2021 Multifamily Trends to Know - UTAH VERSION
←
→
Page content transcription
If your browser does not render page correctly, please read the page content below
MULTIFAMILY TRENDS TO KNOW BY MATT GNEITING THE YEAR OF THE ROLLERCOASTER, that’s what I’m going to call it. Rollercoasters are identified typically as fun, something you want to pay to do. 2020 has been no different. It really hasn’t been fun if I’m honest, but a positive attitude requires an uplifting response and so we’ll call it fun. I feel better that way. Besides, challenge can be fun and this year has offered that. And true to form, like any rollercoaster ride, we’ve paid for this one too. For some, the price has been higher than others. 2020 has presented new opportunities and accelerated the pace of many trends while demanding significant change and adjustment. But looking forward, what’s on the horizon? And what can we see for tomorrow’s multifamily landscape? I’ve identified a number of key trends that are more important now to renters than ever that you’ll want to know about. Understanding and taking advantage of these will help improve your success now and through 2021. You’ll have to sort through the concepts and decide which ones will be most advantageous but I promise, these principles work and the data shows it. 2
A TENANT’S FFF Want to increase tenant longevity? Prospec- tive tenants are increasingly inclined to lease pet friendly residences. Blah, blah blah. Tell you something that you didn’t know, right? But did you know pet owners tend to lease and stay longer than typical tenants? That means leasing and turn over expenses will be lower over time which is more money for you. Tenants in pet-friendly rentals stayed an aver- age of 46 months compared to 18 months for tenants residing in rentals prohibiting pets. It should be noted that the increased length of tenancy did not occur for tenants who illegally keep pets (that is, tenants who keep animals in rental units that prohibit animals). Tenants who illegally kept pets were closer in their length of tenancy to people who do not keep pets at all. But there’s more to this conversation. Many landlords and property managers worry about allowing pets into their property. One concern is the risk of damage to units. However, multifamily data shows that damage left from tenants isn’t drastically different between those with pets and those without. In fact, it’s just under $40 different. Tenants with pets cause an average of $362 damage while tenants without pets pro- W W W . G N E I T I N G C A P I T A L . C O M duce an average of $323 in damage. To compare with a traditional and a couple more accepted tenant profile, tenants with children on average had $150 more damage than tenants without children. I guess that’s proof that animals are cheaper than kids. But how do landlords mitigate pets and im- prove profitability? Charge both a pet deposit and pet rent for tenants who own pets. This will 3
help cover any pet damage and also add to your property’s revenue. Be sure you put your pet policy in your rental agreements. This pet policy should be clear and comprehensive. The more precise your pet policy, the better. Pets are not only here to stay as part of multi-family leasing but trends show they are going to in- crease in presence and demand. Recent multifamily data shows that more and more renters own pets and are looking for pet-friendly rental units. Retail pet supply sales in the U.S for instance are expected to reach a record high $99 billion in 2020, up from $95.7 billion in 2019. According to Steve King, CEO of the American Pet Products Association (APPA), “Consumers are more educated than ever…which means they’re willing to pay more for quality products…[These] latest industry figures remind us of just how much Americans love their pets.” Nearly one-third of prospects in the market own pets currently. And what if you already have a pet-friendly community? Well, multifamily data shows that adding pet amenities may help you increase your property’s income. Certain pet amenities like dog parks and even contracted services like dog walking can easily attract more tenants to your availabil- ities. Dog wash and pet spa retreats are also increasingly popular. Animal owners are willing to pay more each month to live in communities that have these extras for their FFF’s (somewhat like BFF’s) – their favorite furry friends. THE VALUE OF VIRTUAL COVID-19 has only magnified the trend to go online to buy, to order, to find, and to stream. Our industry is no different with everything from property leasing to rent paying and more. But you have a community website. You’ve posted some pictures of your units. Shouldn’t that be enough? Data adds a definitive no. Research shows that listings with virtual tours get up to 87% more views than those without them. Renters are looking for listings where they can easily view a property online, and people are more apt to rent your apartments when they can virtually tour the apartment first, rather than just look at pictures . That market driver is important to address. And if that statistic isn’t enough, think about the 4
tech savvy, smart phone using Gen Zs and foot on the property. Data shows that virtual Millennials. According to the 2018 Zillow Group tours filter out the less interested inquiries. Consumer Housing Trends Report, 45% of Gen That means more of your property showings Z and 41% of Millennial buyers find 3D tours will end up in signed leases. In the end, your or recorded video of a future residence to be property managers not only save time, but extremely important in helping them decide they can focus more effort on serious leads and on their housing . This trend only stands to in- you fill your units faster and make more mon- crease given these tech-savvy generations now ey. And with COVID-19, the use of virtual tours make up one of the largest groups of potential and virtual leasing has grown exponentially in renters. According to local Salt Lake City virtual the past few months and the trend is only ex- tour pros, Covert