than collecting data or control by cutting citizens off from accurate information and, intercepting traffic at fixed points in the telecommunications just as importantly, from one another. FreedomHouse.org 15
FREEDOM IN Marking 50 Years in the THE WORLD 2023 Struggle for Democracy Lessons from 50 years of Freedom in the World O ver the past five decades, people in every region of the world have demanded and built democracies even under extremely difficult circumstances. Once fully established, many military dictatorships were giving way to elected civilian leaders. A military junta in Greece collapsed in 1974 amid a confrontation with Turkey over control of Cyprus. Greek most democratic systems have stood strong against a wide democracy was restored through general elections that were array of challenges. held just 142 days after the beginning of the crisis. In 1973, when Freedom House published its first comprehensive After right-wing dictator Francisco Franco died in 1975, Spain assessment of political rights and civil liberties, only 44 of 148 began its own transition to democracy, which took years and countries were classified as Free. Today, 84 of 195 countries required overcoming the commitment of the armed forces are Free. The varied paths that these countries followed show to the old regime. The transition was confirmed through there is no single method for improving or protecting political a free general election in 1977 and the adoption of a new rights and civil liberties. However, popular self-government constitution the following year. Spain’s democracy proved through credible, competitive, free, and fair elections continues resilient in the early 1980s, when the government survived to be the hallmark of democracy and a guarantee of its a coup attempt and a second general election resulted in a associated benefits. peaceful transfer of power to the socialist opposition. Positive change followed in Latin America. After a A record of progress disastrous invasion of the Falkland Islands in 1982, the The first editions of Freedom in the World coincided with military leaders who had presided over Argentina’s “dirty the beginning of the “third wave” of democratization, when war”—a bloody campaign of state terrorism against political The Ebb and Flow of Democratization THE EBB AND FLOW OFThe share of countries rated Free has generally increased over the past DEMOCRATIZATION 50 years, but progress faltered beginning in the early 2000s. The share of countries rated Free has generally increased over the past 50 years, but progress faltered beginning in the early 2000s. 100% NOT FREE 80% 2011 1991 Despite the initial promise of 60% 1988–89 In the 1990s, the fall of the Soviet Union and a wave of democratization the Arab Spring, few countries in the region PARTLY 1978–79 While efforts to roll back communism, such as in Africa enabled several countries to experienced sustained FREE South America joined move out of the Not Free category. democratic change. a global wave of Czechoslovakia’s Velvet Revolution, democratization, made gains across Europe, there driving the transition was a spike in transitions to Not 40% of countries from Not Free in regions like Central America Free to Partly Free. and the Middle East. FREE 20% 0% 1972 1982 1992 2002 2012 2022 16 @ FreedomHouse #FreedomInTheWorld
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