2Q2020 Analyst Presentation - August 17, 2020 - Esso (Thailand) Public ...

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2Q2020 Analyst Presentation - August 17, 2020 - Esso (Thailand) Public ...
2Q2020 Analyst Presentation
August 17, 2020
2Q2020 Analyst Presentation - August 17, 2020 - Esso (Thailand) Public ...
Disclaimer
The information contained in this presentation is provided by Esso (Thailand) Public Company Limited (the "Company") and is
subject to change without notice, its accuracy is not guaranteed and it may not contain all material information concerning the
Company. None of the Company, or any of their respective members, directors, officers, employees or affiliates nor any other
person accepts any liability whatsoever for any loss howsoever arising from any use of this presentation or its contents or
otherwise arising in connection therewith.

This presentation contains statements that constitute forward-looking statements. These statements include descriptions
regarding the intent, belief or current expectations of the Company or its officers with respect to the consolidated results of
operations and financial condition, and future events and plans of the Company. These statements can be recognized by the use
of words such as "expects," "plans," "will," "estimates," "projects," or words of similar meaning. Such forward-looking statements
are not guarantees of future performance and involve risks and uncertainties, and actual results may differ from those in the
forward-looking statements as a result of various factors and assumptions. Forward-looking statements are based on
management’s knowledge and reasonable expectations on the date hereof, and the Company assumes no duty to update these
statements as of any future date.

This presentation does not constitute or form part of any offer for sale or subscription of or solicitation or invitation of any offer to
buy or subscribe for any securities, nor shall it or any part of it form the basis of or be relied on in connection with any contract or
commitment whatsoever. No reliance may be placed for any purposes whatsoever on the information set forth in this
presentation or on its completeness.

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2Q2020 Analyst Presentation - August 17, 2020 - Esso (Thailand) Public ...
Industry and Business Environment

       •       COVID-19 significantly impacted 2Q20 economic including fuel demand and margins

       •       2020 GDP growth further revised down to contract 8.5%

       •       Average Dubai prices in June was $40.8/Bbl

       •       2Q20 Industry gross refining margin was -$0.9/Bbl

       •       June 2020 YTD Thailand fuel demand decreased 13.4% Y-Y

Source : Reuters: Oil prices, Industry GRM, GDP forecast : Fiscal Policy office:, DOEB : Industry demand growth

                                                                                                           3
2Q2020 Analyst Presentation - August 17, 2020 - Esso (Thailand) Public ...
Headline Results
•   Safely managed staff and facilities during
    Covid-19 pandamic

•   Refinery crude intake at 111 KBD

•   Gross Refining Margin of -$5.5/Bbl

•   Esso retail network totaling of 654 sites

•   Esso Smiles Drivers Rewards 4th Year             xxx

    Anniversary

•   Second quarter net loss of Baht 2,503 million

                                                 4
2Q2020 Analyst Presentation - August 17, 2020 - Esso (Thailand) Public ...
Margins and Crude Intake
                       Industry Gross Refining Margin ($/Bbl)                                        Crack Spread ($/Bbl)
             3.5                                        3.3                 UGP
                                                                                        12.8                                   13.1
                                                                            ADO
                                                                                                     11.7
                                                                                                                                             9.4
                               1.2                                                7.5
                                                                                               6.7                 7.1
                                                                0.2                                                      5.6
                                                                                                                                      4.6
                                                                                                             2.6

                                                -0.9
            2Q19              1Q20             2Q20     1H19    1H20               2Q19         1Q20          2Q20          1H19       1H20

                             Gross Refining Margin ($/Bbl)                                             Crude Intake (KBD)

                                                                                    135                                     140
                                                         2.9                                     122
              1.3                                                                                                                      117
                                                                                                               111

                                                 -5.5

                                                                -12.7

                              -19.3
                                                                                   2Q19         1Q20          2Q20          1H19      1H20
             2Q19             1Q20              2Q20    1H19    1H20

Source : Industry GRM and Crack Spread from Reuters                     5
2Q2020 Analyst Presentation - August 17, 2020 - Esso (Thailand) Public ...
Crude Source and Sales Channels
               Crude Intake by Source                                           Sales Channel

        31%               36%
                                        Middle East                      55%             53%    Commercial
                                        Far East & South East Asia
                                                                                                Retail
                          34%           Others
        44%                                                                                     Export

                                                                         40%             41%

        24%               30%
                                                                         5%               6%

        1H19             1H20                                            1H19            1H20

• Continued to seek advantaged crudes to improve refining economics
• Maintained focus on high margin sales through Retail, Commercial business

                                                                     6
2Q2020 Analyst Presentation - August 17, 2020 - Esso (Thailand) Public ...
Refinery Yields
             Production by Type                              Product Yields