Labs, providing one of their pected to grow even as the health crisis passes. virtual 360-degree (3D) walk-through tours will generate higher engagement & interest To record a virtual tour, one of the first things quickly. Multiple benefits come through their you should do is get a professional 3D services services including finding tenants faster and at partner, or a good camera. A low-quality virtual higher rental rates. tour won’t give potential renters a very good impression of your property. You only have one Virtual tours offer benefits for property manag- chance to make a good first impression. Con- ers which help you as the owner. For example, tact Covert Labs, thecovertlabs.com/3d-scans, interested renters can view your available apart- mention this article, and get preferred pricing ments on their own time from the comfort of on your virtual 360-degree (3D) walk-throughs their couch. This means your property manag- of your property. Virtual tours work. ers can devote less time to in-person tours and renters can save time by touring apartments that truly suit their needs before they ever set 5
W W W . G N E I T I N G C A P I T A L . C O M OPTIONS, OPTIONS, service to offer these amenities to your tenants. This may increase your occupancy rates and & AMENITIES your property’s income. Some complex owners As you know, amenities have a large impact in are providing dog parks nestled in the comfort attracting tenants and increasing occupancy of the parking garage, out of the heat and the rates. While we know this, many apartment cold. complexes and their owners are hung up on Consider the Amazon effect. More and more outdated and often unused amenities to draw people are ordering items online and having in new tenants. If that’s you, don’t worry, there them shipped to their apartments. Knowing is hope. There are many amenities owners can that their packages are secure and that they add to provide more punch and profitability to can conveniently pick up their items can easily their complex. Here’s a few. And as you consider attract more tenants to your property. Many these, keep in mind that you want to sprinkle apartment communities are adding package the amenities throughout the property. Create lockers to their list of available amenities. multiple points of interest in your community for your tenants. If you haven’t already taken the tech approach to communicating with your renters, now may For example, busy tenants might not use on- be the time? More and more people are look- site dog parks and gyms, but they may love ing for quick, easy access to information on amenities that reduce chores. Consider part- their smart phones. Consider having a website nering with a dog walking company or a maid 6
or mobile application where your tenants can essence, community is the new amenity. Com- check for updates, pay rent, reserve amenities, mon areas are evolving into working, gaming, and receive package notifications. This makes and music rooms available to residents and communication easy, which is at the forefront their guests for single person to small group of many renters’ minds, and will lessen the use. Gone are the large, sterile grand halls and need for your property manager to be involved oversized rooms of the clubhouse. Many com- in administrative details and more involved munities now offer communal workspaces for with sales and leasing. residents, where residents can work remotely just for the day or have dedicated workspaces. And how about those Millennials? The National And in the COVID-19 environment, this is all the Association of Home Builders (NAHB) notes that more important. While some apartments offer 22% of adults between the ages of 25 and 34 still informal co-working spaces (not unlike hotel live at home. That’s a market of over 8.7 million lobbies), others are outfitted with formal spac- potential new renters, according to the Kaiser es, complete with silent areas and meeting Family Foundation and the Census Bureau. In rooms with full conference technology. order to attract and retain these “renters-by- choice,” developers are creating multifamily communities with more life-style amenities such as on-site coffee bars, rooftop cafes, bars, W W W . G N E I T I N G C A P I T A L . C O M and indoor basketball and bowling. Brian McAu- liffe, President, CBRE Capital Markets, shares in the company publication Amenities for the 2020s, “Multifamily amenity innovation is crit- ical to the success and competitive advantage of apartment properties. It’s not enough to offer rooftop grilling areas or dog runs; owners and developers must think carefully about ameni- ties and services that work together to create a cohesive community.” If your community isn’t large enough to sup- port some of these higher dollar amenities, you need to think harder and work smarter. Go social. Referred by some as the “Cheers” effect, renters are searching for connection where everybody knows your name but where the renter controls the process of who meets who. It’s social connecting 2020 style. Having authentic social connections are rising in a renters’ priorities for rental communities. In 7
COVID-19, LIFESTYLE, which is driving population, housing growth, and the rental market. And as you would imag- AND THE BURBS ine, fundamentals such as vacancy rates and The coronavirus pandemic is a strong driving rent growth in secondary and tertiary markets force pushing residents, companies and com- are stronger than those of primary markets . mercial real estate buyers to non-metros but it’s According to the Milken Institute’s Best-Per- not the only factor. Residents increasingly are forming Cities 2020 report, the Orem-Provo opting for secondary and tertiary markets over metro makes the #2 ranking of Best-Perform- gateway cities and primary markets with com- ing Large Cities with Salt Lake tied for 25th. panies and investors following suit. This is good You’ll find Logan and St. George in the #3 and news for Utah. Secondary and tertiary cities are #4 positions respectively on the Best-Perform- boasting population growth and big company ing Small Cities list of the same study . Utah is relocations. We feel this trend in Utah directly. running on all economic cylinders and it shows. Recent market analysis by the Kem C. Gardner But there is more to spreading out than just Policy Institute shows that Utah’s population to secondary and tertiary markets. Where are rose 18.4% over the past decade with Utah Coun- the people flocking inside those markets? They ty outpacing Salt Lake for the first time. There are looking for a suburban lifestyle. CBRE’s 2021 were about 3.273 million people living in Utah U.S. Real Estate Outlook publication shares as of July 1, 2020, which would be an increase of that suburban multifamily will outpace urban 509,115 people in the span of the last ten years . properties in the recovery. CBRE foresees U.S. We’re seeing this trend nationwide. Population multifamily returning to pre-pandemic occu- net migration since 2000 into secondary and pancy levels in 2021 with rents fully recovering tertiary markets was 70% higher than in metros by 2022. “The economic rebound will lead and that escalated to more than 200% higher to rising multifamily demand, largely from since 2014 . ‘unbundling’—certain renters moving out of Cities with strong economies are benefiting their parents’ homes or those of friends as job the most during this pandemic period as they opportunities provide more financial flexibil- are also the places we find historically low un- ity to live independently,” stated the report. employment. And where there are jobs, that’s “Demand levels in 2021 likely will fall short of where you’re finding the most in-migration pre-COVID peaks in 2018 and 2019 but should 8
rise significantly from 2020.” In secondary and To some extent, change is always a constant in tertiary cities and especially the suburbs, fami- any market and roller coasters will always be a lies are finding quality of life at more accessible mix of fun and fear. Preferences change over living costs that allow them to lease a rental or time, and people come to value some things buy a home. COVID-19 exacerbated this trend more than others. Adapting to these changing as employees across the US who are now work- needs however is essential to the success of any ing from home are opting for more comfort- growing or established organization including able, affordable suburban living and the cities for multifamily ownership. Understanding these that offer them, while leaving behind cramped elements are the very first step in preparing a urban core apartment towers with high-end suitable response. And whether you adopt a pet amenities that consequently and unfortunately policy (let alone a pet), engage more deeply in are typically closed in the current environment the online virtual tours chorus, or relocate your to stop the spread of COVID-19. It seems the investments and your money to the Burbs, the tide has shifted and times are changing for the prospects are bright for multifamily in Utah. foreseeable future. For some that includes the resolve to say, “I moved to the suburbs from the city, and I’ll never move back.” FOR A DEEPER DIVE INTO THE INSIGHTS PROVIDED IN THIS ARTICLE, PERUSE THESE VALUABLE SOURCES: https://www.cbre.us/research-and-reports/Multifamily-Innovation-Watch https://www.petfinder.com/dogs/living-with-your-dog/pet-friendly-housing-study/ https://www.businessinsider.com/i-moved-from-city-to-suburbs-why-ill-stay https://milkeninstitute.org/reports/best-performing-cities-2020 ABOUT THE AUTHOR: Matt Gneiting is a Principal at Gneiting Capital. He can most often be found doing any of the following: sitting in the office, talking on the phone, getting or being Zoomed, typing words on a computer keyboard, or entering numbers into spreadsheets while he regularly clicks his mouse. His life he has learned is rather normal. 9 out of 10 survey correspondents lived the same kind of life. Oh, and he can routinely be found wearing a white and light blue mask in public settings. Also pretty routine he has discovered. CONTACT matt@gneitingcapital.com | (385) 482-2200 www.gneitingcapital.com 9
CREDITS 1 https://www.petfinder.com/dogs/living-with-your-dog/pet-friendly-housing-study/ 2 https://www.petfinder.com/dogs/living-with-your-dog/pet-friendly-housing-study/ 3 https://apartmentdata.com/multifamily-data-pet-policies/ 4 https://www.americanpetproducts.org/press_industrytrends.asp 5 https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/americans-pet-spending-reaches-record-breaking-high-95-7-billion-301012852.html 6 https://apartmentdata.com/multifamily-data-research-virtual-tours/ 7 http://zillow.mediaroom.com/2019-04-22-Zillow-Launches-AI-Powered-3D-Home-Tours-Across-United-States-and-Canada 8 https://www.multihousingnews.com/post/5-trends-property-investors-should-know-in-2020/ 9 https://apartmentdata.com/multifamily-data-apartment-amenities/ 10 https://apartmentdata.com/multifamily-data-apartment-amenities/ 11 https://apartmentdata.com/multifamily-data-apartment-amenities/ https://www.worldpropertyjournal.com/real-estate-news/united-states/irvine/national-association-of-home-builders-international-builders-show-us-apartment-production-da- 12 ta-in-2020-multifamily-housing-starts-in-2020-real-estate-news-11781.php 13 https://www.cbre.us/-/media/cbre/countryunitedstates/us-research/major-reports/2019/multifamily-innovation-watch/cbre_streetsense_mfinnovationwatch_amenities.pdf 14 https://www.ksl.com/article/50060124/report-utahs-population-rose-184-over-past-decade-utah-county-outpaces-salt-lake-for-1st-time 15 https://www.globest.com/2020/07/13/forget-big-cities-as-firms-investors-set-sights-on-smaller-markets/ 16 https://www.globest.com/2020/07/13/forget-big-cities-as-firms-investors-set-sights-on-smaller-markets/ 17 https://milkeninstitute.org/reports/best-performing-cities-2020 18 https://www.cbre.us/about/media-center/2021-us-real-estate-outlook 19 https://www.businessinsider.com/i-moved-from-city-to-suburbs-why-ill-stay 10
W W W . G N E I T I N G C A P I T A L . C O M
You can also read