                                                      5%           4%
                                                      4%           3%         LPG
                                  Light
      28%               29%                                        22%        Naphtha
                                  Middle              19%

                                  Heavy                                       Gasoline

                                  Feedstock                                   Diesel
                                                      35%          38%
      44%               44%                                                   Jet/Kerosene

                                                      9%                      Asphalt
                                                                   6%
                                                      2%           2%
      11%               10%                           9%           8%         Fuel Oil

      17%               17%                                                   Feedstock and others
                                                      17%          17%

      1H19             1H20                          1H19         1H20

 • Adjusted crude run and production plan in response to market environment change
 • Reduced Jet production till achieve zero rundown in June’20
                                              7
2Q2020 Analyst Presentation - August 17, 2020 - Esso (Thailand) Public ...
Petrochemical Spreads and Production
                     Px Spread ($/Ton)                                      Px Production (kTon/quarter)
                                                                                                    95
 PX-UGP                                                               90
                                         372
 PX-MX

                                               287
 270
                                                                             53
             219          214                        217
       201                                                                                                     46
                                                                                         39

                   118                                     111
                                103

  2Q19        1Q20          2Q20          1H19        1H20           2Q19   1Q20        2Q20      1H19 Avg   1H20 Avg

 • Margins still weak from demand – supply imbalance
 • Production runs to meet sales obligation

                                                                 8
2Q2020 Analyst Presentation - August 17, 2020 - Esso (Thailand) Public ...
Marketing Business Update
            Number
 Number of Service   of Newoffering
                   Stations ServiceSupreme
                                    Stations Plus Diesel          Number of Service Stations offering Premium Products
                                                                                                     425         443
                                    73                                                   382
                                                                             337
                                                                                                                       275
                                                                                                           254
                                                 41                                            205
              27                                                                   141
                                                        17

             2017              2018             2019   1H20                   2017        2018        2019        1H20

        Number of Service Stations offering B10                          Number of Outlets with Mobil Signage

           Total Service Stations        B10
                                                       654                                            1,641       1,645
                              608              638
            553
                                                        541                               1,221

                                                                               779

                                               125
                               0

           2017              2018              2019    1H20                    2017        2018       2019        1H20

                                                              9
2Q2020 Analyst Presentation - August 17, 2020 - Esso (Thailand) Public ...
Financial Performance
           Sales Revenue (Billion Baht)                           Cash Flow from Operations (Billion Baht)
                             91.8
                                                                                                              0.0

                                          63.8

 45.7                                                                                        (0.5)

             24.4                                                            (1.1)

                                                          (1.9)
 2Q19       2Q20            1H19          1H20           2Q19               2Q20            1H19             1H20

              EBITDA (Billion Baht)                                       Net Profit (Billion Baht)
                                0.9
                                                                                             0.1

   (0.8)                                                 (0.9)
               (2.5)                                                         (2.5)

                                            (9.8)                                                            (8.8)
  2Q19         2Q20           1H19          1H20         2Q19               2Q20            1H19             1H20

                                                    10
Financial Position
                  Balance Sheet Indicators (Billion Baht)
                                             D/E = 1.2
                                                                                             •   Decrease in assets driven by lower inventory
        6.4
                                                                         D/E = 2.1               balances and trade receivables, and utilization
                             4.2
        6.5                  4.0                26.9                                             of prepaid excise tax.
       19.1                 12.7
                                                                            27.7

       34.3                 38.8                22.1
                                                                                             •   Debt increased to Baht 27.7 billion
                                                                            13.1

     YE2019                 QE20              YE2019                        QE20             •   Debt-to-equity ratio 2.1
 Non-current assets   Inventory
 Trade receivables    Other current assets      Shareholders’ equity          Debt

                        Cash Flows (Billion Baht)
                                                                                             •   Cash flow used in investing activities mainly for
                                                                                                 Marketing network expansion and Refinery
                             0.0
       1.0                                                                                       projects
                             0.5             Cash flow from (used in) operating activities
                                             Cash flow from (used in) financing activities
       (0.3)
                            (0.5)            Cash flow from (used in) investing activities   •   Cash flow from financing activities reflected net
       (0.5)
                                                                                                 proceeds from borrowings
      1H19                 1H20

                                                                                  11
Summary
•   Global pandemic significantly impacted 2Q20
    financial results with lower prices, margins and sales
    volume

•   Safe operations with reduced crude run in response
    to change in demand

•   Successfully achieved zero jet production in June’20

•   Continued to expand retail network to exceed the
    targeted 670 services stations in 2020

•   Kept on a focus on cost saving and effective
    spending

                                                12
IR contact details:
• Email: essoir@exxonmobil.com
• Numbers: +662-407-4788
• Websites: http://esso.listedcompany.com/home.html
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